Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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022
FNUS53 KJKL 182112
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
412 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...Mostly clear skies tonight will give way to an approaching
warm front and likely rainfall. Much warmer air will move in for next
week, with highs pushing the 80 degree mark by Tuesday. Generally dry
weather can expected from Monday afternoon through Tuesday, before a
wetter pattern sets up once again for the latter half of the week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-190915-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
412 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    in the evening, then rain showers likely late.
                    Patchy fog developing towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A
                    slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....30.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (30100 knot-ft).
ADI.................24 increasing to 36 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................25.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....71.
Vent Rate...........Good (70800 knot-ft).
ADI.................41 increasing to 62 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-190915-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
412 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. Rain
                    showers likely late.
Min Temperature.....37-42 in valleys; upper 40s on ridges.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 75-85 percent on
                    ridges.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A
                    chance of rain showers in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....36.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (35800 knot-ft).
ADI.................26 increasing to 39 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................23.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....77.
Vent Rate...........Good (76700 knot-ft).
ADI.................46 increasing to 74 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-190915-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
412 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. Patchy fog
                    developing towards dawn. A chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....37-42 in valleys; upper 40s on ridges.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 75-85 percent on
                    ridges.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 - 0.15 inches.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. A
                    slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....32.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (32300 knot-ft).
ADI.................21 increasing to 35 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................20.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....64.
Vent Rate...........Good (63700 knot-ft).
ADI.................49 increasing to 66 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely in the evening, then showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the
evening.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Showers in the morning, then a chance of
showers in the afternoon. Highs around 60. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening,
then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 70. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely in the evening, then showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower
60s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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