Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 201100
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
600 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

...Record Warmth Today then Turning Wetter Again...

.DISCUSSION...Much warmer temperatures will continue to
affect Kentucky over the next several days. We will remain dry
until later Wednesday, followed by multiple shots of
showers and possible thunderstorms to round out the week. 1-3
inches of rain possible for the area through Sunday.

KYZ068-079-083-084-202145-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
600 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....107.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (106900 knot-ft).
ADI.................49 increasing to 86 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning. Isolated thunderstorms. Numerous rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....168.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (168200 knot-ft).
ADI.................76 increasing to 104 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.40 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-202145-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
600 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....105.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (104800 knot-ft).
ADI.................51 increasing to 95 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning. Isolated thunderstorms. Periods of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....131.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (131300 knot-ft).
ADI.................73 increasing to 88 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.40 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-202145-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
600 AM EST Tue Feb 20 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....98.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (97800 knot-ft).
ADI.................49 increasing to 91 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....156.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (156000 knot-ft).
ADI.................72 increasing to 103 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.30 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely and isolated
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely. Lows in
the lower 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Warmer. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely in the morning, then showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely in the morning, then a
slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the north late.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph
shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

$$
GREIF



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