Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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742
FNUS53 KJKL 222020
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
420 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

...A wet and cool weekend then drying out...

.DISCUSSION...Rain showers will continue to make for wet conditions
across eastern Kentucky this evening through early Monday morning as
an area of low pressure and cold front remain nearby. Areas nearer the
Tennessee and Virginia borders will see the highest rainfall amounts
through the weekend, before warmer and drier conditions return into the
upcoming week.

KYZ044-050>052-230830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
420 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening. A slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................24 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then a chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....48.
Vent Rate...........Fair (47800 knot-ft).
ADI.................26 increasing to 42 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................36 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....40.
Vent Rate...........Fair (39900 knot-ft).
ADI.................32.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-230830-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-
Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-Martin-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville,
Jackson, Booneville, and Inez
420 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 16 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.08 - 0.33 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....35.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (34800 knot-ft).
ADI.................26 increasing to 36 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 - 0.47 inches.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................35 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 - 0.22 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....38.
Vent Rate...........Fair (38400 knot-ft).
ADI.................28.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.


$$

KYZ079-080-083>088-110-113-115>118-120-230830-
Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-
Knott-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello,
Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
420 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Widespread rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 14 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.16 - 0.91 inches.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....26.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25700 knot-ft).
ADI.................18 increasing to 29 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.16 - 1.05 inches.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening,
                    then a chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 11 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.36 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....31.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (31300 knot-ft).
ADI.................25.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds
becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Lows around 60. South winds around 5 mph in
the evening.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in
the evening. Lows around 60. Southwest winds around 5 mph
shifting to the south late.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$
GUSEMAN



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