Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 191055
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
555 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...Chilly and Brisk Today, then Dry with Moderating
Temperatures...

.DISCUSSION...Much colder air is moving into eastern Kentucky
today on brisk northwest winds, with temperatures struggling to
reach 40 degrees by mid afternoon. A few sprinkles or flurries
cannot be ruled out this morning under cloudy skies. Drier
weather will return for the upcoming week as warming temperatures
lead to minimum relative humidity values in the 30 percentile
range Monday afternoon.

KYZ068-079-083-084-192130-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
555 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy.
Max Temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....71.
Vent Rate...........Good (70700 knot-ft).
ADI.................50 increasing to 67 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Cold.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Warmer
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....11.
Vent Rate...........Poor (11400 knot-ft).
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-192130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
555 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered sprinkles or flurries
                    in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Upper 30s.
   24 hr trend......25-30 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......15-20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....99.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (98800 knot-ft).
ADI.................56 increasing to 67 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........Trace.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Cold.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................21 decreasing to 6 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Warmer
Max Temperature.....Upper 40s.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......25-30 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....19.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19000 knot-ft).
ADI.................25.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-192130-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
555 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered sprinkles and flurries.
Max Temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......25-30 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Dispersion Index....82.
Vent Rate...........Good (81500 knot-ft).
ADI.................56.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........Trace.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Cold.
Min Temperature.....Around 25.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................11.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Warmer.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......30-35 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....13.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13000 knot-ft).
ADI.................17.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cooler. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds
around 5 mph in the evening.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Light
winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Light winds becoming
west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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