Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 190923
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
523 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA WITH A
SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH WILL
KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA TODAY.
TONIGHT A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH A RENEWED CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE SERIES
OF WEAK DISTURBANCES TO KEEP THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
CONTINUING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-200230-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
523 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.32 INCHES.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....117.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (117000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 - 0.27 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
AROUND 90. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
SHALLENBERGER





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