Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 271016
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
616 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...Periods of showers and storms will impact eastern
Kentucky through Sunday night. Some of these storms may become
severe, along with producing heavy rainfall. Southwest winds will
top out near 10 mph through the weekend, except underneath
thunderstorms where higher gusts will occur. Drier weather should
move back into eastern Kentucky by later Memorial Day.

KYZ068-079-083-084-272030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
616 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Isolated showers in the morning, then
                    numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....55.
Vent Rate...........Good (54900 knot-ft).
ADI.................35 increasing to 46 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.18 - 0.39 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Scattered
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................44 decreasing to 3 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.18 - 0.30 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the
                    morning. Scattered thunderstorms. Numerous
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....70.
Vent Rate...........Good (70500 knot-ft).
ADI.................23 increasing to 53 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.24 - 0.54 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-272030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
616 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the morning,
                    then scattered rain showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....71.
Vent Rate...........Good (70800 knot-ft).
ADI.................37 increasing to 49 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.15 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................46 decreasing to 6 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.25 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers in the morning.
                    Scattered thunderstorms. Numerous showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........64-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....63.
Vent Rate...........Good (62800 knot-ft).
ADI.................29 increasing to 60 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.35 - 0.55 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-272030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
616 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the morning,
                    then scattered rain showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....52.
Vent Rate...........Good (52100 knot-ft).
ADI.................31 increasing to 41 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.12 - 0.42 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 4 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.34 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44300 knot-ft).
ADI.................24 increasing to 48 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.22 - 0.54 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs around 80. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers or thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds becoming west
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph in the
evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds becoming west around
5 mph in the afternoon.

$$
KAS



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