Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 270851
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
451 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...A band of rain showers will move through eastern
Kentucky this morning. A few showers may linger into the
afternoon in far eastern Kentucky. Rain free weather will be seen
tonight through Friday before more rain chances return Saturday
night and last through the weekend. The best chance of rain will
come Sunday night into Monday as a strong cold front advances
across the region. Until this front arrives, unseasonably mild
weather will last through the weekend.

KYZ068-079-083-084-272030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
451 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Dispersion Index....104.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (104200 knot-ft).
ADI.................45 increasing to 75 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.15 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................60 decreasing to 1 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph increasing to south 10 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....90.
Vent Rate...........Good (89700 knot-ft).
ADI.................32 increasing to 76 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-272030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
451 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers in the morning. Isolated
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 15 mph increasing to 10
                    to 15 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 20 to 25 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....129.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (129400 knot-ft).
ADI.................58 increasing to 87 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.18 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................73 decreasing to 4 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    around 15 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....73.
Vent Rate...........Good (72500 knot-ft).
ADI.................30 increasing to 73 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-272030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
451 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms
                    in the morning. Isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....123.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (122500 knot-ft).
ADI.................48 increasing to 82 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.23 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    late.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................70 decreasing to 3 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    around 15 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....80.
Vent Rate...........Good (80100 knot-ft).
ADI.................31 increasing to 80 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
or thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around
10 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms likely
in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
KAS


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