Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 301143
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
743 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE REGION WILL
BRING SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THERE COULD ALSO BE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY
CONTAIN HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ON SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT THE
PROBABILITY WILL NOT BE AS HIGH AS TODAY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-302030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BROADHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...
JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...
PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
743 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE
                    OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (30100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................8 INCREASING TO 29 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.36 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.46 - 0.77 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (58200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................22 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.22 - 0.41 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.

$$
HAL


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