Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 180900
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
359 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 18/1200 UTC THRU JAN 21/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...NORTHEAST...

A SHORTWAVE SHEARING OUT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY WILL
STILL FOSTER SOME ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS NY AND INTERIOR
NEW ENGLAND BEFORE THE ENERGY DAMPENS OUT. ONE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE NEAR LAKE ERIE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE WHILE
SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND ADVANCES EAST
OUT TO SEA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE REMNANT VORT ENERGY MOVES
OFFSHORE. EXPECT SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW AND SOME POCKETS OF
FREEZING RAIN OVER THE INTERIOR...WITH JUST RAIN CLOSER TO THE
COAST. ADDITIONAL WATER EQUIVALENTS SHOULD BE MAINLY UNDER A 0.25
INCH...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTHERN APPALACHIANS WHERE THE
TERRAIN OF NH AND WESTERN ME WILL SEE SLIGHTLY HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION. WPC GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MODEL CONSENSUS FOR THE
QPF.

...EASTERN TEXAS/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

THE TAIL END OF A FRONTAL ZONE STALLED OUT OVER SOUTHEAST TX AND
THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS PERIOD...WITH HEAVY TO POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL EXPECTED AS A DEEP LAYER POOL MOISTURE AND AT LEAST
MODEST INSTABILITY POOLS ALONG THE FRONT. MEANWHILE...FAVORABLE
RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE
OVER THIS REGION DOWNWIND OF A BROAD UPPER TROUGH AND CLOSED LOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. BY
LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY THE UPSTREAM TROUGH WILL
BE ADVANCING EAST AND BECOMING MORE NEUTRALLY TILTED AS IT EJECTS
EAST TOWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
STRENGTHENING OF THE JET FORCING/LARGE SCALE ASCENT OVER SOUTHEAST
TX AND INTO SOUTHWEST LA IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT. PWATS ARE
FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR 1.75 INCHES OVER THIS AREA WITH THE HELP
OF A 30 KT S/SW LOW LEVEL JET ADVANCING IN OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
IN ADDITION...THE CIRA-LPW PRODUCT SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TAP COMING NORTHEAST ACROSS MEXICO FROM THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN IN THE 700/300 MB LAYER WHICH WILL BE
FOSTERING WARMER RAIN PROCESSES THAT WILL ENCOURAGE HEAVIER
RAINFALL RATES. THE MEAN LAYER FLOW WILL TEND TO BE NEARLY
PARALLEL THE FRONT...AND WITH THE PERSISTENT LEVEL OF LARGER SCALE
FORCING...LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS...THERE WILL LIKELY BE AN AXIS OF BACKBUILDING AND
TRAINING CONVECTION. THE NAM/GFS AND ECMWF MAY BE TENDING THE
FOCUS THEIR HEAVIER RAINFALL POTENTIAL A BIT TOO FAR NORTH AWAY
FROM THE BETTER INSTABILITY AXIS...AND AS A RESULT KEPT THE FOCUS
OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS JUST A BIT FARTHER SOUTH OVER FAR EASTERN TX
AND WESTERN LA WHICH IS A BIT CLOSER TO THE HIRES MODEL CONSENSUS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS PERIOD ACROSS THIS REGION WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS FARTHER NORTH UP THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/CALIFORNIA INTO THE GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN
ROCKIES...

STRONG ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONDITIONS WILL BE WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW...AND THIS SHOULD GRADUALLY ADVANCE SOUTH DOWN
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT SETTLES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE
LATEST CIRA-LPW AND AMSU 89 GHZ DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW AN
ORIENTATION OF THIS ATMOSPHERIC RIVER THAT EXTENDS IMPRESSIVELY
WELL SOUTHWEST ALL THE WAY BACK TO THE TROPICAL WESTERN PACIFIC
OCEAN. PWS IN THE 700/500 MB LAYER ARE QUITE HIGH AND WILL BE
AIMED NEARLY ORTHOGONAL INTO ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHWEST OR/NORTHWEST
CA COASTAL RANGES BY LATE WEDNESDAY AND THEN DOWN INTO CENTRAL CA
AND THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN SIERRA-NEVADA THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.
ENHANCED MOISTURE FLUX AND PW ANOMALIES WILL BE IN PLACE GIVEN THE
STRONG LOW TO MID LEVEL WIND FIELD AND UPSTREAM MOISTURE FEED. IN
FACT...A SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL JET UPWARDS OF 70 KTS IS FORECAST
ACROSS SOUTHWEST OR AND NORTHWEST CA WHICH WILL FOSTER 850/700 MB
MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES OF 4 TO 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN...AND PW VALUES OF 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN.
THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THESE AREAS WHERE AS
MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
CONCERNS FOR RUNOFF PROBLEMS INCLUDING DEBRIS FLOWS AND MUDSLIDES
NEAR ANY BURN SCAR AREAS. THESE AREAS WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH
FLOODING IN PARTICULAR. SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WILL BE EXPECTED DOWN ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA COASTAL RANGES AND
INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL SIERRA-NEVADA WITH
ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS. RUNOFF PROBLEMS HERE WILL ALSO AGAIN BE
A CONCERN AND ESPECIALLY WITH SUCH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.
FARTHER SOUTH TOWARD SOUTHERN CA THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN
ONSHORE FLOW LATE IN THE PERIOD AND SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY
APPROACH THE COASTAL RANGES HERE BY EARLY THURSDAY. FARTHER
INLAND...THE DEEP FETCH OF MID LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO OVERRUN COLDER AIR OVER THE GREAT BASIN WHICH WILL
PROMOTE A LARGE AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION INCLUDING SOME SNOW
BUT ALSO SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN/ICING OVER THE DEEPER INTERIOR
VALLEYS OF WA/OR NEAR AND EAST OF THE CASCADES INCLUDING THE
COLUMBIA RIVER GORGE. SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALSO OVER
FAR EASTERN OR AND SOUTHWEST ID AS THE PACIFIC MOISTURE OVERRUNS
THE SHALLOW COLD AIR. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INCLUDING THE SAWTOOTH AND
BITTERROOTS. PLEASE CONSULT THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR MORE DETAILS ON
THE EXPECTED WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...CALIFORNIA/SOUTHWEST US/PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

THE SERIES OF MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSES ONSHORE FROM THE
PACIFIC OCEAN AND THEN CONTINUES DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
US...RESULTING IN A WET PERIOD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.
DAY 2 HAS A WAVE CROSSING SOUTHERN CA INTO THE SOUTHWEST US...WITH
WELL DEFINED 70 MB CONVERGENCE COMBINING WITH ONSHORE FLOW TO
PRODUCE AN INITIAL BURST OF VALLEY SHOWERS/MOUNTAIN SNOW IN
SOUTHERN CA.  WITH THE WAVE MOVING STEADILY INLAND...A BREAK
DEVELOPS AS THE SURGE OF MOISTURE AND LIFT CROSS INTO AZ WITH THE
SOUTHWEST LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW INDUCING UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE MOGOLLON
RIM...WHERE HIGHER PRECIP TOTALS ARE EXPECTED.

THIS WAVE WEAKENS AS IT CROSSES NM AND REDEVELOPS ON THE HIGH
PLAINS ON FRI. THE NEXT IN THE SERIES OF WAVES MOVING ONSHORE
DOWNSTREAM FROM A CLOSED PACIFIC CIRCULATION MOVES ONSHORE IN
SOUTHERN CA...WITH WELL DEFINED 700 MB CONVERGENCE PROGRESSING
ACROSS SOUTHERN CA. EXPECT 850 MB MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES OF 3-4
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...WITH SYNOPTIC ASCENT AHEAD OF
THE SHORTWAVE AUGMENTED BY TOPOGRAPHIC LIFT IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
SOUTHERN CA...WHERE A PRECIP MAXIMA IS EXPECTED.   A DAY 3
MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS SHOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.
THE EXPECTED ANOMALOUS LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW...COMBINED WITH GOOD
SYNOPTIC FORCING AHEAD OF THE WAVE AND INCREASING INSTABILITY ALL
POINT TO A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE
THE FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM...WHICH WILL LIMIT THE
DURATION OF ANY HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-3"
(HIGHEST IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN) SEEM PROBABLE IN THIS 24 HOUR
PERIOD ACROSS SOUTHERN CA.

AS THIS WAVE /TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN
FRI NIGHT SO WILL THE PRECIPITATION THREAT. THE GFS SHOWS A 700 MB
JET OF 50-60 KT IN AZ WITH WELL DEFINED CONVERGENCE MAXIMA ACROSS
AZ INTO SOUTHERN UT...AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY 12Z SAT.  THE
MODELS AND GEFS ENSEMBLE MODEL REFORECASTS  SHOW POTENTIAL FOR AN
INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT IN AZ WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND THE WPC QPF
FOLLOWS CLOSE TO A MULTI MODEL BLEND. WEAKER LOW-MID LEVEL
CONVERGENCE MAXIMA WITH WAVES ROTATING ONSHORE INTO NORTHERN CA
AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST RESULT IN CONTINUING SHOWERY CONDITIONS
THERE.


...MS VALLEY INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC...

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AS SHORTWAVE
ENERGY OVER THE PLAINS CONSOLIDATES AND EJECTS EASTWARD. THE UPPER
LEVELS WILL ALSO BECOME VERY DIFFLUENT OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY
INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST WITH DUAL
RIGHT ENTRANCE AND LEFT EXIT REGION JET DYNAMICS BECOMING EVIDENT.
 UPPER DIVERGENCE/LOWER LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAXIMA COMBINE WITH
ABOVE NORMAL PWATS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX TO PRODUCE BANDS OF
HEAVY SHOWERS/STORMS IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
ACTIVITY MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OH VALLEY IN TANDEM WITH THE
MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND UPPER LEVEL JET.  THE SYSTEM HAS TRENDED
A BIT FASTER ON THE 00Z RUNS OF THE ECMWF AND GFS...AND MANUAL
PROGS FOLLOWED SUIT ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
BOTH THE GREAT LAKES AND ALSO THE MID ATLANTIC.

THE DAY 2/3 QPF (12Z THU-12Z SAT) IS A GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN REGIONAL
GEM/00Z ECMWF MODEL CONSENSUS.  THE 00Z GFS QPF OUTPUT CONTINUES
TO PLACE THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS AR INTO NORTHERN MS AND
WESTERN TN...AND NOT CLOSER TO THE GULF COAST WHERE THE BETTER
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL EXIST. SINCE
THE HEAVIER RAINS USUALLY OCCUR FURTHER SOUTH IN THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...GREATER WEIGHTING WAS GIVEN TO
THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN REGIONAL GEM.
THE EARLIER TIMING DIFFERENCES HAVE NARROWED AS THE SOLUTIONS HAVE
CONVERGED TO SHOW LESS SPREAD.

FOR THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOKS...A MARGINAL RISK REMAINS
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY ON DAY 2. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT.
ALTHOUGH GIVEN THE VERY ANOMALOUS PWATS AND MOISTURE FLUX...A
MARGINAL RISK IS WARRANTED AS LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS
LIKELY. BOTH MEAN WINDS AND CORFIDI VECTORS HAVE A LARGE COMPONENT
PARALLEL TO THE LOW LEVEL FRONT...SO TRAINING OF BANDS SUPPORTS
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN UPGRADE
TO A SLIGHT RISK.

ON DAY 3...THE MODELS SHOW A LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPING ON THE HIGH
PLAINS...WHICH INVOKES RETURN MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO INTO LA AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  COUPLED UPPER
DIVERGENCE/LOWER CONVERGENCE MAXIMA HELP CONTRIBUTE TO THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/STORMS.  THE 00Z UKMET/CANADIAN ARE MORE
ASSERTIVE AND COVER MORE AREA...WHILE THE GFS HAS THE LEAST
AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE. THE REFORECAST DATA INDICATES HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS...AND THE 00Z GEFS AMOUNTS
ARE HIGHER...GIVING CONFIDENCE THE GFS AMOUNTS SHOULD BE
INCREASED.  CONSEQUENTLY...SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CLOSER TO THE
00Z ECMWF AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN/00Z NAM WERE USED.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORRISON/PETERSEN

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 523264 522255 519248 518244 518237 517231 516227 513216
      514214 517214 521214 529215 531211 533209 535200 535194
      534188 526173 520165 513159 502147 492137 477131 465138
      462136 459138 451143 446142 445139 444134 444122 441119
      437119 434122 431124 427126 422126 420129 415128 412126
      407126 394128 388134 385135 381133 377131 373129 365132
      352139 342147 337152 334155 329155 321157 319168 322184
      320191 319202 318207 319211 322219 328225 329230 328235
      327241 328247 332254 335260 343263 350267 357265 366263
      372269 378275 385280 400282 408283 415282 423281 430280
      438279 443278 448279 462282 466284 470287 476292 480295
      483297 492296 497297 500296 506293 512287 518277
 0.01 506675 505668 503665 502660 499655 496652 492650 488647
      484648 479650 475653 471657 464659 454663 450667 447672
      444679 440680 437675 431667 425662 415660 404663 398664
      392664 380667 373670 364675 349687 342693 335701 329709
      328716 327722 323740 320750 318760 319768 320774 323778
      327779 334778 338775 341774 342776 345781 346779 350780
      354780 357777 358772 362768 363762 365758 367753 368747
      370743 372735 374731 378728 383725 387726 395727 400726
      404723 412741 413749 408754 405757 402762 404777 397784
      385796 379803 376807 375811 375814 377817 383816 388818
      391815 394809 399807 403811 407813 410820 415819 419817
      424808 429800 433790 436778 439772 440770 443769 451762
      456757 463750 466750 467753 470758 471767 469773 464785
      462789 463797 467800 470799 471797 476790 492752 501734
      505723 507706 504689 505683 506675
 0.01 391906 389898 388894 385890 382887 379885 372881 366875
      359867 354860 347857 344855 343857 335854 331852 329854
      328859 328863 328868 334868 337870 335873 333877 329884
      324890 311898 308900 305896 304890 304885 305879 305873
      306869 306863 305848 305842 306837 306828 304825 301826
      302838 300848 298853 298858 297862 298865 299880 299886
      298891 294908 282918 276923 271929 259943 254949 250955
      246961 243965 242969 244980 250985 245004 245008 248008
      255013 272009 280005 286998 290000 296000 301996 305994
      309994 316992 321984 323982 326982 328988 330992 339995
      347000 353005 356007 359007 367005 374001 378999 378995
      378989 374987 364983 359981 357978 353971 349965 349960
      352956 359952 364947 366942 367936 375933 380932 383928
      386924 388920 391906
 0.01 354846 354844 354841 352842 352844 350846 352848 354846
      354846
 0.25 531197 530193 528189 523183 517176 514173 509171 504168
      500166 497162 492159 482156 475154 463146 460147 457150
      453154 449151 441145 437137 433135 429138 426141 424146
      424155 421165 417174 416178 417180 419185 422188 427191
      431194 434198 441205 445207 447202 457191 461193 460200
      456207 451210 446211 443213 438212 427209 421203 415205
      407201 397199 392197 389195 374184 364178 360175 356177
      352182 348183 346180 343177 338176 335178 333184 332194
      332208 336227 339245 346250 355250 364251 369254 371257
      375261 381264 393267 400267 408267 417267 426266 435264
      444262 452260 457260 461262 475270 483277 490282 499284
      504284 507282 513272 516256 516246 514235 510226 507216
      504211 502205 501199 503195 510193 515193 519196 525203
      529201 531197
 0.25 485233 486231 485228 485227 484227 482226 481226 482228
      482229 483231 485232 485233 485233
 0.25 466697 465693 464693 460696 456696 452698 450701 445706
      441708 438706 435708 434713 436716 439716 448715 455716
      458714 460711 464705 465700 466697
 0.25 426693 424684 420677 414674 407673 398675 391680 391684
      392690 394693 397695 405696 412696 418698 423699 426693
 0.25 366701 366696 365692 363690 359690 353693 347698 339707
      336712 334720 330733 328740 328745 331748 337749 339752
      343751 349747 353748 357746 360740 361733 363717 365710
      366701 366701
 0.25 368909 368904 368899 365891 361889 357888 354886 352881
      347875 346873 345877 342886 338893 327903 321908 318909
      313909 309908 305909 299914 294920 288925 278935 273940
      268948 265954 261962 259965 261970 263974 262978 263982
      266984 272988 279984 286981 293978 299973 307972 313971
      315967 326958 331953 339948 344944 348938 352930 357923
      364917 366913 368909
 0.50 513258 515252 514247 512238 505219 503215 500211 491206
      489201 487196 488189 489185 494180 497177 497173 495168
      493164 485160 480158 474157 467151 461150 459153 456162
      445152 439146 437143 432142 430147 429151 429158 428165
      435180 439186 444191 447190 451190 459187 466184 470185
      473188 475201 468207 462208 456212 449215 441216 431216
      426218 423221 420221 418217 416213 413210 384193 377188
      369183 365181 360181 356183 356187 361191 364193 366198
      365200 360201 353200 350195 349190 346186 342182 339184
      337190 336196 336202 337209 341217 345224 346233 349237
      353242 364245 369246 373250 378255 384259 394261 411262
      427261 437259 445256 451254 458254 467255 476260 491275
      498279 502280 505277 513258
 0.50 489234 489231 489229 489228 487226 487225 486224 484224
      482224 481224 479225 478225 479226 480228 480229 481231
      482232 483233 484235 486235 488235 489234
 0.50 357716 355715 352717 350719 349722 347724 346727 345730
      344732 345737 347737 349736 351733 353731 354728 355726
      356722 357719 357716
 0.50 357905 358902 356899 351897 348896 345897 342902 336904
      331906 322913 319913 313915 307916 305915 301915 294923
      286932 280940 277945 276952 273957 271963 275967 277972
      284973 291973 301967 311963 314959 321956 328950 333947
      338943 341939 344934 350921 353912 357905
 1.00 509246 509238 508233 506229 503222 500215 488209 479208
      473211 471213 468214 462213 455216 451220 446220 443221
      441224 437225 430226 424229 419227 417225 416221 414216
      411214 407213 405210 399205 391200 379192 375188 368185
      364184 361185 361186 363189 368196 372204 373207 370210
      362209 357207 351203 344190 342190 341193 341198 342207
      347209 351211 354214 356218 361229 362233 365236 370238
      376242 381249 388254 396256 410257 418257 423255 436252
      451248 462245 469245 475247 482252 486259 496273 499274
      501274 503268 503262 502258 498252 493245 490242 485240
      482237 480233 479230 475227 470230 467231 464229 467222
      470219 474220 482220 486221 489224 492233 495240 503246
      506249 509246
 1.00 463178 463176 461175 460175 459175 458176 456177 454179
      455181 455182 457183 459183 459182 460182 462181 462179
      463178
 1.00 452173 451168 449163 447160 444156 441153 438151 436149
      433150 433153 433157 435160 438163 441167 444171 448173
      452173
 1.00 343917 341915 337913 334912 330913 322916 315921 310926
      307928 301926 300923 297922 295924 294931 291937 290941
      289947 290950 294948 294953 292958 289964 293966 296966
      302962 306961 310959 315954 323949 328945 334941 338934
      341925 343917
 1.50 498266 498260 498258 496255 495251 492248 491247 488244
      486243 485243 484246 486249 487252 488254 490258 492261
      494264 495265 498266
 1.50 501238 502235 502230 501225 500220 497217 492216 489212
      486213 486218 490220 492221 492225 493230 495234 497238
      501238
 1.50 482244 482242 481239 480238 480236 479235 479233 478231
      476230 475230 473231 471233 470236 471238 472239 473241
      474242 475242 476243 478244 480244 481244 482244
 1.50 465239 467237 466234 464234 462236 458234 453234 445234
      439235 436236 432235 423232 416227 415220 412217 410216
      397205 371189 367188 368190 372196 383208 391219 377223
      372218 370217 368219 368222 371226 374228 377235 381241
      386246 392249 403252 408253 415253 422252 430250 455243
      461240 465239
 1.50 464221 465219 465216 463215 461215 459216 458216 457217
      456218 455219 455220 455221 457223 458224 458225 460226
      462226 462225 464223 464221
 1.50 443162 443159 442158 441156 439154 438153 437153 436154
      435155 436156 437158 439160 440161 442162 443162
 1.50 366218 365217 364216 363215 362214 360215 359217 361219
      361220 362221 364220 366218
 1.50 337926 337922 335919 330917 324919 319923 310930 299933
      297935 298937 302939 304941 299954 295959 293961 296963
      300960 307958 317950 327943 332938 334930 337926
 2.00 495259 495257 495256 494254 494253 492251 491253 492254
      492256 493258 493259 494259 495259
 2.00 499229 499228 499227 499224 498221 496221 495223 495225
      495228 495230 496231 497231 498232 498231 499229
 2.00 478238 478236 478234 477233 476232 475232 474232 473234
      473236 474238 475239 477240 478238
 2.00 462223 463221 463218 462218 461217 460218 459218 457218
      457219 457221 457222 458223 460224 462224 462223
 2.00 458237 450236 441237 437239 432238 428235 422233 417231
      415229 414226 413221 410217 394205 386203 391211 396219
      396224 392225 388224 383227 382232 383238 386242 390244
      395246 401248 412250 421249 430248 438244 445243 454239
      458237
 2.00 379199 380197 379196 377196 376196 377197 378199 379199
 2.00 332926 330923 324922 317928 312933 307934 307937 304945
      303954 306956 310954 316948 322943 324940 327939 330930
      332926
 3.00 428242 427238 423236 413232 411228 411223 408224 406229
      403231 399229 390229 387230 386233 388237 392240 402243
      411244 421245 425245 428242
 3.00 400216 400213 398212 397213 398213 399215 399216 400216

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 469621 476627 479630 482634 486644 489660 491664 492673
      494689 495697 494704 493710 490713 471718 467717 461719
      453716 451702 451696 447695 442696 438693 432687 429683
      428676 429671 429666 432653 436644 441636 445633 448630
      449628
 0.01 535201 536190 534187 531185 523174 513161 510157 508155
      504154 501150 492140 489136 486134 478132 474133 470138
      480143 482146 481151 473149 470145 467136 467126 469116
      473106 475101 476096 476091 474088 470083 462082 459081
      457077 461071 464064 462060 454059 449061 446063 443065
      440071 437078 435089 433091 429091 421087 416080 415075
      416069 414061 409056 407054 405053 400051 397053 395055
      391061 388063 384061 375064 370060 362060 357064 356069
      358074 359078 354079 350072 346072 344073 338077 330075
      325076 322084 317088 311089 307093 303099 300104 299113
      301120 303128 308134 316136 321138 322143 320148 318150
      311151 303150 299158 297166 300169 306173 308177 313184
      317189 324198 326200 325202 322203 313204 306207 305213
      319238 325249 328255 331259 335266 340270 345274 353277
      372283 380286 388290 402295 413303 419308 428312 430314
      435316 441317 449319 455319 467319 470318 474319 478317
      480313 483301 488296 494293 499291 507293 508291 510284
      520258 519250 516242 510228 507220 503210 501208 497206
      488204 476204 471208 467209 463208 458208 452209 439213
      432210 430206 432203 436199 442197 449196 456194 463193
      471193 485198 493199 499198 510197 518199 523204 528206
      532209 533208 533204 535201
 0.01 464925 464913 462903 458889 454879 447864 437849 428838
      417821 412814 407808 398795 393789 387785 378780 374780
      369781 366783 362784 352786 342787 333786 328787 325790
      319793 312801 307808 304814 299821 288832 281837 276842
      272845 269849 265856 262862 259870 257878 256882 256889
      258892 258898 256907 247923 241937 237944 237954 240963
      241966 244969 248978 250982 253984 256986 261986 265986
      269987 276989 281989 284987 295977 307964 317952 323947
      328941 333936 341932 345931 351930 357930 362932 381932
      390933 396936 459940 462932 464925
 0.01 441760 441757 440755 439753 438750 436750 435751 434751
      433753 433754 433756 433759 434761 436763 438763 439763
      439762 441760 441760
 0.01 403188 402186 400186 398186 396187 395186 393185 391185
      390185 389186 388187 388189 389191 389192 390193 392194
      393195 395195 397195 398194 399192 401190 403188
 0.25 514261 516255 515251 513243 505226 502220 497215 490214
      487214 484217 485226 488233 482230 478223 469221 468217
      465216 461214 458216 455218 453223 453228 450230 443232
      437235 434237 431237 423234 416230 416222 415217 412214
      406212 399206 393202 387198 382193 377189 370183 358178
      354178 351176 347168 343163 337159 327158 319157 311158
      309159 308163 318175 329183 334187 339194 346197 349203
      350208 352212 353216 353220 354228 356236 360251 363257
      369262 376267 382273 388277 393280 402283 411287 425294
      433295 440293 446290 451286 455281 460277 466273 468270
      469265 472263 476262 480263 483265 495274 499276 502275
      508271 512266 514261
 0.25 506179 505174 499171 492168 489165 483161 480163 480168
      484172 488176 491181 496182 501180 506179
 0.25 466162 467160 467157 466157 465155 465154 464153 462153
      460153 458154 457155 457157 456159 454161 454162 456164
      457164 459163 461163 462163 464163 466162 466162
 0.25 447165 447161 446158 443154 439150 436145 435133 434127
      431123 426122 423122 419123 416121 413117 407111 401109
      398105 395095 387088 378087 377083 375080 373082 371087
      371094 370098 368101 363098 360095 356093 354095 356100
      358105 358112 354115 351112 346105 343094 339091 334089
      326096 320102 314109 315114 320116 327124 330134 333138
      337141 341143 344147 346152 350156 355157 358160 362161
      366159 368158 369155 372154 374156 377160 381165 384165
      387164 390160 393158 396159 402161 407162 411158 413153
      417151 420153 425155 430159 439165 444167 447165
 0.25 440909 441898 439889 437881 433874 426865 418856 411845
      407839 402834 394826 392824 389823 381823 373824 368822
      363817 357819 353817 352813 350812 338819 333822 329826
      324831 318834 306839 296847 289855 284861 281867 279873
      276878 271888 268895 267901 267908 265915 263921 263929
      265937 265944 263958 265964 269970 273972 278968 286962
      292958 295953 299947 305943 314938 325930 333923 345916
      356911 369908 383909 397908 402911 408913 419919 426918
      433914 438912 440909
 0.25 394142 394140 394138 393137 392137 392138 390138 389139
      388140 387141 388142 389143 389144 391144 393143 394142
 0.25 367207 366207 365205 365202 364200 364199 362198 361197
      359197 357198 357201 358202 358203 359205 361206 363207
      364208 366207 367207
 0.50 511260 512254 511249 507243 505234 502228 497221 494220
      492222 492227 493232 497239 503243 505246 505252 508260
      511260
 0.50 479241 479238 479236 479235 479233 478232 477230 476230
      475230 473231 473232 471233 471234 470235 469238 470240
      470241 471242 473243 474244 476243 477243 478242 479241
 0.50 453250 451249 449249 451251 453251 453250
 0.50 444250 439247 433246 424240 414236 413231 414224 411220
      406219 400225 394225 388223 378221 374223 370226 368232
      368239 370243 374247 380254 388260 397265 402267 406271
      412277 418279 424280 425276 424273 419269 423269 426268
      432268 437258 442250 444250
 0.50 427897 426883 424875 421870 414862 408853 400848 394845
      389843 385840 379839 368838 363838 359835 355830 350827
      345826 341828 333835 329839 325842 318844 313845 307847
      303849 295857 290865 283876 280886 276897 273908 272915
      272920 273924 274929 274935 270947 271955 274959 280960
      284957 291950 299943 306937 315930 324924 332919 340912
      351907 372900 380895 393892 399892 404893 413897 421899
      427897
 0.50 401218 402215 401212 398208 389202 381195 374189 369185
      364183 359185 358189 366195 373202 382209 387211 391214
      395218 398220 401219 401218
 0.50 375146 376140 375135 375129 374125 372122 367120 362120
      359123 355129 351128 352126 352121 351117 348117 346114
      342107 340098 337097 333099 328103 326106 326111 331117
      335124 338132 348143 351146 356147 362145 370148 375146
 0.50 346185 347179 347176 344169 342165 338163 333162 326160
      316159 314161 314163 314165 315168 322173 327176 334181
      338186 343187 346185 346185
 1.00 403252 404248 404246 401243 397240 392238 389236 386233
      381231 380235 382239 386241 391243 395246 398249 401252
      403252
 1.00 404876 404873 403871 402870 401869 400868 398867 396866
      394867 394868 395869 396871 397871 398873 399874 400875
      402876 404876 404876
 1.00 379864 379858 378853 375849 372846 354846 348844 344842
      342845 331856 331863 330868 326868 321864 316858 313856
      309855 305854 302856 298862 298868 296872 293879 292883
      292890 290899 291904 290910 290917 289921 286924 281939
      280945 283947 288945 291943 302933 315924 321919 326914
      341906 353899 360894 365888 370882 376877 377870 379864
 1.00 344180 343173 343169 341167 334165 327163 323164 324168
      330171 335174 338176 337172 339170 341173 341177 341179
      344180
 1.50 363869 362863 357859 353859 349864 348871 346875 344876
      338878 334880 329884 323887 313892 304898 300903 299906
      300910 306910 312912 310916 305920 296927 292930 290935
      294935 299930 308924 316917 317914 316912 313911 317910
      318908 323903 331897 336895 341890 349882 352879 359877
      362873 363869
 1.50 308880 308878 307875 305875 303876 301878 300880 300882
      301884 302885 303885 304884 305883 306882 307881 308880
 2.00 317898 317897 315898 313898 311900 311901 313902 315901
      317899 317898

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 500295 500286 500277 501269 500267 501263 505259 506253
      504252 501253 498251 495246 486233 483228 480222 482214
      484210 487209 490208 492206 491199 489195 483196 479196
      475193 472188 469185 465184 463178 458175 451166 444154
      441146 439139 434124 432118 432114 434116 442123 449124
      455120 459116 462114 471108 480097 481089 482083 483080
      485080 491085 495087 494080 491074 484067 465051 460047
      452046 444045 441048 439057 436062 433068 429073 427075
      427078 426088 425096 423103 422106 419106 415105 415101
      417096 414090 413086 413081 414076 413071 407060 407056
      404056 398057 393059 391062 387063 383060 380060 379063
      375061 372057 368053 361050 355052 351052 347051 319045
      313043 305042 300046 298050 293064 285067 273072 269085
      268094 272100 277110 283122 283130 281136 279143 279150
      284159 285162 285165 283172 289183 292189 291193 292197
      291202 294210 307228 322243 340259 346264 353268 358273
      364275 369279 375281 383284 389287 440301 453303 468304
      478304 483302 487298 494296 500295
 0.01 521989 518970 516964 513958 509941 504919 500899 496881
      483842 472815 465800 457785 448775 435773 428759 420740
      413726 409722 404721 391716 384713 378711 368714 362717
      348720 341724 339733 338738 335742 328746 323761 316770
      298792 295798 296808 290824 282835 274851 272855 268862
      262872 256883 253887 256891 260897 264903 268908 270917
      273928 267942 261956 261962 262966 262971 266974 270977
      277980 281981 286981 288979 293980 293989 295993 300994
      304994 308992 314989 319986 332975 336971 340965 344960
      347953 348947 348938 345917 344907 344902 346897 345877
      345867 345861 348859 352856 356854 363850 370851 376855
      397867 403871 407875 413880 416884 418888 423894 426901
      432914 433926 436935 438938 439941 437942 431941 428938
      424938 419945 412952 407954 404952 396952 389956 386963
      385983 385989 386992 387997 389000 393002 398002 406002
      410008 414015 418018 423018 425016 429012 433008 438002
      446002 450001 454001 463002 480002 484000 487003 492008
      504019 507020 509019 514012 518001 521989
 0.01 390043 391041 391038 389036 387036 387038 387040 387041
      388043 389043 390043 390043
 0.25 487285 482275 483268 482263 480257 478252 473247 468243
      464240 460235 457230 456226 457223 461218 462215 462211
      458209 455211 445213 442215 439219 433219 429216 424211
      421207 411199 400199 391193 387190 383189 382186 378184
      375180 371172 372168 370165 373162 377163 382166 385161
      384157 386153 386148 386143 384138 381131 382124 384122
      382119 379116 377114 378110 383104 388100 389098 389093
      391086 394087 396085 396080 395076 394074 390073 388075
      384080 380080 378078 373067 369064 365064 362065 360064
      358067 359073 362078 365083 364086 362087 363093 363097
      365097 368104 372108 372112 370115 366117 360118 356117
      353113 350109 348104 348099 355091 351087 348085 345087
      340084 336079 330075 325073 321076 317079 312080 306080
      300078 291076 285077 281080 279086 279091 285101 290114
      294123 300131 308138 308141 302141 297141 293145 291152
      292158 299167 305178 309188 315197 320205 325211 335220
      342226 353234 364239 374244 384252 401263 412269 427272
      438273 450275 456277 462280 465282 468285 472289 476292
      478290 479284 481283 483284 487285
 0.25 493939 492927 490918 487912 483910 480914 477921 472927
      469934 471940 475947 477950 481951 485951 488949 492942
      493939
 0.25 467922 467912 466905 465898 462891 458886 454883 453890
      452898 453906 456913 459920 462925 464927 467925 467922
 0.25 452857 451857 450855 450854 449855 450856 451857 451858
      452857
 0.25 424805 424800 423796 421793 418792 414798 412801 408802
      405810 408819 411826 414829 417831 421830 423827 423821
      422815 421811 423810 424805
 0.25 410768 409763 407759 403756 401757 400760 398760 397760
      397763 399767 401771 404775 406779 409780 409775 410768
      410768
 0.25 377742 376738 374735 371734 368734 364736 360736 352740
      346745 343750 343756 345759 347761 352761 359757 365753
      370749 375744 377742
 0.25 374785 374783 374781 373779 372778 370779 369779 368780
      367782 367784 367786 367787 368788 369789 371789 373788
      374785
 0.25 338060 337057 336055 333053 331052 327052 325053 322055
      321057 320061 321063 324065 326066 328066 332064 333064
      336062 338060
 0.25 323139 323138 321138 319138 317137 316137 314137 315140
      317141 319141 321141 322141 323139 323139
 0.25 320149 321147 320146 319144 318144 317143 315143 314144
      313146 314147 315148 316149 316151 317151 319151 320149
 0.25 329842 328836 327832 324830 312837 307838 299840 294843
      293851 293857 295864 294871 294877 293884 291891 287904
      283934 281950 282954 285957 291958 297958 301956 310947
      314943 317937 322924 323918 324909 326894 326886 324878
      321872 320869 321864 329842
 0.50 448254 448248 445245 437240 426236 419229 417225 417219
      415215 411213 395200 365178 362171 359170 355172 351173
      348170 347165 342163 335158 331157 325156 314152 305147
      301148 298150 297153 299158 311172 330203 340217 348223
      356229 372237 382243 391248 398252 407257 419260 428261
      439259 444257 448254
 0.50 378139 377133 378128 376125 372124 369124 363128 358127
      355121 352114 348109 336084 332081 325081 319084 312085
      305084 298082 291083 289085 288089 289095 292102 295109
      296115 299121 303126 310129 318130 323128 327124 330125
      332128 335134 341146 354152 357156 359158 363160 366155
      372152 378139
 0.50 362200 362199 361197 361196 359195 357195 355195 355196
      355197 356198 357199 358200 360201 362200 362200
 0.50 332058 330056 328056 327057 328059 330059 332058 332058
 0.50 315909 316894 314889 309886 305886 302889 299893 297898
      295910 294924 296937 298942 303944 310938 313934 314926
      315913 315909
 1.00 429250 429246 428244 425241 416233 414231 413227 414223
      413219 412217 408217 405215 403213 370183 360180 355180
      352182 352186 357190 363193 371200 378208 388213 400220
      403224 402228 399228 389228 383226 379222 371213 361208
      353201 351197 348191 347185 346178 345172 342166 321158
      315156 307154 306158 309162 324177 333185 336196 340204
      344208 349212 357219 362223 369226 378230 385238 391243
      395246 408251 420252 426252 429250
 1.00 347134 347129 345125 345121 347116 346111 344107 338100
      333094 328094 324096 321097 321104 325111 331116 336123
      340131 343135 345136 347134
 1.00 318116 318108 314101 310096 309093 306090 300089 298095
      299103 302111 305119 306121 310123 314122 316120 318116
 1.50 423246 422243 420240 417238 414238 412238 408238 406238
      403239 403241 404243 405245 409247 411247 414247 418247
      420247 423246
 1.50 411226 412223 411222 409221 408222 408225 409226 410226
      411226
 1.50 401239 399239 398236 396235 395235 394235 394237 394238
      396239 397239 399239 401239
 1.50 401213 398210 392207 385200 375194 369186 366183 359182
      355184 356188 367193 375198 379203 383206 391211 396215
      400215 401213
 1.50 350206 349201 346195 344189 343182 341168 339171 334167
      331164 324161 319159 316159 314161 316165 321169 332175
      340183 341190 340195 342200 346205 350206
 1.50 338113 337110 335110 336112 336113 338113
 2.00 370190 369188 369187 368186 366185 364184 362184 361183
      359184 358185 359186 360188 362189 363190 365190 367191
      369191 370190
 2.00 330168 329166 328165 327165 325165 324165 325166 325167
      326168 328169 330169 330168

$$





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