Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 231002
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
502 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

...UNUSUALLY WARM AND WET WEATHER THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP UNUSUALLY
MILD AIR INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AT THE SAME
TIME...THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED AS A NUMBER OF WEATHER
DISTURBANCES TAKE AIM ON THE AREA. THE FIRST DISTURBANCE WILL
ARRIVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN
EXPECTED. AFTER A LULL TONIGHT...MORE RAIN WILL SPREAD BACK IN
LATE TONIGHT. FINALLY...A COLD FRONT WILL BRING ONE LAST ROUND OF
RAIN TO THE AREA FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS COLD
FRONT WILL ALSO USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR AS WE HEAD INTO
CHRISTMAS. THE COLD AIR WILL HAVE SHORT DURATION OVER THE AREA AS
MILDER AIR RETURNS BY FRIDAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-240315-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
502 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.41 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.42 - 0.73 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....101.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (100600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.17 - 0.28 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
KAS





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