Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 170903
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
402 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 17/1200 UTC THRU JAN 20/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE NORTHEAST...

THE FORMER COMPACT UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT THE MULTI-DAY ICE STORM
TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BE PROGRESSIVELY CROSSING THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND AS A SHEARING SHORTWAVE TROUGH ON
TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL BE DIGGING
IN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES IN ITS WAKE. THE COMBINATION OF BOTH
WILL ALLOW SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES AND INTO WESTERN NY...BEFORE SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE OFF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DEVELOPS AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT LOW CENTER
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. A SWATH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION
WILL CROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/NY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THIS PERIOD...INCLUDING A FAIRLY EXTENSIVE AXIS OF
FREEZING RAIN WHERE SHALLOW COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE.
HOWEVER...THERMAL PROFILES ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF NEW ENGLAND ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF A DEEPER COLD LAYER THAT WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL HERE. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR
MORE DETAILS ON THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.

FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC...WARM
ADVECTION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SOME GENERALLY LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE RAIN. HEAVIER RAINS
THOUGH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND BACK DOWN INTO
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND EASTERN TX WHERE MORE
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND SOME INSTABILITY WILL BE
POOLED ALONG THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT. THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT
DRAPED SOUTHWEST DOWN ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX/LA WILL STALL OUT AND
THE GUIDANCE SUPPORTS DEVELOPMENT OF A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG
IT BY LATE TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO AN ELONGATED
POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH AND CLOSED LOW BACK TOWARD THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THAT WILL ALLOW SOME WEAK
SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO EJECT DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND THEN INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE MODELS AGREE IN DEVELOPING A
BROAD AREA OF FAVORABLE RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS BY
LATER TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS WELL. THE RESULT SHOULD BE
THE FRONTAL ZONE BECOMING CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE WITH SOME
SLOW-MOVING AND HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST PW
VALUES SHOULD BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX AND WESTERN LA WITH A POOL OF
OVER 1.5 INCH PWS WITH THE AID OF A S/SW LOW LEVEL JET OF 30 TO 40
KTS IN OFF THE FAR WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE NON-NCEP MODELS
COLLECTIVELY ALONG WITH THE HIRES ARW/NMMB MODELS SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH POTENTIALLY 1 TO
2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ISOLATED TOTALS TO PERHAPS UP TO NEAR
3 INCHES GIVEN THE EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT AND POTENTIAL FOR SOME
TRAINING CONVECTION LOCALLY. SOME ISOLATED RUNOFF PROBLEMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS A RESULT. SOMEWHAT LIGHTER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
EXPECTED UP ALONG THE FRONT TOWARD THE TN VALLEY. WPC GENERALLY
FAVORED A CONSENSUS OF THE ECMWF/UKMET AND THE HIRES GUIDANCE FOR
QPF ACROSS THE TN/LOWER MS VALLEY REGION AND SOUTHEAST TX. FARTHER
NORTH TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND...MORE OF A GFS/ECMWF
CONSENSUS WAS FOLLOWED.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN INTO PARTS OF COASTAL WA AND ESPECIALLY THE
OLYMPIC PENINSULA ON TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION WITH THE DEEP LAYER
WARM ADVECTION PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WA CASCADES AS
WELL THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AND THEN GRADUALLY SPREADING SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE OR COAST AND INTO THE SOUTHERN WA/NORTHERN OR CASCADES
AND THE COASTAL RANGES. THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT
THIS IS JUST THE LEADING EDGE OF WHAT IS AN IMPRESSIVELY
LONG-FETCH ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT EXTENDS WELL SOUTHWEST ALL THE
WAY INTO THE TROPICAL WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS CONTINUES TO BE
CONFIRMED BY CIRA-LPW DATA AND AMSU 89 GHZ DATA. BY TUESDAY
NIGHT...MUCH STRONGER SOUTHWEST ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE AND ALONG WITH
CONSIDERABLY STRONGER MOISTURE FLUX AND PW ANOMALIES AS A RESULT.
A SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET OF 50 TO 70 KTS IS FORECAST TUESDAY
NIGHT JUST OFFSHORE WA/OR WHICH WILL FOSTER 850/700 MB MOISTURE
FLUX ANOMALIES OF 4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN...AND
PW VALUES OF 2 TO 2.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN. THIS
WILL RESULT IN HEAVY OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED RAINS FOR THE THE
WA/OR COASTAL RANGES AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA
WHERE AS MUCH AS 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME HEIGHTENED CONCERNS FOR RUNOFF
PROBLEMS. THE DEEP LAYER PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME SHOULD SETTLE AS
FAR SOUTH AS THE SOUTHWEST OR COASTAL RANGES AND EXTREME NORTHWEST
CA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE MULTI-DAY TREND HAS BEEN TO SLOW UP
THE ARRIVAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONDITIONS SOMEWHAT...BUT
REGARDLESS...THE GUIDANCE AGREES IN BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND
HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWFALL TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS PERIOD. ON
THE WINTER WEATHER FRONT...THE DEEP ATMOSPHERIC RIVER FETCH WILL
BE ENCOUNTERING A COLD DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN...AND THE MODELS SUPPORT A RATHER SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR REMAINING IN PLACE AS PRECIPITATION ARRIVES ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST. THE RESULT IS EXPECTED TO BE SOME LOCALLY
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COLUMBIA
RIVER GORGE AND ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTHERN OR/SOUTHERN WA AND
ACROSS EASTERN WA. PLEASE AGAIN CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE
DETAILS ON THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS. WPC QPF
GENERALLY LEANED TOWARD A CONSENSUS OF THE HIRES ARW/NNMB ALONG
WITH SOME OF THE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES/CALIFORNIA/SOUTHWEST...

WEDNESDAY SHOULD HAVE INTEGRATED 850-700 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT
PEAKING IN NORTHWEST CA AND ADJACENT SOUTHWEST OR...SLIDING SOUTH
AS WED PROGRESSES.  WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR AN INCH ON
COAST NORTHWEST CA...IMPRESSIVE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH THE
REGION... SEVERAL FACTORS SUPPORT HEAVY PRECIPITATION. THE MODELS
HAVE CONVERGED ON THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION INTO THE COASTAL
RANGES OF SOUTHWEST OREGON AND NORTHWEST CA. THIS REGION SHOULD
SEE AN ENHANCEMENT OF PRECIPITATION INTENSITY BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS AS IT MOVES ASHORE.
BY LATER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY THE SYSTEM BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND BEGINS TO LOSE SOME OF ITS ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
CHARACTERISTICS AS IT SHIFTS SOUTH THROUGH CA. THE MAIN PORTION OF
THE MOISTURE PLUME WILL SHIFT SOUTH ACROSS CA THROUGH THE DAY
WEDNESDAY IN TANDEM WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING EAST.

A SLIGHT RISK CONTINUES ON THE DAY 2 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK
(12Z WED-12Z THU) ACROSS THE FAVORED COASTAL RANGES OF NORTHWEST
CA AND SOUTHWEST OR...WHERE AN INCREASED DURATION OF THE ANOMALOUS
MOISTURE PLUME/LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR IMPRESSIVE
RAINFALL TOTALS IN AN AREA THAT HAS ALREADY BEEN ANOMALOUSLY WET
RECENTLY.  MODELS WERE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION
OF THIS SYSTEM...AND THUS WPC FOLLOWED A MULTI MODEL
BLEND/CONTINUITY FOR QPF AMOUNTS. PLEASE REFER TO THE QPFHSD FOR
THE RESULTANT IMPACTS ON SNOW AND ICING FORECASTS.

THE MODELS SHOW THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE UPPER JET STREAMING
ONSHORE INTO WA STATE AND OR...WITH FAVORABLE UPPER DIVERGENCE
MAXIMA COMING INTO EASTERN WA/OR AND IDAHO. STEADY TO HEAVY
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS DUE TO HIGH RH VALUES AND
PERSISTENT LIFT. MANUAL PROGS USED A MULTI-MODEL AND 21Z SREF MEAN
CONSENSUS.

ON THU...THE NEXT JET MAXIMA IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE
PACIFIC AND STREAM INTO SOUTHERN CA.
THIS EJECTS THE LEAD SHORTWAVE ACROSS SOUTHERN CA INTO THE
SOUTHWEST US...WITH PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.
THE 00Z UKMET AND ECMWF AMPLIFIED THE 700 MB WAVE CROSSING
ARIZONA...SO UP TO HALF AN INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT IS POSSIBLE IN
THE MOGOLLON RIM AS THE WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
THE UPPER DIFLUENT FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN CA SUPPORTS
CONTINUED SHOWERY CONDITIONS...WITH LIFT AIDED BY UPSLOPE FLOW IN
THE TERRAN ACROSS BOTH SOUTHERN CA SUCH AS THE SAN BERNARDINO
MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CA.

...SOUTHEAST TX/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST OUT OF TEXAS
INTO LA WEDNESDAY. EXPECT TO SEE INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH AS IT SLOWLY MOVES EAST...WHICH WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING MOISTURE. THE CURRENT MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR A
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED UPPER JET ACROSS EAST TEXAS ON
WED. INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW AND ASCENT IN THE JET ENTRANCE
REGION OVER COASTAL TEXAS AND LA SHOULD RESULT IN AN UPTICK IN
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THESE AREAS. THE EXPECTATION IS THAT
PERIODS OF CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING ALONG/NEAR THE BOUNDARY OVER
COASTAL TEXAS.
AS THE UPPER TROUGH EJECTS EAST ON THU THE FAVORABLE UPPER
DIVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION AND CONVERGENCE MOVES
EAST ACROSS EASTERN LA INTO MS AND AL. UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THU NIGHT AIDS IN A SECONDARY MAXIMA THERE.

THE DAY 2 QPF (12Z WED-12Z THU) MODEL PREFERENCE WAS TOWARDS THE
12Z-00Z ECMWF/UKMET/00Z GFS.
GIVEN THE TRAINING POTENTIAL IN THE LOW DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT...A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS INDICATED
DAY 3. WITH HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE...RELATIVELY DRY ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS WARRANT JUST A MARGINAL RISK IS INDICATED AT THIS TIME.
EXPECT A SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EASTERN LA EAST INTO
PORTIONS OF MS/AL/FL PANHANDLE ON DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI).  AGAIN
PREFERRED A ECMWF/UKMET/GFS/NAM BLEND.  WITH 2-3 INCHES FORECAST
BY A FEW OF THE MODELS...A DAY 3 MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WAS INDICATED.

THE UPPER JET CONTINUES NORTH OUT OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH
UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMA CROSSING INTO THE TN VALLEY AND OHIO
VALLEY...SUPPORTING NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF THE AREA OF
SHOWER/POTENTIAL EMBEDDED STORMS. TIMING AND PHASING DIFFERENCES
IN THE UPPER JET AND DIFFERENCES IN INSTABILITY ARE REFLECTED IN
HOW FAR NORTH THE RAINFALL PROGRESSES. A CONSENSUS BASED APPROACH
WAS USED TO RESOLVE DIFFERENCES.

...SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...

A SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
BY WEDNESDAY. A BAND OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND MOISTURE
WRAPPING AROUND THE FORMING CIRCULATION CENTER OFF THE COAST LEADS
TO LIGHT DAY 2 PRECIP CENTERED ON CAPE COD MA.  WITH THE CYCLONE
DEPARTING AND THE MOISTURE RETREATING WITH IT...AMOUNTS SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT. THERE IS NOW PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST
NAM/GFS/ECMWF...WITH THE WPC FORECAST REMAINING A MULTI MODEL
CONSENSUS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORRISON/PETERSEN

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 417312 423306 430300 435294 442290 450288 457286 466286
      476290 483294 488298 490302 494311 496315 500318 501318
      525255 522249 520244 517238 515232 513224 511218 510214
      510209 512207 515207 517212 521218 523221 527224 530229
      533230 541203 541195 540191 534182 532173 529167 522161
      518159 515155 503146 497141 494137 490134 484133 477136
      474136 475139 479140 482140 482144 476147 468146 463146
      460148 455154 446168 441174 433177 426175 424177 423181
      418187 415191 410192 408194 407199 408206 415212 415215
      412215 407214 400210 398212 398215 402217 403222 399224
      395225 391226 389228 385235 384241 384245 387256 390263
      391266 391272 388277 386287 382299
 0.01 468741 467727 465717 464712 462706 458699 447684 435673
      431667 428663 425662 414653 412651 408652 401651 395651
      389655 384657 381659 373662 361671 353677 345682 341686
      339690 337698 333712 329729 326744 324752 320757 314763
      310769 309771 310775 313779 315781 314786 311790 308795
      308799 312798 314796 319789 323784 327779 334768 339762
      343757 345754 348754 347758 348765 348786 348796 349805
      351810 350816 349821 349827 348831 345835 339844 334856
      331863 330865 330870 325885 324897 321905 317912 313918
      309924 305930 299937 291940 284947 278951 269960 265966
      263970 262974 263981 268986 266999 269009 269013 270017
      283024 286027 290029 293031 296035 296046 299057 299061
      300064 300067 303069 312077 316078 321080 325085 329092
      332099 337102 338106 339109 342111 344109 345104 344096
      336080 336073 336069 339058 342050 344041 348035 350032
      351026 355011 353004 349996 347993 348989 353985 355982
      355976 355971 354967 344966 341962 343956 345947 345940
      346934 349928 349918 350910 350899 351890 354883 363869
      367861 372857 384848 388846 392847 395850 396854 399858
      402859 406857 408855 411855 425880 428884 432890 436890
      437896 439899 443899 446899 448901 450906 453906 459902
      461899 462896 464891 466885 466873 467868 467860 467844
      466834 464826 465817 464804 464793 465782 466774 467767
      466764 468751 468741
 0.25 524262 521255 518248 513231 507219 501207 499201 497193
      502189 508191 513194 518198 522204 526208 530209 532207
      534205 534199 533190 529181 526175 524171 519166 513165
      507161 501159 494160 485158 480158 475160 470162 466167
      465173 463175 457177 455179 454182 455186 461185 465183
      474191 474197 472200 468205 464206 461203 459203 456206
      452210 447213 442214 437216 427221 426231 425232 422231
      416227 412226 407229 404234 397247 396254 397258 398265
      399272 398281 397289 400296 405300 411299 424292 442283
      452277 459275 464274 471275 478277 490283 500292 510298
 0.25 487231 487230 485228 483229 483230 484232 485233 487231
      487231
 0.25 451190 452188 453186 452183 451183 450182 449182 448182
      446183 445184 444186 444189 445191 447192 449192 451191
      451190
 0.25 455747 455740 454735 449726 447710 443702 436696 427686
      423685 419686 411685 403687 399691 395699 394709 391717
      393725 394736 395740 397744 401751 403760 407778 403785
      400791 397798 395803 398805 403810 408815 413821 419826
      422828 426829 430833 437836 442834 445831 452818 453808
      452793 451781 450775 451772 453765 453757 455747
 0.25 379679 377673 374671 370671 365674 360678 345698 342704
      340711 338725 339738 333748 330753 328757 327760 328762
      332762 335758 342746 344741 345735 346730 347727 350728
      352731 352734 356734 359739 360750 363756 365759 368758
      374756 376753 377748 375739 375731 374723 375714 378700
      379688 379679
 0.25 381811 381807 378806 373808 363816 351831 346842 344857
      341869 337878 332888 326900 322911 318920 312929 308934
      304937 297943 290950 283957 279963 277969 277974 279980
      280986 279993 280999 282004 286009 291009 304995 309992
      312989 317985 321980 325970 329960 333949 338936 342924
      343912 344897 348884 352873 357863 362855 365848 366842
      371831 376822 381811
 0.25 334040 334034 332031 328028 326027 322029 320033 319037
      317042 316046 321048 325049 329046 332045 334040
 0.50 522264 510230 507221 501212 496207 490203 486201 481199
      475204 469209 464209 461207 459207 457210 450215 444215
      440217 438219 434221 432224 432233 427236 419233 415231
      412232 409235 406241 403247 402252 403257 405265 405277
      407281 409284 416287 422286 431283 442276 448273 456269
      462268 470268 478271 487275 494280 499284 503287 507289
      513289
 0.50 529199 530192 529188 526180 523173 517172 512172 509171
      505170 501170 500173 501177 503180 508185 515189 519194
      524200 527202 529199
 0.50 488231 487228 485227 484226 482225 480225 480226 480228
      480229 482230 482232 483233 484234 486233 486232 488231
 0.50 494174 494171 494168 492169 491169 489169 487169 486171
      487174 487175 488175 490175 491175 492175 493175 494174
 0.50 461180 462178 461177 459178 457179 456182 457183 458182
      459182 461181 461180
 0.50 446795 443769 441763 440755 442750 441742 436731 435720
      435711 432705 429701 425700 419701 414705 412709 411712
      413714 417716 420722 421730 421734 419734 415737 415742
      417748 417752 416757 417760 420767 420775 418780 413790
      412795 414800 422807 425810 430811 434808 441807 445804
      446797 446795
 0.50 414729 413727 412727 412725 410723 408722 407722 406724
      405725 404727 405728 406729 407731 408732 410732 410733
      411733 412732 413731 414729
 0.50 375687 374683 373681 371679 368678 365681 363683 362686
      360689 360691 361695 363695 366696 368696 370695 373692
      375690 375687
 0.50 369822 366820 363823 354830 351833 350838 348849 345859
      343873 341879 339883 335891 331900 330907 327912 323920
      317927 312934 304942 290953 285960 283966 284971 287974
      287980 284991 284998 286004 291004 295999 299992 306988
      319971 327954 332944 336933 339923 340916 339910 340903
      342892 346884 351870 354860 360850 363840 365829 367826
      367822 369822
 1.00 516264 517258 515254 513245 511237 507229 504223 499214
      494210 488207 484205 480206 474208 472211 468212 462211
      456215 449218 442219 440222 441225 447231 442233 436237
      431239 423237 417236 414238 411246 412254 413263 418271
      421273 425274 431273 454262 461260 468260 476261 483265
      489270 495276 501280 505278 516264
 1.00 489234 489231 489229 489227 488226 487225 486224 484223
      483222 481222 479223 478225 478228 480230 481231 481233
      482234 482236 484237 485235 486235 488234 489234
 1.00 334928 335923 332919 327924 319932 309941 299949 295954
      294960 297966 299970 303971 305969 309966 311969 314968
      317964 325952 330940 334928
 1.50 509254 510249 510245 509238 504227 499217 496213 492212
      487209 481208 476209 473214 464215 456217 451220 447220
      445221 444224 446226 449227 465226 468225 472226 469231
      463231 459232 455232 446234 442235 438238 435242 431242
      428240 423238 419239 417242 417246 420257 425261 431264
      435264 440262 447258 455255 461253 466253 476255 479256
      484260 491268 496273 500275 503273 504264 500256 495245
      491239 489237 486238 482238 480233 477228 474226 475221
      479220 486222 490227 491232 493237 498245 505252 509254
 1.50 330932 329929 326931 321935 316939 310943 305949 303951
      303956 309956 313956 313960 315959 317956 321951 325944
      328937 330932
 2.00 508246 507237 503231 500222 495216 489212 485210 481210
      478212 478216 486220 489221 491224 493233 497240 502246
      505248 508247 508246
 2.00 501269 501263 499259 496252 492244 491241 487240 484241
      481238 478231 474230 470232 468233 464232 450234 443237
      441238 440240 441250 447251 460247 468247 475248 479250
      482253 487259 492266 498271 501269
 2.00 464224 465221 464219 463217 461217 460218 459218 457218
      456218 455219 455221 455222 457224 458225 460225 462225
      464224 464224
 2.00 449222 448221 447221 446221 448223 449222
 2.00 430248 429245 427242 426241 424241 422240 421240 420240
      420242 421243 422244 423245 425246 426248 428249 430248
 3.00 501238 501235 501233 500231 500230 499227 498224 497224
      496221 495221 493222 493225 493227 493229 494230 495233
      496235 497237 499238 501238
 3.00 495262 496260 495257 495255 495254 494252 493251 492249
      491248 491247 490245 488244 486245 486246 486248 487251
      488254 489254 490256 490258 491259 492261 494262 495262
 3.00 486215 485215 484213 483214 484215 485215 486215
 3.00 479238 478236 478234 476232 475232 474232 472234 472236
      473239 473240 475241 476241 478241 479239 479238

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 420637 424645 427657 436670 442680 449685 451682 452677
      454673 457669 462663 469656 481646 485643 488642 490644
      491650 493656 496669 498674 501676 503690 504697 503702
      504710 503715 503725 502739 500744 498748 495751 490752
      478755 471753 469752 467753 464756 457760 455762 452766
      446773 442776 438778 430798 427806 424810 421813 416818
      414817 410817 404818 400820 389822 383822 379821 370817
      369814 371810 376803 386792 401780 405781 409783 413784
      416785 417783 421781 421774 414770 410770 408766 407757
      409745 408737 409731 409726 407722 403720 401713 399709
      396708 391707 387708 382710 380714 380723 379747 379760
      374770 368775 363780 353782 350785 347785 339782 336780
      335776 333775 325780 322781 319780 318774 317762 317753
      318744 321735 328716 335699 337690 340680
 0.01 343274 352276 356277 360276 368278 372278 375280 392289
      412296 430302 433303 436302 445305 450306 454306 462308
      471323 477320 482316 487311 492306 504296 514280 518273
      521264 527244 528217 533210 536201 536195 536188 532181
      528175 524168 519162 513156 499144 489132 483129 475129
      467134 460137 454141 451142 446140 444138 444133 446123
      445119 443115 438115 423122 418123 413121 408120 404118
      397119 393124 387127 382128 379128 370127 362131 356135
      351143 348152 346156 344158 329161 324160 320162 315168
      308188 306190 306196 306200 306205 305209 306213 309218
      312223 315226 321231 322236 323240 323247 323252 325257
      329263
 0.01 382181 381180 379180 378179 376179 374178 372178 371178
      370178 370179 372180 374180 375182 376182 377182 379182
      381183 382181
 0.01 385893 385884 385876 383870 382863 379856 375850 372844
      368840 363836 359836 356837 355834 355830 353828 344834
      336845 333849 328852 325856 328859 332864 329870 319878
      313879 308881 303884 300888 295892 291897 288902 284908
      279917 275920 270922 258928 254933 252937 252945 250951
      246961 242977 242994 244999 246003 251006 256007 273007
      275006 279006 287006 298003 300000 304994 311983 317973
      323963 327960 332956 338952 344950 349947 354943 362936
      368929 372924 376918 379912 382905 384899 385893
 0.25 530202 531196 531192 526185 516176 502164 497158 494154
      492150 488143 483140 484144 482148 476149 469147 465145
      461146 457150 454151 452151 447149 441144 437139 433136
      430137 425141 422162 420168 418170 413179 413188 415191
      418194 420197 418199 413201 400202 385192 373184 366180
      359178 355180 351182 348185 345181 342178 338179 335187
      332197 333206 336212 338219 340229 344237 350243 356248
      366259 377268 385273 395277 412276 426276 440277 457278
      468281 476286 484288 491289 498289 503285 508278 514270
      516259 517252 517246 512229 507214 503205 502200 504197
      512199 516200 520204 522207 526207 530202
 0.25 487233 487231 487230 485228 484228 482229 482232 483234
      483235 484235 485235 486234 487233
 0.25 472203 472199 471197 467195 464195 462196 460197 458199
      460200 463202 464204 467207 468207 470205 472203
 0.25 456204 456203 454202 452203 451205 450205 452207 454207
      455206 456205 456204
 0.25 446211 447209 446206 442203 439201 434199 429198 424198
      428200 431204 434207 438209 441208 444208 446211 446211
 0.25 428700 427692 426684 423668 418657 416652 412648 408648
      405651 404659 401662 398665 395670 400679 407688 411699
      414704 418705 424705 428700
 0.25 383671 381669 377668 368669 361673 355679 351686 347694
      344701 342711 338727 341735 343739 347741 353744 355744
      359741 363735 367726 373711 378693 383676 383671
 0.25 368896 367887 365884 362883 356881 351883 345886 340891
      334894 319901 312903 305907 293916 283925 272937 264947
      261954 259958 259962 262969 265975 270981 277985 284984
      291982 298977 303973 325954 335945 341940 347934 355923
      360916 364908 366902 368896
 0.50 512268 514255 514243 508227 504215 501212 496208 493207
      490203 490196 492188 495179 495175 494170 490162 485158
      480156 475156 473156 469152 466149 462149 457160 455161
      453160 451156 445151 439146 436144 431144 429147 428155
      425167 426172 428176 434186 439191 446194 450195 453193
      460191 467189 470191 474194 476200 474204 472209 467210
      462208 460207 457210 450214 444214 418214 415211 410209
      403206 389197 374186 364182 358181 356183 356187 362192
      365194 367198 365202 361203 354203 350201 348196 346191
      345190 342190 339196 342201 346209 348216 350225 354231
      360237 362241 364245 370254 375260 383267 391269 399270
      413268 423268 432266 446258 452256 459254 463254 467257
      472262 479269 488274 493277 496280 500282 503280 507272
      510269 512268
 0.50 488236 489234 489231 489229 489228 487226 486225 484223
      482223 481224 481225 480226 480228 480229 481231 481233
      482234 482236 484237 486237 487236 488236
 0.50 417669 417667 416665 416662 414660 413661 412662 410662
      410664 409666 409667 409669 410670 410671 412672 413673
      414673 416673 416672 417670 417669
 0.50 372683 370682 366682 361686 357693 354699 352706 350716
      351720 354723 360722 364715 367708 369701 371693 372684
      372683
 0.50 357905 358901 356897 353894 346895 342899 337903 332905
      325908 319909 307913 302916 297920 288927 284931 279937
      274945 270950 269955 269960 270966 272972 276976 280976
      282974 286972 291973 297970 301966 320952 328944 337936
      345928 352916 357905
 1.00 508243 507232 504223 502218 499214 491210 483206 477210
      473216 477219 483220 487222 490227 493235 495240 498243
      503245 507245 508243
 1.00 502270 503266 502262 500257 495248 490242 485240 482238
      481235 478228 475225 470228 467230 466229 466225 469220
      470218 468215 462212 458214 453217 453223 448218 441219
      437222 429230 425230 419228 416225 416218 413214 405211
      396203 387198 379192 368186 364186 363188 367192 380208
      381210 381214 376218 365216 361213 357214 359219 363222
      370232 372237 376242 382250 388257 393261 399263 412262
      421261 429258 438253 448249 457245 461243 465243 469244
      473246 478248 484251 488257 493267 494270 498273 502270
 1.00 484186 485179 485174 484166 481164 478165 474168 472171
      472176 473181 475185 478189 483189 484186
 1.00 469170 470168 470165 469164 468162 466162 466164 466165
      466167 467169 467170 469170 469170
 1.00 463178 462174 458175 454174 453169 451164 447160 442154
      439151 436151 433154 434159 436170 442178 449179 452178
      454181 456184 460183 463178
 1.00 341919 339914 330914 323915 317918 312922 306925 301927
      295931 292935 289938 289943 289952 294958 298958 305955
      315947 325939 334931 337927 341921 341919
 1.50 497265 498260 497257 497255 495252 493248 491246 490244
      486243 485244 484246 486248 488252 489255 491258 492260
      494263 496265 497265
 1.50 502236 502228 501222 500219 497216 494215 491213 489211
      486211 484213 485217 488220 491223 492228 493233 496237
      501238 502236
 1.50 480244 481242 481239 480238 480236 479234 479233 478231
      477230 476229 475229 474229 473231 472231 471233 470236
      471238 472239 473241 473242 475243 476244 478244 479244
      480244
 1.50 466237 465235 464235 463236 463237 465238 466237
 1.50 464221 464219 464218 463216 463215 461215 459217 458217
      457217 456219 456221 457222 458224 459225 460225 461225
      462225 464224 464223 464221
 1.50 452240 451237 449236 444235 434236 423232 418230 415227
      415224 414219 411216 405213 400209 393204 387203 385205
      386208 389213 392216 396220 394223 393223 384221 380225
      379229 381234 383239 389248 396254 402257 409258 426254
      443245 452240
 1.50 384200 382197 381196 379195 377194 376193 375193 375195
      375196 377197 378199 380201 382202 384201 384200
 1.50 336921 330919 320922 315928 312931 309932 306932 303933
      305935 304938 304945 305947 310945 316941 323936 329930
      334923 336921
 2.00 494259 495257 495256 494254 494252 493251 492250 491250
      490250 491253 492254 492256 493257 494259 494259
 2.00 498234 499232 500230 500227 500224 499223 499222 498219
      497218 495219 493220 493222 493225 493227 493229 494230
      495232 496233 496234 498235 498234
 2.00 479241 479238 479237 479236 478233 476231 474232 473234
      473236 473238 474239 475241 476242 478241 479241
 2.00 462223 463221 463218 461219 460220 459222 460223 462224
      462223
 2.00 443240 442238 440238 440239 440241 442241 443240
 2.00 431246 431242 429239 423234 416230 414226 414222 412219
      409218 406218 403216 399210 392206 391209 393212 395215
      399218 401219 402222 400225 398227 390227 386227 384230
      386236 391243 395248 404252 409253 417252 430248 431246
 2.00 321932 322930 321929 319930 317932 317934 319934 321933
      321932
 3.00 426242 423236 418235 413234 409234 407235 404235 398235
      396238 397241 398244 402245 406241 408240 412241 416244
      422245 426242

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 343274 352277 360278 372277 383276 395281 414291 427296
      442301 450304 457305 465307 471307 476307 481305 485303
      489300 498292 508293 512279 517265 520256 518245 516237
      513231 502209 494201 491196 490194 492192 506195 519200
      524204 528206 531209 533207 535202 536196 536191 535187
      532184 528179 524174 509157 494140 490135 487134 482132
      477133 473133 470135 472138 477142 479145 477147 472147
      468143 467139 468134 468124 469115 471108 472103 470101
      471093 467089 463084 459084 457086 453100 455104 454107
      450106 448103 437100 433097 429092 427094 430099 427104
      421105 419106 416105 413099 414089 412087 410085 411082
      412075 408070 400062 390056 388054 385053 377052 371052
      366052 359060 356062 353061 348059 345057 342056 339058
      338063 338071 335074 331075 313086 304093 301097 299102
      300107 299115 302127 304133 310139 314142 320145 324146
      330149 334152 336157 328156 322154 318154 313155 309158
      307164 309171 311176 319188 323193 327198 333206 334210
      332215 330220 323226 320229 319233 320240 330258 333262
      335266 342273
 0.01 496693 494674 492667 490659 488651 486643 484637 483631
      475633 471637 469638 466635 464632 459629 455633 448640
      444645 442650 441656 442664 439677 439686 438692 439698
      444698 449701 448707 446713 446717 445720 444726 446729
      452730 457729 459727 462726 468724 475722 478722 479719
      484717 486715 489714 492709 495704 496693
 0.01 483191 480189 477188 472186 467184 463185 456190 452193
      448195 443196 439195 436192 434193 432194 432198 440204
      452207 462207 467205 470203 477197 483191
 0.01 448094 449087 447082 444081 441079 438076 434073 429073
      428077 428084 431087 435088 438091 441093 447094 448094
 0.01 441760 441757 440755 439753 438750 436750 435751 434751
      433754 433756 433759 434761 436763 438763 439763 439762
      441760 441760
 0.01 447908 446894 443882 440874 437865 433857 430848 424834
      414816 409810 408807 405803 400797 395792 390788 383786
      373785 362787 355789 345791 335793 329795 322799 316804
      304816 294827 272846 264862 260868 258877 256885 256893
      258897 258901 255909 249917 246925 242931 237938 235946
      235951 236953 237958 239962 241968 246976 248980 251982
      257986 262987 265988 270988 272987 279985 290977 297970
      303964 315955 326947 332943 338939 351927 360925 368923
      371921 375920 379918 383918 387919 391921 396925 405931
      412935 424942 428942 430940 435935 439929 443921 447908
 0.01 408192 403186 399183 395182 388179 382176 377170 372170
      370172 368175 371178 376182 382187 387188 389191 391193
      395194 401192 406193 408192
 0.01 404098 403095 401096 400097 400099 401101 402100 402099
      404098
 0.25 514266 516259 516251 513243 506229 500217 496212 492210
      488210 479209 477212 476218 473219 469219 463215 458217
      454221 441223 433226 429225 427228 424230 420230 417227
      417223 417215 414210 412209 404206 399204 391199 384194
      372186 366183 361181 355184 353186 353188 356192 361194
      364196 367199 367202 364204 360203 357202 351197 349190
      347176 346171 343166 340164 335163 328161 322161 320163
      319166 321172 324178 329183 340195 343201 345209 350221
      351229 353236 358244 363250 367253 374258 382261 388264
      395267 403269 412269 420269 433270 446270 458269 473267
      479267 485270 496278 502279 506274 511271 514266
 0.25 507177 507176 505175 504174 504173 503173 502174 500173
      500175 500176 502177 503178 503179 505179 506179 507177
 0.25 417137 418131 418126 415120 410117 403115 398113 394113
      388114 382116 376112 375108 373106 369105 367107 365114
      362116 358115 353113 351111 348106 342096 337094 332094
      327096 322098 318103 316112 315116 315121 318126 324129
      329130 332132 335137 344144 347148 351150 354151 358149
      365149 372151 383159 393155 399152 404155 406157 410157
      413153 412141 417137
 0.25 423879 424873 423867 420860 414851 407843 401834 397828
      393823 384816 364810 350807 347807 344809 339812 329816
      320822 311831 302838 298841 294845 288854 282865 279871
      277877 276882 275889 272900 266913 264917 263925 263940
      262946 262954 265960 271964 277962 281959 290953 298947
      317934 326927 335922 356910 361907 367905 376901 389895
      393895 399896 409898 414898 418894 422886 423879
 0.25 393142 393138 392135 392133 393130 391128 387128 385129
      383131 382135 382140 384142 386144 389144 391144 393142
 0.50 513261 514255 512250 509244 506239 503233 499222 497219
      494218 492221 492227 493236 498242 499247 497245 493244
      489242 483245 480236 479232 475231 467237 462235 457234
      448237 435240 422236 416234 415228 414221 414217 412214
      390201 384198 379194 370188 362184 360186 362188 366192
      371196 376205 375211 369214 363216 361218 360222 366233
      372243 379250 386254 392258 398260 404261 427264 442264
      453263 457261 462257 465254 470252 482248 488259 491263
      496268 501271 503268 504262 504260 506261 509263 513261
 0.50 489218 488218 487217 486218 486220 488219 489218
 0.50 406871 403858 398848 393840 388833 379828 371826 356819
      348818 343821 336826 329831 321835 304846 300848 297851
      292858 282898 278910 275918 272929 271939 274945 279947
      288944 295940 303936 318924 332915 349905 365897 375891
      383887 392885 400881 404876 406871
 0.50 373138 373136 372134 373132 371131 369133 367135 365135
      363137 363139 364141 365141 366142 368142 370141 371140
      372140 373138
 0.50 355140 356135 355131 353128 349124 347118 344109 341104
      338101 328104 323105 322110 325115 329113 334115 338118
      341122 344127 346138 349142 353142 355140
 0.50 343184 344178 344173 341169 337167 332164 329163 325165
      324169 326172 329175 332178 335182 338185 342186 343184
 1.00 421252 422249 421246 418244 410242 406234 402231 399229
      391225 386224 382224 378227 378233 383240 389246 397251
      406253 417254 421252
 1.00 411226 411223 409222 409223 407224 406224 406227 407228
      408228 409227 410227 411226
 1.00 400213 399211 398210 397209 395208 393207 392209 393210
      394212 395212 396213 398214 400213 400213
 1.00 391865 390860 387856 385854 382855 375858 369854 363848
      357843 355841 352837 349836 345838 333848 318854 309856
      306856 303858 299865 297867 297872 297879 299883 301885
      302890 298895 293900 290904 288909 288914 288918 283924
      283931 285935 291936 298933 310924 333906 341900 346895
      357885 360882 361877 362873 364869 369864 373863 376864
      381868 386870 391867 391865
 1.50 400244 399241 398239 396236 395234 393232 390232 388232
      387235 389237 391239 393242 395243 398244 400244
 1.50 349873 348870 346870 344870 344871 343873 343874 343875
      345877 347876 348875 348874 349873
 1.50 342886 341877 336878 330883 325885 318888 313892 302898
      293906 291909 292912 295918 292926 297926 308920 319912
      324908 327902 331898 336893 340890 342886
 2.00 332891 329891 327891 324893 321894 318895 316896 314898
      312901 315902 319902 322900 324898 326896 327894 329892
      332891

$$





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