Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210924
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
522 AM EDT SAT OCT 21 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 21/1200 UTC THRU OCT 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AN IMPRESSIVE AND LONG DURATION ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL
IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD. RAINFALL
RATES THIS MORNING WILL INITIALLY BE LIGHTER IN NATURE IN THE
BROAD WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW NOT IDEALLY
SITUATED INTO THE TERRAIN. HOWEVER BY THIS AFTERNOON RAINFALL
RATES WILL INCREASE AS LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS MORE WESTERLY AND
OROGRAPHIC ASCENT IS THUS MAXIMIZED. THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER AXIS
WILL FLUCTUATE A BIT TO THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN BACK
SOUTH TONIGHT...WHICH WILL SHIFT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL RATES FROM
OR EARLY TODAY...INTO WA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND THEN BACK
SOUTH INTO OR BY LATER TONIGHT.

THE ANOMALIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVENT ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE. LOW
LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW...INTEGRATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT...AND PWAT
VALUES...WILL ALL BE NEAR THEIR CLIMATOLOGICAL MAXIMUM VALUES FOR
AT LEAST A PORTION OF THIS EVENT. THUS THE IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL
TOTALS SEEN IN THE GUIDANCE ARE LEGITIMATE. ANTICIPATE PRETTY
WIDESPREAD 0.25" IN AN HOUR TOTALS ACROSS THE WESTERN WA/OR
TERRAIN...WITH RATES MAXIMIZING NEAR 0.75" IN AN HOUR IN THE MOST
PRONE UPSLOPE REGIONS. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY SHOULD
BE IN THE 4-6" RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE WA/OR COASTAL RANGES AND THE
CASCADES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 6-8"...WITH 1-2" MORE
COMMON OUTSIDE OF THE TERRAIN. THIS ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL
HAVE A PRETTY GOOD INLAND EXTENT...THUS ANTICIPATING 1-2" THROUGH
12Z SUNDAY INTO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AS WELL...WITH A
GOOD PORTION OF THIS FALLING AS RAIN AS SNOW LEVELS RISE THROUGH
THE DAY.

OVERALL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS EVENT. WPC QPF
THUS FOLLOWS CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS WITH MORE WEIGHTING
GIVEN THE TO THE HIGHER RES GUIDANCE. IN GENERAL CHANGES FROM
CONTINUITY WERE MINIMAL.

WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS
OF THE WESTERN OR/WA MOUNTAINS...WHERE THE LONG DURATION HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL LEAD TO SOME DEVELOPING FLOODING CONCERNS. MINOR
URBAN FLOODING CONCERNS COULD ALSO ARISE IN AND AROUND PORTLAND.


...FLORIDA...

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED TO THE CURRENT POST FRONTAL EAST
NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW REGIME ACROSS FL DAY 1.  SCATTERED
SHOWERS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OFF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND ACROSS THE
PENINSULA THIS PERIOD. SOME HIGHER PWAT AIR BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTHWARD OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH TO THE WEST...AND THIS MAY FOCUS
SOME HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR THE FL KEYS...ALTHOUGH CURRENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE HEAVIEST TOTALS REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF THE
KEYS.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY...

A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL PUSH INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT STEADILY PROGRESSING EAST AS
WELL. WILL HAVE PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
PLAINS AND MS VALLEY OUT AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES...WITH PRETTY
GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT SEEN AS WELL. THUS THE COMBINATION OF
DIURNAL HEATING...FALLING HEIGHTS AND STRONG SURFACE CONVERGENCE
ALONG/NEAR THE FRONT...WILL LIKELY ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
ALONG THE FRONT EXTENDING FROM IA SOUTHWEST INTO TX. OVERALL THE
FRONT AND TROUGH WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE DAY 1
PERIOD...WHICH SHOULD MEAN THE CONVECTION SHOULD ALSO BE STEADILY
PUSHED EAST. THIS FORWARD MOTION SHOULD CAP THE MAGNITUDE OF
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THAT CAN BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER THE ANOMALOUS PWATS
IN PLACE AND THE EXPECTED WIDESPREAD NATURE OF CONVECTION WILL
STILL SUPPORT SOME HEAVY RATES AND A BROAD AREA OF 1-2" EXTENDING
FROM PORTIONS OF KS/MO SOUTH INTO TX.

DO HOWEVER THINK THERE IS SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR BRIEF TRAINING OF
CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING DURING THE
FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF THE EVENT. MEAN WINDS ARE PARALLEL TO THE
FRONT...SO COULD IMAGINE THAT WE SEE SOME REPEAT CONVECTION FOR A
PERIOD ACROSS NORTHEAST TX INTO EASTERN OK/KS...BEFORE THE
CONVECTIVE LINE ORGANIZES AND PROPAGATES MORE QUICKLY OFF TO THE
EAST. THUS DO THINK SOME ISOLATED 2-4" AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THESE AREAS...AND WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT RISK OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KS/OK AND WESTERN MO/AR TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MAINLY MINOR
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATING THIS EVENT TO
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS GIVEN THE
GENERALLY LINEAR AND PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF CONVECTION AND
RELATIVELY HIGH FFG OVER THE REGION...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

OVERALL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM. WPC THUS
USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET ALONG WITH VARIOUS HIGH RES
SOLUTIONS TO GENERATE QPF. THIS RESULTS IN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
AMOUNTS FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT GENERALLY ONLY MINOR
CHANGES IN THE AXIS. ONE AREA OF UNCERTAINTY IS THE SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF CONVECTION ACROSS TX. THE VARIOUS HIGH RES GUIDANCE SHOW
A WIDE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS. TENDED TO LEAN THE FORECAST TOWARDS THE
HRW ARW2 OVER THIS AREA...AS DO THINK THAT THE CONVECTIVE LINE HAS
A GOOD CHANCE OF EXTENDING FURTHER SOUTH INTO TX THAN IS
ADVERTISED BY SOME OF THE OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS.



DAYS 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/NORTHERN
ROCKIES...

AN ONGOING ATMOSPHERIC RIVER INTO THE OR COAST DIMINISHES SUNDAY
AS RIDGING UPSTREAM/OFFSHORE REDIRECTS ENHANCED MOISTURE WELL
NORTH TO BC BY SUNDAY NIGHT. SEVERAL HOURS OF CONTINUED ABOVE
NORMAL PW (1.25 INCH PW IS 2-3 SIGMA ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE SOUTHERN
OR COAST) AND STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAKE FOR A FEW MORE INCHES
OF RAIN IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OR COAST RANGES AND CASCADES.
WILL MAINTAIN THE MARGINAL THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE RAIN FOR DAY 2
(12Z SUN-12Z MON) FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL CASCADES OF OR. WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET WITH NOTED
SIMILARITIES IN THEIR PRECIPITATION DEPICTION.

ENHANCED MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM EAST WITH NOTABLE PRECIP
PARTICULARLY ON EASTERN SLOPES OF THE REST OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES OF WY/MT FOR DAY 2. RIDGING PUSHES INLAND
ON DAY 3 WITH PRECIP ENDING IN SHORT ORDER FOR THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES MONDAY.


...SOUTHEAST NORTH TO GREAT LAKES...

A DEEP TROUGH SPANNING THE GREAT PLAINS SUNDAY MORNING WILL DRIFT
EAST TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY MONDAY MORNING WITH INTERACTION WITH A
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. ANOMALOUS POLEWARD MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE DEEP
TROUGH WILL BRING PW WITH STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES 2.5 TO 3 SIGMA
ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES.

THE 00Z NAM REMAINS AN OUTLIER DUE TO SLOW MOTION/EARLIER
MID-LEVEL CLOSING AND WAS NOT CONSIDERED FOR THE QPF BLEND. THE
WPC QPF IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF/UKMET.

CERTAINTY IS GREATER FOR DAY 2 WITH SIMPLY TROUGH MOVEMENT TO
CONSIDER. 2-4 INCH AREAL AVERAGE FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TO
THE LITTLE EGYPT AREA OF FAR SOUTHERN IL. A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS MAINTAINED FOR THIS AREA. A LACK OF
INSTABILITY NORTH OF THERE LIMITS THE EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT
DESPITE THE ENHANCED MOISTURE.

TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE MERGING/PHASING OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM
VORT AND NORTHERN STREAM LOW IS UNCERTAIN WITH THE 00Z ECMWF
HAVING THE GREATEST PHASE BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE 00Z GFS
MAINTAINING DISTINCT FEATURES THROUGH THIS TIME. THE 00Z UKMET IS
SIMILAR TO THE 00Z ECMWF SO THESE TWO WERE GIVEN THE MOST WEIGHT
IN THE BLEND.

STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAY 3 AHEAD OF THE
LOW/TROUGH REACHING WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC MONDAY
NIGHT. OF PARTICULAR NOTE IS THE FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WHICH WITH MODEST INSTABILITY LEADS TO ENHANCED
RAINFALL OVER SOUTHERN/EASTERN SLOPES. THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
TO THE TV VALLEY WERE INCLUDED IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL. WHILE SIMILAR RAINFALL 2-3 INCHES ON AVERAGE ARE
POSSIBLE ALL THE WAY THROUGH MI THE MORE STRATIFORM NATURE OF THE
RAIN NORTH OF THE OH RIVER LIMITS THE RISK AND THUS A MARGINAL
RISK WAS INTRODUCED FOR THE MIDWEST STATES.


CHENARD/JACKSON

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 524262 526255 528245 532230 538214 540209 540200 537185
      533179 530173 523162 519157 514153 510149 507144 497137
      492133 489128 483124 477122 472119 466120 463120 461123
      457127 453130 445129 437138 420139 417145 415153 414157
      412160 410162 411164 414177 414185 417191 418197 414200
      413203 415206 416210 415215 412221 411225 409227 404229
      399230 396231 396236 397243 398246 401249 406251 416259
      421262 423265 424268 427282 428289 429292 433294 436295
      438294 442294 444297 446303 449309 453310 458308 467301
      484286 487286 489289 493295 498299 504299 509297 513291
 0.01 515892 515883 514874 507869 504869 502867 498864 494853
      491848 487849 481851 478852 477855 477872 475878 469880
      464880 459882 447884 441885 434884 427878 418874 413873
      410874 398878 388883 379888 371893 352902 342907 337910
      333906 324908 320904 319900 320896 322892 320887 318883
      314880 309877 307873 305871 302871 299874 297878 296880
      293881 285875 281870 279865 275859 271863 269868 269871
      267873 262874 259876 255880 254894 255900 258906 260911
      263914 268924 274931 281939 284942 286947 283952 278954
      269959 266963 268966 274973 277977 276983 271986 273991
      279997 280004 282008 285013 287018 290021 297021 303024
      303026 306026 314018 318009 321005 325007 327013 329014
      334011 337008 340004 344998 348997 352998 356999 358998
      363995 369987 376979 384974 392968 398961 401959 404960
      405968 407973 412975 421980 427980 433978 438978 442976
      447976 452972 461967 471965 488955 493954 496949 499945
      505945 509942 512936 514934 514930 514921 513914 514907
      515892
 0.01 495100 496094 494091 488086 486084 483080 480074 477071
      474071 472072 474074 480079 481083 481090 479093 479097
      483098 487101 491106 493107 494102 495100
 0.01 497990 495985 489982 477982 471981 466983 457990 452991
      445993 434997 413005 409007 405012 398021 393032 393034
      396035 402035 414032 418029 425027 430026 435026 447022
      452021 458020 468016 473012 478009 482007 485000 493998
      497990
 0.01 471108 470105 468105 465104 462101 460101 460104 461106
      463109 464112 465114 466114 466110 468108 469110 471108
 0.01 457120 455114 454110 455105 456101 453095 450092 445095
      439095 433095 429091 427091 427095 429101 428103 425104
      424107 423112 420116 423121 423129 429130 433126 436122
      439121 442122 444124 447123 451119 454121 457120
 0.01 412071 412070 410068 408068 407067 405067 403067 405068
      406070 408070 410071 412071 412071
 0.01 407959 407956 405956 403956 403958 404959 405961 407959
 0.01 317815 317810 315806 312800 312791 311787 308784 301781
      299786 297789 293790 285786 256785 250789 248791 243791
      240790 235791 227795 225797 226800 229807 231828 239842
      242849 247854 253857 259854 263849 268842 270834 267828
      263821 262817 263813 271810 281809 288812 291814 293818
      298822 305825 309831 312830 312824 317815
 0.25 531213 532208 531203 530194 525179 522171 519166 511163
      507158 503151 499147 494141 490135 481126 472124 469125
      468130 468135 469139 471144 465140 462138 461136 458134
      455136 453137 451141 449143 448147 445148 440147 434149
      432151 432157 435162 437170 438173 437177 434181 432183
      426185 424188 426189 428188 431191 434198 437204 435211
      433213 429212 426213 424217 422220 421225 426230 426232
      424234 421233 419230 414229 410230 407234 404237 403241
      403243 406242 417251 430256 433258 435262 438268 441276
      446280 451280 457278 467270 471267 474266 478267 486271
      490276 494281 500286 506287 511284 519271 522261 521252
      519244 516237 513229 510223 506217 504210 503205 503199
      505197 508198 514202 518207 525214 529215 531213
 0.25 485230 484228 482227 482226 481229 482230 483232 485230
 0.25 491874 491871 491868 491866 491865 490863 489861 488861
      487862 486864 486865 485866 485869 485871 485874 485877
      485879 486881 487879 488878 489877 490876 491874 491874
 0.25 480902 479899 479897 478896 477897 476897 475899 475900
      475902 475905 477906 479905 480904 480902 480902
 0.25 459197 460195 459193 459192 458191 456190 455191 454194
      454196 453196 453198 452201 453202 454201 455201 456200
      458200 458199 459197
 0.25 472915 467903 463900 456899 449901 445904 438905 433907
      429907 427905 425900 424897 420896 415899 404895 400896
      398898 394901 389905 383907 380902 374901 368903 362905
      357908 351912 342917 338921 333925 316939 312944 309949
      305954 301957 296961 293965 292973 290981 288987 289995
      292000 295002 296004 298010 302015 305015 307014 308007
      311000 315997 321996 326992 329991 331993 336996 348992
      355992 359994 364989 367985 371979 375976 384969 401954
      406950 412949 419949 424947 432945 438947 442947 447944
      467931 470921 472915
 0.25 445116 446114 446111 445109 444106 442104 441104 439105
      437105 435106 434107 433109 434112 435112 436113 437112
      438112 439112 440113 441115 442115 443117 445117 445116
 0.25 427208 426207 424206 423207 424208 425210 425211 426211
      427209 427208
 0.25 316930 314923 314917 308914 302908 293899 289891 284887
      278884 272881 266884 265887 265891 274902 277908 282914
      284916 285920 284923 285927 290931 296936 298938 302937
      308934 314933 316930
 0.25 300811 300808 300806 298805 296806 295807 296809 297810
      297811 299813 300811
 0.25 265802 265795 262792 258791 253794 251797 246800 242802
      237805 235809 234814 234821 235828 238832 242835 246835
      249831 253822 255817 258813 263805 265802
 0.50 519268 520262 520256 516248 510230 503214 496197 494193
      495187 496182 499178 502178 504182 508190 512194 516195
      519198 524197 523184 522180 520175 514175 509168 502164
      495161 492157 489152 493146 490137 484131 482129 478129
      474129 471126 470135 471139 475141 483143 481148 476148
      472148 469146 467144 462142 458142 455144 454151 451153
      444152 438151 434154 435158 439163 442166 444171 446174
      445180 441184 441189 443193 445196 449198 452195 453191
      455186 460186 467185 473180 478177 479187 474193 468196
      462201 456204 451210 444213 440213 437212 436214 430217
      423221 423224 427227 432233 431236 426236 422235 418233
      413233 410235 408237 411241 416246 423251 430252 435253
      437257 444263 451262 455262 458260 464257 470255 475256
      479258 486263 497277 503282 507281 510279 513277 515274
      519268
 0.50 495244 494240 491235 489231 487227 484225 481224 479226
      481231 485233 487233 491235 493240 495244 495244
 0.50 464171 464169 464168 463166 462165 462163 463161 462158
      461158 460157 458158 458160 457162 456163 455164 454166
      454169 455171 455172 456173 458173 459172 460171 462171
      463171 464171
 0.50 460915 461911 460907 455907 450909 444909 434914 429916
      424914 419910 417906 412904 406905 398910 387914 381914
      379909 368907 359910 350916 321945 314950 307958 300964
      295975 292985 292991 295996 299994 301991 307989 307992
      310993 321992 325989 330988 333991 335994 338993 348990
      357986 365980 373974 382968 397955 404947 414945 424940
      429938 435939 444933 445930 444925 446923 450922 456921
      460915
 0.50 443111 443108 442107 441108 440110 442111 443111
 0.50 259809 259807 259805 259803 258801 257800 255800 254802
      253804 253806 253808 254810 255811 256811 258810 259809
 0.50 252812 250806 248804 244805 241808 238810 237816 236820
      237826 239830 242832 245829 247827 248821 248816 251813
      252812
 1.00 515269 515267 515265 515264 515261 514260 513259 512260
      511262 511265 512267 512268 513270 514271 515269
 1.00 508248 509241 508236 504226 500217 498212 495208 490201
      486197 480197 473200 466206 461205 457208 454211 447214
      441214 437216 434219 431220 426221 425224 432230 437233
      434237 435242 432245 429241 426238 420236 415235 413239
      417242 425248 430249 434248 444252 450253 454252 461250
      471249 479249 484252 488257 492264 500271 502273 503268
      500258 490240 487236 484235 481234 478229 477225 477222
      479221 489225 493234 498243 503248 508248
 1.00 491170 490166 488163 484156 481154 477153 473153 470150
      464150 462148 460150 463156 468163 470167 473165 479167
      481165 483166 485169 489170 491170
 1.00 463178 463175 459175 458176 456177 453176 452173 450171
      449170 449173 452176 453178 453182 455184 457184 459182
      462181 463178
 1.00 439229 438228 437228 438231 439229
 1.00 411931 410928 406927 399931 394931 391928 387928 377936
      371938 368937 367934 367929 365926 361920 353919 348924
      344929 340935 330944 325949 320952 315956 310960 307968
      308972 310975 316975 321973 324976 327976 334975 339989
      345987 350984 359974 370970 376967 381963 386959 392956
      402945 407939 411931
 1.00 245823 245821 245819 244817 244816 243815 242814 242815
      242817 243817 242818 242819 242821 242823 243824 245824
      245823
 1.50 504241 503233 500227 494212 490206 488203 485201 473203
      468208 460207 457212 450215 438217 436220 438223 442228
      446229 447231 441233 438235 437240 441246 447248 454247
      460246 466244 480244 483243 485247 488253 492260 496265
      498266 499263 497254 493248 489241 480234 476228 474224
      476220 491222 496236 500242 504241
 1.50 484161 483159 483158 482156 481155 480155 481158 482159
      482160 483162 484161
 1.50 470158 470156 469155 469153 468155 469155 470158 470158
 1.50 462178 461176 461175 459176 458177 457178 456179 457181
      459181 460180 461180 462178
 1.50 435228 435227 434225 433225 432224 431222 429221 427222
      426223 427224 428224 430225 432226 433227 435228 435228
 1.50 428242 427242 426241 424239 423238 421237 419237 418236
      416236 415236 414238 415240 417240 419241 420243 422245
      423245 425244 426244 427244 428242
 1.50 390947 388945 388942 387936 384934 380938 364947 356954
      354950 356945 360934 359927 353925 350929 347934 340941
      333947 330952 329958 332962 336965 339976 341981 345982
      348980 352974 357967 361963 366963 369966 373964 377963
      382958 390947
 1.50 318967 319964 319962 319960 317959 316959 314960 312961
      311962 310964 310965 310966 310969 312971 314971 316971
      317969 317968 318967
 2.00 501238 501237 500235 500234 498232 498231 498232 498233
      499235 501238 501238
 2.00 496262 497260 496258 496257 495254 493253 492253 490252
      490253 491255 491256 492258 493259 494261 495262 496262
      496262
 2.00 488244 487241 485240 485243 486245 488245 488244
 2.00 490219 490214 488208 487205 482203 475205 471208 467209
      460210 456213 453214 449216 446216 441216 439217 439221
      441224 445228 450228 452231 445233 441235 439238 440242
      443245 446245 451245 459243 466241 470240 475241 479242
      480238 479233 475230 472228 470227 471223 476219 486220
      490219
 2.00 461178 461177 459177 459179 461178 461178
 2.00 424241 423239 421239 420240 421241 421243 422244 423243
      424243 424241
 2.00 383952 379952 378949 378947 375946 371947 368950 365954
      365957 368958 373956 375958 379959 378956 381954 383952
 2.00 358936 358933 355932 353933 352936 350941 346941 342943
      339945 336949 334954 334957 337960 341962 342967 343972
      345973 348971 350967 347958 349947 355941 358936
 3.00 486215 486210 482207 478207 474209 472211 468211 461213
      458215 454215 451217 447218 442217 442219 443223 446226
      452223 455223 458226 459230 457231 450233 444236 441239
      445241 453241 459239 463238 467236 464226 468225 469221
      476217 482217 486215
 3.00 479238 479236 478233 477233 476232 474231 474232 473232
      471233 471236 472237 473238 475239 477240 479239 479238
 4.00 477238 478235 477235 476234 474234 474235 475237 477238
      477238
 4.00 481213 481212 479211 477211 476211 475212 474213 473214
      473215 475215 477216 478215 480214 481213
 4.00 472216 470215 467212 464214 461214 459216 456216 454216
      453221 455222 458224 460226 462226 464224 466224 467225
      469220 471218 472216
 4.00 464236 465234 464232 462233 462236 463236 464236
 4.00 460237 460235 459234 457233 455233 453234 452235 451235
      450235 448235 447236 446238 447240 449240 451240 452240
      453239 454239 456239 457239 458239 460238 460237
 5.00 470218 470217 469215 468214 467214 466214 466217 466218
      468220 469218 470218
 5.00 463223 464221 463218 461218 459218 457218 456217 454218
      455221 457223 458223 460224 462225 463223
 5.00 458237 458236 457235 455235 454235 455237 456238 458237
      458237
 5.00 452238 451236 450235 448236 447236 448238 449239 451238
      452238
 6.00 462223 462221 460221 459221 457220 456219 457221 457222
      458222 460223 462223 462223

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 524262 522253 518247 515240 513232 511225 506220 503214
      500207 494203 491198 487195 487191 488185 489181 492180
      495181 501184 506189 510194 516207 525217 529220 532220
      536215 539211 541203 538191 536185 532182 530173 529169
      525166 520159 513156 500143 490126 483121 476118 473119
      470117 470109 469103 469098 470094 472093 467095 467098
      467101 464101 463099 462095 461090 460068 459058 457046
      456041 454035 452030 452022 445035 439040 434044 431048
      430052 431058 433061 437069 440079 442084 441091 437094
      431094 429096 430099 430104 433107 435111 438113 444118
      448121 452122 453125 453129 450131 447136 444140 439139
      436142 432150 429160 428166 429172 431176 431181 431193
      435186 438180 441178 442178 442182 440188 439193 438201
      437205 434208 433213 430216 426217 423221 425231 423234
      418234 414234 412238 414243 413250 415253 418256 421260
      421264 420270 418276 417283 418289 420293 421296 427296
      431295 434293 437290 440285 448267 456250 461243 464240
      469243 476249 478251 478254 479259 484278 496290 501291
      505294 509294 512290 513284 515281 519276
 0.01 551876 551866 550857 545848 542845 539843 532840 527841
      525840 525836 525823 523817 522811 526802 529795 529788
      527781 524777 520768 514764 505761 502761 500757 498754
      496754 491753 487752 481752 464764 453778 446785 440793
      431809 425819 420828 410843 403848 393852 382853 377853
      372852 363848 353845 352841 353837 357830 363822 365818
      366813 362807 351810 342807 334800 324788 317782 311775
      310777 312781 314783 312784 307782 302782 297780 294777
      287777 273779 270783 270789 271792 271795 268795 264794
      261798 260802 262807 265811 269814 272817 272824 271828
      267825 261821 254817 246814 244809 240811 238822 238829
      238834 231841 229844 231848 238852 246868 249877 253889
      254903 252916 252928 252933 249936 243943 240951 240956
      243960 250966 251970 249972 246973 242973 231977 231990
      237995 242003 247008 255009 262006 267000 273997 282995
      291991 297986 302980 306974 317964 323959 330956 334954
      337951 345946 352944 357943 361945 365945 368943 373941
      380934 386927 388924 393922 400918 407916 415914 425913
      432910 446904 462894 466894 469892 476889 480889 482892
      481903 479900 478894 477899 477905 474915 474919 472922
      472928 470938 470951 471962 472967 474969 477972 482972
      485971 489973 491974 491977 487979 485982 487988 488999
      487005 488006 490010 491015 493023 494026 494030 493037
      493053 492061 491066 493076 498082 500082 502079 507058
      508044 515043 517043 520046 521049 526059 529067 530078
      534086 535089 539090 543088 545084 546077 545071 541062
      537053 532033 530021 530013 529007 533984 534981 534976
      533971 531964 531955
 0.01 531955 533949 533945 534941 536936 536931 536923 537915
      536907 535899 539896 543893 546890 548887 550881 551876
 0.01 507895 506893 505894 503894 501894 500894 498894 497894
      495896 495899 495901 497903 497904 497906 499908 500906
      502905 503903 504901 505900 506898 506897 507895
 0.01 489114 489111 489114 489114
 0.01 479203 480195 481188 482181 481175 477174 475179 473183
      471188 469192 467199 467203 470204 473202 478203 479203
 0.01 487093 488091 488088 488086 488085 488086 486088 486090
      484092 482092 481094 479094 480097 482098 484098 485098
      486095 487093 487093
 0.01 487939 486937 484937 482939 484942 486941 487939
 0.01 484942 482939 481940 480942 481943 482943 484942
 0.01 480917 480914 480912 480909 480907 479905 477907 477910
      477912 477915 477917 479919 480917
 0.01 479922 479919 477917 476920 476922 477924 479922
 0.01 470071 471068 469066 469065 467063 467065 467068 467070
      467073 468075 469073 470071 470071
 0.01 448981 449974 448969 446967 443969 440971 440976 440981
      438983 440988 441993 443995 443990 445985 448981 448981
 0.25 539205 538199 536194 530187 527183 526178 525174 522170
      519166 514165 512169 509171 508176 510180 513190 519197
      524199 526204 528207 531207 536207 539205
 0.25 546874 546868 545866 542864 539865 537867 535868 533871
      533875 535877 537878 540879 543879 545876 546874
 0.25 520271 522262 522258 520255 515247 511237 504229 501224
      500218 499212 495208 492206 486203 482203 478207 470212
      464211 460208 456205 451206 447207 443210 440214 436218
      430223 430228 428235 426239 421240 420245 423250 428258
      431261 436260 443255 450248 455239 457232 460229 464226
      468225 472222 477220 487224 491227 494232 499241 501246
      503252 504258 503260 497254 492251 490245 481238 478235
      474234 473237 473240 477243 482246 486249 488255 490261
      494270 497275 501279 504281 508280 515277 520271
 0.25 497778 496771 493765 489762 486761 483763 477771 472780
      469788 466792 460794 456798 453803 451809 448814 441823
      436834 434840 432845 426852 422854 416856 406858 396860
      389862 382861 377861 370860 357860 353859 351855 347851
      343849 336845 330845 326846 319848 313851 310852 307850
      303846 299844 294842 287842 282840 275836 265833 262831
      255830 249831 247834 245840 244846 248857 251869 255882
      260904 265928 265934 263938 260942 259949 260953 263958
      268957 270955 273955 276958 273962 271964 273968 277971
      283972 290979 295977 296972 301964 304958 307954 312951
      317953 322953 326949 328945 332943 337934 340932 345931
      355926 364920 369917 375918 380917 385915 394911 399909
      404908 409908 412905 416903 421902 427900 430897 433890
      432886 429886 417890 414889 413887 415882 417878 421875
      429870 436866 446861 450858 454858 455861 456865 457868
      461872 464876 469875 472868 475865 480864 484861 486847
      484837 488824 490820 491817 490814 487811 491807 493804
      493799 494791 497778
 0.25 490162 489157 490151 493147 492140 488133 481128 474125
      465124 461132 455137 451145 449148 445150 441151 439154
      439158 440163 447167 449175 451181 450186 453190 456188
      462183 464180 466174 471170 477164 481165 483167 488167
      490162 490162
 0.25 462106 462104 461103 460101 459103 459106 459107 461108
      462106
 0.25 453103 453099 452096 448095 446098 444099 441099 439103
      441105 443108 445109 447107 449106 451105 453103
 0.25 353828 353826 353824 352824 351825 350826 349827 348829
      348831 347831 347833 348834 350834 350833 351832 352831
      353829 353828
 0.25 321808 320803 316803 310799 304797 301795 299797 290797
      286800 285808 286811 289809 297807 303803 311804 314805
      316809 321808
 0.25 289822 289820 288819 287818 286817 285818 284819 283819
      282821 281823 283825 285825 287825 289824 289822
 0.25 255996 255992 254990 253988 251986 248985 246986 244988
      244990 246992 248994 249996 251998 254998 255996
 0.50 520269 521260 517255 511244 510240 507238 503235 501238
      503245 506259 507264 505268 501262 498257 495255 492256
      492261 494263 496269 499274 504275 509275 512276 517274
      520269
 0.50 523181 523179 523177 523176 522174 521173 520172 519171
      518172 518175 517177 516180 517182 517184 519185 520185
      521184 522183 523181
 0.50 498226 496214 493211 488208 484205 481207 477212 474214
      465216 457211 441217 435224 431236 429242 426245 431253
      434255 436254 439252 446247 452239 454229 461224 464220
      469221 472218 477218 488222 493227 497228 498226
 0.50 489783 488779 485780 481784 476790 471796 467799 462803
      459806 458809 458815 457818 448827 446830 446835 448838
      450838 460830 465826 470821 476809 479803 483797 487792
      488788 489783 489783
 0.50 486136 484135 481133 479131 476129 475128 471127 470130
      470135 470139 472141 473141 477140 479139 481137 484137
      486136
 0.50 474161 474154 473148 471144 468141 463140 460142 456145
      455150 457154 459158 463161 466163 469165 472163 474161
 0.50 481854 481852 480850 479849 478849 477850 476850 475852
      473854 473855 473856 475855 477855 479856 480855 481854
 0.50 461180 462178 461176 459177 457179 457181 459181 460181
      461180
 0.50 469863 470860 469859 467860 466861 465862 464863 465866
      465868 466869 466868 467867 468866 469864 469863
 0.50 453176 454174 453172 452171 451170 451171 450173 451175
      452176 453176
 0.50 454162 455159 455157 455156 453154 452153 450153 449153
      448154 446155 444156 444157 443159 444160 445162 446162
      447162 449163 450164 452165 453164 454163 454162
 0.50 415872 415868 414865 411864 407865 402866 399864 396865
      392867 387868 376866 370865 363867 353868 347862 342860
      337860 326856 320856 317858 312860 307860 302852 297849
      291849 285849 281847 272844 261842 257842 254844 251848
      251854 253859 258883 262895 267903 269907 272911 275914
      281916 286918 288923 290928 289935 291940 295943 303948
      309947 314945 323945 326942 330939 335930 339927 344925
      350924 354923 362918 370911 376909 380906 386899 390897
      396895 402888 415872
 0.50 288964 288962 287960 286960 285958 283958 281958 280960
      280962 281964 283965 285966 286965 288964
 1.00 519268 520266 519263 517263 516262 515261 514261 513259
      511260 510262 510265 510266 510268 511270 513271 514271
      516271 518270 519268
 1.00 492219 492218 490216 489216 487214 485215 486218 487218
      488219 490219 491220 492219
 1.00 470155 470154 470153 469152 467151 466150 464149 462151
      463154 463155 465156 467157 468157 470156 470155
 1.00 458222 457218 452216 446218 441222 439225 438229 440232
      437234 434242 434244 438243 443242 448236 445233 451228
      456224 458222
 1.00 388883 388879 384877 380877 375876 363876 352877 345876
      337874 330871 323866 317867 312868 308867 301863 288856
      284855 279856 271857 267857 266860 264868 267876 272880
      280885 284889 285894 288897 290900 290906 293910 297911
      303914 306917 309919 312917 315918 320919 321923 318930
      320933 325932 330928 337922 343919 357911 366909 373905
      378899 381892 386888 388883
 1.50 455221 454219 452219 450220 448220 447221 446221 445221
      443223 442225 441227 442228 444229 445229 446228 447228
      449227 449226 451225 451224 453223 455221 455221
 1.50 374889 374884 372882 366881 350882 338880 327874 320872
      316873 312877 311882 309882 307879 307874 305869 299868
      293865 287867 288871 295880 297883 297888 298894 297908
      309907 315908 318913 324915 326917 327920 323925 322928
      325929 329924 331919 341912 350904 356901 362900 371896
      374889
 2.00 449224 448222 446222 445223 444224 443225 444227 446227
      447226 448226 449224
 2.00 369887 368884 364884 358886 351886 345884 338882 332880
      326878 319876 316881 319885 320887 318890 315895 314899
      316902 322902 329906 336906 342906 348903 360896 364893
      369889 369887
 2.00 311886 311885 309885 307886 307887 309887 311887 311886
 2.00 304903 303901 302901 300901 299903 298903 297905 299907
      301906 302905 304903
 3.00 354894 353892 351893 350895 351895 353895 354894
 3.00 343888 342886 340886 338885 336885 334885 333886 331887
      331888 330889 330891 331892 333893 335893 336892 338892
      340891 342890 343888

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 496332 492330 490327 489319 489310 491299 492288 491285
      489282 485277 482274 482270 486266 488263 487259 491254
      493252 494246 493228 504225 506224 507227 511233 515238
      518246 523251 528247
 0.01 540208 540203 539200 537193 534187 529183 526178 524171
      521166 518166 517169 517177 516182 521182 524187 524200
      525205 521207 521210 522213 524219 527223 532228 534228
      535223 536212 540208
 0.01 552851 551838 550830 549825 545814 543809 542804 542788
      542780 542773 542769 540769 538773 535785 534792 530798
      526802 522804 514809 510811 508813 507816 505820 504825
      504831 502837 498845 495845 491843 489843 487842 487839
      490829 498810 508790 513766 516755 518750 519744 520729
      521716 520711 519709 516706 513702 509702 495707 491708
      489711 484717 474733 471738 468742 464746 459749 453755
      450759 443760 439757 437753 435749 437744 442738 438734
      433741 432745 431752 427757 424757 423752 425741 425736
      427732 433726 439725 443722 442716 438716 431721 428723
      424722 421720 417715 416710 411718 413721 413729 406735
      392746 398750 401753 403755 400757 395762 385765 381767
      376768 367766 359764 352761 348759 344757 334760 323762
      318764 311766 299768 291767 287769 285772 284775 284781
      283787 282792 280795 276799 272801 269806 260811 256810
      253808 254804 259801 266801 268800 263800 259798 253798
      248797 244794 238795 240799 242803 240808 240812 240817
      244826 249833 252837 252844 247850 244854 239857 233862
      231864 231870 231875 233878 233883 232888 232899 234903
      237906 242906 246904 254898 260897 265899 271898 276896
      283893 293890 304888 309888 311889 313892 315896 316898
      315900 311909 310911 312916 314915 317911 320905 323902
      327900 340906 348912 352915 359916 362918 364916 368912
      372910 378903 385899 392895 399890 407886 415880 423880
      428881 432883 435885 439885 442883 447882 440899 437910
      435917 433921 435926 435930 431941 431949 433952 438947
      445928 445923 447917 452906 456896 460886 461884 462886
      462893 462905 459916 464920 468918 474918 478920 480922
      479924 469930 466940 465947 464956 464962 466964 467962
      470962 473967 479977 480981 479987 479992 482997 486004
      492009 495006 497003 499998 502993
 0.01 502993 505988 507983 509975 512968 517955 522942 525936
      528934 526926 525923 526920 531918 533915 533910 532894
      534886 537880 539872 543869 550857 552851
 0.01 491899 491891 490888 488887 483889 480892 477893 473897
      472902 472905 472909 474912 476912 479910 482909 485907
      489904 491899
 0.01 481135 481132 479134 478137 478139 479140 479137 481135
      481135
 0.01 470155 471153 470152 469150 467149 466147 466146 465144
      463143 461143 461146 462148 462149 464149 466150 467152
      469153 470155 470155
 0.01 452881 451879 449880 447882 449884 451883 452881
 0.01 442108 443106 443103 443101 443099 443098 441096 439098
      437100 439103 439105 440106 442108 442108
 0.01 441077 441072 440067 439059 434052 431046 428043 426041
      420045 417045 416050 415054 419053 421055 424058 428060
      435062 437065 438071 441077 441077
 0.01 360747 359745 356743 353743 351742 348742 346741 342740
      340742 341745 343747 346746 350747 352747 354749 356750
      358748 360747
 0.01 332750 330750 329748 328748 327748 325747 324747 325747
      326749 327751 329751 331751 332750 332750
 0.01 276776 273770 270764 268759 267751 265745 263738 261743
      262749 264757 266765 268771 269775 271777 276776
 0.25 510298 507299 503299 500296 499292 496283 493276 492272
      493266 497262 500260 502257 504244 506242 508245 514250
      518255 524259
 0.25 536832 536829 536827 534827 533828 532830 531831 531833
      530834 530835 529838 529841 530842 532841 532840 533838
      535835 536832 536832
 0.25 504743 504737 502733 498733 494735 487742 484746 480747
      465759 454769 438772 431778 427780 423777 420775 417771
      414768 408768 401772 391775 372778 351779 343779 335777
      328777 323778 313781 307786 301791 297794 295797 290805
      289814 286817 282818 274822 265825 261831 259841 257851
      256854 257859 255868 251874 251877 253878 259876 266873
      284869 289869 294870 296872 292877 291881 291885 294885
      297883 300880 305878 312875 315873 319872 326876 341885
      347893 351900 355906 359908 362905 419872 434864 441860
      449854 464845 470839 474833 482817 486809 487803 488794
      488788 490782 493773 496764 500755 504743
 0.50 513291 509295 505295 502289 499283 497277 498271 503270
      506269 507267 508257 510253 515257 520260 522262
 0.50 489762 488757 486757 479759 465767 459772 457775 453776
      446775 441777 436782 433788 430791 426792 422786 418780
      413776 408776 406778 397781 392784 386780 379782 370784
      355786 347789 340786 335784 327784 319784 313788 307793
      303798 301804 303812 264845 265852 267855 270857 276860
      285862 297866 304869 314869 318870 326872 338880 344883
      349888 353893 357894 362893 376891 381890 388886 394882
      402878 414872 419870 424866 437857 443854 449849 459840
      464836 467831 475816 476807 480798 485783 488772 489762
 1.00 521268 520267 518265 517266 515267 513268 513269 512271
      513272 513274 514275 515276 517276 518277
 1.00 476787 476782 473783 465786 459791 453792 449792 446790
      442790 437795 430801 426808 423815 417821 411828 408829
      406827 408824 411817 416810 416805 415799 411797 406797
      399800 395802 394806 392810 394813 395819 392819 386823
      382823 380818 381808 382804 384800 385797 383793 379792
      376794 373797 367798 359797 357794 351795 344799 337802
      332797 330794 329795 321798 316800 316804 320814 310824
      307827 301828 297830 295834 291839 289842 288846 290849
      292849 296851 298855 306854 311852 314849 314842 317836
      319833 317830 320827 324825 327823 330824 329826 326829
      325834 314864 316866 320866 330866 335867 338869 339875
      343878 350882 352885 356887 364887 369888 374887 381884
      387881 395876 403873 419865 425862 431857 442846 447841
      454833 457825 463817 468812 471803 474795 476787
 1.00 306833 306832 304833 304834 306835 306833
 1.50 465802 462802 457804 453808 449812 440819 437822 430822
      423827 419831 415836 411839 403840 399842 395846 387851
      381851 373853 369855 367851 367847 359843 356839 358833
      362829 364824 369812 368806 363805 355808 346815 339821
      336826 333833 336834 336837 334842 336844 336848 333849
      325854 317862 318864 321864 327863 334863 341864 344866
      343871 342873 345875 350876 354878 357882 363880 367878
      375876 380877 383876 388873 396869 408866 417861 427856
      442841 448833 453822 459810 463806 465802
 1.50 299838 297838 297840 298840 299839 299838
 2.00 450821 448820 444821 440825 431833 423839 413845 406847
      402850 399857 401860 405861 411859 417856 427851 435843
      443834 446829 449824 450821
 2.00 387863 388861 387859 385859 383860 383861 382863 382864
      381866 382868 384867 385865 387863 387863
 2.00 371869 369866 364865 361862 359856 360853 356850 350846
      353835 357826 360823 362817 363813 362811 359811 353818
      345823 345829 343835 342839 343845 342849 338852 334854
      329855 326857 323859 325861 333861 338860 343861 347863
      348867 346870 346873 353874 356875 363876 369873 371869

$$





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