Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 150934
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
534 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...A strong cold front will bring stronger winds
today along with a brief round of showers and isolated storms
during the afternoon and evening. High pressure will usher in
colder and drier air behind the front and patchy frost is
possible on Tuesday night. The airmass will moderate through
the week with temperatures climbing above normal to end the
week. Humidities could fall below 30 percent in several locations
each afternoon from Tuesday through Saturday.

KYZ044-050>052-152045-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
534 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Showers and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up
                    to 30 mph possible.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....48.
Vent Rate...........Fair (48100 knot-ft).
ADI.................53.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.23 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A
                    chance of rain showers early in the evening.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................44 decreasing to 6 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (43800 knot-ft).
ADI.................31 increasing to 45 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106>109-111-112-114-152045-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-
McCreary-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-
Owsley-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside,
Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville,
Jackson, and Booneville
534 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph, with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....65.
Vent Rate...........Good (64800 knot-ft).
ADI.................55.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.25 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers early
                    in the evening, then a slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    north up to 5 mph late.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................39 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....43.
Vent Rate...........Fair (42700 knot-ft).
ADI.................30 increasing to 45 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ085>088-110-113-115>120-152045-
Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Knott-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
534 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of rain showers early in the
                    afternoon. Showers likely and a slight chance
                    of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....69.
Vent Rate...........Good (69000 knot-ft).
ADI.................56.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 - 0.18 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then a chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................40 decreasing to 12 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 - 0.29 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....45.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44900 knot-ft).
ADI.................29 increasing to 49 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Areas of fog in the morning. Highs in the mid
60s. Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds becoming
southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds becoming
west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds becoming
southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.

$$
JP



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