Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 151108
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
608 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...A wet week is in store, as multiple rounds of rain
are expected to move across eastern Kentucky. A cold front will
approach from the NW today, reaching the Ohio River by tonight,
and then shifting SE across eastern KY Friday. This will result in
a soaking rain across the region, generally between half an inch
and one inch of accumulation. Highest totals will be in the
northern portion of the state. Breezy SW winds will also accompany
this frontal system, with gusts between 15 and 25 mph possible
throughout the day and into the overnight. Winds will increase as
you go aloft. Winds will become more NWrly and begin decreasing
behind the frontal passage Friday. A brief break in the rain will
occur Saturday before yet another round of soaking rain impacts
all of eastern Kentucky during the day Saturday. Needless to say,
min RH will be negligible during this time.

KYZ068-079-083-084-152130-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
608 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Scattered
                    rain showers and areas of drizzle in the
                    morning, then isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph.
Dispersion Index....78.
Vent Rate...........Good (77700 knot-ft).
ADI.................45 increasing to 75 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the
                    evening, then numerous showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................40.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.19 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Widespread rain showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....38.
Vent Rate...........Fair (38400 knot-ft).
ADI.................44 decreasing to 34 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.32 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-152130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
608 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Areas of
                    drizzle in the morning. Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........64-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....69.
Vent Rate...........Good (68800 knot-ft).
ADI.................41 increasing to 66 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the evening,
                    then widespread rain showers.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................34.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.14 - 0.52 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Widespread rain showers in the morning,
                    then scattered rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....57.
Vent Rate...........Good (57400 knot-ft).
ADI.................58 decreasing to 37 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.22 - 0.42 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-152130-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
608 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Scattered
                    rain showers and areas of drizzle in the
                    morning, then isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....72.
Vent Rate...........Good (71500 knot-ft).
ADI.................42 increasing to 68 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    evening, then numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................36.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.22 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Widespread rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....40.
Vent Rate...........Fair (40500 knot-ft).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.30 - 0.49 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the morning,
then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s. East
winds around 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Milder. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely in the morning,
then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers
in the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
JMW



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