Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 071105
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
605 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BREAK DOWN
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF MILD
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 50S AND DEW POINTS IN
THE 20S...WILL ALLOW FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DIP
DOWN INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. PRECIPITATION
WILL BECOME LIKELY TOWARDS DAWN. COLDER AIR WILL WORK
IN ON MONDAY...WITH RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING OVER TO SNOW
SHOWERS. PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

KYZ044-050-051-081100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE
605 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (69700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................20 INCREASING TO 67 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY
                    LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 10 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....84.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (84300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................25 INCREASING TO 60 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.

$$

KYZ052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-081100-
ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-
WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...RAVENNA...
CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...
MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
605 AM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (36300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................14 INCREASING TO 43 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. RAIN AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......43 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....98.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (98000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................49 INCREASING TO 72 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE. LOWS AROUND
12. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND
5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN


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