Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 162101
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
401 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

...Low Relative Humidity Friday...
...Strong and Gusty Winds Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will provide dry weather
across the area through Friday. Minimum relative humidities
will approach 25 percent in some locations Friday afternoon.
On Saturday, a powerful cold front will approach and eventually
move through the area. Strong southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph,
with gusts of 30 to 35 mph are expected during the day. Widespread
rainfall will accompany the front, with amounts of around a half
inch expected. Much colder air will follow the front, with
highs back in the upper 30s and lower 40s by Sunday.

KYZ068-079-083-084-171200-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
401 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....15.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14600 knot-ft).
ADI.................8 increasing to 21 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................15 increasing to 26 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers and a slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........62-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph, with gusts of 30
                    to 35 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 25 to 35 mph.
Dispersion Index....51.
Vent Rate...........Good (51300 knot-ft).
ADI.................53.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.26 - 0.48 inches.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>110-171200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, and Wheelwright
401 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....11.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10800 knot-ft).
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers and a slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, increasing to
                    10 to 20 mph, with gusts of 30 to 35 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 35 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....52.
Vent Rate...........Good (52000 knot-ft).
ADI.................54.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 - 0.44 inches.

$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-111>118-171200-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville,
Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, and Whitesburg
401 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....11.
Vent Rate...........Poor (11400 knot-ft).
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................11 increasing to 21 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then a chance of rain showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, increasing to 10
                    to 20 mph, with gusts of around 30 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....70.
Vent Rate...........Good (69600 knot-ft).
ADI.................53 increasing to 71 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 - 0.42 inches.

$$

KYZ119-120-171200-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
401 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 31.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 8.
Vent Rate...........Poor (7600 knot-ft).
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, increasing to 10
                    to 20 mph, with gusts of around 30 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....81.
Vent Rate...........Good (81300 knot-ft).
ADI.................35 increasing to 77 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.13 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West
winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain and
snow showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers in
the afternoon. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon.

$$
GEOGERIAN


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