Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 230912
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
512 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...HUMID AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
AND INTO TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY. SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH LEAVING DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL THEN RETURN BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-104-106-108-111-114-240215-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...
BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE
512 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....79.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (78900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 - 0.22 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.21 - 0.38 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (39800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

$$

KYZ079-080-083>088-107-109-110-112-113-115>120-240215-
PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-
MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
512 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....57.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (56800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.21 - 0.39 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (30100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.16 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND
80. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
SHALLENBERGER





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