Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210801
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 AM EDT WED JUN 21 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 21/1200 UTC THRU JUN 24/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF
COAST REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM CINDY...WITH THE
THREAT SPREADING A BIT FURTHER INLAND AS WELL TODAY OVER PORTIONS
OF MS/AL. A BROAD PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WITH PWAT VALUES OF 2"+ EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH VALUES AROUND 2.5" PROBABLE AS
WELL. IN FACT RECENT RAP RUNS ARE FORECASTING PWAT VALUES NEAR ALL
TIME RECORD MAXES ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/MS/AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE
(ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST COULD BE A BIT OVERDONE). NEEDLESS TO SAY
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE RIPE FOR EFFICIENT WARM RAIN PROCESSES
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RATES EVEN WITHOUT ROBUST DEEP
CONVECTION. CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE WE WILL SEE TWO SEPARATE AREAS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL...ONE ASSOCIATED WITH A CONVERGENCE AXIS WELL
NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM...AND ANOTHER CLOSER TO (ALTHOUGH
STILL NORTH OF) THE CENTER OF CINDY.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER THE DAY 1 PERIOD APPEARS TO LIKELY BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVERGENCE AXIS AND FEEDER BAND WELL
NORTHEAST OF CINDY. ALREADY SEEING HEAVY RAINFALL IN THIS AREA
MOVING INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS/AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE.
SHOULD SEE WAVES OF RAIN CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH STRONG LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT PERSISTING. EXPECT THAT WE WILL SEE A
BROAD SHIELD OF STRATIFORM RAIN WITH EMBEDDED LOW TOPPED
CONVECTIVE CORES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES.
THE THREAT SHOULD SLOWLY PROGRESS A BIT FURTHER INLAND THROUGH THE
DAY AS WELL...ALTHOUGH WOULD EXPECT THE INTENSITY TO GRADUALLY
WANE THE FURTHER NORTH YOU GO. AS CINDY PROGRESSES WEST THIS
MOISTURE TRANSPORT AXIS MAY TEND TO SLOWLY SHIFT WEST AS
WELL...WITH CONVECTION EVENTUALLY PROPAGATING A BIT BACK TOWARDS
THE NORTHEAST LATER IN THE DAY. SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE
WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THIS HEAVY RAINFALL AXIS AND ITS
INLAND EXTENT. STAYED AWAY FROM THE 12Z ECMWF...WHICH APPEARED TO
BE TAKING CINDY TOO FAR WEST AND THUS ALSO WAS WEST WITH THE HEAVY
RAINFALL. OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE THE 0Z GFS AND UKMET SEEMED TO
BEST MATCH OUR EXPECTED EVOLUTION...ALTHOUGH THE GFS WAS PROBABLY
TOO FAR INLAND WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS...AND THINK THE UKMET IS
PROBABLY KEEPING THE HIGHEST TOTALS TOO CONFINED TO THE COAST.
OVERALL THUS QPF FORECAST RELIED HEAVILY ON THE 0Z SUITE OF HIGH
RES MODELS. WPC QPF GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS OF THE
AVAILABLE HIGH RES GUIDANCE...WHICH ENDS UP CLOSEST TO THE 0Z NSSL
WRF. THE DAY 1 WPC QPF IS CALLING FOR 3"+ FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO
SOUTHWEST AL AND THE FAR WESTERN FL PANHANDLE...WITH 5-8" IN FAR
SOUTHERN AL AND FAR WESTERN FL PANHANDLE. THIS IS A BIT OF A SHIFT
EAST FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND BRINGS SOME HEAVIER TOTALS
FURTHER INLAND. AMOUNTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE SUPPORTED BY ALL THE
HIGH RES GUIDANCE. AGAIN THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY IS NOT REALLY WITH
THE GENERAL MAGNITUDE OF AMOUNTS...BUT WITH THE AXIS OF HIGHEST
TOTALS. SOME CHANCE THE AXIS SHIFTS A BIT WEST OR EAST OF OUR
CURRENT FORECAST...WITH OUR CURRENT FORECAST FEATURING A PLACEMENT
IN THE MIDDLE OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE.

THE SECOND AREA OF HEAVIER TOTALS IS FORECAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN
LA COAST INTO FAR SOUTHEAST TX TO THE NORTH OF CINDY`S
CIRCULATION. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE SPEED AND TRACK OF
CINDY WHICH WILL IMPACT THIS RAINFALL AXIS...WITH WPC FOLLOWING A
CONSENSUS...WHICH MATCHES WELL WITH THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK. ONLY
REALLY LEANED AWAY FROM THE 12Z ECMWF (TOO FAR WEST) AND THE 0Z
HRW ARW (TOO FAR EAST)...OTHERWISE A BLEND OF THE GFS/UKMET AND
THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE WAS USED. LOOKING AT AMOUNTS UPWARDS OF 2-4"
THOUGH 12Z THURSDAY..WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS APPROACHING 6"
POSSIBLE.


...PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES...

LIKELY TO HAVE CONVECTION BREAK OUT TODAY ALONG THE DRY LINE FROM
THE TX PANHANDLE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF A WARM FRONT OVER THE MS VALLEY AND
GREAT LAKES AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES INTO THIS
BOUNDARY. WPC QPF FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE HIGH RES
GUIDANCE ACROSS THESE REGIONS.



DAYS 2 AND 3...

...WRN/CNTL GULF COAST NEWD INTO THE TN/LOWER OH VALLEY INTO THE
MID ATLC REGION

DAY 2 AND 3

TROPICAL STORM CINDY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE BY THE START OF
THE DAY 2 PD NEAR THE TX/LA COAST THEN MOVE SLOWLY NWD THEN NEWD
AROUND THE WRN PERIPHERY OF WRN ATLC/SE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AXIS...EVENTUALLY SHEARING INTO INCREASING WLY FLOW BY DAY 3
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.  THOUGH EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WIND WISE...THE
SYSTEM WILL REMAIN A HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT ACRS THE CNTL
AND WRN GULF COAST STATES AS WELL AS NEWD INTO THE TN VALLEY AND
CNTL APLCNS AS DEEP TROPICAL MSTR SPREADS NEWD TO THE EAST OF THE
CIRCULATION.  PATRN SUGGESTS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL REMAIN
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PD..BUT AS THE STORM MOVES NWD THROUGH ERN TX INTO AR THUR
NIGHT...POTNL WILL EXIST FOR SOME NOCTURNAL CONTRACTION OF THE
MORE INTENSE RAINS TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT CIRCULATION
THAT COULD ALSO REPEAT OVER PORTIONS OF THE TN VALLEY FRI NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY LEADING TO LOCALLY VERY INTENSE RAINS.  BY DAY 3 THE
INTERACTION OF TROPICAL MSTR SPREADING NWD THROUGH THE TN AND
LOWER OH VALLEYS WITH A COLD FRONT DROPPING SEWD FROM THE UPPER
MIDWEST WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ORGANIZED INTENSE RAINS ACRS PORTIONS
OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY EWD INTO THE CNTL APLCNS.  MANUAL QPF WAS
BASED PRIMARILY ON LATEST NHC STORM TRACK GUIDANCE...WITH HEAVY
EMPHASIS ON A UKMET/GFS BLEND THROUGH MUCH OF THE  DAY 2/3 PD AS
THESE MODELS HAVE COMPARABLE SOLNS WITH NORTHERN STREAM DVLPMENTS
AND WERE REASONABLY CLOSE WITH TS CINDY REMNANTS.  DAY 2 EXCESSIVE
RAIN HAS INCLUDED A SLIGHT TO MDT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS ALONG
CINDYS TRACK NEAR THE ARKLATX REGION AS WELL NEAR THE CNTL GULF
COAST NWD INTO ERN MS AND AL WHERE PERSISTENT ERN END OF DEEPER
LAYERED INFLOW WILL FOCUS MUCH OF THE DAY 2 PD. LOCAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE PSBL ACRS THIS AREA WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES PSBL IN STGR INFLOW BANDS AS WELL AS
WITH NOCTURNAL ENHANCEMENT NEAR THE CENTER.   BY DAY 3...HAVE
INDICATED A RATHER BROAD SLIGHT RISK AREA FROM NRN PORTIONS OF THE
LOWER MS VALLEY ENEWD THROUGH THE TN/LOWER OH VALLEYS INTO THE
CNTL APLCNS..GIVEN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PWS BETWEEN 2 TO 2.75 INCHES
TO THE NEAR AND WELL EAST OF CINDY THAT WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
AREAL AVG RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THIS
AREA..WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 5 INCHES.

...UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST...

DAY 2...

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW OR STALL INITIALLY ACRS THE
WRN GT LAKES/UPPER MIDWEST REGION THURS MORNING AS SUPPORTING
UPPER ENERGY SHEARS INTO CANADA.  LOW LEVEL SWLY FLOW IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE ALONG THE BNDRY ON THU IN RESPONSE TO STGR UPSTREAM
ENERGY DROPPING SEWD FROM SASK/MANITOBA REGION..ALLOWING MSTR TO
DEEPEN ALONG THE FRONT TO OVER 1.75 INCHES.  THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS/TSTMS ALONG THE BNDRY THROUGH THE DAY..SOME
OF WHICH WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY WITH PSBL TRAINING BEFORE SUPPORTING
LOW PRESSURE MOVES NEWD TOWARD THE WRN GT LAKES REGION LATE
THUR/THUR EVENING AND ALLOWS ASSOCD COLD FRONT AND ATTENDING
CONVECTION TO SHIFT RAPIDLY SEWD THUR NIGHT.  THERE IS DECENT
GLOBAL MODEL SUPPORT FOR AN AXIS OF HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINS ACRS
THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE LOWER GT LAKES REGION..BUT WITH TYPICAL
N/S LATITUDE DIFFERENCES AT THIS TIME RANGE.  GENLY FOLLOWED THE
TREND OF THE GFS/UKMET ALONG WITH THE NAM CONEST WITH THE AXIS OF
HEAVIER RAIN..THOUGH KEPT HEAVIEST AMOUNTS MORE SOUTHERN AXES OF
THE UKMET/GFS GIVEN TYPICAL BIAS OF BEING TOO FAR NORTH WITH THEIR
CONVECTIVE RAINS.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLD
HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL SUPPORT POTNL FOR FLASH FLOODS FROM NE IA EWD
THROUGH SRN IA AND INTO NRN PORTIONS OF THE L.P. OF MI WHERE HAVE
INDICATED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINS GIVEN RELATIVELY LOW
FFG VALUES THERE.

DAY 3...

COLD FRONT SHOULD ACCELERATE INTO THE OH VALLEY AND NORTHEAST ON
FRI/FRI NIGHT AND AT THE SAME TIME..SHOULD BEGIN TO DRAW IN SOME
DEEPER TROPICAL MSTR FROM THE TN VALLEY...THOUGH THE NWD EXTENT OF
THE DEEP TROP MSTR WILL BE TEMPERED BY GRADUAL VEERING 85H FLOW
ACRS THE OH VALLEY WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE MUCH DEEPER TROPICAL PWS
AOA 2 INCHES FOCUSED ACRS THE TN AND SRN OH VALLEY EWD.  THE 00Z
UKMET TRENDED TOWARD THE MORE AMPLIFIED GFS WITH S/WV MOVING ACRS
THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GT LAKES BY THE START OF THE
DAY 3 PD.  THE RESULTANT STG DEEPENING OF SFC LOW TRACKING NEWD
INTO CANADA WILL HELP TO ACCELERATE THE COLD FRONT EWD INTO AND
THRU MOST OF NEW ENGLAND BY SAT MORNING.  GIVEN THIS TREND..AND
RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE GFS WITH THE WAVE...LEANED TOWARD A
GFS/UKMET COMPROMISE WITH THE QPF TIMING AND AMOUNTS.  TIMING OF
FRONT WITH PEAK HEATING COULD SUPPORT SOME INTENSE HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINS WITH THE COLD FRONT WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINS
EXPECTED FROM NRN NY INTO NRN MAINE WITH AREAL AVG AMOUNTS OF .50
TO NEAR 1 INCH EXPECTED.  RAINS COULD APCH SOME OF THE LOWER FFG
VALUES BUT OVERALL QUICKER MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FF ISSUES.


...CNTL/SRN PLAINS...

NWLY FLOW PATRN WILL FAVOR SCTD TSTM DVLPMENT IN THE HIER
TERRAIN/UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE CNTL ROCKIES ESPECIALLY BEHIND COLD
FRONT DROPPING SWD THRU THE REGION THAT WILL TRACK SEWD INTO THE
PLAINS ON DAY 2 BECOMING A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD ALONG THE FRONT BY
DAY 3 OVER THE SRN PLAINS AS FRONT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER
SIGNIFICANTLY HIER PWS BEING DRAWN WWD ACRS THE RED RIVER REGION
BY SAT MORNING. BY LATE FRI NIGHT..WOULD SUSPECT THERE WOULD BE
SOME INCREASED THREAT OF HEAVIER CONVECTIVE RAINS AND PSBL ISOLD
EXCESSIVE RAINS DVLPING VCNTY OF THE RED RIVER WWD INTO SE CO/NE
NM GIVEN INCREASING ELY MSTR FLUX INTO THE BNDRY BUT CONFIDENCE IN
AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME RANGE IS RATHER LOW GIVEN LARGE MODEL SPREAD
AND WEAK FORCING.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


CHENARD/SULLIVAN

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 559110 551109 546107 542103 537095 532085 529071 525062
      518054 513046 509037 504029 498023 492017 486012 483009
      480005 476001 468002 464999 462994 460990 459984 457988
      457004 456018 454030 451036 447041 444043 441041 440036
      439029 438024 437018 434006 433001 435996 439987 439980
      435973 432973 430978 430984 428987 422994 418997 412999
      405003 399012 392019 389022 387027 386034 387039 393049
      397056 396062 393064 386058 383049 382041 380040 378043
      378048 377060 373066 369064 366059 365053 364051 360050
      351053 344057 342058 341061 340063 337063 327059 319054
      322052 327050 330049 333045 340042 349042 353043 356042
      356038 353036 344038 335034 337023 338018 341013 346012
      350007 365998 374992 382989 391984 394981 396976 399964
      403956 412942 409938 407933 409926 410921 410915 412912
      415911 417906 418898 418891 423892 424890 424886 423882
      423878 421873 415862 411852 407843 406839 404837 402841
      400850 399857 398862 397871 395880 393888 390892 387892
      385890 383885 383878 383871 384865 385852 386844 387838
      389828 390814 390799 392787 391779 384780 376783 373779
      371774 366781 363784 362788 361797 364798 365800 366806
      364809 361817 359821 360827 367851 368857 371861 375869
      374898 372910 368919 365927 361934 358938 355939 346939
      340939 337941 331946 319959 312966 304972 300973 296972
      288967 280960 270958 261954 255948 250940 247932 247920
      248911 251889 252881 254875 258865 260860 263855 266853
      271852 278851 282849 289843 293839 289835 285832 281830
      273827 269825 266823 258820 252815 247807 245802 247799
      249797 254797 262798 268800 275802 280805 291809
 0.01 291809 300810 306812 315809 318801 323767 325757 328750
      331741 330735 331729 335728 342729 348725 352719 357711
      361704 362699 364699 370705 375712 378718 381726 381736
      380748 378757 377760 381759 385758 389755 389744 391737
      393729 395722 402706 407699 412698 417699 419701 423700
      425703 426706 426715 424725 422736 421746 421757 419769
      417785 415794 415800 414805 414812 413817 414820 416820
      419818 428814 434817 443827 451840 456849 461855 464858
      469857 476851 478849 482849 488848 502854 516860 522863
      526865 528870 535882 542898 547908 550918 552928 552945
      552958 555966 561982 564985 565989 566998 568013
 0.01 525256 522256 520256 517257 515257 513259 511260 508262
      507264 507266 507272 508275 510278 511280 513283 516285
 0.01 542197 537191 532189 528187 528181 528175 526166 522158
      522151 522145 519138 516131 512123 508113 506105 504096
      504088 503084 501073 498054 493034 492030 489030 486037
      484049 482061 482073 483082 488102 489106 489113 488124
      490134 491138 491146 494153 498159 494168 494172 497177
      501183 505188 510189 513188 516187 518192 517198 518201
      518207 519210 523216 526217 529216 533217 538213
 0.01 501642 501637 499633 497631 493630 483631 479632 476635
      468638 464642 461646 457653 453660 445670 440684 439693
      438695 440697 442700 442705 440713 439716 439721 442726
      446727 447731 448737 446741 444742 443746 443752 448751
      450753 454752 459753 464753 469751 484728 489711 491695
      494688 495684 498680 500675 501672 500666 498664 498659
      499652 501642
 0.01 385196 384195 383193 383192 381192 380195 381195 382197
      384196 385196
 0.01 338080 338078 336075 333074 329074 327076 325076 323080
      323083 324085 326087 328088 331088 333087 335085 336082
      338080
 0.25 559090 555062 555055 554048 551039 548026 548017 545019
      543023 541024 540021 542014 545012 547012 548010 550003
      550996 548989 546979 544973 544968 541935 537926 533919
      526912 521911 518914 515921 507923 504924 499922 497924
      497926 499932 504937 500944 497949 496954 492969 493976
      494981 499988 505996 513002 518008 524014 527018 530023
      532026 537029 539033 538038 535043 535046 532046 532053
      534058 537071 542078 550082 551087 555091 557092 559090
 0.25 471680 470676 468673 461672 458675 457679 456687 456697
      459707 457711 458715 463713 464710 465706 464702 461691
      463687 466687 469686 471683 471680
 0.25 456884 456876 455870 452860 448849 444842 440839 436839
      433847 431853 431859 429862 424864 426873 428886 429899
      429909 428916 424919 422922 421928 423933 426935 428933
      435930 440929 443924 445915 448904 450894 456884
 0.25 444012 445010 445007 445005 446002 446000 446998 445995
      445994 443994 443995 442997 442000 442002 442005 442007
      442009 442012 442014 444013 444012
 0.25 435957 435952 434949 433946 431944 430945 429942 428938
      426936 423938 423942 424947 426949 428951 430953 431955
      434957 435957
 0.25 421964 420961 417961 414966 412971 408977 405982 402986
      399991 401993 405993 411991 414987 415980 418973 421966
      421964
 0.25 420860 420858 420856 420853 420851 420849 420846 419844
      419842 418840 417839 416838 414840 415842 415844 415847
      416849 416851 416854 417855 417856 417858 418860 419861
      420860
 0.25 386004 385001 382001 378004 374006 371006 369007 365011
      361012 354018 347019 344019 343022 347026 352028 357027
      361023 364019 368016 375019 382020 381015 379010 383007
      386004
 0.25 373751 373744 371736 368732 365730 361729 356731 351739
      343753 339760 334767 330771 329777 327788 322810 316815
      309818 291813 278814 273814 270811 263805 260805 258808
      259812 265817 270820 275823 278825 287826 293826 297828
      304823 307823 311826 317833 317838 314842 311844 306845
      296847 292851 283858 277863 270869 264877 262885 260894
      260906 261915 261922 262929 266938 272945 279951 291960
      295963 299962 305957 315954 322949 323943 322938 327929
      330921 330916 326916 323917 320916 322912 328912 333910
      336906 338902 342899 346897 351897 356896 359893 361891
      365889 369888 369884 365882 361881 358870 356865 356857
      356844 357832 351826 349830 346831 340828 333825 329823
      328818 329813 331807 335798 336794 339790 345781 350774
      353770 355769 357770 362775 365776 366773 373751
 0.25 351848 351846 351844 350842 350841 350842 349844 349846
      349848 351850 351848
 0.25 315824 315822 314821 313820 312820 310820 312822 314824
      315824
 0.50 539973 540968 539966 537960 535953 532949 528946 525949
      520959 512963 508967 507973 512983 518991 523994 525994
      524988 529989 534986 536979 539973
 0.50 449879 450875 450870 449862 448856 446850 444848 442849
      439854 435864 433868 431873 432883 431890 433897 433904
      433909 434912 436913 443904 444898 445892 447885 449880
      449879
 0.50 357881 356874 354872 347867 345859 342853 337845 331840
      329839 325840 321845 304851 297853 291856 284861 279867
      275872 272878 270887 271897 274915 272924 272930 274935
      277941 281945 293957 295958 299957 305954 311951 317945
      319936 321930 321924 319921 313916 313912 315909 318903
      322901 327902 332900 336898 345890 352886 357881
 0.50 324818 324816 323814 321814 320815 319815 317816 316817
      317819 318820 319821 321821 323820 324818
 0.50 300819 299817 295817 290816 290820 283819 277819 272817
      274821 279823 285823 292824 298824 300819
 1.00 340882 340876 339872 334867 326866 322862 320858 317856
      309854 304855 299856 294860 284869 282872 281876 281884
      287900 291901 296900 302902 310903 315900 323897 329894
      335889 339884 340882
 1.00 314939 315931 314926 311920 308916 304913 302909 293906
      290904 286905 284908 280919 278924 277931 283940 290947
      294951 297952 307949 312946 314941 314939
 1.50 335882 335878 334873 330870 321865 313858 307856 302857
      297861 293865 286873 286877 287881 289887 295896 306901
      318896 324894 327891 332887 335882
 1.50 312939 313932 311928 307920 301914 297912 293911 290913
      287916 282923 281929 283935 284939 287941 295945 298948
      303948 308947 311945 312939
 2.00 333880 333876 331873 326870 322868 317864 314860 309858
      305857 302859 299862 291870 288876 289881 292887 296891
      300895 304898 308898 311897 317895 322892 325889 330884
      333880
 2.00 310935 308928 304922 303918 299916 294914 288918 284924
      284928 285931 285936 287939 294942 301944 303945 307944
      310937 310935
 3.00 327878 326874 323871 316866 310861 306860 303863 297869
      292875 292881 294884 300890 303893 307894 316891 320888
      322885 327878
 3.00 299931 300926 299924 297921 295922 294925 292929 291931
      290933 290937 292938 294937 297935 299933 299931
 4.00 322879 323876 321873 319871 314867 310866 308863 304866
      299871 294876 298884 302889 305891 308890 314887 320881
      322879
 5.00 319877 317873 315870 311869 307867 304868 301872 299874
      298878 299882 302886 305888 311887 314884 316881 319877
      319877
 6.00 317877 316874 314872 311871 308869 305870 303872 301875
      300878 301881 303884 305885 309884 311883 313881 315879
      317877
 7.00 313877 313875 312874 310873 308872 306872 305872 303874
      303875 303876 302878 303880 305881 307881 309880 310879
      312878 313877

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 561082 561076 560070 558061 555037 553006 553968 554938
      553921 552915 552906 551897 550890 550881 548876 543864
      540855 539848 536839 533830 529821 525812 522802 516793
      512783 509778 505774 488767 483768 478767 476765 476760
      475752 474744 472739 467729 457714 455712 452710 445709
      443709 442706 440701 438697 437700 431721 429727 426731
      421739 418742 417747 414758 413763 412766 409768 400773
      394768 389765 384765 366773 360777 355782 351784 346782
      338781 333780 334775 333773 330774 328777 324777 322786
      320795 307805 303807 297808 285809 273811 266816 262820
      261822 261826 262829 264830 265832 269833 277833 284835
      288837 292837 297837 301835 302840 303843 301846 292849
      284854 277860 264872 252887 249895 246905 246917 250925
      254933 256940 259950 265954 269956 273956 279957 281960
      284966 285968 287968 299969 322969 326969 330965 339959
      352947 356945 358941 364932 370927 375927 380927 383927
      385930 385943 385956 382965 379979 375989 369996 362001
      355006 349013 341026 335036 331040 332045 333048 330049
      329051 331053 345046 349046 355044 358040 363038 366035
      370033 374035 376039 379047 382050 380051 377049 376052
      381054 389059 392063 394069 397075 401076 404073 410073
      415066 416062 414058 415055 417052 422046 427045 431047
      434047 438045 441041 442033 446023 450012 452002 454991
      454983 455977 456961 457945 458929 458920 461914 467906
      477895 477883 478880 481880 486880 490881 495882 500884
      501889 501894 502901 499907 497909 494914 484929 480938
      479944 479951 483962 485968 487974 490985 493990 493998
      494004 494012 494028
 0.01 494028 495050 499069 503086 506104 511105 514114 516122
      518133 519142 518148 515145 508129 504124 499118 494114
      491112 489114 487122 486128 487132 490140 495146 499152
      504157 509162 513165 516167 522171 526177 531182 532184
      537183 542182 544179 545173 550151 552142 553128 554115
      555107 556103 561082
 0.01 435026 428016 424014 420013 418011 418007 420003 423999
      425996 425992 421980 418977 415980 410991 408995 407003
      410014 411020 418022 424022 428025 431027 435026
 0.01 386201 386196 385194 383192 380190 378189 375187 373185
      370185 369186 371189 372191 375193 377196 379198 380199
      384201 386201
 0.01 348112 346107 343102 340096 337091 335086 332084 331088
      333090 336095 338100 341105 344111 348112
 0.01 351037 350035 348035 346037 348039 349039 351037
 0.01 316118 317110 314105 313098 314088 309077 309074 307076
      300077 295074 293068 290062 288060 285059 282059 282062
      284064 284067 279063 272062 267060 259059 251057 246053
      238046 234046 231047 234054 241062 245066 250071 258078
      266087 274094 282096 286096 288097 287099 303114 309118
      316118
 0.25 536928 536920 534915 533912 530907 528904 526904 525907
      526915 526923 527928 527936 528942 532941 534936 536931
      536928
 0.25 523076 525068 524059 523054 521049 518050 517043 514030
      513016 513012 514008 513999 510990 505980 503967 501961
      499962 497964 498970 500983 505994 506008 506039 506054
      509058 512061 515061 514069 514078 516085 518086 521083
      523076
 0.25 522863 522854 521847 518842 515837 509830 501824 497822
      493823 490826 487833 485846 484852 484857 485860 487862
      489862 493858 497857 501860 509864 514866 520865 522863
 0.25 467824 466795 465788 464781 462776 459773 455772 452775
      444776 437794 433795 430793 422795 413795 406799 404802
      405808 409816 413826 418835 423841 430840 431846 432852
      429864 427868 424871 420873 418877 415888 414893 414900
      415912 415922 415929 416933 418940 421945 425950 429952
      432950 435947 437942 440932 451889 453880 456870 458859
      462849 464844 466837 467824
 0.25 450961 451956 449952 445961 443969 441978 439988 438000
      437004 439006 442004 443000 445990 447981 449971 450961
 0.25 399802 398797 394794 389792 382792 376795 371799 367802
      360805 351810 347814 343818 341824 339831 335843 333848
      329852 321860 298870 288874 285878 281883 278887 277891
      278895 281908 285911 291911 299910 303910 294918 288920
      284923 281926 278931 278935 279937 284939 289936 292939
      293945 297949 303956 309959 313960 320960 326957 336949
      343943 351936 358928 366917 371909 378899 383888 390877
      394866 397859 398852 399845 399834 400818 399802
 0.25 397021 396014 396004 398998 399993 396992 392995 388999
      385004 382010 381016 385020 389025 391026 393025 397021
 0.25 283082 283080 281079 279079 278080 278082 279082 281082
      283082 283082
 0.25 276079 277077 276077 274077 276079 276079
 0.50 460805 460796 458788 455788 454791 451798 448802 445810
      444817 443820 439821 434819 433823 433828 434839 435849
      434856 432864 426878 423891 421898 421909 422928 429940
      432943 435937 440923 446891 453862 456845 458827 460805
 0.50 395816 395808 395803 393799 390797 387798 381803 380807
      381812 381818 379821 373824 369824 367820 364816 357816
      352820 348827 345833 345846 343851 338857 328863 313868
      301874 294877 291879 289883 287889 289898 290901 294903
      302902 310899 318899 325897 333894 337891 341886 345880
      348878 351879 358881 361885 356891 350895 328907 320909
      315912 308917 301920 289923 284927 282930 282935 286932
      292931 296932 301946 304951 309955 316957 323955 329952
      335946 339942 345937 352929 360916 362909 363906 366903
      371899 376893 379887 383882 387876 390869 392862 394852
      395843 394835 395816
 1.00 453823 453817 452818 449829 445837 441846 438855 435866
      433875 430885 428897 426909 426915 427922 430925 431931
      436924 437919 438914 443891 445881 448870 450859 451846
      453823
 1.00 390842 386840 382840 378841 376846 375851 376856 378861
      380866 381870 385870 387865 388861 388854 390849 390844
      390842
 1.00 371876 370869 369865 367858 364856 362853 357854 355859
      354863 357867 362867 365869 367874 370877 371876
 1.00 350919 349913 348910 344908 332913 321917 312922 307925
      303931 303936 304943 311952 317953 323951 328948 332945
      340936 347928 350919
 1.00 334876 335873 334870 329872 325873 320872 312873 304878
      297882 295886 295889 296893 300895 303895 309893 318891
      327888 330880 334876
 1.50 448855 448847 446847 444850 440861 438873 435885 431897
      430912 429917 431919 434914 436909 440897 443885 445872
      448858 448855
 1.50 344921 344917 341913 335914 332915 323919 315923 309928
      307932 305937 310945 312948 317949 327945 332941 338934
      343928 344921
 1.50 321881 318878 313877 310877 305880 301882 299884 298887
      300890 304891 307890 313889 316887 320883 321881
 2.00 446855 446853 446852 446853 446855 446856 446855
 2.00 442875 443873 442871 441873 440875 442877 442875
 2.00 441882 441877 440878 439880 437885 437887 436892 435895
      434899 434902 436903 437899 438897 439894 440890 440885
      441882
 2.00 341926 341919 337916 332917 328920 324922 321927 316935
      313935 314933 317928 314926 310930 308933 308936 310937
      312943 316947 321946 327943 334936 339929 341926
 2.00 316883 316881 314880 312880 310880 309880 307881 305882
      303883 302884 302886 301886 302887 304887 305887 307887
      309886 311886 312886 313886 314885 316883
 3.00 334926 331924 328926 326928 323932 321935 317938 317943
      321940 327939 330937 332933 333928 334926

24HR QP VT 24/12Z
 0.01 462623 470624 474625 478623 486624 494622 499630 502632
      503638 507645 510653 511662 513670 515676 518681 523693
      523704 522717 525725 529735 529748 530761 529768 529775
      528799 528808 527812 527824 526848 524873 528901 531915
      533930 533939 532945 531960 527966 526973 525978 520983
      515985 511985 504983 501980 497980 485970 482967 479962
      474952 472947 471940 471934 472928 473923 473916 472910
      472902 478887 483879 487871 486863 485859 483848 482842
      481837 480830 477825 473819 469814 461820 455825 448831
      443838 431852 429857 426862 423872 408904 400919 398927
      397933 396939 395944 395952 397966 398979 398991 400996
      403998 405996 408991 411988 417993 422999 425003 426007
      429016 435035 435040 431040 427042 423042 416043 407043
      401042 398046 402058 401061 395060 389060 383060 374061
      370062 368057 359058 355058 351057 346051 344047 343043
      342037 339036 337036 335033 325032 315030 324021 328012
      331001 328991 324982 320974 314969 305967 296965 293962
      292958 289949 288943 290943 290939 288937 286937 279939
      276932 275929 277925 280918 279912 280910 285903 290894
      296889 304883 310877 313874 315869 318860 328848 337835
      342828 345820 350806 352804 351801 348798 344794 343787
      342781 344776 348769 352762 358754 369740 376723 379716
      385719 398726 405728 409727 411725 418719 427713 435697
      440687 443676 444671 443663 441650 441642 444639 447633
      450627
 0.01 533174 534170 534167 531164 523157 519147 512140 506135
      501131 496129 488126 482124 479119 475111 472107 468105
      464112 465118 468122 473129 481136 487143 492153 494156
      497159 504167 510173 521177 524181 528180 533174
 0.01 528047 528042 527039 525033 521025 516020 508010 508004
      506002 502997 494987 484977 476969 467959 460948 458945
      455944 450942 447945 447947 449953 452962 454969 459982
      462989 465992 467991 469989 472987 477990 482997 486002
      490008 490013 489026 489038 492043 497046 504048 510051
      515051 519050 525049 528047
 0.01 446048 446046 445043 445041 445038 443036 441036 440038
      441041 443043 444046 446048 446048
 0.01 321061 319056 316052 311048 306045 300043 297043 296046
      296053 297056 299057 305056 311058 315062 319063 321061
 0.01 303842 303840 301838 301837 299836 299835 297834 295834
      295836 295838 295841 294843 295845 296845 298847 300847
      300846 301845 302844 303842 303842
 0.01 258801 257799 253799 251800 249802 248804 248808 248812
      249816 250816 251813 252810 253808 255806 257803 258801
 0.25 516158 516153 514151 510146 505143 500140 496137 492137
      490139 492144 495148 499152 504157 508160 514160 516158
 0.25 487655 487651 486647 483643 481636 478632 476631 473633
      470638 465645 461650 457654 455659 454665 451677 450692
      446702 442713 439723 435732 430745 425754 424763 421768
      419771 417763 415760 407754 399749 392746 387744 380744
      377745 376748 374753 372765 373770 371775 364794 358814
      353826 348835 337854 332862 326869 320877 315883 311888
      309893 307897 312899 317902 319906 318912 319917 320924
      322929 325933 327937 330942 334945 337946 342945 345942
      347937 348931 351925 359916 363913 368911 370911 374908
      381902 387895 392887 397876 401864 410843 417822 425803
      427797 429790 431783 433779 439770 444760 446761 447764
      447771 447778 445784 442794 441800 442804 444804 457785
      462782 468780 478776 489773 492769 494764 495757 495751
      495743 494736 489707 485692 484687 485683 486676 485663
      487655
 0.25 385049 385048 384047 383047 381046 380046 379046 378048
      377049 377051 379051 381051 382051 383051 385051 385049
 0.25 356002 357991 355985 352977 346972 342967 339966 335968
      335972 335978 336986 339994 342002 346006 348009 352009
      354007 356003 356002
 0.50 478648 477641 473637 469643 468649 467656 465661 463668
      462676 460686 454699 451710 447724 446736 448744 453747
      456751 458758 460766 462771 475753 477746 477740 478731
      478724 476710 474701 473695 474663 476654 478648
 0.50 408796 407789 405785 401778 396767 393763 390760 387758
      383759 379766 377772 376777 373788 370796 366803 362813
      358823 355832 352839 340856 331869 326877 323882 323887
      325891 327894 333895 333897 328907 326911 325917 326924
      328927 335930 340930 344927 350920 376895 387884 391875
      395865 399855 402847 408826 408818 408810 407800 408796
 1.00 462713 461711 460712 459714 459716 460717 461716 462715
      462713
 1.00 399802 399797 397794 394788 390785 387785 384786 382789
      378795 375801 367815 361828 358836 356844 353851 349857
      345864 344868 344873 345881 344889 341897 340901 337904
      333908 330915 331922 333924 338924 341922 346919 351914
      356908 360903 369891 371883 377878 381878 384875 387870
      392853 395845 396837 397826 398816 399802
 1.50 394810 395800 392794 387796 381799 379805 376810 368820
      362831 360838 359845 356852 354857 351864 350868 351873
      353879 352885 349892 346898 339906 335912 334917 335920
      339920 342919 346915 353904 361896 364891 366883 371871
      382864 391840 394810
 1.50 384818 382817 381819 379821 378824 377828 376831 376835
      378837 380838 382836 384832 384829 384825 384820 384818
 2.00 392808 392803 392801 390801 388804 387807 387811 387815
      387820 388824 388829 389832 389829 389824 390822 391817
      391815 392810 392808
 2.00 383850 381845 376845 374848 372848 374844 375840 374835
      372828 369825 367827 364833 362841 361845 362850 359856
      356861 355870 356877 356885 354893 356895 359894 363881
      366875 369867 371861 374858 377857 381853 383850
 2.00 343915 343912 343910 342909 341910 339912 339913 337915
      338917 339917 340917 341916 342915 343915
 3.00 370840 370838 369838 368836 366838 365840 365842 364843
      365843 366844 368843 368842 370840 370840
 3.00 367865 366863 364864 363865 362866 361867 361868 360870
      359872 361873 362872 363872 364869 366867 367865

$$





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