Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 181920
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
320 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Lower Humidity Each Afternoon Through Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered across the eastern portion of
the country will lead to warm and dry weather through Saturday
along with gradually moderating temperatures. Dry air aloft is
expected to mix down each afternoon and lead to low afternoon
humidities. Humidity should bottom out near or below 30 percent
in several locations through Saturday. Look for good recovery at
night for most locations with the ridges lagging. The next chance
for rain arrives early next week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-190830-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
320 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................14 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent. Around 43
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy valley fog early.
Max Temperature.....Low 70s.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest at 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....14.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14100 knot-ft).
ADI.................4 increasing to 18 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy valley fog towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....42-47. Around 43
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy valley fog early.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 0 to 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....5.
Vent Rate...........Poor (5000 knot-ft).
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-190830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
320 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................17 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer. Around 43
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....30.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (29500 knot-ft).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plumeAround 43
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................17 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 0 mph.
Dispersion Index....5.
Vent Rate...........Poor (5600 knot-ft).
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None. Around 43


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-190830-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
320 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................13 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....14.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14400 knot-ft).
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................11 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy valley fog early.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....4.
Vent Rate...........Poor (3700 knot-ft).
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening,
then a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning,
then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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