Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 211021
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
621 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...An approaching cold front will bring periods of
showers and scattered thunderstorms across eastern Kentucky
today. Showers will diminish from west to east late tonight
into Monday morning. Cooler air will filter in behind the
front, with lows in the mid to upper 50s expected by Monday
morning. More unsettled weather will move back in by Tuesday,
with temperatures gradually moderating across the region.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-212130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro,
Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright,
Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard,
Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
621 AM EDT Sun May 21 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....29.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (29400 knot-ft).
ADI.................31.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.38 - 0.78 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................19 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.14 - 0.47 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers in the
                    morning, then decreasing clouds.
Max Temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....33.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (32900 knot-ft).
ADI.................40 decreasing to 20 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
late.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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