Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 132151
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
550 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 14/0000 UTC THRU APR 17/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

18Z UPDATE...
MAIN ADJUSTMENTS WERE PRIMARILY FIRST PERIOD BASED ON HRRR AND
SATL/RADAR TRENDS ACRS THE MIDWEST SWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY INTO PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES

A WIDESPREAD HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT WILL CONTINUE DAY 1 ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY INITIALLY STRETCHING FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS--INTO THE MID MS VALLEY---NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT LAKES---REACHING A POSITION FROM THE LOWER MS
VALLEY--INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION BY
THE END OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD.  PW VALUES IN THE VICINITY OF THIS
FRONT WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE AVERAGE---2+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE THE MEAN---THROUGH THE PERIOD.  HEAVY PRECIPITATION MAY BE
FOCUSED IN TWO REGIONS DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD.  ONE FROM THE MID
MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES WHERE A SURFACE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK AHEAD OF THE AREA OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTING NORTHEASTWARD
THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS---PARALLEL TO THE FRONT
ACROSS THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
CONVECTION IS ALREADY ENHANCING IN RESPONSE TO THE BACKING OF THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW TO AN INCREASINGLY SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION
INTO THE FRONTAL ZONE AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED NORTHEASTWARD
EJECTING HEIGHT FALLS. THIS STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL INFLOW---VERY
FAVORABLE COUPLED JET DYNAMICS ACROSS THIS REGION IN THE ABOVE
AVERAGE PW AXIS WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS.
  THE QPF AXES AMONG THE LATEST HI RES---SREF AND OPERATIONAL
GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ACROSS THESE AREAS--WITH
AREAL AVERAGE 1-2"+ AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

THE SECOND MAX PRECIPITATION AREA WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE ELONGATED FRONTAL ZONE FROM EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  THIS IS AHEAD OF THE
STRONGER AREA OF HEIGHT FALLS ROTATING INTO THE BASE OF THE MEAN
TROF ACROSS THE CENTRAL US TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.  THERE ARE MORE
DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO QPF DETAILS AMONG THE LATEST GUIDANCE
ALONG THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT THAN FARTHER TO THE
NORTH---LEADING TO LOWER CONFIDENCE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND
THE SUBSEQUENT DOWNSTREAM PUSH.  HOWEVER---CONFIDENCE HIGHER WITH
OVERALL POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ROCKIES/LEE OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ROCKIES

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE SCALE UVVS AHEAD OF THE STRONG HEIGHT
FALLS DIVING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES THIS EVENING INTO EARLY MONDAY AND POST FRONTAL UPSLOPE
FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG FRONT SURGING SOUTH IN THE LEE OF
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL SUPPORT A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND  ACCUMULATING SNOW POTENTIAL FROM NORTHEAST
NM---NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN CO AND FAR WESTERN KS.  SEE THE
LATEST QPFHSD FOR FURTHER WINTER WEATHER DETAILS.


DAY 2/3...


...GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY STREAMING NORTHWARD
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON DAYS 2
AND 3. ON DAY 2...THE 12Z NAM APPEARED TO BE TOO SLOW WITH ITS
SURFACE FRONT AND LONG WAVE TROUGH...WHILE THE 12Z GFS SEEMED TO
BE TOO FAST. THE 12Z ECMWF WAS SOMEWHERE IN THE MIDDLE...AND WAS
USED AS A BASIS FOR THE DAY 2 QPF. ON DAY 3...THE 12Z NAM SPEEDS
UP ITS SOLUTION AND GETS CLOSER TO THE CONSISTENT 12Z ECMWF (EVEN
THE 12Z GFS APPEARS MORE USABLE ON DAY 3). THE QPF ON DAY 3 WAS
BASED MORE ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND...STILL MORE HEAVILY WEIGHTED
TOWARD THE 12Z ECMWF.

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH SPANNING THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES STARTS TO
TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT DURING DAY 2 AS IT APPROACHES THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES. AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...A 35 TO 50 KNOT
LOW LEVEL FLOW (BASED AT 850 MB) TRANSPORTS PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES INTO NEW ENGLAND...AND AS HIGH AS 1.75
INCHES INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST STATES (BOTH VALUES ARE
ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL). THE BEST INSTABILITY
REMAINS CLOSER TO THE EASTERN GULF COAST STATES...SUPPORTING
CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTHEAST
STATES. THE CONVECTION SHOULD SUPPORT A SWATH OF 1.50 TO 2.25
INCHES OF QPF STRETCHING FROM NORTHERN GA INTO THE FL PANHANDLE.
THESE QPF VALUES ARE GENERALLY BELOW THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE NUMBERS (WHICH ARE CLOSER TO 3 TO 4 INCHES)...AND WHILE
THERE MAY BE SOME LOCAL FLOODING ISSUES...ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING
IS NOT EXPECTED.

FURTHER NORTH INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...THE INSTABILITY IS
NOT AS ROBUST...AND STARTS BECOMING ELEVATED INTO PORTION OF PA
AND NJ. THE MOISTURE FEED IS IMPRESSIVE...AND THE AREAS OF SHOWERS
(AND EMBEDDED THUNDER) SHOULD MOVE NORTH AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
A LARGE AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
EASTERN OHIO VALLEY...PA...NJ...WV...MD INTO VA AND NC. FOR THE
MOST PART...THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE GENERALLY
GREATER THAN 1.50 INCHES (BUT A BIT LOWER ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN WV. AND CENTRAL PA). THE OVERALL SYSTEM SHOULD BE
PROGRESSIVE...AND WHILE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...ORGANIZED
FLASH FLOODING IS NOT.

FINALLY...THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LOW LEVEL JET DRIVES INTO
NEW ENGLAND DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON TUE. MOST OF THE
INSTABILITY WILL HAVE BEEN FORCED ALOFT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
ENCOUNTERS COOLER DENSE AIR CLOSER TO THE SURFACE. ON THE NOSE OF
THE 45 TO 55 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR
1.25 INCHES WILL FEED BANDS OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION
ACROSS NY STATE AND NEW ENGLAND. THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
EXPECTED AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE RIDING UP THE FRONT OF THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. IN THIS AXIS...1.00 TO
1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS EASTERN NY STATE AND A
PORTION OF WESTERN VT. THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS
IN THESE AREAS ARE AS LOW AS AN INCH...AND RAINFALL RATES COULD
EXCEED THESE VALUES. BECAUSE OF THE LOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS...AN SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS PLACED OVER EASTERN NY STATE AND
MUCH OF VT.

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE MID
ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTS DURING DAY 3. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
FRONT...THE HIGH MOISTURE AIR CONTINUES TO STREAM
NORTHWARD...CROSSING EASTERN MA AND EASTERN ME DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF THE DAY. AGAIN...ANY INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ELEVATED...AS A
SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPS ON THE FRONT AND STARTS SHUTTING OFF THE
PSEUDO WARM SECTOR. THE HEAVIEST QPF (0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES) WAS
PLACED ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...WHICH WAS STRETCHED INTO
EASTERN MA AND EASTERN ME.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

A SHORT WAVE CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY ON DAY 3 WILL
SPIN UP A SURFACE LOW ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE SURFACE FLOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR LIFT AND QPF ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT LAKES. THERE ARE SOME TIMING
ISSUES WITH RESPECT TO THE TIMING OF THE SHORT WAVE AND TRACK OF
THE SURFACE LOW...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND...IN
AN ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES.

THE SHORT WAVE SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT TO  HELP
INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING FROM
EASTERN MT INTO NORTHERN IA. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A
DEVELOPING 45 TO 55 KNOT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL RIDE UP AND OVER THE
WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SD/IA INTO SOUTHERN MN DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. IN FACT...THERE IS A MODEL SIGNAL THAT
A TROWAL STARTS DEVELOPING ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION...RESULTING IN A SWATH OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
STRETCHED ACROSS CENTRAL MN INTO NORTHWEST WI AND THE UP OF MI.
THIS AREA IS EMBEDDED IN A LARGER AREA OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF
QPF ACROSS EASTERN MN INTO MUCH OF ND AND SOUTHERN MN.


...GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

A SHORT WAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM COMING ASHORE IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WILL CROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WIT THE
TRACK AND TIMING OF THE SHORT WAVE...SO THE QPF WAS BASED ON A
MULTI MODEL BLEND.

AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A DEVELOPING 20 TO 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET
ACROSS NM AND WEST TX WILL FEED 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR INTO THE REGION. THE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IN THE LEFT
FRONT QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK IS EXPECTED TO BE AUGMENTED
BY STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES (BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.5
C/KM)...MAKING THE MOST OF THE MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE COLUMN.
THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE PRECIPITATION FAVORS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FOR QPF MAXIMA...AND 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES QPF AMOUNTS WERE
STRUNG ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NV...THE WASATCH RANGE IN UT
AND THE ROCKIES OF CO. A FEW LOCAL 0.30 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN OF THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN PLAINS...

A PAIR OF SHORT WAVES CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT LIFT FOR QPF ACROSS THE
REGION ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE ARE SOME ISSUES WITH RESPECT TO THE
TIMING OF THE SHORT WAVES...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 2...SO THE QPF WAS
BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND...IN AN ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF
THE DIFFERENCES.

THE FIRST SHORT WAVE CROSSES VANCOUVER ISLAND...SKIMS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST BEFORE CROSSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES LATE ON DAY 2.
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS PROVIDED IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 90
KNOT JET STREAK...WITH THE BEST COMBINATION OF LIFT AND MOISTURE
EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES LATE. A LOW LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW
PROVIDED 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...WITH 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF PLACED ACROSS WESTERN
WA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE CASCADES. THE MOISTURE
SOURCE IS NOT AS ROBUST ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...BUT THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS BETTER. LOCAL UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD HELP
FOCUS THE MOISTURE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND SWATHS OF 0.10 TO
0.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED FROM THE BITTERROOTS OF ID AND
THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN MT.

THE SECOND SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE COAST OVER OR BEFORE TRACKING
INTO THE GREAT BASIN. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
BRINGS ANOTHER SHOT OF 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO THE
WA/OR COASTS. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW DIRECTS THE MOISTURE TO THE
HIGHER TERRAIN...WHERE 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WERE PLACED IN
THE OLYMPIC AND CASCADE RANGES IN WA.


ORAVEC/SULLIVAN/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 15/00Z
 0.01 489613 491628 494643 496653 498668 499674 499680 500694
      515695 518698 520703 523713 526719 527725 529730 528736
      529751 529759 527765 521775 519782 519787 516812 514817
      512820 506826 493839 490847 485855 479863 473874 463893
      459900 455908 450916 445925 440933 436940 428957 419972
      414981 411989 410004 412014 416022 419031 423042 425046
      427051 427055 428058 430064 434068 434076 430085 435094
      436097 436102 431111 426115 422117 418117 407116 402115
      397112 397108 401106 404101 407098 409105 411108 414111
      416109 420105 423100 423092 421086 418078 412071 406078
      398081 385089 372083 364077 359077 356078 352077 349072
      345059 338054 336047 337044 341034 344026 350007 354998
      356993 357990 355987 351969 347968 344969 335972 326975
      323977 321974 293996 259984 255982 253979 253967 255960
      259951 263934 266924 269914 283881 287871 296864 302859
      309853 313851 315847 320840 321836 319834 312830 308827
      304825 298823 289820 284814 280809 277807 271806 266807
      257807 251812 244819 241818 239813 238806 241802 247796
      255793 264793 271796 279797 286791 290791 293790 296788
      304787 308788 311788 320792 325793 330795 333797 339797
      348797 354797 358798 368797 383787 397777 410765 416760
      421754 429747 435741 439740 443737 446734 447730 448717
      449707 448698 446692 442683 442677 440668 436654 437643
      440631
 0.25 517743 516735 513728 510723 507720 502719 497716 492715
      489713 487712 485707 483702 483684 484675 484667 480649
      479630 478625 475626 472631 470638 469645 469648 467652
      461660 458665 457673 457690 457709 458727 456741 451767
      444793 442800 439805 432816 424825 416832 408838 397843
      384847 373849 360852 356852 354851 351844 353829 350827
      347829 344833 338843 331850 322855 318858 313862 304871
      299882 297889 295893 289901 283910 279921 275931 276934
      279935 283933 287935 292937 294939 295942 294952 292960
      290966 291974 294978 299976 306968 312960 316956 320952
      325951 332951 340959 346961 353958 362953 367951 373950
      384949 392949 396950 400954 402961 403967 407968 410966
      412963 414957 417949 419941 421934 423929 429921 436911
      443903 450895 456884 470860 476851 481841 486830 491818
      501795 507784 510777 512767 515756 517743
 0.25 397060 397055 395053 390051 385047 381043 379038 377031
      376024 372020 365021 361025 356036 354042 355049 356055
      359057 362056 368056 372059 373062 376064 382067 387065
      393064 397060
 0.50 507745 506738 504734 497729 493730 489732 484734 479734
      476733 476728 477721 478713 477699 477686 477678 476674
      475670 472669 469672 466675 464680 463695 463708 467722
      469736 467741 467749 465762 461770 452789 448799 443808
      431828 426836 420842 413849 406855 389864 385866 379866
      366865 356865 350865 347862 345858 342856 332858 322861
      315866 309875 306880 305886 302896 300901 297904 292912
      290916 290922 296927 299931 301936 301943 299948 298962
      299965 301964 304961 310955 317949 323943 329941 334943
      337945 341949 343952 346954 349953 354950 358945 365939
      371939 375941 379943 384944 389944 394942 399940 406939
      411936 414932 426917 432910 437903 443896 448887 458869
      463860 470849 474840 478830 482821 487811 504767 506755
      507745
 0.50 382056 382051 380049 378046 376045 373044 371043 369043
      365045 365047 366050 368051 370053 374054 376055 379058
      382056
 1.00 494761 494758 491758 487760 480764 474772 467781 445814
      436830 430839 426848 421856 415862 407868 405873 404880
      404885 404891 405904 405911 403915 398925 394933 399934
      402932 410928 414925 417921 422912 427904 433897 439888
      456851 459841 464832 469823 474815 479807 484797 488787
      491775 494761
 1.00 376893 376887 372884 368885 363888 358888 355884 347877
      339874 336869 332866 326867 321870 316878 314883 313889
      309900 305909 303915 304921 307925 309930 311936 316935
      326932 337929 347926 355920 363914 369907 375901 376893
 1.50 480789 480784 479780 476780 473783 470787 467794 462805
      457810 452813 449816 445821 439832 434844 427855 425859
      423866 423875 421883 420889 419897 421899 424898 429894
      432890 435884 440870 444860 448854 451848 454835 459822
      474803 478797 480789
 1.50 369894 367894 364896 358901 354901 351900 348897 347893
      346887 344884 338879 332875 328877 325880 320885 316892
      311909 310918 312922 315922 320922 325924 328924 332922
      338919 346915 358905 363901 369895 369894
 2.00 445834 443832 440839 439844 435849 431854 429859 430866
      433868 435866 438860 441854 444848 445841 445834
 2.00 340893 339890 337887 330885 325887 320893 317900 316909
      316914 319915 324915 327917 330917 334915 336913 338910
      340906 340895 340893

24HR QP VT 16/00Z
 0.01 510643 501640 495639 488642 469653 455657 448660 444663
      427678 417685 408693 391706 382714 371722 354734 344740
      333746 327748 322751 318752 316759 308767 304772 302774
      302777 300782 296786 293789 291792 288793 262800 257809
      256814 257822 256828 253834 246843 241851 239855 238862
      235874 234880 234889 232901 232916 231920 235926 238930
      237937 235942 235948 233953 233961 232967 231974 230987
      230021 244023 247022 248019 250013 256992 259981 260977
      264976 269975 288970 297964 300959 304955 310948 318943
      338933 347928 356925 374912 378911 384909 392904 400898
      405895 410892 425881 442867 455852 471836 477829 481824
      485821 488818 492813 496809 499804 509784 514774 517768
      520763 524754 530745 538732
 0.01 540189 542159 542154 540150 534144 530138 525134 519135
      515136 511134 506127 504116 499095 498087 490086 486085
      484088 484098 485123 485128 482127 475124 472121 470118
      470112 470105 469101 468097 465094 463092 459093 457091
      452090 448091 444091 438090 435092 430092 428089 426091
      427095 430102 423103 421107 422110 427110 430109 440111
      443113 446118 444138 446146 450153 451152 455154 458157
      460161 465168 468170 473171 478173 481176 487180 493184
      495187 496192 494196 490197 484201 471209 460213 456214
      453218 452220 453223 458226 460229 461234 462239 469258
      471266 474275 478289 475300 474306 476310 480311 484311
      491308 494306 496307 499311 503311 506309 508296 511293
      513288 516278 519274 521269 522264 522259 525248 526244
      528238 533219 534209 537202 538193 540189
 0.25 517659 506662 502665 498669 490678 479680 470686 467687
      466685 467679 468674 465673 463673 458677 451684 441691
      433700 429704 423706 417708 411711 401716 384726 364738
      353744 342748 337751 334755 328762 325766 324772 325777
      330778 334780 335787 333792 329797 322806 314813 303817
      298818 294817 285814 281813 279815 276820 274824 272830
      271835 269842 263850 257861 254871 254882 253898 253905
      255909 260908 265906 270907 273909 274912 274919 271924
      271932 268942 266947 269949 269952 275951 282945 290939
      295939 299937 308930 317924 335912 349901 381871 394858
      410845 419838 426829 433820 442812 456801 472788 481780
      490772 497763 505754 509746 513736 517724 521710 525698
      527689
 0.25 512276 514264 513259 512255 509253 507254 505259 502261
      495259 493263 493266 494277 495286 497290 501292 507289
      510281 512276
 0.25 503150 501148 500147 497144 495143 492142 489142 490145
      491147 494150 496153 497154 499154 502152 503150
 0.25 490219 489216 487214 486210 485207 481208 479209 477210
      475212 473216 474219 478220 479220 483220 486220 488219
      490219
 0.25 265952 266949 265949 264949 264952 265952 265952
 0.50 521680 520674 519671 516669 512668 509670 501679 493687
      489691 484694 475697 466699 457703 451704 446703 441703
      436706 428712 416718 408724 400729 382740 363751 360753
      357753 353751 341754 338757 335762 335765 337767 343766
      348765 353766 354769 353772 352775 345784 338793 323808
      316814 310818 305820 302823 298826 295830 281844 272850
      265859 259866 257869 258873 261877 262882 258892 256898
      257903 259903 260901 263897 268888 275879 279877 281882
      283886 285892 285906 284916 284923 288927 292926 297924
      305917 312908 322906 329900 337893 345889 351888 356886
      359883 362876 371855 374851 378848 388842 393841 398839
      405835 414828 417825 421820 435803 441798 449792 458787
      467780 482765 491757 498749 504741 508731 512718 515709
      520694 522686 521680
 1.00 495715 492712 488711 483710 480708 476706 472707 463711
      450722 443725 437724 428727 420732 416735 411737 404743
      398749 391754 379762 371768 365774 353787 350789 350792
      352793 351799 349803 346805 339809 335817 330819 329813
      331809 330807 323812 313822 306828 302834 278860 269871
      269877 271877 276871 281864 286858 290854 294853 297855
      295859 293878 292888 292894 293899 295902 299901 306895
      316880 321875 324873 328873 332881 336874 337868 340864
      346858 352851 356843 361837 363827 363822 361818 364811
      377798 383791 385781 390775 394773 399772 409771 417769
      438764 454754 463752 470748 478745 485738 488733 491726
      495715
 1.50 343845 341843 337843 332845 329846 325850 323853 322857
      321861 322864 325864 330861 332859 336856 338854 340849
      343845 343845
 1.50 313873 312870 310869 306868 303866 299868 297872 296878
      296882 296887 300891 303890 305888 307884 310880 312875
      313873
 2.00 305873 305872 304871 303869 301869 301870 299871 299872
      298874 299876 299878 299880 299882 300883 301882 302882
      303880 303878 304876 305874 305873


24HR QP VT 17/00Z
 0.01 486614 491617 495625 498631 502640 514683 513691 511702
      506715 504725 500734 495740 493744 489747 483749 476752
      469755 467757 463758 459759 456761 451763 447765 439768
      436770 431771 417769 411768 406766 402765 397767 391772
      375779 360784 354787 348791 336802 324811 322812 318813
      311818 300825 288833 281838 273838 267835 262830 260828
      259825 258821 254821 249815 247812 246807 255795 257787
      260781 262775 267769 287747 305727 316717 328706 339696
      349688 371665 376660 379656 391646
 0.01 523264 526253 526247 525243 518245 512238 508231 506221
      503211 499203 497200 491198 484200 481201 481193 481185
      478180 472173 473160 472156 474154 477155 483163 485171
      490178 502192 513204 525217 533219 537212 540208 541199
      540186 539180 536176 533171 530166 525157 523144 522139
      519136 512133 506126 502118 498110 496101 490081 488066
      488057 489048 492046 495047 501054 506062 510071 518056
      515044 513034 510024 507013 503004 499996 492980 487957
      486949 487944 486934 486926 484919 483905 484899 484890
      483872 482858 482852 480847 476839 473835 472830 467824
      464824 462827 459834 455845 447893 444904 443909 440911
      438911 429916 426919 422924 422928 421932 420938 419943
      419957 419964 423964 429964 432962 436970 436976 434980
      431990 430016 430029 431033 433035 431038 428042 422040
      412040 406042 399043 395044 390043 387044 384042 380042
      376044 370048 368053 368057 366061 366063 371066 373069
      377085 382086 384088 383091 383095 381098 378101 375123
      375128 378133 382136 382142 385146 391147 397155 398158
      397163 397169 399172 399178 397183 396189 397194 399197
      404198 413200 417199 421200 423198 424193 424187 422181
      423175 422169 420166 420158 419145 418134 419121 422117
      421111 420109 422108 426111 434110 444112 447114 447121
      447128 449131 453137 456140 458142 456144 450138 446135
      441134 437134 437136 437141 438146 443154 450160 456169
      458175 461178 465187 469192 470198 466204 462214 459219
      452222 450234 451244 458259 463266 471274 484284 491293
      501299 505298 507295 511291 513285 517279 519276 521269
 0.01 425103 423101 422101 420101 419102 420103 421104 423104
      425103
 0.01 262833 260831 254831 247836 242841 237848 232854 231858
      231864 233868 237868 242863 247857 252850 257844 261835
      262833
 0.25 444629 440636 435642 431646 429649 431649 438648 447646
      454642 457639 459636 462635 465637 469642 479648 484653
      488661 492668 492673 491678 489686 486694 481708 479714
      476719 474722 467724 459724 444728 430733 415740 401748
      389755 377762 364769 352780 341786 330792 322796 315799
      306801 298802 290803 283803 276801 272797 271792 272787
      275780 283767 289756 297747 307735 318725 338708 349698
      355694 364690 383673 389667 393661 405650 420637
 0.25 509272 512266 512262 510260 507258 503258 500259 497257
      494252 493246 491237 490230 493223 496211 493207 488205
      481206 474209 467214 465218 467223 474228 471230 468235
      469240 471243 475246 481247 489252 491256 494261 493273
      493279 495285 498288 501288 504284 507277 509272
 0.25 519175 520172 520168 520162 517158 514155 507149 505145
      502142 495136 489129 484122 475119 473114 473108 469098
      465096 462098 460103 462109 468115 471118 472121 469125
      470129 472134 475137 489149 495154 503160 508167 513174
      517176 519175
 0.25 474905 473892 472880 469870 468866 465863 461863 460867
      458879 455901 454911 454925 455938 457949 458959 455971
      455975 457979 459979 461974 464964 467955 472935 473924
      473910 474905
 0.25 454108 455102 453098 450095 446092 443092 438093 436095
      438099 441101 444101 448102 451106 454108 454108
 0.25 453078 453075 452071 452068 452063 449061 446063 444065
      442067 440069 439072 440074 441077 444079 446082 447083
      450083 452081 453078
 0.25 410152 411150 410148 409147 408147 407147 405149 405151
      406153 408154 409153 410152
 0.25 412066 413061 412059 409057 406056 402058 400060 401065
      400069 399071 401073 404072 407072 409070 411068 412066
 0.25 406116 406114 406112 405111 403110 403111 402114 403115
      404116 404117 406116
 0.50 497146 496146 495146 496146 497146
 0.50 492142 490141 489139 487138 486136 484135 483133 483132
      481132 480132 481133 482135 484137 486137 486139 487139
      489140 489142 490142 492143 492142
 0.50 480670 479666 478665 473662 470657 467653 461651 456653
      444661 432666 422671 411679 401685 399683 396684 391686
      378691 367697 360696 354699 319732 311741 305748 289768
      282777 281781 282787 285792 290796 296797 304796 317792
      326788 348773 367761 378753 388744 394736 400734 406733
      411732 416728 426719 435712 445705 455698 463687 470684
      474681 480670
 0.50 466920 466917 466915 465913 465912 465913 465915 465917
      465920 465922 466920
 1.00 386714 386710 383709 378709 367716 358723 348732 336736
      329738 328734 325734 317742 313747 312749 311754 297773
      298777 301778 305779 300784 303786 305787 311785 316782
      328775 336769 350764 360757 368747 376739 380734 383727
      384719 386714
 1.00 350742 345742 341746 334752 326759 319765 311772 307775
      308777 314775 319773 326766 333759 340752 347745 350742
 1.00 331730 330730 328731 328733 330732 331730
 1.50 380718 378714 375715 372718 368721 365724 362727 360731
      363733 366732 372729 375726 378723 379720 380718
 1.50 358750 359745 356746 354747 352749 350751 348754 346756
      346758 348759 351758 353756 355755 357752 358750

$$




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