Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 221040 CCA
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
640 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

...Northeast Winds Around 10 mph With Low Relative Humidities This Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...North to northeast flow in advance of high pressure
building toward the Ohio valley will bring 10 to 15 mph winds to
the area early today. Winds should slacken a bit during the
afternoon to around 10 mph. The high will usher in a very dry
airmass and the winds near 10 mph should coincide with humidities
bottoming out in the 18 to 26 percent range during the afternoon.
The high will move east of the area late tonight and on Thursday
with warmer and gradually more moist air returning to East KY.
Unsettled weather should return over the upcoming weekend, but
above normal temperatures should prevail starting on Thursday.

KYZ068-079-083-084-222245-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
640 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........18-24 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to
                    northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44100 knot-ft).
ADI.................40.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 30.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................35 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....45.
Vent Rate...........Fair (45400 knot-ft).
ADI.................11 increasing to 36 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-222245-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
640 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........20-26 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph in the morning, then
                    northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....45.
Vent Rate...........Fair (45000 knot-ft).
ADI.................48.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................34 decreasing to 7 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....37.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (37100 knot-ft).
ADI.................20 increasing to 36 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-222245-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
640 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........17-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph in the morning, then North
                    7 to 12 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....44.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44200 knot-ft).
ADI.................47.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 27.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................34 decreasing to 6 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....34.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (34400 knot-ft).
ADI.................18 increasing to 34 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the morning,
then slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning, then
chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds.

$$
JP


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