Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 210925
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
425 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...Unseasonably warm conditions will continue today
as moisture increases from the west. However, portions of far
eastern Kentucky including the Big Sandy region and locales
near the Virginia state line may see minimum relative humidities
fall into the low-mid 30s this afternoon. Rain showers will move
through eastern Kentucky later this afternoon into Wednesday with
additional chances Thursday. Friday evening and night will bring
the best chances for showers and a few thunderstorms as a cold front
moves through. Gusty southwest winds will also accompany this system.


KYZ068-069-079-080-083>087-212115-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-
Bell-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City,
Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, and Pineville
425 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....68.
Vent Rate...........Good (67700 knot-ft).
ADI.................21 increasing to 56 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.28 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....12.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12500 knot-ft).
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 - 0.14 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-212115-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, and Frenchburg
425 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....66.
Vent Rate...........Good (66400 knot-ft).
ADI.................22 increasing to 48 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.28 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning, then isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 8.
Vent Rate...........Poor (7600 knot-ft).
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.


$$

KYZ088-104-106>120-212115-
Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-
Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes,
Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
425 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....62.
Vent Rate...........Good (62100 knot-ft).
ADI.................22 increasing to 51 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the evening,
                    then numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.14 - 0.28 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....12.
Vent Rate...........Poor (11600 knot-ft).
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.18 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in
the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy. A slight chance of
showers in the evening. Lows around 30. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
evening, then a chance of snow showers and a slight chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of snow showers and a slight
chance of showers in the morning, then a slight chance of showers
in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
GUSEMAN



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