Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 211045
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
545 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

...Warm Conditions Continue, Showers Move in Later Today...

.DISCUSSION...Warm conditions will continue. We see another shot
of showers and thunderstorms later today as cold front stalls out
over the area. Due to this boundary we will see more shots of
rain showers and thunderstorms to round out the week. We are still
looking for a total of 1-3 inches through Sunday with up to 4
inches possible in the Bluegrass region.

KYZ068-079-083-084-212130-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
545 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning, then numerous rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 25 mph becoming northwest
                    around 15 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....86.
Vent Rate...........Good (85800 knot-ft).
ADI.................64.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.25 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening.
                    Isolated thunderstorms. Periods of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    east late.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.20 - 0.60 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph becoming west 5 to 10 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....30.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (29900 knot-ft).
ADI.................37 decreasing to 14 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.40 - 0.65 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-212130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
545 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming cloudy. Scattered
                    rain showers in the morning, then numerous rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph shifting to the north
                    around 15 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....58.
Vent Rate...........Good (58500 knot-ft).
ADI.................55.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.25 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening,
                    then periods of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......15-20 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.15 - 0.60 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion Index.... 9.
Vent Rate...........Poor (8800 knot-ft).
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.30 - 0.60 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-212130-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
545 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....113.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (112600 knot-ft).
ADI.................66 increasing to 83 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.25 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.65 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph shifting to the west
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....45.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44600 knot-ft).
ADI.................45.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.20 - 0.60 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening,
then a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 70. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
around 5 mph in the evening.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely in the morning, then a
chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
around 5 mph shifting to the northeast late.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.

$$
GREIF


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