Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 220933
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
533 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE OVER
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COULD USE THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY TO
PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY TUESDAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION
COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED...AND IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT ANY
GIVEN LOCATION WILL REMAIN DRY. THERE WILL BE A GREATER PROBABILITY
OF RAIN FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106-108-111-114-
230245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE...
BOONEVILLE
533 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....90.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (90200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.17 INCHES.

$$

KYZ085>088-107-109-110-112-113-115>120-230245-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
533 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....84.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (84100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 - 0.24 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
SHALLENBERGER





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