Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 252150
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
450 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

...Low Humidities Expected Sunday Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...Colder and drier air will continue to filter into
the region tonight in the wake of a cold front as high pressure
builds into Kentucky from the west. This will push across the
Tennessee Valley tonight, before moving east of the area on
Sunday evening, and bring mainly dry weather. Relative humidities
should bottom out below 30 percent in most locations on Sunday,
but winds will be light. An upper disturbance will bring chance
for showers late Sunday night into Monday and unsettled weather is
expected through midweek. The best chances for more widespread
rain will come Tuesday night into Wednesday evening.

KYZ068-079-083-084-261000-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
450 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......15-20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 15 mph decreasing to up to 5
                    mph late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................26 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-35 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south early
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....37.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (37400 knot-ft).
ADI.................24 increasing to 38 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then a slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to south
                    around 15 mph in the late morning, then
                    increasing to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (73300 knot-ft).
ADI.................25 increasing to 67 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-261000-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
450 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph decreasing to up to 5
                    mph late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................31 decreasing to 20 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....52.
Vent Rate...........Good (51700 knot-ft).
ADI.................46.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers in the
                    morning. Otherwise, a slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....181.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (184700 knot-ft).
ADI.................16 early increasing to 107 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-261000-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
450 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................27 decreasing to 17 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....38.
Vent Rate...........Fair (38300 knot-ft).
ADI.................41.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........none.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to south
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....139.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (140700 knot-ft).
ADI.................17 increasing to 96 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely late.
Lows in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the
morning, then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the mid 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of snow showers in the
morning. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
around 5 mph shifting to the southwest late.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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