Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 100732
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
331 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 10/1200 UTC THRU JUL 13/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC/...

1.50-2" PRECIPITABLE WATER(PW) VALUES WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND TO
THE SOUTH OF THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND INTO MID ATLANTIC.
FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL BNDRY LAYER MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG
WITH BROAD... MAINLY WEAK UPPER DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL PRODUCE PERIODIC SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS.
THE MORE PERSISTENT AND ROBUST UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE...AIDED BY
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION FORCING OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK TO THE
NORTH...WILL CROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC INTO FAR NRN SC THU AFTN
INTO THE EVENING...SO THERE CONTINUES TO BE INCREASED FORECAST
CONFIDENCE ON A MAXIMUM THERE WITH PW VALUES INCREASING TO ~2.00
INCHES AND MUCAPES THIS AFTN PEAKING BTWN 2000-3000 J/KG. WPC USED
A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS WITH THE AREAL-AVERAGE QPF OVER THIS
REGION...BTWN 1 AND 2.5 INCHES...THOUGH SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION GUIDANCE INDICATED LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER 4 INCHES.

...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...

DEVELOPING MCS ACROSS CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND KANSAS EARLY THIS
MORNING IS BEING FUELED BY A STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL LLJ (30-40
KTS CURRENTLY PER THE LATEST VWPS) ALONG A SECONDARY MAXIMA OF PW
(1.5+ INCHES). COMPARATIVELY SPEAKING...DEEP LAYER INSTABILITY IN
THIS ENVIRONMENT IS NOT AS ROBUST (MUCAPES BTWN 1000-2000 J/KG).
FURTHERMORE...GIVEN THE DEGREE OF W-NW FLOW ALOFT (DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR) AND NORTHWESTERLY 0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 40 KTS...THE ACTIVITY
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE THUS FAR HAS CLEARLY EXHIBITED ENHANCED
FORWARD (DOWNWIND) PROPAGATION. HOWEVER...AT THE SAME TIME
ADDITIONAL CELLS ARE DEVELOPING/TRAINING UPSTREAM IN THE COOL
SECTOR NORTH OF A SURFACE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WHICH IS BEING
ENHANCED BY THE OUTFLOWS...AS THE STRENGTHENING SRLY LLVL INFLOW
OPPOSES THE NORTHERLY CORFIDI VECTORS. SOME OF THE LATEST
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE... INCLUDING THE PARALLEL VERSION OF THE 4KM
NAM CONEST...SUGGEST ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN A FEW HOURS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED RUNOFF
ISSUES AND FLASH FLOODING. FOR FURTHER DETAILS...PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION (FFGMPD #183) AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/METWATCH/METWATCH_MPD.PHP.

...SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE GREAT BASIN...

THE RECENT MONSOONAL PATTERN IS SHOWING NO SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE THIS PERIOD.  WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A
MOISTURE PLUME STRETCHING FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHWEST
AND GREAT BASIN ON THE SOUTH AND WEST SIDES OF THE GREAT BASIN
UPPER HIGH. PW ANOMALIES IN THIS PLUME WILL CONTINUE IN THE 2-3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN RANGE.  WEAK IMPULSES REMAIN
EMBEDDED WITHIN AND ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE MEAN UPPER HIGH OVER
THE GREAT BASIN AND WILL SUPPORT ADDITIONAL SCATTERED CONVECTION
IN THIS HIGH PW AXIS.  CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH PLACEMENT OF
CONVECTIVE AREAS...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER ODDS IN THE HIGHEST PW
VALUES IN AZ AND ACROSS UT ALONG THE PATH OF AN MCV THAT MOST OF
THE MODELS ADVERTIZE. MANUAL QPF USED A MULTI-MODEL...CONTINUITY
CONSENSUS.

HURLEY

DAYS 2/3...

...DEEP SOUTH TO MID ATLANTIC COAST...

HEAVIER RAINFALL HAS NOW BECOME A DAY 1 ISSUE ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSHOWERS CONTINUE TO BE A FACTOR ON DAY 2
AND SOMEWHAT ON DAY 3.  WHILE SEVERAL OF THE MODELS INCLUDING THE
12Z UKMET/18Z GEFSMEAN AND 21Z SREFMEAN HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY
NORTHWARD WITH SHOWERS IN THE MID ATLANTIC REGION ON DAY 2...NEW
ENGLAND REMAINS DRY EXCEPT IN THE 21Z SREFMEAN.  MEANWHILE...OTHER
MODELS HAVE NOT TRENDED NORTHWARD SUCH AS THE 12Z ECMWF/12Z EC
MEANS AND 18Z/00Z GFS.


...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS/MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/MIDWEST...

THE AREA OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY APPEARS TO BE A FOCUS FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
ON DAYS 2 AND 3 WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR FLASH FLOODING SINCE SOME
OF THE REDEVELOPING CONVECTION MAY OCCUR OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS.
IN PARTICULAR...IOWA COULD SEE THE POTENTIAL MORE THAN OTHER
REGIONS AND IS DEPICTED ON THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CHART.

FACTORS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF POSSIBLE MULTIPLE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS INCLUDE THE ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER JET
MOVING ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER.THIS JET IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA AND A COLD FRONT
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES. MEANWHILE A
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET FEEDS MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS ABOVE A PRONOUNCED STATIONARY/WARM FRONT OVER
THE PLAINS/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ONE POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE AREA
DEVELOPS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY MORNING THAT THEN
DRIFTS EASTWARD WHILE A POSSIBLE SECOND AREA REDEVELOPS LATER
FRIDAY FROM NEBRASKA EASTWARD ACROSS IOWA INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS
BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 12Z GFS SHOWS QUITE A BULLSEYE OF QPF
OVER IOWA.  AN ADDITIONAL AREA OF CONVECTION MAY ALSO DEVELOP FROM
NORTHEAST COLORADO/SOUTHEAST WYOMING INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTH DAKOTA BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY.  WHILE THE
PREDICTIONS OF THE LOCATIONS AND INTENSITY OF THESE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEMS ARE STILL FAIRLY UNCERTAIN...THERE SEEMS TO BE ENOUGH
SIGNALS NOW TO SHOW THAT THESE AREAS REPRESENT THE LARGEST THREAT
FOR MULTIPLE DEVELOPMENT AND ONLY ON JUST DAY 2. THE GFS/GEFS
APPEARS TO BE THE ONLY MODEL SUITE FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT
OVER COLORADO LATE ON DAY 2.

ON DAY 3/SATURDAY THRU SUNDAY MORNING...MORE UNCERTAINTY ENTERS
THE FORECAST.  HOWEVER...THE 00Z NAM/GFS QUICKLY BECOME SUSPECT
SINCE THEY LACK CONSISTENCY WITH EARLIER RUNS AND DIFFER
SIGNIFICANTLY IN QPF DISTRIBUTION FROM THE ENSEMBLE MEANS.
THEREFORE...WILL KEEP WITH THE ECMWF...BOTH 12Z AND 00Z...IN
GENERATING THE QPF FORECAST AS WELL AS THE UPDATED MULTI MODEL
BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE MEANS. THE FORECAST ALSO CHANGES SINCE A
STRONG COLD FRONT NOW ENTERS THE SCENE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
STATES IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CANADA.
THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP FOCUS THE QPF TO AFFECT THE AREA FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS THE MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
ACROSS THE MIDWEST. HAVE GONE WITH THE 00Z ECMWF WITH DEVELOPING A
SIGNIFICANT MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM ACROSS THE MIDWEST FROM
EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHERN MISSSOURI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE LOW
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES OF 1 TO LESS THAN 2 INCHES...HAVE
INDICATED A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING ON DAY 3 FOR THIS AREA.

HURLEY/KOCIN



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 11/12Z
 0.01 553974 554965 553961 552955 550951 546944 541938 539936
      534938 531938 530933 527928 523925 514925 508926 504930
      500933 498931 497927 497921 494920 494915 497903 496898
      493895 490891 487889 485884 481882 477882 475882 473885
      468902 461907 458909 454909 445906 440906 436908 424908
      416910 409912 404911 398908 395915 392919 383923 373923
      368922 365925 362928 356929 353931 350931 342928 337923
      331908 329903 329896 331883 332873 335868 338866 341862
      343856 344852 348850 355841 361832 366826 372819 384816
      389808 392801 396799 398802 403806 406809 408813 411819
      414819 418809 419804 415804 411802 409801 409798 412787
      413781 412775 410769 412765 415760 415753 413752 410748
      411744 411737 412726 414720 417717 423700 428683 435663
      438653 438648 436645 433644 431645 427647 422650 419654
      407667 401676 394684 388693 382701 378708 375716 371723
      368725 363726 357727 356731 354737 352740 345746 338753
      325766 312776 301782 292786 285783 274786 267789 261794
      255799 252800 251805 249810 249814 249817 245819 241822
      239825 236835 234841 234845 235848 243845 253841 263840
      283834 287837 286841 284854 282862 282872 283884 285892
      287895 291899 293905 292912 298932 300938 302942 305945
      307943 311941 315944 316944 318937 317932 318931 322934
      326937 334939 339946 344953 348959 351967 356973 364977
      377978 387980 391979 395978 398973 401968 408973 414976
      415982 416989 414995 409005 409017 408032 408039 410045
      409048 407051 404052 399051 392049 388049 384051 381051
      376048 372047 371045 370040 370032 366032 360035 355042
      348047 343050 338052 330055 327057 326059 329062 334060
      338059 341060 341063 342066 342069 339072 335074 330076
      325076
 0.01 325076 320077 312077 303076 296074 292072 288068 283063
      277061 272058 267054 265047 262043 259038 256033 254030
      257027 261025 268023 276025 283027 288027 293023 296017
      297008 295002 299998 299989 296975 296968 292962 288957
      284956 276963 273965 269965 261964 250962 244963 240968
      235973 231981 225054 236063 248075 250079 253083 261089
      266095 271102 281111 287112 291114 296121 304125 314127
      324128 327127 329129 335131 347139 357154 364149 377151
      379153 378156 377157 382165 383175 387180 392185 403186
      407185 409183 412179 414177 416178 420181 422187 415192
      409196 405203 406206 408208 415203 420205 421211 419225
      416230 414236 416239 421240 423239 424234 426222 429208
      430204 429198 429193 430186 431183 429178 425173 429168
      429165 426160 422155 421145 422141 423138 424133 429123
      433122 439122 440125 439128 438133 437140 439144 445145
      446140 452121 456110 457104 456099 450080 451071 449065
      451058 452055 454054 460050 463048 466050 473056 476055
      477050 479045 482041 484037 488036 493040 497042 507043
      520039 534031 542026 546022 548018 550013 551006 551993
      551989 552982 553974
 0.01 512147 510143 507140 506133 505129 500120 498110 493101
      488106 486110 485118 482122 481127 482132 485136 487141
      489144 493147 498148 503148 508148 512147
 0.01 486032 484030 483028 481027 479025 478024 476027 477029
      477032 477034 478034 479036 481036 482034 484033 486032
 0.01 482979 481974 481964 481961 479958 476962 467969 467979
      462979 458984 458992 458000 459015 463017 468013 468006
      470003 470999 472996 475996 478994 479986 480982 482979
 0.01 463876 463873 462871 461871 461874 459876 461878 463876
      463876
 0.01 457023 458020 454018 452017 449017 448019 447024 449029
      449032 449036 451037 453034 455032 455029 457025 457023
 0.01 456898 456896 455896 453898 451901 451903 453903 455903
      455901 456898 456898
 0.01 401207 399199 398196 394194 389189 380186 373184 366184
      364184 366187 370193 377198 379200 383202 389206 392208
      397209 401207
 0.01 391105 392095 391093 390092 387093 385095 381095 378094
      376091 373085 372081 370082 364084 367090 363096 360097
      356096 351093 348091 346092 344101 344106 346109 352112
      360114 368114 373110 379109 383108 384104 384101 388102
      389106 391105
 0.01 395945 393943 391944 390945 391947 393947 395945
 0.01 380947 379946 377946 376945 375944 373943 371942 370942
      368943 370945 371947 372948 372949 373951 374952 375952
      376952 377949 379949 380947
 0.25 544979 544972 543964 540959 536956 533952 529950 525946
      521944 517943 514947 510954 513960 515963 516967 515970
      512975 509979 504988 501993 499000 502012 495020 494025
      497029 506026 513020 522016 530012 534008 535000 537995
      537990 535987 529987 533986 541988 544979
 0.25 495138 494135 493132 491129 490132 490134 491137 492138
      494139 495138
 0.25 465935 462930 457927 455925 452924 447926 442928 439934
      435940 433945 423942 418943 412946 410950 411958 414965
      417970 423979 425987 425997 423012 424030 428030 429022
      430018 434016 437017 439015 444983 446977 444970 441963
      439957 436954 439953 443954 455950 458948 462944 463937
      465935
 0.25 448099 446096 443094 440090 436091 434092 431090 428086
      425089 427094 429096 434099 437101 442102 447102 448099
 0.25 420680 420675 417674 411679 404687 398695 375730 371736
      364742 358749 352757 344774 338784 334794 329801 326805
      325805 307814 303817 302819 302822 303826 303831 301836
      297841 296846 295853 288867 296882 296891 297896 298905
      300910 304918 306916 310917 315918 317920 319924 323926
      330932 337938 361969 369972 379973 385974 391973 393968
      391964 387961 382960 373958 364950 361946 357945 355947
      352946 348939 345936 340933 335926 331922 328919 325916
      324911 324905 322897 322885 325877 323871 324865 332860
      335856 336851 340841 343837 348836 353835 358830 363822
      372808 376797 382791 388780 394772 398772 400778 402784
      405785 406780 405776 403772 401767 396758 396752 399747
      404738 407728 410716 414706 418693 420686 420680
 0.25 409108 410105 411103 411101 410098 410097 408097 407098
      406099 406100 405102 405105 405107 406107 407109 409108
      409108
 0.25 401074 402072 402069 401069 399069 398071 398074 399074
      401074 401074
 0.25 396115 392114 389114 385116 382119 379123 377126 375128
      376132 379135 383136 385134 388130 389125 392121 395117
      396115
 0.25 392073 393071 392068 391069 390070 390073 392074 392073
 0.25 379078 379076 378074 378073 377073 376076 377078 377079
      379078
 0.25 350128 349128 348125 347123 346123 345122 343122 342122
      341124 341126 342129 344130 346130 347131 349130 349129
      350128
 0.25 309100 308097 303096 299096 296094 295090 292087 288082
      284082 281079 279081 277085 275087 273092 278096 285100
      292103 300105 306104 309100
 0.25 307808 306807 304808 306808 307808
 0.25 289818 290815 288812 282810 277807 274803 273800 276799
      282796 287794 286789 283787 280788 274791 270795 271799
      268801 263803 256805 253809 253814 257817 263820 268822
      274822 286819 289818
 0.25 228032 233037 237037 239033 236021 242016 246014 249012
      252010 257009 267013 273017 277019 283018 287014 288008
      286003 275993 259985 250982 244983 242988 244996 240003
      236008 230007
 0.25 241998 240997 238997 240998 241998
 0.50 538979 539971 538965 535960 531960 528960 525959 522961
      520968 521976 524978 526978 531978 534980 538979
 0.50 435009 435007 436004 436002 436999 435997 434995 433993
      431993 429994 429997 428999 428001 428004 428006 428009
      429011 430012 432012 433011 434011 435009
 0.50 432983 431980 429980 429981 431983 432983
 0.50 414696 413693 411690 409690 406693 401699 397705 390718
      380729 372741 363753 358758 354764 349771 346778 340790
      337797 334804 334813 341816 344819 347818 349815 353813
      359810 360805 361803 367798 371791 375787 379780 387766
      392752 396746 399737 404724 407715 410708 414696
 0.50 428971 428967 427964 426961 424957 423954 421952 419952
      417952 414954 414956 414959 416963 417966 419968 421970
      423971 426972 428971
 0.50 389968 387965 384963 379962 372961 368958 363954 357953
      355954 354958 358963 362966 368969 373971 380971 387970
      389968
 0.50 364814 362814 361815 359816 357819 355821 353824 352826
      351828 353830 356828 358826 360824 361821 363819 364816
      364814
 0.50 345939 345938 343936 342939 343939 345939 345939
 0.50 333852 331849 327848 326842 324838 324828 321825 316824
      308841 305842 302845 298854 293860 291864 291867 293868
      296865 300867 303870 305875 305884 304897 307899 311898
      314894 315890 316884 318880 319874 318868 318863 320859
      324855 326855 327857 331857 333852
 0.50 293098 293094 291092 289091 286089 284088 282088 278089
      276092 278095 281096 285097 287098 290099 293098
 0.50 283792 283790 282789 280789 278790 276791 275792 273793
      272795 273796 275796 277795 278795 279794 280793 282793
      283792
 0.50 282010 278003 273997 268993 260991 253988 249988 248991
      249995 247999 247002 249006 254006 259004 264006 273007
      278010 282010
 0.50 266814 266812 265810 264809 263808 262807 261807 260806
      258806 256807 255808 254809 254810 254812 255813 255814
      257815 258815 259816 261816 262816 264816 266815 266814
 0.50 228025 229025 230025 232023 233021 234019 234017 233015
      232015 230013
 1.00 381761 381757 379755 376751 364758 359762 354768 351773
      348779 346785 342791 341797 342806 343809 346810 352806
      356802 359796 367785 370779 371771 376771 379766 381761
 1.00 376967 375965 373964 371963 370962 368962 366963 366965
      368967 370967 371968 373968 375969 376967
 1.00 262998 261996 260996 258996 258998 258999 260000 262000
      262998
 1.50 366764 362763 359765 355770 351778 348785 344792 344794
      348796 348801 350798 353792 358785 361780 364773 366764
 1.50 372965 371965 370965 369965 370965 371965 372965
 2.00 359774 358772 356772 354775 353777 352780 351783 349786
      348789 351789 353788 355786 357783 358781 359776 359774

24HR QP VT 12/12Z
 0.01 527885 524854 508791 501769 493770 483782 466806 452828
      444838 435840 422834 409835 393851 378878 373902 359915
      336908 326893 325881 331862 345845 358831 371816 386801
      399797 411790 420772 422752 415745 418730 421709 419693
      411679 396682 380699 366709 349722 332747 322762 292787
      270795 249798 244805 245817 254831 268847 282863 286883
      287909 292933 302945 311942 324940 337944 351944 363937
      379932 393947 399973 391002 363030 321065 306072 297062
      300048 302029 296010 286001 272998 256008 249030 248057
      254081 269098 270100
 0.01 270099 272101 291117 304124 316129 327127 336120 342124
      345127 351125 351116 349104 360093 377087 388090 391099
      385111 372124 373130 375132 385132 396127 404129 409138
      410142 409154 413162 415174 413193 409210 403225 401234
      412244 425246 434239 441226 445214 443190 434183 426170
      431159 439153 451149 463130 467114 469097 473060 471013
      469993 475977 486967 518944 520943 528926 528902 527886
 0.01 517159 518151 517148 512142 507137 504137 502139 497140
      494139 491137 489137 486140 487144 489152 493159 496163
      498165 506167 511165 517159 517159
 0.01 504117 505110 504106 504101 502097 498090 493084 490083
      488085 486093 486103 489111 492119 497124 501124 502121
      504117
 0.25 519921 515913 512912 510914 505919 500924 496930 491935
      488938 487941 492941 496939 501937 507933 514929 518923
      519921
 0.25 518868 518864 516862 512862 507864 504867 499873 496878
      495881 490889 488901 491905 495906 503903 511899 515895
      515890 512887 511884 515874 518868
 0.25 509833 509828 509823 507820 505819 502821 501824 500827
      499832 499834 500837 502839 503839 506838 508836 509833
 0.25 497863 498857 496855 492857 487861 484864 479869 476873
      472878 471884 476881 481878 486875 490871 494868 497863
 0.25 467048 466038 464027 462018 458010 448003 444004 442006
      437011 432014 427014 425013 425009 426003 428999 430989
      434972 438957 444940 447933 453927 455925 457920 459914
      460906 461901 460896 458893 454892 449893 445892 440887
      435882 432874 429869 423865 419866 407875 396886 394892
      392899 391906 390912 391916 394924 399931 404936 408943
      412956 413967 412977 412989 412998 414008 413015 412018
      409024 403026 391031 378037 367048 365053 365059 367062
      371063 378066 391074 407079 413080 417078 422074 429072
      444074 446077 446081 444086 445088 447087 449085 450080
      453073 456067 460062 465054 467048
 0.25 407107 409105 409103 408100 408098 406096 406098 405100
      405102 405105 405106 406107 407108 407107
 0.25 343813 358796 371781 379767 382748 382728 374721 359730
      354735 348743 343752 335769 330778 324787 319795 311807
      302811 285811 272810 266809 262810 261813 263816 267818
      276821 280822 287822 293822 298825 302831 303842 303845
      302851 302855 304856 309854 319840 343813
 0.25 344093 343086 338079 332076 328076 326079 328083 329085
      332088 335092 337095 340100 344096 344093
 0.25 324100 325097 324095 321093 313090 299085 291082 286078
      275070 268066 265066 262068 261075 264078 274092 286104
      300112 314114 317106 324100
 0.25 280023 284023 287020 286016 282014 279017 279020 279021
      280023
 0.50 440923 441915 439908 434899 424883 419882 414881 406885
      403888 400892 400898 401906 401911 400917 400921 401926
      404930 409933 412940 415954 416966 417982 418987 419989
      421990 424987 426981 429971 431959 433947 440925 440923
 0.50 429042 431035 430032 428030 424030 414038 406053 404062
      410068 417066 423062 425055 424049 425046 429042
 0.50 394048 394046 394044 393043 392043 390042 389042 388043
      387045 387047 386047 385051 381051 375051 379055 386057
      392050 394048 394048
 0.50 370766 367755 361748 354750 350757 353764 356768 360774
      363775 366774 369769 370766
 0.50 334085 337090 340089 337084 335082 334082 333084 334085
 0.50 310826 314826 317823 316818 311817 308822 310824 310826
 1.00 433916 431908 427902 422898 417896 414895 412898 411905
      408914 407922 415933 418940 418949 419967 419972 420973
      424968 427952 430935 432926 433918 433916
 1.00 418057 418055 416054 415053 413054 412057 413057 413059
      414060 416059 418058 418057
 1.50 428921 428916 428913 426911 424909 420909 419910 417912
      415915 415919 415922 417924 419927 421929 423931 425931
      426928 427923 428921
 1.50 421941 421951 423955 424949 423940 423939 422940 421941

24HR QP VT 13/12Z
 0.01 525885 526878 530845 529831 529809 521768 500725 485720
      475720 441724 418738 404753 402772 408786 402809 381844
      367863 379892 385906 388930 378985 353033 327044 298030
      288018 270029 249064 241078 261103 281115 317132 330131
      353106 385086 413084 441136 450148 468108 467066 463024
      461980 458946 461909 477884 480908 477939 478963 490977
      495991 497004 502026 506039 509050 513060 515066 518069
      520069 522064 523050 525015 525996 525989 524934 522907
      525885
 0.01 382780 376767 376749 381730 380717 365720 328753 273791
      253798 248818 265842 277869 279900 284927 288926 300903
      305887 307909 311919 320897 328846 338833 355831 374815
      378810 390797 389790 385784 382780
 0.25 510014 511004 511993 511983 510973 507969 504972 502983
      502990 503998 505007 510008 510014
 0.25 489821 489815 486812 481814 476815 472816 468819 462825
      459828 458827 458824 457808 460783 459775 456772 452772
      443774 438775 434778 428786 423795 418816 416823 413833
      409842 406851 402864 399874 398878 398887 401891 402905
      405927 404972 407977 412979 416993 410006 400008 389009
      374027 368053 375061 388064 401062 417058 431064 440085
      444088 449079 449074 448069 447064 438037 434006 436997
      438985 437970 437955 438925 439912 440906 441901 445894
      447889 448884 450874 453862 463846 469837 471833 475830
      484827 489821
 0.25 459113 459109 458107 456105 453103 451100 450099 447097
      446096 446101 446104 446109 447112 448116 450117 452117
      455116 457115 459113
 0.25 352775 351771 349766 348765 345768 334779 324791 319797
      316804 312812 307818 305821 305824 308833 311842 313843
      315841 317838 327826 331819 335811 341796 349782 352775
 0.25 308109 309104 308100 306096 290067 280061 271062 264068
      262079 261084 264090 268096 274101 286109 292112 300114
      305112 308109
 0.50 410894 413938 421961 428965 434954 434928 441889 450844
      452804 444786 434790 424810 415837 412861 410882 410894
 0.50 393048 392042 390038 387036 384033 379033 377036 374039
      372044 372048 375053 379054 384054 388053 392050 393048
 0.50 300105 300099 298095 293088 288081 284074 281072 277071
      273073 270076 268078 268083 269089 271091 277098 283103
      291108 297108 300105
 1.00 445829 445821 444813 442807 438808 433818 429829 425840
      421851 421858 422865 425877 419903 417916 417922 417931
      419934 422935 424933 426926 427919 430907 433895 435889
      435883 435877 435868 442848 444838 445829
 1.50 438851 438847 438842 437837 435837 433839 432841 430843
      428847 428850 428855 429857 433858 435856 437854 438851
 1.50 426893 423901 422910 424911 427904 429892 429888 426893

$$





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