Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 020912
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
512 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...DAMP THIS WEEK AND TURNING COOLER...

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
SEEN TODAY AS A COLD FRONT INTERACTS WITH A SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM
THE SOUTH. THIS WILL LEAD TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY...AIDING IN THE ALREADY VERY SATURATED GROUND. PERIODS OF
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHOT OF COOLER WEATHER WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY AND
KEEP TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. DRIER
WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE REGION.

KYZ044-050-051-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-108-111-112-
114>117-022015-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-
PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-WOLFE-LEE-
BREATHITT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...IRVINE...
RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN
512 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (55000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................36.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.61 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................32 DECREASING TO 9 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 - 0.76 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....90.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (89900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................28 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.


$$

KYZ052-104-106-107-109-110-113-118>120-022015-
ROWAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-KNOTT-LETCHER-MARTIN-
PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...
PAINSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...
HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
512 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....68.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (68500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................45.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 - 0.53 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................33 DECREASING TO 11 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.06 - 0.79 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....86.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (86000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................21 INCREASING TO 48 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...WARMER. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS IN THE EVENING.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
KAS



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