Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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590
FNUS53 KJKL 210916
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
516 AM EDT THU JUL 21 2016

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL THEN INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS THE
RIDGE SLOWLY BREAKS DOWN ACROSS THE REGION. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
BE DOWN ONCE AGAIN FOR TODAY...BEFORE RISING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL AVERAGE IN THE LOW 90S...WITH HEAT
INDICES NEARING OR EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-212030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
516 AM EDT THU JUL 21 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................16.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................14 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................22 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LOWS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
GEOGERIAN/JVM



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