Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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712
FNUS53 KJKL 201045
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
545 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

...Chilly to Start Then Warming. Dry Through the Forecast...

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rebound into the upper 40s to low
50s today as afternoon RH values bottom out at 25-35 percent.
South/southwest winds of 5-10 mph today will increase to near
10-15 mph Tuesday ahead of a dry cold front that will eventually
bringing a northerly wind shift to the area into Wednesday. This
front will also allow minimum relative humidity values to recover
into the 40-50 percent range Tuesday and Wednesday.

KYZ068-079-083-084-202115-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
545 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......30-35 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....14.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13800 knot-ft).
ADI.................9 increasing to 20 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Upper 50s.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....56.
Vent Rate...........Good (55900 knot-ft).
ADI.................63.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-202115-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
545 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Upper 40s.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......25-30 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....17.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17500 knot-ft).
ADI.................22.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....60.
Vent Rate...........Good (59500 knot-ft).
ADI.................65.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-202115-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
545 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......30-35 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....15.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14800 knot-ft).
ADI.................17.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....57.
Vent Rate...........Good (57100 knot-ft).
ADI.................44 increasing to 72 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Light
winds in the evening.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Light winds becoming
southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Colder. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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