Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 221118
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
618 AM EST THU FEB 22 2018


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 22/1200 UTC THRU FEB 25/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

NORTHEAST TX---LOWER MS VALLEY---LOWER TN VALLEY---OH
VALLEY---NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND

ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE PRECIPITATION
LIKELY FOR THE UPCOMING DAY 1 TIME PERIOD FROM NORTHEAST TX---INTO
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY---LOWER TN VALLEY AND INTO THE OH
VALLEY.  THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE NO BIG CHANGES TO THE BROAD
SOUTHWEST MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY---GREAT LAKES AND
INTO THE NORTHEAST.  PW VALUES IN THIS SOUTHWEST MID TO UPPER
LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN HIGHLY ANOMALOUS WITH VALUES 3-4+ STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN.  THE CURRENT AXIS OF HEAVY PRECIP FROM
NORTHEAST TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY---LOWER TN VALLEY INTO THE
OH VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER 1200 UTC WITH A CONCENTRATED
AREA OF PRECIP MOVING OUT OF THE UPPER OH VALLEY---ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD.  PRECIP IS THEN EXPECTED TO REFOCUS IN
AN AXIS FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST FROM THE CURRENT EARLY MORNING
ACTIVITY AS LOW LEVEL FLOW RE-STRENGTHENS OUT OF THE SOUTH AND
INTO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING NORTHEAST FROM NORTHEAST TX
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND INTO THE OH VALLEY.  DIFFERENCES IN
MODEL QPFS REVOLVE AROUND THE LATITUDE OF THIS NEXT MAX AXIS.  DAY
1 QPF LEANED TOWARD THE SOLUTIONS THAT WERE FARTHER TO THE SOUTH
AND EAST---TRENDING APPROX 40-60NM FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST FROM
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.  THERE IS A LOT OF RUN TO RUN VARIABILITY
WITH THE QPF DETAILS AT THE SHORTER FORECAST INTERVALS.  WHILE THE
SECOND ROUND OF PRECIP WILL LIKELY OVERRUN THE ABOVE MENTIONED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY FAIRLY FAR TO THE NORTH---WPC CONTINUED TO FAVOR
THE MAX QPF AXIS SOLUTIONS THAT WERE FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST
CLOSER TO THE GREATER INSTABILITY NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY TRAINING
CONVECTION BETWEEN 0000-1200 UTC FRIDAY FROM NORTHEAST
TX---NORTHEASTWARD INTO AR---NORTHWEST MS---WESTERN TN---FAR
SOUTHEAST MO INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
BECOMES FOCUSED OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST IN A REGION OF FAVORABLE
RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS.

CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER LAKES

WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE ENERGY PUSHING NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY
DAY 1 WILL SUPPORT A DEVELOPING COMMA HEAD DEFORMATION PRECIP BAND
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PLAINS---UPPER MS
VALLEY AND INTO THE UPPER LAKES.  OVERALL---MODELS ARE SIMILAR IN
SHOWING AREAL AVERAGE PRECIP TOTALS IN THE .10-.25"+ RANGE ACROSS
THESE AREAS.  A BROAD REGION OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWS LIKELY
ACROSS THESE AREAS WITH THE GREATEST HEAVY SNOW THREAT FROM THE
UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER LAKES.  SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR
ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST---CALIFORNIA---GREAT BASIN INTO
THE ROCKIES


DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES FROM THE WEST COAST TO THE
ROCKIES DURING DAY 2. SHORT WAVE ENERGY APPROACHES THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
WITH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2..
AHEAD OF THE BROAD LONG WAVE TROUGH DEEPENING OVER THE WEST COAST
ON DAY 2...A 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.50 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO THE COAST OF WA/OR...AND THE UPSLOPE
FLOW PRODUCES AN AXIS OF 0.75/1.25 INCHES OF QPF ALONG THE FAVORED
UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE WA CASCADES. LOWER QPF AMOUNTS (NEAR 0.50
INCHES) WERE STRETCHED FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN OR
CASCADES. FURTHER EAST...SOME OF THE MOISTURE SURVIVES THE TRIP TO
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...WHERE AN AXIS OF 0.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS
PLACED OVER THE NORTHERN BITTERROOTS OF ID.

DAY 3...
THE MOISTURE PLUME MOVES SOUTH ON DAY 3 AS THE TROUGH DEEPENS AND
STARTS TO MOVE EAST. THE UPSLOPE FLOW FOCUSES THE MOISTURE ON THE
WA/OR CASCADES...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR
0.75/1.25 INCHES OF QPF...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER THE OR
CASCADES. FURTHER EAST...UPSLOPE FLOW MAKES THE MOST OF THE
MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF 0.25/0.50 INCHES OF
QPF OVER THE BLUE MOUNTAINS IN OR...AS WELL AS THE BITTERROOTS AND
SALMON RIVER RANGE IN ID.


...SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
AND SOUTHWEST STATES BEFORE IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
SHORT WAVE ENERGY FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHEAST CROSSES THE REGION
DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FEATURES...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHWEST
STATES ON DAY 2...IT STRENGTHS AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMS
OVER NORTHEAST NM...WHICH INCREASES THE UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS
WESTERN CO INTO NORTH CENTRAL NM. THE INCREASED UPSLOPE MAKES THE
MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN (WHICH HOVERS NEAR 0.25 INCHES)
TO PRODUCE A LARGE AXIS OF 0.25/0.50 INCHES OF QPF OVER WESTERN CO
INTO THE SAN JUANS OF NM. THE GENERAL LIFT WITH THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS
THE WASATCH RANGE IN UT...AS WELL AS THE MOGOLLON RIM IN AZ.

DAY 3...
AFTER THE LONG WAVE EXITS...A SHORT WAVES TRACKS FROM THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES DURING DAY 3. THE UPSLOPE FLOW
IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST AS DAY 2...WHILE THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN
THE COLUMN IS SIMILAR. WITH THIS IN MIND...AN AXIS OF 0.10 TO 0.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE EXTENT OF THE WASATCH RANGE IN
UT.


...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

A LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY ON DAY 3
TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT HEADS FOR THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
UPPER GREAT LAKES LATER IN THE PERIOD. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM SPINS UP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES...WHICH DEEPENS AS IT HEADS FOR THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK
OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...AS WELL AS THE SURFACE LOW...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH TRACKS NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF DAY 3...IT
TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT. THE LIFT SPINS UP LOW PRESSURE ON THE
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WHICH DEEPENS AS IT HEADS FOR THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES. A BANDED OF MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH TAKES ON A STRONG NEGATIVE TILT
ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY...MAINLY AFTER 25/00Z. THE LIFT IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF FROM
NORTHWEST IA ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN INTO WESTERN WI AND THE WESTERN
PORTION OF THE UP OF MI. THE 00Z ECMWF WAS NOT QUITE AS HIGH WITH
THE QPF IN THIS AXIS...BUT GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW AHEAD OF THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM...THE HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS OF THE 00Z GFS SEEM MORE
APPROPRIATE HERE...GIVEN THE FORCING.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY/TN
VALLEY/NORTHEAST...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST TX ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY ON DAY 2 WILL FOCUS DEEP MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY TO FEED CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. TRAINING CONVECTION ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT COULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE
NORTHEAST...BEFORE A COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST INTO THE OH VALLEY
LATE IN THE PERIOD. WHILE THERE WAS FAIRLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT...THE AXES OF HIGHEST QPF WAS
BASED MORE CLOSELY ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE BEST INSTABILITY. ON
DAY 2...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND...THEN
DROPPED SOUTH TO BETTER MATCH THE INSTABILITY AXIS. THE PLACEMENT
OF THE HIGHEST WPC QPF MOSTLY CLOSELY RESEMBLED THE 00Z UKMET ON
DAY 3

DAY 2...
ONGOING CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
NORTHEAST TX ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AR INTO WESTERN TN IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 1.50/2.00 INCHES OF QPF...ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD
FROM THE MULTI MODEL BLEND TO BETTER FIT THE INSTABILITY AXIS
(WITH SOME 00Z WRF-ARW USED TO HELP PLACE THE AXIS). THE BEST
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED BEFORE 24/00Z...BEFORE IT RUNS WAY FROM THE
BEST CONVECTION. BASED ON THIS...ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS... AND
INPUT FROM WFOS SHV/LZK/MEG...A MODERATE RISK WAS INSERTED INTO
THIS AREA TO COVER THE CONVECTION.

NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT...A 25 TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORT 1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR INTO WESTERN
KY/SOUTHERN IL/SOUTHERN IN/SOUTHERN OH INTO WESTERN PA DURING DAY
2. THE BEST INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE FRONT (BASED ON
00Z GFS/21Z SREF INSTABILITY PLUMES)...AND AN AXIS OF 1.00 TO 1.50
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ON THIS AXIS. GIVEN THAT FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES AND THE NATIONAL WATER MODEL PREDICTED STREAMFLOW
ON DAY 2...A SLIGHT RISK WAS INSERTED INTO THIS AREA TO OVER THE
WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.

DAY 3...
THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STRETCH FROM FAR SOUTHEAST OK ACROSS
ACROSS NORTHERN INTO SOUTHERN IL/SOUTHERN I/SOUTHERN OH INTO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PA DURING THE FIRST HALF OF DAY 3. A 35 TO 45
KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO POUR 1.50 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS BETWEEN THREE AND FOUR STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. THE 00Z
GFS/21Z SREF SHOWED THE BEST INSTABILITY EXTENDING FROM ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE FRONT...AND THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL FUEL CONVECTION THAT TRACKS ALONG THE FRONT. THE
POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING APPEARS HIGHEST BEFORE 25/00Z...WHEN THE
THE 850-300 MB FLOW IS MOST CLOSELY ALIGNED WITH THE PROPAGATION
VECTORS. AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES AFTER 25/00Z...MID LEVEL FORCING
ALLOWS THE FRONT TO BECOME MORE NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED AS IT CROSSES
THE OH VALLEY.

THE ABOVE SUPPORTS A LONG AXIS OF 1.50 TO 2.50 INCHES OF QPF
EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST AR INTO WEST CENTRAL PA. THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS WERE PLACED OVER NORTHERN KY/SOUTHERN IN/SOUTHWEST
OH...WHERE THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR TRAINING APPEARS TO SET
UP...AND THIS AXIS IS SOUTH OF THE MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS (EXCEPT
FOR THE 00Z UKMET). AGAIN...THE AXIS WAS PLACED CLOSER TO THE BEST
INSTABILITY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA AS
WELL. GIVEN THE WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...AND INPUT FROM WFOS
PAH/MEG/LMK/IND/IL...A MODERATE RISK WAS PLACED HERE FOR DAY 3.
THE NATIONAL WATER MODEL (DRIVEN BY THE GFS) SHOWED HIGH STREAM
FLOW VALUES...AND THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN
FLOODING. A MUCH LARGER SLIGHT RISK WAS EXTENDED FROM FAR
NORTHEAST TX INTO WESTERN PA (WHERE A MODERATE MAY BE NEEDED AT
SOME POINT FOR DAY 3...IF THE AXIS OF HIGHER QPF IS INDEED SOUTH
ACROSS THIS AREA).


ORAVEC/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML




THIS DISCUSSION WILL TRANSITION TO MIXED-CASE FEB 26, 2018.  THE
LISTING OF ISOHYET POINTS CONTAINED BELOW WILL ALSO BE ELIMINATED
FROM THE PRODUCT FEB 26, 2018.  ISOHYET GRID INFORMATION WILL
CONTINUE TO BE GENERATED IN A VARIETY OF BINARY FORMATS AND MADE
AVAILABLE THROUGH THE WPC GIS PAGE.

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 499909 499898 498889 497880 496869 494862 491856 490853
      487849 483846 478841 474840 470840 457837 446846 443848
      439848 435848 432845 428832 426829 425824 424821 425817
      428801 431786 434767 436751 438741 438732 439722 437712
      435703 434694 434686 431678 428661 423643 416646 413644
      409645 400647 394650 391652 386654 382660 378666 376673
      371700 370707 371712 370716 372733 374743 373752 371759
      369766 363780 358796 360805 360810 362810 366809 366815
      365820 362827 359834 355846 351853 347860 343865 340871
      332882 328889 324896 322900 317904 305899 298898 291899
      289897 287899 287908 292912 295914 300915 299923 296932
      286941 283943 282946 279952 277958 279960 277962 267969
      257974 256992 253994 249995 245996 239997 238999 239002
      239007 241009 246012 250014 254014 262015 265015 268013
      271009 276006 284006 290004 303003 310001 315002 317003
      324005 332004 340002 346998 355990 357988 360990 364990
      369992 378997 381999 380004 379012 380018 381022 382024
      395021 398019 401022 402026 403032 405041 406045 409046
      413045 416043 420039 429028 447014 453012 459009 468001
      479992 484986 484973 485961 487953 489946 491937 495922
      499909
 0.01 464224 466216 465214 455216 450217 445216 438208 433203
      429199 425198 423196 420191 416188 412184 414179 419176
      422179 426178 432180 434181 438178 442177 441183 443187
      446188 448190 451196 453196 457191 463182 464178 464173
      460174 459168 461163 464158 464151 460141 456137 454132
      454127 453124 448121 444119 440115 437110 436104 433097
      430092 427082 428074 426068 422067 422072 421081 420084
      426094 427098 425101 421102 416106 414107 412106 410098
      408093 403097 399099 398096 399088 400082 402079 404075
      406074 410076 413076 415073 415067 414060 409057 405055
      399053 388047 388050 383050 379048 373047 364050 356055
      354063 356071 367075 370078 372083 370097 358112 354114
      350111 343107 344111 344114 346116 344127 348139 356136
      365137 371137 373142 374148 377151 381154 386157 387160
      386164 384172 380173 381178 382181 381183 378184 375183
      367180 359180 352182 347184 345188 340197 338201 339206
      347208 351213 359221 363225 368227 372230 376235 390247
      402251 412252 419253 423253 433248 437243 438239 439236
      443234 450234 457230 461228 464224
 0.01 475111 475106 474104 472102 468101 466102 464107 464109
      465112 464114 463119 463122 467123 470124 472123 473118
      473113 475111
 0.01 404224 401219 398219 395217 391213 384210 374204 369201
      366196 362192 354190 352190 350192 349196 349201 351205
      359208 363210 369214 375215 379220 385222 388221 391222
      402225 404224
 0.01 395105 395101 392099 389094 383095 378098 374102 371107
      367113 370113 372111 377109 380109 382110 387111 393107
      395105
 0.01 381063 381060 381059 379059 377058 375058 373058 372059
      371059 372060 373060 374062 375062 377062 378063 380063
      381063
 0.01 345182 345173 343166 339164 334163 327160 323160 320161
      314163 314166 317168 324174 331176 335177 337180 342185
      345182
 0.01 297809 296805 295803 294801 291799 288799 286797 284798
      281800 281802 280805 281807 283808 286809 288810 291810
      293812 295811 297809
 0.01 275828 272816 268806 267800 264796 258796 253799 246805
      239811 239818 242823 244827 248825 249820 252818 254823
      257828 262829 267830 272829 275828
 0.25 481884 481877 479873 477872 473876 470878 468877 462878
      456881 451886 448892 441903 439906 436908 429909 422911
      417914 415917 414921 412928 410936 409941 409945 414951
      418952 421954 424958 430960 435964 440971 442976 443984
      445993 449995 452993 455986 458981 462974 464967 468951
      472945 474935 477919 479911 480899 481892 481884
 0.25 441154 441151 440150 438150 437151 436152 436153 438154
      439154 441154
 0.25 428743 428733 427722 426716 425712 420709 416710 413713
      410719 405726 401734 400740 398749 397759 396766 393774
      389777 387781 385788 384797 384807 383816 379822 374826
      371828 368831 364839 357852 355858 352866 346878 338891
      330905 321914 317920 314927 307941 300956 295968 293976
      294980 296983 302986 308987 314986 319983 326980 330976
      337974 343969 345964 346958 349956 355949 359944 363937
      371927 374921 378916 387903 391895 392885 393878 393869
      398857 401849 406843 409840 410836 413826 417811 418802
      420795 424777 428757 428743
 0.25 415241 415239 414237 412236 411235 409234 407234 405234
      404235 403235 401237 401239 401241 401242 402243 404244
      406244 407244 408244 409243 411243 412242 413242 415241
 0.25 399211 398200 399195 396190 394200 389199 386196 378189
      368183 362183 357185 364189 372196 380202 388208 393211
      399211
 0.25 386086 385081 381079 379076 378070 376066 373063 368062
      366064 368066 371069 373073 375078 379080 382083 384086
      386086
 0.25 343173 343171 343169 341168 340170 341171 341173 342175
      343173
 0.25 334169 334167 334166 332165 330164 329164 327165 327168
      328169 330170 332170 333170 334169
 0.50 420759 420750 419745 418743 412741 408745 405753 404760
      403769 400778 392803 390819 386838 384843 381849 375860
      367872 362877 362868 364863 366860 367858 365857 360860
      356865 353873 349879 342890 329910 324914 321919 318928
      316937 304957 302965 303969 305970 312970 319968 330964
      336961 341958 349947 355934 358928 362923 366918 369914
      385888 386884 388876 389871 389866 391861 397847 404834
      406828 407819 410813 412808 415800 417790 420775 420759
 0.50 378196 377195 377194 376192 375191 374190 373189 372188
      371187 369186 368185 366185 365186 366188 367189 369190
      371191 372192 372193 374194 375196 377197 378196
 0.50 376073 377071 376069 375066 373064 371063 370063 369064
      370066 371067 373068 374071 374073 376074 376073
 1.00 387854 384852 380857 373870 366879 357890 349898 344903
      344900 346895 345893 341898 333908 329913 326919 324927
      322934 317945 323956 329954 334951 339946 343940 357916
      371896 377885 380878 382870 387854
 1.50 376877 373876 371879 367886 362891 356896 347906 337916
      333921 329928 327935 326939 329939 342932 346928 351921
      359910 367897 371891 374883 376877
 2.00 361903 358901 353905 349908 345912 341917 337921 336928
      343928 346924 350919 353914 356910 359905 361903

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 464622 469623 473624 477626 481629 488642 492654 504670
      508677 508692 511715 514724 518734 522745 524749 525755
      525763 525770 524784 523790 523797 521812 521822 519829
      516843 509866 507875 505889 503901 501908 497918 492926
      487932 484934 480935 476934 473932 470932 465925 455906
      450895 444885 438876 436872 432870 424865 416864 413866
      411868 411872 414882 415897 416909 416934 416948 416952
      417954 419956 426965 428969 431975 433980 434989 435995
      436002 437007 437014 437027 433038 431042 426045 420049
      420051 422053 425055 430060 431063 430066 429071 427075
      420083 415090 416102 420104 426104 435101 440100 446103
      449106 451112 435116 428124 426127 422131 418126 414119
      409118 408124 403130 399133 396137 396140 398142 400146
      398148 394147 384146 378144 375141 374138 371136 365137
      358141 353144 347143 345138 344132 341123 342119 342113
      339105 336098 336093 339091 347088 352082 359078 361074
      358069 359065 361063 357060 356055 358051 361048 366047
      372048 375048 378046 381044 381040 383034 382027 381022
      380017 379013 376008 373005 368003 359007 326020 319022
      314023 311024 307026 303026 297026 294027 289026 285027
      280029 276027 270023 265021 260020 256017 255012 257007
      260004 264001 274999 277991 280983 284977 296966 299962
      301958 302954 299951 295949 295943 295937 292933 285927
      278921 273917 271913 269907 264905 260903 256900 253897
      253893 254888 254882 259876 267874 271875 276874 285874
      292875 298875 302877 306879 312878 317873 320869 324867
      333862 336858 338854 343842 345836 348832 353824 359816
      362814 368812 374807 379801 383794 383788 382781 381769
      380761 380757 378755 376742 374738 376734 378725 379720
      378713 377703
 0.01 377703 377696 378691 379686 381681 382678 385675 387670
      386666 387662 388660 386659 389656 392655 393652 390649
      389647
 0.01 442630 439633 438636 437638 433640 430641 427642 423643
      422645 418646 415648 412649 410650 408650 409648 411645
      412642 412639
 0.01 522266 527244 534228 537212 537193 535184 531174 530170
      528167 524161 516150 510147 508145 505144 499139 491135
      486131 480127 474124 469125 467127 467130 471135 478146
      465139 460135 453134 438131 436139 434152 435157 437159
      442164 444166 442170 444176 440181 436184 435188 437190
      443196 455193 466189 472188 475188 478190 480192 480198
      473202 463209 457211 450211 444210 437210 430211 421209
      420212 420216 421219 420225 419227 416228 411230 412236
      415244 419246 417249 416256 418259 422265 430267 437270
      441274 446278 449277 453278 462281 469288 473293 479297
      483299 484298 492300 497299 502296 516285
 0.01 406049 406047 404044 403045 401045 400046 399047 398048
      398050 399052 400051 401050 402050 404051 406049
 0.01 382663 381662 380663 381663 382663
 0.01 377112 378110 377107 375108 374109 373111 372113 371116
      371118 371120 372121 373120 373118 374118 375116 376114
      376113 377112
 0.01 357185 357183 355182 354182 353182 352183 350183 348185
      347187 347189 346191 347192 348192 349192 349190 350188
      351186 353186 355185 357185 357185
 0.01 356111 355109 353109 352110 353111 355112 356111
 0.01 345180 346176 344173 345169 343166 343164 342162 340159
      338159 338161 340164 341168 342171 342175 343177 343180
      345180
 0.01 333173 334169 331164 329161 326158 320157 317157 315159
      318162 321164 327166 330169 333173 333173
 0.01 329820 328816 326812 319814 317816 314814 311809 304806
      295805 290802 287801 285804 283806 284810 288818 284819
      282819 277819 275816 270810 269807 269804 272802 272799
      268794 267789 262789 260786 258784 255785 255791 255794
      253791 251789 249792 245798 240810 236818 237821 241822
      245817 249813 254808 257808 259811 262818 263821 266823
      272827 279829 286830 293831 300834 309833 316831 320830
      322828 327823 329820
 0.25 530218 531213 531208 531200 531194 530191 527188 523191
      520191 517189 512184 508182 502183 499183 494182 493181
      495197 497200 499201 504202 513208 518212 522216 524219
      526220 530218
 0.25 516272 518268 518262 516256 515249 513245 508239 504235
      501231 500225 496211 492207 486205 480206 476207 467211
      458216 449218 443219 438221 435224 437228 444230 445233
      444238 448243 452246 464248 471254 487272 496281 500283
      505285 510284 513282 516272
 0.25 485230 484225 482223 479223 477223 474223 472224 470225
      468228 469230 471232 473231 476230 478229 482229 485230
 0.25 497850 497840 495830 493825 488826 484829 481835 481844
      483852 485857 489861 494860 497853 497850
 0.25 478167 478165 477164 477162 476161 475160 474159 473158
      472157 470156 469157 468158 467160 468161 468162 469164
      470165 471167 472167 474167 476168 477168 478167
 0.25 431749 431743 428738 423730 418723 412718 407720 403724
      401732 399749 399760 400768 399774 398779 396783 393790
      387804 381820 375839 369856 367860 365863 361868 361860
      363853 366843 366838 363834 357837 352842 348850 345857
      342864 337869 332875 328884 324893 322902 323913 323925
      319939 312959 304972 299989 297995 302999 306001 311002
      316003 320002 326999 333993 338989 341984 346978 352972
      357966 363959 368951 373945 383936 388929 389922 392896
      393885 392872 394862 397855 404843 409836 414826 421809
      423800 424790 426772 431749
 0.25 407665 406663 406660 404659 402658 401658 399659 398660
      398661 397663 396665 397666 397668 399669 401671 402671
      403671 404670 405668 406667 407665
 0.25 411012 409011 408011 407012 406013 405014 404016 402019
      401021 401023 402024 404024 404023 405023 407021 409019
      410017 411015 411013 411012
 0.25 404077 406073 406069 403066 397072 390070 385071 382069
      378067 375067 374073 376078 377083 379085 382094 389091
      395086 400080 404077
 0.25 362121 361120 359119 358118 357118 356117 354117 352117
      351116 350117 351117 352119 353119 354121 354122 355123
      357123 359123 360123 361122 362121
 0.25 351879 350879 348878 348879 347880 346882 345884 344886
      344888 345890 347888 348886 349885 349884 350881 351879
 0.25 303890 303885 300882 295880 287882 278883 272886 269889
      269891 271894 274896 282898 289899 297901 299900 300898
      300894 303890
 0.25 261799 261798 259798 258799 259800 261799 261799
 0.50 514277 516267 513261 511255 507253 502255 498259 496263
      499265 502270 500272 499277 504281 511281 514277
 0.50 487249 486243 485241 482236 481233 478231 474234 472236
      469236 467233 464232 461233 460235 456235 456237 461241
      468243 474247 479250 482251 485251 487249
 0.50 490224 490218 487213 484210 479210 472212 465215 457219
      450222 446223 448225 455223 465225 472221 480220 487225
      490224
 0.50 421766 420760 419756 416747 415742 413741 409744 406750
      405756 404764 402772 401780 399788 395803 387827 381843
      376855 369867 363876 347897 340906 337910 334917 326928
      321941 319948 318956 314969 314979 311986 311991 313993
      316994 320992 328987 333983 337978 344965 347959 352956
      358952 362949 368941 377929 380923 383916 385908 386901
      387886 387880 388870 393856 395853 397851 397847 401835
      407831 409828 411824 416811 417804 419796 419780 421766
 0.50 357852 356846 352846 348853 345862 341871 336876 333881
      332885 333890 337889 343883 347875 352868 355858 357852
 1.00 487218 487217 485216 483217 485218 486219 487218
 1.00 479238 479237 477236 475237 476240 477241 477240 478240
      479238
 1.00 482216 480215 479214 477213 475213 473214 472214 470215
      471218 473217 475217 477216 478216 480216 482216
 1.00 471218 470216 468217 468218 469219 471218
 1.00 414786 411777 408777 406779 403785 401795 400804 398814
      397821 397824 398824 401822 405815 409810 411801 413793
      414786
 1.00 382861 382857 381854 380856 379859 377862 376864 375866
      373869 372873 371876 374878 376875 378873 380870 381868
      382863 382861
 1.00 375916 375909 372909 369912 366915 364920 362925 361929
      362934 366932 368929 371926 373922 375917 375916
 1.00 364894 364890 362889 358891 352897 346905 342912 332929
      327939 326943 327948 328951 327955 326960 323970 319979
      320983 323979 330972 334962 337952 341943 348925 351914
      356905 364894
 1.50 347919 347914 346911 344915 342916 341918 340921 339926
      339928 339930 341934 343930 344928 345925 346921 347919

24HR QP VT 25/12Z
 0.01 534222 535210 537199 537195 535191 534181 527163 518148
      514139 512135 511131 509109 507097 506091 497094 494094
      492101 491113 490120 488124 486126 484123 481120 480117
      476108 474098 471090 466089 463092 461096 461099 459099
      453094 440088 437085 433085 429087 426087 420092 420096
      418099 415101 410092 409089 407089 404091 403095 398103
      391105 385111 383114 380116 376118 373120 372126 372132
      377139 380146 385152 387154 388158 386171 386177 388181
      391183 395183 402180 407175 411169 414170 416173 416179
      415184 413189 411193 409199 408203 408208 409213 397238
      406243 412248 419253 427257 431258 435262 443265 447266
      451269 458272 468276 470279 475281 479283 483286 491290
      496291 499290 505289 510286 516281 520273 523261 525257
      526250 531238 532229 534222
 0.01 516222 516215 515211 510204 506198 504196 502194 500196
      493194 490193 487190 483189 481186 478184 474183 463189
      460190 457194 456198 457202 463202 470201 484201 489198
      494202 498209 502217 506222 510225 514224 516222
 0.01 515918 515906 513897 508882 500851 494835 489822 475793
      464762 454735 438709 431697 427690 424684 422674 419666
      413651 412649 408648 405651 401656 398661 395666 391672
      387677 385684 382690 380698 377705 377714 375731 373747
      371761 369768 368775 365782 362787 361790 359792 357790
      356788 352788 349789 347792 344799 342807 339814 335818
      329822 316828 313832 313834 315837 324843 318846 311849
      303850 296853 291855 287860 284867 283871 281874 275877
      272878 270880 270884 273884 277884 279888 280891 281894
      283896 286897 285902 282907 278923 273937 269951 263963
      253971 249976 244979 237987 234992 236999 240003 246007
      254007 260005 267005 271011 281016 286017 288016 293012
      304005 318003 329001 344999 353999 360999 376999 383004
      384007 384013 386020 389027 391034 389038 389041 393041
      398039 407033 412030 418028 429021 441017 450005 451001
      453998 459994 464992 467994 470994 477994 480994 483992
      487992 488991 493988 495985 496982 497979 497973 499970
      497967 496964 498963 500961 509951 512942 512934 515918
 0.01 412141 412139 411137 411136 411134 412131 410130 408131
      407131 405130 403130 401132 401134 402136 404137 406139
      406140 407141 409142 411142 412141
 0.01 418062 414059 411058 407056 402055 396055 386060 375063
      370061 364061 364065 365066 371069 375073 375082 380084
      388084 397079 408075 413075 415073 415069 418062
 0.01 298819 294814 288810 275805 276801 278799 279795 278790
      276788 273787 265787 247790 245792 246795 253798 256799
      255801 253805 256807 260807 258808 256811 256816 257820
      261821 264822 268822 283825 290825 294824 298821 298819
 0.01 271808 269806 267805 265806 264807 265807 267808 268808
      269809 271808
 0.01 256826 254820 250818 244816 238815 234818 233824 234830
      238836 242838 248837 253833 255828 256826
 0.25 513261 513255 511249 507241 498222 492214 490211 486208
      481207 476207 468210 460212 451213 443213 435216 427219
      424221 421224 421226 423229 427231 424235 421236 419234
      416234 414236 415240 421241 430242 440242 456240 461240
      465238 464235 461231 467228 469225 472222 480220 485222
      489225 493234 498242 500246 501253 500255 497254 494250
      488242 482237 479233 475233 473238 475243 482250 486257
      492266 494270 499273 504271 507267 513261
 0.25 515179 515177 515176 514174 514173 513173 512174 510175
      510176 510178 511180 512181 513181 514180 515179
 0.25 491140 489137 487135 486133 483131 481130 478128 476126
      473126 471125 471130 472133 474134 477136 480137 484137
      487139 489140 491140
 0.25 490891 490883 489877 486863 483853 479842 470839 466836
      464831 459821 457813 456806 452794 450787 449781 446769
      442759 438756 434755 430758 427754 425749 423741 419727
      415716 409707 407705 402704 397707 394712 392717 391723
      390735 389748 387760 385772 383783 380793 377803 366819
      359827 353837 348844 342852 333867 328875 321883 315891
      311901 306909 302919 298927 295937 292947 291954 291961
      294965 298967 301964 307964 312967 314970 316975 319979
      322982 328983 335978 363952 370944 376943 380943 398938
      401941 401945 400949 399955 399962 401976 403982 407985
      412987 413989 413993 407001 404006 404012 406015 410015
      418011 425004 431992 438985 443977 450970 455963 460956
      469950 475944 480933 485922 487906 490891
 0.25 476169 477164 477160 473156 469152 466147 462142 456143
      451146 445147 440147 435149 433152 433157 435162 446169
      446176 444184 445190 449190 451188 458180 461175 465172
      472171 476169
 0.25 459232 459230 457230 456229 454229 452230 451230 450230
      449231 448231 448233 450233 452233 453233 454233 455233
      457232 459232 459232
 0.25 448234 447232 445232 444233 445234 446234 448234
 0.25 443235 443234 441234 443235 443235
 0.25 453107 452102 448100 443099 438099 434101 432104 430109
      429113 433117 436116 441116 445116 448113 452110 453107
 0.25 389118 389116 388116 387117 386118 385119 384120 383122
      381124 382125 383124 384124 386123 386122 388120 389118
 0.25 307888 308882 307878 305873 301871 297872 292874 288875
      286879 290881 293883 296885 300888 304889 307888
 0.50 498232 498229 497226 496225 494224 492225 492227 493230
      493231 495232 496233 498232
 0.50 490219 490218 488217 487216 486217 486219 487221 488221
      489221 490220 490219
 0.50 479213 474211 470213 465215 459216 448217 442216 436218
      427222 425225 430229 433231 436230 440229 451226 455223
      462224 471219 475217 479213
 0.50 482897 483887 482882 481880 475878 468880 463883 460887
      457886 455884 451880 446883 443888 436899 433904 432911
      429918 426922 423927 420932 420937 422940 419946 412954
      410956 410961 413966 417969 424970 430967 433963 437959
      441956 452951 456947 459941 462936 465930 470920 475915
      478909 481904 482897
 0.50 463154 462151 461153 462154 463154
 0.50 455174 455172 455169 454169 453169 451169 451171 450173
      449175 449178 449180 450183 451181 452180 453178 454176
      455174
 0.50 444786 443779 442773 440768 437765 435767 433771 430781
      428786 427791 425802 423813 423817 425820 429821 434821
      439815 442805 443793 444786
 0.50 443860 444858 444856 444853 443853 442853 441855 440856
      440858 440859 439861 439863 439866 440867 442866 442865
      443863 443862 443860
 0.50 419785 417772 415754 413744 410736 408731 404730 402733
      400748 397761 394767 392774 389789 385803 384809 381814
      373823 364833 356842 349851 342861 335871 329883 323893
      319898 317905 315911 317917 322917 326915 326921 328927
      331932 328937 325944 325952 327957 327966 327969 329973
      332973 338969 342965 348954 361933 377913 380908 384904
      393896 405873 412861 417850 421834 420816 419808 418799
      419785
 0.50 303941 303939 303938 302939 301941 299943 298943 298945
      297946 297947 297949 297952 299952 301949 301948 301947
      302945 303943 303941
 1.00 475897 473896 473897 472900 473902 474900 475897 475897
 1.00 464913 464911 463910 462909 462910 462913 464913 464913
 1.00 444223 444220 443220 442219 441219 440220 438221 436223
      435223 435225 437226 439225 441225 443223 444223
 1.00 448925 448923 447922 445923 443925 442928 442929 441930
      442931 443931 444930 445929 446928 447927 448925
 1.00 414786 413779 411773 411761 410754 408752 406757 405764
      404770 402774 397784 390803 387815 383824 377832 370840
      346869 339875 336885 334890 334894 335895 340898 342902
      346904 344910 341919 341926 339930 336935 334941 335944
      338943 342942 346941 350937 364923 369915 371911 373906
      377896 380891 383888 387884 389880 395872 403853 407841
      409831 412805 414786
 1.00 341954 342952 341951 340952 339953 339954 338956 339957
      340956 341954 341954
 1.50 409794 408784 406781 403784 400791 399801 397809 393815
      391818 391824 390828 387831 381834 378840 376850 373857
      367871 364878 362882 362887 360895 356901 352908 349914
      349920 351923 348929 347931 348934 351931 354929 356925
      360918 364914 368907 370898 372889 376884 388875 392870
      395863 397854 399845 403829 405820 406810 409794
 2.00 394856 394851 392849 388846 383850 380854 377859 376866
      373873 372875 374880 379876 384873 387869 391865 394858
      394856

$$





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