Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 141014
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
614 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...An upper level disturbance will bring showers to
most of the region today, and possibly lingering into Tuesday.
There could also be a few thunderstorms. A brief break in wet
weather is expected on Wednesday, before a cold front moves in
from the northwest with our next shot at rain late in the week.

KYZ044-051-052-104-142030-
Fleming-Bath-Rowan-Elliott-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Owingsville, Morehead,
and Sandy Hook
614 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index....13.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12500 knot-ft).
ADI.................3 increasing to 16 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers.
                    Patchy fog developing towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A
                    slight chance of afternoon showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west up to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....22.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21600 knot-ft).
ADI.................6 increasing to 28 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.


$$

KYZ050-058>060-068-069-106-108-111-142030-
Montgomery-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Morgan-Wolfe-
Lee-
Including the cities of Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling,
Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead,
Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, West Liberty, Campton,
and Beattyville
614 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 0 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index....14.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14000 knot-ft).
ADI.................3 increasing to 18 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers, and
                    possibly an evening thunderstorm. Patchy
                    fog developing towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.16 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A
                    slight chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west up to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....22.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22200 knot-ft).
ADI.................8 increasing to 26 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 inches.


$$

KYZ079-080-083>088-107-109-110-112>120-142030-
Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Johnson-
Magoffin-Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello,
Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Paintsville,
Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
614 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....11.
Vent Rate...........Poor (11100 knot-ft).
ADI.................2 increasing to 13 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    evening. A chance of showers. Patchy fog
                    developing towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.20 inches.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A
                    chance of showers and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....27.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27400 knot-ft).
ADI.................10 increasing to 28 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog developing towards dawn.
Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight
chance of showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 80s. Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
or thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Light winds becoming south
around 5 mph late.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph
in the morning.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers.
Patchy fog developing towards dawn. Lows in the mid 60s. West
winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the
mid 80s. Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing towards
dawn. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight
chance of showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 80s. Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.

$$
HAL



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