Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 221041
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
541 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...A nearby stalled frontal boundary will allow for
widespread rain showers across most locations today. A temporary
lull in the activity is expected today, before another round
of rainfall moves in for Friday. A final cold front will then
take aim at the region Saturday into Sunday, bringing additional
moderate to heavy rainfall. Drier weather will occur for Monday
and Tuesday.

KYZ044-050>052-222200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
541 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers in the morning, then a
                    chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....13.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13200 knot-ft).
ADI.................16.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.52 - 0.66 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....89.
Vent Rate...........Good (88500 knot-ft).
ADI.................49 increasing to 75 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.21 inches.

$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-
222200-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-
McCreary-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-
Owsley-Martin-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside,
Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville,
Jackson, Booneville, and Inez
541 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers in the morning, then a
                    chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........76-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northeast early in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index....16.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15600 knot-ft).
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.19 - 0.65 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then a chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....97.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (97500 knot-ft).
ADI.................59 increasing to 76 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

$$

KYZ085>088-110-113-115>118-120-222200-
Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Knott-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Pike-
Including the cities of Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
541 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then becoming west around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....78.
Vent Rate...........Good (77800 knot-ft).
ADI.................63.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 - 0.30 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....95.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (95300 knot-ft).
ADI.................47 increasing to 71 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening, then showers likely late. Lows in the upper 50s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then showers
likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely in the morning, then a
chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. West winds
around 5 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN


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