Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 161112
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
612 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT...AND
NOW A COLD FRONT IS ABOUT TO FOLLOW IN IT/S FOOTSTEPS...MAKING ITS
WAY ACROSS EASTERN KY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF TODAY. BOTH OF THESE
BOUNDARIES HAVE RESULTED IN RAIN ACROSS KY. THE FIRST ROUND OF RAIN IS
EXITING EASTERN KY...BUT THE NEXT ROUND...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WILL TRAVERSE NE KY THROUGH THE MORNING.
ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH...DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL FILTER
IN ALOFT...BUT A LAYER OF MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH TOMORROW. THIS MOISTURE WILL KEEP MIN RH
VALUES ABOVE 60 PERCENT TODAY AND TOMORROW...AND AROUND 60 PERCENT AS
WE HEAD INTO THE DAY THURSDAY. WINDS MAY PERHAPS BE THE GREATEST
CONCERN...AS THEY WILL CONTINUE TO GUST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AHEAD
AND JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-170415-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
612 AM EST TUE DEC 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    PATCHY DRIZZLE AND ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....104.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (104300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER EARLY.
                    PATCHY DRIZZLE...EXCEPT LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AT
                    ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (43900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY...THEN
A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW EARLY...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS AROUND 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JMW





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