Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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117
FXUS04 KWBC 262106
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
505 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 27/0000 UTC THRU SEP 30/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE...

MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 PACKAGE...FOCUSED
SOLELY ON THE FIRST 6-HR PERIOD AND BASED IN LARGE PART ON THE
LATEST HI-RES MODELS...INCLUDING RECENT RUNS OF THE HRRR.

DAY 1

NEW ENGLAND---MID ATLANTIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST

MODEL ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR WITH THE TIMING OF THE SURFACE
FRONT---INITIALLY STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN LAKES INTO THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS---AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD INTO NEW
ENGLAND---THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S.  FAVORABLE UPPER
DIFFLUENCE AND WELL DEFINED FRONTAL CONVERGENCE IN AN AXIS OF
ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES WILL SUPPORT AN ORGANIZED AREA OF FRONTAL
AND PRE-FRONTAL PRECIP---WITH AREAL AVERAGE MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE.

COASTAL CAROLINAS

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST AND NC COAST AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPSTREAM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WAVE TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.  HOWEVER---THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION SHIELD MAY AFFECT
THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SC AND NC WITH MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS.

UPPER LAKES

LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SLOW EASTWARD PUSH
OF THE STRONG CLOSED LOW IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE SUPERIOR DAY 1.
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE ASSOCIATED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION
PRECIPITATION BAND WILL PUSH ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES REGION FROM
NORTHEAST MN---ACROSS NORTHERN WI--THE U.P. OF MI AND THE NORTHERN
L.P. OF MI.   CYCLONIC FLOW OFF OF LAKE SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN WILL ENHANCE PRECIP TOTALS OVER THE U.P. AND NORTHWEST
L.P.  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TOTALS IN THE .25-.50" RANGE DEPICTED
WITH HEAVIER TOTALS IN AREAS OF LAKE ENHANCEMENT TO THE
PRECIPITATION.

SOUTH TX

THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH TX WILL BE
PUSHING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY.  WHILE PW
VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE VICINITY OF
THIS FRONT OVER SOUTH TX THIS PERIOD---MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR
DECREASING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL FOR SOUTH TX AND A SOUTHWARD
SHIFT IN THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIP POTENTIAL TO ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE SOUTH TX COAST AND INTO FAR NORTHEAST MEXICO.  WITH THE
EXPECTED DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF
PRECIPITATION---THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TO SOUTH TX ALSO EXPECTED TO DECREASE.  THE PREVIOUS SLIGHT RISK
AREA WAS TAKEN OUT---WITH A BROAD MARGINAL RISK AREA MAINTAINED.

SOUTHWEST INTO FAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

THE CLOSED LOW THAT HAS RETROGRADED ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK TOWARDS THE NORTH THROUGH THE
NORTHERN BAJA AND TOWARD SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA.
 WITH PW VALUES EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE TO THE NORTH OF
THIS CIRCULATION---SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST FROM SW TX---SOUTHERN NM INTO SOUTHERN/CENTRAL AZ AND
INTO FAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  THE DAY 1 QPF DID NOT DEVIATE FROM
THE MODEL CONSENSUS OF LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE TOTALS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...EASTERN U.S...

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF FROM THE
MEAN FLOW AND DRIFT SOUTH ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. THE EXACT EVOLUTION AND LOCATION OF THIS UPPER LOW WILL
PLAY A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IN THE MAGNITUDE AND LOCATION OF
POTENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY. AS THE
UPPER LOW BEGINS TO DROP SOUTH EXPECT THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING
COLD FRONT TO STALL ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO THE EASTERN MID
ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY. NOT EXPECTING AREAL AVERAGED AMOUNTS TO BE
TOO HIGH THROUGH 0Z THURSDAY...WITH THE BETTER SYNOPTIC FORCING
AND MOISTURE NOT YET IN PLACE. ALTHOUGH WITH SOME TRAINING
POTENTIAL ALONG THE SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY AND LOCALIZED HEAVIER
TOTALS SHOWN IN SOME OF THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE... A MARGINAL RISK
WAS MAINTAINED ALONG THE BOUNDARY FOR DAY 2.

THE RISK OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION APPEARS TO INCREASE AFTER 0Z
THURSDAY AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DIG AND TAKE ON MORE OF A
NEUTRAL TO SLIGHT NEGATIVE TILT...RESULTING IN INCREASED UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. A PRONOUNCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS IS ALSO
FORECAST TO DEVELOP BETWEEN INCREASED SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
EAST OF THE LOW AND NORTHEASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF A BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH. THIS CONVERGENCE AXIS WILL LIKELY ADVECT
ANOMALOUS MOISTURE WESTWARD OFF THE ATLANTIC...WITH PWAT ANOMALIES
OF 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FORECAST. ALSO APPEARS TO BE AT LEAST
SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY THAT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS
CONVERGENCE AXIS...SUGGESTING THAT EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS
ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE RAIN SHIELD. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT...IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE....SLOW MOVEMENT
OF BOTH THE UPPER LOW AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS...AND
MARGINAL INSTABILITY...SUGGESTS AN AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
THURSDAY. THE MAIN QUESTION IS EXACTLY WHERE...WITH MODEL GUIDANCE
SHOWING DIFFERING SOLUTIONS.

THE 12Z GFS/GEM ARE FURTHER EAST WITH THE UPPER LOW...WHICH
RESULTS IN A FURTHER NORTHEAST CONVERGENCE AXIS AND RESULTANT QPF.
MEANWHILE THE 12Z ECMWF REMAINS THE FURTHEST WEST
SOLUTION...ALTHOUGH IT DID TREND A BIT EAST OF ITS 0Z RUN. WPC
CONTINUES TO PREFER A SOLUTION IN BETWEEN THE EAST GFS AND WEST
ECMWF...AS BOTH MODELS APPEAR TO BE SLOWLY TRENDING TOWARDS A
SIMILAR SOLUTION. WPC QPF THUS GENERALLY FOLLOWED A SOLUTION IN
BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF...WHICH CONTINUES TO BE RESEMBLED CLOSEST BY
THE 12Z UKMET. THIS RESULTS IN A MAX QPF AXIS STRETCHING FROM
SOUTHEAST PA SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF MD AND EASTERN VA. CONFIDENCE
IN THIS AXIS IS ONLY AVERAGE GIVEN THE LARGE MODEL SPREAD...SO
HOPEFULLY FUTURE MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARDS A COMMON
SOLUTION. GENERALLY KEPT OUR MAX QPF IN THE 2-4" RANGE ACROSS THIS
AREA GIVEN THE CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY...HOWEVER LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
OF 4-6" SEEM POSSIBLE BASED ON THE SETUP AND MODEL QPF OUTPUT. AS
CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN THE EXACT LOCATION...MAY THUS HAVE TO BUMP
UP AMOUNTS A BIT FROM THE CURRENT FORECAST. CONTINUED WITH A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE WPC PREFERRED HEAVY
RAINFALL AXIS. AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN THE EXACT AXIS OF
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MAY EVENTUALLY NEED TO UPGRADE TO A MODERATE
RISK...ESPECIALLY IF INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST ALONG
THE CONVERGENCE XIS.


...GREAT LAKES...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW
OVERHEAD RESULTING IN STEEP LAPSE RATES. EVEN LOOKS LIKE SOME LAKE
EFFECT ENHANCEMENT AT TIMES. WPC QPF FAVORED THE HIGHER RES
GUIDANCE THROUGH 12Z WED...WHICH USUALLY CAPTURE THE LOCALIZED
CONVERGENCE AND LAKE EFFECT ENHANCEMENT BETTER THAN THE GLOBAL
MODELS. THIS RESULTS IN ONE MAXIMUM ALONG THE SOUTHEAST SHORE OF
LAKE MICHIGAN...AND ANOTHER ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN SHORE OF LAKE
SUPERIOR.


...FAR SOUTHERN TX...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPRESSED WITH TIME AS HIGH PRESSURE
NOSES SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG WITH DRIER AIR.
HOWEVER THE GUIDANCE HANGS ON TO A NORTH/SOUTH AXIS OF STRONGER
SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LOWER TX COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE COLD FRONT SETTLING FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS RIGHT ALONG AND
JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTH TX COAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE
ACTIVITY GRADUALLY PUSHING SOUTH AND DIMINISHING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WPC QPF GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A GFS/ECMWF BLEND
THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAY NEED TO CONSIDER AN UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT
RISK ON THE NIGHT SHIFT FOR OUR CURRENT DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z TUE-12Z
WED)...AS QUITE A FEW OF THE HIGH RES DATA SETS ARE SHOWING THE
POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION MOVING ASHORE ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SO SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON.


...SOUTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH INTO MID WEEK. INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE
EAST OF THIS SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASED SYNOPTIC
SUPPORT FOR ASCENT...SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE
ACROSS THE WEST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WITH THE THREAT SHIFTING
NORTH WITH TIME. ASSUMING WE CAN GENERATE SOME INSTABILITY(WHICH
IS FORECAST TO BE MARGINAL AT BEST)...A MARGINAL FLASH FLOOD
THREAT MAY EVENTUALLY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF OF THE SOUTHWEST
AS PRECIPITABLE WATER ANOMALIES INCREASE ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL
90TH PERCENTILE ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/CA/NV/UT. MAIN LIMITING
FACTOR IS THE LACK OF A WELL DEFINED SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO FOCUS
CONVECTION AND LIMITED INSTABILITY...ALTHOUGH COULD BE JUST ENOUGH
OF BOTH OF THESE TO RESULT IN AT LEAST SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT WED/THU.

PEREIRA/ORAVEC/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 28/00Z
 0.01 557895 557881 556868 555850 553838 551831 549825 545816
      541804 537792 534784 530777 520760 510743 499726 494719
      493708 492700 490695 487683 471638 466632 460629 450628
      441631 423642 420645 414648 409656 400669 390685 385694
      380700 371706 364711 349720 335730 327736 323744 314742
      308743 304746 302747 299751 296758 293767 289774 285783
      278790 274792 270790 263786 254787 250788 247790 240796
      237804 236814 239824 242828 247830 254834 260836 264837
      269837 275837 279840 283848 285852 285858 285865 284868
      285884 285891 284896 284906 284912 283916 280927 277930
      272930 268931 265935 259939 244952 236960 233961 233965
      230973 230985 231987 231989 231991 231993 231995 230997
      230999 230001 230003 230005 230007 229009 226044 228052
      231057 243068 258076 266080 271083 273086 283097 288102
      292110 295119 295125 293127 290127 286124 282125 279128
      279132 284138 289144 300155 313165 317168 322170 331171
      339169 340166 336164 333162 330157 334149 339141 341138
      344136 352132 355129 358125 355118 351111 349108 347103
      345095 342086 336078 330060 322048 320045 320039 317030
      314022 309015 302010 295004 286993 287982 290971 294963
      298956 303950 308941 310935 312926 312920 313913 314909
      315906 317901 317898 320890 323881 327877 330874 339863
      341861 343864 350861 356853 357849 361850 366843 370835
      378823 390811 402799 408793 412790 417789 429786 435785
      441782
 0.01 441782 446781 450780 455781 457783 454786 450787 447790
      442796 439804 436808 435813 433816 435821 444832 443836
      441841 436849 430852 425858 424863 424867 426872 429876
      431885 431891 430896 430903 432907 436914 441920 447924
      455928 459935 468947 474952 482956 489958 497957 501956
      506956 509957 512956 518955 527952 533949 541944 551935
      555911 557895
 0.01 540197 542184 542178 539174 540170 539164 537159 533157
      531157 528155 523155 520155 512150 505143 503141 498141
      496144 497149 500154 503157 505162 501168 500176 504187
      509195 506208 503211 499210 491209 485208 482209 478212
      474213 470213 469218 473219 477218 481218 484220 489223
      490227 498244 486248 486256 489266 494274 496279 499282
      503284 506283 513279 519272 523262 529239 535212 540197
 0.01 515840 515834 513830 510823 506814 502806 499800 493795
      483787 478783 470782 467782 466785 468786 473790 477797
      478810 479815 481818 485826 488833 492840 500852 502856
      506856 513851 515840
 0.01 480244 480238 478234 473234 469234 465234 460234 457235
      454238 456242 461244 464243 469244 473244 478244 480244
 0.01 465782 463780 462781 460781 458783 460785 462785 464784
      465782
 0.01 304865 304863 304861 303859 303857 302855 302853 301851
      301848 301846 301844 299842 298844 298847 298849 298851
      299853 298855 299857 300859 300861 301863 301865 303866
      304865
 0.25 533190 534181 531175 527172 522172 518177 515182 514187
      516190 519195 524200 528203 532197 533190
 0.25 545893 546886 545878 542866 539861 536860 528865 521869
      514875 507880 498885 492889 489889 486884 481857 464819
      460819 458822 455832 452843 446851 443854 439856 436860
      437863 440867 445868 449869 452874 453896 453902 455910
      457915 461918 468917 471918 472925 478933 484940 491943
      500944 517938 524934 530928 536920 540912 543901 545893
 0.25 538840 536826 534817 532809 528799 522786 516775 511765
      504756 497747 490739 482732 478730 476731 475735 475740
      477743 481747 488753 492758 495763 500774 503779 506784
      512794 519806 523815 531825 535834 538840
 0.25 516264 516258 514253 513248 511244 509240 504239 504242
      504248 506253 508258 510262 514265 516264
 0.25 461658 461654 459650 455645 448643 440645 433649 425654
      419659 413665 387707 375722 367724 357726 350729 342733
      335739 328753 325758 320763 312764 309769 308775 309781
      308790 309798 311801 314803 320801 327798 333792 338787
      348774 356761 361757 364759 364765 362773 359781 356788
      352795 347802 342809 340815 338823 337832 338840 340845
      344845 350842 355835 359828 362822 366827 369826 372823
      376817 383802 398793 406783 410777 414770 417761 420753
      419747 422743 426736 428721 428718 427712 426709 427705
      429702 437688 440679 445671 461658
 0.25 437758 438753 436749 435746 433744 430744 429745 429750
      431752 430757 430760 429763 427765 428768 431767 433766
      435763 437760 437758
 0.25 401765 401762 400761 399762 398763 397764 396765 395766
      394768 396769 398769 399768 400767 401765 401765
 0.25 298941 297938 294937 288941 277947 272951 266954 261956
      254958 247959 242963 238968 235975 234981 235990 237997
      240002 245005 250009 259019 263022 267027 270032 273034
      277035 282033 286028 287022 285014 279002 276997 271993
      268991 268989 270982 279974 287965 291960 294953 298941
 0.25 283053 277044 273040 269038 259031 253030 247028 242026
      237026 235027 233031 233037 234043 237047 245054 255061
      266065 273066 276065 278063 283053
 0.25 281809 272804 263801 257802 254801 253799 251798 248800
      246805 244815 246819 250820 256821 257817 255815 252811
      254807 257807 258810 259815 262819 268819 272816 277814
      280811 281809
 0.50 539890 537884 533879 529877 522878 514884 505891 500893
      496898 492903 491906 492910 495915 499919 504921 510923
      514923 520921 528913 535904 537898 539890
 0.50 475890 476880 474876 473874 469873 466875 463881 461888
      460896 460900 462905 465910 469910 472905 474902 474897
      475890
 0.50 464829 464826 462826 460830 458835 456840 455845 453849
      451853 453857 456854 459849 460844 461839 463834 464829
 0.50 436659 433656 428657 421663 409679 404686 400694 397705
      394715 391723 386731 377748 369765 366775 364787 360793
      354800 350809 346818 345822 345827 349829 352827 359820
      364811 367804 374799 378790 383781 391765 402748 406741
      407737 409732 414724 417719 417712 425696 428687 429681
      430673 436659
 0.50 394782 394780 393780 392780 390781 388782 387783 387784
      386786 386788 387790 387791 389791 390790 391789 392787
      392786 393785 394783 394782
 0.50 368737 367732 362731 352734 345737 338742 334748 329757
      322770 317775 313783 312786 313792 315796 319797 326793
      332787 336782 343776 348770 352764 362751 366744 368737
 0.50 291954 292947 288949 279954 270957 259961 249963 245966
      242970 238979 237986 238993 240997 243000 251007 258012
      267017 272019 275019 277016 277009 275003 273999 270996
      262990 259986 259982 263979 268977 272976 276973 284966
      288960 291954
 0.50 267052 264047 260044 256041 252036 248033 244032 240033
      237037 240043 244046 249049 253053 257055 261056 265056
      267052
 1.00 525894 524892 523891 521892 520892 519893 518894 516895
      515896 513897 512898 513899 515899 516899 518898 519898
      521897 522897 523897 524895 525894
 1.00 470893 471890 471888 471885 470884 468885 466888 466890
      465893 465894 465895 465898 465899 467900 468898 469895
      470894 470893
 1.00 361742 361739 359738 351740 346742 341746 338750 335755
      330766 322775 321780 321782 324784 329783 334778 343772
      350762 356753 359748 361742
 1.00 361810 361807 360807 359808 358808 357809 356810 355812
      355813 354815 354817 356818 357817 357816 358814 359813
      359812 360810 361810
 1.00 279966 278962 274962 266963 261964 254965 249968 247974
      248976 252976 257975 264974 270973 275970 279966
 1.00 270009 268003 264998 260994 257992 251989 246990 243991
      243996 247999 252002 256005 262008 267010 270009
 1.50 357745 357741 355741 350743 344746 340751 337756 335760
      334765 335769 337771 342770 345765 349760 352755 355750
      357745
 1.50 269970 269968 268968 266967 265967 263968 262968 263969
      263970 265970 266970 268970 269970
 1.50 259000 258000 257998 257997 255997 254996 253995 251994
      251996 251998 253999 255999 257999 257000 258000 259000
 2.00 351751 350748 347748 345748 343749 342751 340754 339758
      338760 338764 340768 343766 345763 346761 348758 349756
      350753 351751

24HR QP VT 29/00Z
 0.01 456625 454633 451638 448643 442650 439656 439662 438666
      435673 433679 422730 424748 424753 423756 420764 418772
      422778 426783 430790 436803 441806 445806 446804 458798
      463793 468794 471802 474807 476810 476813 475820 475826
      481867 483875 484886 482892 479897 471909 467914 464916
      460917 455913 451908 448903 445904 443909 440916 438919
      438926 434924 429921 424914 420907 418902 415896 411889
      407885 403873 402869 398867 394865 389859 387861 385860
      382857 379857 371858 370853 368849 368842 375832 378827
      384824 393816 394811 391809 385804 379803 376801 374804
      369809 365815 361818 358821 354822 350823 348826 344831
      337840 334845 330851 328853 324853 317852 313856 310861
      306868 304873 303882 302886 299888 293900 286912 284912
      282906 284901 283893 278880 272865 271863 270858 270851
      273843 271836 267831 261826 252820 248818 247816 245814
      245809 246802 251798 253797 254792 255786 258782 266781
      280780 288779 296777 303774 307772 309769 308765 310762
      309757 307754 306749 304744 303736 310726 316716 323707
      410647 414647 419645 423636
 0.01 457702 457697 454697 447698 444700 443702 438707 433710
      428713 427715 427719 431721 436719 439717 443716 444714
      447714 451712 454708 457702
 0.01 393144 391139 389141 386146 383143 381137 380135 381132
      385132 388127 390122 388118 383117 379121 373127 371128
      368127 370122 369117 372111 373107 370104 367102 367099
      366093 364090 361087 352081 347078 342077 331076 328076
      328080 326082 323082 319083 315080 311077 305075 301073
      296073 288079 286082 286089 287094 289098 296104 300107
      304109 313114 319116 318119 321121 324126 327125 329127
      329129 330136 332140 341139 342144 345147 342149 344153
      344158 349163 355169 360174 364171 363168 357166 357163
      360162 369165 377160 384155 390149 393144
 0.01 368185 366182 361180 356180 353182 350183 346186 344191
      346194 349192 351187 355185 359185 364185 368185
 0.01 367146 367144 366143 364143 363143 362144 361145 362147
      364147 365148 367146
 0.01 343180 345173 346167 343163 342159 339156 335154 335158
      336161 338164 334165 332167 335170 339172 340177 343180
      343180
 0.01 340122 339121 338120 337119 336118 334117 332117 331116
      329116 327116 325117 327119 327120 328122 329122 330124
      332123 332122 334123 335123 337123 339124 340122
 0.01 231979 235981 236986 237996 244000 250996 252992 255989
      262985 270981 275975 281969 287964 292949 281937 275931
      268927 263927 259929 252933 244937 239942 237945 237951
      235955 232957
 0.01 226050 234054 236057 241059 248064 253069 260074 265074
      265072 262068 261063 262061 264062 268063 274069 278071
      280070 282070 281065 275059 268055 263049 260047 258041
      254034 254028 256024 252016 248014 244016 241025 240030
      237033 233034 229032 228032
 0.25 474892 474887 473882 468881 467878 464878 465885 463889
      460895 458898 459903 461910 465909 468903 472898 474892
 0.25 457854 456850 454849 448850 441850 435847 432844 426842
      422846 418850 415855 413861 415868 417875 420879 425883
      430884 437883 440879 445875 451873 455869 456857 457854
 0.25 425664 425659 423655 421655 417656 408665 403670 402664
      393669 382676 371684 362691 357695 351699 346702 340706
      335711 333716 333721 334725 336731 340742 344746 346748
      350749 360744 370736 376734 379734 381736 380744 378751
      372755 368759 360768 355771 350774 344777 338777 332780
      329786 329794 331796 331800 329805 335806 337807 337810
      337813 339815 343816 347814 351811 359803 366792 372781
      380770 394752 397746 400739 401736 401731 396731 392730
      388727 390724 395720 401723 404724 407722 414710 419699
      422684 425664
 0.25 423825 422822 420821 416821 411821 406822 404825 401829
      401834 405836 410834 414832 419831 421827 423825
 0.25 331099 329098 327099 325099 324100 323100 321101 321102
      320104 320106 321106 323107 324107 325107 326106 327105
      328103 329101 331099 331099
 0.25 321093 320092 319091 317090 315089 313088 311090 313091
      315092 317093 318093 320094 321093
 0.25 293797 292795 291793 289792 288792 286792 284793 282794
      281795 280796 280798 281799 282800 283801 285801 287801
      288800 290799 292798 293797
 0.25 232975 242976 248977 252980 258980 263979 271974 274971
      275966 273954 274949 271945 267945 263949 258950 254953
      250956 246958 240958 235960 232963
 0.25 266806 265804 263803 261803 259804 258805 257807 258809
      260810 262810 264809 265807 266806
 0.50 469898 470895 468893 467895 467897 466898 465900 465901
      464903 465904 467903 468900 469898
 0.50 439866 436864 434858 431856 427853 422855 419857 416861
      417867 421870 424871 430870 435869 438868 439866
 0.50 420676 420669 418664 413667 409674 406682 404689 404699
      405708 405712 407712 413706 417700 418691 419683 420676
 0.50 395675 393673 389674 382679 370690 363695 356699 343710
      342713 341718 342726 345736 348740 351742 356741 360738
      365733 378723 382715 386708 391690 395675
 0.50 365775 364771 360771 355776 350780 345785 342792 341796
      341800 347804 353804 356801 358799 361792 363782 365775
 0.50 272968 268961 264960 261960 250961 241962 233967 232970
      233973 239972 243970 250974 253978 257979 264976 268973
      271970 272968
 1.00 415689 415686 414684 413682 412685 411687 411690 412692
      413692 415690 415689
 1.00 428862 427861 426861 424862 422862 421862 420863 421865
      422866 424865 426864 428863 428862
 1.00 385692 382688 377689 372692 369695 362702 356707 352710
      351714 351720 352726 354731 355733 358733 363726 366723
      370720 374718 376714 381706 384699 385692
 1.00 354795 355793 353791 352793 351795 351798 352798 353797
      354797 354795
 1.00 267970 267968 266968 265966 264966 263965 261965 259965
      257965 255965 255966 254967 253968 252970 254971 254972
      255973 256974 257975 259975 261974 262974 263974 264972
      265972 266971 267970
 1.50 381700 380695 376695 372697 371700 369704 366706 361707
      358710 357714 357719 358723 360725 365719 368713 369710
      371709 375708 377707 381700

24HR QP VT 30/00Z
 0.01 231990 234988 237988 242990 244984 246983 249983 252987
      255988 257986 259986 263990 266992 268988 269980 272975
      276965 276947 276915 279902 283893 291868 295864 301863
      304860 302856 301852 302850 304844 304838 304833 306828
      309822 309820 311818 316816 321814 326810 333803 336802
      340802 345804 349809 351817 352822 350825 348831 348837
      348841 350844 350858 350862 351866 354866 364865 371873
      376876 379877 383877 389877 393877 397878 403878 407875
      416877 422877 427874 432873 431866 428861 428857 431855
      439847 445836 449833 454830 452827 452822 451814 452807
      452797 452790 452780 452773 450764 450760 448758 445753
      442746 439738 439730 441725 444715 440708 438702 435698
      430695 410692 397692 388691 379699 370707 362714 353721
      344728 335734 315746 311750 307752 297758 291763 287765
      279767 275769 261772 258772 258775 257781 251805 243825
      238836 235842 234847 238875 238936 238952 237959 235963
      232963
 0.01 516179 518164 516153 513150 509148 501147 493150 489152
      490155 491160 491168 492173 493176 498182 506180 511181
      514180 516179
 0.01 468142 464134 460130 456127 453124 453119 456113 456107
      456101 455095 450092 444089 440088 436090 432091 428089
      425086 425084 422080 418078 412077 409077 406075 404071
      401069 398072 398075 397079 395079 393078 389080 386079
      386077 384071 383069 380069 374071 365073 355074 351072
      345071 335072 329072 326072 324073 321075 316073 306070
      297063 290057 287053 282052 273056 269056 266054 260049
      255047 250045 245043 242048 242054 244059 246064 249068
      247070 248073 251077 249081 252080 255080 257082 262078
      269086 289092 302094 306097 308101 309107 311111 314114
      319115 323114 325116 323119 317129 310134 302137 293142
      290145 289152 289157 295159 304157 312154 319147 326140
      336137 338135 341136 345138 351140 354136 357138 362137
      366137 369139 371143 377144 380147 378150 375155 371163
      373175 376178 380179 389174 392172 394167 396161 397155
      399148 399141 400137 404137 408135 418138 419141 418143
      415149 415154 418157 421153 424149 425144 423140 423137
      425136 428137 431140 435145 440156 442161 445161 450161
      454159 461148 468142
 0.01 428056 425053 422052 418050 415052 411052 406053 397053
      393055 390059 390066 392069 396067 398063 400059 404057
      407059 410063 414066 416062 418057 421058 426058 428056
 0.01 338126 338124 337121 336119 334119 332119 330119 329120
      328122 330124 332124 333125 335125 337127 338126
 0.25 232975 238976 244975 250977 256978 261975 264968 263960
      261954 262947 262937 262928 260921 259918 256917 252921
      250926 248935 248950 247956 245964 242969 239970 235970
      230969
 0.25 444776 444766 442759 439753 436748 431745 428741 426732
      423727 415718 409717 403718 396717 391721 385724 380727
      364742 357744 352744 344745 339748 331755 325764 321769
      317774 308780 298786 284789 278792 275795 277799 283802
      289802 296801 308799 316797 322794 331787 336786 341788
      345792 349794 355797 359800 371801 372806 371810 369815
      363825 362832 362835 364836 372837 378836 385834 389830
      392824 395821 398819 402818 407821 411825 415830 419832
      424830 428826 431822 438811 441806 443800 443786 444776
 0.25 390100 387095 385092 382092 377091 371088 363086 359085
      355085 347085 342083 336086 332090 333098 335101 337103
      345104 348102 348097 347094 348091 351089 354091 356107
      363108 370107 376107 382105 388104 390100
 0.25 356120 357118 357116 356115 355113 353113 351115 350117
      350119 352121 353122 354122 356120 356120
 0.25 294836 295831 293826 288822 285821 285818 287815 288812
      287807 285805 282803 278804 275806 275811 279817 281819
      278820 270822 266829 263835 260842 259850 261858 267862
      273864 278859 282854 287848 290842 294836
 0.25 274069 272065 268062 264060 261057 258055 254053 250052
      248054 250058 253061 255063 258065 264068 267070 273069
      274069
 0.50 438770 437761 435754 430751 424750 418747 414744 406736
      400734 396734 394736 386744 380748 376753 372758 370765
      367770 363774 358776 352777 349783 350788 354788 359790
      363791 366791 373790 380790 386791 392793 396796 401799
      406803 413813 416818 420819 421818 426804 433794 436788
      438782 438770
 0.50 388813 387811 385810 385811 384812 382813 382814 381816
      382818 383818 384818 386817 387815 388814 388813
 0.50 366090 364089 362089 361089 362092 364092 366091 366090
 0.50 343096 343094 342091 340093 340095 340096 342097 343096
 0.50 289831 289827 287826 281825 276827 274832 272839 269843
      268849 271854 276851 279846 281841 283835 288832 289831
 0.50 258970 258966 257963 254962 252961 250962 248966 248968
      246970 246972 250974 252975 254974 256972 258970
 1.00 426765 425760 423757 417755 405748 399746 394746 392748
      385753 381759 377764 377770 375773 364782 363785 367784
      374781 379777 384780 392781 398784 410782 415776 421772
      426765
 1.50 415767 416764 415762 413759 407754 401751 398750 394751
      387755 382760 381763 381767 383771 385774 391777 399779
      405778 411773 415767 415767
 2.00 409768 407761 403755 399753 393755 388758 384762 385770
      389774 393775 400776 404776 406773 409768
 3.00 403767 403762 402760 400757 398756 396756 393758 391760
      391764 393766 394768 396771 400771 401769 403767

$$





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