Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 172017
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
416 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 18/0000 UTC THRU SEP 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1
~~~~~

COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING EASTWARD
TOWARD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN CA REGION.   THE ASSOCIATED
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN PARALLEL TO THE COAST, KEEPING
PRECIPITATION FROM MOVING VERY FAR INLAND AND CONFINED TO COASTAL
SECTIONS FROM NORTHERN CA INTO THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
OUTSIDE OF THE 12Z GFS AND PARALLEL GFS RUNS, WHICH DISPLAY
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK OFFSHORE THE OR/CA BORDER, THE GUIDANCE WAS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE 12Z WPC QPF, SO MAINTAINED GOOD CONTINUITY.


SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
WIDESPREAD HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS LIKELY THIS PERIOD,
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION OF ODILE AND POSSIBLY A SMALL
VORTICITY MAXIMUM ON ITS EASTERN SIDE WHICH APPEARS TO BE LINKED
TO THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16-E.  A MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE
PRECIPITABLE WATER (PW) AXIS WILL STRETCH FROM SOUTHERN
CA/SOUTHERN NV---EASTWARD INTO AZ---NM AND THROUGH TX.  OBSERVED
PW VALUES ACROSS THESE AREAS ARE NEAR THE 99TH PERCENTILE (NEAR
RECORD VALUES) FOR MID-SEPTEMBER AND THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE SHOULD
REMAIN IN PLACE INTO THURSDAY.  INSTABILITY SHOULD BE LESS OF AN
ISSUE TODAY AS AREAS OF NORTHERNMOST MEXICO, WESTERN TX, AND
SOUTHEAST NM HAVE BEEN SUBJECT TO DAYTIME HEATING, WHICH HAS
INCREASED MIXED LAYER CAPE VALUES TO ROUGHLY 1000 J/KG PER THE
MOST RECENT SPC MESOANALYSIS.

CONSIDERING THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE, HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 3" ARE
POSSIBLE ANYWHERE WITH THIS REGION.  THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
FORECAST OFFICE (HGX) REPORTED RAINFALL OF 1.28" IN 30 MINUTES
WITHIN THE INITIAL THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED LATE THIS MORNING.
THERE IS A STRONG MODEL SIGNAL FOR HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN AZ AND SOUTHERN NM, LEADING TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE ACROSS THESE AREAS.  THE MOST RECENT MESOSCALE GUIDANCE
INDICATES LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 5-8" IN THIS REGION FROM THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THURSDAY.

MODEL SPREAD CONTINUES CONCERNING EXACTLY WHERE HEAVY RAIN
DEVELOPS ACROSS TEXAS.  THE MESOSCALE MODELS ARE QUITE EMPHATIC
ACROSS THIS AREA, WITH LOCAL MAXIMA OF 6-12" NOTED WITHIN THEIR
OUTPUT.  WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED HIGH PW AXIS AND MODEL FORECASTS
OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE MAXIMUM UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IN THIS HIGH
PW AXIS---FAVOR THE IDEA OF SPREADING HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS EASTWARD QUICKER.  WHILE MODELS DO NOT DEPICT
MUCH PRECIPITATION ON THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE ANOMALOUS PW
AXIS FROM SOUTHERN CA INTO SOUTHERN NV AND NW AZ, SCATTERED
CONVECTION IS LIKELY AGAIN ACROSS THESE AREAS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  THE 12Z WPC QPF
CONTINUITY ACROSS EASTERN NM AND NORTHWEST TX WAS SHIFTED
NORTHWARD PER THE 12Z GUIDANCE AND RECENT RADAR TRENDS AND ADDED
MORE TO THE QPF NEAR LA`S VEGAS AND NORTHWEST AZ TO ACCOUNT FOR
EXPECTATIONS ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.


PORTIONS OF MO/AR/KS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD REMAIN
STATIONARY TODAY, WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO POOL PWS OF 1.50-1.75"
PER RECENT RAP RUNS.  SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
MAY SPAWN A COUPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THIS BOUNDARY.  CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH WITH THE AXIS OF MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS---BUT THERE IS A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS FOR MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS NEAR THE KS/OK/MO BORDER JUNCTION.  WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE FROM ORGANIZED CONVECTION MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THIS AXIS.  GENERAL MAINTAINED 12Z WPC QPF
CONTINUITY IN THIS AREA.


COASTAL CAROLINAS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE SINKING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH
SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST.  WIDELY SCATTERED
CONVECTION REMAINS POSSIBLE WITHIN AN AXIS OF INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.  PW VALUES
HAVE LOWERED FROM THE PREVIOUS DAYS AS THE INITIAL FRONTAL
BOUNDARY HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD BUT REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS IN
THE 1.50-1.75" RANGE.  WITH WELL-DEFINED FRONTAL/PRE-FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE FORECAST ACROSS THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST WITH SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARIES ALSO POTENTIALLY AT PLAY TO REINFORCE SYNOPTIC FEATURES
IN THE AREA -- ADDITIONAL LOCALLY HEAVY TO ISOLATED EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE COASTAL CAROLINAS WHERE
HEAVY RAINS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.  ISOLATED
2-4" AMOUNTS, ADVERTISED BY THE MOST RECENT MESOSCALE QPF
GUIDANCE, ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS.
MADE CHANGES TO 12Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY TO ACCOUNT FOR RECENT
SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS.


SOUTH FL
~~~~~~~~
A MOISTURE AXIS THAT HAD BEEN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE PAST
FEW DAYS WILL BE PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TO SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY INTO TOMORROW.  THIS WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SCATTERED
CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA
WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION TOTALS.  THE
MESOSCALE GUIDANCE INDICATES LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 3-5" ARE POSSIBLE
WHERE CELLS MERGE/TRAIN.  GENERAL MAINTAINED 12Z WPC QPF
CONTINUITY IN THIS AREA.

DAYS 2/3...

...SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS...RAISING A SIGNIFICANT THREAT
FOR RUNOFF PROBLEMS...ARE EXPECTED DAY 2 ACROSS OF PORTIONS OF NEW
MEXICO INTO ADJACENT WEST TEXAS/PANHANDLE.  ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE
CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHERN AZ BY EARLY
WED...THE MID LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE ODILE
IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS NM ON DAY 2 TO THE ADJACENT TX/OK
PANHANDLES.  A COUPLET OF MID LEVEL CONVERGENCE/UPPER DIVERGENCE
WILL DRIVE THE RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION.

OVERALL...WPC QPF RELIED MOST HEAVILY ON THE ECMWF/NAM ON DAY
2...WITH SOME WEIGHT GIVEN TO THE HURRICANE WRF AS WELL.  THE 12Z
UKMET AND 06-12Z GFS SHOWED HIGHER QPF MAXIMA FOR WHICH CONFIDENCE
IS LOWER.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST OR NORTHEAST
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EITHER THE CENTRAL OR SOUTHERN PLAINS  ON DAY 3
DEPENDING ON THE FUTURE TRACK OF THE MID LEVEL CENTER AND ITS
RESULTANT QPF.  THE NAM/GFS/HURRICANE WRF TRACK THE 850-700 MB
CENTER FURTHER NORTH WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF/UKMET HAVE A MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK...AND 12Z CANADIAN IN BETWEEN.  GIVEN THE LARGE RUN
TO RUN SHIFT IN THE ECMWF...CONFIDENCE REMAINS BELOW NORMAL.  IN
ADVANCE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...A PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE GETS
ADVECTED NORTH WITH PWS OF 1.75-2 INCHES FCST...BOLSTERING THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY AMOUNTS WITH LOCAL RUNOFF PROBLEMS POSSIBLE.
MANUAL PROGS USED AN INTERMEDIATE SOLUTION WITH PLACEMENT WEIGHTED
A BIT MORE TOWARDS THE MORE SOUTHERN ECMWF/UKMET RUNS FOR NOW.
THE 12Z GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A BULLS EYE IN ITS QPF SO LOW
CONFIDENCE PERSISTS IN THE GFS FCST.

...CENTRAL TEXAS TO THE TEXAS GULF COAST...

MODELS SHOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL
TX TO THE TX GULF COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH PWS INCREASING
TO AROUND 2 INCHES.  THIS MOISTURE INTERACTING WITH LOW LEVEL
CYCLONIC SHEAR AXES
AND SPORADIC LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE MAXIMA
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE WITH SOME HEAVY AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TX COAST.  THIS APPEARS TO END ON
DAY 2 AS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DEPARTS INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
AND IS FOLLOWED BY A LOW LEVEL RIDGE ARCING ACROSS THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST...WITH DRY AIR ADVECTION RESULTING.  THE MOIST AXIS GETS
SHUNTED FURTHER DOWN THE TX COAST INTO SOUTH TEXAS...SO THE AREA
OF INTEREST SHIFTS TO THE DEVELOPING ONSHORE FLOW INTO SOUTH TX
DAY 3.  THE MODELS SHOW WEAK CONVERGENCE SO POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER
RAIN SHOULD BE LOCALIZED.
MANUAL PROGS USED A MULTI-MODEL BLEND WITH CONTINUITY.

...UPPER MIDWEST...

MODELS SHOW A DEEP LAYER TROUGH CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS
TOWARDS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AT THE END OF DAY 2...THEN CROSSING
INTO THE UPPER LAKES DAY 3.  LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW ADVECTS
MOISTURE WITH WARM/MOIST ADVECTION HELPING INDUCES SHOWERS/STORMS
IN THE UPPER MS VALLEY DAY 2 AND EXPANDING SOUTH INTO THE GREAT
LAKES ON DAY 3 AS GFS FCST PW VALUES INCREASE TO 1.5-1.75 INCHES
FRI NIGHT. THE MODELS HAVE TIMING DIFFERENCES ON DAY 3 WITH THE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL FRONT...RESULTING IN
AXIS/ORIENTATION DIFFERENCES.
H MID LEVEL ENERGY/UPPER SPEED MAX MAY INITIATE A COUPLE OF ROUNDS
OF CONVECTION...PRODUCING MODERATE-HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION LATE IN
THE PERIOD.

...FLORIDA...

A WEAK FRONT DRIFTS SOUTH ACROSS FL WITH MOIST AXIS REMAINING IN
PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA.  LOW-MID LEVEL CYCLONIC
SHEAR AXES SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR SHOWER/STORM DEVELOPMENT...WITH
THE FLOW REVERSING DIRECTION DEPENDING ON WHICH SIDE OF THE AXIS
ANY ONE LOCATION IS SITUATED.  THE ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF THE SHEAR
AXIS SUPPORTS COASTAL CONVERGENCE AND SHOWERS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
NORTHEAST COAST...EVENTUALLY SPREAD UP THE SOUTHEAST COAST AS A
BETTER DEFINED CIRCULATION DEVELOPS OFFSHORE. SEA AND LAKE BREEZES
TAP THE PW VALUES NEAR 2 INCHES IN SOUTH TO PRODUCE DIURNAL
SHOWERS AND STORMS.
MANUAL PROGS BLENDED CONTINUITY WITH THE 06-12Z GFS/12Z ECMWF QPF.

ROTH/PETERSEN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 538205 538196 538189 537185 533177 531167 527160 522154
      518152 514152 511152 504150 502155 506158 507162 500164
      497167 496174 492181 490184 490188 492196 494199 492204
      486206 472210 460214 447218 440217 434219 427220 423222
      421225 417222 417218 411213 395207 385200 382199 381204
      383208 386211 392217 395219 395223 392225 389226 382224
      366221 360224 361226 365228 373230 376232 380234 384235
      387238 392244 395250 400254 407259 410262 415263 423264
      431264 437262 442262 448260 455261 462260 467260 472262
      483275 488278 495279 500279 505281 509281 512280 514277
      515269 515265 516261 517255 517251 515242 513234 506220
      503212 504205 507202 525222 530224 534218 535215 537210
      538205
 0.01 510666 508653 504643 500634 494629 491628 487629 484631
      480635 472650 471655 469659 467664 463667 454669 449672
      451674 454675 457677 459680 465678 468679 467684 464694
      462703 461708 461715 461721 459725 456734 453756 452767
      453779 454792 458801 464796 466792 467787 475771 476767
      479762 483754 491738 498722 501712 502700 507680 509672
      510666
 0.01 522025 523008 523991 523974 523968 520964 517962 512962
      504966 486961 476962 472964 472972 470989 485980 489978
      495978 498982 500988 500995 502001 504005 508009 514016
      517026 518030 520031 522025
 0.01 492238 491233 490230 488229 486226 484223 483221 479221
      478223 479226 480229 481231 483235 486238 489238 492238
 0.01 475129 474126 471126 466125 468121 472116 472112 473109
      475106 472106 470103 471099 470095 469095 464092 462089
      459090 455087 454083 453078 451075 447072 443072 447079
      451083 451088 430099 431103 428105 419109 416118 413120
      408121 404121 402125 399128 394130 388134 382140 380144
      379150 378164 380172 384175 389178 395179 402174 408167
      414161 415165 418165 428165 435162 437161 440161 443164
      448165 451164 454162 458158 459153 462150 468147 475129
 0.01 446732 436734 431735 429740 427745 426751 423763 424771
      423777 425791 428789 430783 432771 432764 432756 434750
      436746 444738 446732
 0.01 442127 442121 439119 432121 427125 424134 421141 418149
      417155 416158 417161 423155 429151 432150 434148 437139
      440129 442127
 0.01 419024 411011 410007 407003 404994 401982 398972 391948
      386937 384927 377909 374900 372896 369893 366891 362887
      356877 352870 350867 344868 341870 339875 337884 334889
      331893 325900 318905 313907 310908 308906 298896 293887
      290878 287873 283871 280868 278863 276858 273853 272847
      273841 284831 287827 287823 281818 282814 284809 287807
      291807 302811 306813 306816 312820 317821 323819 326817
      332810 337801 341795 344791 344786 346782 351780 350775
      348771 349767 352764 355757 356746 351738 346738 342741
      336749 330758 327766 324775 319779 314780 309779 302775
      293771 290768 288762 286757 279757 274757 270758 261772
      257779 254786 250795 246805 243816 241825 241839 239847
      240857 241861 242867 245881 248890 253907 256916 258925
      258936 258943 257949 255960 259971 255976 255981 256985
      260987 266989 272989 277988 281990 283991 282993 281998
      280003 279010 277011 275009 270008 263004 258000 249000
      246003 247007 251014 264023 273030 274034 271037 256049
      252048 246048 239049 236052 233055 233061 239066 242073
      247080 254084 257086 260085 267082 270081 273077 278070
      282070 285072 289075 291076 290078 288082 284085 275090
      270097 275102 274108 277111 282113 285116 286120 290131
      294141 298148 301152 304155 311160 318164 325169 329171
      335172 340174 342180 345182 347175 348169 350165 355162
      360162 367165 370163 371158 372143 371133 370126 367121
      359114 356112 355106 355101 356095 360087 364078 365074
      366069 370059 372055 369050 363041 359037 357033 355030
      354023 354009 351002 349998 345989 345982 346977 347970
      349965 353958 365965 373970 378976
 0.01 378976 380981 381986 382990 383995 385999 388004 390007
      394009 397014 400016 404019 407021 411024 414024 419025
      419024
 0.01 408112 409105 408100 406102 404107 402109 399110 396110
      392112 390114 394115 398113 401113 404112 407112 408112
 0.01 386758 386752 384752 379757 376763 371769 365773 361778
      362782 365783 369782 372780 377774 380768 384762 386758
 0.01 372799 371796 368795 363798 360802 358803 353810 350815
      347822 348826 351826 354826 356823 359816 362813 364811
      369804 372799
 0.25 526198 526193 526190 524187 522184 521183 518182 514180
      513178 511181 512186 514188 515190 516193 519196 521198
      522201 525201 526198
 0.25 512255 513250 511244 508237 502230 499221 493216 488215
      490219 494225 500232 502240 503246 502249 501255 497255
      491250 478239 474238 471241 471245 476247 490255 492259
      496260 504260 509259 512255
 0.25 496662 495658 493656 488653 483654 480660 477668 475674
      474684 473692 469706 467716 468724 471730 472733 476735
      483721 488709 493692 494685 496676 496662
 0.25 450242 449238 448235 444237 438239 432237 427233 420233
      415232 409230 405229 400232 398236 400244 405248 408252
      413255 420257 425258 431256 435253 438248 439246 442244
      447243 450242
 0.25 412143 413141 413140 411141 409142 409143 407145 407147
      408148 409147 410147 411145 412144 412143
 0.25 392979 392971 391963 387952 382941 379936 376931 372928
      369924 365919 362919 359921 357919 353914 353907 357903
      360904 362902 360898 354890 350886 345886 341890 339895
      336909 335920 340930 347941 356948 365954 372962 380969
      387975 389979 392979
 0.25 364157 363155 361156 362158 364157 364157
 0.25 349119 349102 351092 353088 354082 351066 352054 352044
      350028 349019 345011 341006 335004 329000 325995 322990
      320982 324964 326958 330953 334945 332939 326938 318937
      312934 306929 300918 292906 289901 284898 274888 265880
      263878 262882 264890 266906 268914 271923 275937 279954
      284965 285973 288982 302005 306009 309016 308027 301030
      299034 299038 296044 297048 299050 305054 311057 312059
      312062 308070 305077 303081 300083 297084 295087 293096
      291102 289108 292114 296119 299122 303124 307125 312125
      315124 319124 325122 330120 336119 342122 347123 349119
 0.25 331800 331796 328794 325796 323798 321800 320803 319806
      318808 319810 322812 325810 327807 328805 330803 331800
 0.25 284775 282766 280763 276764 270779 266785 262792 262795
      259799 252803 251807 252813 252824 254840 255838 258837
      262831 268826 271824 270820 268817 266811 266806 268802
      274798 276790 283785 284777 284775
 0.25 266064 267062 268060 266058 264058 263058 261059 260059
      259060 258061 257063 256063 255065 254067 255068 256069
      258069 260069 262068 264067 265066 266065 266064
 0.25 255858 255856 255854 254852 254850 254848 252847 250848
      250849 249851 248853 248855 249857 249858 250859 251861
      253862 255860 255858
 0.50 487673 487666 485665 483667 482672 481676 479681 478686
      479693 482696 485694 486689 487683 487676 487673
 0.50 483700 482699 480700 480701 481702 482701 483700
 0.50 428247 427244 423241 419239 414238 411235 407235 403235
      404240 408242 410243 412245 412250 417252 420252 425251
      428248 428247
 0.50 386963 386957 384952 380943 376936 370930 367927 362925
      357932 356938 358943 364948 370954 376961 379963 384964
      386963
 0.50 350088 351080 349074 347068 346060 349045 348035 348028
      346022 343017 332011 327008 324004 320998 318992 315980
      314972 316973 319972 320964 319956 317949 314944 310941
      302931 296922 294916 290911 283903 277900 273902 273909
      275913 281926 283932 283938 285955 288960 290964 294979
      296984 298990 305001 311010 314015 316022 316030 315033
      311043 308037 306031 302032 300038 305046 314050 316052
      316057 315063 312070 311077 310083 307088 301090 299093
      298097 295103 293108 301116 304119 309122 315122 322120
      342111 350088
 0.50 346897 346896 345895 344895 343897 342898 342899 342900
      344900 344899 346897 346897
 0.50 264817 264815 262811 260810 258807 256806 254808 254812
      256814 257815 257820 257822 258824 260823 262821 264819
      264817
 1.00 378954 378952 378949 377947 377946 376945 375943 374940
      373939 372938 371938 370938 370940 370941 370943 371945
      372946 372947 373949 374952 375953 375954 377956 378954
 1.00 347085 344075 341065 341061 341055 344043 345037 344031
      339028 334027 329033 324042 322046 321051 321056 320061
      318065 318072 317084 305098 304102 304108 306112 309117
      312119 318118 325114 340104 343100 344095 347085
 1.00 315958 313952 309947 305944 301940 297935 294933 292933
      291937 292945 294958 295966 297972 303983 306988 311998
      311993 309981 306975 305968 305964 306961 310960 315958
 1.50 342098 343087 343083 341079 339071 337069 336064 337060
      337054 339045 337043 334043 327046 324053 325061 322067
      321078 320089 314092 310099 308101 307106 309113 313115
      318115 322110 327109 330107 340100 342098
 1.50 310954 308950 305948 301945 299943 296941 296947 296954
      297960 299964 303961 305958 308956 310954
 2.00 301954 301954 340096 341089 340085 338080
      337076 335072 329071 325072 323077 323085 321091 318093
      313101 310104 310107 313111 318110 321106 324104 332102
      339098 340096
 2.00 333058 333056 332054 332053 331052 329051 327051 326053
      325055 326057 327058 328059 330059 332059 333058
 3.00 335091 336088 335087 335086 334084 334083 332082 330083
      328084 328085 327087 328090 327092 327093 329093 331093
      333093 333092 335091 335091

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 537213 538206 539201 538196 537191 535183 530175 527168
      526165 521163 517158 515155 511152 505150 503150 504153
      498168 494173 493178 494182 497185 498188 501191 503190
      506194 506198 508201 512202 516209 517213 520216 534217
      537213
 0.01 542788 541776 538764 535760 530758 515764 504774 491782
      483791 480799 475807 468821 464827 459834 452845 444859
      436873 433879 430888 430908 426910 422912 416916 410921
      408924 408929 407934 409945 410949 412952 416954 428947
      435943 443941 448945 452954 455970 457974 461975 462981
      460986 458008 458018 463023 469024 474020 475016 478012
      482002 487985 490979 493976 497975 503978 509979 522984
      528979 530974 530968 538955 541947 543940 543924 541913
      537891 535883 534877 535870 537853 539829 541807 541796
      542788
 0.01 516278 518268 518259 517251 514245 510232 507229 503222
      499210 494206 488206 479209 474212 471216 492227 499252
      493248 491243 489240 486240 481242 481258 491264 493270
      494280 497286 500289 504291 508291 510289 513284 516278
 0.01 466068 464062 459059 452061 448065 445065 444062 442060
      440059 437059 435061 427079 420087 415092 413094 410092
      406093 403100 398108 395107 391109 383115 379118 377119
      377123 374128 373134 379142 381142 383138 384131 386127
      390126 391128 391141 392147 395152 397158 394163 388171
      382176 378180 374183 372183 371187 371190 372191 376194
      378199 385206 390209 393210 394208 392195 403179 410171
      418163 421161 425156 427152 428147 428139 430132 432126
      436124 445121 448118 450114 454107 457103 456098 456088
      466068
 0.01 440246 440241 435238 430237 426237 421237 417237 418242
      422244 425247 430248 434248 437248 440246
 0.01 448087 446085 444084 442079 441077 437076 436078 434081
      432085 433089 437089 440089 442088 445088 448087
 0.01 426065 427058 426054 421050 409049 406049 401051 396054
      388054 382052 380049 381043 384033 386024 387017 386013
      385007 384004 381001 376998 369997 365996 355993 348989
      335982 326977 319972 314965 312959 308953 309946 307937
      305930 303923 303917 300908 298896 298887 296859 296856
      298856 300859 304865 307874 309880 310882 309886 308893
      306899 306903 308907 312912 318911 321909 326904 329896
      327887 323879 317874 320870 325866 328865 330863 331861
      338854 342851 357839 365827 369822 370819 369816 370813
      369807 367804 365805 361805 357807 350812 346814 340816
      337816 336812 339810 343807 345803 349793 352785 353777
      355772 357768 356762 353757 350752 348748 343749 336749
      329750 319753 315755 312758 303771 297779 293783 289782
      282777 279776 273776 269775 264775 260779 252785 245790
      242795 240803 238810 238818 242907 247922 253941 249956
      248960 245962 243961 242964 242969 244973 250976 252975
      253980 256984 255991 236996 236003 238007 243014 252024
      258031 254039 248053 247057 248061 249065 252066 258070
      267074 271073 275070 278066 283065 289065 293067 301072
      306079 304083 301085 295085 292086 285088 282090 279095
      279101 281103 285109 291113 304111 309117 312120 315125
      318129 318136 320140 325143 333147 336148 340144 344140
      340138 338135 336132 333129 333127 336128 341129 345129
      349127 351126 352124 356117 357109 356101 359095 362091
      364088 371084 377079 384077 395087 398083 399078 408072
      414073 419074 426065
 0.01 394747 394743 391742 388744 386745 383747 381748 379750
      380753 382754 385755 389754 390752 393750 394747
 0.01 359947 359943 357941 357937 355934 353930 350930 348932
      345936 343941 341947 339949 339954 343956 348956 354952
      357949 359947
 0.25 530207 531203 530198 528192 525186 523181 518176 514173
      509173 507177 507182 510188 513192 518197 520203 525207
      530207
 0.25 514266 515261 513256 509249 506242 505239 501236 502243
      505252 506261 502266 499263 498266 498269 501272 505276
      509275 511272 514266
 0.25 531925 531909 528883 527871 525863 522853 517848 511844
      507840 502832 498827 499824 498817 495818 493821 489830
      484836 474844 469848 465856 464866 464875 464879 463885
      461893 460899 461905 463913 472927 476933 477936 478940
      477951 478956 481959 486959 491955 497952 501951 505952
      512954 519954 523952 525948 528939 530933 531925
 0.25 412115 413110 412108 412103 410101 408100 406102 405107
      405109 404114 403118 404121 406121 409119 411117 412115
 0.25 375037 377024 376016 371014 362010 355008 334002 328000
      323001 317001 313996 308976 303958 302950 302943 299928
      294906 290882 286860 285853 285845 285837 284831 279820
      278814 279809 280798 277794 272792 264789 259789 256791
      253795 250800 245810 244820 244828 246833 250843 250854
      250875 250891 252903 255914 259923 264931 269940 271949
      271962 271969 272976 272984 273992 276001 279005 284007
      291010 297012 300016 302021 301025 297031 286035 274035
      270038 267043 264046 259047 256051 255055 256061 259064
      268068 270068 272065 274061 278059 283055 288055 294055
      300056 303061 308066 328072 331075 333079 330081 322089
      315090 312090 312093 316096 318101 320106 322109 329115
      334118 339116 342112 342106 342098 344091 350092 355090
      358085 368066 371051 373044 375037
 0.25 347776 347769 345766 343761 339758 329760 321765 315771
      310779 304795 298801 291805 293815 296824 298829 300830
      304827 306823 309815 312811 317810 325806 331800 337794
      342787 347776
 0.50 524195 524192 523191 522189 520189 520191 521193 522194
      523196 524195
 0.50 528912 528909 526906 524902 521896 519889 518880 516876
      512871 507873 505873 504870 499870 494872 491871 490869
      489860 487856 485854 482853 477855 473885 472889 473892
      475897 478905 477912 477919 479925 483929 486931 487927
      489921 489914 489904 490901 493901 498903 500903 504898
      507896 510897 511900 510907 509910 509916 512922 522921
      526917 528912
 0.50 490942 490939 489937 487935 487934 486932 485934 484937
      484938 484939 483942 482943 482944 482947 482948 484948
      486947 487947 487946 489944 489943 490942
 0.50 370030 370023 368019 365016 359016 354015 350013 346010
      340009 335010 333012 328012 326016 324027 321031 317033
      315037 311039 308040 307042 308047 310056 314060 319063
      330063 334064 337069 338075 340078 344082 348085 353084
      356081 361072 365063 366056 368050 370030
 0.50 338780 338773 336767 333770 327771 322773 320776 318780
      317785 320787 324790 326792 330791 333789 336784 338780
      338780
 0.50 297996 299983 299971 296959 296952 297946 298941 297936
      295927 292915 289906 287895 285885 281860 280848 279839
      278832 277825 272818 268815 266810 271804 273802 273799
      269796 264794 260795 255800 252807 250819 251828 255839
      256847 256873 256885 257896 260908 263917 271932 274941
      276948 276954 278964 281973 285982 289991 293995 297996
 0.50 278044 277042 276042 275042 273044 274046 276046 278044
 1.00 360051 362038 359035 353035 350036 344035 340036 336038
      333041 328041 324042 320044 319047 319049 322052 326053
      331052 334051 338052 347056 350058 355059 358056 360051
 1.00 278912 279907 278900 278888 277875 277870 275863 271856
      268855 266857 265862 264873 265884 265896 267907 269910
      271913 276914 278912
 1.50 345046 345044 344042 342041 340042 340043 339045 340046
      342048 344047 345046

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 566977 566963 565954 564947 563942 563935 560930 556922
      552914 548906 543900 539891 537886 537877 536863 536856
      536852 537848 536839 533830 532827 529825 526825 524824
      523821 522814 521810 520805 521800 524797 527792 530785
      533780 534774 537765 538759 537753 536740 535729 533725
      532718 526697 520676 518663 513654 506642 501637 493635
      486635 481634 481636 479646 477656 448717 441730 440734
      437738 434748 431756 427762 421768 418776 419780 419786
      420795 418806 415816 404848 393881 389889 385899 376911
      367923 357936 346945 335954 330959 324962 317964 315966
      313964 310962 304957 301955 299950 300938 299928 295889
      294878 294872 294870 297869 301872 304872 308870 308865
      311849 309840 313837 317836 325832 330828 341816 351802
      356789 359779 360770 360759 362751 359731 356707 351702
      347701 343702 333701 329702 326705 266734 255741 247745
      240750 234755 229760 221772 222788 223799 222802 223807
      225830 226840 227848 229867 231876 232888 233899 233904
      234907 235916 239924 242933 242938 241940 237947 237959
      237964 235967 235978 237980 238982 237985 234991 232996
      231002 230013 229023 229036 229047 229060 232069 232075
      233079 236082 239083 242085 247084 250087 255088 258097
      262100 268099 270093 273096 280096 283098 286102 291109
      294113 298116 302117 305121 306126 312128 316126 318121
      321109 321103 323100 322097 322093 321089 317086
 0.01 317086 312081 310078 309074 308068 310065 311059 312054
      313050 315047 322046 336047 340054 343056 347053 357056
      364059 370064 374071 374080 376082 380085 382083 386084
      389081 390077 394069 395065 397060 399069 402072 406075
      411075 413073 415066 416062 419058 422056 427056 431056
      433053 434045 433040 429039 422039 417044 409047 397050
      393044 388040 382040 379041 377044 374048 370048 366046
      363045 361043 362041 371039 377036 382031 386026 394011
      396007 398006 407003 411003 414002 424001 428997 431989
      442976 449963 454955 456953 461952 463956 464960 467969
      475982 487990 490992 494992 499988 502984 504986 510991
      515996 521999 545017 551017 556014 560013 562010 562002
      564994 566977
 0.01 529186 526181 523175 520172 520178 515176 511170 510175
      510178 510183 510188 512190 518192 522188 527187 529186
 0.01 407107 408097 407095 406098 402102 400103 398102 395099
      394098 393101 391109 387113 380115 374113 369113 366110
      355104 352098 349092 346085 345079 343076 339075 333073
      327074 325076 325081 325083 327086 333090 338093 339097
      336099 333104 333112 336117 343118 347116 350120 351128
      353133 357138 364138 368138 371140 381138 394115 398113
      400109 407107
 0.01 386203 387196 385192 383188 379185 375182 374182 370185
      369188 372193 374195 377199 380202 385204 386203
 0.01 391748 388747 386746 383746 380748 378750 376752 373753
      372756 373759 377759 380757 382755 384754 387752 389751
      391748
 0.01 366816 366813 366811 364809 362811 360811 359812 358812
      357814 357817 357819 358821 359821 361821 363819 365818
      366816 366816
 0.01 348154 349150 348147 346142 341139 336136 330137 327137
      325138 323145 325151 328155 335157 342157 346156 348154
 0.25 543965 541958 539954 534950 530944 527937 525929 523911
      521869 520859 517851 513848 510841 506836 502835 495836
      491837 488836 484829 481822 479815 480808 482799 484792
      490779 494768 497761 500756 504751 507747 509741 512733
      513724 513716 512705 509704 506706 503709 501707 501700
      496704 492709 486717 481723 477727 469734 461745 458749
      454755 450769 446776 443783 442790 439796 437802 434808
      428818 421844 412872 407883 405889 405899 405910 402915
      395927 390936 382947 374956 370959 363961 350966 339970
      329975 323977 319979 315984 313989 312997 313005 314014
      317019 321024 326027 338030 353030 360029 366027 370025
      374020 377015 379010 383994 384986 383979 387974 391970
      400961 403957 406957 411962 412971 414977 417978 421978
      428971 435960 441948 445932 449918 452911 456906 463896
      464900 465910 467924 469931 473938 476945 479951 483956
      488958 494957 499953 506944 511945 517947 522950 527953
      543965
 0.25 341777 342771 341765 338753 335745 333742 329741 323742
      316738 310736 307737 304742 303751 299758 295763 291771
      285775 275777 266779 257783 252787 247793 243799 241802
      240807 239816 240822 241827 245833 251838 261848 265850
      269849 276845 281840 285833 286830 285825 288820 293819
      296821 300822 305822 310821 315820 321815 326810 330802
      334797 339790 341777
 0.25 289083 290078 289073 286066 284060 287051 278040 271036
      266032 262031 257032 251034 246040 246046 247054 250060
      251069 256074 261080 263081 268081 273083 277088 281089
      284088 289083
 0.25 281966 281964 279963 274963 268964 265965 259965 255967
      252969 252972 257974 261974 266975 272975 275973 279970
      281967 281966
 0.50 509900 508890 506884 503878 499874 494872 491873 490876
      486889 482904 481922 481932 486935 491934 495929 497921
      496911 497903 500906 503908 506907 508903 509900
 0.50 477857 476848 472841 470833 468824 467812 465803 461797
      458798 455800 446810 438823 431835 425848 422856 421864
      417882 420889 423890 425893 429898 428907 424922 421930
      421936 424940 430942 431945 433943 436937 440929 445913
      446904 449896 451887 451883 454881 459878 464871 467867
      471865 475862 477857
 0.50 471786 471783 470783 470786 471787 471786
 0.50 373008 374998 374993 373988 368974 362973 355974 347975
      341977 334978 328981 324985 321991 321007 323014 327019
      333021 341023 357023 364021 368017 373008
 0.50 336782 336772 336762 333753 332752 329754 319762 316767
      313773 308786 306793 303799 299803 301810 306814 309815
      314815 320811 324807 331796 334790 336782 336782
 0.50 283798 281794 278792 274791 269790 264792 261795 259798
      260801 263804 267804 272804 278803 281801 283798
 0.50 274054 275050 274047 272046 268042 264038 258040 255045
      258049 257055 259060 263064 267067 271066 272065 274056
      274054
 0.50 273828 271822 268818 262815 258813 253810 249810 248814
      249818 251824 254828 258832 264834 269832 273828
 1.00 451860 449855 446851 443850 438849 435849 431852 428855
      427860 428865 431868 436866 440865 445864 450862 451860
 1.00 364005 364994 362988 360985 357982 352981 342983 338984
      334986 331989 330995 329997 331002 334011 341016 347017
      352017 360014 362009 364005
 1.50 350007 351004 349004 347003 346004 344002 345004 344006
      343006 344006 345007 347007 349007 350007

$$




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