Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 041037
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
537 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG
SOUTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY TODAY AND INTO THE CREST OF THE
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT...SPREADING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA
INITIALLY. COLDER AIR WILL GRADUALLY MOVE IN WHILE HEAVY
PRECIPITATION LINGERS...CHANGING RAIN TO A MIXTURE OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN FIRST AND THEN ALL SNOW FROM THIS
EVENING INTO TONIGHT. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED. SNOW WILL FINALLY TAPER OFF BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-042130-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD
537 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.92 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLEET WITH FREEZING RAIN LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING. SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID TEENS.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.83 - 1.00 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.

$$

KYZ058>060-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-042130-
ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-
BREATHITT-OWSLEY-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...
STANTON...FRENCHBURG...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...
INEZ
537 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.74 - 0.95 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SLEET WITH
                    FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. SNOW LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER TEENS.
   24 HR TREND......24 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.88 - 1.01 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.17 INCHES.


$$

KYZ068-069-079-080-083-042130-
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO
537 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-52.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.69 - 0.92 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SLEET WITH
                    FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. SNOW LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER TEENS.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.97 - 1.07 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.17 INCHES.

$$

KYZ110-113-115>118-120-042130-
FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...
WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...
SOUTH WILLIAMSON
537 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-56.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
VENT RATE...........POOR (7400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.67 - 0.82 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN WITH FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. SLEET
                    AND SNOW LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
   24 HR TREND......29 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.77 - 1.03 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW WITH FREEZING RAIN LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
   24 HR TREND......31 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (39200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 INCHES.

$$

KYZ084>088-042130-
MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN
537 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
VENT RATE...........POOR (8800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.69 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN. SLEET AND SNOW WITH FREEZING RAIN
                    LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
   24 HR TREND......34 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.90 - 1.08 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW WITH FREEZING RAIN LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
   24 HR TREND......30 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (43700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.21 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 2. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...NOT AS COLD. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...NOT AS COLD. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP



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