Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 312109
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
509 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 01/0000 UTC THRU JUN 04/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...

A BROAD WARM SECTOR WAS IN PLACE...CHARACTERIZED BY SEASONABLY
RICH MOISTURE AND MODERATE INSTABILITY. MODELS PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
MODERATE RAINFALL AND EMBEDDED HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AND BEYOND...AS THE FORCING MECHANISMS MIGRATE ONLY SLOWLY EAST
AND SOUTH. HEIGHT FALLS AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY WELL FOCUSED THIS PERIOD...AND THE TIMING/PLACEMENT
OF CONVECTION WILL DEPEND TO A LARGE EXTENT ON CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS. GENERALLY SPEAKING...MODERATE QPF IS OUTLINED SOUTH OF
AN EFFECTIVE FRONTAL ZONE IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. WITHIN THIS ZONE...RADARS HAD LIT
UP WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS...ALL EFFICIENT HEAVY RAIN
PRODUCERS...FROM CENTRAL TX TO SOUTHERN OK THIS AFTERNOON. LOWER
LEVEL UPSLOPE AND DEEP LAYER ASCENT...HOWEVER...WERE MAXIMIZED
FARTHER WEST ON THE HIGH PLAINS. THE TX/OK CONVECTION WILL LIKELY
SEND OUTFLOWS IN ALL DIRECTIONS...BUT WITH SOME PREFERENCE FOR
REDEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINED RAINFALL WITHIN STRONGER LOW LEVEL
FLOW OVER SOUTHWEST TX AND THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY...AS WELL AS
ALONG THE EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY. AT
THE SAME TIME...EXPECT THE NEXT ROUND OF PROGRESSIVE CONVECTION TO
COME OUT OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING.

THE LACK OF LARGE SCALE FOCUS...ALONG WITH FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL
MODEL TRENDS FROM CYCLE TO CYCLE...CAUSES US TO ERR ON THE
CONSERVATIVE SIDE...BUT THE WPC FORECAST STILL DELIVERS VERY
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL TO A REGION THAT IS
AS SATURATED AS IT CAN BE. DURING THIS CYCLE WE FOLLOWED THE
MULTI-MODEL TREND TO DECREASE QPF ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA...BUT TO INCREASE IT ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY TOWARD
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WPC BLENDED THE
INHERITED FORECAST TOWARD THE 12Z UKMET AND GFS. THE 12Z NSSL WRF
AND GEM REGIONAL MODELS ALSO OFFER SUPPORT.


...NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

MODEL TRENDS WERE PRETTY FLAT THIS CYCLE...WITH DAY 1 QPF FOCUSED
ESPECIALLY ALONG A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT IN CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...OUT AHEAD OF A MATURE AND SLOWLY MIGRATING CYCLONE
OVER NORTH DAKOTA. THIS SURFACE BOUNDARY MAY ALSO LEAD TO ENHANCED
CONVERGENCE / CONVECTIVE CELL REGENERATION AND/OR DEVIANT MOTION
LATER TODAY AS SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. THIS COULD
ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL FLASH FLOODING...WITHIN A REGIME
OTHERWISE CHARACTERIZED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR SSW TO NNE TRAINING.
OUR PRIMARY FOCUS IN THIS AREA WAS TO REFINE A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...WHILE LITTLE CHANGE IN ENSEMBLE QPF TOOLS
ARGUED FOR LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DETERMINISTIC WPC FORECAST.


...EAST COAST...

POST-TROPICAL BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO HAMPER COASTAL SC/NC WITH
OCCASIONAL SMALL SCALE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN. CONVECTION
THAT HAD FORMED NEAR THE CENTER OVERNIGHT BECAME QUICKLY OUTFLOW
DOMINATED THIS MORNING. CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER LAND...ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE LOW TRACK...HAS TENDED TO BE DIURNALLY ENHANCED
DURING THE DAYTIME HEATING CYCLE...AND SHOULD CONTINUE IN THIS
FASHION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AREAL AVERAGE QPF IS
CONSERVATIVE...GIVEN THE SMALL CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...BUT ANY GIVEN
LOCATION MAY EXPERIENCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES.

DAYS 2/3...

...MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST...

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE ARE EXPECTED TO
PARALLEL THE NC COAST ON THU BEFORE SLOWING DRIFTING FURTHER
OFFSHORE ON FRI. THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR MOISTURE
ADVECTION/LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEST OF THE CENTER TO PRODUCE SOME
LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS FURTHER INLAND ACROSS EASTERN NC ON
THU...SIMILAR TO WHAT IS OCCURRING TODAY. AND WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAINING AROUND 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL...AND HIGH RES GUIDANCE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED
2-4" AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN NC AND FAR SOUTHEAST VA...OPTED TO
KEEP THE DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK INTACT.

...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY TO THE NORTHEAST...

A WELL-DEFINED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LIFT
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO
AND QUEBEC THIS PERIOD...SENDING A COLD FRONT FROM THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES EARLY WED TO THE NORTHEAST BY EARLY FRI.  DEEPER MOISTURE
COINCIDING WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND INTERACTING WITH THE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET DYNAMICS WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
CONVECTION ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES EAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WITH THE BETTER UPPER FORCING LIFTING INTO
EASTERN CANADA AND THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM...NOT
EXPECTING AMOUNTS TO GET TOO HEAVY. HOWEVER...CANNOT DISMISS THE
CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY BY LATE THU WHEN
DAYTIME HEATING IN CONCERT WITH WEAK MID LEVEL FORCING AND
OROGRAPHIC LIFT MAY PRODUCE SOME HEAVIER AMOUNTS FROM THE UPPER OH
VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. GENERALLY OPTED FOR A
CONSENSUS OF THE QPF FROM THE 12Z GFS AND 0Z ECMWF...CUTTING THE
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE CONSISTENTLY SLOWER ECMWF AND QUICKER GFS.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS TEXAS INTO PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK INTO PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WILL HAVE A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW
PUSHING EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AHEAD
OF THIS SYSTEM. IN THE LOWER LEVELS SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF
MEXICO WILL SUSTAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES...1.5"-2" (ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR). 850 MB INFLOW IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT
IMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER THIS NEGATIVE SHOULD IN PART BE OFFSET BY WEAK
STORM LAYER WINDS AS WELL. AND WITH THE 850 MB FLOW GENERALLY
ALIGNED CLOSE TO THE MEAN WIND AND A BIT STRONGER ON
AVERAGE...BACKBUILDING OF STORMS SEEMS LIKELY. GIVEN THIS WIND
ALIGNMENT AND THE GENERAL WEAK NATURE OF THE FLOW OVERALL...BOTH
CORFIDI VECTORS AND INDIVIDUAL STORM MOTION VECTORS ARE WEAK TO
VERY WEAK THROUGH THE PERIOD. THUS BACKBUILDING AND TRAINING OF
CONVECTION SEEMS PROBABLE ALONG/AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AXIS AS IT
SHIFTS EAST.

WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON THIS GENERAL SETUP...CONFIDENCE ON THE
DETAILS REMAIN LOW GIVEN THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE ACTIVITY.
GIVEN THE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY AND WEAK INFLOW...A LACK OF
INSTABILITY COULD EVENTUALLY BECOME AN ISSUE...WITH CLEARING
NEEDED TO HELP REINVIGORATE CONVECTION. EXACT PLACEMENT OF THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL DEPEND ON WHERE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS SET UP
AND HOW QUICKLY CONVECTION ENDS UP PROPAGATING EAST
SOUTHEAST...AND HOW QUICKLY THINGS ARE ABLE TO DESTABILIZE AND RE
FIRE STORMS. ALSO SOME SYNOPTIC SCALE DIFFERENCES WITH HOW QUICKLY
THE UPPER SYSTEM PROGRESSES EAST...WITH THE ECMWF/GEM GENERALLY
QUICKER THAN THE GFS/UKMET. WPC OPTED TO TAKE A CONSENSUS APPROACH
TO QPF FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THIS APPROACH GENERALLY INVOLVED
TAKING THE CONSENSUS MAGNITUDE OF QPF...AND PLACING IT IN THE
CONSENSUS POSITION. THIS USUALLY WORKS BETTER THAN A STRAIGHT
BLEND AS IT CONSERVES SOME OF THE HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE 12Z UKMET
WAS A PRETTY GOOD COMPROMISE SOLUTION BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF
THROUGH DAY 2 (0Z FRI). BY DAY 3 (0Z FRI-0Z SAT) THE UKMET
ACTUALLY BECOMES EVEN A BIT SLOWER THAN THE GFS...WITH THE BEST
CONSENSUS POSITION OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE PRETTY MUCH RIGHT BETWEEN
THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF.

OPTED TO INTRODUCE A DAY 2 AND DAY 3 MODERATE RISK FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL TEXAS. AS WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS REMAINS
LOW...IT IS GOING TO RAIN HEAVY OVER MUCH OF THE MODERATE THE RISK
AREA AT SOME POINT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...WITH AT LEAST
SCATTERED FLASH FLOODING APPEARING LIKELY GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
MOISTURE PARAMETERS AND SLOW STORM MOTIONS/PROPAGATION. ALSO WITH
RAIN FALLING OVER SIMILAR AREAS ON CONSECUTIVE DAYS...AND THE AREA
ALREADY WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL WISE...THOUGHT THE MODERATE
RISK BETTER HIGHLIGHTED THE FLOOD POTENTIAL AT THIS TIME. FUTURE
SHIFTS CAN ADJUST THE EXACT LOCATION OF THESE RISK AREAS AS
CONVECTIVE TRENDS BECOME MORE CLEAR.

...NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

A NORTHERN STEAM WAVE DROPPING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE DAKOTAS INTO MN ON FRIDAY. THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUED TO
CONVERGE ON A SIMILAR SOLUTION WITH REGARDS TO THIS SYSTEM. THUS
WPC GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO A ECMWF/GFS BLEND FOR NOW.

BURKE/CHENARD




24HR QP VT 02/00Z
 0.01 535215 536209 535203 531197 528193 527188 525176 521167
      515162 508156 505153 501152 498151 498154 500157 501160
      500162 498165 500166 501171 501176 499180 499185 503187
      507188 509189 509192 507198 502199 498200 494199 491201
      499204 503202 507207 508211 507216 505221 502222 500222
      495224 494228 495231 498236 499243 499245 497246 493243
      490242 490245 485251 488260 491262 493266 497273 500277
      505280 508283 507280 509275 513274 515272 517267 517256
      517251 516249 514245 509238 508235 509230 512228 517228
      521227 525228 529226 531224 535215
 0.01 544944 544932 543922 539914 536905 535900 535896 536885
      537866 536852 537846 539841 540835 540829 539816 536807
      533807 530806 525806 522805 515809 504816 491824 480829
      478831 473832 467831 462831 460833 453835 449837 445838
      435839 425841 419841 415843 402850 378866 373871 368873
      364877 357880 348883 344885 338886 319887 312890 307893
      306897 308899 313905 316910 319918 320927 319930 316930
      311925 306921 304920 303922 299926 300930 300937 299941
      294943 286945 281951 276955 272960 264972 258975 252978
      243989 240993 238996 238000 240006 244010 247012 249012
      257016 263021 268024 273028 278034 289035 297039 307047
      315059 318065 322068 331069 333071 334075 333082 335086
      342084 346082 351082 354082 354077 346075 347071 349069
      359069 363072 366074 368081 373087 378084 384080 387082
      390082 392080 392075 398062 405059 409059 410055 406042
      401024 395020 385015 379013 378009 379003 382983 386966
      387958 390953 404943 406940 411939 419936 445925 457919
      462919 465922 469927 467934 465937 465942 467950 467959
      469962 470969 468978 462995 460998 460001 462012 464025
      469033 476044 483048 487048 490046 493046 496044 501042
      505037 509033 518020 526007 529996 530989 532984 534973
      534965 536963 544944
 0.01 455103 455100 454098 454095 453095 452093 450092 448094
      448097 449100 450100 451102 451105 453105 454103 455103
 0.01 427781 426778 423777 417783 415781 413777 408772 400774
      396777 393775 395773 399763 398760 393761 388765 386767
      383767 381762 383752 383745 380743 378744 376744 375741
      376735 375728 373724 369725 366727 351735 338741 330745
      321751 316755 315761 314764 311771 306778 300791 298794
      297799 298802 301800 308795 312788 313784 318785 321786
      323790 326792 327796 324801 321805 317808 310812 305814
      301815 295812 292811 288812 282811 279810 275804 270800
      267798 268795 258796 251800 244807 260821 266825 274828
      285828 293831 298836 300840 301846 301850 303853 309852
      314849 317847 320845 321841 325836 330836 333840 332844
      336843 341850 345854 351858 357857 360855 363849 371829
      374822 380817 384816 386814 395812 401812 405813 414809
      421796 427781
 0.01 292083 287078 280072 275071 271069 265064 258059 255059
      252063 257069 263075 270080 277085 286088 289086 292083
 0.25 526857 527848 525839 523833 519829 515827 509828 502831
      479846 469851 464852 456852 452852 449852 448855 445859
      439863 428865 418867 412870 408877 402889 392897 385904
      370918 361917 355918 350916 345919 342923 339927 336933
      333939 329944 323947 316949 310948 304947 300946 298948
      294952 289961 287964 283966 277968 271972 264979 258984
      257987 257992 260997 264001 270009 274021 277024 282026
      293029 300031 306034 312037 317041 321051 327054 332052
      337051 342052 348052 353054 358057 362056 372053 377053
      384056 390056 394056 395053 393048 392040 391034 387030
      379024 369019 364017 362014 358009 357003 358996 361991
      367978 372966 375958 379952 384943 391942 395939 404934
      408933 414933 421932 425929 435921 439918 445916 458912
      469909 476909 480912 483915 484918 485922 487936 487948
      483956 483962 484967 486973 488980 490983 493983 498980
      500976 503972 504968 506967 517963 522960 524956 527944
      528938 528932 526927 524925 521921 520917 519909 517894
      514884 515874 520871 522868 525862 526857
 0.25 527973 528965 526964 524965 521968 519973 518978 517986
      515991 513996 513999 516997 518994 521989 523984 525980
      526975 527973
 0.25 491002 491000 490997 490996 490997 489000 489002 490003
      491002
 0.25 369779 369775 368771 367763 363758 359754 356750 354748
      350747 345746 339749 330757 328761 326768 325774 326777
      330778 335778 336785 335791 335793 339794 353791 364786
      369779
 0.25 365818 364815 362816 359818 358820 356822 354824 353827
      351831 353832 354830 355828 357826 358823 361821 363820
      365818
 0.25 271818 270814 268813 266811 264809 262807 260805 258804
      255806 254808 255810 258811 259813 262815 264817 266818
      268819 271818
 0.50 517853 517846 515842 510838 506837 501839 495843 481850
      465858 453865 446869 438875 433878 425881 422892 417896
      405906 400912 394920 391926 389928 389934 393934 397932
      403928 408928 411929 415930 419929 432919 439915 445912
      462907 465905 468902 470895 473892 478890 486889 487888
      490884 493878 504865 512859 515856 517853
 0.50 510944 509939 505939 504942 501946 499949 496954 494957
      493960 493965 497966 501964 504960 506957 508952 510947
      510944
 0.50 387047 388038 385033 380029 375027 370025 367025 365027
      364032 366039 367043 369045 374048 378051 383051 387047
 0.50 370947 370942 369938 363936 359936 355938 348942 337949
      331954 323957 315959 307959 301953 298954 296958 290970
      288973 283973 277973 274974 263983 261986 262992 268997
      273001 275008 276013 278018 283022 300025 317029 325032
      326034 326037 328038 330035 330031 332029 337023 340018
      340012 343006 347000 354987 362972 362962 364957 368951
      370947
 0.50 361780 362775 361769 357761 353755 349751 345750 340752
      334756 333759 333765 335767 340767 346770 347774 347780
      347782 351784 358784 361780
 1.00 491868 491865 489864 490861 490858 485857 480859 477860
      476863 479867 482868 484868 485871 486879 488876 489873
      491868
 1.00 460888 458888 456888 455886 454886 453886 453888 451888
      449889 449891 449892 451891 453891 454891 454889 456890
      458891 460889 460888
 1.00 456898 455898 453898 451898 450898 448899 446900 444900
      443901 441903 439904 439905 441905 443905 444904 445903
      446903 448903 450902 451901 453900 455899 456898
 1.00 447892 446891 444892 446893 447892
 1.00 439906 438905 436906 435907 436907 438907 439906
 1.00 433909 433908 431909 433909 433909
 1.00 428912 427911 426912 425912 426912 427912 428912
 1.00 427902 424902 421902 419905 417907 419910 415909 415911
      417914 416917 417918 420917 422915 422912 422911 423907
      425905 427902
 1.00 383042 382040 380038 379037 378037 377036 375035 373034
      372035 372037 373038 373039 374041 375042 376044 378045
      379046 379047 381047 383045 383043 383042
 1.00 354773 354768 353764 352761 351758 349756 346754 344754
      342756 340757 339760 341762 343763 345765 347767 349769
      351771 352773 354773
 1.00 354969 355961 354954 349952 345953 337959 326963 316966
      309966 303968 299970 296974 291978 286979 281981 276981
      271981 269986 272990 276993 288997 294996 298994 300992
      305993 308996 313997 315991 317989 320991 321997 324002
      327005 333001 335997 350981 354969
 1.00 295014 296012 294011 293010 291010 290010 289011 288012
      287014 289015 291015 292015 294015 295014
      310004 312001 311999 310000 309001 308002 310004
 1.50 346758 344759 346759 346758
 1.50 348971 349965 349962 346961 339965 336967 331967 328967
      324969 321972 321977 324978 328977 330979 330984 331993
      333989 335985 343981 348974 348971
 1.50 292985 292984 290985 292986 292985
 1.50 277987 277986 275986 275987 277988 277987

24HR QP VT 03/00Z
 0.01 537204 538196 537191 535182 532173 528165 523160 520158
      519152 520146 522141 523128 524115 520106 517098 516093
      517089 521080 526076 532073 536073 536067 532047 527028
      524020 521017 518017 514017 511019 507024 502031 497036
      494038 492043 491048 491054 495072 501088 506109 505117
      503122 503127 501130 497138 491142 486144 482146 481150
      480162 482171 486179 489181 491185 492189 495192 502195
      507202 509212 509216 506218 501211 496204 494201 490199
      486199 483200 477203 465210 459215 457217 455221 456226
      458228 460232 457235 454238 454241 458247 464252 466255
      471257 474260 476264 479267 483268 487270 490273 495279
      499284 505285 510286 513285 517278 519273 521267 519257
      516249 514240 513230 515220 528222 532220 534215 535207
      537204
 0.01 545822 545814 542808 538797 537789 534786 531785 526785
      516785 508780 502775 496772 493767 496761 500755 506746
      508735 508722 509716 508710 504701 502697 499693 498690
      495691 489692 484692 480693 473699 470702 465705 459710
      455719 444736 431748 425754 418763 407775 398779 388783
      384785 380786 378783 375774 373767 372763 381766 385768
      388767 389765 388758 385753 380750 377748 375740 377729
      378720 380710 379709 376710 372712 365717 358722 343734
      334740 328747 324755 320764 312782 309791 314796 318796
      323794 326794 325797 323799 318805 312810 308813 301814
      292812 278802 272799 267798 263798 259799 252804 248807
      245811 246815 250818 258823 264827 274827 283827 288828
      287832 290835 293837 295835 297836 301840 305844 309846
      312848 313854 313859 315863 316867 319870 321875 325880
      327884 327891 326896 326902 326916 323921 318924 313921
      312915 312909 310905 306899 302897 298899 296902 293908
      293918 292922 289925 284931 279938 274945 266949 261952
      257955 252962 249966 245969 238972 234975 234980 231989
      231995 231999 230004 233007 246017 252025 259029 283051
      293057 300061 306062 310066 316071 322079 330084 334081
      333075 326072 323067 324064 327064 339066 351067 358070
      361072 366072 372074 376078 378076 379071 387068 392066
      395063 398058 399054 397050 394048 391043 387043 382043
      377043 371038 370035 370031 370024 367021 365019 365015
      367010 370008 372006 373001 376990 379980 380974 381969
      382965 381959 382944 383937 384929 384914 385910 385902
      385887 388877 391873 395869 397866 403865 421867 432867
      437868 442868 459872 463874 468873 478873 492866 497863
      501865 501868 499870 496873
 0.01 496873 491891 485909 484916 485918 487927 489932 492934
      496944 503945 512944 516938 522931 530918 535911 539904
      541880 541872 542866 543852 545828 545822
 0.01 456108 456103 455100 453098 452095 451095 451100 449102
      449104 450109 448112 448114 452115 454113 454110 456108
 0.01 443971 444964 443959 440954 438952 435949 431949 429954
      430959 431966 433971 434976 435980 438980 442978 443973
      443971
 0.01 338786 338784 336783 334783 333784 331785 331786 330787
      329788 328789 327790 326791 325792 326794 328794 330793
      331791 333791 335789 337788 338786
 0.25 516270 517263 516258 514250 506232 503225 498219 493212
      489210 486210 478212 475215 475217 479220 481223 483227
      487230 491232 493235 495239 495244 487249 493257 495265
      499274 502276 505276 509274 511270 516270
 0.25 521199 521197 522194 522192 521191 521189 521186 520186
      519185 517187 516187 516190 515192 515195 516197 516198
      517201 519202 520200 521199
 0.25 530825 529816 527807 523804 518806 514809 509815 506820
      506823 507828 510831 515835 520837 525837 528833 530825
 0.25 520897 520894 519894 518894 517895 517897 517900 518900
      519900 520899 520897
 0.25 484730 483726 482725 478727 475724 472718 470716 467721
      462730 459734 455738 452741 450748 450753 453758 453760
      450762 446765 440766 436769 433773 431778 445793 446800
      450802 454801 457796 458789 457783 454777 453774 463773
      471767 477759 480754 482748 484745 485739 484730
 0.25 476827 475824 473823 467824 464822 458820 451822 447826
      448831 450833 454835 456838 459837 461837 466834 472831
      476827
 0.25 446829 444827 441826 438827 436828 434830 433833 433838
      435840 438839 441837 443834 445831 446829
 0.25 428786 426784 423783 420784 416784 409784 405787 383799
      379804 375809 366813 353817 348820 344825 341831 341837
      343842 348845 355847 362847 368847 374846 380843 382838
      381836 377837 375837 374835 374825 371818 375813 379818
      397818 415800 423794 427789 428786
 0.25 395830 394830 392830 391831 392831 394831 395830
 0.25 368741 368736 367734 361732 354733 348736 342739 339743
      333752 330759 327764 326771 330772 342767 347768 352771
      357769 359764 360756 362751 365746 368741
 0.25 375918 375911 372905 367898 360898 357901 349908 341913
      336922 330930 323936 318939 313940 302942 294947 285951
      275955 268961 260966 252972 245978 238985 237989 236995
      242003 250009 256015 263021 272025 281032 290037 299040
      309045 314047 321046 325044 328040 333030 339023 345015
      351007 358000 364994 367988 370984 371977 371969 371960
      371954 373940 375918
 0.25 266812 267810 266808 266806 265805 264804 263804 261804
      259805 258806 256807 256808 256809 256811 257811 258813
      259813 260814 262814 264814 266813 266812
 0.50 514261 513258 512255 511252 510249 509246 507243 506240
      504239 505244 506247 507251 509254 510257 511259 512262
      514261
 0.50 490219 491216 490215 489215 488215 487218 488219 490219
      490219
 0.50 479744 477739 474737 471736 467737 463740 461743 460748
      460756 458761 463761 466759 470756 474753 476750 479744
      479744
 0.50 363744 363739 360736 352737 346740 341745 338751 336755
      335760 337761 340762 347764 353764 356757 360751 363744
 0.50 366945 366931 366926 364921 360920 356921 350925 338939
      331944 323946 311947 302948 287956 273964 264967 257970
      247984 242990 242996 244999 257009 262015 269019 278022
      287026 295029 303032 308032 312030 312026 311021 316013
      321007 325005 329006 334012 337011 338008 337004 339999
      354991 358989 362987 363976 363966 364957 366945
 0.50 357830 357828 356826 356825 354825 353826 352826 351828
      350829 350831 349833 349835 350835 352836 353835 354835
      355834 356832 357831 357830
 1.00 359745 357741 353740 349742 345745 342748 341753 342758
      346759 350758 353754 356751 359747 359745
 1.00 356949 357944 354941 349942 338949 327958 318957 314952
      311951 308953 305960 300963 294962 286964 281966 274968
      266969 261972 259972 258975 257982 259988 264002 267009
      269011 272013 280014 288016 295017 298017 300014 317994
      328986 342984 350985 353984 355981 352973 351969 350965
      356949
 1.50 355748 355746 354745 353744 352744 350744 349745 348745
      346747 345748 344750 343752 344754 344755 346756 348756
      349755 351753 353751 354751 354750 355748
 1.50 347976 347974 346972 346971 345969 345968 344967 343966
      341965 339965 338967 337969 338971 338973 339974 341976
      343977 344978 346978 346977 347976
 1.50 323979 323975 321973 317971 316968 311962 308967 305970
      301970 294967 289967 286968 281972 272972 264974 262977
      262982 264988 269995 270003 271007 275008 282006 293998
      304990 308985 311983 315982 320981 323979
 2.00 350751 350749 348748 347749 347750 347752 349752 350751
 2.00 312973 303973 297973 294970 289971 286975 282978 279978
      272976 268979 266983 267988 273995 276997 281995 284992
      286989 295987 303981 312975 312973

24HR QP VT 04/00Z
 0.01 548063 549048 549034 549021 549013 548008 548001 546997
      544993 541991 536986 529983 525983 522980 519978 517974
      525959 523949 520941 510926 505921 501914 491904 480890
      476883 473877 468869 466866 463864 459864 457866 453873
      447879 444881 440882 431883 427883 423881 413903 415912
      420917 426923 431928 429934 425941 417956 413963 408970
      401984 399989 400992 401997 404999 411997 419994 426990
      429988 431988 433990 436995 443000 446003 450004 456008
      457014 457020 454031 452039 455045 457055 460064 466068
      471063 478046 481037 482031 486029 490033 495041 505052
      509058 515064 520070 527076 532080 540081 544079 545074
      546066 548063
 0.01 523259 524252 524247 522242 519240 516238 512236 504234
      500242 494248 483255 477261 472269 470280 471289 473294
      475296 484300 492301 496303 499306 508293 513286 517276
      520267 523259
 0.01 526203 528191 528185 526181 520175 518173 514172 506170
      500173 501176 504179 508185 511193 513202 518208 522209
      524206 526203
 0.01 524765 521736 520732 519724 518711 514686 512680 511672
      510666 506664 495658 489654 486653 483656 479662 473659
      469656 467651 462643 460639 459641 455648 446662 443670
      440677 435686 431692 426700 418698 412696 409702 394735
      388751 384759 377759 370756 363755 360754 358757 354764
      351767 346769 342775 335786 330794 325800 311810 295817
      292819 288817 284813 274801 272797 269795 265794 260794
      254796 247800 243808 241817 240825 242829 245830 250823
      252820 254819 257819 272824 287828 290829 293832 298835
      306838 309837 312839 314841 319845 322847 325845 334841
      337839 340840 341843 338861 336882 335885 333886 330889
      323893 304895 298894 293892 289893 282898 275900 262905
      254909 250909 247911 246914 246919 245930 246941 246956
      245962 242963 240972 235979 232985 231994 231999 233002
      236006 240008 247010 254013 260018 265022 270027 274028
      278027 289028 299028 304032 308035 310033 313024 328019
      333019 336017 342013 347007 351998 362989 364987 366981
      373977 379974 384970 390962 393959 395954 395943 393933
      393920 393914 394909 394898 392893 392887 393876 395867
      397848 392844 388843 388837 392830 396823 401815 404812
      410812 416816 420816 423813 426805 430799 434790 438782
      442774 444771 447769 451767 453766 462763 466762 468760
      477758 485755 491757 500760 504760 507761 517764 522765
      524765
 0.01 390054 389052 385051 376050 367048 362048 360050 357052
      355055 358056 361059 367063 369066 373066 373063 372059
      371057 375056 382059 386059 388056 390054
 0.25 516270 518262 518257 516251 513247 510246 507248 505252
      503260 501262 496261 491261 489265 490277 494285 496289
      500290 504289 507285 512278 516270
 0.25 534026 532021 530018 526010 524999 520991 516985 513981
      510978 504973 499967 491954 482938 477933 475929 474925
      464910 460903 457903 455907 452915 448923 433955 433960
      435963 442966 446969 448972 453979 462992 464996 462000
      463007 465009 468012 471014 475015 480014 488014 495017
      501021 504023 507027 509029 513032 520034 525034 529032
      533029 534026
 0.25 440748 436743 432744 429747 422761 417764 412766 410768
      408764 406764 404766 405770 402775 397780 393781 391780
      390778 386772 383771 378772 373777 371780 367779 365778
      361777 357779 356781 353789 349796 347803 353836 357842
      360844 365844 368842 372840 376835 394812 404801 409796
      412790 416783 422779 427773 431767 436757 439752 440748
 0.25 374938 374931 373925 371916 369911 365909 357906 351900
      346900 342902 328912 320915 315916 311916 304910 301907
      297907 292908 290910 284916 277923 272929 268937 264943
      254957 250965 248974 250983 250990 255996 258000 262001
      267001 272000 282000 291000 299002 303004 308005 315001
      322998 330993 337988 342984 355973 367961 370956 372951
      374938
 0.50 505279 507277 507274 506273 504272 503272 501272 499271
      498270 496269 495270 494272 494275 495277 495278 496279
      498281 499281 501282 503281 505280 505279
 0.50 510004 510993 509985 509983 505980 500978 495976 492977
      491980 489986 487992 486997 487001 492005 497008 503008
      508006 510004
 0.50 483002 482001 480001 478000 477999 475999 473999 472000
      470001 470002 469004 469006 470007 472007 473007 475006
      477006 478005 480005 481004 482003 483002
 0.50 471942 471936 470932 468928 465927 458927 452931 449938
      444945 440952 440954 442959 444960 448959 454955 459950
      466949 469947 471943 471942
 0.50 399795 399793 399791 398790 397791 396791 395793 394794
      393795 392796 392797 390799 390800 388801 387804 388804
      390804 392803 393803 394802 395801 396800 397798 398796
      399795
 0.50 379816 380814 378812 377813 376814 377816 377817 379816
      379816
 0.50 365947 366936 364927 362923 359921 352920 344917 340919
      338921 331925 325927 317926 310923 302920 298921 295922
      290928 285932 274940 268945 265949 257962 253968 253973
      253976 260990 266993 273991 281990 288989 293988 297989
      302994 304997 308996 311991 317988 323983 335976 338969
      341967 344967 352963 356958 365947
 1.00 351936 349932 345932 335934 331938 329943 324946 318947
      308951 302948 300943 298941 296943 291947 279949 275951
      271955 265963 261967 261971 268979 270981 273981 279980
      292979 305980 312979 315977 330961 334958 338955 342943
      351936
 1.50 289968 289962 287958 283956 279956 276957 272960 270963
      270967 274969 277968 278972 283973 286971 289968

$$





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