Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 221002
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
502 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 50S ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE ARE TODAY AND TOMORROW RESPECTIVELY. RAIN
SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...
AND WILL BECOME NUMEROUS BY THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS COULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING
ISSUES. THE WET CONDITIONS WILL KEEP FIRE NEAR OR AT ZERO THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. WINDS WILL PICK TONIGHT AFTER SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST...WITH SUSTAINED VALUES OF AROUND 10 MPH AND
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-222130-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, MCKEE,
ANNVILLE, BURNSIDE, SOMERSET, LONDON, MONTICELLO, STEARNS,
WHITLEY CITY, CORBIN, WILLIAMSBURG, BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO,
PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND, HARLAN, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT,
BEATTYVILLE, JACKSON, HINDMAN, PIPPA PASSES, BOONEVILLE, HAZARD,
MANCHESTER, HYDEN, JENKINS, WHITESBURG, INEZ, COAL RUN,
ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE, AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON
502 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....45.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (45400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................8 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.46 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................23.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.34 - 1.29 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (63200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................51.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......90 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 - 0.54 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MILDER. PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING.
.THURSDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$
AR



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