Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 200853
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
452 AM EDT SUN AUG 20 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 20/1200 UTC THRU AUG 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1


LOWER MO VALLEY INTO THE MID AND UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT
LAKES

MCS/EMERGING MCV ACROSS EASTERN NE-WESTERN IA DURING THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS SUNDAY WAS NOT CAPTURED WELL BY THE ECMWF...AS THE CONSENSUS
AMONG THE OTHER MODELS IS FOR A EASTERLY TRACK OF THE MCV ACROSS
NORTHERN IL BY SUN EVENING BEFORE DAMPENING CONSIDERABLY AS IT
MIGRATES INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY. WPC UTILIZED PREDOMINATELY
NSSL-WRF AND WRF-ARW2 HIGH-RES CAM GUIDANCE WITH THE QPF FOR THE
INITIAL MCS...WITH THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO
NORTHWEST MO SUNDAY MORNING -- PARALLEL TO THE 850-300 MB
THICKNESS AND ALONG THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY GRADIENT.

THE MODELS ONCE AGAIN ADVERTISE ADDITIONAL MCS DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY
NIGHT-EARLY MONDAY...HOWEVER ALSO DEPICT DISTINCT LATITUDINAL
DIFFERENCES WITH THE QPF MAXIMA...WITH THE HIGH-RES CONSENSUS
GENERALLY FARTHER SOUTH OF THE GLOBAL MODELS (AS IS
TYPICAL...THOUGH SOME WITH A BI-MODEL DISTRIBUTION OF HEAVIER
AMOUNTS). SUBTLE RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET FORCING WOULD
FAVOR A NORTHERN GENESIS REGION BETWEEN 00-06Z MON (I.E. IA INTO
NORTHERN MO)...HOWEVER GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING SW-WSW LOW LEVEL
JET/INCREASING UPWIND PROPAGATION OVERNIGHT...THE MODELS SHOW
MBE/CORFIDI VECTORS VEERING MORE NORTHERLY ~10-15 KTS OVERNIGHT.
AS A RESULT...WPC OPTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE GLOBAL CONSENSUS
WITH THE STRIPE OF HEAVIEST QPF FROM 00-12Z MON...CLOSER TO A
BLEND OF THE WRF-ARW/PARALLEL ARW RUNS ALONG WITH THE PARALLEL
HREF MEAN. ONE CAVEAT: THE NSSL-WRF AND WRF-ARW2 ARE EVEN FARTHER
SOUTH (INTO KC METRO)...WHICH IS CERTAINLY PLAUSIBLE GIVEN THE
SOUTHWARD PROPAGATION POTENTIAL AND POOL OF UNTAPPED DEEP-LAYER
INSTABILITY...AND WILL AT LEAST TO SOME DEGREE DEPEND ON HOW FAR
SOUTH THE EFFECTIVE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY GETS WITH THE WEAK
~700 MB CAPPING IN PLACE. AS A RESULT...SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS MAY
CONTINUE A SOUTHWARD TREND.


SIERRA NEVADA / AZ-NM INTO SOUTHERN CO

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS CA SUN-SUN NIGHT...WHILE THE
COMPACT WARM CONVEYOR BELT (WCB) ON THE EASTERN FLANK WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPORT MONSOONAL MOISTURE ACROSS EASTERN AZ AND THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES. HIGHEST MOISTURE ANOMALIES WILL BE WITHIN THIS
QUASI-STATIONARY WCB...WITH PWAT VALUES AVERAGING 2-2.5 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF NM. MEANWHILE...THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO DEPICT A MESO/CONVECTIVELY-ENHANCED VORT MAX ALONG THE
SOUTHERN AZ-NM BORDER EARLY SUNDAY LIFTING SLOWLY N DURING THE
DAY...THEN MORE NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NM
INTO SOUTHEAST CO SUNDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE DYNAMICAL AND
THERMODYNAMICAL SETUP...THERE CONTINUES TO BE A MULTI-MODEL SIGNAL
FOR OROGRAPHICALLY-ENHANCED HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS FAR WESTERN TX
AND SOUTHERN NM INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUS
(INCLUDING THE HIGH-RES MEANS) SHOW A FAIRLY WIDESPREAD...SOMEWHAT
ATYPICAL SWATH OF 0.25-0.50" OF AREAL-AVERAGE RAINFALL
TOTALS...WITH SOME OF THE CAMS INDICATING FAIRLY PRODIGIOUS
SMALLER-SCALE TOTALS (2-4"). AS A RESULT...WPC WILL CONTINUE TO
HIGHLIGHT A MORE ENHANCED (I.E. "SLIGHT") RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF NM INTO SOUTHERN CO WITH THE NEW DAY 1 ERO.

ACROSS THE SIERRA NEVADA...MODEST DEEP-LAYER INSTABILITY (MUCAPES
1000-1500 J/KG) ALONG WITH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE (PWAT VALUES ~2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL)...DIFLUENT UPPER FLOW/PERIODIC
DPVA...AND OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT WILL FAVOR MORE WIDESPREAD
DIURNAL CONVECTION ALONG THE SIERRA...PARTICULARLY THE WESTERN
SLOPES. PER THE HIGH-RES GUIDANCE...LOCAL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1-2+
INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED.


SOUTHEAST

A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE WITH POCKETS OF DEEP MOISTURE CONTENT WILL
CONTINUE TO YIELD MAINLY DIURNAL SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS ALONG
THE CAROLINAS COAST INTO SOUTHEAST GA AND BACK UPSTREAM INTO TO
THE WEST CENTRAL GULF COAST AREA OF LA UP INTO AR. ALSO, DIURNAL
SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS FL...BASICALLY AROUND
THE PRONOUNCED UPPER RIDGE. OVERALL WPC FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE
GLOBAL MODELS WITH HI-RES SUITE FOR QPF AMOUNTS.



DAYS 2 AND 3...


...MIDDLE TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES...

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY TO
POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE TO UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY AS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION, BOTH WITH A WEAKENING WARM
FRONT LIFTING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH AND WEST.
THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ALIGNED FROM PARTS
OF IA INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MI WHERE AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO STALL AND INTERACT WITH AN AXIS OF ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
SETTING UP OVER THE REGION.  WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTING OUT OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. COULD ALSO HELP CONTRIBUTE TO ORGANIZED
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.  00Z MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING VARYING
SOLUTIONS WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTION BUT THERE REMAINED A STRONG
ENOUGH SIGNAL TO KEEP THE DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
(VALID 12Z MON - 12Z TUE) OVER PORTIONS OF IA AND EXPANDED A BIT
INTO ADJACENT STATES.

THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
SHIFTS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON DAY 3 AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH
EASES IN FROM THE NORTH.  LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE
SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED WITH BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT VECTORS TO THE
SOUTH OF THERE.  LIKE ON DAY 2...MODELS VARIED WITH THE DETAILS OF
THE FORECAST, BUT THERE WAS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE THAT RAINFALL TOTALS
COULD EXCEED FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES BUT THERE WAS ENOUGH
SIGNAL OVER PARTS OF OK TO WARRANT A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS POINT.


...SOUTHWEST/FOUR CORNERS REGION...

THE CHANCE FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THE HIGHEST TOTALS AND GREATEST THREAT FOR ANY
FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS REMAIN ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS AND INTO NEW
MEXICO ON MONDAY AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY GIVEN DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
WHICH WILL CHANNEL ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND MID-LEVEL ENERGY ACROSS
THE REGION.  12Z MODEL GUIDANCE GENERALLY TRENDED HEAVIER WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS, SO THE WPC QPF WAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED ACROSS THE
REGION.  THE DAY 2/3 MARGINAL AND SLIGHT RISK AREAS MATCHED WELL
WITH THE LATEST GUIDANCE, SO NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOKS.


...SIERRA...

THE COMBINATION OF A CLOSED LOW LINGERING OVER CALIFORNIA AND AN
INCREASING INFILTRATION OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED LATE DAY AND EVENING SHOWERS.  SOME OF THESE MAY PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.  00Z
GUIDANCE ALIGNED WELL WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN TERMS OF
PLACEMENT BUT HAD BACKED OFF PCPN AMOUNTS A BIT.  ONLY MINIMAL
ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE ON GOING WPC DAY 2/3 QPF OR AREAS
DEPICTED IN THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

HURLEY/BANN


24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 538210 538204 535199 532196 528195 524196 521200 517209
      514213 511215 509219 508227 506243 507248 506255 503260
      500263 495268 492271 489276 492285 495289 500292 506290
      510287 513283 517273 519257 522245 523237 525232 530224
      538210
 0.01 521773 521767 520760 518750 516738 514730 509722 505717
      502707 498701 493696 487695 485694 482697 479706 479714
      483718 486728 489737 492744 499745 506748 510752 514760
      517769 521773
 0.01 520908 520895 519884 516877 512873 509872 505875 501878
      496883 493889 490896 487902 481907 475910 472915 472922
      474927 477929 481928 488927 492927 494925 498924 500923
      504919 506916 510914 515912 519910 520908
 0.01 490680 488665 487658 485656 479650 473651 471655 465661
      460669 459679 463688 466690 471690 476688 479691 483691
      487689 489685 490680
 0.01 503842 502833 501828 500821 498816 494809 491810 488813
      487810 488805 487796 486790 482786 478787 468799 456815
      450824 446829 445833 436848 426864 420873 414881 410885
      406887 402891 400895 394916 387921 382915 380914 379910
      379903 381891 388870 384870 380873 376876 374880 370889
      370895 369898 367905 365907 363906 360903 354902 345906
      343912 342918 343924 345928 349931 352933 357933 361935
      364943 369953 369960 371965 373970 376974 380977 384976
      394970 396971 397974 398979 402000 404006 406010 410013
      415013 419008 422004 424993 426991 427994 429999 432009
      434018 436023 436031 439040 443043 448045 461045 465044
      471045 478049 482049 485046 486043 486039 484035 479029
      470024 465016 460005 457992 457965 457957 456950 456935
      456926 458921 462912 467901 471889 473878 475872 479868
      486864 492859 500850 503842
 0.01 433783 433778 432773 432768 431764 430762 429764 429767
      429771 428776 428779 429783 429788 430790 431788 432785
      433783
 0.01 405215 404211 402209 396203 386194 387191 383190 381190
      378187 373183 365181 351185 347190 346194 348198 350196
      349191 350187 355187 358186 362188 366189 369192 374196
      380201 385206 393208 399213 402215 405215
 0.01 412103 411098 408095 405098 401099 396095 392093 390096
      389102 386106 382106 379108 376111 370115 363117 349108
      349104 350102 354098 357095 359094 361095 366094 368088
      371087 375089 378090 380087 381083 382076 382067 384063
      387062 389063 391068 394067 398065 403067 407068 410067
      414060 415054 414052 411049 408051 400055 397049 389044
      381040 376034 372029 364024 359023 354024 350024 347027
      339031 331036 327038 323038 312037 306034 302035 300038
      291039 285043 279049 263056 260055 255055 253058 254062
      259068 261076 262080 264083 271089 279092 285095 286099
      287109 291116 292119 297120 302121 304123 312122 310119
      310117 312116 319117 323115 325112 329114 335115 338117
      340126 345132 346136 341137 336136 333138 331142 335143
      339148 340152 333156 337157 340157 341160 345161 349161
      353160 356163 361168 363168 364166 365161 368158 369151
      368140 373137 377136 382129 385126 389123 398113 402109
      407110 412103
 0.01 411842 411835 410830 405831 401834 398836 395839 393842
      395844 398842 401841 403843 406846 409845 411842
 0.01 392195 390194 390195 392195 392195
 0.01 392792 388786 383783 376785 372790 371793 371799 373801
      373806 368811 364814 354824 351837 352842 354841 357837
      360828 363823 371813 382806 387802 390796 392792
 0.01 364726 362722 359719 355719 352720 348720 346725 340731
      335733 330734 325735 322737 318742 313749 299760 292766
      282768 279770 276774 272782 268788 262791 246796 240797
      237800 232807 228821 226832 226839 232845 235848 239848
      243846 245842 245836 247832 251835 251837 251841 255843
      257845 259848 263854 268856 271859 273861 273865 267884
      263925 264932 265935 268939 272941 277942 281940 284939
      286943 288946 292948 291951 289954 284960 284965 286966
      301958 310954 319952 325947 330941 332938 333931 329926
      321923 319918 319911 315902 313897 313890 314886 313882
      311882 309884 306884 304882 304880 305877 305865 304858
      304853 310846 313843 314838 314835 316833 320832 327826
      332819 339806 342797 344793 345787 346783 343778 343775
      344770 351753 359740 363732 364726
 0.01 312922 313920 313918 312916 310918 310920 312922 312922
 0.01 305884 302883 300884 295887 288893 285904 285911 286916
      292925 294924 295921 293916 289906 289898 293895 295897
      298901 302904 303902 303899 303886 305884
 0.25 482849 480840 477835 473833 471836 468843 464841 461840
      458842 449850 446858 444865 444871 445877 447884 448887
      452889 458890 461896 466893 469886 469875 468870 468864
      470855 471852 475851 480852 482849
 0.25 443899 443893 440888 432887 427887 423890 418896 406908
      396924 392931 389935 389940 393949 396957 401966 404968
      407967 423960 428953 432945 435934 436921 438910 442901
      443899
 0.25 387201 386199 385200 385201 387201 387201
 0.25 383198 382196 382195 381194 379194 377194 376193 376194
      377194 379196 379197 380198 382198 383198
 0.25 373191 373189 371188 371189 371190 372191 373191
 0.25 369187 368186 366186 366187 367188 369187
 0.25 378071 378069 376067 375065 373064 371063 370063 368063
      369066 371067 372068 373069 374071 374072 375073 376074
      377073 378073 378071
 0.25 382952 381947 380942 379936 379931 377925 373924 371927
      370932 370936 372940 373947 375951 378954 381954 382952
 0.25 363076 365066 359060 363056 364053 364051 361049 355049
      352047 353044 358038 358034 352033 346038 335045 332046
      328045 318044 313048 307050 298050 294050 291051 285055
      279056 272058 266060 264064 266067 271071 283080 291089
      295094 298097 301098 309097 316097 323096 324091 327092
      336102 350081 363076
 0.25 355737 355733 354731 349734 341739 336744 331752 326758
      324759 321755 307764 301766 298768 290773 283778 278784
      273791 265795 258799 250804 248806 243807 238810 236814
      235822 234827 232830 230834 233838 236838 239834 244818
      246815 250815 260816 266823 272825 275822 276817 282815
      286817 291817 295816 304812 306808 309806 318802 325786
      334784 337774 345759 347752 350745 355737
 0.25 332804 332802 331800 330800 329802 328803 327804 326805
      326806 325808 324810 324811 326812 328811 329809 331807
      331806 332804
 0.25 323814 324812 322811 321811 320812 319813 317815 316817
      315817 314818 312820 311822 312824 314823 316822 317821
      318821 319819 320819 321817 322817 323815 323814
 0.25 324934 323933 323932 321931 319931 318932 318935 319936
      321936 323935 324934
 0.25 297832 293828 291824 285821 283822 281825 277833 270833
      266831 266827 265825 260825 258830 257836 265841 268846
      272848 277848 283850 286850 289848 290845 290836 295834
      297832
 0.25 287929 287925 286922 284920 282918 279917 277916 273917
      272917 270919 269923 270925 272928 274929 277930 281930
      285930 287929
 0.50 466888 467881 466877 465872 465866 465859 463855 462850
      460849 453852 449858 448862 448867 450877 452879 456881
      460886 462890 465891 466888
 0.50 421942 422935 422928 420923 417919 412913 408912 406915
      402924 396931 394934 393940 396951 403955 410951 416949
      419947 421942
 0.50 362067 361065 360065 360067 362067
 0.50 347745 346742 344745 342744 339744 338747 337749 336754
      336756 337760 341759 342757 343752 344750 345747 347745
 0.50 349057 349054 346052 339050 332050 327048 324047 320048
      320053 315055 310056 303056 297054 292055 287058 276063
      271063 271066 273068 282076 285079 290081 297083 303086
      307087 309085 308082 309076 314073 320072 323076 332086
      334091 336097 339095 339090 340086 342084 340082 337080
      336078 332074 327070 329066 333064 339064 344062 349057
 0.50 329772 329770 327769 326770 325771 325773 326773 328773
      329772
 0.50 321769 320767 320765 319764 319763 317761 315761 315762
      314763 313764 312766 310767 311769 313771 315771 317772
      319773 320772 320771 321769
 0.50 314796 306784 303783 301781 302778 302774 300773 296774
      293776 286780 281786 279792 277795 273796 264798 259802
      256804 255808 257810 261809 267806 271806 275807 280810
      287812 295812 302808 307803 312799 314796
 0.50 278840 277838 275838 274838 274840 275841 277841 278840
 0.50 263835 262833 262835 262836 263835
 1.00 456869 456867 455866 454866 453867 454869 455869 456869
 1.00 412933 413926 412922 410924 407928 403930 400933 398938
      398940 400946 403948 406945 408940 410937 412933
 1.00 335058 334056 332055 330054 329055 327055 328057 329057
      330058 332058 334058 335058
 1.00 298796 298794 297792 295791 293792 291793 291795 290797
      290799 292801 294801 296800 297798 297797 298796
 1.00 284802 284800 283799 281799 279800 279801 278803 280804
      281804 283803 284802

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 493723 492707 491699 490695 488693 481690 469691 451725
      448730 447736 445746 443752 443757 440769 438772 435775
      431782 428791 425800 424804 420808 412814 394826 381841
      376847 372855 372861 371866 372879 375889 377895 375899
      371905 368916 367921 366925 364929 364934 366938 369941
      370955 371963 370970 368977 366983 365996 367003 363010
      359013 354015 338021 330025 326027 320028 312030 304033
      300039 294044 288050 282051 276048 268050 265054 259055
      253055 250056 248057 244057 241054 237053 233056 233059
      236063 239066 243070 251074 264085 267087 271088 280090
      296097 299101 301105 306113 311116 316116 320114 321110
      323108 324111 328109 330103 335103 337105 339109 341118
      342122 342125 344131 345136 342140 338143 339147 344154
      351159 356161 359163 360175 360181 361187 367194 376200
      385207 388211 394213 401219 406220 409217 408212 406210
      399203 391198 379182 371177 370173 373169 379172 383175
      385178 388182 394181 394177 391172 388168 388161 389157
      391155 394151 394146 392142 385138 380137 378134 380132
      388127 394120 397118 401120 404119 408116 411113 413107
      414099 413094 411091 407091 404093 402097 398105 389107
      386110 381112 375111 371108 370106 366105 363105 362108
      361114 358113 352107 351102 353097 362092 365088 369093
      371091 373092 374096 376100 378099 385093 391087 395080
      401076 408073 414066 416063 418061 421060 426059 430061
      434066 438071 439074 443077 448080 450077 452073 451068
      452063 456061 459057 460051 460045 459040 457035 454030
      448022 446019 444014 441004 441996 443983 444970 445963
      447959 456934 461925 464913 466902 467898 467890 469879
      469867 470861 470853 472843 473830 478820 481810 482804
      482799 481791 479786 477782 477778
 0.01 477778 478775 480772 481770 483767 484764 485761 487758
      488755 490752 491749 492747 492744 493738 493736 493731
      492726 493723
 0.01 502960 503946 501944 498944 493950 489957 481969 472981
      462991 458996 454003 454008 458010 465011 478007 484003
      488997 492991 495983 501967 502960
 0.01 453098 450092 445091 442091 440092 433092 431089 428089
      426089 426094 429097 434100 436098 439098 441097 444099
      448102 452100 453098
 0.01 407773 407766 405763 402762 399764 397761 395755 398747
      398742 397738 394738 391740 385746 381752 378761 374762
      370765 368764 366768 367775 370778 373779 379785 379800
      380805 382807 387803 389799 390795 394787 400782 403780
      405776 407773
 0.01 379151 378148 377144 376141 374139 372141 370142 369147
      369149 369154 370156 372159 373162 375159 376157 377153
      379151
 0.01 368210 368209 366208 365207 365206 363205 361205 359205
      359206 360208 361209 362210 364211 366212 368211 368210
 0.01 376801 374797 370799 365807 359814 356820 352823 348826
      346831 346837 347844 350846 352844 356839 359834 362825
      368815 373808 376803 376801
 0.01 355784 354777 353769 349758 350754 349748 346745 340746
      333750 328757 320761 314766 307773 303783 295799 292807
      284808 277812 270814 266810 267804 275798 281792 286785
      289776 288771 286768 282765 277763 272767 256779 250785
      245792 242799 237807 235815 235820 237822 245828 247833
      247841 244848 241858 243867 246875 252881 260885 264887
      265890 265893 262905 261915 262920 265922 281924 276930
      270934 267937 265942 263948 261953 259956 257961 257966
      259968 264967 268968 275974 278977 281979 285979 288978
      296973 302964 307958 311949 314939 319935 327930 332928
      335929 335932 338934 341932 344927 344921 344917 342910
      337903 334894 329885 327876 325871 326868 328863 326858
      328852 331848 338830 342823 344814 351795 355784
 0.01 272824 270823 268823 268822 266821 265822 263821 262823
      263825 265826 267826 269826 271826 272824
 0.25 478719 478713 477706 473704 470707 465715 463722 460740
      456755 453778 452786 448794 444799 437803 433809 431816
      426835 425840 423844 419850 412861 408867 404876 396891
      390905 387913 386922 384929 380937 378946 376957 377965
      376975 374984 373993 373005 373011 371014 371020 373024
      378025 382024 390011 398001 401998 404996 407995 408000
      411008 413012 417013 421008 425001 429995 432989 435980
      437971 443951 446931 448923 452916 454909 457901 459890
      460877 463857 466839 468819 468808 467793 468784 471775
      475759 476751 477740 477727 478719
 0.25 387772 387769 387767 387766 385766 384768 383768 382770
      382773 384774 385774 386775 386774 387772 387772
 0.25 393050 392049 390049 388049 387049 386050 386052 388052
      390052 391052 392051 393050
 0.25 375189 375188 373188 372188 373189 374189 375189
 0.25 378073 379071 379069 378068 377069 377071 378073 378074
      378073
 0.25 366160 366159 366157 365155 365154 363153 361153 359153
      358154 359155 359156 361157 362158 363159 364160 366160
      366160
 0.25 367054 364049 358051 351053 347055 334049 320046 317048
      313049 312051 316052 318058 322063 329066 334066 340063
      347063 351062 354064 358068 363068 364066 361061 364058
      367054
 0.25 334772 333767 331767 327770 323780 318787 312795 309799
      307803 306808 307811 310814 319813 324812 328808 330796
      331785 333774 334772
 0.25 316873 315865 313856 311848 310841 311834 309831 304825
      302824 298824 296827 296832 291835 289838 290842 295845
      298852 302852 304867 303884 304889 306891 310886 314880
      316873 316873
 0.25 296075 297069 296065 292062 288062 279061 275060 270059
      262062 255065 256069 260071 266076 272081 277083 283083
      289079 296075
 0.25 298954 298949 296948 294949 292952 290954 288956 287958
      285961 284964 286966 288967 292968 294966 295962 296960
      297956 298954
 0.25 290851 281848 272843 266837 262836 259837 257841 256846
      253850 250855 251859 255862 260862 265861 269862 279866
      282866 284864 286860 288854 287850 289853 290851
 0.25 263796 262796 260795 259795 257796 256797 255798 253799
      253800 253802 254804 256804 258804 259803 261801 262799
      262797 263796
 0.50 471748 471743 471738 469735 466737 464742 462750 462758
      462765 463775 465777 467769 468761 470756 471748
 0.50 463822 463812 461803 458800 453802 447810 439818 437820
      436825 435833 430845 425854 422858 419864 395904 391917
      387930 382941 380947 379954 379959 380968 380973 379982
      379990 380995 379009 385008 390004 396995 399989 400982
      402968 404961 408955 412953 416953 418955 422966 423973
      422980 423987 425986 426983 428976 429973 431971 438949
      440943 441933 442927 443918 448911 451904 453896 454878
      456863 459851 461837 463822
 0.50 363054 361053 359053 358053 356053 356054 355055 356056
      357057 359057 361056 363054 363054
 0.50 335058 335056 334054 332054 331053 330053 329053 327052
      326053 325055 325057 327058 328059 330059 332059 334059
      335058
 0.50 323793 322792 321793 320793 319794 318795 317797 317798
      318800 319799 321798 322797 323795 323794 323793
 0.50 286072 286068 282065 277064 273063 270062 266065 265069
      269071 272073 277075 280076 284074 286072
 1.00 450853 451846 449840 446838 444839 440845 437854 433862
      431866 431871 434879 433888 432892 429895 422899 419897
      415897 411896 406899 401903 396910 393917 391926 388935
      384943 382949 381955 382961 383965 384972 382983 385986
      388985 392979 403945 407938 411937 414939 423949 427951
      431947 434940 436930 436918 443880 446873 448865 450853
 1.50 432938 431908 429903 427908 425913 422917 419919 417914
      414908 410907 403908 399910 395920 391932 388941 385947
      384955 386968 386974 385981 388980 391975 393970 395965
      398952 401939 404929 406927 410927 414930 420938 423942
      428943 431940 432938
 2.00 428938 429935 429933 429930 429928 429926 429923 428922
      426921 425924 424924 423926 423928 422931 422933 423934
      423935 424938 426939 428938 428938
 2.00 410919 408915 405913 400915 398918 394928 391937 388946
      387952 388956 389963 391966 395959 396945 399936 401924
      405919 410919

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 537824 536808 533796 529783 525771 523765 524757 525743
      522712 516690 511676 507667 503658 501653 499645 497641
      494639 490633 486630 482631 475637 456650 442664 429677
      406703 401709 396717 394726 395732 397736 394738 388744
      384747 382751 380755 383759 385763 391762 394762 396763
      394768 391774 388777 380795 370809 365817 362814 359814
      351820 346827 339826 331828 328826 329822 330816 332811
      335807 339804 346797 354791 357780 360770 359758 358753
      355749 353745 350744 346743 343747 338756 335765 331773
      324786 320793 317803 311811 307820 297838 294847 294860
      298882 297892 294900 289918 286930 283939 279949 277959
      277966 279970 285971 290969 303959 307956 310952 315943
      318935 318924 320905 321897 322892 324881 329885 336893
      343897 341909 339921 338929 337934 336945 333957 330970
      327980 323987 315991 304000 298007 296012 300015 306018
      308022 304025 297029 293038 285047 282050 276050 257052
      251052 249056 247067 259080 264083 272087 281092 285094
      289093 294093 298095 305100 311107 315110 320110 337103
      341105 345101 345098 344095 344091 343086 347082 350080
      356081 363085 367084 371086 373090 373096 373098 376101
      379101 383097 387091 389087 388082 390077 393073 408065
      411060 411054 403048 388036 380031 371030 370026 372021
      375011 378992 388972 396954 404938
 0.01 404938 411921 414915 419908 439887 449874 453868 459862
      463855 465852 468851 472858 474865 486876 490881 491884
      489886 488889 480906 478909 479912 482922 487939 492946
      495948 497952 500952 504955 506954 509950 513943 516936
      520927 521923 521915 522904 523892 523880 525870 530862
      534856 536849 537840 536829 537824
 0.01 438211 437208 434205 431197 429190 426184 421178 416174
      412167 410162 406166 405171 406175 409182 412187 416194
      414198 412201 406198 404199 401197 395196 388193 379183
      368181 363178 359181 364188 370192 380201 385206 394207
      396206 400208 403214 405216 406220 411226 406229 404233
      411234 414233 416229 418226 421225 425222 430219 433216
      438211
 0.01 416156 414148 413144 410142 407144 406148 404153 403149
      398143 391139 389136 389131 390125 391122 399121 402123
      405122 409116 411108 410098 409094 406093 397103 395106
      392109 387109 384110 379113 374118 366119 363116 359116
      355115 352116 352120 354122 360127 368130 372136 375143
      370150 363152 360154 361158 367162 373166 379163 384168
      387173 392179 398176 402169 403160 416156
 0.01 362845 360839 360834 358834 354839 350843 345845 342850
      341854 341858 343860 346860 349857 356856 360851 362845
 0.01 294805 294799 291797 286796 284792 282788 279785 273781
      265777 258777 254779 252783 248790 239804 236812 234822
      236834 240840 246841 252839 255837 260836 271824 279819
      286814 287810 291808 294805
 0.25 517774 516766 513760 510755 506753 504751 503747 502738
      501720 500706 500689 500677 499661 498654 495647 492643
      488640 483640 479644 473653 461668 457678 455683 455690
      451701 448707 444712 437719 428726 424729 421732 416742
      412752 410763 406773 399782 392790 386799 382809 377819
      377824 380828 382832 384838 385844 384850 381855 378860
      365862 358869 354877 351888 347912 341938 338949 336964
      334976 331987 331993 332999 334003 338006 344006 349004
      354006 359007 364997 366992 367988 365987 358989 358981
      360976 363965 367956 370954 374956 377963 382964 386953
      390941 393931 394925 397922 402913 406901 411892 418884
      426876 433869 439860 445851 450844 456837 472823 478814
      479811 482810 487812 490813 494810 497806 500801 503791
      505787 507785 509789 510791 513792 515786 517774
 0.25 398055 396051 394048 389044 380042 371042 362041 358043
      357047 361054 368055 377055 381058 384061 389061 396057
      398055
 0.25 382069 382067 378065 375065 371066 369066 371066 373069
      374071 375075 377078 378078 380076 381072 382069
 0.25 346785 346783 345781 343782 342783 342784 341786 340787
      339788 338789 337790 336791 335792 334793 335795 335796
      337795 338795 339794 341792 342790 344788 344787 345785
      346785
 0.25 304078 304076 303075 302076 300076 298078 298079 298080
      299080 301081 303080 303079 304078
 0.25 299943 300939 298937 297937 296940 294943 294945 292949
      291952 290954 292955 294953 296952 297949 298945 299943
 0.25 287083 285079 283076 280072 276071 274071 269069 265070
      267074 270075 276077 279080 281082 286084 287083
 0.25 278801 277794 275791 267789 261790 258791 251796 245803
      242809 241816 242820 246823 250823 256823 260821 264814
      267810 271808 275806 277803 278801
 0.50 497673 497665 496657 491648 488646 484647 477653 473660
      468669 465677 463686 460696 456705 449721 444729 438735
      425745 423749 421754 422758 423760 427762 435762 438763
      441767 441774 442781 441794 441805 441817 443822 445827
      449829 454829 463816 474803 483789 486786 488780 489774
      491770 493766 494761 495751 497724 496714 496701 497673
 0.50 429850 430846 429843 425841 421845 419849 417853 416858
      415863 415870 418874 421871 424867 425862 427857 428852
      429850
 0.50 406873 405866 403862 397858 394859 391863 386870 384874
      384878 390884 392889 392895 392904 395905 397903 398899
      401889 404880 406873
 0.50 402822 400819 402811 403804 401800 399799 395800 392801
      390803 388808 387815 388824 392826 398829 399830 401828
      402822
 0.50 393052 392050 390048 389047 388047 387046 385046 383046
      382047 381048 379049 381050 382051 383052 384053 386054
      388054 390054 392054 393052
 0.50 386934 385918 383913 379909 375905 371905 367907 366900
      367892 365883 362880 358883 355888 353894 353902 353908
      349921 346932 342945 339957 338973 337984 339991 342992
      344991 349988 351984 356972 360961 366950 373943 382943
      386934
 0.50 275801 274796 271794 268793 264794 257796 252800 247805
      245813 246816 250818 253816 257816 260816 262813 265806
      270803 275801
 1.00 492669 490660 487655 484657 480661 475672 470683 461706
      459711 458719 457726 458734 461750 461757 461765 461775
      464784 466791 467793 469792 472786 473779 475765 476757
      476750 482741 489730 490725 491718 492685 492669
 1.00 360949 360944 359938 355932 352930 350933 347941 345949
      343956 342967 344975 349974 351971 354965 357957 360949
 1.50 486699 486691 484684 481682 478684 472691 470701 468707
      470714 471719 471723 470736 471740 473740 476736 480727
      483718 485707 486699
 1.50 356952 356945 355941 352937 349941 348945 346950 345956
      344960 345966 350965 352962 354958 355953 356952
 2.00 352956 353954 353952 353949 353947 353945 352943 352942
      351943 350943 350945 349947 348949 347952 347954 346956
      346958 346960 348961 349960 350960 351958 352957 352956

$$





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