000
FXUS04 KWBC 190845
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
443 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 19/1200 UTC THRU MAY 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

MODEL QPF DIFFERENCES ARE NOT AS SIGNIFICANT AS WITH PRIOR
RUNS...HOWEVER STILL SHOW SOME SPATIAL AND TIMING DISPARITIES WITH
THE AREAS OF MAXIMUM RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT ANY
RATE...THE COMBINATION OF AN ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FEED (PW`S  OF 1
TO 1.5 INCHES OR 2-2.5 STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID
MAY) ALONG WITH ROBUST UPPER DYNAMICS WITH THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD AREAS OF MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL.
FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED A BIT BY THE LIKELY CONVECTIVE
CONTRIBUTION THROUGH DAY ONE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST MUCAPES FARTHER SOUTH DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS.
HOWEVER AT THE SAME TIME THE SLOW MOVING...INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY
TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND PROLONGED PERIOD OF FVRBL UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE/AGEOS DIVERGENCE WILL WARRANT SOME HIGH AREAL-AVG
AMOUNTS (1-3") OVER A BROAD AREA FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS E INTO
THE UPPER MS VLY THROUGH DAY 1...MUCH OF WHICH WILL BE ROOTED WITH
THE ONGOING MCS ACTIVITY EARLY SUN MORNING AND AGAIN SUN NIGHT.


...SERN U.S./MID ATLC STATES AND ADJACENT APLCNS...

A WEAK MID/UPPER LVL LO/TROF WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SLOWLY EWD
THRU THE FCST PD AND GENERATE SCTD AREAS OF SHWRS..SOME VRY
HVY..ACROSS THIS RATHER LARGE AREA OF THE NATION.  MODEL QPFS ARE
BEGINNING TO REFLECT THE WKNG UPPER SYSTEM AND ARE NOW SHOWING
LARGER DIFFERENCES AND RUN TO RUN DISCONTINUITIES.  FOR THE QPF
TOOK A BLEND OF THE GEM REGIONAL AND UKMET WHICH HAVE BEEN DOING A
RELATIVELY GOOD JOB TO THIS POINT IN TIME HANDLING THIS SYSTEM.
STILL SOMEWHAT CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR HVY RAINS TNGT
OVR NRN AL/W CNTRL GA WHERE ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE MID/UPR LVL COOL POCKET.


DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A STRONG CLOSED LOW DROPPING SOUTH FROM THE GULF OF AK WILL CROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST DURING DAY 3...RESULTING IN AN
INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE
EVENTUALLY CLUSTERS WITH THIS FEATURE BY DAY 3...SO THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

THE CLOSED LOW COMES ASHORE NEAR THE WA/OR BORDER DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF DAY 3. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BRIEFLY JUMP UP TO
0.75 INCHES AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW...THEN DROP OFF QUICKLY BEHIND
IT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES WEST. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS
PROVIDED IN THE FORM OF DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A
90 KT JET STREAK. THE FLOW FAVORS THE HIGHER TERRAIN FOR QPF...AND
AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE WA/OR
BORDER...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE CASCADES OF WA.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES...

THE CLOSED LOW REMAINING IN PLACE WILL ALLOW HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT
AIR TO BE DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN. THE GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE ON
DAY 2...AND A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS INCLUDED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE  CLUSTERS
WITH THIS FEATURE (AS IT HAS BEEN DOING)...SO THE QPF FORECAST WAS
BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA (MAINLY NORTHERN MN...ND...SN
AND WI)...AN EAST SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL INFLOW CONTINUES TO PUSH
1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR NORTH UP AND OVER A SURFACE FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. THE FRONT BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR QPF...AS
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW ELEVATED CONVECTION ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW. THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE
GENERALLY BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES IN THIS AREA...AND THIS IS CLOSE
TO THE QPF FORECAST FOR THE AREA. THE EXISTING SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS ADJUSTED TO BETTER FOR THE EXPECTED QPF
PATTERN FOR DAY 2.

FURTHER SOUTH...IN THE WARM SECTOR...A SHORT WAVE MOVING NORTH
THROUGH IA/MN WILL SPARK CONVECTION IN THE 1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE
INSTABILITY...AND AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

ON DAY 3...THE INFLOW STARTS TO WANE ACROSS THE QUASI STATIONARY
FRONT AND CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM. AGAIN...MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MN INTO
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WI INTO SOUTHERN MI. IN THIS AREA...A STRIPE
OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES WAS INCLUDED.  THESE NUMBERS ARE CLOSE TO
THE THREE HOURLY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS. FOR NOW...A SLIGHT
RISK AREA WAS NOT ASSIGNED...PENDING CONDITIONS DEVELOPING DURING
DAYS 1 AND 2 IN THIS REGION.

CONVECTION IN THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD PRODUCE A LINEAR AREA OF 0.75
TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF FROM NORTHERN IL THROUGH THE BOOT HEEL OF
MO. THESE NUMBERS ARE BELOW THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS.


...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

A SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL ENCOUNTER
STRONG INSTABILITY AND DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE...RAISING THE
SPECTER FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. BECAUSE OF
THIS...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE RETAINED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR DAY
2. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED WELL IN THIS AREA...AND THE QPF
WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

ON DAY 2...THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE WILL BE THE TRIGGER
CONVECTION... STARTING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. DURING THE
AFTERNOON...THE CONVECTION SHOULD FOCUS ON A COLD
FRONT/DRYLINE...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLOSE TO 1.25
INCHES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A CAP AND SOME INHIBITION IN
PLACE...SO THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED INTO THE
EVENING.

DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THE ACTIVITY SHIFTS TO THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST KS AND
SOUTHWEST MO. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUMP TO NEAR 1.75 INCHES
ON THE NOSE OF THE 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOWING STRONG INSTABILITY WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL TURNING. THERE IS
SOME MODEL SUPPORT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SMALL MCS DURING THIS
TIME. A GENERAL 1.50 TO 2.50 INCH QPF BULLS EYE WAS PLACED IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREA...AND SOME OF THE 00Z MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATED AS MUCH AS 4 OR 5 INCHES OF RAIN. DUE TO THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND POTENTIAL FOR AS MUCH AS 5 INCHES OF RAIN IN
THE POSSIBLE COMPLEX...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS
PLACED ACROSS NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST KS AND SOUTHWEST MO.

ON DAY 3...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW APPROACHES OK AND KS.
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS PROVIDED VIA STRONG DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT
REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK...AND STRONG INSTABILITY AND
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS
AGAIN SOME MODEL INDICATION THAT A SMALL MCS COULD FORM ON THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...THIS TIME FURTHER SOUTHEAST INTO
NORTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST AR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.50 TO 2.00
INCHES WERE PLACED IN THE MOST PROBABLE LOCATION OF ORGANIZED
DEVELOPMENT...AND THE 00Z MODEL SUITE DID NOT HIT THIS AREA AS
HARD AS THE DAY 2 AREA. SO...FOR NOW...NO SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS
ASSIGNED.


...MID ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND...

A VACILLATING FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
AND THE MID ATLANTIC STATES FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE QPF
FORECAST WAS SKEWED TOWARD THE 00Z GFS/UKMET...AS THE 00Z ECMWF
SEEMED TOO FAST TRYING TO RETURN THE FRONT NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND
DURING DAY 3.

ON DAY 2...A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ME.
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS PROVIDED IN THE FORM OF DIVERGENCE IN THE
LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 110 KNOT JET STREAK CROSSING QUEBEC.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAK NEAR 1.25 INCHES (WHICH IS CLOSE TO
TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DATE) ON A 40 TO
50 KNOT SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW. MODEL SOUNDINGS DO NOT SHOW MUCH
IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY...SO AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS EASTERN ME.

ON DAY 3...THE POSITION OF THE FRONT WILL DICTATE THE COVERAGE OF
QPF ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. THE FRONT
DROPS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SOUTH OF THE
FRONT SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY...BUT NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISE TO NEAR 1.25 INCHES
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT...AND AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS PA INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NJ. FURTHER
NORTH...WARM AIR ADVECTION OVER THE FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA
OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF...MAINLY LATE IN DAY 3.


...FL...

A SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL CROSS NORTHERN FL DURING
DAY 2... ENHANCING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OUTSIDE OF THE USUAL SEA
BREEZE REGIME. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED FAIRLY WELL WITH THE
SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW...AND THE QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON
A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

A SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL CROSS NORTHERN FL DURING
DAY 2... RESULTING IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IN A REGIME MORE SUITED
TO CONVECTION BASED ON THE SEA BREEZE REGIME. THE SHORT WAVE WILL
ALLOW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FL...WHERE
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN A WEAKLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. FURTHER SOUTH...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW APPEARS TO
SUPPORT A MORE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE CONVECTION SCENARIO...AND
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS THE EAST COAST OF THE
PENINSULA TO COVER BOTH THE SHORT WAVE PASSAGE AND THE SEA BREEZE
CONVECTION.

ON DAY 3...THE FLOW REVERTS BACK TO A MORE SEA BREEZE ORIENTED
CONVECTION PATTERN. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES VALUES NEAR 1.50
INCHES SUGGESTS THAT THE CONVECTION COULD LAST THROUGH ABOUT
00Z...AND ONCE AGAIN FAVOR THE EAST COAST. ANOTHER 0.25 TO 0.50
INCH QPF AREA WAS PLACED ALONG THE EAST COAST.


HURLEY/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 538740 526780 516824 498848 498853 499858 500869 500875
      514960 514969 512973 511984 510990 505022 503026 503031
      503041 506059 499069 496071 497073 502081 514106 519121
      523128 525130 526135 527142 528145 533151 537160 538162
      537168 537175 539181 538183 533189 529190 524189 520192
      514192 507189 501187 496184 493181 489181 483179 480177
      477173 475172 471168 463168 459169 454166 452163 456155
      464156 469153 479154 483153 484147 483143 481141 477137
      472132 468128 459122 456122 454124 449127 441135 441138
      443141 447145 444150 441153 435153 433149 430148 427143
      421135 416130 414128 411128 405130 403133 404138 410148
      410153 406156 398148 390146 389142 382130 378120 379115
      382114 387114 390113 393106 393097 390093 385090 380087
      378083 375073 375068 382066 380061 376056 375054 378050
      381049 383046 386042 388037 386033 383035 378032 376027
      373023 372015 366001 370990 370985 369982 362982 356981
      352979 339980 333973 335970 335967 337963 341958 348957
      368920 374918 381916 391912 395910 399906 403903 407902
      409898 412898 415898 417895 418888 426880 426877 427875
      434872 439868 442865 444862 447859 448855 451849 454841
      456833 458817 462805 462801 461800 455801 452803 450808
      446810 439813 435811 434807 436802 438797 439796 446792
      446788 445784 442775 440771 438775 437781 430792 422798
      421802 418804 413818 411823 410827 410831 399836 392841
      383851 380855 379862 378868 379878 378881 375884 369886
      364884 359884 353883 344879 335874 331870 326864 324860
      322854 319848 315846 311841 309837 305833 300833 298836
      292835 288830 284828 273826 263824 258822 253818 250815
      249809 253801 257797 259795 268799 274798 277799 285796
      289796 292797 296796 301797 311797 315794 318790 323773
      331770 335766 341762 333747 334745 337742 343738 356731
      365722 370718 371714 375703 380692 385681 388670 391659
      398654 404653 414653 419652 426649 434650 438652 444652
      454654 476658 487662 493664 498663 504665 508664 511665
      516667 522673 538740
 0.01 485218 484218 482215 479212 476210 473209 472210 470212
      467211 466213 464215 462216 463219 466220 469221 472221
      475221 478221 481220 484219 485218
 0.01 437758 436754 434754 428755 425754 419756 414759 409764
      408767 408770 411778 412781 415783 420780 426777 428775
      430771 432766 434763 436761 437758
 0.25 498684 484678 477673 468670 460668 452668 443670 432677
      415683 405689 400694 398699 397704 397709 400715 404716
      409718 413718 416720 421717 425714 425709 425704 428704
      431704 432707 434709 435707 436704 438704 443717 449722
      453729 456732 459738 461745 464753 467760 474768 482775
      483776 479781 476785 476792 477802 480811 483817 486820
      489820 494817 498814 500808 501803 500798 496790 494782
      492779 501738 497709 499705 500698 499690 498684
 0.25 527174 525163 523156 521151 516142 509133 503127 499122
      497121 494118 495112 493104 496105 497102 496097 494091
      492088 485081 480072 478066 477063 478059 484052 488042
      490028 493002 499978 500971 500962 498945 497929 497913
      495899 492884 491876 488868 485853 481841 478841 476843
      473849 470856 467868 464876 458883 438893 434902 431906
      426909 418913 410919 401923 394926 384930 375935 368943
      363951 360959 361966 365973 373975 381978 389983 394985
      397988 403996 409000 416002 420003 424006 425009 423012
      417018 414022 413027 412036 413044 412048 410054 404062
      403072 407076 418080 420089 425098 429100 435101 441100
      455111 464112 475115 481116 491116 495121 495127 497144
      498149 500154 507160 516171 521175 527174
 0.25 400721 397719 396719 393719 390719 387719 386722 386725
      383727 383728 384731 386733 386734 389737 390737 393737
      396735 398733 400730 401729 402725 401724 400721
 0.25 388785 388780 386775 381772 378772 374775 368776 366772
      365766 363763 361764 353773 350776 346779 338781 331785
      328789 324795 323801 321807 317812 314814 310816 306817
      306821 311826 316829 326834 335839 341843 346845 348848
      348852 341856 339859 339862 343866 348867 355866 361866
      366863 369857 370851 379825 379808 387798 387790 388785
 0.25 356748 355745 352744 350746 349748 351751 352752 355751
      356748
 0.25 304820 297814 289812 282812 273812 268811 264809 261809
      259810 257813 261816 264817 273818 279820 288821 293821
      297823 300822 304820
 0.50 482722 481713 479706 473691 471687 469684 466682 458678
      451675 448675 445678 443681 442687 444694 451708 456718
      462731 468738 471739 474738 479733 481728 482722
 0.50 494923 493911 492897 490891 488886 485879 482873 478866
      475863 472867 470873 463889 453898 446903 443908 439914
      433919 426921 417923 412926 403927 381935 369945 364957
      367968 375971 385971 420987 430996 437993 439995 440001
      437008 433012 423020 420025 418030 418036 421045 421052
      420060 421069 425074 430076 437079 442080 444082 447088
      450096 452098 455098 460095 464095 467098 473099 478095
      478089 476085 473078 468072 467064 470058 474053 479046
      484030 487013 489001 491995 494986 495978 495964 495947
      493931 494923
 0.50 374796 373791 370789 364788 351787 345787 337789 330795
      327799 326807 323812 319818 319822 321824 328825 334829
      343836 349839 355841 360840 364835 367828 367819 369813
      372805 374796
 1.00 471717 470713 469712 465713 465716 467718 468718 471718
      471717
 1.00 488907 488898 485891 481887 477887 468894 460902 453910
      446919 441929 438939 434944 430947 426950 421952 417951
      412949 408949 405950 403954 406957 411960 415960 425963
      433965 439966 443969 451975 455978 457985 456993 455997
      453002 450007 443015 438019 434021 429024 427029 430044
      429047 429055 441069 444075 448080 452083 456080 459066
      461060 464055 470046 475034 481009 483995 488983 489975
      489967 489952 488937 487925 488907
 1.00 393953 393949 392945 390943 387943 384944 382944 381944
      378944 377945 376946 373949 371953 371955 370957 372960
      375961 377961 380960 383960 386959 388957 389957 391955
      393953
 1.00 357804 358800 355798 352798 349797 344796 339796 335800
      333804 331808 331812 334818 338820 341822 344823 349819
      352817 355813 357808 357804
 1.50 483909 482903 479899 472899 465904 458908 448924 446928
      446935 447941 449944 451947 450950 445951 440953 438955
      444958 453958 460963 464970 469981 473988 477985 480982
      482978 483971 485959 485948 483933 482918 483909
 1.50 470025 471016 469010 466010 463011 459013 451018 443023
      438028 438032 436036 436040 436048 438055 441058 450064
      455059 457055 462047 467036 470025
 1.50 383951 382950 379951 378952 379952 382952 383951
 2.00 478933 476926 473921 469917 467914 464910 459912 457916
      454920 452926 451931 454935 459936 462937 468935 474936
      477935 478933
 2.00 462030 460026 457026 452029 446029 441032 438036 438040
      440044 442048 444051 446052 448052 453048 455043 458039
      460034 462030

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 408626 406630 402635 400639 398645 392653 391663 391673
      392678 391683 392689 395696 399703 401709 397715 396720
      396725 392729 386729 380732 370738 366740 363740 358743
      354747 348751 339759 335764 330767 316781 307786 297789
      288790 282789 267782 252771 247771 239774 238779 238785
      240787 242793 244798 242801 239804 237808 233819 243825
      259825 291831 307839 316835 319834 321836 324838 341844
      344840 350837 361829 363835 368834 370829 374821 379818
      382820 388816 394808 397805 399808 399815 399825 399840
      399857 382875 377878 374881 365886 359897 355905 329971
      326973 318976 305978 297985 290990 289996 294997 306999
      309003 311007 316008 319006 322003 324002 327999 330996
      335995 343992 353991 374990 380990 382989 385991 388991
      391993 391995 387001 386007 382013 376010 367014 363018
      362021 361030 362037 363044 365050 366066 370075 370083
      372088 375092 378094 383095 386093 391092 396093 397101
      397104 395108 389115 388120 393117 398118 411118 419112
      440121 443125 445131 445133 460135 467138 471141 474140
      480142 486148 491149 497150 503153 506156 512163 527175
      533176 536170 535160 532155 526142 520130 508110 503108
      498103 493098 490097 488094 494078 498063 502036 503028
      504019 505013 505006 505941 507933 506925 504904 501878
      501872 500858 499849 499841 496821 492804 487787 484779
      482775 479769 476761 471747 470743 470738 472734 475722
      477717 478711 480704 483698 484695 488690 492685 493680
      496678 499673 499665 499658 498653 498648 496642 496635
      492623 489618 487618 483613 478610 472607 462606 459601
      455598 449597 444597 441598 439600 433606 429606
 0.01 518268 519259 518251 517248 515245 512242 512237 509233
      503231 497230 495234 495240 491239 488235 485235 482237
      478240 472239 469240 462239 457242 447244 438248 432248
      428251 427257 428264 431269 434272 437277 439280 439285
      439289 441294 447296 449295 453295 456293 460293 470287
      489284 492282 495283 498281 505283 510281 514273 518268
 0.01 315894 312891 303893 301894 299897 296902 294905 294909
      293913 297919 301924 306929 313929 313926 312921 310912
      312905 314897 315894
 0.25 473666 471658 467653 464650 460642 457633 454629 450626
      442624 432624 425626 420628 415633 408641 402651 400656
      400660 400666 401673 407685 412693 413697 416697 419695
      423689 429682 433682 438685 444688 453696 456697 461694
      465688 467682 471673 473666
 0.25 511260 511256 510250 507247 505248 505253 503256 497254
      495251 491250 482249 473253 466260 464264 464268 467269
      477266 484264 493260 498261 504263 511260
 0.25 492841 489824 488816 485808 481798 475787 470783 467778
      459770 454766 451764 447765 444769 438775 433794 430799
      427802 424804 420804 415803 412804 411807 411813 412820
      415837 415851 411861 406868 401875 400880 400888 401897
      401903 400906 398908 392908 388908 382910 370910 364915
      361924 357932 352940 345951 342961 341973 342979 345981
      348982 354983 362980 372976 379970 385961 390951 394941
      400932 403927 405923 409920 415920 418920 421920 424922
      426930 423955 421970 417984 410003 405012 398018 394021
      392027 390040 390068 392072 397076 400077 406076 425084
      427084 433081 437078 441076 456090 461089 464085 465082
      466074 468065 470060 474052 481041 486030 490018 494000
      495987 496974 497958 497943 496923 496902 496886 495872
      492841
 0.25 382761 380756 378752 372751 364754 354758 346762 342767
      336774 330780 324786 319789 310794 301797 289797 276795
      264793 256791 253794 251797 253804 256810 259813 263813
      266813 269811 271809 274809 280809 286814 293817 298817
      306815 312809 316807 320806 332810 339812 345815 353810
      357806 363799 367792 373786 377780 381764 382761
 0.50 460667 459663 456659 452654 450651 449647 447640 444636
      437634 433634 426635 417638 414641 409649 408655 409663
      414668 419670 430664 435666 439670 444674 451674 455674
      458671 460667
 0.50 489842 487830 484818 482812 476806 468801 463796 456791
      453790 451790 451794 449811 447818 444824 436831 430833
      426836 423844 421851 408878 410890 410901 410906 412909
      415910 420909 425904 429898 431896 431891 429879 427872
      427868 429863 432861 440861 444861 445864 446874 449880
      449890 448893 443895 438897 435898 438907 442917 444929
      446940 446945 444947 433957 432962 432970 429980 424994
      412023 412033 413043 415053 419060 423063 427063 433060
      440057 445056 448058 453059 458051 462044 465041 470038
      474034 478026 483010 486001 488989 490977 490965 491944
      491922 491908 491896 491869 490855 489842
 0.50 372770 370767 365766 361765 356765 351766 346770 340778
      336785 332790 336793 339794 343800 345802 348804 350800
      353792 358785 365778 372770
 0.50 397925 393921 386918 381917 376917 372919 367923 363930
      355942 348954 346958 344963 344969 346973 349975 356976
      371971 376967 380961 387947 393934 397925
 1.00 485853 484842 480831 477829 475829 469835 462840 455839
      452841 451845 453851 455856 458864 462872 465883 466890
      465895 464898 461901 459909 456917 457922 460921 464915
      466911 471909 474912 476911 481905 483898 485886 485867
      485853
 1.00 483967 483966 483962 480958 479959 477962 477964 475968
      475973 476977 476981 479985 482980 483976 483971 483967
      483967
 1.00 453027 453018 450014 446012 440012 434014 430016 427021
      424025 424029 426033 429036 432037 438040 441041 444039
      449035 452031 453027
 1.00 387935 387932 386929 383925 379924 373926 369928 366933
      361941 357949 352957 351960 350964 352967 361967 366967
      372964 377956 381948 385939 387935
 1.50 381940 381935 379930 374931 368936 365940 361946 358952
      356960 358963 360963 364963 369961 373957 376951 379944
      381940
 2.00 378941 377937 372938 369940 367944 364948 362952 360956
      360959 366958 369957 372953 374949 376945 378941

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 496757 490744 486734 482728 478722 473715 464702 455691
      447682 441674 436669 435668 432671 431676 430682 427687
      423687 418685 400685 397681 393676 386674 379664 375663
      374668 372671 370677 369685 371691 371707 371721 366722
      360724 348733 341741 338748 335753 332757 330762 327771
      326775 322780 319783 316779 312778 307777 298777 294774
      291770 282762 275758 266753 261749 259747 255747 246745
      241744 237744 227743 221750 219756 220761 228780 231789
      237798 240801 240806 245812 252818 260824 267827 272830
      277834 286837 291842 297843 301847 302851 306857 309853
      314850 316847 319845 331845 337843 341844 347843 350839
      355836 357831 361824 366813 372809 376808 379812 380818
      378823 376829 376833 375838 376847 373861 365871 364873
      360873 357876 348886 345890 341893 330895 326893 320895
      315894 311895 307896 305899 302900 295902 294904 294908
      297923 298929 297934 294942 292952 290957 289961 287967
      284971 280974 276979 269989 266993 260996 248000 242001
      237005 242009 250013 255013 259015 264017 267020 273026
      279025 281023 289019 296014 300011 304006 310999 317992
      326983 329978 334974 336973 338974 341975 345973 351962
      360953 366946 369942 376939 394928 409924 413926 417932
      420936 420940 418943 415945 413949 408958 404964 401968
      393968 389973 385976 382984 380989 378996 373004 375008
      376014 383014 387014 390016 397023 402026 406030 412038
      417038 420038 423041 422046 419047 413047 398048 392042
      386042 384045 380045 372039 366033 360036 361041 366047
      369051 372051 375054 381055 386055 389057 394059 397064
      401076 406073 410076 415076 418068 423065 427068 430069
      432072 438074 443075 446078 450081 454081 454073 450068
      444060 442057 442052 442044 445042 448041 456041 462040
      466037 471033 475030 479029 485018 490000 494991 496983
      499968 501961 500951 498929 497919 496911 492891 491880
      489867 486847 486834 489824 493818 495811 499799 500794
      500787 501782 500774 496763 496757
 0.01 519273 521264 523254 526234 527225 526217 519210 506190
      501182 497172 496165 493159 487149 478133 473128 468126
      464129 461133 456139 453145 450149 443157 441162 438167
      436171 434178 433192 428205 426208 425215 425219 421221
      415223 411226 407231 405237 399237 397239 396245 398249
      401252 406256 408261 411272 413277 413283 414287 417291
      419295 423295 426297 438301 445304 448302 451303 457305
      466305 470303 477306 484305 491301 496301 500296 506287
      510285 513281 519273
 0.01 379743 377740 376736 373734 372739 370742 369745 368746
      366748 365751 366754 367757 369760 371762 372763 375765
      377763 380761 381758 380754 379751 378747 379743
 0.01 302807 301807 298807 296806 295806 294807 296809 297809
      299811 302809 302807
 0.25 514261 516246 516240 516231 514222 511215 506207 501201
      493189 482175 478169 475167 470169 468172 467175 468177
      470181 473188 478194 480203 480205 477208 474211 472211
      465210 461214 462221 457223 455225 452226 448220 441219
      434221 430226 424230 418233 416235 416239 418243 421245
      426249 430251 435253 444253 457253 469247 477250 485252
      493258 500261 505263 509263 514261
 0.25 490776 488767 485763 481760 475762 472764 470768 470774
      469779 472787 474790 479792 483791 487787 489781 490776
 0.25 454706 453705 450706 447708 445711 444713 445716 447716
      449714 452713 453711 454708 454706
 0.25 499246 496241 494235 491230 489227 484223 481222 476220
      476225 477226 481231 484236 487240 492243 495247 499246
 0.25 482868 482860 481855 480850 477844 475835 470817 465801
      462796 459792 452789 444787 440785 437780 430771 427765
      424760 421755 417750 412745 409742 405742 400745 399748
      398752 397764 395774 395778 396787 398800 403811 410818
      411823 409829 406839 405844 403848 397853 389860 385866
      384872 377874 373877 370881 365887 358894 353901 346906
      338912 331920 324928 320936 314942 308946 305950 304955
      305962 306965 304967 299973 289980 282985 280990 284991
      295991 306990 311988 314987 320982 323979 325974 329969
      333967 339965 344962 350955 355948 361942 373931 392918
      400913 411911 416911 420914 425921 429931 432944 433952
      432957 428973 428977 429986 433997 437006 440011 443012
      447011 451007 457000 459995 461987 464981 467978 474974
      477970 480966 481959 482953 482944 481936 480929 481917
      481900 480892 481882 482868
 0.25 444740 442737 441737 441738 440742 440743 443742 444740
 0.25 473899 473890 470882 468878 464872 461870 459874 458882
      460890 462898 463906 465912 467909 471904 473899
 0.25 459181 458177 457174 456172 454171 452172 451172 449175
      447179 446183 445187 445191 445195 446196 447200 448200
      449200 451199 454197 454196 456193 457189 458185 459182
      459181
 0.25 285791 277784 269781 259778 253782 250785 247790 247794
      250799 252801 253804 254808 256812 259815 263817 267818
      271818 274816 276811 275806 273803 271800 274798 279795
      285791
 0.50 511246 511236 507226 508221 506216 504214 501210 495204
      493197 488195 484196 486201 489206 492211 493216 493221
      494230 497236 502243 506248 510248 511246
 0.50 454239 452237 449237 447237 448239 451240 454239
 0.50 455926 456915 454904 452894 449889 443878 441868 441862
      443858 441853 437844 434838 431833 429830 426830 421834
      417844 413857 410862 409864 405865 402866 397867 392877
      387879 381879 374882 371886 365893 358902 354907 349911
      339917 332924 327931 322943 314951 309957 309961 313964
      316968 318972 322972 331964 341960 348952 354942 357938
      362934 370927 372924 378920 383918 388912 393909 399906
      411904 418901 425901 428905 432913 433920 435928 437936
      439943 441948 443958 445964 449963 450960 452953 454947
      455926
 0.50 425782 423777 418773 415772 409775 405780 403784 404789
      405797 408803 412803 418802 422796 423792 424787 425782
 0.50 428239 431236 428233 425233 423234 422235 421237 422238
      425239 427239 428239
 1.00 503234 503233 500230 500233 503234 503234
 1.00 450931 450927 449923 448919 448918 448920 447924 446926
      446928 446933 446937 447941 448944 449940 450936 450934
      450931
 1.00 413882 413878 411877 408878 406880 403880 401882 400883
      398887 398890 399891 400890 401888 404887 407886 410886
      412883 413882
 1.00 387894 386890 384887 380887 375890 373892 370895 367900
      366904 365911 368915 374914 376911 379908 382903 385898
      387894
 1.00 359927 359923 357921 354920 348921 344924 336928 331934
      327945 325952 322957 322962 327963 329961 332957 336954
      341952 344949 349943 354936 359927
 1.50 351933 350929 347929 346930 345931 342933 339934 338935
      337938 336939 338943 340945 341946 344945 346943 348940
      349940 351936 351935 351933
 2.00 349937 348936 345936 344938 346939 348937 349937

$$