Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 180917
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
517 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A POTENT
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH CONTINUED
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCE
WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM ALLOWING FOR THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY THIS WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-190230-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
517 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....86.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (85900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.64 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.17 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (44900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
SHALLENBERGER





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