Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 252012
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
412 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...Unseasonable warmth and dry conditions will be on
tap Wednesday, leading to relative humidity values dropping into
the upper 20s and 30s as south winds increase to 5-10 mph
with gusts of around 15 mph in the Bluegrass and Lake Cumberland
regions. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase Thursday
morning, with chances continuing through the weekend as temperatures
remain unseasonably warm.


KYZ068-079-083-084-261000-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
412 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................17 decreasing to 3 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....54.
Vent Rate...........Good (53500 knot-ft).
ADI.................37 increasing to 60 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy. Slight
                    chance of showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................59 decreasing to 18 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the morning.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....64.
Vent Rate...........Good (63700 knot-ft).
ADI.................37 increasing to 47 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.24 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-261000-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
412 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 50 valleys and around 56 ridges.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....48.
Vent Rate...........Fair (48100 knot-ft).
ADI.................34 increasing to 53 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................52 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44100 knot-ft).
ADI.................42.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 - 0.21 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-261000-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
412 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....40.
Vent Rate...........Fair (40200 knot-ft).
ADI.................27 increasing to 47 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................47 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....37.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (37400 knot-ft).
ADI.................38.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 - 0.21 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the
evening, then slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the evening, then slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 80s. Winds south around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late.
Lows in the upper 50s. Light south winds.
.MONDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny. Showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers in
the afternoon. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
West winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.

$$
GUSEMAN



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