Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 131150
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
650 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST
THIS EVENING..

.DISCUSSION...Winds will back southwesterly today while becoming
sustained at 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. These winds will also
gust up to 35 mph. At the same time drier air will subsequently
spill into eastern Kentucky as minimum relative humidity values
drop to between 20 and 25 percent this afternoon. The humidity
should recover above 20 percent after sunset, though winds will
stay up until late in the evening. Another cold front will move
through the region tonight into early Thursday, bringing a
northwesterly wind shift and higher humidity levels to the
Commonwealth.

KYZ068-079-083-084-132145-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
650 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35
                    mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....58.
Vent Rate...........Good (57700 knot-ft).
ADI.................33 increasing to 59 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 15 mph late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................29.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Mid 30s.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......30-35 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....47.
Vent Rate...........Fair (46700 knot-ft).
ADI.................43 decreasing to 12 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-132145-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
650 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35
                    mph possible.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....50.
Vent Rate...........Good (50300 knot-ft).
ADI.................38 increasing to 52 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered sprinkles in the
                    evening, then scattered rain and snow showers.
Min Temperature.....Upper 20s.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 10 mph late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................42.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.03 inches. A dusting of snow possible.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Scattered flurries in the
                    morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....60.
Vent Rate...........Good (60400 knot-ft).
ADI.................53 decreasing to 17 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None - Trace.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-132145-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
650 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (43700 knot-ft).
ADI.................35 increasing to 48 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Scattered sprinkles and flurries late.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................30.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None to Trace.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Scattered flurries in the
                    morning.
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......25-30 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....61.
Vent Rate...........Good (60600 knot-ft).
ADI.................52 decreasing to 16 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None - Trace.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. North
winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower
50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. West winds around
5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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