Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 160905
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
405 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY LEADING TO UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. THEN A
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WE WILL SEE A BREAK IN THE UNSETTLED
PATTERN BY WEDNESDAY.

KYZ068-079-083-084-162130-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
405 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (66700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................11 INCREASING TO 47 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 - 0.34 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (72400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................38 INCREASING TO 67 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.28 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-162130-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
405 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................5 INCREASING TO 16 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.19 - 0.36 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (64100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................31 INCREASING TO 63 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.31 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-162130-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
405 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (64800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................8 INCREASING TO 51 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.28 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (60500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................40 INCREASING TO 60 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.24 - 0.34 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJ



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