Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 202017
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
417 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF LESS THAN 20 PERCENT WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE
RECOVERING. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE MONDAY...
WITH INCREASING MOISTURE. SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN A TENTH AND A QUARTER OF AN INCH. COOLER
WEATHER WILL FOLLOW...WITH HIGHS EXPECTED IN THE LOW 70S
TUESDAY...AND LOW TO MID 60S FOR WEDNESDAY.

KYZ044-050>052-211300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
417 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47...EXCEPT LOWER 40S IN SHELTERED
                    LOCATIONS.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT...EXCEPT 90-100 PERCENT
                    IN SHELTERED LOCATIONS.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (53500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN
                    SHOWER IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (76300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 INCHES.

$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-211300-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG
417 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 IN VALLEYS...LOWER 50S ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT IN VALLEYS...70-80 PERCENT
                    ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (56100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.30 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN
                    SHOWER IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (58900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.

$$

KYZ086>088-104-106>120-211300-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-
BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
417 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 IN VALLEYS...LOWER 50S ON RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS...55-65 PERCENT ON
                    RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....43.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (43400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.21 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING. THERE ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (60300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.19 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...WARMER...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...WARMER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GEOGERIAN





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