Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210900
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT SAT OCT 21 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 21/1200 UTC THRU OCT 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AN IMPRESSIVE AND LONG DURATION ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL
IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD. RAINFALL
RATES THIS MORNING WILL INITIALLY BE LIGHT IN THE BROAD WARM AIR
ADVECTION REGIME WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW NOT IDEALLY SITUATED INTO THE
TERRAIN. HOWEVER BY THIS AFTERNOON RAINFALL RATES WILL INCREASE AS
LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE WESTERLY AND OROGRAPHIC ASCENT IS THUS
MAXIMIZED. THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AXIS WILL FLUCTUATE A BIT TO THE
NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN BACK SOUTH TONIGHT...WHICH WILL
SHIFT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL RATES FROM OR EARLY TODAY...INTO WA
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND THEN BACK SOUTH INTO OR BY LATER
TONIGHT.

THE ANOMALIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVENT ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE. LOW
LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW...INTEGRATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT...AND PWAT
VALUES...WILL ALL BE NEAR THEIR CLIMATOLOGICAL MAXIMUM VALUES FOR
AT LEAST A PORTION OF THIS EVENT. THUS THE IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL
TOTALS SEEN IN THE GUIDANCE ARE LEGITIMATE. ANTICIPATE PRETTY
WIDESPREAD 0.25" IN AN HOUR TOTALS ACROSS THE WESTERN WA/OR
TERRAIN...WITH RATES MAXIMIZING NEAR 0.75" IN AN HOUR IN THE MOST
PRONE UPSLOPE REGIONS. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY SHOULD
BE IN THE 4-6" RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE WA/OR COASTAL RANGES AND THE
CASCADES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 6-8"...WITH 1-2" MORE
COMMON OUTSIDE OF THE TERRAIN. THIS ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL
HAVE A PRETTY GOOD INLAND EXTENT...THUS ANTICIPATING 1-2" THROUGH
12Z SUNDAY INTO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AS WELL...WITH A
GOOD PORTION OF THIS FALLING AS RAIN AS SNOW LEVELS RISE THROUGH
THE DAY.

OVERALL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS EVENT. WPC QPF
THUS FOLLOWS CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS WITH MORE WEIGHTING
GIVEN THE TO THE HIGHER RES GUIDANCE. IN GENERAL CHANGES FROM
CONTINUITY WERE MINIMAL.


...FLORIDA...

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED TO THE CURRENT POST FRONTAL EAST
NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW REGIME ACROSS FL DAY 1.  SCATTERED
SHOWERS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OFF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND ACROSS THE
PENINSULA THIS PERIOD. SOME HIGHER PWAT AIR BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH TO THE WEST...AND THIS MAY FOCUS
SOME HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR THE FL KEYS...ALTHOUGH CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE HEAVIEST TOTALS REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF THE
KEYS.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT STEADILY PROGRESSING EAST AS
WELL. WILL HAVE PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
PLAINS AND MS VALLEY OUT AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES...WITH PRETTY
GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT SEEN AS WELL. THUS THE COMBINATION OF
DIURNAL HEATING...FALLING HEIGHTS AND STRONG SURFACE CONVERGENCE
ALONG/NEAR THE FRONT...WILL LIKELY ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
ALONG THE FRONT EXTENDING FROM IA SOUTHWEST INTO TX. OVERALL THE
FRONT AND TROUGH WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE DAY 1
PERIOD...WHICH SHOULD MEAN THE CONVECTION SHOULD ALSO BE STEADILY
PUSHED EAST. THIS FORWARD MOTION SHOULD CAP THE MAGNITUDE OF
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT CAN BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER THE ANOMALOUS PWATS
IN PLACE AND THE EXPECTED WIDESPREAD NATURE OF CONVECTION WILL
STILL SUPPORT SOME HEAVY RATES AND A BROAD AREA OF 1-2" EXTENDING
FROM PORTIONS OF KS/MO SOUTH INTO TX.

DO HOWEVER THINK THERE IS SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR BRIEF TRAINING OF
CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING DURING THE
FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF THE EVENT. MEAN WINDS ARE PARALLEL TO THE
FRONT...SO COULD IMAGINE THAT WE SEE SOME REPEAT CONVECTION FOR A
PERIOD ACROSS NORTHEAST TX INTO EASTERN OK/KS...BEFORE THE
CONVECTIVE LINE ORGANIZES AND PROPAGATES MORE QUICKLY OFF TO THE
EAST. THUS DO THINK SOME ISOLATED 2-4" AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THESE AREAS.

OVERALL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM. WPC THUS
USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET ALONG WITH VARIOUS HIGH RES
SOLUTIONS TO GENERATE QPF. THIS RESULTS IN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
AMOUNTS FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT GENERALLY ONLY MINOR
CHANGES IN THE AXIS. ONE AREA OF UNCERTAINTY IS THE SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF CONVECTION ACROSS TX. THE VARIOUS HIGH RES GUIDANCE SHOW
A WIDE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS. TENDED TO LEAN THE FORECAST TOWARDS THE
HRW ARW2 OVER THIS AREA...AS DO THINK THAT THE CONVECTIVE LINE HAS
A GOOD CHANCE OF EXTENDING FURTHER SOUTH INTO TX THAN IS
ADVERTISED BY SOME OF THE OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS.


DAYS 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/NORTHERN
ROCKIES...

AN ONGOING ATMOSPHERIC RIVER INTO THE OR COAST DIMINISHES SUNDAY
AS RIDGING UPSTREAM/OFFSHORE REDIRECTS ENHANCED MOISTURE WELL
NORTH TO BC BY SUNDAY NIGHT. SEVERAL HOURS OF CONTINUED ABOVE
NORMAL PW (1.25 INCH PW IS 2-3 SIGMA ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE SOUTHERN
OR COAST) AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAKE FOR A FEW MORE INCHES
OF RAIN IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OR COAST RANGES AND CASCADES.
WILL MAINTAIN THE MARGINAL THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN FOR DAY 2
(12Z SUN-12Z MON) FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL CASCADES OF OR. WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET WITH NOTED
SIMILARITIES IN THEIR PRECIPITATION DEPICTION.

ENHANCED MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM EAST WITH NOTABLE PRECIP
PARTICULARLY ON EASTERN SLOPES OF THE REST OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES OF WY/MT FOR DAY 2. RIDGING PUSHES INLAND
ON DAY 3 WITH PRECIP ENDING IN SHORT ORDER FOR THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES MONDAY.


...SOUTHEAST NORTH TO GREAT LAKES...

A DEEP TROUGH SPANNING THE GREAT PLAINS SUNDAY MORNING WILL DRIFT
EAST TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY MONDAY MORNING WITH INTERACTION WITH A
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. ANOMALOUS POLEWARD MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE DEEP
TROUGH WILL BRING PW WITH STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES 2.5 TO 3 SIGMA
ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES.

THE 00Z NAM REMAINS AN OUTLIER DUE TO SLOW MOTION/EARLIER
MID-LEVEL CLOSING AND WAS NOT CONSIDERED FOR THE QPF BLEND. THE
WPC QPF IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF/UKMET.

CERTAINTY IS GREATER FOR DAY 2 WITH SIMPLY TROUGH MOVEMENT TO
CONSIDER. 2-4 INCH AREAL AVERAGE FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO
THE LITTLE EGYPT AREA OF FAR SOUTHERN IL. A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS MAINTAINED FOR THIS AREA. A LACK OF
INSTABILITY NORTH OF THERE LIMITS THE EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT
DESPITE THE ENHANCED MOISTURE.

TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE MERGING/PHASING OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM
VORT AND NORTHERN STREAM LOW IS UNCERTAIN WITH THE 00Z ECMWF
HAVING THE GREATEST PHASE BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE 00Z GFS
MAINTAINING DISTINCT FEATURES THROUGH THIS TIME. THE 00Z UKMET IS
SIMILAR TO THE 00Z ECMWF SO THESE TWO WERE GIVEN THE MOST WEIGHT
IN THE BLEND.

STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAY 3 AHEAD OF THE
LOW/TROUGH REACHING WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC MONDAY
NIGHT. OF PARTICULAR NOTE IS THE FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WHICH WITH MODEST INSTABILITY LEADS TO ENHANCED
RAINFALL OVER SOUTHERN/EASTERN SLOPES. THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
TO THE TV VALLEY WERE INCLUDED IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL. WHILE SIMILAR RAINFALL 2-3 INCHES ON AVERAGE ARE
POSSIBLE ALL THE WAY THROUGH MI THE MORE STRATIFORM NATURE OF THE
RAIN NORTH OF THE OH RIVER LIMITS THE RISK AND THUS A MARGINAL
RISK WAS INTRODUCED FOR THE MIDWEST STATES.


CHENARD/JACKSON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 524262 527246 532232 537215 540210 540203 540200 537185
      534181 531175 528168 524163 520158 518155 514153 510150
      507145 503141 499138 495136 493133 489129 484124 477122
      473120 467119 462122 459126 453129 447129 442133 437138
      434140 429139 425135 422135 421138 415150 411164 415176
      414184 417189 419196 415200 415215 409227 406229 399229
      397231 396235 396242 400248 406251 423266 427279 428289
      429292 433294 437294 441294 444296 445302 448306 449309
      453310 457308 467301 483286 485284 488287 492292 494296
      497298 500300 504299 509297 513291
 0.01 515892 515876 514874 511872 507869 499865 494856 492850
      491848 488848 483851 478852 477855 477861 476873 474879
      468880 463881 459882 447884 440885 434883 428878 419873
      412865 402871 396874 394876 389876 384877 382880 381884
      379884 373886 365890 360892 356894 348901 345905 341910
      337913 333906 330908 326908 322907 320905 319898 322893
      321888 318883 314881 307876 305871 301872 299874 294881
      289878 284874 279865 277861 274859 271863 269869 269872
      266873 261875 255881 254892 255899 257904 260911 264917
      270926 273929 275933 282940 285944 286947 285951 278955
      268960 266964 269968 276976 278978 276982 272986 288020
      299022 302023 303026 307025 311021 315016 318011 320007
      322004 325007 327012 329014 334011 340004 343000 346997
      358998 361996 365992 372984 377978 382976 389971 397964
      401961 403959 405962 405969 407973 417978 421980 428981
      432979 438978 445977 451974 457969 462967 468965 477961
      486957 494952 497947 502945 507944 511939 514934 514921
      513914 514908 515892
 0.01 495100 496094 494091 488086 486084 483080 480074 477071
      474071 472072 474074 480079 481083 481090 479092 479097
      482098 487101 491106 493107 494102 495100
 0.01 497990 495985 491984 489982 485982 479982 467981 463984
      458988 450992 445993 439995 429999 420005 413010 408013
      404019 402023 402028 403030 407031 409029 412029 433024
      456020 475012 482007 485001 488000 490998 493998 495995
      497990
 0.01 471108 470105 468105 465104 462101 460101 460104 461106
      463109 464112 465114 466114 466110 468108 469110 471108
 0.01 457120 455115 454111 455105 456101 453095 450092 445095
      439095 437096 433095 430091 427091 427095 429100 428103
      425104 424107 424111 420116 423121 423129 429130 433126
      436122 438121 442122 444124 446124 451119 453121 457120
 0.01 412071 412070 410068 408068 407067 405067 403067 405068
      406070 408070 410071 412071 412071
 0.01 317815 317811 316807 312800 311795 312792 311788 308784
      302781 299784 297788 292789 285786 279784 276784 273785
      265786 259786 256785 244792 241791 236791 227795 225797
      226800 229806 231828 234835 238841 242848 247854 253857
      258854 264849 268842 270835 267828 263821 262817 263813
      271810 279809 288812 291814 293818 298822 300824 304824
      306828 309831 311831 312824 317815
 0.25 531213 532209 532203 530195 526182 522172 519166 512163
      507158 504153 499147 495143 492137 481127 474125 470124
      468130 468138 472143 462138 459134 457136 453136 452140
      449143 448147 444147 440147 435149 432151 431155 435162
      437167 437171 437176 434182 431184 427184 424186 426189
      431190 433197 436203 437206 436208 434213 431213 427213
      425215 422219 420224 426230 408233 404238 402242 404244
      408243 410246 417251 430256 433257 434260 437267 440275
      446280 451280 457278 466271 470267 472266 476266 485271
      489275 494281 500286 505287 511284 518273 520269 522264
      522258 522254 519245 516237 514230 511223 507218 504212
      503207 503201 505197 508198 513202 518207 521211 524214
      529216 531213
 0.25 485230 484228 482227 482226 481229 482230 483232 485230
 0.25 491874 491871 491868 491866 491865 490863 489861 488861
      487862 486864 486865 485866 485869 486871 486874 486876
      488878 489877 490876 491874 491874
 0.25 459197 460195 459193 459192 458191 456190 455191 454194
      454196 453196 453198 452201 453202 454201 455201 456200
      458200 458199 459197
 0.25 468915 467907 464902 460899 454899 447902 442905 429907
      427904 424897 422896 418897 414899 409896 403896 392903
      388905 385906 381905 380901 378900 372901 361905 355910
      350913 341919 337922 333926 315941 312944 309950 305954
      302957 296960 293965 292973 290981 288985 289994 291999
      295002 300014 306015 307013 308009 309003 313998 322995
      328991 333995 335996 339996 344993 349991 353992 355996
      357996 360994 364990 367984 371979 377975 392963 401956
      407953 414951 423946 429945 432945 438943 443940 452932
      462927 468915
 0.25 445116 446114 446111 445109 444106 442104 441104 439105
      437105 435106 434107 433109 434112 435112 436113 437112
      438112 439112 440113 441115 442115 443117 445117 445116
 0.25 427208 426207 424206 423207 424208 425210 425211 426211
      427209 427208
 0.25 312930 311924 310919 308917 303913 301907 296903 292897
      289891 284887 274882 268882 266885 265888 267893 271898
      275903 278910 282914 288918 299918 303918 307919 308924
      309930 312930
 0.25 300811 300808 300806 298805 296806 295807 296809 297810
      297811 299813 300811
 0.25 290929 290928 288928 288929 290929 290929
 0.25 265802 265796 262792 258791 253794 251797 246800 242802
      237805 236808 234814 234820 235828 237832 242835 246835
      249831 253822 254818 258813 263805 265802
 0.50 519268 520263 520257 517249 511233 503215 496197 494194
      495188 498178 501177 503180 506187 511194 517196 521198
      524198 523184 504165 496162 491156 489152 491148 493146
      492142 490137 485132 482129 478129 475129 472127 471130
      471133 470137 474140 482142 483145 481147 478147 473149
      469146 464142 459142 456143 453152 446153 439151 436152
      434155 444171 446178 444181 441183 440188 442192 446198
      450198 452194 453188 454186 457187 467185 473180 477177
      479181 479185 475192 469195 464200 457203 451209 444213
      437213 434216 431217 424220 423224 425226 431231 432235
      430237 424236 418233 413233 410235 408237 410240 416246
      423250 428252 432252 436255 442261 445263 449263 453262
      458260 463257 469255 474256 478257 484261 490268 495275
      501281 506282 510279 513277 515275 519268
 0.50 495244 494240 491235 489231 487227 484225 481224 479226
      481231 485233 487233 491235 493240 495244 495244
 0.50 464171 464169 464168 463166 462165 462163 463161 462158
      461158 460157 458158 458160 457162 456163 455164 454166
      454169 455171 455172 456173 458173 459172 460171 462171
      463171 464171
 0.50 461913 460907 454908 449910 444910 433915 428916 424914
      420910 417906 413904 407905 397910 385914 381913 378909
      368907 362909 358911 348917 335932 318947 311954 305960
      300964 297970 293981 292985 292991 295996 298994 302990
      304988 307990 308993 311993 318992 327988 330988 334992
      336994 339993 343990 355985 363981 371976 380969 389962
      397956 404950 409945 414945 417942 414940 418937 424935
      432931 438928 441925 445921 448919 450920 454922 457920
      461913
 0.50 443111 443108 442107 441108 440110 442111 443111
 0.50 259809 259807 259805 259803 258801 257800 255800 254802
      253804 253806 253808 254810 255811 256811 258810 259809
 0.50 252812 250806 248804 244805 241808 238810 237816 236820
      237826 239830 242832 245829 247827 248821 248816 251813
      252812
 1.00 515269 515267 515265 515264 515261 514260 513259 512260
      511262 511265 512267 512268 513270 514271 515269
 1.00 508248 509242 508237 505228 500218 498212 495208 491201
      487198 482197 474200 466206 461205 457207 455211 448214
      441214 437216 425223 432229 436232 436235 434237 417242
      424247 429249 433248 436248 438249 443252 449253 454252
      461250 469249 479249 484252 488257 492263 498270 502273
      504271 503267 500258 496249 491241 478229 477225 477222
      479221 488224 498243 503248 506249 508248
 1.00 491170 490167 488163 484156 482154 477153 473153 470150
      464150 462148 460150 461154 463156 468163 469166 473165
      479167 480165 483166 485169 489170 491170
 1.00 463178 463175 459175 458176 456177 453176 452173 450171
      449170 449173 452176 453178 453182 455184 457184 459182
      462181 463178
 1.00 439229 438228 437228 438231 439229
 1.00 411931 410928 406927 400931 396932 394931 391928 388927
      386928 376936 370939 365938 366933 369926 370923 370918
      368916 364916 355918 350922 346927 341933 337939 327947
      322952 315956 310960 307967 308973 311975 314976 317974
      322974 324976 328976 332975 334976 336980 337985 342986
      348983 355979 359974 361972 365970 372968 378965 385961
      393951 403944 408938 411931
 1.00 245823 245821 245819 244817 244816 243815 242814 242815
      242817 243817 242818 242819 242821 242823 243824 245824
      245823
 1.50 504241 503233 500227 494212 486201 480202 473203 468208
      461208 457212 450215 438216 436219 436222 442228 441246
      447248 453248 460246 466244 479244 481243 484245 488253
      491259 495265 498266 499263 497254 493248 490242 480234
      476228 475225 476220 491222 495235 499241 503242 504241
 1.50 484161 483159 483158 482156 481155 480155 481158 482159
      482160 483162 484161
 1.50 470158 470156 469155 469153 468155 469155 470158 470158
 1.50 462178 461176 461175 459176 458177 457178 456179 457181
      459181 460180 461180 462178
 1.50 435228 435227 434225 433225 432224 431222 429221 427222
      426223 427224 428224 430225 432226 433227 435228 435228
 1.50 428242 427242 426241 424239 423238 421237 419237 418236
      416236 415236 414238 415240 417240 419241 420243 422245
      423245 425244 426244 427244 428242
 1.50 388949 388938 386933 382936 377941 368945 362949 359952
      355954 357936 352934 347935 340941 335946 330954 330960
      332962 336965 337969 340979 342982 346982 352977 357967
      362962 367962 372963 375963 378961 384954 388949
 1.50 318967 319964 319962 319960 317959 316959 314960 312961
      311962 310964 310965 310966 310969 312971 314971 316971
      317969 317968 318967
 2.00 501238 501237 500235 500234 498232 498231 498232 498233
      499235 501238 501238
 2.00 496262 497260 496258 496257 495254 493253 492253 490252
      490253 491255 491256 492258 493259 494261 495262 496262
      496262
 2.00 488244 487241 485240 485243 486245 488245 488244
 2.00 490219 490214 488209 487205 482203 475204 467209 460210
      457213 453214 449216 446216 441216 439217 439221 441224
      445228 450228 452231 445233 441235 439238 440242 443245
      446245 451245 458243 466241 469240 474241 480242 480238
      479233 476230 472228 470226 471223 476219 480219 486220
      490219
 2.00 461178 461177 459177 459179 461178 461178
 2.00 424241 423239 421239 420240 421241 421243 422244 423243
      424243 424241
 2.00 378949 378947 377946 375946 373946 372947 371947 370948
      368949 368950 366952 365954 365956 366958 368958 370957
      371956 372956 373956 375954 377952 378949
 2.00 350967 349964 346962 344960 346956 348949 349944 346941
      342942 340945 336949 334957 336960 339961 343962 342965
      342970 344973 348971 350967
 3.00 486215 486210 483207 478207 474209 472211 469211 464211
      461213 458215 454215 451217 447218 442218 443223 446226
      451224 455223 458226 459229 457231 450233 444236 441238
      442241 445241 452242 459239 466237 464226 476217 482217
      486215
 3.00 479238 479236 478233 477233 476232 474231 474232 473232
      471233 471236 472237 473238 475239 477240 479239 479238
 4.00 477238 478235 477235 476234 474234 474235 475237 477238
      477238
 4.00 481213 481212 479211 477211 476211 475212 474213 473214
      473215 475215 477216 478215 480214 481213
 4.00 472216 470215 467212 464214 461214 459216 456216 454216
      453221 455222 458224 460226 462226 464224 466224 467225
      469220 471218 472216
 4.00 464236 465234 464232 462233 462236 463236 464236
 4.00 460237 460235 459234 457233 455233 453234 452235 451235
      450235 448235 447236 446238 447240 449240 451240 452240
      453239 454239 456239 457239 458239 460238 460237
 5.00 470218 470217 469215 468214 467214 466214 466217 466218
      468220 469218 470218
 5.00 463223 464221 463218 461218 459218 457218 456217 454218
      455221 457223 458223 460224 462225 463223
 5.00 458237 458236 457235 455235 454235 455237 456238 458237
      458237
 5.00 452238 451236 450235 448236 447236 448238 449239 451238
      452238
 6.00 462223 462221 460221 459221 457220 456219 457221 457222
      458222 460223 462223 462223

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 541203 538191 537187 534183 532179 531174 529169 525167
      500143 491127 484122 477118 473119 470117 470104 469096
      471093 472093 467095 467098 467101 465101 461092 461081
      461073 460069 459060 459054 457042 454034 452028 452022
      452021 450025 450031 449035 447035 443036 440039 434044
      432047 430052 430056 433061 437068 440079 442085 441091
      438094 433094 430095 429097 430104 433107 435110 438114
      444119 453123 453129 450131 447136 444140 439139 437141
      433148 430159 428168 430173 432183 431193 435186 438180
      441178 442181 441187 440190 439198 437205 434208 433212
      432215 430216 426217 423219 425228 425232 423234 418234
      414235 412238 413242 413247 414251 417255 420259 421263
      420269 418276 417280 418285 418289 420293 422296 427296
      431295 434293 437290 439286 443278 447268 452257 457249
      461242 464240 469243 476249 478253 479258 481267 483276
      495289 501291 506294 509294 512290 513284 515281 519276
      524262 522253 518247 515240 513232 511225 508223 507220
      503214 500207 495203 491198 487196 487191 488186 489181
      495181 501184 506189 510194 516207 525217 528220 532220
      536215 539211
 0.01 551876 551866 550857 546850 543846 540843 532840 526841
      525838 525835 525827 524820 522815 523809 526802 529794
      529788 525778 521770 518766 514764 505761 502761 500758
      498754 495753 489753 486752 481753 473758 465763 459770
      453778 446785 443790 440793 431809 420827 410842 404848
      396851 389853 382853 376853 372852 363848 360847 354847
      352841 352838 357830 363821 366813 364809 360807 357809
      351810 342807 336802 330795 328790 324788 318782 312776
      310777 312781 312784 307782 302782 298780 294778 290777
      273778 270783 270787 271791 270795 264794 262796 260802
      262807 269814 271816 273822 271827 268826 261821 251816
      246815 245811 243809 240811 238822 238829 238834 231840
      229843 230847 238852 243862 247870 250879 253889 254903
      252913 252926 252932 250935 244942 240949 240957 243960
      250966 251970 250972 246973 243973 231977 231990 237995
      241002 246007 250009 255009 262007 266001 270998 274997
      282995 291991 296987 301981 306975 318963 323959 330956
      335954 337951 343947 351944 356943 361945 366945 369943
      375939 380934 386927 398919 407916 415915 424913 432910
      446904 460895 469892 475889 478888 480889 481894 481902
      480904 479901 478896 475907 472930 471935 470942 470955
      472967 478973 483972 486971 492975 488979 485980 487990
      489008 491013 492019 494025 494032 492058 491064 491068
      492074 494077 499082 502080 503075 504069 506063 507049
      508042 513043 518044 526060 531080 535088 538090 542090
      544086 546081 545074 543068 536050 533039 532029 529003
      531997 531990 534981 534973 533968 531964 531960 531954
      533949
 0.01 533949 533944 535939 536933 536925 537917 536909 536901
      536898 539897 542894 545891 548888 549883 551877 551876
 0.01 507895 506893 505894 503894 501894 500894 498894 497894
      495896 495899 495901 497903 497904 497906 499908 500906
      502905 503903 504901 505900 506898 506897 507895
 0.01 489114 489111 489114 489114
 0.01 479203 480195 481188 482181 481175 477174 475179 473183
      471188 469192 467199 467203 470204 473202 478203 479203
 0.01 487093 488091 488088 488086 488085 488086 486088 486090
      484092 482092 481094 479094 480097 482098 484098 485098
      486095 487093 487093
 0.01 487939 486937 484937 482939 484942 486941 487939
 0.01 484942 482939 481940 480942 481943 482943 484942
 0.01 480917 480914 480912 480909 480907 479905 477907 477910
      477912 477915 477917 479919 480917
 0.01 479922 479919 477917 476920 476922 477924 479922
 0.01 470071 471068 469066 469065 467065 467068 467070 467073
      468075 469073 470071 470071
 0.01 448981 449974 448969 447966 444969 442969 440971 440978
      440983 438985 440988 441991 441995 443995 443991 445988
      447983 448981
 0.25 539205 538199 536194 530187 527183 526178 525174 522170
      519167 514165 512169 509171 508176 510180 513190 519197
      524199 526204 528207 531207 536207 539205
 0.25 546874 546868 545866 542864 539865 537867 535868 533871
      533875 535877 537878 540879 543879 545876 546874
 0.25 520271 522262 521256 515248 511237 504229 501224 500219
      499213 496209 492206 486203 481204 478207 471212 465211
      460208 456205 452206 448207 443210 440214 437217 430222
      429234 425239 421240 419242 420245 422249 428257 431262
      436260 443255 449248 455240 457233 459230 464226 468225
      476220 486224 491227 493230 499241 501246 502251 504260
      497254 492250 490245 482239 478235 474234 473237 473240
      476243 482246 486249 488255 489260 494270 496275 500278
      503281 508280 515277 520271
 0.25 497776 495768 492764 489762 484762 478770 472781 466792
      461794 457797 447815 440824 436833 432845 425852 415856
      402859 391861 380862 368860 358860 353859 350855 343848
      334844 325847 317849 312852 307850 303846 297843 293842
      287842 282840 274836 265833 262831 259830 252831 247834
      245838 244843 245849 248859 252870 255881 260905 266928
      264935 261940 260945 259952 261955 263957 267958 270955
      274956 275960 271964 272968 277970 282972 285974 288977
      292980 296977 297970 301965 303960 307954 311952 314952
      320954 324951 327947 334940 337934 342931 348930 352928
      361923 368918 378918 383916 387913 396910 402908 408908
      419903 428899 432895 433890 432886 429886 423887 418890
      413888 414885 416880 419877 423874 432869 437865 442862
      452858 455858 455862 456865 458868 463876 469875 471871
      474866 477864 483863 485861 485857 486849 485841 484837
      486831 487826 490820 491817 490813 487810 492806 494799
      497776
 0.25 490162 490158 490151 493148 492140 488134 481128 474125
      465124 461132 455137 451144 449148 445150 442150 439154
      439158 440163 447167 449175 451180 450186 452190 456188
      462183 464180 466174 471170 477164 481164 483167 487167
      490163 490162
 0.25 462106 462104 461103 460101 459103 459106 459107 461108
      462106
 0.25 453103 453099 452096 448095 446097 444099 441099 439103
      441105 443108 445109 447107 449106 451105 453103
 0.25 353828 353826 353824 352824 351825 350826 349827 348829
      348831 347831 347833 348834 350834 350833 351832 352831
      353829 353828
 0.25 321808 320803 316803 310799 304797 302795 299797 290797
      286800 285806 288809 293808 300804 302803 306803 313805
      319810 321808
 0.25 289822 289820 288819 287818 286817 285818 284819 283819
      282821 281823 283825 285825 287825 289824 289822
 0.25 255996 255992 254990 253988 251986 248985 246986 244988
      244990 246992 248994 249996 251998 254998 255996
 0.50 520269 521260 517255 511244 510241 508238 503235 501238
      503245 506259 507264 505268 501262 498257 495255 492256
      492261 494263 496269 499274 504275 509275 512276 517274
      520269
 0.50 523181 523179 523177 523176 522174 521173 520172 519171
      518172 518175 517177 516180 517182 517184 519185 520185
      521184 522183 523181
 0.50 498226 496215 493211 488208 484205 481207 478211 474214
      466216 457211 441217 435224 431236 429242 426245 431253
      434255 436255 439252 446247 452239 454229 461224 464220
      469221 472218 477218 488222 493227 497228 498226
 0.50 489782 488779 485780 481784 476789 471795 462803 458809
      458815 457818 448827 446830 446835 448838 450838 460830
      470821 476809 479803 483797 487792 489784 489782
 0.50 486136 484135 481133 479131 476129 475128 471127 470130
      470135 470139 472141 473141 477140 479139 481137 484137
      486136
 0.50 474161 474154 473148 471144 468141 463140 460142 456145
      455150 457154 459158 463161 466163 469165 472163 474161
 0.50 481854 481852 480850 480849 478849 477850 476850 475852
      473855 475855 477855 479856 480855 481854
 0.50 461180 462178 461176 459177 457179 457181 459181 460181
      461180
 0.50 469863 470860 469859 467860 466861 465862 464863 464866
      465868 466869 466868 467867 468866 469864 469863
 0.50 453176 454174 453172 452171 451170 451171 450173 451175
      452176 453176
 0.50 454162 455159 455157 455156 453154 452153 450153 449153
      448154 446155 444156 443157 443159 444160 445162 446162
      447162 449163 450164 452165 453164 454163 454162
 0.50 414875 415870 415866 410864 404866 398865 389868 383868
      377866 372865 366866 355868 351866 348862 344860 339860
      333859 329857 323856 318858 312860 308860 306858 304854
      300851 296849 291849 284849 280847 259842 253844 251848
      252855 254860 258885 262894 268903 272911 276915 283916
      287918 288923 290929 289937 292941 297944 301947 305949
      314945 323945 327941 330940 335929 340927 344925 351924
      355922 371911 376909 380906 387899 397894 403887 414875
 0.50 288964 288962 287960 286960 285958 283958 281958 280960
      280962 281964 283965 285966 286965 288964
 1.00 519268 520266 519263 517263 516262 515261 514261 513259
      511260 510262 510265 510266 510268 511270 513271 514271
      516271 517270 518270 519268
 1.00 492219 492218 490216 489216 487214 485215 486218 487218
      488219 490219 491220 492219
 1.00 483211 482211 481211 482212 483211
 1.00 470155 470154 470153 469152 467151 466150 464149 462151
      463154 463155 465156 467157 468157 470156 470155
 1.00 458222 457218 452216 446218 440222 439225 438229 440232
      437234 434242 435245 438243 443242 448236 445233 451228
      456224 458222
 1.00 388883 388879 385877 379877 372876 365876 357877 349877
      332872 326868 320866 312868 308867 304865 291858 287855
      282855 275857 267857 265861 265866 264868 265873 267876
      270879 283887 286895 291902 291908 293910 300913 306918
      310919 314917 321920 321923 319927 318932 322933 328929
      334924 340920 355912 370907 376901 380895 385889 388883
 1.50 455221 454219 452219 450220 448220 447221 446221 445221
      443223 442225 441227 442228 444229 445229 446228 447228
      449227 449226 451225 451224 453223 455221 455221
 1.50 374889 374884 373882 366881 350882 338880 327874 321873
      317873 312877 311881 309882 307879 307875 305869 299868
      293865 288867 286869 287871 295880 298894 297908 309907
      315909 318913 324915 326916 327920 323925 322928 325929
      328925 331919 341912 350904 356901 362900 367898 371896
      374889
 2.00 449224 448222 446222 445223 444224 443225 444227 446227
      447226 448226 449224
 2.00 369887 368884 364884 358886 351886 345884 338882 332880
      319876 316881 319885 320887 319890 315895 314899 316902
      322902 329906 336906 339907 342906 348903 360896 364893
      369889 369887
 2.00 311886 311885 309885 307886 306886 307887 309887 311887
      311886
 2.00 304903 303901 302901 301901 300901 299903 298903 297905
      299907 301906 302905 304903
 3.00 354894 353892 351893 350895 351895 353895 354894
 3.00 343888 342886 340886 338885 336885 334885 333886 331887
      331888 330889 329891 331892 333893 335893 336892 338892
      340891 342890 343888

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 496332 492330 490327 489319 489310 491299 492288 491285
      489282 485277 482274 482270 486266 488263 487259 491254
      493252 494246 493228 504225 506224 507227 511233 515238
      518246 523251 528247
 0.01 540208 540203 539200 537193 534187 529183 526178 524171
      521166 518166 517169 517177 516182 521182 524187 524200
      525205 521207 521210 522213 524219 527223 532228 534228
      535223 536212 540208
 0.01 552851 551838 550830 549825 545814 543809 542804 542788
      542780 542773 542769 540769 538773 535785 534792 530798
      526802 522804 514809 510811 508813 507816 505820 504825
      504831 502837 498845 495845 491843 489843 487842 487839
      490829 498810 508790 513766 516755 518750 519744 520729
      521716 520711 519709 516706 513702 509702 495707 491708
      489711 484717 474733 471738 468742 464746 459749 453755
      450759 443760 439757 437753 435749 437744 442738 438734
      433741 432745 431752 427757 424757 423752 425741 425736
      427732 433726 439725 443722 442716 438716 431721 428723
      424722 421720 417715 416710 411718 413721 413729 406735
      392746 398750 401753 403755 400757 395762 385765 381767
      376768 367766 359764 352761 348759 344757 334760 323762
      318764 311766 299768 291767 287769 285772 284775 284781
      283787 282792 280795 276799 272801 269806 260811 256810
      253808 254804 259801 266801 268800 263800 259798 253798
      248797 244794 238795 240799 242803 240808 240812 240817
      244826 249833 252837 252844 247850 244854 239857 233862
      231864 231870 231875 233878 233883 232888 232899 234903
      237906 242906 246904 254898 260897 265899 271898 276896
      283893 293890 304888 309888 311889 313892 315896 316898
      315900 311909 310911 312916 314915 317911 320905 323902
      327900 340906 348912 352915 359916 362918 364916 368912
      372910 378903 385899 392895 399890 407886 415880 423880
      428881 432883 435885 439885 442883 447882 440899 437910
      435917 433921 435926 435930 431941 431949 433952 438947
      445928 445923 447917 452906 456896 460886 461884 462886
      462893 462905 459916 464920 468918 474918 478920 480922
      479924 469930 466940 465947 464956 464962 466964 467962
      470962 473967 479977 480981 479987 479992 482997 486004
      492009 495006 497003 499998 502993
 0.01 502993 505988 507983 509975 512968 517955 522942 525936
      528934 526926 525923 526920 531918 533915 533910 532894
      534886 537880 539872 543869 550857 552851
 0.01 491899 491891 490888 488887 483889 480892 477893 473897
      472902 472905 472909 474912 476912 479910 482909 485907
      489904 491899
 0.01 481135 481132 479134 478137 478139 479140 479137 481135
      481135
 0.01 470155 471153 470152 469150 467149 466147 466146 465144
      463143 461143 461146 462148 462149 464149 466150 467152
      469153 470155 470155
 0.01 452881 451879 449880 447882 449884 451883 452881
 0.01 442108 443106 443103 443101 443099 443098 441096 439098
      437100 439103 439105 440106 442108 442108
 0.01 441077 441072 440067 439059 434052 431046 428043 426041
      420045 417045 416050 415054 419053 421055 424058 428060
      435062 437065 438071 441077 441077
 0.01 360747 359745 356743 353743 351742 348742 346741 342740
      340742 341745 343747 346746 350747 352747 354749 356750
      358748 360747
 0.01 332750 330750 329748 328748 327748 325747 324747 325747
      326749 327751 329751 331751 332750 332750
 0.01 276776 273770 270764 268759 267751 265745 263738 261743
      262749 264757 266765 268771 269775 271777 276776
 0.25 510298 507299 503299 500296 499292 496283 493276 492272
      493266 497262 500260 502257 504244 506242 508245 514250
      518255 524259
 0.25 536832 536829 536827 534827 533828 532830 531831 531833
      530834 530835 529838 529841 530842 532841 532840 533838
      535835 536832 536832
 0.25 504743 504737 502733 498733 494735 487742 484746 480747
      465759 454769 438772 431778 427780 423777 420775 417771
      414768 408768 401772 391775 372778 351779 343779 335777
      328777 323778 313781 307786 301791 297794 295797 290805
      289814 286817 282818 274822 265825 261831 259841 257851
      256854 257859 255868 251874 251877 253878 259876 266873
      284869 289869 294870 296872 292877 291881 291885 294885
      297883 300880 305878 312875 315873 319872 326876 341885
      347893 351900 355906 359908 362905 419872 434864 441860
      449854 464845 470839 474833 482817 486809 487803 488794
      488788 490782 493773 496764 500755 504743
 0.50 513291 509295 505295 502289 499283 497277 498271 503270
      506269 507267 508257 510253 515257 520260 522262
 0.50 489762 488757 486757 479759 465767 459772 457775 453776
      446775 441777 436782 433788 430791 426792 422786 418780
      413776 408776 406778 397781 392784 386780 379782 370784
      355786 347789 340786 335784 327784 319784 313788 307793
      303798 301804 303812 264845 265852 267855 270857 276860
      285862 297866 304869 314869 318870 326872 338880 344883
      349888 353893 357894 362893 376891 381890 388886 394882
      402878 414872 419870 424866 437857 443854 449849 459840
      464836 467831 475816 476807 480798 485783 488772 489762
 1.00 521268 520267 518265 517266 515267 513268 513269 512271
      513272 513274 514275 515276 517276 518277
 1.00 476787 476782 473783 465786 459791 453792 449792 446790
      442790 437795 430801 426808 423815 417821 411828 408829
      406827 408824 411817 416810 416805 415799 411797 406797
      399800 395802 394806 392810 394813 395819 392819 386823
      382823 380818 381808 382804 384800 385797 383793 379792
      376794 373797 367798 359797 357794 351795 344799 337802
      332797 330794 329795 321798 316800 316804 320814 310824
      307827 301828 297830 295834 291839 289842 288846 290849
      292849 296851 298855 306854 311852 314849 314842 317836
      319833 317830 320827 324825 327823 330824 329826 326829
      325834 314864 316866 320866 330866 335867 338869 339875
      343878 350882 352885 356887 364887 369888 374887 381884
      387881 395876 403873 419865 425862 431857 442846 447841
      454833 457825 463817 468812 471803 474795 476787
 1.00 306833 306832 304833 304834 306835 306833
 1.50 465802 462802 457804 453808 449812 440819 437822 430822
      423827 419831 415836 411839 403840 399842 395846 387851
      381851 373853 369855 367851 367847 359843 356839 358833
      362829 364824 369812 368806 363805 355808 346815 339821
      336826 333833 336834 336837 334842 336844 336848 333849
      325854 317862 318864 321864 327863 334863 341864 344866
      343871 342873 345875 350876 354878 357882 363880 367878
      375876 380877 383876 388873 396869 408866 417861 427856
      442841 448833 453822 459810 463806 465802
 1.50 299838 297838 297840 298840 299839 299838
 2.00 450821 448820 444821 440825 431833 423839 413845 406847
      402850 399857 401860 405861 411859 417856 427851 435843
      443834 446829 449824 450821
 2.00 387863 388861 387859 385859 383860 383861 382863 382864
      381866 382868 384867 385865 387863 387863
 2.00 371869 369866 364865 361862 359856 360853 356850 350846
      353835 357826 360823 362817 363813 362811 359811 353818
      345823 345829 343835 342839 343845 342849 338852 334854
      329855 326857 323859 325861 333861 338860 343861 347863
      348867 346870 346873 353874 356875 363876 369873 371869

$$





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