Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 190941
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
541 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Lower Humidity Each Afternoon Through Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered across the eastern portion of
the country will lead to warm and dry weather through Saturday
along with gradually moderating temperatures. Dry air aloft is
expected to mix down each afternoon and lead to low afternoon
humidities. Humidity should bottom out near or below 30 percent
in several locations through Saturday. Look for good recovery at
night for most locations with the ridges lagging. The next chance
for rain arrives early next week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-192030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
541 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....24.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23500 knot-ft).
ADI.................4 increasing to 28 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of dense fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................14 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 0 to 5 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 7.
Vent Rate...........Poor (7100 knot-ft).
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-192030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
541 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....32.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (32300 knot-ft).
ADI.................14 increasing to 37 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of dense fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................23 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 0 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 7.
Vent Rate...........Poor (6500 knot-ft).
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-192030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
541 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Areas of dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....23.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23100 knot-ft).
ADI.................23.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of dense fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................16 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 0 mph shifting to the east early
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index.... 4.
Vent Rate...........Poor (4000 knot-ft).
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
KAS



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