Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 310928
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
528 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...
BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THESE. SHOWER AND
STORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. LINGERING HEAT AND HUMIDITY
MAY BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM ON LABOR DAY...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106-108-111-114-
010230-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
OWSLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE...
BOONEVILLE
528 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (64500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.31 - 0.79 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE AT NIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.LABOR DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....115.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (115300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

$$

KYZ085>088-107-109-110-112-113-115>120-010230-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
528 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....87.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (87000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.22 - 0.60 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE AT NIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 - 0.19 INCHES.

.LABOR DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....100.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (99500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP





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