Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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596
FNUS53 KJKL 282025
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
425 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...A warm front will lift slowly north across the Ohio Valley
tonight and Saturday and should be the focus for a round of
showers and thunderstorms. With the boundary north of the area,
generally dry weather returns for the weekend. Temperatures will
be well above normal through Sunday, and record highs will likely
be tied or broken on Saturday. The threat of showers and
thunderstorms will return to the area to start the new workweek.

KYZ068-079-083-084-290815-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
425 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of showers in the evening. A
                    slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................66 decreasing to 17 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....93.
Vent Rate...........Good (93400 knot-ft).
ADI.................64.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................73 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to 30 to 35 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....182.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (182300 knot-ft).
ADI.................110.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-290815-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
425 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
                    evening. A chance of thunderstorms. A slight
                    chance of showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................66 decreasing to 18 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.61 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers or
                    thunderstorms in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....97.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (97100 knot-ft).
ADI.................58 increasing to 84 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................70 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........34-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....183.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (183200 knot-ft).
ADI.................120.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-290815-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
425 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................75 decreasing to 16 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....87.
Vent Rate...........Good (86900 knot-ft).
ADI.................61 increasing to 78 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................73 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....174.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (173700 knot-ft).
ADI.................128.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms and a
slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers
in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

$$
JP



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