Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 251028
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
528 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

...COOLER TODAY...BUT POTENTIALLY DRY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE QUIET WEATHER THROUGH TODAY.
HOWEVER...VERY DRY AIR JUST OFF THE SURFACE MAY MIX DOWN THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY WHERE A FEW PLACES
COULD SEE RH`S FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE NORTH UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD TONIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM SPREADING INTO SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.
SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER. AFTER A
BRIEF BREAK FROM PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ANOTHER FAST
MOVING SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS KENTUCKY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...PROVIDING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW. AGAIN
SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. AFTER A COOL END TO
THE WEEK...IT LOOKS LIKE SUBSTANTIALLY WARMER WEATHER IS ON TAP
STARTING THIS WEEKEND.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106-108-111-260330-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
528 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (48100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083-084-260330-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY
528 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (35900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ085>088-107-109-110-112>120-260330-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
528 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (48200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW DEVELOPING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.13 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-48.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.18 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND
5 MPH LATE AT NIGHT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MILDER. PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MILDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
KAS





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