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000
FXUS04 KWBC 230831
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
430 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 23/1200 UTC THRU MAY 26/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO NEW
ENGLAND...

IT SHOULD BE A WET PERIOD FOR THESE REGIONS AND ESPECIALLY FROM
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO NEW ENGLAND..AHEAD OF AN
H5 TROF DIGGING INTO THE EASTERN STATES WITH THE MID LEVEL FLOW
BACKING RATHER SIGNIFICANTLY INTO THE NORTHEASTERN STATES BY
FRIDAY MORNING.  THIS BACKING MID LEVEL FLOW AND A CONTINUED
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW UP THRU THE MID ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEASTERN STATES WILL BRING IN AN AXIS OF MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW
VALUES..AT OR ABOVE 1.50 INCHES..ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT.  THIS HIGH MOISTURE ALONG WITH RATHER
DECENT BOUNDARY LAYER CONVERGENCE AND FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION UPPER JET DYNAMICS SHOULD SUPPORT THE WIDESPREAD MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT.  THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME MODEL QPF
DETAIL DIFFERENCES THRUOUT THE AREA..BUT IN GENERAL THEY ALL FAVOR
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD 0.50-1.00+ INCH RAINFALL TOTALS..WITH THE
HEAVIER AMOUNTS LIKELY CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND
NEW ENGLAND STATES WHERE THE EVENT WILL PERSIST EVEN BEYOND THIS
PERIOD.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE CONCERNING THE QPF ACROSS THIS PART OF THE
COUNTRY..GIVEN CONTINUED BIG SPREAD IN THE OPERATIONAL..HIRES AND
SREF GUIDANCE.  THE NAM AND GFS QPFS HIT THE HI PLAINS OF TX QUITE
HARD..WHILE THE NON-NCEP MODELS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY LIGHTER AND THE
HIRES GUIDANCE IS SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN.  INITIAL THOUGHTS ARE TO
SHY AWAY FROM THE NCEP MODELS..GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF FEEDBACK
PROBLEMS CONTAMINATING THEIR FORECASTS.  HOWEVER..THERE WILL BE A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE..THERE WILL BE A BROAD LOW LEVEL
WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN DEVELOPING DURING THE PERIOD UP THRU
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS..AND THERE APPEARS TO BE A WEAK H5 S/WV
VICINITY OF NORTHWESTERN OLD MEXICO/CENTRAL GULF OF CA WHICH COULD
BE IN A POSITION TO PROVIDE SOME ADDITIONAL LARGE SCALE LIFT LATER
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.  SO..ALTHOUGH THE NCEP MODELS MAY BE
TOO HEAVY QPF-WISE..THE FRONT..WARM AIR ADVECTION AND H5 S/WV
SHOULD SUPPORT SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN TX LATER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING..WITH SOME ACTIVITY TRYING TO FORM FARTHER NORTH
IN THE REGION LATER THURSDAY NIGHT.  MANUAL QPF WENT HEAVIER THAN
THE NON-NCEP SOLUTIONS (EXCEPT FOR THE GEM REGIONAL..WHICH SEEMED
TO BE A GOOD COMPROMISE) BUT NOT NEARLY AS HEAVY AS THE NCEP
MODELS..WITH POTENTIALLY SOME 1+ INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE HIGH
PLAINS OF TX.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE STRONG PACIFIC NORTHWEST CLOSED H5
LOW..WITH THE CENTER BEING ONLY SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE BUT WITH A VERY
SIGNIFICANT S/WV ROTATING FARTHER INLAND THRU THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
DURING THE PERIOD.  MODEL QPF DISTRIBUTIONS ARE ALSO IN GOOD
AGREEMENT..SHOWING ONE MAX ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF WA/OR FROM
THE OLYMPICS SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COASTAL RANGE WHERE SOME WESTERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL PERSIST..AND ANOTHER MAX IN THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG S/WV LIFTING THRU.  IN BOTH
AREAS..EXPECT SOME 0.50-1.00+ INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS..WITH MAYBE
THE HIER RES NAM A LITTLE TOO HEAVY IN THE WA/OR AREA.

DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL RESULT IN
ONE MORE DAY OF RAIN BEFORE IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA INTO BC
AND AB. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL CLUSTERING WITH THIS FEATURE...AND
THE QPF WAS BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

SHORT WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE CLOSED LOW WILL PROVIDE THE BEST
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AND BEST CLUSTERING OF CONVECTIVELY DRIVEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
PRODUCE STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL
INSTABILITY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS INTERIOR WA AND OR...AS WELL AS
WESTERN MT. THERE IS LESS INFLOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
MT...AND THEREFORE LESS IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION
THERE.

THE FIRST SHORT WAVE FOCUSES RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN WA AND
WESTERN MT...AND QPF AMOUNTS IN THIS AREA WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN
0.15 AND 0.25 INCHES...MAINLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE SECOND
SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE OR COAST LATE DURING DAY 2 WILL FOCUS THE
0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ON THE OR COASTAL RANGE...
PRODUCING 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF.


...CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST...

MOISTURE RIDING UP AND OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR QPF FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS
CONCERNING THE FRONTAL POSITION AND MASS FIELDS HERE...AND THE QPF
WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

A 35 KNOT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL TRANSPORT 1.25 TO 1.50 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR UP AND OVER THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 2. SOUTH OF THE
FRONT...MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH VEERING IN
THE LOW LEVELS...AND DIFLUENCE WILL BE SUPPLIED IN BY A 90 KNOT
JET STREAK...SUPPORTING SCATTERED CONVECTION IN KS AND NE DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE CONVECTION SUPPORTS AN AREA
OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.

ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE...RIDING ON THE NOSE OF A 40 TO 50 KNOT
LOW LEVEL JET...IS TRANSPORTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
MIDWEST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 2. THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FLUX ACCOMPANIES THE JET...AND THERE IS SOME MODEL SUPPORT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS ACROSS NE...WHICH MOVES INTO THE MIDWEST BY
THE END OF DAY 2. FOR NOW...AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED ALONG THE EXPECTED TRACK OF MCS IN NE AND WESTERN IA.

ON DAY 3...QPF WAS PLACED ON THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE DECAYING
MCS EARLY. AFTER THIS...THE CONVECTION POTENTIAL WILL BE FOCUSED
ON THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH SHOULD BE STRETCHED FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST. A STRIPE OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE BOUNDARY.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

A MODERATELY MOISTURE RICH FLOW RIDING NORTH ON A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHERLY JET WILL PROVIDE FUEL FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FOR
BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3 ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE
CLUSTERED FAIRLY WELL CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL... AND THE QPF WAS
BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

MOISTURE STREAMING NORTH FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON THE
NOSE OF A 35 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY JET WILL AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS TX INTO OK AND
KS...MAINLY ON AND AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE.  PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES...AS WELL AS CAPPING AND CIN EARLY (AS
SHOWN BY MODEL SOUNDINGS) SHOULD LIMIT THE EXTENT OF THE
CONVECTION. HOWEVER...A WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING OUT OF NORTHERN
MEXICO WILL PROVIDE SOME SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT...PARTICULARLY OVER
TX. THIS WARRANTS AN AREA OF GENERALLY 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL TX INTO SOUTHWEST OK.

LESS SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING ON DAY 3 PROBABLY MEANS LESS
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE... AS THE AIRMASS REMAINS MORE OR LESS THE
SAME. THIS SHOULD YIELD QPF AMOUNTS OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES ACROSS
NORTH TX INTO CENTRAL OK AND SOUTHEAST KS.


...MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

A SLOW MOVING LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL GO NEGATIVE AS IT CLOSES OFF
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST DURING DAYS 2 AND 3.
THERE HAS BEEN SOME MODEL SPREAD CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF THE
MID LEVEL PATTERN AND ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW...AND THIS WILL HAVE
BEARING ON QPF AMOUNTS AND THE PLACEMENT OF THE MAXIMUM. FOR THIS
FORECAST...A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/UKMET WAS USED FOR THE QPF...AND
THIS FORECAST NECESSITATES THE RETENTION OF THE SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND.

FOR DAY 2...THE LAST OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
FRONT WILL EXIT EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE HIGHER
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SHOULD SUPPORT 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF
QPF ACROSS EASTERN MA AND EASTERN ME...WITH LIMITED CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL AHEAD OF THE FRONT DUE TO CLOUDINESS. AFTER THIS...THE
QPF FOCUS BECOMES MORE SYNOPTICALLY DRIVEN...AS THE CLOSED LOW
MOVES NORTHEAST INTO NEW ENGLAND.

THE PROCESS BECOMES MORE FRONTOGENETICALLY DRIVEN ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE FLOW AHEAD OF THE
CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM SUPPORTS UPSLOPE FLOW FROM FROM WESTERN ME
AND NORTHERN NH INTO WESTERN MA AND CT. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
REMAIN CLOSE TO AN INCH IN THIS AREA...AND THE QPF FORECAST
REFLECTS THIS. A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES WAS PLACED IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN MENTIONED ABOVE.

ON DAY 3...THE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IS AGAIN FOCUSED ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND...AS THE CLOSED
LOW TRUNDLES NORTHEASTWARD. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR
ELEVATED INSTABILITY ACROSS WESTERN ME AND NORTHERN NH INTO
NORTHEAST VT...ENHANCING RAINFALL IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW. ONCE
AGAIN...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IN THESE AREAS. QPF AMOUNTS OF 0.75 TO
1.50 INCHES WERE PLACED IN WESTERN ME...NORTHERN H AND EASTERN VT.
THIS IS CLOSE TO THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD VALUES IN THE
AREA...AND GIVEN THAT HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL HERE ON DAY 2...THE
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA WAS RETAINED.


TERRY/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 502622 506633 508639 506657 507671 507684 507699 505720
      502733 499747 495763 492777 481799 474810 468821 461834
      458840 455845 451852 449857 442868 428885 418891 414893
      410890 406873 406868 404865 397866 389868 383869 379866
      375861 371859 368859 364856 361853 358846 357842 355839
      352834 351829 352827 354821 354817 352814 341812 336811
      329814 325814 319817 312821 306824 301824 296825 291824
      286823 282821 274816 269813 266809 268805 265804 261802
      260798 266799 275803 280804 286803 299801 303801 308799
      314796 317793 318788 317784 312778 304775 297772 283770
      267766 254760 250750 251741 258735 274730 307729 308729
      328722 358703 372686 396672 402667 408661 420644 432642
      443641 447641 452642 457642 462638 473628 480618 487609
      491600
 0.01 531239 530232 528227 525225 522225 519227 515228 511229
      507228 504230 501228 498221 492203 490200 487200 485202
      479204 475204 472206 462207 459208 455207 455202 457198
      459187 462182 463178 451170 448182 446183 441184 436190
      434192 433197 430210 429216 426219 424222 422227 421233
      419236 416238 414241 413248 413252 423255 429255 437258
      439261 444263 455275 460278 462281 470285 486288 491290
      493288 497288 498283 498277 502274 516281
 0.01 534200 536191 537181 536177 536170 536161 534156 532148
      530143 522122 519116 517110 513100 511095 508089 506085
      502083 497077 491072 488068 482059 475058 473060 473064
      478077 478081 476083 471082 465083 462085 455089 444090
      438098 429100 426103 426107 429108 435109 438109 440112
      443117 443126 444133 442136 439136 436141 441150 446153
      447156 450160 455161 459160 462157 469149 472146 475145
      480146 483149 487152 491156 501172 507182 512189 516201
      521211 524213 527213 530209 534201 534200
 0.01 496240 495236 494231 494226 493222 490222 487221 484220
      481220 478221 475225 477226 480227 483229 485232 488235
      490238 491239 493242 496240
 0.01 420025 420017 417014 414013 411010 405003 401000 397997
      391989 386982 383979 379978 370972 367968 363967 358960
      352954 345948 341945 337945 335943 332944 330947 330953
      332967 330979 329985 327987 321994 316003 310007 303012
      296016 293020 291024 289028 290034 295039 299043 301043
      310042 319038 326034 336032 343033 346035 363040 369048
      372050 375050 378047 381046 382042 384040 386043 388045
      392046 396045 398042 400036 406034 410031 413030 420025
 0.25 489657 487648 484643 481642 477644 465652 447665 439672
      432679 424685 416689 403694 389698 381703 372708 356719
      342729 334732 325735 299741 290745 287751 289755 297758
      314760 328764 342768 346774 344782 345791 348793 350796
      353802 355804 357805 362805 367805 375803 377806 375810
      371817 369825 372829 376829 378826 388817 397801 403795
      409793 412800 407806 398819 391831 404837 408836 411830
      414827 419824 425820 438809 442804 444801 447797 447793
      446783 448777 453767 454764 459761 464760 469757 473754
      477746 481738 483731 485722 488703 490692 492685 493677
      491668 489660 489657
 0.25 524251 522250 519250 516249 513249 510250 509255 508259
      508261 510265 512270 515272 518274
 0.25 528174 530169 530163 529155 524143 518131 515125 511119
      504111 496103 490099 487098 480096 476094 469091 465094
      462099 459101 456099 452098 449099 449105 452111 455113
      458111 460115 459119 457124 456133 456136 460138 467138
      472138 479140 484143 499161 505170 512182 521191 524188
      525184 526179 527176 528174
 0.25 477243 477238 476234 473232 468230 465226 466222 463217
      452215 443216 438218 434221 435233 433237 431240 431244
      435249 440251 446251 450251 455251 459250 468248 473246
      477243
 0.25 367997 368994 368990 366986 360980 355977 350976 347976
      345979 344987 338991 331995 324002 314012 308016 305023
      303027 304029 309029 314026 318026 326025 335023 343020
      351017 356012 359009 361004 363001 367997 367997
 0.25 298812 297811 295810 293810 290810 287810 285810 283812
      284815 286816 288816 289816 292816 295816 297814 298812
 0.50 481664 479658 477657 470659 465665 458672 451678 442681
      432688 419698 412703 409710 408721 405729 402737 397742
      386749 376753 370750 370743 375736 386730 389721 380717
      362723 342735 334744 333748 338754 345757 354759 361761
      364767 360773 358780 363784 370788 376791 383789 389786
      396782 406782 422776 435768 440764 446758 456746 465732
      471720 475704 476697 480688 481681 481674 481664
 0.50 523258 521256 518256 515255 512256 511260 513266 515269
      518272
 0.50 526159 524152 521144 515133 507122 503117 498113 489108
      487114 482120 478124 473128 473133 476135 482138 487142
      491148 499157 507167 512171 515173 519173 522168 526161
      526159
 0.50 467239 464232 460229 456229 452228 452225 454223 451221
      447219 444219 438222 442227 442232 439235 437238 435242
      437244 441247 450247 456246 463243 467239
 0.50 479107 479105 476104 476102 474098 473098 470096 467096
      467098 467099 469102 470104 472107 473107 476107 479107
      479107
 0.50 361991 360988 360987 357985 356984 354984 353985 354986
      355988 357990 360991 361991
 0.50 348010 348003 346000 342997 338996 334998 330000 327004
      325008 324012 325016 331017 337016 342014 345012 348010
 1.00 472677 468675 466677 459686 454694 449702 444711 435719
      429725 426730 425735 423739 419742 413748 407755 407760
      409762 413767 415767 420766 425764 433757 438749 442741
      445736 450732 455727 461718 465708 468700 469688 472677
 1.00 519158 520153 518149 515144 512139 510136 507132 501129
      495130 492133 490135 491139 495143 497148 500151 503155
      508159 514160 517160 519158
 1.00 455240 455237 452236 449236 446237 446238 442240 445241
      448242 449242 451241 454240 455240
 1.00 363729 362728 359730 356731 354733 353734 353738 352739
      353739 356738 358737 361734 362733 363731 363729
 1.00 337004 336003 333003 332005 333007 336006 337004
 1.50 510151 510147 509144 507142 506140 504137 501137 499140
      500145 503148 506151 509152 510151
 1.50 432743 431743 428745 427747 429747 431745 432743

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 505630 499642 495649 493656 488668 487672 485676 481684
      455729 454733 455737 457745 454758 448770 443776 439781
      433791 426802 420811 406817 403818 397817 392817 385819
      373821 366824 364828 358830 355828 356824 359820 363816
      370812 377803 380799 382794 382788 383784 380782 378776
      374773 369770 364770 360769 354768 344767 337762 329752
      325750 320749 311746 305748 300750 294753 288753 283755
      278754 274754 271750 271744 275740 282731 282725 284719
      288713 292711 296707
 0.01 471567 466573 465578 460590 455601 454605 450611 448615
      443620 434629 429633 426634 415641 407645 397652 388656
      378661 369664 360667 359667
 0.01 528250 519242 520232 518224 515218 510214 507210 501206
      495205 491200 490197 483200 481204 477207 467210 457213
      453214 450214 447212 457185 460181 463177 460172 459169
      461166 464164 471166 477167 481169 484170 485174 490178
      493181 497186 506195 513204 522214 525218 532220 534221
      550164 552149 553145 554139 555120 555103 555098 553094
      553089 553081 552076 549062 546049 537023 532014 528004
      523997 518984 516982 511982 508980 505980 500972 499967
      495964 489957 483953 479950 476949 470943 466940 463939
      460936 457932 452922 445916 440911 433906 419903 401904
      384908 376912 374920 375927 377934 381940 385947 383948
      380947 373945 367947 361952 359956 358961 356964 351966
      346965 343962 340956 337953 336950 335946 329944 321945
      314944 312945 309949 308952 308955 313962 317970 317975
      315978 313981 309984 306987 302988 298989 295991 289992
      286994 282997 280000 274003 256005 250006 248013 248018
      246021 244028 245036 247040 249042 255048 259051 263053
      267054 276055 291060 305062 315060 321057 327054 335053
      344052 347050 353050 360046 363043 367041 376028 388017
      390015 394015 401016 408016 411019 420018 426013 428006
      430002 434996 434984 437981 441980 452978 458978 462979
      468985 471991 474995 476997 477001 476005 472008 471014
      469018 469026 470038 473044 473047 476053 476059 477065
      474069 468074 464075 459074 450073 444069 442073 443077
      445079 448081 451084 451090 449093 450098 451105 449109
      448112 449115 451119 454122 456122 462116 466113 472113
      475120 473125 471128 471135 471141 473143 478144 483146
      484152 481153 476152 473150 471146 468143 466141 464143
      461145 456147 451146 448142 445137 442137 439137 436145
      438151 439155 445162 447167 446175 445180 442183 437189
      436196 436201 439202 441206 442209 441215 438216 435218
      431219 428219 424222 427224 433232 431236 428237 420238
      416240 414243 419251 424253 429254 438254 446251 456254
      461255 465261 468271 472274 476276 481278 485277 488278
      492280 498283 501287 507292 511296
 0.01 458232 458228 456227 453226 451226 450227 447227 445228
      447230 450231 452232 455232 458232
 0.01 280803 278797 275797 271796 266798 261800 259804 254804
      251804 249808 249812 252815 257816 260815 262812 267809
      272808 277806 280803
 0.01 232981 235980 237979 240979 243979 245979 248979 251980
      253979 256976 254973 253970 252970 249969 247970 244969
      244968 241969 239969 238969 236971 234972 231972
 0.25 491612 490608 487604 485601 483600 478601 473603 455622
      444632 432642 420651 408661 398665 387668 366671 356674
      345678 335683 332687 330691 324702 321707 320713 320723
      320727 324729 328730 334730 344730 363732 369732 374731
      385728 393726 390740 391744 392747 396752 400755 405758
      410758 416755 423753 429749 434744 438739 446728 453718
      462704 468694 472687 474681 478669 484655 488644 490633
      491622 491612
 0.25 522264 517262 514262 511260 509255 507250 504248 500253
      497253 494250 492248 489245 486246 486250 488254 490261
      492266 494269 498274 502277 507280 513283 516283
 0.25 541192 543187 544181 544168 543158 541147 538132 536125
      534113 533105 533092 532083 529074 526068 523063 519065
      517069 517072 517079 517084 515083 511078 509076 506074
      500077 496081 493088 491093 492099 496113 496120 493126
      488132 486134 486138 488144 491149 497154 500159 503165
      507170 515181 523193 527199 530200 533200 537198 541192
 0.25 500237 503233 503229 502224 501223 499218 496215 494215
      491216 491220 493223 495226 495227 496231 497235 499237
      500237
 0.25 435947 435943 431940 426938 414933 406932 398937 397944
      401951 400959 396967 393974 391979 390985 391990 395997
      398001 403002 407002 416999 421994 424990 427986 428981
      431965 432956 435947
 0.25 361994 360990 356985 352981 347979 341977 334979 330983
      327988 321997 313004 303010 292013 285013 278015 269020
      266023 263027 261034 262037 266038 272038 276039 288043
      297043 310040 321036 332034 339033 343034 346035 349034
      354030 359019 360015 360005 361994
 0.50 484629 482622 480618 477616 474612 468616 462622 452631
      432650 423659 411668 400674 391677 374675 365676 356678
      346680 343682 340685 339689 341691 339697 332705 331709
      334715 337717 341717 348718 352720 357724 361726 364725
      375723 385719 395714 405711 410709 413712 411717 407725
      401734 398740 403745 412744 417743 423739 434731 440728
      444724 449719 452713 464693 467687 468682 472669 480649
      483639 484629
 0.50 539187 541180 541172 540162 538152 534141 530133 525125
      516115 514109 511106 508105 506100 505099 504104 503111
      502114 498126 495132 491133 489138 492143 497148 501154
      506160 511166 516171 521181 526188 532192 537190 539187
 0.50 423974 423962 420954 415948 412946 408948 407957 407962
      405965 404973 400979 397986 398989 401992 405991 409988
      412983 420979 423974
 0.50 347993 346989 340988 336991 332994 330997 327000 326005
      328010 333010 338007 342004 344000 347996 347993
 1.00 466637 462636 459637 448644 440649 430659 424667 413673
      395685 389693 378698 376700 375705 379709 383710 388709
      391707 396704 400704 406703 411699 417691 427682 431681
      437681 440681 446679 451675 455671 460665 462660 463655
      466644 466637
 1.00 535176 535169 534161 532154 527145 523139 520136 517138
      515143 512144 503143 502147 504150 508157 514163 519169
      524176 530180 533180 535176
 1.00 448706 446703 443706 441709 439712 438713 437714 434716
      431717 428718 426721 427725 430724 433723 436721 438719
      441717 443714 444713 445710 447707 448706
 1.50 530170 529165 529160 528160 526157 523157 520156 517155
      514157 517160 518162 519164 522166 524168 525170 528171
      530170
 1.50 452650 450649 448649 447649 444651 441653 439655 436657
      434659 433662 432663 431667 430669 430673 434674 437675
      440674 442671 445669 447666 448663 449662 450658 451656
      452653 452650

24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 499617 499628 498640 491658 490662 487667 482676 478683
      475694 468712 461727 457731 455735 449741 442747 434753
      425757 422757 417760 409762 403763 400762 395762 389761
      378755 372749 368746 366742 365739 366735 368728 372724
      376723 386717 393713 401706 401701 398697 390697 384697
      377699 368702 361703 348704 334704 328702 321701 318700
      315697
 0.01 482582 475589 468597 463603 461607 458607 455604 452602
      447600 443598 440600 433606 426613 419620 416625 412628
      408634 405638 401640 395641 393641
 0.01 520269 520264 521260 524256 529243 531239 532231 534222
      535216 538199 538192 542188 546160 548143 547140 547133
      549129 550123 551109 545083 541075 538066 528046 526029
      521021 519016 516014 510007 507000 505995 497990 483983
      479980 476977 474973 472969 468961 464954 457941 452932
      449929 446924 435912 428905 421895 420891 417887 415881
      413879 403865 397864 394865 392869 392873 389884 376881
      373879 370881 373888 376900 374905 371908 367915 365919
      361923 356930 354934 351936 346944 345946 341945 337942
      333942 329943 322942 318942 315944 310948 308955 308961
      306965 301972 295976 293978 287980 277981 272981 270980
      265986 268991 269999 270003 269005 265020 263027 260026
      257028 253029 248024 241020 235019 231024 230027 230033
      234040 240045 245049 251053 255058 265059 266060 269058
      272056 275053 280052 287052 299056 304056 307054 311048
      316042 323038 331033 338028 343021 347016 360006 368002
      377000 393999 407003 413008 419014 428030 433036 438045
      443047 446051 452056 457064 459072 463074 467077 470078
      471082 467089 460093 457095 453095 447100 443108 446118
      442127 440133 437138 435142 434150 436155 439158 446163
      451172 454176 456177 459181 462182 465179 468179 473176
      477177 480178 482182 485190 485197 483200 477207 474206
      470210 468215 463216 460216 457219 465221 473223 475223
      476227 473231 456235 452234 449236 444240 446243 451244
      457242 461243 464242 469241 474243 484247 488252 496262
      500273 502276 506280 516283
 0.01 489130 487126 486125 484122 482125 484127 485130 486131
      489130
 0.01 270807 268802 264802 259803 254806 251808 249812 248816
      250822 252824 255823 259819 260816 265813 268811 270807
 0.25 379652 397651 405648 416642 421636 423631 425628 428628
      432629 440629 444629 449625 459620 464618 469614 478605
      483600 486600 489603 491613 491619 491627 489635 486644
      480656 473668 471674 469680 467691 464702 461715 454728
      447736 436741 427746 420748 416749 407747 400742 419702
      418695 415687 410684 405683 398683 388683 370682 352685
      341687 330687
 0.25 542107 541102 540101 539097 537094 536092 535090 532092
      532093 531097 531101 532102 534107 537111 540111 542107
 0.25 529208 529204 529199 528196 527193 526190 525188 524184
      522182 521180 519182 518183 517186 516190 516195 516197
      517200 519204 520206 521209 524211 527211 529208
 0.25 528174 529169 528168 525166 522165 519166 519167 519168
      521172 521175 524175 527174 528174
 0.25 513237 513232 512230 510227 507226 504227 501227 500228
      500232 499237 499238 501242 501244 504246 507248 509245
      511241 513237
 0.25 515049 515041 513036 508033 501029 496023 492018 487014
      482013 477014 472016 459018 458023 456027 455029 455035
      458043 464047 471049 476051 484068 487070 492070 500070
      503068 506063 508058 515049
 0.25 458005 458000 457996 454990 452977 450967 448958 443946
      432927 428921 424918 419916 416912 411910 405908 402908
      396910 392919 388931 386936 385943 386950 388957 390962
      394967 399976 402982 406985 412991 421999 431004 441007
      445009 449012 453012 457009 458005
 0.25 322992 322989 322986 320984 318986 318988 317990 317993
      318994 321994 322992
 0.25 298011 297010 294010 292010 289011 286012 284015 283016
      284016 287016 289016 292016 293015 295013 297012 298011
 0.25 290040 288038 285038 284037 282037 279037 278038 278041
      280042 282043 285043 288043 290040
 0.25 257039 255038 252036 250035 247034 244036 245039 247041
      250041 252042 255041 257039
 0.50 372657 380656 385656 390658 397660 407656 412653 418649
      429639 437636 447634 457630 461627 466622 475614 481612
      484613 487622 487628 485634 481642 476651 469660 464667
      463673 463680 462687 461699 460710 458717 454723 451727
      445731 427741 416742 411741 407737 405735 407732 411727
      417723 420720 425715 431704 433694 433689 432681 431676
      428673 425670 415671 409672 406672 399670 379672 369672
      361674 349678 340679
 0.50 503049 504045 502042 499038 496032 493029 490025 487023
      484025 481028 479033 479037 479042 482045 485047 488053
      491059 492059 497056 500053 503049
 0.50 444978 443972 442969 439961 437957 437950 434943 428936
      425930 419924 415921 411920 406921 404923 403928 404940
      406950 408956 408962 407970 407975 408980 412984 418990
      423990 424981 425977 428974 434980 441983 444978
 1.00 476627 471627 469629 463632 458636 450640 440643 432647
      427652 425655 427658 432658 441659 448661 452660 457658
      467648 472642 473639 476632 476627
 1.00 456704 456697 452696 445702 442710 438717 433722 427724
      419729 417732 420734 424734 430733 439729 444727 449722
      453718 455714 456706 456704
 1.00 426950 426946 425945 424942 421939 419940 417944 417948
      419951 420952 423951 426950 426950
 1.50 455642 454643 451644 449646 446646 445646 442647 440650
      440651 441651 444651 445651 447651 451650 453648 455644
      455642

$$