Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 032103
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
502 PM EDT THU SEP 03 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 04/0000 UTC THRU SEP 07/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

18Z UPATE...
ANY CHANGES TO PRELIM GUIDANCE WERE RELATIVELY MINOR AND MAINLY
FOR 1ST PD BASED ON SATL/RADAR TRENDS.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS....

THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY WHILE SHOWING
LITTLE DOWNSTREAM PROGRESSION THROUGH FRIDAY. A TROUGH ALONG THE
WEST COST DIGS TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL 500
MB HEIGHTS...WITH GRADUAL GRADIENTS AND A GENTLY SLOPING FRONTAL
ZONE EXTENDING EAST TOWARD RIDGING IN THE MIDWEST. LIGHT TO
MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ORGANIZED ALONG A MID LEVEL FRONTAL
ZONE IN THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...ESPECIALLY IDAHO / MONTANA...WITH
UPPER FLOW BECOMING INCREASINGLY DIFLUENT BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE UPPER LOW DIGS INTO OREGON. THE LEADING FRONT AT THE SURFACE
WILL PUSH OUT INTO THE DAKOTAS...AND THE LARGE SCALE FLOW WILL
PICK UP A SMALLER SHORTWAVE LIFTING OUT OF THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL ENCOUNTER RELATIVELY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ALONG
THE TRACK UP THROUGH NORTHEAST CO INTO NE/SD OVERNIGHT. THE WAVE
WILL ENCOUNTER GREATER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY POOLED ALONG THE
SURFACE FRONT IN ND/MN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...WITH A LIKELY
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM EVENT ENSUING. WE BACKED UP THE TIMING OF
THE QPF IN ND SOMEWHAT BASED ON THE MASS FIELDS FROM THE GFS...BUT
ALSO SUPPORTED BY QPF FROM THE 12Z NAM CONEST.


...GREAT LAKES / OHIO VALLEY / MID ATLANTIC...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WAS SURROUNDED BY RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND MOISTURE THAT WAS SUPPORTIVE OF PRECIPITATION...WITH PW
VALUES AROUND 1.50 INCHES. COVERAGE OF CONVECTION HAD BEEN
GENERALLY LIMITED...HOWEVER...AS THE COMPACT LOW WAS PRODUCING
LIFT MAINLY NEAR ITS CENTER...ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN. SCATTERED
AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED AT A GREATER
RADIUS TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW...ALONG A
WEAKLY DEFINED FRONTAL ZONE AND WITHIN THE DIFLUENT MID LEVEL FLOW
AHEAD OF THE LOW. OVERNIGHT...SOME CONFLUENCE WILL BE MAINTAINED
ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM OVER IL/IN...AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING
INTO PARTS OF IA/WI...AND THIS WILL LIKELY YIELD ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH MODEL FORECASTS ARE QUITE
LIMITING IN AREAL COVERAGE. WPC ATTEMPTED TO INCORPORATE TRENDS IN
THE 12Z GUIDANCE...BUT OVERALL MADE LITTLE CHANGE...WITH AREAL
AVERAGE 0.50 INCH QPF CONFINED NOW TO THE AREAS AWAY FROM THE MID
LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER...WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY WILL BE
AVAILABLE FROM IL TO OH.


...SOUTHWEST U.S...

THE MONSOON CONTINUES...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES STILL
RUNNING JUST SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE...INCLUDING A CONNECTION TO
HIGH ALTITUDE MOISTURE STREAMING NORTH FROM TROPICAL STORM KEVIN.
THE MESOSCALE MODEL SIGNAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS STRONGER TODAY
THAN IT WAS ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN AZ...WHERE
EVEN THE SSEO MEAN...AN AVERAGE OF SEVERAL MODELS...PRODUCES
GENEROUS COVERAGE OF 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-10
AND I-8. A LIMITING FACTOR...HOWEVER...WILL BE WEAK WINDS BELOW
600 MB...SO STORMS MAY BECOME OUTFLOW DOMINANT RATHER QUICKLY.
ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN AZ TO WESTERN
NM...PRIMARILY DURING THE EARLY STAGES OF CELL FORMATION PRIOR TO
OUTFLOW DOMINANCE...AND/OR DURING CELL MERGERS. FARTHER
NORTH...THE SHORTWAVE THAT HAD FORMED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS LAST
NIGHT WILL PASS THROUGH CENTRAL COLORADO...AND MAY RESULT IN A
SLIGHT INCREASE TO AREAL COVERAGE OF 0.25 INCH OR GREATER
PRECIPITATION BEFORE IT LIFTS OUT INTO THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT.


...LOUISIANA AND FLORIDA...

THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA WERE STILL EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY...EMERGING BACK INTO THE ATLANTIC OFF THE GEORGIA COAST.
THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA...BUT A LARGER SCALE TROUGH AXIS
IS FORECAST TO EXTEND BACK OVER FLORIDA WHILE DRIFTING SOUTHWARD.
LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SUPPORT
SOME TENDENCY FOR PRECIPITATION TO FAVOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY. THE GFS TENDS TO HANDLE
FLORIDA WELL...AND WE BLENDED TOWARD BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND WRF-ARW.
AT THE FAR WESTERN EXTENT OF THE DEFINABLE TROUGH AXIS SITS
LOUISIANA...WHERE RICH MOISTURE REMAINED POOLED ALONG THE
COAST...AND A SLIGHT ONSHORE FLOW COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A SHOWERY REGIME WITH OCCASIONALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...AND AREAL AVERAGE PRECIPITATION APPROACHING ONE INCH
SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS.


DAYS 2/3...

...NORTHERN ROCKIES/MONTANA...

THE SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST U.S. WILL BOTTOM
OUT ACROSS OREGON BY THE START OF DAY 2 (FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY
MORNING) WITH PEAK 500 MB HEIGHT ANOMALIES AROUND 3 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS BELOW NORMAL.  A WEAKNESS COL ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST/HIGH N-S SHEAR GRADIENT AND EASTERN SIDE SPEED MAX
SHOULD SUPPORT SUFFICIENT BROAD SCALE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH
INCREASED LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW/MOISTURE FLUX TO PRODUCE A WEDGE
OF MODERATE PRECIPITATION ACROSS WESTERN MT.   GIVEN THE
TOPOGRAPHY/QPF TOTALS AND GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT FOR
CONFIDENCE...THERE WERE THOUGHTS OF INTRODUCING A SMALL SLIGHT
RISK EXCESSIVE RAINFALL BUT GIVEN MORE SYNOPTIC ASCENTS/COOLER
ENVIRONMENTS AND LONGER DURATION OF THE RAINFALL DID NOT DO SO AT
THIS TIME.  BY MID-DAY 2 THE TROUGH BEGINS TO TAKE A STRONGER
NEGATIVE TILT WITH A STRONG SURFACE CYCLONE IN THE HIGH PLAINS
AIDING TO DRAW BACK A MATURING CONVEYOR BELT STRUCTURE (BAROCLINIC
LEAF) WITH INCREASING MOISTURE FLUX ON 25-30KT 850MB SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW TO INCREASE TPWS OVER 1.0"...WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE/JET
STRUCTURE ALOFT TO SUPPORT MODERATE PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN
ND SHIFTING WEST TOWARD THE DEVELOPING COMMA HEAD COMING OUT OF
CENTRAL MONTANA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.   THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF
AGREES WITH SOLID SUPPORT FROM THE GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS
FOR GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THIS EVOLUTION OF THE COMMA HEAD AND
CONVEYOR BELT EVENTUALLY PRODUCING A 1.25-1.75" AREAL AVERAGE FROM
CENTRAL MONTANA THOUGH SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN/NORTHEAST MONTANA BY
DAY 3.  SOME OF THE HI-RESOLUTION GLOBAL MODELS RUNS WERE MORE
ROBUST WITH TOTALS GIVEN THE HIGH MOISTURE FLUX BUT MORE RANDOM IN
NATURE...AS SUCH A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL COVERS MUCH
OF THE COMMA HEAD AND CONVEYOR BELT ACROSS NORTHERN MONTANA/FAR
NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA


NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

THE SYNOPTIC SCALE TROUGH DESCRIBED ABOVE DRAWS A WEAK TROPICAL
CONNECTION PULLING TWO SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE FEATURES OUT OF
NORTHWEST MEXICO. THE FIRST SHORTWAVE IS ALREADY LEADING TO HEIGHT
FALLS AND ENHANCED LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH A STRONG 25-30KT LLJ
TAPPING 1.75-2.0" TPWS WITH 2000-3000 J/KG CAPES FORECAST ACROSS
MUCH OF NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA.  STRONG CONVERGENCE ALLOWS FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AN EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
ALONG THE U.S. CANADA BOARDER.  PER PMDHMD...THE 12Z ECMWF IS A
MIDDLE GROUND OF THE OPERATIONAL MODEL SUITE AND IS FAVORED WITHIN
A BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF/GEM-REGIONAL...WITH HIGH TOTALS/RATES
AND SLIGHTLY LOWER FFG...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
REMAINS ALONG THE NORTH DAKOTA/MINNESOTA FOR DAY 2.

FOR DAY 3...A WEAKER LESS FOCUSED SHORTWAVE IT DRAWN NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE THE DAKOTAS WHILE PHASING WITH THE NEGATIVE TILTING TROF.
 THIS AND STRONG WESTERLY DOWN SLOPING FLOW AIDS THE STRENGTHENING
OF THE SURFACE LOW RAPIDLY OCCLUDING.  THIS STRENGTHENED LOW LEVEL
INFLOW (40-50 KTS) AHEAD OF A STRONGLY FORMED COLD FRONT...LEADS
TO A CORRIDOR OF 1.75-2.0" TPWS AND SOLID INSTABILITIES IN EXCESS
OF 2500 J/KG TO DEVELOP VERY STRONG CONVECTIVE LINE THAT SHOULD
RAPIDLY MOVE EAST WITH VERY STRONG RAIN RATES WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLASH FLOODING AND SUCH A SLIGHT RISK COVERS MUCH OF MINNESOTA
AND PORTIONS OF THE READ RIVER GIVEN CONVECTIVE SHOWERS LIKELY TO
BE DRAWN OVER THE OCCLUSION.


CAROLINAS/SOUTHEAST....

WEAK SHORTWAVE WITH SHEAR AXIS EXTENDING NORTHWEST TOWARD
SHORTWAVE OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES...FILLS THE VACANCY TO THE
SOUTH OF THE AMPLIFYING RIDGE AND CUTOFF ANTICYCLONE OVER THE
NORTHEAST.   THE SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL CYCLONE BRINGS
A SHOT OF DRIER AIR WITH TOTAL PWATS OF 1.25" CENTRALLY LOCATED
ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST BY THE BEGINNING OF DAY 2.  ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE DRY CYCLONE...A NARROW BAND OF INCREASE
MOISTURE AND INCREASED LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BE SUFFICE FOR
INCREASED CONVECTIVE POSSIBILITIES ALONG THE SPINE OF APPALACHIANS
AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONTAL ZONE/ENHANCED CONVERGENCE ALONG
SEA-BREEZE THOUGH SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE MODERATING TO MORE
TRADITIONAL SUMMER PATTERN ON SUNDAY.


BURKE/SULLIVAN/GALLINA


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 05/00Z
 0.01 556958 555927 540922 537923 534925 528932 523939 517938
      511938 508936 497937 483945 462952 458962 454971 448983
      442987 426992 421993 416993 412994 410996 397007 394009
      390013 385021 382024 382030 381036 382042 341052 337053
      331053 328055 330058 341059 343060 344062 342067 335070
      326074 312077 308079 302079 295078 291075 278071 275069
      272064 267059 259055 256056 253061 252067 250071 241074
      241080 242084 247089 253094 266105 272110 278114 300116
      303123 306127 311129 314131 319132 326133 330132 333129
      337124 346125 351123 354120 358110 359105 362100 368102
      377101 384097 391092 396087 403079 409072 417067 418060
      416054 413049 409046 401041 397035 399031 402026 411022
      416022 419021 425021 428023 433025 435028 437031 440029
      446022 449020 454020 463021 467021 467028 466036 465040
      456062 457074 460084 462090 462095 460097 450094 446092
      442091 439095 437100 439105 436109 435112 436118 436119
      439118 440120 440127 439132 438134 429147 425151 420154
      413161 412164 413167 413171 414172 419170 426165 430161
      434158 436163 440163 443164 446167 445170 442170 437171
      434169 431170 427170 424173 420181 410198 402212 401215
      402218 405224 408227 410231 413236 417237 419240 428242
      432239 431234 434232 439232 447230 456229 465227 471222
      478222 480224 479227 476229 470233 466237 479247 482258
      486266 490276 493280 494283 497284 503286 506282 506275
      506269 504262 502259 498249 494244 492240 486233 482229
      483226 486225 488224 493226 493231 496236 501245 505251
      508260 510265 513269 516270 520266 523262 524256 525253
      528235 530219 535207 537202 538193 539186 538180 540168
      541160 540154
 0.01 540154 537144 533133 531127 528124 524122 520117 514111
      512106 511100 509094 510086 511069 509063 506060 498056
      495055 494053 495048 498043 501039 514025 519018 526011
      537997 543989 548979 552971 555966 556958
 0.01 493202 494196 493191 491183 492171 496166 496162 494159
      487155 481156 474158 469160 461161 458164 457169 461176
      461180 459182 453188 451191 451197 452201 454205 459210
      465210 471208 475208 478207 483203 486202 490202 493202
 0.01 464256 465251 464246 461243 457243 452242 448243 441245
      437245 434248 427252 428255 432259 440264 444266 450267
      456264 459262 462258 464256
 0.01 454083 454081 453078 450075 448073 447070 445070 441069
      441072 443074 444077 446077 448080 449083 451085 452085
      454083
 0.01 455835 447803 443799 440798 436798 431797 425798 417799
      413799 411797 412794 414791 414787 415781 413778 414775
      416772 420765 423758 421754 415748 413746 414741 420730
      426720 428712 427707 424706 421706 418704 416700 411702
      406707 392734 391739 391741 393746 393750 381757 375760
      367761 360763 357762 355759 318722 311718 307718 303723
      300729 297734 292737 286747 283753 282756 281760 279767
      279774 275778 267781 263784 261786 260789 260795 260797
      258798 253799 251805 251811 254815 258819 265820 271822
      270827 269830 269836 272843 276849 281854 284856 288857
      292857 295853 294843 293840 294836 297835 299837 300846
      300852 302858 306858 306849 307843 311836 315830 326820
      333809 340799 350790 354789 357790 359794 359798 356805
      354811 348820 344826 340833 338839 336841 334840 333829
      327827 322831 322835 324838 325849 325858 323864 322867
      324869 328872 330870 333872 340880 345884 351884 354882
      354878 351871 346865 341859 351851 356846 363843 365841
      369841 373845 387863 393867 397874 400882 403887 407895
      411903 419912 424919 428922 433924 439926 443926 445923
      447918 447913 445910 444903 441894 437887 430871 428863
      431859 435859 441857 445856 446853 450843 455835
 0.01 407110 408105 408100 406100 404102 404104 402106 400108
      396110 393110 391112 392114 394114 398113 400111 403111
      405112 407110
 0.01 317926 315914 314905 312899 305873 300870 295869 289871
      284871 278879 274885 272890 271903 271912 273917 280926
      281929 285929 286928 289929 290937 288942 285947 282954
      279959 278965 277972 281975 286973 289970 293965 296960
      303952 307947 309941 314934 317926
 0.01 281983 281980 277980 273980 270978 268978 266976 263975
      261976 262978 264980 266982 267984 269986 271987 273986
      275984 279983 281983
 0.01 267019 265015 258012 258007 262004 264999 264994 262992
      254986 250976 241972 236975 233979 232995 234001 236006
      246012 250015 256017 261019 267019
 0.25 546957 545948 542943 538943 536944 530949 520955 516955
      511960 505961 498961 491962 484964 475971 469975 465979
      457988 452993 448000 450003 455003 470001 477002 482004
      490016 494021 497022 499021 509013 518005 527994 534984
      541971 544964 546957
 0.25 534174 535167 534163 532155 528137 523133 516130 511126
      505120 502114 502104 502093 499085 496082 492083 488088
      484094 479099 468105 463109 459115 451126 444140 440148
      445152 451151 457148 468142 474139 480137 491137 497142
      501148 505154 510159 514164 520170 526179 530179 531177
      534174
 0.25 445005 444004 444002 443002 441001 440002 440004 441006
      442007 443007 444005 445005
 0.25 434830 433825 431821 429817 425816 418818 408821 404822
      401825 395830 394834 393840 394847 395853 398860 403869
      411883 415889 418893 422895 426893 426888 423878 420869
      419862 420856 424850 426845 427841 428836 430834 434830
 0.25 433004 433002 432001 431000 429001 428001 428004 428006
      429007 430008 432006 432005 433004
 0.25 401060 402058 400057 398057 397057 396057 395058 393059
      391061 390061 389062 388063 388066 389068 390068 391068
      392068 394066 396065 397064 398063 399062 400060 401060
 0.25 393796 394792 394787 390783 384784 380788 377792 372796
      368800 366802 366807 370808 376807 382807 387804 390801
      393796
 0.25 381081 382076 382072 382069 379067 377065 375064 371064
      370066 371069 373071 374075 374078 375081 377082 379082
      381081
 0.25 365816 364814 362814 361816 360816 359817 358819 357819
      357821 357823 358824 360824 361823 361822 363820 365818
      365816
 0.25 346118 343113 341109 342104 344098 345087 346083 345080
      340080 338081 333084 329091 324092 318091 314095 309100
      307107 309113 311116 314117 317119 320119 319116 320112
      326109 332109 336113 346118
 0.25 315770 313765 310759 309745 305742 302741 298742 295747
      294752 293759 294765 293770 290776 283784 281789 283796
      285798 288798 296798 302796 306792 312781 314777 315770
 0.25 303909 303904 302898 299889 298884 294880 285880 281887
      277896 277902 279906 284914 290920 293922 296922 299920
      301916 303909
 0.25 297821 296816 293813 287808 284805 280804 269805 259804
      254805 256810 259813 263815 272816 279820 287823 290825
      294824 297821
 0.25 288087 290084 288081 283079 272077 266076 261078 261081
      265084 273091 265093 265095 266097 270100 274102 277104
      281103 284101 283097 282095 278092 278091 283090 288088
      288087
 0.50 529172 530166 529162 527151 523144 517141 510136 507137
      507142 509151 513158 518162 521165 523168 524172 526175
      529172
 0.50 538960 535958 530959 522962 515965 509972 506973 503970
      496967 489970 482975 476980 474985 472991 475995 480996
      485997 488000 493006 496009 500011 504011 507009 515004
      519999 525991 534973 538960
 0.50 496118 497108 497102 495100 492099 487102 478108 469114
      466119 461124 458127 455132 454137 455139 460140 469135
      474132 479131 484131 490127 493123 496118
 0.50 423829 422828 422827 420827 418827 417827 416828 415829
      413830 414832 414833 416835 417835 418835 419834 420832
      421832 422830 423829
 0.50 422888 422886 422885 421884 420882 419881 418879 416877
      414878 414879 414880 415882 416884 416885 418886 418887
      420888 421888 422889 422888
 0.50 409866 408861 406855 405850 404845 403839 400836 398839
      398846 399853 401857 403860 405864 408866 409866
 0.50 341093 340092 340091 339089 339087 337087 336089 336091
      335093 335095 334095 334097 336098 337097 338097 340095
      341093
 0.50 327102 327100 324098 322097 320097 318099 316101 314103
      312107 312111 315112 316110 318108 321106 323106 325104
      327102
 0.50 308778 309773 309769 307767 303766 301768 300770 298773
      297777 296779 295782 295786 296788 300788 302787 304785
      306782 307780 308778
 0.50 299907 300901 295899 293895 291892 287893 284897 282902
      284906 287910 290913 293914 295911 299908 299907
 0.50 289818 288815 286813 284810 282809 280808 276809 275810
      275814 277815 279816 281817 284819 287820 289818
 0.50 264811 264810 263809 262807 261807 260806 258805 257805
      256807 257809 258810 260811 262810 263811 264811 264811
 1.00 522981 520977 515977 509982 502986 495982 488980 482984
      484987 489988 497993 499995 500000 505002 508001 515996
      520987 522981

24HR QP VT 06/00Z
 0.01 222078 225083 230085 238087 245090 251091 256092 262090
      265090 267091 278097 285100 289100 292098 294097 298097
      303099 310101 316104 326110 336120 341124 346125 349120
      351115 353105 356100 360094 366091 369096 374100 377101
      383097 386092 390088 396085 401079 404074 407070 410065
      414061 415051 415043 414035 412031 409028 406026 404026
      402028 398034 394036 388040 383042 376043 369041 366041
      363042 359045 357047 355047 355038 351035 345036 339038
      333042 329045 325050 325055 325058 323059 320061 316062
      311063 303062 295060 290060 285062 277063 275064 271062
      266060 261057 256054 250049 242042 238039 233036 230038
      228041 225048
 0.01 559883 558875 557867 554856 554843 553829 550824 547822
      543818 539818 528819 519826 514831 507836 498848 491858
      485864 477870 474872 469873 447875 444876 445881 446885
      449889 455896 461905 460908 457908 453906 445901 440895
      437893 434890 426875 424870 423866 424863 428861 429856
      432846 433840 436835 439827 436825 430826 425826 423827
      420825 416818 412813 408810 395810 390800 395791 400784
      402779 402774 397770 392770 389772 360787 362774 369768
      372761 373756 371752 364726 364718 361712 354705 344708
      343710 344717 343724 344730 344737 343742 334757 330763
      327770 323780 320789 317793 314795 303797 297797 294793
      291788 289786 290782 291770 296761 300754 302743 302739
      303735 303729 303725 303721 299717 296715 292714 280721
      277726 274728 269736 264753 263758 260762 256773 248791
      246795 246800 243808 243814 244821 249829 255834 261841
      262844 263850 264860 265865 266872 266885 267896 263904
      258912 253922 243939 239947 234953 233967 233971 237974
      244976 250976 250974 255974 259972 268973 279974 283974
      289973 294968 298960 301956 305954 309950 310945 311938
      312933 315927 319924 327924 329922 326920 330924 332924
      328919 321905 316897 314893 315888 318877 323869 329864
      333861 338861 350860 355857 358853 364846 374840 383841
      389841 396841 401845 400850 401857 401864 402868 404874
      407878 415891 427907 430909 435909 443913 448921 450925
      448928 445929 443932 439940 430946 428949 426953 424961
      420970 418981 406996 416010 420013 422011 424011 431004
 0.01 431004 433002 436002 441002 444003 445005 442009 440013
      437018 433023 430027 431030 433038 435040 440041 445041
      448044 453049 456053 458057 456071 454075 452073 447067
      445070 444075 448077 448082 445091 442095 438095 430097
      423103 419104 417102 410098 407095 403095 397101 393107
      394115 404116 409115 415116 417119 418123 420132 419139
      417144 415153 410164 409168 411171 415179 416182 415186
      412190 407196 405198 404203 401213 404220 410214 419217
      437226 445228 448226 450222 451214 451207 454204 456199
      459197 464192 470185 473181 476179 483177 490175 497172
      501168 508163 515161 522157 523151 524142 525130 528122
      530117 531111 532096 533087 534082 535069 535055 534046
      534038 533016 532008 534003 534989 539980 542977 543973
      548965 550960 552955 554944 556936 558923 558908 557902
      557892 559883
 0.01 275003 273998 268997 263995 260992 253985 250981 246979
      240979 236981 233986 232991 232999 233003 240010 245012
      251013 256012 260010 264007 269006 273005 275003
 0.25 548903 548894 548887 545875 543869 541862 540855 537850
      533847 529849 524855 519863 514870 508877 503885 497894
      490902 479915 469930 464932 461937 458946 457952 451953
      446950 442954 438956 435959 431966 431974 433977 442974
      450971 458968 466973 469977 472983 472995 468003 467017
      467033 469045 470051 470057 471066 473070 476074 477082
      476088 473092 469098 463098 460100 458103 456109 451120
      447128 445134 443141 443149 444157 445162 444168 442173
      440176 433182 428190 426197 426205 428208 433210 438208
      443205 449197 452194 455189 460183 462178 463173 465166
      467162 474156 478155 483157 489158 494158 499157 502154
      510151 514143 515138 515132 514119 515101 517086 519071
      517064 514059 512049 510037 509023 511009 513002 516997
      521990 527982 533972 537964 539954 544928 547914 548903
 0.25 385074 386071 385068 382066 373063 365059 359060 354069
      350077 353077 356075 360073 365073 370079 374084 377085
      380083 383079 385074
 0.25 369802 368798 365799 361802 358806 354807 350807 343803
      339800 336795 332793 328795 322806 316813 308819 299816
      285815 279816 275814 269807 267800 264796 260797 257803
      254806 255812 257815 261818 265821 269824 272828 274835
      280842 285852 287858 290861 293866 291869 288870 283877
      281882 279888 280895 282899 288897 291892 296882 300880
      301876 299871 296872 295870 294866 295863 297866 300867
      304865 308865 311861 311856 311848 312841 317830 320828
      325826 329827 334830 341837 346840 352840 358832 362823
      367811 369802
 0.25 359756 360752 359747 357743 355742 351743 349745 348747
      347752 347754 347758 348763 350764 351764 354762 355761
      357759 359756
 0.25 342080 343078 343076 342075 340075 339076 338077 337078
      336079 336080 335082 335084 335086 337087 339087 340085
      340082 341081 342080
 0.25 288734 288733 286733 284734 284735 283736 282737 281739
      281740 281742 281744 282746 284744 284743 285741 287739
      287737 288735 288734
 0.25 254071 251065 249060 245056 241053 236050 232050 230052
      230058 233063 235067 240071 245074 252073 254071
 0.50 540909 540900 539895 538887 537879 535874 532871 528873
      525876 518883 512892 510896 506899 500905 490924 476933
      470940 468948 469954 471959 474962 482966 486970 488974
      494983 496987 496994 496998 494000 490002 485002 482005
      480009 478018 477024 477031 477044 478053 479057 487064
      490066 495068 498065 501060 504048 504039 504032 502019
      498008 497002 500998 508992 514986 520980 525972 531961
      535950 537939 540923 540909
 0.50 509141 509135 508130 505122 502103 501100 496099 490100
      478105 471108 468109 466112 463120 460128 459134 458138
      457144 459147 466144 473143 480145 486146 490148 495149
      501147 506144 509141
 0.50 454179 454171 451170 449171 447177 446183 441185 437188
      434195 433198 435200 440197 443193 447187 450183 454179
 0.50 442966 442964 442962 441961 440961 439961 438963 438964
      436966 438968 440968 442966 442966
 0.50 348816 347813 346813 344813 343814 344816 345817 346817
      348816
 0.50 268816 268814 267812 266811 265810 264809 263809 262807
      261807 260806 258806 257807 256809 257811 258813 259813
      260815 261815 262816 264817 266817 268817 268816
 0.50 245064 244063 243062 242061 241060 241059 239058 237057
      236057 235057 235059 236061 237062 238063 238064 240065
      242065 244065 245064
 1.00 531931 530919 528912 525912 521915 516918 510924 505926
      494935 489942 484945 480947 479950 481958 483960 487962
      492966 494970 496974 502977 506976 509974 514969 519965
      523959 527951 530943 531931
 1.00 493132 491130 490130 488131 487129 487126 487124 485123
      483125 484128 485129 486130 487131 488132 489134 491134
      492134 493132
 1.50 524944 521940 518939 515939 512942 510947 506949 499949
      491951 487953 486957 488956 491957 495960 497965 499968
      503967 509962 517957 521949 524944

24HR QP VT 07/00Z
 0.01 462329 464325 467318 468314 471309 473305 476299 478295
      481291 483289 487287 491288 495288 500289 503292 506295
      510299 527252 523244 516235 511228 508224 505218 501212
      495208 491206 483204 477204 473205 469205 465207 459217
      451237 446248 446252 448256 451257 452260 450264 445277
      443282 441286 439300 441306 443304 450297 450304 449310
      447323
 0.01 567983 567977 566969 566952 563925 562909 562902 561898
      561893 560878 557868 551840 546807 545792 543785 541781
      537768 533758 529748 528742 525737 524730 522727 518719
      506706 504704 503710 501719 499726 497732 495743 491771
      489783 488794 483819 480829 477834 472835 466839 463841
      460846 455852 448858 440863 436863 433866 430876 439880
      443882 446889 443895 439899 424907 415912 408917 405919
      400920 392923 373927 353927 337923 332923 328920 323913
      320906 319891 320885 323880 326875 330872 336864 340861
      344859 351854 360850 375842 379835 381830 380826 377818
      375814 372812 367813 362815 356820 347827 343830 337832
      327829 325823 324821 325818 330811 336804 351794 354792
      359790 369789 371786 372781 372774 372767 372762 373757
      375748 377742 377737 377732 376726 373721 368718 366717
      364717 357718 353720 350720 346721 344725 337733 334735
      331733 317724 310719 303717 294717 288719 283722 275725
      266728 256734 252742 246763 246773 248787 248793 250796
      243801 242811 242815 244820 247828 247834 249838 254858
      257867 260875 267893 272903 278912 284919 288927 290932
      290937 292941 292947 288956 288962 292962 297957 304952
      310948 320944 328943 333941 338941 361940 371936 385936
      395936 400938 401943 401950 399955 394965 391974 389979
      389986 396986 403981 406979 407982 405989 405993 409998
      413998 416996 425993 437991 445989 453993 460997 463001
      465006 469019 466025 464033 462042 460050 457052
 0.01 457052 450057 446059 443063 440070 439076 444085 443091
      439092 428091 425096 429101 432104 428110 428114 430118
      434117 440118 441122 440126 439134 438139 437141 436150
      436156 438161 443162 447166 449171 452174 466178 472178
      476177 484176 489174 494172 497171 500175 514191 522198
      526198 525190 523185 520181 514173 511167 508163 507160
      507156 510149 512143 516141 524137 533134 540129 546120
      550109 554095 557078 559072 559063 561048 561036 563029
      564010 567983
 0.01 418081 418076 417073 412073 406073 406077 407079 406083
      404086 400090 397094 403095 406093 410087 414085 418081
 0.01 414844 414837 412833 408833 405836 402838 398841 396844
      395846 399849 402851 408850 411847 414844 414844
 0.01 403827 402822 399818 397816 393814 389812 386813 387817
      388822 392826 394828 398830 401830 403827
 0.01 377078 378076 374075 369070 367070 366065 362065 357069
      353073 351077 354077 360074 365072 367074 370075 372077
      376078 377078
 0.01 225056 229065 235070 238073 241076 250081 259085 266090
      285098 294100 305102 311103 316102 320100 323102 321104
      319108 321106 326107 327102 331104 333108 337111 341109
      345100 347096 348092 345081 342072 340067 339060 340047
      343041 346037 346032 346028 348024 350020 351015 351011
      345011 337014 334017 330023 326031 322038 316046 310053
      307057 303059 295062 285065 280064 273063 238049 233051
      227050
 0.01 302781 301766 299759 297754 290748 284748 277751 276754
      274760 272770 270783 270788 270792 273793 282795 287797
      294796 298793 300787 302781
 0.25 520270 511260 508253 507248 508246 507243 505241 501240
      497238 494245 492246 490247 488244 485238 479234 476234
      474236 473240 475243 479248 486247 490252 493260 495266
      500272 501279 505287 507288 508285 507281 510280 513288
 0.25 546057 547045 546034 544013 536971 531927 528902 529881
      530867 528855 526847 521841 519839 517842 513848 506853
      501860 490867 477867 473870 472874 469883 463900 457917
      455923 450929 439942 435947 432957 431966 433974 437978
      444977 459980 466983 469986 472991 474999 475008 475020
      473029 469048 465055 459063 453066 451069 452072 453076
      453083 452093 452100 453104 452114 450119 450127 453135
      458142 462143 465142 473143 479145 482147 486146 490141
      493137 497134 503129 513124 519121 524115 534102 537096
      541086 545073 546057
 0.25 362751 362747 361743 358739 353736 347739 343742 338747
      336752 333756 327768 324780 323786 323790 326792 331793
      337790 341786 345781 351772 357762 362751
 0.25 308863 309857 308852 305842 301836 295831 289826 281825
      274826 265825 260821 257818 254818 258824 260828 263831
      272843 280856 285862 290869 293877 294882 296882 299874
      303867 308863
 0.25 289077 289076 287075 285076 284076 283077 283078 285079
      285078 287078 289077 289077
 0.50 538064 539053 539042 539034 538024 536015 534007 528992
      521979 518973 516965 516959 517953 518942 519933 517923
      517912 518904 520896 521887 521881 519878 515874 509875
      503879 497883 492884 487882 483883 480884 473895 467912
      462925 456937 447947 443954 441961 438968 441972 454974
      463975 469978 475989 480995 482002 482011 481019 477035
      475045 471054 468061 465067 460081 457090 456095 457098
      458101 459106 459116 459126 465128 471131 476134 480132
      484133 488126 494121 498117 503115 513108 522099 526094
      530087 534077 538064
 0.50 353753 353748 350748 349749 347752 346755 344757 343761
      343763 344765 347766 348763 350761 351758 352755 353753
 0.50 299853 298847 296843 294839 291836 288833 284832 278833
      278838 279842 282846 285850 287853 289856 292857 295855
      298854 299853
 1.00 527065 528057 529048 528040 525034 522023 519017 515014
      511014 507016 500023 489041 485052 481066 477076 474082
      471087 465094 463099 466103 469108 474110 479109 483108
      492104 496102 500098 506092 514086 521080 524074 526068
      527065
 1.00 487924 485919 481920 472927 469932 466940 459949 456953
      453959 449964 450966 452966 462961 469961 474964 480964
      485959 487957 486952 484946 484937 486929 487924
 1.00 475972 474969 474968 472969 472970 473972 474973 475972
 1.50 515066 515061 513058 509057 506058 502059 498057 496056
      493058 489066 486073 484083 485087 488089 494087 500084
      505078 509072 514068 515066

$$





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