Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 181934
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
334 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING WITH IT
LOTS OF CLOUDS AND SOME SPRINKLES. THERE IS A FAIRLY STRONG SHORT
WAVE OVER CENTRAL INDIANA THAT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING THIS WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION THAN
WHAT WE ARE SEEING THIS AFTERNOON. DEPENDING OF HOW FAST THE SHORT
WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA AND HOW QUICKLY THE WIND DROPS OFF
TONIGHT...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME PATCHY VALLEY FROST IN
THE WESTERN PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. TOMORROW NIGHT...THE CHANCES
FOR VALLEY FROST ARE A LITTLE HIGHER AS THE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES
LINE UP BETTER. THE MIN RH WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S OVER
THE NEXT WEEK. STILL WAITING FOR FIRE SEASON TO BEGIN.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-191245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
334 PM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT LOWER RIDGES UNCHANGED VALLEYS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (42100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JJ






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