Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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747
FXUS04 KWBC 140912
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
411 AM EST SUN FEB 14 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 14/1200 UTC THRU FEB 17/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...UPDATE...

CHANGES TO PRELIM PACKAGE INCLUDED INCREASED TOTALS ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX TO ACCOUNT FOR THE 00Z ECMWF SLOWING SLIGHTLY WITH THE
TIMING OF THE NERN TEXAS SURFACE LOW BY 12Z/15...WHILE ALSO
HOLDING STEADY THE INTENSITY COMPARED TO ITS 12Z/13 RUN. ALSO
SLIGHTLY SLOWED A NARROW STRIPE OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS ARKANSAS TO
BE IN LINE WITH A 00Z ECMWF/00Z NMMB BLEND...BUT NOTING THE NMMB
SURFACE LOW IS A BIT WEAKER THAN THE GFS/ECMWF.

OTHER CHANGES WERE ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO BROADEN HEAVY
RAINFALL A BIT FROM PRELIMINARY WPC QPF IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE
LATEST GUIDANCE.

...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STAY FOCUSED ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
BUT WILL SHIFT NORTH FROM OREGON INTO WASHINGTON BETWEEN 12Z/14 TO
12Z/15 AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO CNTRL BRITISH COLUMBIA TODAY. THE
00Z NAM/GFS AND 12Z ECMWF ALIGN WELL WITH THE LATEST BLENDED TPW
LOOPS SHOWING A WELL DEFINED SUB-TROPICAL/TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME
EXTENDING FROM OFF OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...SWWD BACK
TOWARD THE DATELINE AND TROPICAL WEST PACIFIC. THE MAGNITUDE OF
THE MOISTURE PLUME IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY BY 12Z/15 INTO
WASHINGTON...BUT PWAT ANOMALIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE +2
TO +3 RANGE. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT AND A BLEND OF THE 00Z
NAM/GFS WAS USED AS A BASIS FOR WPC QPF...INDICATING WIDESPREAD
HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS THROUGH THE WA CASCADES...NORTHERN TO
CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES AND ALONG THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN OREGON
COAST RANGE...NORTHWARD TO THE OLYMPIC RANGE AND INLAND TO THE
BLUE MOUNTAINS OF NERN OREGON...BITTERROOTS...SALMON RIVER AND
PORTIONS OF THE SAWTOOTH OF IDAHO.

...EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF THE
UPPER AND MID MS VALLEY...

A WEAKENING NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL TRACK FROM THE CNTRL-NRN
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION BY MON
MORNING. MOISTURE REMAINS QUITE LIMITED AS PWATS REMAIN BETWEEN
0.25 AND 0.50 INCHES THROUGH 12Z/15. FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ONGOING
ACROSS CNTRL ILLINOIS THIS MORNING WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME TOWARD
THE EAST AS LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE GRADIENTS BROADEN. OVERRUNNING
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD BUT ON THE LIGHT SIDE
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING. MODEL AGREEMENT
WAS GENERALLY GOOD FOR THIS SECTION OF THE COUNTRY WITH A BLEND OF
THE 00Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF USED PRIMARILY.  SEE THE QPFHSD FOR
ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

...EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER TO MID
MS VALLEY AND LOWER TN VALLEY REGION...

UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFICATION WILL TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN
PLAINS SUN NIGHT WITH A SURFACE LOW BECOMING BETTER DEFINED ACROSS
NERN TEXAS BY 12Z/15 ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING WEST-EAST
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. BETWEEN 00Z-12Z MONDAY...LOW
LEVEL FLOW ORIGINATING FROM THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE PWATS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY TO NEAR 1 INCH WITH
MEAN FLOW FROM THE WSW...BUT LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SW STEMMING
FROM SWRN LOUISIANA INTO CNTRL TO ERN TENNESSEE. UP UNTIL
12Z/15...ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN LOW...LESS
THAN 500 J/KG IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT BUT A NARROW STRIPE OF
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 06-12Z...ORIENTING FROM
SW TO NE ACROSS SRN ARKANSAS. FARTHER NORTH...LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIPITATION...SOME IN FROZEN FORM...WILL REMAIN OVER PORTIONS OF
TENNESSEE INTO KENTUCKY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD...12Z
14-15...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BRING LIQUID EQUIVALENT TOTALS INTO
THE 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH RANGE. MODEL PREFERENCES WERE TOWARD THE 12Z
ECMWF AND 00Z GFS...PER THE PMDHMD...BUT STILL SOME MINOR LOW
PLACEMENT AND TIMING DIFFERENCES TO CONTEND WITH. A BLEND WAS USED
TO AVERAGE OUT THESE DIFFERENCES.


DAYS 2/3...

PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

THE 00Z GFS IS MOST PREFERRED FOR THE PERSISTENT MOIST ONSHORE
FLOW THAT CONTINUES FROM THE COASTAL RANGES AND CASCADES OF
WASHINGTON INLAND TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES MIXED WITH SOME 00Z
ECMWF FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE 00Z NAM USED THE
LEAST GIVEN ITS FLATTER MID LEVEL PATTERN THAT ALLOWS THE MOISTURE
PLUME TO SAG FARTHER SOUTH THAN EXPECTED. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF
LIQUID EQUIVALENT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
WASHINGTON INTO THE BITTERROOTS AND TETONS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST...

MODEL SPREAD WHILE STILL APPRECIABLE HAS DECREASED SUFFICIENTLY TO
IMPLEMENT GREATER CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS OF QPF BY ADJUSTING
AMOUNTS IS MANY AREAS AND SHIFTING THE AXIS ABOUT 75 MILES TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST TO ALIGN WITH A PREDOMINANT GFS AND ECMWF LOW TRACK.
BASED ON GREATER CONSISTENCY AND PREFERENCE IN OTHER PARTS OF THE
U.S. AND CANADA HOWEVER...THE GFS COMPRISES ABOUT 70 PERCENT OF
THE QPF FORECAST...WITH THE REMAINING 30 PERCENT FROM THE 12-00Z
ECMWF. CONFIDENCE IS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE NOW DUE TO THE
REDUCED SPREAD. THE 00Z NAM IS A CLOSE SECOND ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE TN VALLEY BUT APPEARS TOO FAST CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS
HEADING INTO THE NORTHEAST. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST TOTALS...ABOUT 1
TO 3 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT EXTENDS ACROSS THE TN VALLEY FROM
ABOUT TUPELO TO KNOXVILLE...WITH THESE AMOUNTS BELOW FFG VALUES
HOWEVER AND AFTER COORDINATION THE DECISION WAS TO HOLD OFF ANY
MENTIONABLE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AT
THIS TIME. FARTHER EAST HOWEVER...INCLUDING MOST OF THE
APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE NORTHEAST/NEW ENGLAND...THE COMBINATION
OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND VERY LOW FFG VALUES PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC...THE SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT WAS ISSUED ON SATURDAY WAS PRESERVED MINUS
A SLIGHT NORTHWESTWARD SHIFT IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE
GFS/ECMWF...AND THEN WAS EXTENDED INTO THE NORTHEAST ON DAY 3 AS
WINTRY PRECIPITATION CONVERTS TO HEAVY RAINFALL. REFER TO THE
QPFHSD FOR MORE INFORMATION ON WINTER WEATHER.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

OTTO/JAMES



24HR QP VT 15/12Z
 0.01 479336 485331 489321 492316 494311 496299 498290 506293
      515277 518273 520267 522262 523257 524246 523242 521239
      506214 504210 506207 509210 513211 514209 516211 518216
      521224 524229 527229 533222 536213 537199 538192 536188
      532181 524166 520160 515156 507143 503137 496131 490124
      486116 484112 483105 482100 480096 474088 474082 474076
      468060 466051 471047 472043 470040 467033 458023 453016
      448010 443002 436997 434998 436002 441009 443013 444019
      443022 440024 437021 431021 430024 430030 429033 427033
      422032 416032 412029 409028 407030 393033 391036 392039
      398044 403045 408046 416050 414054 409055 400054 391057
      388059 384062 381065 380069 383077 394086 398086 404082
      408078 416078 419070 420061 419055 420053 422055 424063
      428063 427058 427055 428052 432054 439059 441065 439069
      434071 434073 437074 440072 444080 447085 446091 444093
      440091 437094 426086 424089 425092 429100 423103 419107
      417110 414112 411111 411108 408100 406101 404107 401111
      402116 415123 417125 417128 416135 414139 414146 412158
      412163 412166 418170 421175 430178 429182 426185 425187
      430188 433186 435181 437181 438183 437187 438195 440200
      445202 453200 473174 476174 479176 484180 489185 492191
      489197 486198 478199 471201 468204 464205 460203 457204
      456207 454210 451211 442211 431208 422207 418208 416210
      415216 416220 421228 422229 424226 426227 427230 425234
      422234 417233 413232 407236 405239 404244 405248 410250
      420255 429257 436258 455259 457258 462259 464260 466262
      466267 465278 464284 465289 463299 464308 466315 471322
      474331 479336
 0.01 536968 537957 537946 535935 534925 534900 533877 532870
      531862 528847 525842 521839 517835 512835 507836 502840
      491848 478844 469838 462829 452822 453819 455820 456816
      454813 449813 444816 439812 431802 421792 417789 413786
      404780 400780 396777 387769 381759 379757 376757 373758
      371760 365764 363766 360765 357764 355760 353755 351753
      347753 346756 346761 347765 348767 348775 348792 348797
      348805 349813 350820 349827 351834 352844 351852 343863
      339867 333870 326878 314882 307884 304887 298893 290902
      284905 276906 270908 260909 255911 251913 247918 247921
      252924 258926 263927 269927 272928 273931 275935 279938
      285940 291943 297945 303950 305955 306959 305962 302969
      299974 301978 310984 325971 338970 347961 360963 366961
      370956 373950 377946 380947 380951 380956 379961 382970
      382977 386975 390942 396938 402936 409939 412943 419952
      428960 432963 436968 443973 452979 464984 475989 491990
      503991 509991 513994 519994 525994 529990 531986 535976
      536968
 0.01 456123 454117 451119 444121 439117 432123 426129 424132
      424136 424144 425148 428151 432152 434147 435141 440132
      442130 447130 451128 454125 456123
 0.01 432677 431668 429663 425652 421647 418644 412646 408650
      405660 403666 404673 408684 412689 414696 416701 420702
      422704 425703 427700 430689 432677
 0.01 438765 436763 434763 431764 429766 429769 430771 432776
      432780 433785 434787 435787 436782 436780 435775 435770
      436768 438765
 0.01 341777 340770 336767 333765 328766 320773 313779 311780
      307780 303778 293776 290772 286770 278775 276780 272783
      263787 259790 256794 252797 252800 257801 264800 276800
      281802 286803 294807 298809 305809 315809 330797 334794
      337789 340779 341777
 0.25 515267 517254 516248 514243 511234 507228 499211 493206
      485203 477203 469207 467208 462208 459208 458212 450214
      442215 438215 435216 432219 432224 433228 436231 439230
      443232 439236 432239 430243 434244 441244 449244 457245
      462246 466248 470251 473255 476263 477271 475298 475308
      477317 480321 483318 485311 487303 487293 487282 486277
      488275 493275 498278 504282 509278 513272 515267
 0.25 525193 523183 520175 515171 509170 503165 500163 495162
      489159 484153 482151 481147 488146 490140 489137 484131
      477127 473128 471130 466136 461138 455142 449148 443149
      439153 434160 436164 439166 442166 444169 445177 443182
      440185 442189 448194 453196 456188 462182 464179 462174
      460171 460168 475168 483170 488174 493180 496189 501194
      505191 507189 511190 517194 523195 525193
 0.25 465107 461105 456104 452102 450098 441099 434103 430105
      427106 424107 423110 422115 417116 422118 431116 438113
      444114 447113 451110 454109 464109 465107
 0.25 449232 450229 449229 447229 447231 448232 449232
 0.25 448075 448074 446073 446072 445071 444072 445074 445075
      446076 448077 448075
 0.25 417907 417898 415891 415889 409886 407892 406899 406903
      405908 407915 412919 415914 417907
 0.25 412071 412070 411068 411066 410065 409064 407064 405064
      403064 403065 401067 403069 403070 405071 406072 408074
      409073 410072 412071 412071
 0.25 403074 403072 403070 401070 399071 397073 397074 398076
      399077 400076 401075 403074 403074
 0.25 398064 399062 398061 397062 396063 394064 394065 396065
      398065 398064
 0.25 389856 389849 386845 384833 380814 379807 376805 371804
      368805 365813 361819 357841 353859 347878 344885 342893
      330929 321946 319953 320957 325957 330963 334965 338963
      341960 342956 345949 351929 357914 362906 364905 366910
      369915 371917 374919 378919 381916 383911 379901 379888
      379879 382872 387868 389856
 0.25 300907 299905 297906 294908 291909 290910 286911 284912
      284916 286918 288918 290918 292916 295914 297912 298910
      300907
 0.50 512266 513260 512256 510249 506236 501222 498216 494210
      489207 481205 476206 471208 460211 456214 451216 438218
      436223 439227 451227 456226 460230 448234 444235 440239
      442241 446241 453242 464242 471246 476250 479256 481262
      482265 484264 486262 489262 496271 501275 505271 510269
      512266
 0.50 502256 502251 501246 496236 491229 488226 484224 479223
      476223 472226 473229 477230 480234 487236 491245 495254
      497258 499260 501259 502256
 0.50 507177 507176 506174 505173 504172 503171 502170 501170
      499169 497169 496169 495169 494170 493171 494171 495172
      497174 498176 500177 502177 503178 505178 506178 507177
 0.50 483299 482296 482294 482291 483289 483288 481286 480288
      480290 480293 480295 480297 480298 480300 480303 480304
      481303 481301 483299 483299
 0.50 486136 484134 482133 481133 479133 477133 476134 475134
      474136 475138 477139 479139 480139 482139 484139 485138
      486136 486136
 0.50 477159 474153 469149 465147 461146 455149 451153 448160
      448168 447172 447175 450179 447181 443185 445189 449190
      451193 453191 456186 462181 463178 462176 456172 455169
      455165 457162 460161 464162 468163 472163 475162 477159
      477159
 0.50 376862 377851 375843 370840 368836 362834 360841 357854
      356862 354870 350883 349890 346897 339906 335920 332932
      326946 325950 327952 330958 335961 337959 339956 343944
      352919 358905 360899 363894 365899 368902 370888 374882
      375873 376862
 1.00 492219 491214 488211 480208 472210 465213 458215 454217
      451220 448221 451223 455223 458225 463227 467225 473221
      481221 486222 491222 492219
 1.00 483247 484245 483243 483242 482240 482239 481237 480236
      479235 478233 476233 474233 473234 472234 471236 470238
      471240 473241 473242 474243 476244 478246 479247 481247
      482247 483247
 1.00 469157 469155 469154 467152 465152 464153 462153 461153
      462154 463156 465157 467157 468158 469157
 1.00 457236 455235 453235 452235 451235 450236 448236 449237
      451238 453238 454238 455238 456237 457236
 1.00 459180 459179 457179 456182 457182 459180 459180
 1.00 350908 349902 346904 342908 341910 339915 337921 337926
      337932 337935 339935 342932 344928 345923 346918 348912
      349908 350908
 1.00 336945 336943 336941 336940 335941 334942 333943 332945
      331947 332948 334948 334947 336945 336945
 1.50 488218 485213 481210 476210 470213 466214 461216 456219
      457222 460224 463224 468222 473220 478218 483219 487220
      488218
 1.50 480241 480239 479237 477236 476236 474237 474239 475240
      476242 478243 480241
 2.00 482216 483213 481212 475212 472213 468215 465216 461218
      458219 462223 466221 469220 473217 477217 482216 482216

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 486339 488330 491323 493312 493305 492288 498286 500286
      503288 509288 512283 515280 518275 520269 521258 520252
      520245 523237 524227 529211 536212 538210 539204 536190
      527169 520159 515147 509136 508130 505124 501118 497112
      492101 488096 486090 482077 473056 469043 466038 462034
      457029 452025 447022 442021 437019 432018 425022 416034
      418041 415047 411052 410054 407055 402053 397056 389063
      386074 388078 393080 402079 413077 417073 422070 428070
      431069 432073 433082 431091 426088 424091 427097 427102
      422105 419109 416113 414115 411115 406117 416123 418125
      421126 427125 431121 436118 441117 444121 443137 442144
      444148 439156 438161 440163 442169 450177 453183 457184
      460181 461178 463176 461175 456175 456167 459163 463165
      465169 468173 472170 476173 478175 479178 481183 482186
      486187 489188 491191 492194 491198 486198 479199 473201
      466207 462205 459204 457206 456212 453215 447216 444219
      456226 457229 455233 450234 444235 445241 446250 448254
      454258 460260 465262 468264 470266 471280 471296 468313
      467323 467331
 0.01 480668 478660 474654 471647 467642 464636 458637 452640
      445643 439645 436651 430659 420680 419684 417686 412691
      404700 402707 398712 388721 382730 376738 373743 369747
      365750 358754 353753 349756 345758 341757 335756 328755
      322755 306758 299759 293759 282760 276769 269777 264788
      262794 261801 262804 265806 269810 269815 266821 258829
      263835 263838 262840 258844 250852 249853 247857 246862
      244869 248871 259878 263892 271912 279935 283941 286945
      290951 294954 298954 301956 308957 315958 322959 328959
      334956 342950 344944 346937 349925 354913 359901 366890
      369884 373879 378875 381871 387861 405850 408844 410842
      412843 416858 418866 423872 426876 431880 449889 455889
      460891 471890 482884 486879 489874 494868 494857 495848
      492844 487833 484829 482824 475814 474804 474798 472796
      469790 465786 460780 458778 459774 462768 465760 469746
      472733 475721 478708 479701 480693 480668
 0.01 490987 491980 490974 487969 484967 481964 477964 472964
      470962 471960 472957 473949 471944 468940 461937 454934
      445932 436928 429924 422920 407910 408905 408900 408887
      404878 399878 397881 395885 395892 396904 397908 394911
      389913 385915 382919 381923 380928 382931 386932 390934
      392939 394943 396959 400968 405975 415989 421994 429999
      444005 450006 453008 464009 475009 480005 487995 490987
 0.25 524192 525188 524185 522180 520173 518169 513162 505156
      500149 495140 489132 486123 484117 485109 482098 479093
      477089 472083 467075 462065 458057 453051 449048 446050
      445057 444065 442070 443076 447083 450088 450092 445094
      441093 436097 432097 433102 432105 430105 426107 426110
      428111 433113 444114 453117 459118 462121 464126 464129
      463133 460135 457137 455142 454147 453155 456158 460158
      464159 468162 474167 483173 490175 502188 507192 515194
      521195 524192
 0.25 511273 511260 511249 509236 506227 499209 495206 489204
      481203 473206 467212 460216 458220 458222 460223 463223
      466228 463237 465242 468246 473253 480260 485267 491274
      494277 497278 502278 506279 509277 511273
 0.25 448682 448679 446676 442679 436681 430687 424696 415709
      406719 399725 395733 383746 376752 369757 364761 358764
      349768 341771 335771 332771 322770 318770 316771 310775
      304780 302789 298806 285818 281825 278832 272846 266851
      267856 269859 270862 273865 277873 279877 279883 280894
      284899 289902 295903 298905 296915 297922 301924 305925
      310925 318923 323924 319931 318937 320941 323944 328945
      334944 337942 341939 343934 345925 348917 351910 354902
      358895 362888 366880 375864 385850 394840 405827 418815
      423809 426802 434787 442771 446763 449753 451742 451736
      449732 447729 447723 448716 448697 447688 448682
 0.25 444043 444041 444038 443038 441037 440038 440039 439040
      439042 440043 441044 443045 444043
 0.25 438959 438952 435947 431945 428943 424941 421940 420945
      423949 425952 428956 431959 435961 438959
 0.25 425739 424737 424739 425739 425739
 0.25 413071 413068 412066 410064 409063 407062 405062 404063
      403063 402065 402067 403068 404070 405071 406072 408073
      410073 412072 413071
 0.50 506274 508253 507242 505232 503223 499214 493208 489206
      485205 480205 476207 471211 468214 468218 470221 474222
      480224 483228 482230 480231 472231 470234 469240 474247
      480252 486259 490267 495274 498273 502275 504275 506274
 0.50 517185 518178 515174 512171 509169 506166 501165 498167
      497169 499175 502178 506182 509185 512186 515186 517185
 0.50 489165 488160 487159 482154 477150 474151 469147 466145
      463145 460146 458148 458153 460155 466157 470161 475164
      479167 484168 489165
 0.50 491145 489142 488139 486136 484133 483131 479130 476129
      473130 471133 471138 472141 475142 477142 480141 483142
      485143 488146 491145
 0.50 474111 475105 473101 468098 463099 456103 451099 448097
      443096 439098 437102 437106 438110 447110 451109 455108
      460106 462110 466114 471115 474111
 0.50 450078 450077 449075 448074 447073 446072 445072 445073
      445075 446077 447077 448078 449078 450078
 0.50 444749 439744 434746 432749 427756 422758 418759 415757
      412753 409752 405754 400758 397763 394766 390769 382771
      372773 364772 357772 350773 335775 326776 317778 312785
      313796 316804 319810 325814 330818 327826 326831 326836
      321838 319840 316847 312849 309846 305840 303825 300824
      296825 288828 286832 287839 287844 284846 278849 273852
      273857 273860 277862 283865 288872 292879 292885 294888
      303888 310890 311892 311896 312901 317902 324899 326902
      328907 331910 330916 329925 329931 330934 335935 338934
      342929 344921 350906 354898 358891 366878 371866 388838
      392833 397828 405816 425791 429785 432779 439765 443757
      444749
 0.50 422718 422715 420714 418714 415717 412721 409726 408731
      407736 406740 409744 413741 416738 418733 420729 421725
      422718 422718
 1.00 504239 502230 500222 496215 491211 483208 476210 474212
      472216 476219 479220 486224 490229 494238 498243 501242
      504239 504239
 1.00 498266 498258 497252 495246 490240 486237 479234 474234
      473239 474242 479246 484249 488254 491260 493265 497267
      498266
 1.00 483163 483162 483161 482159 481158 480157 479157 478157
      477159 478162 480163 481163 483163 483163
 1.00 480137 480135 479134 477133 476133 475134 474136 475138
      477138 479137 480137
 1.00 420778 420776 417774 414775 411777 408780 403779 393783
      389784 385783 380782 374783 369785 365789 354802 349811
      348818 350823 341840 336848 332859 329862 326866 323869
      323872 329874 334871 338869 343870 348868 351864 352866
      350870 342891 339900 337906 337913 337926 340924 342918
      346908 349901 354890 360881 368865 373855 378845 383837
      385832 387827 393820 399811 404803 406797 405794 405792
      409789 414786 418781 420778
 1.00 367822 366816 363816 360819 358823 356826 353830 351833
      353837 359836 362833 364829 366824 367822
 1.00 346783 344781 341780 338780 335780 333780 330781 327783
      325784 323786 324790 326791 330792 333791 337790 340788
      342787 345785 346783
 1.50 500232 498227 496221 492216 487212 481210 476211 474214
      476217 481219 488222 492227 495231 498233 500232
 1.50 496260 495256 493253 492250 491246 490243 487241 486241
      484243 486246 487249 489252 490254 491257 493259 496260
 1.50 481244 483242 482240 481239 480238 479237 477236 475237
      475238 476240 477241 478242 480244 481244 481244
 1.50 378805 379803 378801 376802 375803 375805 376806 378805
      378805
 1.50 376792 373791 371793 368795 366796 364798 362800 361803
      360805 362805 363804 367802 369802 371799 373797 375794
      376792
 1.50 374842 373839 370840 365845 362851 361858 354870 350884
      344897 342904 342910 348899 350891 352886 360874 366860
      370849 374842
 2.00 490247 489246 488244 488246 489248 490247
 2.00 490219 489216 489215 487214 486212 484211 482211 481211
      479212 478213 477215 478216 480217 481218 483218 485219
      486220 488220 490219

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 328687 323697 318707 312719 311721 313723 317722 319720
      321713 325708 334696 338691 344687 356676 367672 381668
      387669 391667 392665 395661 400656 405652 410647 426640
      440634 456626 460628 464631 471629 476629 478631 482631
      487627 495633 500636 505643 512654 516666 520673 522681
      524693 524702 523710 523718 520724 514736 510740 505744
      482760 473771 462780 445796 436804 424809 418812 414812
      412810 407803 406801 404803 404809 406816 407826 412845
      412862 409875 406882 405884 406887 413896 424908 429912
      433914 436916 438920 440923 440928 440934 438936 433940
      428942 422943 415943 410941 404939 400936 392927 384916
      376903 370889 368880 368869 365864 362858 359853 357846
      356844 355840 355835 353833 354826 357821 364811 366803
      368797 373792 375789 371788 353789 341789 335791 329793
      317797 312800 307805 295814 285823 280827 275830 269829
      270822 271817 273812 278802 280796 278788 274774 270753
      269745 272739 281730 292724 281715 303704 304706 305708
      306708 308708 309707 310706 310704 311703 312702 312701
      313699 314698 315697 315696 316694
 0.01 440320 446321 453323 466328 471328 474326 477322 479313
      479308 479305 480297 479294 481292 489285 494281 499277
      504271 506263 508255 508247 508229 506222 502213 497209
      500201 503198 508196 513195 518200 521207 525214 527217
      531218 533216 535212 534205 532198 530191 527185 524178
      520172 516166 511161 504153 499141 478124 474121 472120
      470122 464134 459138 454142 452146 453148 455154 462164
      468174 476185 482189 486195 487199 486203 481200 477200
      472204 468208 464207 462205 454217 452224 452228 450231
      448232 447236 446246 444258 443264 441267 439276 437279
      436284 433293 431300 433317
 0.01 521128 521115 518104 514095 511089 508086 497072 492062
      490055 487050 483043 477036 474033 471032 472028 474026
      475023 473018 471014 473010 473006 471002 465993 462988
      458985 452980 446974 440966 437961 433959 433968 436978
      441988 444993 446996 443997 442001 443006 445011 447015
      451020 453021 452024 449027 449032 451043 446052 445058
      446064 448070 451075 454083 457088 460091 464094 469098
      473099 477101 481103 484105 491112 499119 502124 505127
      513134 519133 521128
 0.01 491876 491867 489861 487851 485843 479832 474829 471827
      467828 447843 444846 440851 436856 427857 424856 421857
      419860 420865 423865 431865 436868 441868 447865 452860
      455857 456854 456850 459849 460853 462858 461864 462873
      460880 458886 456896 458902 460908 465910 472907 480901
      484896 488889 490884 491876
 0.01 477106 477102 473103 470102 467102 465102 462104 461106
      462109 462114 463116 465119 467120 469119 470117 472114
      474112 475109 477106
 0.01 455115 454107 454100 453096 450094 443095 436097 433095
      429094 429101 429107 428108 430111 435112 439118 441120
      443118 450115 455115
 0.01 443041 443040 441038 441041 443041 443041
 0.25 519689 518680 515673 512665 507661 502657 497649 492643
      489641 486641 474641 469640 462638 455638 446640 442641
      438643 433648 430653 427661 426669 426674 424676 417680
      412681 409679 395677 387677 381678 375678 368680 356691
      351696 347703 340713 331723 317731 311736 306741 298750
      293762 290769 294775 298782 300786 304788 309790 316790
      322787 330785 348782 357781 365781 393781 396783 400783
      408782 416780 420779 425779 431780 437780 448775 455771
      462765 473754 491735 501723 511710 516701 518695 519689
 0.25 501240 503236 502231 500224 491213 486209 479207 473208
      468213 464216 463218 461223 456244 455248 455253 457259
      456265 455270 452280 446293 445298 445303 447305 450306
      455303 459300 467287 472271 478269 485267 494262 498256
      495246 492240 489235 483235 478235 474232 474229 475226
      481224 483223 488224 490227 492231 496239 501240
 0.25 486164 485159 484156 481152 477152 473153 470155 468158
      469162 471166 474169 479170 482170 485166 486164
 0.25 489142 487141 486137 484134 482133 479131 476130 474131
      472133 471138 473141 475143 477144 480146 483145 485145
      487144 489142
 0.25 404908 403906 403905 402903 401902 400901 399901 399903
      399905 400906 401908 403909 404908
 0.25 398830 396823 395815 394810 392801 390799 386797 382799
      379802 371811 368816 368820 370818 375815 383816 387820
      388831 388840 386848 387854 391860 394862 398860 398857
      397851 397844 395838 396834 398830
 0.50 513688 512679 510673 506668 502666 498665 496662 493654
      489649 483647 478649 473649 467648 461650 457650 453652
      447656 444662 442671 439683 432693 428698 423703 417707
      412711 403718 397721 393725 391728 388729 379732 371742
      367740 365734 363730 361729 356727 350726 341728 335732
      331737 330743 330749 324759 316770 317774 319776 325778
      336779 349778 365776 369776 373776 376777 380776 385774
      392772 397773 400779 408778 414776 421773 428771 441768
      451762 461753 472745 488728 496717 505707 510698 513688
 0.50 499232 499229 497227 496228 497231 498233 499232
 0.50 492251 493247 491245 489242 487240 485240 483242 481247
      480252 482255 485256 486256 489255 491253 492251
 0.50 487218 486213 483210 478210 474211 468216 465218 463223
      463228 461233 460237 461243 462245 464248 465247 471238
      471233 472226 478221 485219 487218
 0.50 482160 482159 480158 478158 477159 475159 474161 474163
      475164 476165 478165 479164 481163 482160
 0.50 483138 482137 481135 479134 477134 476136 477137 479139
      480139 482139 483138
 0.50 429743 428740 426740 426741 427743 428743 429743
 1.00 504686 502681 498680 495679 492681 487685 483684 481678
      476675 473677 472680 473688 473692 472695 469701 466705
      460715 453725 447733 443735 441733 438733 433735 431739
      433746 431752 429758 433760 439758 444754 461739 478726
      492708 498699 504686 504686
 1.00 459692 456690 453691 450694 447697 443701 441705 439709
      438714 438717 440718 443716 444713 447709 450704 452701
      455698 457694 459692
 1.00 428731 427729 426729 425729 424731 423732 424732 425732
      427732 428731
 1.00 422744 421743 421742 419740 418740 417740 417743 417745
      416746 415748 415750 417752 418752 419752 420752 421751
      421749 422747 422744
 1.00 415764 415762 415761 413761 411763 410765 412767 413766
      415765 415764
 1.00 413753 413751 412750 410749 408751 408752 408754 409755
      410756 411756 412755 413753
 1.00 347756 347754 346752 345752 344752 342753 340754 339755
      338756 337758 335760 335761 335763 336763 336765 338766
      340766 341765 342764 343763 344761 345761 346759 346758
      347756
 1.50 474718 474717 473715 472714 470715 469716 468717 467718
      466719 466721 465722 464724 464725 465727 467728 468727
      468726 470725 471723 472723 473722 474720 474718 474718

$$





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