Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 171956
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
356 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

THE HAS BEEN THE WETTEST FIRST 17 DAY OF OCTOBER ON RECORD FOR
ALL OF THE CLIMATE SITES EXCEPT FOR WILLIAMSBURG WHERE IT IS
THE SECOND WETTEST. AS SUCH...FIRE DANGER HAS BEEN QUITE LOW
AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOW. THE LOWEST RH EXPECTED IN THE NEXT
FIVE DAYS WILL BE ON SUNDAY AND THAT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40 TO
LOWER 50S.

KYZ068-079-080-083>087-181300-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE
356 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....82.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (82300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
VENT RATE...........POOR (9000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-069-088-104-106>120-181300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-JACKSON-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...MCKEE...
HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
PIKEVILLE
356 PM EDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....88.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (88100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS EARLY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JJ





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