Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 152100
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
400 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

...Low Relative Humidity Friday Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...A passing cold front will bring likely rainfall
to eastern Kentucky through tonight. Rainfall amounts will average
around a tenth of an inch or less. Dry weather will move in for
Thursday and Friday, with minimum relative humidities nearing
25 percent in places by Friday afternoon. A stronger cold front
will move across the area on Saturday, bringing gusty southwest
winds, as well rainfall amounts ranging from between a quarter and
a half inch. Temperatures will trend below normal through
Friday morning, before returning to above normal out ahead of the
next approaching cold front for this weekend.

KYZ068-079-083-084-161200-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
400 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening,
                    then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....24.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24200 knot-ft).
ADI.................32 decreasing to 18 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 31.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....13.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13100 knot-ft).
ADI.................7 increasing to 19 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-161200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
400 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the
                    evening, then isolated rain showers and patchy
                    drizzle late.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................22.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....42.
Vent Rate...........Fair (42400 knot-ft).
ADI.................53 decreasing to 32 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....10.
Vent Rate...........Poor (9500 knot-ft).
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-161200-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
400 PM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening,
                    then isolated rain showers and patchy drizzle
                    late.
Min Temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................16.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....33.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (32600 knot-ft).
ADI.................39.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....11.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10800 knot-ft).
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers in the morning, then showers in
the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the
evening, then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds around 10 mph in the evening.
.SUNDAY...Colder. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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