Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 252209
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
609 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 26/0000 UTC THRU JUL 29/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

18Z UPDATE...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE...MAINLY FIRST
PD...BASED ON SATL/RADAR TRENDS ALONG WITH INPUT FROM MOST RECENT
HRRR RUN.

...MOIST AIRMASS ADVECTING INTO THE EAST/NORTHEAST U.S...

MODELS HAVE CERTAINLY STRUGGLED TO PIN DOWN THE CONVECTION THAT
HAS FORMED AT THE LATITUDE OF IOWA AND SURVIVED A SOUTHWARD
TREK...MOVING AWAY FROM BETTER MID LEVEL SUPPORT...BUT FEEDING OFF
WARM ADVECTION AT THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE GREAT PLAINS THERMAL
DOME. IN THE SHORT TERM WE WERE ABLE TO DISPLACE RECENT HRRR RUNS
TOWARD THE OBSERVED LOCATION OF AN MCS AFFECTING MO/IL. THIS
SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS IT NEARS 850 MB RIDGING AND
LIGHTER WINDS...ALTHOUGH SOME REDEVELOPMENT ON THE OUTFLOW FARTHER
NORTH IS POSSIBLE.

QPF SIGNALS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES HAVE BEEN DISJOINTED AND
SOMEWHAT STINGY WITH AMOUNTS GIVEN THAT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL BE RETURNING EASTWARD...ALBEIT IN AN ELEVATED FASHION. HEIGHT
FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW OVER SOUTHERN CANADA HAVE TAPERED
OFF AS THE SYSTEM FLATTENED FRIDAY MORNING...BUT THERE IS SOME
SIGNAL FOR SWATHS OF PRECIPITATION TO FORM THIS EVENING/TONIGHT IN
NORTHERN MICHIGAN AND IN IL/IN WHERE 700MB AND 850MB FORCINGS
INCREASE...RESPECTIVELY. THE ACTIVITY TO THE NORTH SHOULD PROGRESS
ON SATURDAY...BUT PRECIPITATION IN IL/IN MAY BE SLOWER TO PROGRESS
IF SUFFICIENT CONVECTION AGAIN FORMS AND INTERCEPTS THE RETURNING
MOISTURE. SUCH ACTIVITY COULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK OF LOCAL
FLASH FLOODING...BUT WE HELD OFF ON ANY RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
UNTIL DAY 2...WHEN DEEP LAYER ASCENT INCREASES AND GREATER
ORGANZIATION IS LIKELY.

BACK TO THE WEST A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE AND JET STREAK WILL
ENTER SOUTH DAKOTA TONIGHT...SPURRING DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER
CONVECTIVE EVENT APPROACHING THE SIOUX FALLS AREA ON SATURDAY.
THROUGHOUT THIS REGION WPC QPF FOLLOWED THE REASONABLE AGREEMENT
AMONG THE 12Z NAM/GFS/UKMET AND 12Z NAM CONEST.


...WESTERN U.S...

WPC QPF USED THE 00Z NSSL WRF FOR THE DETAILS HERE...AS IT WAS
MORE GENEROUS WITH AREAL COVERAGE IN NW AZ AND WESTERN CO. SEE THE
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...GULF COAST...SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST AND FLORIDA...

WITH A FRONT SLIPPING SOUTH...THE WARM SECTOR NARROWS FURTHER
ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. FOCUSED CONVECTION IN SC MAY
BACKBUILD TOWARD SE GA THIS EVENING. FLORIDA REMAINS FAIRLY ACTIVE
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH LOCAL RAINFALL MAXIMA PREDICTED SOUTH OF
THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN FAR SOUTH FL...AND NORTH OF THE RIDGE
AXIS BETWEEN TAMPA AND JACKSONVILLE...WITH EASTWARD PROPAGATION
OWING TO THE MEAN LAYER FLOW. WPC QPF USED THE 00Z SSEO MEAN AS A
GENERAL OUTLINE...AND THE 12Z WRF ARW TO FILL IN THE DETAILS.


DAYS 2/3

...UPPER MIDWEST TO OH/TN VALLEYS AND NORTHEASTERN STATES...

AN EXPANSIVE REGION OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL BE FEATURED ACROSS
A VAST MAJORITY OF THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR OF NORTH AMERICA. THIS
BROAD NEGATIVE ANOMALY WILL FEATURE A COMPACT CLOSED LOW DIVING
THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST BEFORE OPENING UP WHILE TRAVERSING THE
GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS. THE GUIDANCE SUGGEST
500-MB HEIGHT ANOMALIES MAY APPROACH 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW
NORMAL. CONSEQUENTLY...TREMENDOUS MOISTURE SUPPORT WILL BE
AVAILABLE AS 850-MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES EXCEED 4 TO 5 SDS
ACROSS SECTIONS OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON
SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG DYNAMICAL LIFT AND
DEEP/SUSTAINED MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL SET THE STAGES FOR SOME
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ON DAY 2 AND EXTENDING INTO PARTS OF DAY 3. BY
27/1800Z...THE GUIDANCE INDICATE 50 TO 60 KNOT 500-MB WINDS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. THIS SUGGESTS
WELL ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES WHICH WILL FEED OFF PWATS
EXCEEDING 2 INCHES AT TIMES. FURTHER ALOFT A 250-MB JET STREAK
NEARING 100 KNOTS WILL CROSS OVERHEAD PLACING THE OH VALLEY IN THE
FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET. THE CURRENT MODELS SHOW
FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE CELL MOTIONS TO THE EAST AT 30 TO 40 KNOTS
WHICH SUGGESTS TRAINING/BACK-BUILDING CONVECTION IS NOT VERY
LIKELY. HOWEVER...ALL OF THE SUPPORT IS AVAILABLE FOR HIGH
RAINFALL RATES REACHING THE 1 TO 2 INCH/HOUR RANGE WHICH EASILY
APPROACHES THE LOCAL FFG VALUES. WITH THAT SAID...THE LOWER OH
VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WERE PLACED IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON DAY 2. WHILE THE 12Z GFS/GEFS MEAN WERE
DEEMED TO BE TOO QUICK WITH THE EJECTION OF THE UPPER TROF...IT
TOO SUPPORTED A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT.

MOVING INTO DAY 3...THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM WILL
CARRY THE ENHANCED MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED JET DYNAMICS INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND. THE PWATS SLOWLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH
COMPARED TO PREVIOUSLY ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. HOWEVER...MODELS
STILL DEPICT AN EXPANSIVE REGION OF 1 INCH OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE UPPER MID-ATLANTIC. AS
A WHOLE...WPC FAVORED THE SLOWER TROF PROGRESSION MORE ALONG THE
LINES OF THE 12Z ECMWF/UKMET. HOWEVER...SOME RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE
LOCALLY RAISED PER THE IMPRESSIVE QPF OUTPUT FROM OTHER MODEL
SOLUTIONS ALONG WITH SUPPORT FROM QPF PROBABILITIES.


...SOUTHEASTERN U.S....

A SURFACE TO 700-MB ANTICYCLONE POSITIONED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO STEER GULF MOISTURE TOWARD THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THE FLOW IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY ENHANCE AS THE
STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE NORTH DROPS INTO THE REGION TOWARD
THE END OF DAY 3. GIVEN NO REAL IDENTIFIABLE MID-LEVEL FORCING
MECHANISMS...MOST OF THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE MORE DIURNAL IN
NATURE FORCED BY ENHANCED SURFACE HEATING. SEA-BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
WILL ALSO PLAY THEIR USUAL ROLE ON THE MESOSCALE WHICH WILL AID IN
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE QPF WAS CONSTRUCTED PRIMARILY BASED ON
THE 12Z ECMWF/UKMET WITH HIGHER-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE USED FOR
SMALLER-SCALE EFFECTS.


...SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...

MODELS AGREE ON A FAIRLY ACTIVE PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
U.S. AND INTO THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES. A BROAD 594-DM
MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION WHICH WILL STEER MONSOONAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD FROM
THE TROPICAL PACIFIC. ENHANCED MOISTURE ALREADY EVIDENT ON THE
BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWS 1.50 INCH AND ABOVE PWATS ADVECTING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE GULF OF CA/SEA OF CORTEZ. MODELS
MAINTAIN SUCH HIGH LEVELS OF MOISTURE INTO THE DAY 2/3 PERIOD
SUPPORTING THE USUAL DIURNALLY DRIVEN MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. FURTHER EAST...A HEAVIER RAINFALL EPISODE IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CO/NORTHEASTERN NM ON DAY 3. THIS
WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE POSITIONED
SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. A VAST
MAJORITY OF THE MODELS BRING ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW TOWARD THE
ROCKIES WITH PWATS EXCEEDING 1.5O INCHES. PWAT CLIMATOLOGY
INDICATES THIS WOULD BE CLOSE TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL. THE 12Z CMC/UKMET/ECMWF ALL SUGGEST 24-HOUR AMOUNTS
NEARING/EXCEEDING 2 INCHES ON DAY 3. GIVEN THIS FACT COMBINED WITH
LOW FFG VALUES...A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS
INTRODUCED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CO/NORTHEASTERN NM. IN TERMS OF A
MODEL PREFERENCE...UTILIZED THE 12Z NAM FOR MONSOONAL QPF ACROSS
THE COMPLEX TERRAIN WHILE FOLLOWING MORE OF THE 12Z ECMWF/UKMET
FOR THE UPSLOPE EVENT ON DAY 3.


BURKE/SULLIVAN/RUBIN-OSTER

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 27/00Z
 0.01 536212 536205 535200 532196 529193 526193 522194 522202
      523207 524211 527216 531217 534214 536212
 0.01 517695 514679 512670 510663 505650 502645 498641 494637
      489637 486639 484643 482651 482658 481666 478670 469677
      466682 462683 459681 455680 454685 455689 454693 455700
      463705 466710 467719 468724 469726 473728 479727 483730
      486735 491738 496738 500735 504731 507727 513717 515712
      516706 516698 517695
 0.01 512921 510906 508895 505880 501866 498856 494846 491838
      488833 486827 480818 476807 473795 469783 466772 461765
      456760 453759 448760 442761 438758 437753 434749 429746
      432740 434735 436730 435724 431722 428721 424722 419723
      416726 409732 382756 377762 373769 370773 371775 376776
      382776 387773 392773 396775 397782 396784 396788 394795
      390799 385801 382807 389811 393812 396813 397816 398820
      396824 387839 383859 383865 382869 379882 373890 369898
      372908 375918 378923 383926 392929 395927 399930 401935
      402939 404944 408946 408954 407958 405966 404968 400966
      396963 393963 384967 380969 378972 375981 374988 374995
      372004 371017 371031 371039 369043 364046 361049 358055
      359058 360066 362067 366066 370070 371074 374083 376089
      377096 382106 382110 380112 377115 374118 370119 367117
      362116 354110 350105 348103 347106 345105 344099 345093
      343082 341078 336079 332077 330083 331087 331093 330096
      328098 323097 309086 306082 301079 297077 291076 285075
      281072 274068 268063 262056 256053 248050 242048 236048
      231049 228052 227058 228063 231067 237069 243075 247080
      254087 261091 267096 272101 279106 285107 291107 294107
      295110 296117 301124 309129 312131 317131 321128 323124
      321115 328108 332105 337107 349134 350137 350142 343146
      333159 330162 329166 335169 339167 342164 346162 352155
      358154 362154 362157 364158 367155 367153 365151 365143
      369132 372129 374132 376135 377141 378144 388146 390143
      387139 386135 388129 392119 397099 410059 410050 408045
      411033 412028 409024 405021 401018 401009 399007 400003
      402000 405996 410994 414989 413984 418983 421993 423999
      427004 433009 437016 440020 444022 446018 448012 448002
      445978
 0.01 445978 443966 440958 438953 435950 433948 432942 428921
      427917 427911 429900 434893 440889 447884 454882 459883
      463886 466893 468903 472912 479929 481932 482938 482952
      481957 481964 481975 483000 486022 487027 487033 489043
      491056 496059 501060 503055 504044 508021 511996 511980
      510969 508944 506936 507928 511925 512921
 0.01 446858 445857 443857 441858 443860 445860 446858
 0.01 409108 409105 410103 410101 410098 408096 408095 408096
      406098 406100 406102 406103 407105 407107 407108 409108
      409108
 0.01 362092 362090 362089 360089 359089 358091 358093 360094
      362094 362092
 0.01 355748 354741 353735 350731 347728 344726 340726 335731
      322763 314780 310786 305792 299796 291800 280801 272799
      268799 266797 266791 264788 257784 251788 240799 239802
      239807 240819 241831 242834 245834 249832 253826 255817
      260820 264822 261825 263829 265831 272834 280837 285838
      291838 298840 296848 292867 288875 285883 278900 277904
      276909 275912 275918 276927 278937 280945 282949 285952
      292948 293946 295948 294954 286960 283968 283971 288971
      295967 299962 307944 308939 309934 309923 308913 306903
      305900 305896 307895 309890 309886 311882 311875 309864
      313846 314842 317843 321843 324841 326838 326831 327826
      331822 334822 336819 333808 341795 344788 343785 344781
      348779 349775 351764 352758 353754 355748
 0.01 318153 317152 317151 316149 315148 314147 313146 313145
      311145 309144 309145 307146 305146 304148 305149 306151
      306152 308153 308154 310154 312155 313155 315155 317153
      318153
 0.01 301829 300826 298824 296822 294821 290821 287822 283822
      279823 278824 280824 283824 287823 291824 292825 294827
      296828 298830 301829
 0.01 297943 296941 296940 295941 294943 296945 297943
 0.01 285018 286010 282005 280007 276011 272015 271023 274028
      277034 277038 278040 280043 281034 281030 283028 284020
      285018
 0.01 256012 255006 255998 251994 246993 240995 236997 235001
      236004 240004 243008 249011 254014 256012
 0.25 506688 506680 504675 500677 498681 497687 497693 496699
      495704 496712 499716 502710 503706 504701 505696 506689
      506688
 0.25 497904 497891 496883 493874 490868 478842 473835 471835
      468836 466836 464833 463824 462819 460815 455811 449810
      442810 435809 429809 423812 419816 415823 413830 414833
      417833 424833 433832 438835 447842 454845 458848 462854
      464861 467868 469876 471885 476890 480896 483902 489916
      492920 495915 496907 497904
 0.25 443005 443997 442990 440978 438970 436964 431955 424947
      421947 418952 415963 414968 416970 421972 424975 427980
      428986 430992 436002 439005 443005
 0.25 422879 420857 418851 416849 412847 410843 408841 405842
      402844 395850 393854 392858 392863 392867 391879 390885
      388890 378902 384907 387910 391908 395904 400904 403908
      405912 407916 410917 413914 415910 416904 415898 412889
      412885 415884 420882 422879
 0.25 397758 396756 394755 393756 391757 390760 389762 390763
      392763 393763 395761 396761 397760 397758
 0.25 396069 397066 396066 394066 393066 394068 394069 396069
      396069
 0.25 390027 390022 388018 386013 386006 387002 387997 385996
      384999 382004 381008 381015 381020 382026 386028 390027
 0.25 359127 358125 357122 356120 354122 354124 354126 355127
      357129 359128 359127
 0.25 347749 347743 346738 342740 341744 333758 330765 326773
      318786 313803 311811 310814 310820 314821 319820 324815
      330800 336782 341766 347751 347749
 0.25 347763 346761 345762 344763 344765 345767 346765 347764
      347763
 0.25 316118 314116 311115 309115 307113 305110 303108 301108
      300112 301116 303118 305119 308120 312122 315120 316118
 0.25 290096 289091 288088 283082 272074 266070 263064 259058
      255057 250057 246058 244057 238053 235053 232055 234059
      237061 248068 259076 268087 272093 276098 281100 285099
      290096
 0.25 285810 282806 278807 271807 265806 259805 256805 255808
      257813 262815 270815 274818 278819 281818 282815 285810
 0.50 491889 491886 490884 490882 489881 488879 486881 487884
      487886 488887 490889 491889 491889
 0.50 491904 491901 491899 490897 489899 489901 490904 490905
      491904
 0.50 482874 481869 481867 480862 479858 477855 477852 475848
      472850 472855 473860 473865 474869 474872 476876 479877
      482874
 0.50 453835 452829 449826 446824 442821 439818 437819 436821
      438825 441830 443833 446836 450838 453835
 0.50 436995 437990 436986 436978 435973 433971 432964 429959
      426954 423952 420954 420959 421962 424967 428973 430978
      431987 433993 436995
 0.50 415875 414868 415861 411854 408851 402849 398853 397855
      398860 398862 397865 395872 396876 398878 402878 405876
      409875 415875
 0.50 331785 329781 325784 321789 319795 316800 314805 314809
      315813 317815 321813 324810 325805 324801 324797 326794
      329790 331785
 0.50 282095 283093 283091 282089 282088 280086 279084 278084
      277083 275083 273083 273084 274085 274087 274090 274092
      275094 276095 278096 280096 282095 282095
 0.50 267810 265809 265808 263808 262807 260808 258809 259811
      260812 262812 264811 266811 267810
 0.50 259067 258065 258063 257061 255060 253060 252061 251061
      251063 251065 253066 254067 255067 256068 258068 259067

24HR QP VT 28/00Z
 0.01 541094 541086 539078 537071 535060 534050 535039 535032
      536027 537014 536005 536993 536982 535975 531960 527947
      525940 523934 516919 510905 506900 503888 500874 499863
      498861 497856 495815 494794 495775 495762 496753 498745
      500737 504724 505715 506707 509692 509685 507677 505668
      504664 502663 497657 494651 490644 486640 472639 461638
      454639 449639 441642 436645 430648 428652 422663 422671
      419679 416686 412690 400701 398706 394710 391716 389723
      387727 388732 387735 386742 384746 381747 371752 363764
      359781 360790 360794 359798 358805 355810 352815 349821
      347826 347831 346833 346842 347846 348849 349857 347864
      345880 345900 346905 347908 351916 361923 364921 366920
      368916 380920 384919 385927 389938 394944 399947 402949
      403954 405959 409968 411970 415971 419971 421968 423961
      423957 424954 425946 426940 426930 425923 425918 426914
      436921 441924 445930 450934 453940 458946 461954 465969
      470970 476972 482974 484980 487987 490992 493997 497001
      500007 504015 507022 509030 510034 510040 511045 511052
      510072 511080 514085 520097 523102 524105 527106 532106
      537105 541094
 0.01 412150 407144 404139 398138 390141 386140 385138 384130
      386125 389120 392117 396115 394112 391113 382111 378113
      376117 371119 368115 368111 369107 369104 367101 369097
      367093 367088 371087 375090 375096 377100 379099 382088
      389085 393083 396078 403072 403065 403061 405059 407054
      410051 408042 406030 409021 409017 406012 403009 400012
      390010 387009 387005 384002 378006 377008 374009 369008
      364002 359994 353991 351996 350005 349010 348017 344030
      342034 342040 342046 343052 345061 346066 349070 343076
      339079 332077 329077 325080 321082 314082 310083 307081
      300076 295070 288065 284064 279063 274060 270056 263051
      258051 254048 247043 244041 238040 233040 230043 228047
      227053 230061 229065 228073 230077 233079 239082 245083
      255086 262091 273102 288114 295120 301123 307125 312131
      316133 322135 331134 338131 372135 376141 378146 381147
      384145 387145 388147 392150 397151 408152 412150
 0.01 409110 409108 409105 410103 410101 410098 408098 406098
      406100 406102 405105 405107 407110 409110 409110
 0.01 382195 382190 380188 378187 375184 374183 370181 368180
      366180 364182 364186 366188 369188 372190 374192 376194
      379196 382195
 0.01 317815 317809 315804 312800 309799 298787 287788 283791
      277791 267793 262798 261802 257805 256807 257809 260811
      262813 261816 257818 255821 255826 257829 261832 263837
      266840 274843 283843 286844 290847 295857 295862 295865
      293868 290874 290880 288885 290891 292895 291905 291916
      290927 290939 293943 296944 298945 302943 304940 307935
      310926 314918 314907 313880 313875 314871 315866 314862
      311852 310847 307842 307837 308833 313826 317815
 0.25 522983 522969 520955 518948 515939 511930 507921 498906
      494900 488894 476886 471880 469875 466871 461867 454865
      451864 449859 449850 447846 445843 440844 438845 436849
      435853 435860 435868 433872 428877 428883 429885 435892
      439899 447913 453920 459925 469936 475941 482947 487950
      492957 504969 506976 508986 512992 514994 517992 520989
      522983
 0.25 501700 501693 500685 495673 491660 487657 484657 480658
      473665 469666 465665 460661 453655 450653 446652 440653
      435657 433662 432667 432672 433675 437680 440685 444686
      450691 456690 460691 462691 465691 466696 463700 458703
      451710 444711 439709 436705 435700 434688 432685 428685
      424691 419700 416704 412708 408711 406715 406723 409730
      410737 410745 409755 407759 404762 396767 387771 384774
      381780 378789 376795 374801 369809 365817 363827 362838
      365849 369858 372864 375871 378881 383891 388898 397913
      402919 406922 412923 415919 416913 415904 414896 413891
      412884 413873 412859 413847 416836 416829 415821 416811
      421800 424789 426777 428772 430769 439767 446768 454772
      462780 465784 467789 473815 476818 481818 485811 487798
      486785 485776 486768 487756 489744 493732 498714 501700
 0.25 393052 394045 391038 383031 378027 373025 368026 362029
      360034 358042 357050 356053 357056 359058 363059 368058
      375060 378063 378067 376068 377073 379075 382074 384072
      384067 391058 393052
 0.25 350112 348108 346104 345098 344094 342091 339090 337091
      335095 334098 337102 340104 342109 344112 347115 350112
 0.25 329105 329101 327099 322096 318092 313089 298088 288082
      279074 271069 254055 248051 242049 237051 235055 236061
      239066 247074 258079 266085 276092 285099 292108 299116
      305118 313120 319119 322115 329105
 0.25 274826 273824 272824 270823 268822 267822 266823 267824
      267825 269826 270826 271827 273827 274826
 0.50 514957 514948 512942 507931 494912 490908 485905 479904
      473902 470897 468892 466885 463879 459875 447876 442877
      441881 440885 445894 451905 455908 460910 465912 470915
      475925 484930 487933 491939 496950 499954 503957 510961
      514957
 0.50 497698 496688 493682 490677 488676 486679 484685 479691
      476695 474702 471708 468714 465718 461721 448727 438733
      433735 427739 423744 422749 423756 428760 434759 439757
      451752 456754 459757 469764 473765 476767 478764 482759
      484752 488740 491725 495712 497704 497698
 0.50 480789 480787 481784 480782 479779 478779 477777 475778
      474780 474783 475785 476787 476788 477790 478792 479790
      480789
 0.50 424732 425729 424727 424725 424722 422720 420719 419719
      418719 417719 415719 414720 414721 413722 414724 414725
      415727 416728 416729 418731 418732 420733 420734 422734
      424733 424732
 0.50 414790 413784 407781 395781 390783 386788 380798 373809
      371813 369820 368827 369837 370844 372849 378861 382873
      384879 388887 394896 408910 408878 408868 408858 408843
      410835 410827 409815 414790
 0.50 387052 388047 386045 382041 378037 373033 369032 364036
      361040 360049 361054 363055 370055 375055 381056 385054
      387052
 0.50 322106 320102 318100 312096 308095 304095 302095 298093
      291091 290095 291098 295103 298110 304114 311115 315114
      318112 322106
 0.50 265074 264070 260065 256061 252058 246055 241056 240062
      244067 248070 253073 260074 265074
 1.00 506944 505942 505939 504937 504936 503934 502933 501932
      499932 498934 498937 499939 500942 501942 502944 502945
      504946 505945 506944
 1.00 490708 490701 487699 484702 483705 480713 476720 473728
      471736 471743 472746 475748 478747 482741 484731 486722
      487714 490708
 1.00 405801 405795 402791 394790 391792 388796 384802 379809
      375816 374821 374826 375835 379845 381853 387872 391881
      395886 399887 402886 404878 404864 403853 402844 403834
      403820 402815 403808 405801
 1.00 374046 373044 373043 371043 369043 368043 368045 369048
      370048 372048 374046
 1.50 402876 401865 399857 399849 399841 397823 396818 396814
      398807 399802 397798 394797 391799 384810 380816 378823
      380831 382838 387856 390862 391870 395876 400879 402876


24HR QP VT 29/00Z
 0.01 509924 509906 508887 506882 504878 496873 493876 491881
      488894 480902 478902 478906 479914 479919 480921 484922
      487922 490924 494927 504928 507926 509924
 0.01 488668 483656 474651 465647 457645 453644 448646 442648
      439651 433658 426663 397681 387696 384699 382701 382704
      379716 375726 373740 371753 370758 365757 360758 357760
      351767 341781 334787 326794 319810 314811 311813 306813
      303810 308805 309801 309795 307789 303786 298783 292782
      287783 283785 276786 272785 266785 261786 258787 254787
      249787 247790 246796 244800 241805 239815 239821 241827
      249831 253830 257828 262828 268828 275831 281838 284843
      287848 291862 291869 293874 294880 296883 305886 305897
      302909 302914 303919 305930 308939 316956 319965 321974
      324997 326002 328006 333010 336015 340024 340032 339036
      335045 329051 315061 308063 300060 283054 272050 264049
      254049 251050 248050 241049 237047 232049 227052 230058
      231061 235064 242070 251083 254086 258089 266094 269095
      271099 277103 288114 304123 306125 312127 317127 320126
      324128 328129 335130 341134 343136 344140 348143 353145
      358145 362144 367144 371143 377144 379147 379151 378162
      381165 385166 389166 392164 398158 399155 398150 402142
      406140 411141 419135 421132 424127 429118 432114 438115
      443112 447111 449110 452107 455103 453098 450095 447094
      443091 437086 429088 426087 423089 421092 417089 416083
      417076 416067 416062 414058 410049 408044 404042 398036
      395023 394017 392012 384002 378981 373973 368963 365954
      363950 363944 363930 363923 364916 365903 367894 369889
      369885 372876 375869 377864 380860 383857 386855 389854
      399860 407864 408862 411862 415865 423883 425888 428891
      431894 435895 443892 446889 447884 450875 454867 460859
      462856 463851 464845 465839 464831 462827 461818 460814
      457810 454808
 0.01 454808 451803 449794 445782 441776 439774 438770 442764
      446759 452748 455735 457729 461724 470716 478707 481706
      482703 484697 486681 488668
 0.01 464132 464129 462130 461130 460128 459128 458125 457125
      456127 455130 456130 457133 458135 458138 460139 460138
      462136 463134 464132 464132
 0.01 454147 453142 451138 448133 445132 441134 438134 436138
      437141 438148 440152 443150 448151 452151 454147
 0.01 393204 393199 390197 386191 381186 377180 371174 368173
      364172 362174 361179 362183 364185 371190 375195 380200
      387204 393204
 0.01 341904 341897 341891 339893 337897 336902 335906 333911
      332915 332919 334920 335917 336913 338908 340905 341904
 0.25 478681 478673 475668 470661 465656 459654 453651 446651
      439657 435662 427669 419673 413677 406682 398694 394699
      390707 384724 384733 387742 388749 387753 383760 383768
      387773 391776 393781 391786 389788 384789 379791 377797
      374804 371808 368811 362812 355817 353819 351825 348833
      344839 339845 330850 324855 320861 321864 324869 329869
      332867 344858 347860 349864 350872 354873 356870 357861
      358854 360850 361845 364843 375833 380828 386826 391825
      394826 401830 408834 415837 427844 435846 439845 442843
      444839 445835 443827 438816 438810 438803 436791 433782
      431774 431767 432764 435756 434746 435741 438735 441728
      444720 448714 452708 457702 464697 471694 474692 477688
      478681
 0.25 399076 400071 399067 398062 398055 395049 390040 386027
      381015 374006 367998 361999 358003 357008 357014 357023
      357031 355039 353045 351051 352058 351064 347070 344076
      340080 334082 332082 330086 330090 328090 319086 312082
      306079 294076 282072 273067 262060 259059 253061 251063
      250067 252072 259078 270085 277094 285100 291104 295106
      306113 310116 317118 321117 324112 328110 333109 340113
      344117 347117 349115 349110 347104 347100 352097 356099
      375087 378090 382091 384089 387084 388082 391083 397080
      399076
 0.25 388118 388116 385114 382113 378114 376115 374116 371118
      370120 371122 373124 375125 378126 380125 384125 386123
      388120 388118
 0.50 468671 467665 465662 460659 455657 449656 443659 438662
      428671 415679 411683 408689 401700 394710 389724 390730
      394737 398742 401747 401753 400760 397777 398784 398787
      395790 384793 381797 379803 375810 371815 364816 359820
      355826 352831 349836 347842 346846 346849 348850 352850
      358846 361840 369831 373827 378825 385820 390817 395814
      401815 406817 411821 414826 419828 424823 428817 430812
      431808 431803 426770 429752 429734 430728 433722 436716
      436712 435708 430703 428701 430698 434693 438688 436683
      440679 446674 452672 463675 466674 468671
 0.50 394057 394052 392049 388045 383031 380024 377018 374012
      369008 364009 363011 361020 361031 360038 356046 355053
      358069 360074 364072 372075 376075 378073 383069 387065
      394057
 0.50 340100 341098 340096 340095 338094 336095 336097 336098
      337099 338100 340100 340100
 0.50 320106 319097 315092 307089 300086 287080 272074 260067
      258069 258072 264076 271080 275085 281088 287091 297094
      300095 301098 306104 311109 316109 320106
 1.00 434674 430674 425676 419681 415685 413689 412695 414701
      414708 416712 415717 415721 421719 423715 423710 421706
      421699 423696 426686 431679 434674
 1.00 420759 418747 417744 414744 411748 409752 408756 407762
      408768 408771 407777 406787 406794 408799 412802 415800
      418796 419790 419778 420766 420759
 1.00 415739 415734 414729 412726 409726 407726 405728 404730
      403734 404738 405741 409742 411742 413741 415739
 1.00 392801 392798 391796 390796 388796 386797 384799 384800
      383802 383804 383807 385807 387807 388806 389806 390805
      392803 392802 392801
 1.00 387052 385046 383040 380035 377030 372026 368028 366032
      364041 364045 365050 368054 374057 379059 384056 387052
 1.00 361832 361830 360828 359828 358827 358828 356830 357832
      359834 360833 361832
 1.50 415764 415762 415760 415757 414756 412757 412758 412760
      411763 412765 413767 414769 415767 415766 415764
 1.50 383051 382047 381044 380041 378038 376036 375035 371034
      369034 369039 369041 371044 373046 374048 376051 379053
      383051

$$




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