Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 010950
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
550 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A COMPLEX OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...OVERNIGHT...AND
INTO THE DAY THURSDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER...PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS. AS SUCH...EXPECT RH
LEVELS TO REMAIN HIGH THROUGHOUT THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND RAINFALL
AMOUNTS TO BE ABUNDANT...ESPECIALLY IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS
AND STORMS. OTHER THAN SOME STORM RELATED OUTFLOWS/GUSTS...EXPECT
GENERAL WINDS TO REMAIN UNDER 15 KNOTS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
LIMITED...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS STAYING WELL BELOW SEASONABLE NORMS
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106>110-113-118>120-012030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-KNOTT-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
WHEELWRIGHT...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
550 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....97.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (97400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 - 0.13 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 - 0.30 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.31 - 0.98 INCHES.

$$

KYZ058-068-069-079-080-083>088-111-112-114>117-012030-
ESTILL-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-
KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...RAVENNA...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN
550 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....100.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (99600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 - 0.28 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.21 - 0.59 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.65 - 1.47 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
JMW



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