Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 300955
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
554 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 30/1200 UTC THRU SEP 02/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1 UPDATE...

SOME CHANGES WERE NEEDED ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AHEAD OF THE
VORT ACROSS IA MOVING INTO IL AND TO ACCOUNT FOR CONVECTION
DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE IA/IL VORT MAX.  NUDGED THE QPF MAX OVER
LA A BIT TO THE WEST GIVEN THE RADAR PRESENTATION AND THE FACT
THAT THE AREA WAS PROPAGATING EASTWARD LESS QUICKLY THAN EARLIER
FORECAST.


DAY 1...

UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER LAKES

PW VALUES FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE---1.5 TO 2+ STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN---FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE
UPPER LAKES DAY 1.  CONVECTION LIKELY TO REMAIN ACTIVE IN THIS
HIGH PW AXIS AS AN UPPER TROF AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER LIFT OUT OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND EVENTUALLY CROSSES THE
GREAT LAKES REGION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  IT APPEARS THAT THE
PCPN AMOUNTS WILL BE DECREASING WITH TIME DURING THE PERIOD AS THE
VORT LIFTS OUT.  THERE IS THE USUAL AMOUNT OF LATITUDINAL
DIFFERENCES WITH THE QPF AXIS---WITH THE IN HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED MEAN USED FOR THE AXIS.
WESTERN GULF COAST INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

TWO LOW/MID LEVEL CIRCULATIONS CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION...ONE ALONG THE GULF COAST WHICH EVENTUALLY LIFT NORTH
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND A SECOND CENTER ALONG THE WESTERN
GULF COAST WHICH MOVES LITTLE.  WITH THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION
REMAINING QUITE MOIST...SOME 1.5 TO 2+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
THE MEAN...HEAVY PCPN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY.  THE HIGHEST
CHANCES FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LOOK TO BE OVER SOUTHWEST LA OR
EXTREME SOUTHEAST TX AS THE CIRCULATION CENTER JUST SOUTH OF THE
COAST FEEDS MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND EVENTUALLY BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTH OVER THE SAME REGION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  HOW QUICKLY
THAT PICK UP OCCURS BY THE SYNOPIC SCALE FORCING WILL IMPACT HOW
MUCH RAFL FALLS.  ACROSS FAR SOUTH TX...MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE
BEEN SUGGESTING THAT MUCH OF THE RAFL WILL BE OFFSHORE.  AS
MENTIONED EARLIER...THE MODELS HAVE NOT DEPICTED THE LOW VERY WELL
SO WPC QPF AMOUNTS WERE INCREASED ABOVE MODEL GUIDANCE VALUES.

THE SSEO WAS HANDLING THE PLACEMENT AND PCPN AMOUNTS FAIRLY WELL
FRI EVE AND WAS GIVEN MORE WEIGHTING THE NAM CONEST OR ARW THROUGH
THE AFTN.  BY THIS EVENING REVERTED BACK TO A SOLN BASED MORE ON
THE ECMWF AND PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED QPF AS SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING
BECOMES MORE IMPORTANT.

LOWER TO MIDDLE MS VALLEY/LOWER OH VALLEY

IN BETWEEN THE EXPECTED PRECIPITATION MAXIMUM OVER THE UPPER MS
VALLEY/UPPER LAKES AND THE MAX OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY/WESTERN
GULF COAST REGION---MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR LIGHTER TOTALS FROM
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY/LOWER OH VALLEY.  DAY 1 QPF
DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THIS DEPICTION---ALTHOUGH WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE ALSO FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS THESE REGIONS---HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS

HEIGHT FALLS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA WILL BRUSH THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS...HELPING TO PUSH A SFC COLD FRONT AS
FAR EAST EAST THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS BY SUNDAY MORNING.  A NARROW
BAND OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR LIGHT TO
MODERATE AMOUNTS AHEAD OF THIS FAST MOVING FRONT.  THE DAY 1 QPF
DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THIS IDEA.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

N. ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST...

THE NAM WAS CONSIDERED AN OUTLIER WITH ITS STRONG SURFACE LOW AND
SLOWER COLD FRONT. THUS ITS QPF WAS NOT CONSIDERED FOR THE AMOUNTS
ACCOMPANYING NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY.  THE NAM IS CONSIDERED USEFUL FARTHER
SOUTH HOWEVER WHERE BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT FOR FRONTAL TIMING
EXISTS.  GIVEN THE RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
PROGRESSING OUT OF THE ROCKIES ALONG WITH GRADUALLY MOISTENING
CONDITIONS AND MODEST MID LEVEL FLOW...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD BECOME WIDESPREAD AND PROGRESSIVE...WITH SOLUTIONS LEANING
TOWARD THE FAST SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE GENERALLY PREFERRED OVER
SOLUTIONS THAT ARE CONSIDERED SLOWER.

BY MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT NEARS
THE EDGE OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE S. PLAINS...WITH THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASING WITHIN A DEEPENING MOISTURE PLUME.
THUS...BACK-BUILDING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY.
THEREFORE...USED THE MORE SOUTHERN NAM/GFS AS AN INITIAL GUIDE BUT
SHIFTED THE AXIS EVEN FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE LOW LEVEL JET AND
MOISTURE AXIS.  THE 12Z ECMWF WAS TOO FAR NORTH WITH THE COLD
FRONT BUT HAS COME AROUND TO THE OTHER 00Z GUIDANCE.  SOME
PORTIONS OF THE S. PLAINS COULD RECEIVE UPWARDS OF 1.5 TO 2.0
INCHES OF QPF...POSSIBLY MORE LOCALLY MONDAY NIGHT.

LOWER MS VALLEY AND TN VALLEY EASTWARD...

USED LARGE-SCALE DEPICTIONS OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE GULF AND ITS ACCOMPANYING QPF FROM THE
GFS/UKMET/ECMWF...WITH VERY LITTLE OF THE NAM/CANADIAN AS THEY
WERE LEAST SUPPORTED BY THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS.  ALTHOUGH UNUSUALLY ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE
TO CONTRIBUTE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...THE STRENGTH OF THE BUILDING
BERMUDA HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL LIKELY DAMPEN THE TROUGH`S
INFLUENCE AS IT REACHES THE NORTHEAST AND LIKELY FORCE A NARROW
BUT STILL POSSIBLY HEAVY AXIS OF RAINFALL ALONG ITS NORTHWEST
PERIMETER.  THE FINAL RESULT INCLUDES 2 AXES OF HEAVIER
TOTALS...ONE EXTENDING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND ANOTHER
ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST...WHERE BASIN-AVERAGE TOTALS MAY
APPROACH 1 INCH...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE IF A NARROW BAND DEVELOPS.

BANN/JAMES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 562004 560996 555990 550984 545983 540984 534985 528987
      518987 512985 486967 480962 474957 469954 461954 456959
      453967 453974 455978 457990 457994 454995 449000 444005
      441009 441014 443022 444031 441040 437040 433037 426035
      421031 417031 414035 410040 404046 400046 397048 390047
      394053 396055 400056 404056 407054 414053 423058 420061
      417063 413063 410065 409070 410075 410083 408087 407098
      408107 408117 409124 410127 414132 419128 427123 430124
      431126 432131 434140 436148 448158 471152 476147 480140
      477122 478115 480112 483105 493088 512064 519062 524058
      531055 538049 540046 542042 543036 543030 542026 544024
      548023 551020 558013 562004
 0.01 522266 519262 518257 517244 514225 521225 526225 529221
      535216 539208 539201 538194 536190 527174 515162 509156
      506154 501154 498156 497162 496168 496174 497179 496187
      496195 495202 493207 489208 483206 476208 470210 465216
      466220 469223 476221 480222 484224 484229 487232 489234
      487235 482237 481232 478230 471231 467232 465235 464242
      465247 477259 483265 487269 490273 502283 506284 511282
      514279 516277 518277
 0.01 522144 522138 521133 516129 510123 506117 501113 498114
      497118 497123 500126 504130 509136 511144 514148 518149
      522144
 0.01 520737 512728 509721 508710 510705 509697 509685 510674
      510665 510658 510653 508650 503644 501642 499643 493645
      487650 480665 477672 474677 468683 467686 464687 457691
      451696 445701 442711 442725 442731 440735 439738 437741
      434746 433756 430763 426772 423777 418782 413786 407789
      394798 388801 382807 378812 374818 369822 361821 356819
      350819 345816 339814 327820 325821 322821 316818 287808
      277804 270802 272798 275793 271789 263788 259788 256790
      253796 252802 257804 264804 257814 257823 258828 260831
      268839 278845 291849 295850 296853 300861 302869 301872
      299875 296876 294879 291884 272907 264917 261924 257931
      251940 251948 249956 237961 231971 236976 239978 243979
      252979 257986 269991 279981 290978 299969 308960 319955
      338954 353948 359946 366945 375943 379938 385927 393917
      397912 403908 413903 415901 418901 422903 429907 440916
      450918 456916 460911 469900 476885 488859 492852 496843
      502828 509812 512805 513795 515776 517761 518756 518746
      520737
 0.01 456221 455220 454220 452219 451220 450221 448220 447220
      445220 444220 444223 446224 448225 449225 450224 451224
      453224 454223 455222 456221
 0.01 409021 408017 404016 400018 398021 395023 389024 389029
      393030 398030 400028 404026 407024 409021
 0.01 396004 396002 394000 392000 389002 387004 385006 383006
      379008 378010 379013 383013 385011 387011 390009 392007
      394007 396004
 0.01 329801 327796 323796 319799 318802 314805 311807 309809
      312814 317813 321812 324810 327805 329803 329801
 0.01 283101 284096 284090 283088 281085 278083 273082 268078
      263073 258067 253063 248059 242055 239053 235053 231052
      228054 227057 228061 241068 249079 258088 268098 274102
      278103 281102 283101
 0.25 548001 547996 545994 535993 528997 523001 518004 512005
      508006 498017 491019 487020 483020 486012 492009 498006
      501002 502997 500993 497991 491987 465970 464975 464982
      465987 465992 461001 458009 455018 453031 452036 452042
      455045 460045 467044 472044 476047 479050 483051 490050
      497047 504043 509039 511034 511027 521012 528012 535009
      544006 548004 548001
 0.25 531205 530199 529194 527188 524184 521181 518179 514181
      514187 515190 517196 519201 522204 526206 531205
 0.25 514264 513258 510252 508244 505239 501233 499228 496226
      496234 499240 501244 504250 505258 509263 514264
 0.25 502708 499693 497688 494683 490683 487686 483690 476699
      470709 461716 459719 456725 454735 452742 450746 445756
      437782 436788 433793 426795 422799 417806 414809 409811
      404814 401818 394825 388827 382827 379830 375835 372838
      368841 362843 357843 348844 345845 340847 337850 335855
      332859 330863 327876 324882 322884 318884 313886 309888
      301893 284905 277912 273920 268930 262942 253962 252968
      253974 259981 262984 264985 266982 273978 278976 283972
      291964 298957 308951 323942 332938 337936 342936 349937
      356938 361939 366938 370935 374931 381922 386915 390905
      393900 395895 403890 411880 417870 422862 429856 439861
      438867 440872 443876 446881 449893 452900 457898 465889
      471878 474867 477857 481846 486835 489824 492809 494802
      496794 499783 499776 499769 500754 500735 502708
 0.25 463112 464106 461102 458096 458090 457085 456082 455076
      457066 456064 454065 447068 445070 445074 446083 450090
      448090 442094 437098 434099 432104 439115 448126 450129
      453129 458123 463112
 0.25 450821 447819 444821 439823 432826 428829 426830 424834
      422839 420841 423841 428839 431835 436832 441829 446825
      450821
 0.25 413838 409836 405839 402843 400846 397850 397855 396862
      396866 399862 401859 403855 406850 408847 411843 412839
      413838
 0.25 288822 285821 283820 279819 277819 275818 272816 268818
      270822 272824 274826 276827 278828 282829 285828 287825
      288822
 0.50 538000 537997 536996 534997 533997 532997 531998 529000
      528002 529004 531005 532004 534004 535003 536003 537002
      538000
 0.50 523197 524195 524192 523191 522190 521191 521194 521196
      522197 522198 523197
 0.50 497711 497705 495701 493696 489695 485697 482700 479706
      475713 468719 466722 465727 464732 461735 456742 453751
      453756 457758 460759 461765 462778 462784 461790 461803
      460812 458821 453829 449836 449839 451843 455851 455858
      455863 453874 453881 454886 456889 458888 461883 463878
      467861 470852 475843 482827 484818 486807 488797 491787
      492779 494766 495755 494743 494733 495724 497711
 0.50 491035 489034 487033 486032 484033 482034 482035 481037
      482039 484040 485040 486040 487040 489039 490038 491035
 0.50 491997 490995 488992 484989 474982 470979 469979 468984
      469992 467999 462011 458025 455031 455037 457040 460040
      465038 469035 471033 472029 475014 483007 488002 491997
 0.50 456113 457108 456103 455100 454098 451097 450098 447099
      444101 442102 441105 440108 441110 443112 447113 450114
      452116 455115 456113
 0.50 405873 406871 405869 404871 405873 405873
 0.50 404876 404875 402876 404876 404876
 0.50 388865 387849 386841 381841 372849 369853 365855 353857
      347859 343863 339867 336872 331880 326889 323894 318898
      308903 301908 294910 290912 281919 275927 270935 259956
      257961 255967 256971 258976 262979 266978 278972 285965
      291958 298952 308945 326936 336931 347927 352925 355927
      359932 364932 367929 371925 378916 378908 376909 368914
      365913 364907 366901 369895 373884 375879 379876 385871
      388865
 1.00 492710 487709 484712 481718 479724 477739 474753 472761
      471768 473778 476782 479784 481781 484776 486768 487761
      488752 488745 484731 490721 492714 492710
 1.00 471011 470009 469011 470013 471011 482002 482999 482998
481997
      480996 479995 478994 477993 475994 475997 475999 476002
      477002 478003 480004 482002
      482002
 1.00 366874 364872 363873 361874 359876 358879 357879 356881
      358882 359881 360881 361879 362878 363877 364876 364875
      366874
 1.00 359896 359892 356890 356882 353880 352877 350874 347875
      342878 336884 333889 329896 327901 322907 317911 312914
      297918 291922 287927 283931 279938 278945 275952 272958
      267963 263968 266971 270970 275968 278965 280962 283956
      287952 297943 304941 310938 335926 346918 350913 354908
      357902 359896
 1.50 350901 348899 344899 339902 336906 330909 317917 301920
      295923 290929 287935 286943 292943 299939 312934 325927
      331923 337919 346909 349904 350901
 2.00 321924 321921 317921 312920 306921 301922 295925 292930
      290937 293939 295939 301937 307935 311933 316930 319926
      321924
 3.00 314926 314924 310923 306924 305925 301926 299928 297929
      295931 295935 297935 301935 303934 306933 308931 310930
      312928 314926

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 483615 490616 495615 497619 500627 503637 504643 503653
      501669 500677 499685 499703 496720 495727 493736 492758
      491778 481807 477810 472815 468819 464816 459812 458803
      448800 444798 440800 436808 428819 419832 411840 404848
      397857 388867 379877 369887 365892 360898 357903 352909
      344919 332937 323947 319951 314956 303965 295976 285981
      282983 278983 269983 262983 259980 254977 255973 256965
      262962 272955 277951 282944 288930 288911 287901 289895
      289889 293885 301878 308877 315878 318880 321879 326874
      327866 330857 335853 339846 335841 330839 323841 317844
      309852 303853 300853 297851 294846 292839 286836 280834
      273832 266830 259817 257814 258810 260804 268803 270800
      272799 279798 282801 288804 295804 309803 318801 324797
      331795 336795 336801 338804 341803 347800 363780 365777
      364772 357770 355764 354756 362747 371739 392719 400710
      408698 414686 419673 423663 428648 430639 435632
 0.01 561952 562941 561935 560930 553919 550916 543916 539914
      534914 532913 531909 529904 528899 528894 529887 528881
      525875 519866 507864 501864 497864 494863 489863 483861
      475867 471871 467873 463876 457877 451878 447877 440882
      435886 429889 418885 413882 409887 405891 403897 400911
      398916 396921 391930 386940 379950 371959 373965 376969
      381972 378975 372982 370984 372989 374994 373999 374003
      374007 378006 381002 388001 396001 399001 401999 410993
      413994 413998 413006 410018 407023 404028 389041 386047
      386052 387056 389063 390070 393075 393084 396088 400086
      407086 412085 416082 422082 422086 421088 417093 412096
      408098 406102 405107 406113 410118 414121 416123 418122
      427118 436114 441114 445116 449116 452115 455115 459111
      463109 466108 468110 470105 466100 460097 457093 457083
      460070 466063 476059 474047 471043 469040 469036 469033
      466031 461027 457023 455020 454015 453008 455002 457995
      460989 466979 470975 473972 477970 479971 480975 480985
      482990 487995 493997 500997 507996 516990 524985 532982
      536981 541981 547980 550977 556966 561952
 0.01 522267 518255 516249 514245 511240 510232 509227 506223
      501211 498207 493206 484209 480209 476211 469218 472221
      476221 486227 487233 484236 479233 477231 474232 471233
      466233 463238 463241 465243 468246 474247 480250 484254
      487257 490263 493268 494273 496278 499282 505286 510285
      516281
 0.01 539211 536190 534184 531181 532168 533160 531157 527150
      524147 520146 517148 513147 505142 497141 493145 496153
      498159 495163 490168 490173 495176 497185 499188 503190
      506193 508196 511199 515202 519209 525215 531220 533223
      536223
 0.01 529063 530056 529051 524046 520046 517048 515048 513051
      508057 503060 498062 496063 494066 494071 495076 497078
      502080 511092 516097 517100 520102 523100 525097 524089
      520082 515077 512074 514071 520068 526066 529063
 0.01 482160 480155 477151 470144 465141 460140 455141 452144
      448148 446152 444155 444159 445162 449167 451173 455182
      461176 464169 465166 467165 472164 478164 482160
 0.01 452223 452220 452219 450219 449219 448219 447220 445220
      443219 442219 440218 438219 439221 439222 441222 443222
      444223 446224 448224 450224 451223 452223
 0.01 292081 290078 284078 274075 266072 260067 252062 246057
      240051 232047 229047 228051 231058 231062 232066 228074
      230082 236086 248087 256090 264095 272098 286089 290085
      292081
 0.25 462623 491643 493650 493657 492670 490682 489693 487707
      484718 482729 481741 480748 478754 473763 471767 467769
      463771 459770 454767 451763 449759 444757 437761 432762
      427761 424756 424749 425743 424738 417743 413741 409744
      404753 401756 396756 387754 385752 384745 387741 391738
      396730 401723 409716 418711 422708 425703 427693 428683
      435660 439651 443644 450634 455626
 0.25 547955 547949 546944 542938 538935 533933 527932 523929
      519924 518915 516903 514896 511890 509882 504879 499880
      495883 489884 481883 475887 472890 468892 465892 460889
      455888 450890 445894 434902 430902 424898 420895 416894
      413896 411900 408906 407917 404923 401928 396933 393938
      391943 389949 388953 391955 395955 399956 398965 395971
      391975 390979 391983 395986 401987 407985 417977 422975
      430974 435972 439969 441966 441962 437959 433959 431955
      436950 442948 447951 451954 451962 455968 460970 472964
      476961 480960 484961 489963 489970 487978 488984 490986
      497988 503986 512980 517976 522974 533971 539969 543965
      546960 547955
 0.25 531205 531197 529191 525185 523179 521176 516177 513177
      511178 510183 512186 515190 519196 522200 526206 530207
      531205
 0.25 515261 512258 510253 507243 503235 500230 500224 498219
      495216 491217 489218 490221 494229 497238 499243 502246
      507255 508259 512263 515261
 0.25 495259 495257 493254 493253 492251 491250 491249 489249
      490252 490254 490255 491257 492258 493259 494261 495259
 0.25 444072 444070 443069 442067 440067 438069 440071 441072
      443073 444072
 0.25 446041 445036 442032 438030 435028 432023 428021 426025
      428029 429035 430039 431044 436045 439044 443043 446041
 0.25 426791 427784 425779 421775 413776 408779 405787 402789
      398790 386795 378799 374804 368806 362810 359814 358817
      357826 359829 361830 363833 362836 358843 354850 349862
      343877 342886 344888 347889 355887 361883 365880 370874
      387854 395842 401829 419806 423798 426791
 0.25 411073 411070 410068 408068 407068 405068 403068 401069
      400071 401073 403073 404073 406073 408073 410073 411073
 0.25 321823 321821 319819 318820 316820 314821 312821 310821
      309821 307821 305822 304823 304825 305826 307827 309827
      311828 313828 315828 316827 318826 319825 320825 321823
 0.25 300952 301949 299947 297948 296948 294949 294950 292951
      292952 291954 290956 292957 294956 295956 296956 297954
      298954 299952 300952
 0.50 538960 538957 539949 538944 534941 530941 525939 521942
      519947 521952 523956 525962 528964 533964 536963 538960
 0.50 511934 509924 506919 504912 502910 499910 492908 489907
      485908 479918 476920 473920 467919 462917 456918 450922
      450919 451915 457906 458899 455896 450899 439905 434909
      431916 427928 426937 429942 431944 434943 438939 443934
      447929 451932 455937 458944 462949 464955 467956 471955
      482950 496950 500950 502949 504946 505942 508938 511934
 0.50 483677 482672 481669 478665 475660 474656 476649 476644
      474643 472644 468648 467662 464673 461685 460689 462693
      463698 461703 457707 447711 443714 439718 436729 433734
      434737 437737 444730 449726 452726 457727 461726 467727
      471729 474727 477722 479716 481710 481695 483677
 0.50 496980 497977 497975 496973 494974 493975 492975 491977
      491978 490980 490981 491982 492983 494982 495981 496980
 0.50 451659 451654 449651 445654 442659 439667 438673 438680
      439687 437693 441691 444686 446678 448672 450665 451659
 0.50 419790 416786 412788 405794 398798 390802 386805 384809
      379816 376826 373833 364849 362859 362865 366866 373860
      380855 385848 389841 396823 407810 413803 418795 419790
 0.50 411730 412727 411725 410725 409725 407726 405728 404729
      402731 402732 401734 400735 400737 401739 402740 403740
      405739 406738 407738 408736 409735 410733 410732 411730
      411730
 0.50 420919 420914 420910 419906 417904 414905 413908 412910
      411915 411919 412924 414925 417924 419921 420919
 0.50 416968 414966 412965 411961 411956 409954 408954 406956
      405959 404963 405967 406970 406975 408975 410973 412971
      414970 416968
 0.50 404943 404940 403938 402936 402935 401936 400936 398937
      398938 397940 397943 398945 400944 402944 403943 404943


24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 457625 460630 459637 458648 458654 458657 460661 465668
      469672 474675 481678 483682 482688 476694 467697 463698
      460701 454707 447711 442720 440724 438731 433737 429745
      422754 420756 420759 418764 415773 412784 407792 403796
      401800 394807 390811 391814 394813 400808 403806 407804
      420795 426790 433783 440776 443773 449771 453769 459767
      470765 473763 479761 481761 482765 484769 487774 489779
      492785 492790 488798 487802 488806 489808 489812 489816
      489823 493824 496822 506819 509817 513818 520822 524822
      527824 535828 538830 540834 543850 544856 545864 546879
      543889 541895 540899 538900 533905 524910 515908 506905
      502905 498908 487919 484922 480922 474915 471913 467915
      460920 450921 439922 418919 416919 413921 409924 404933
      399943 393950 386955 383959 381963 380967 379973 378977
      377984 373007 372013 371017 370023 368022 362021 357020
      356014 356008 356995 353984 349929 349915 349905 350893
      352885 352877 353872 356863 363845 363841 361841 357837
      353835 351832 356823 361816 369808 374806 376803 381795
      384791 387788 394782 396775 397773 396771 391772 382773
      374779 366785 360791 354798 343814 334819 327825 323827
      320831 315839 315845 316851 317858 316863 314873 306875
      297860 292855 291844 292838 293834 294832 291831 287829
      265829 258825 254822 252817 252812 251808 260804 263803
      269804 279806 283808 289807 294806 298804 308803 314802
      319800 323794 325790 326785 326779 328775 332767 337759
      343752 350744 356739 362733 370726 378720 382715 384711
      390704 394695 400678 427656 436639
 0.01 521268 516259 514255 513250 513241 510232 504225 501214
      500209 497205 495205 492209 491212 489212 486211 484213
      483217 485220 489224 491228 492233 491237 485237 480235
      476234 474237 473242 476245 479249 484252 487255 489260
      492269 494273 497278 500281 504282 507279 506273 508269
      511272 518278
 0.01 532203 532195 532187 529180 527177 527172 527168 525164
      521159 511149 506145 501144 499148 500151 503158 501165
      504171 505187 508193 512199 519210 523212 527212 530208
      532203
 0.01 508063 508055 506052 503049 498048 491044 487037 486030
      486022 483012 476012 471018 466025 460025 457022 455011
      458003 460998 459993 457988 455985 452983 450983 449979
      448969 447964 444959 442956 436956 428956 421961 419964
      417968 417975 418980 411979 408987 408010 407017 408021
      411024 414025 419027 421030 424034 425039 423043 423050
      425053 428056 435057 440054 444053 448052 452052 456052
      459055 465056 468058 474064 489071 496072 502071 506068
      508063
 0.01 492145 489139 486135 482130 478126 471125 468125 467127
      466132 467137 468138 470141 473142 478145 483149 489150
      492145
 0.01 467112 464106 458103 455100 453095 448092 440090 438093
      438096 443101 449106 454111 458118 461119 464117 467112
 0.01 449080 450075 450073 448070 447068 443065 442064 438064
      436064 434066 433068 432073 434074 438074 441075 443077
      444080 448080 449080
 0.01 391815 389813 388815 390816 391815
 0.01 312943 312935 311928 310907 302896 299894 294895 289899
      288906 287916 288927 290935 290942 286947 282954 280957
      281962 281965 284968 290968 300958 305953 310948 312943
 0.25 538872 536855 534849 532845 525837 517832 484837 476832
      467829 458826 453823 452817 452811 454808 461802 468794
      469791 468787 464785 458788 454791 446797 444802 444811
      442815 438819 427832 410843 404852 403857 401864 399877
      395888 392896 391894 391890 390883 389877 389871 390864
      392858 395846 394843 387843 385847 383853 380867 376876
      370884 366893 362899 359904 357910 356923 356939 356955
      357980 358987 361991 366992 368990 371984 373978 375967
      377960 379955 381950 385947 397935 403926 407917 417898
      422886 423878 424873 425868 428864 434857 436854 434852
      435849 438845 442843 448851 445854 446858 450860 456861
      460863 459868 452885 450892 450896 452898 458898 463896
      472892 476892 480897 483901 486901 488899 494889 501885
      510884 516884 519885 523887 529889 534886 537881 538872
 0.25 524195 523192 522190 520189 519191 520192 521194 521195
      523196 524195
 0.25 508248 508245 507243 507242 506239 504237 504236 503235
      501234 500235 500238 501238 501241 502242 503244 505246
      505247 506248 508248
 0.25 378744 378741 377741 375742 373744 373745 373747 374747
      375747 376746 377745 378744
 0.25 372754 371752 369752 367752 365753 364753 363753 362755
      360756 359758 360761 361761 362760 363760 365761 366761
      368759 370758 371756 372754
 0.25 355770 355768 355766 354764 352765 351766 350767 349768
      347769 347772 347774 348776 349776 350776 352775 353773
      355771 355770
 0.50 530865 531858 529853 524849 518846 511846 512838 509835
      506836 501840 497845 492851 489852 486851 480848 477842
      473838 466836 458837 455842 456848 458851 463854 469858
      474860 475863 474865 472868 468876 469881 472882 476881
      478879 482872 484864 490861 495856 502853 507852 507857
      505859 501865 494867 491869 489873 489877 491880 496881
      503878 508875 513871 517869 520870 524870 528869 530865
 0.50 419872 420860 420854 416852 412857 408863 404880 399894
      396901 392906 386909 384908 382904 379898 375896 371897
      367903 365909 363918 361925 358933 358943 358954 358965
      359975 360983 362985 366985 369979 372972 373965 376956
      379949 383943 387938 398929 401923 403916 406908 410903
      415889 418880 419872
 1.00 377936 378929 376925 373922 369923 366933 364943 360952
      360961 361972 364976 366975 370967 372956 375945 377936
 1.50 369955 370950 372936 368939 366950 365954 363958 363963
      363967 366968 368964 369958 369955

$$





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