Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 032047
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
347 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO THICKEN AND LOWER AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE SET TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAINFALL TO EASTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH LOOK LIKELY...WITH
EVEN A FEW SNOWFLAKES POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
THE NEXT ROUND OF RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OF 0.75 TO 1 INCH POSSIBLE. WINDS
WILL VEER NORTHEASTERLY THEN TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY WHILE
GENERALLY REMAINING NEAR OR BELOW 5 MPH.


KYZ068-079-083-084-040930-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
347 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................11 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 - 0.21 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............9.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.08 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-040930-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
347 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    LATE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............9.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................19 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-040930-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
347 PM EST SAT DEC 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................12 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.25 INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............9.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE. LOWS AROUND 30.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. LOWS
AROUND 16. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
GUSEMAN



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