Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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295
FNUS53 KJKL 230943
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
443 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers are possible this afternoon
as upper level disturbance moves across the region. A
stronger system will approach from the west by Friday and
this will induce some gusty winds by late Friday morning
into Friday afternoon. Right now not expecting this to mix
into driest air, but this will have to be monitored in
subsequent updates.

KYZ068-079-083-084-232115-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
443 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of dense fog in the
                    morning. Isolated sprinkles.
Max Temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....29.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (29000 knot-ft).
ADI.................16 increasing to 27 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....105.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (105000 knot-ft).
ADI.................57 increasing to 82 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-232115-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
443 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of dense fog in the
                    morning. Isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....26.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26200 knot-ft).
ADI.................15 increasing to 26 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Isolated sprinkles in the evening.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....103.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (102600 knot-ft).
ADI.................43 increasing to 81 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-232115-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
443 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Areas of dense fog in the
                    morning. Isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....26.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26300 knot-ft).
ADI.................13 increasing to 25 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....108.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (107800 knot-ft).
ADI.................43 increasing to 84 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then showers and a chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Much colder. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of rain and snow showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the evening, then showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

DJ



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