Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 082119
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
419 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY...AS AN ARCTIC AIR MASS CONTINUES TO INVADE EASTERN
KENTUCKY. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY CLIMB TO AROUND 30 DEGREES ON
FRIDAY. THE COLDEST NIGHT LOOKS TO BE FRIDAY NIGHT... WITH LOWS
DOWN IN THE MID TEENS. BESIDES A FEW FLURRIES...THE NEXT CHANCE OF
MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY AFFECT THE AREA AT MIDWEEK.

KYZ068-079-083-084-090930-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
419 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. FLURRIES
                    POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................27.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
VENT RATE...........POOR (7700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-090930-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
419 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................14.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (30400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................28.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-090930-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
419 PM EST THU DEC 8 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
VENT RATE...........POOR (9500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MILDER...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH LATE.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE.
.WEDNESDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP


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