Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 172058
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
457 PM EDT FRI MAR 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 18/0000 UTC THRU MAR 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...NORTHWEST U.S...

A DEEP LAYER...FULL LATITUDE TROUGH WILL MIGRATE INLAND TODAY AND
TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL REMAIN A SLIGHT SEPARATION BETWEEN
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM COMPONENTS...WITH THE EMPAHASIS FOR
DEEP LIFTING AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN
STREAM...AFFECTING FAR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA NORTHWARD. THIS PORTION
OF THE TROUGH WILL BRING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND MODESTLY
ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FLUX...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISING TO JUST
ABOVE 1.00 INCH AT THE COAST AND WEST OF THE CASCADES AND VALUES
UP TO 0.70 INCHES EXTENDING INLAND TO NORTHERN IDAHO. MASS FIELDS
FROM THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE REASONABLY SIMILAR...BUT PRECIPITATION
FROM THE UKMET AND ECMWF SEEM TO BE DISPLACED NORTHWARD FROM
CONSENSUS AND FROM THE BETTER DEEP LAYER MOISTURE FLUX...WITH
THESE MODELS ESPECIALLY UNDERPLAYING THE OREGON CASCADES AND BLUE
MOUNTAINS. GIVEN RESPECTABLE PW ANOMALIES...HEIGHT FALLS...AND
50-60 KNOT 700 MB FLOW...WPC LEANED TOWARD THE HEAVIER
GUIDANCE...BASING THE UPDATED QPF ON SOME OF THE 12Z NAM CONUS
NEST...WRF NMMB...AND OUR IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE. THIS YIELDED SOME
INCREASE FOR PARTS OF OREGON UP THROUGH NORTHERN ID/MT...WITH A
SLIGHT DECREASE OVER THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA WHICH WILL BE NORTH OF
THE MAIN THRUST OF ONSHORE FLOW.

THOUGH THE RAIN RATES WILL NOT BE EXCEPTIONAL...THE REGION IS
UNUSUALLY SATURATED...WITH RIVERS AND STREAMS RUNNING HIGH FROM A
COMBINATION OF SNOW MELT AND NEW RAINFALL. PLEASE SEE INFORMATION
FROM LOCAL NWS OFFICES FOR DETAILS.


...EASTERN / SOUTHERN U.S...

A MEDIUM WAVELENGTH TROUGH EMERGING DOWNSTREAM OF THE RIDGE IN THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WILL DIG AND REPLACE THE STACKED NORTHEASTERN
U.S. CYCLONE WITHIN THE ESTABLISHED EAST COAST TROUGH. IN THE
EARLY STAGES OF THIS PROCESS GROWING HEIGHT FALLS AND SOME RETURN
OF MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE HAD LED TO AN EXPANSION OF
RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT
LAKES. FARTHER SOUTH...SCATTERED RAIN AND SOME CONVECTIVELY
ENHANCED PRECIPITATION HAD FORMED WITHIN STRONG UPGLIDE. A SURGE
OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL AGAIN FOCUS LIFT FROM THE SOUTHERN
MISSOURI VALLEY OVER THROUGH KENTUCKY AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
THIS EVENING...YIELDING AGAIN SOME CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED AND
PSEUDO-SURFACE BASED CONVECTION. AS THE TROUGH DIGS IT MAY COME
CLOSE TO CLOSING OFF A CIRCULATION OVER THE MID ATLANTIC BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED IN
THE DIFLUENT REGION EAST THROUGH NORTH OF THE DEVELOPING
LOW...INCLUDING ACROSS PARTS OF NY/PA/NJ. MANY OF THE FORECAST
MODELS SHARE THESE THEMES...BUT VARY IN MAGNITUDE. WPC USED
PROBABILISTIC OUTPUT FROM THE SREF AND THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE TO FRAME
THE LAYOUT FOR QPF...GIVEN THE GEFS WAS FAST...AND EVEN FASTER
THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS. WITHIN THIS PROBABILISTIC APPROACH AS TO
THE SHAPE OF THE QPF...WE USED THE PREVIOUS WPC GRIDS ALONG WITH
THE NAM CONUS NEST AND OUR IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE TO FILL IN THE
DETAILS...WITH EMPHASIS FOR SOMEWHAT HEAVIER AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS
APPROACHING ONE INCH...ACROSS TENNESSEE WHERE FORCING AHEAD OF THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BE BEST SYNCED WITH INFLOW FROM THE UNSTABLE
SOURCE REGION TO THE WEST...THIS EVENING.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

...NOTE THAT THE 17/12Z ECMWF WAS NOT AVAILABLE FOR CONSIDERATION
WHILE PREPARING THE QPF GRAPHICS OR FOR THIS DISCUSSION....

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN INLAND AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES
ASHORE EARLY ON DAY 2. THERE SHOULD BE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES EXTENDING TOWARDS
THE MOUNTAINS IN THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN.  BY LATE DAY 2 AND DAY
3...THE PLUME OF MOISTURE LARGELY BECOMES ORIENTED EAST TO WEST
ACROSS THE AREA. THE EASTERN END OF THE MOISTURE ADVANCES EASTWARD
DUE TO A 35 TO 45 KT MID LEVEL FLOW.  EVENTUALLY SOME
PRECIPITATION EMERGES OVER THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.  WHILE THE
MOISTURE PLUME STAYS RELATIVELY IN TACT...THINKING WAS THAT THE
12Z RUN OF THE NAM SHOWED A LOT BETTER DYNAMICAL STRUCTURE TO ITS
QPF WHICH DID NOT SEEM TO FIT THE OVERALL PATTERN.  AS A
RESULT...WE GAVE MOST WEIGHT TO THE ECMWF AND GFS.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN ACROSS ID AND WESTERN MT.  MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY LATE ON DAY 2...DUE AT LEAST
IN PART TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE
FLOW...DYNAMIC LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE...AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY
SHOULD RESULT ENHANCED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN THE BEST UPSLOPE
FLOW REGIONS.

THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 0.75
INCHES...AND RUNOFF ISSUES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS
WHERE SNOWMELT CONTINUES. WE SAW LITTLE REASON TO MAKE MANY
CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED MARGINAL RISK AREAS IN THE ID
MOUNTAIN RANGES FOR DAY 2.

LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WA CASCADES DURING
DAY 2. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER
PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...UPPER MS VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL FEED
CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES QPF ACROSS MUCH OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SO THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.


...EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW MAKES ITS WAY TOWARDS THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COAST BY THE END OF THE DAY 2. AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES...A SECONDARY LOW FORMS NEAR
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY. THE NEWLY DEVELOPED LOW TRACKS OFF THE
DELAWARE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...REACHING A POSITION OFF THE
SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD. AS THE MID LEVEL
SYSTEM TRACKS OFF THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST DURING DAY
3...THE SURFACE LOW FOLLOWS A SIMILAR TRACK.

THE 17/12Z MODELS TENDED TO STRUGGLE WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE
MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH GETS REFLECTED IN A WIDE RANGE OF
SOLNS IN THE QPF.  THE GFS SHIFTED ITS FLOW TO A SURFACE LOW NEAR
THE TRIPLE POINT WHILE LEAVING LITTLE PCPN ALONG THE LINGERING
TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWEST.  THE 17/00Z ECMWF HAD THE
OPPOSITE PROBLEM...LEAVING TOO MUCH ENERGY/PCPN BACK ON THE
SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE SYSTEM.  BASED ON DISCUSSIONS WITH THE
WPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICIAN...THE WPC GAVE MORE CONSIDERATION TO THE
17/12Z NAM AND 17/00Z UKMET WHICH WERE CLOSER TO THE ENSEMBLE
MEANS.

THERE IS INCREASING SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE FOR DAY 3...SO CHANGES
IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE MAXIMUM QPF ACROSS EASTERN MA ARE POSSIBLE
IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/BANN

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 539211 540200 539194 535180 529165 526159 522155 519150
      515146 512141 506138 501135 495131 492126 487123 480121
      475122 463123 460120 460117 458115 454115 449126 444130
      440134 436136 433143 431152 432157 433160 436168 435177
      435184 433193 430197 425198 419199 416200 414202 408206
      401204 396201 391201 390206 391210 390215 388224 383229
      380234 379242 379249 381255 389263 395268 401271 415275
      419279 426281 431282 438284 445286 451286 463284 481276
      487275 491271 496268 499263 503260 508259 512255 514248
      516238 516228 517222 518220 522219 525220 527223 531224
      534223 537218
 0.01 505893 505885 502879 498865 492853 490848 486844 476835
      472833 469828 455807 452793 453777 450763 445751 441745
      439739 434733 430728 422720 419718 414715 411711 408704
      404691 401684 398679 394677 388679 383684 379689 375696
      371700 362707 354715 346722 337729 325748 311770 315788
      322781 328772 331771 332775 331781 329793 328797 329802
      332806 331821 329835 327848 327856 325862 326872 325877
      323908 328943 326949 326957 326965 328971 333980 337982
      343980 346976 348971 356963 362950 367940 371925 375912
      380886 382871 386859 388852 393847 396842 399839 402841
      407845 411849 415861 417867 420870 434869 440868 445866
      451866 455871 457874 457880 458890 455907 458912 463913
      466910 468904 474893 477890 480890 481893 483900 480904
      479908 477910 475912 475916 476925 479930 484935 488930
      491926 494921 497916 500909 502900 505893
 0.01 471198 472196 471194 469194 468194 466193 465194 464195
      463196 462198 463199 465199 467200 468200 468199 470198
      471198
 0.01 306042 306040 304036 304034 303032 301032 299033 297035
      297039 298039 300039 302041 304044 306042
 0.01 292027 291025 289022 287022 285022 283026 282028 282032
      282036 284039 286039 288039 286037 286035 286032 288029
      290029 292027
 0.01 281080 276073 272070 269066 261059 254053 247047 242046
      239047 237051 239057 244065 251071 259078 268081 279082
      281080
 0.01 279980 279977 278976 272976 259980 248983 235983 233985
      233988 234991 232993 233000 237003 249007 255006 257004
      257000 256995 260991 270986 279980
 0.25 531200 532191 530184 526172 520160 514153 496139 489131
      484128 476128 472129 469135 465138 461140 454150 453152
      449152 444150 441150 440154 441157 445168 446175 444183
      442191 441200 439205 434208 429208 425209 421213 416216
      411218 407222 401229 394238 392244 392250 396255 403257
      415262 421264 426268 431270 437272 443273 447273 457270
      465265 473262 484258 490252 494247 499246 502246 504245
      506237 507230 506221 504209 500198 499195 501194 505194
      512197 515200 520204 525207 528204 531200
 0.25 479198 480193 477190 470186 463187 457189 452194 447199
      448203 450207 455208 461205 468205 475202 479198
 0.25 415748 412741 406736 402729 398720 390700 387698 383699
      377704 370708 364713 352724 346731 342739 335754 334759
      338759 342761 343767 343772 342782 343796 343802 343806
      342816 343819 345820 348816 350808 352800 355791 360786
      364777 366773 371776 375774 377769 377758 376749 376741
      379738 384737 390739 402754 405758 404762 403772 396787
      382795 372807 368809 363809 360810 357814 349827 346833
      344838 344844 346854 347860 346866 344888 343910 343921
      344927 345932 349932 352930 356928 359924 360914 364905
      366898 368888 370868 371856 372849 373843 375833 377826
      387815 394811 400805 404797 407792 411790 414787 415784
      416777 415772 413765 410758 415748
 0.50 511187 521190 524187 524177 522168 515158 511154 501148
      493141 491136 486132 480132 476134 473138 476143 475147
      469146 464146 461153 460162 458168 455169 452166 453161
      450158 449161 449170 450178 452182 456184 461183 466180
      470179 476180 483190 492187 497185 501183 511187
 0.50 501235 502225 502217 501211 498207 495205 490202 487201
      484201 473206 469208 463208 453214 446212 440212 428215
      424219 420224 414224 409227 406232 401236 398241 398247
      399249 406252 413254 426260 433263 440264 445267 450267
      460260 470256 479251 484248 487241 489236 494237 499237
      501235
 0.50 386724 384715 382710 380709 375709 372711 366715 355726
      350730 347736 341751 348750 350754 350758 349767 349771
      352775 357774 359771 360767 363750 365742 369736 375732
      382728 386724
 0.50 388801 388799 386799 385801 383802 382802 381804 380805
      380806 379807 380809 382808 383807 384806 385806 386804
      387803 388801 388801
 0.50 370817 369817 370819 370817
 0.50 366867 366858 364852 360849 358846 358841 359835 358832
      355831 350835 349837 349842 351848 352852 351857 351873
      349879 349886 350892 354897 356903 358904 361903 362897
      363887 365874 366867
 1.00 510175 510169 509167 506164 501163 497161 492158 487155
      482154 477155 472153 469153 467156 467160 469165 479167
      487174 490177 493181 499174 503172 507175 510175
 1.00 496221 496215 495212 489208 485206 481206 476209 471213
      465212 461213 459214 454219 442215 429220 425222 426226
      428229 436229 441227 448227 452228 454231 443237 438240
      431240 428238 426235 418232 415231 413233 410240 411243
      413245 420247 433254 438253 443250 449247 455247 457249
      459250 466245 470242 477241 479239 479236 478231 476227
      479223 486223 491224 496221
 1.00 490139 489138 488136 487136 486135 485136 485137 486139
      487140 488141 490139
 1.00 462178 461176 459177 459179 461180 462178
 1.00 443245 443244 441243 440243 439243 438246 439247 441248
      442247 443245 443245
 1.00 378723 375717 373716 370717 365721 361724 357729 353733
      351738 351741 355741 360736 363732 368729 373726 378723
 1.50 508169 507168 506169 507170 508169
 1.50 496171 496169 493166 491164 488162 487160 483158 481160
      482163 484166 486168 487170 490171 493173 494174 496171
 1.50 489219 490216 490214 489212 488210 486209 484209 483209
      481209 479210 478210 477212 476214 476217 477217 478218
      480219 481219 483219 484219 485219 486220 488219 489219
 1.50 470220 471218 470215 468214 467214 467215 465215 463214
      461215 460217 459218 459220 458222 459222 460225 461226
      462226 463225 465225 466224 467224 468222 469221 470220
 1.50 466237 465235 464236 463236 463237 465237 466237
 1.50 446218 445218 444217 442216 440217 439219 439220 438221
      439221 441221 443220 444220 445220 446218
 1.50 455239 456239 457239 458238 459237 457236 456236 455236
      455237 455239
 1.50 434222 434223 434222
 1.50 432224 432224
 1.50 425242 424239 423237 421236 420235 418235 416234 414235
      413236 413238 414240 414241 415242 417243 418243 420243
      422244 423243 424243 425242
 2.00 487215 487214 487213 486212 485212 484213 482213 480213
      480216 482217 482216 483216 485215 487216 487215
 2.00 462223 463221 463218 462218 461220 462223 462223
 2.00 422241 421239 419238 418237 416236 416237 416239 417240
      419241 421241 422241 422241

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 446628 451637 453641 455648 457661 456672 455678 453686
      448693 443701 437707 430712 426714 422718 420720 421723
      425729 428736 433743 437745 438748 442758 447751 451750
      454752 455762 452769 449775 445783 440789 434795 425801
      422801 420802 419805 417807 416813 414820 412824 409824
      405819 403815 400814 396811 392812 388814 385818 375829
      369832 365827 361826 359823 361818 363816 366811 369809
      376804 382798 386792 388790 387788 385783 381782 372782
      368782 366780 364775 362770 354766 350768 348772 343777
      331785 325789 320791 317791 313790 311788 310783 308781
      307782 302787 297790 295789 292782 290778 289775 291757
      293749 296739 303727 311717 322705 328699 334692 344681
      354672 367662 372658 376655 382648
 0.01 566924 565913 565908 564903 560889 558883 556878 554875
      554870 553862 551854 548845 545839 542836 533832 530830
      526825 521821 516819 506815 496817 493817 492819 490825
      491836 492845 494862 490889 488897 488901 490906 490909
      492912 494914 496914 499914 499918 498925 494929 492927
      489927 487929 484929 481932 486944 489949 490955 487970
      490985 495990 494992 488000 487007 486017 488023 492028
      499036 503039 507037 510036 512032 512027 516020 520015
      529010 537006 540006 542004 547003 556974 557957 556949
      556945 559944 562939 564933 564928 566924
 0.01 538202 540195 540186 540181 539177 534170 531166 530159
      523144 519138 516139 516145 517149 516152 514151 509147
      498135 489126 484122 481119 477118 474116 471112 468104
      465101 463100 463097 468090 467085 468080 471073 472068
      473063 474059 475052 475042 474037 473033 469026 467026
      464027 461025 459027 455036 448046 444055 440062 434067
      431068 431070 432076 438080 437085 433087 425088 424090
      424095 422100 420102 414106 412108 411114 410118 409125
      405132 404139 405143 402147 396149 391156 388164 386173
      388176 391177 394179 397180 400179 406174 408171 412170
      415170 419173 417185 417191 415194 411197 409201 403203
      395202 390199 383194 378189 375189 372190 371196 372200
      373203 377206 386211 393215 395216 394218 391220 384221
      379229 357246 352250 349255 347257 346261 347265 349266
      357271 366274 374274 378273 381269 390258 396252 401249
      413242 424236 434228 437226 441227 445226 448224 455222
      462221 471223 475222 480223 483223 486225 486231 488234
      476233 468232 463233 461240 460245 463248 468248 473250
      476253 482259 484262 485266 488275 490284 495292 500295
      503299 508301 512293 516284 519274 522264 520254 518247
      514239 507225 501212 495205 489200 484201 476205 470208
      463213 457216 451217 436218 433216 430214 428211 430209
      437190 442186 448186 456185 461180 467175 474171 478170
      480175 481179 484181 494173 496171 498175 503182 511194
      515200 521207 525211 530213 534214 536209 538202
 0.01 445043 445041 445038 443036 441036 440035 438035 438038
      438040 438043 439043 441043 443043 445043 445043
 0.01 403929 400920 396915 391915 387913 384911 382907 376900
      374900 371902 367903 364906 360912 361934 355938 355947
      357952 360956 364961 371965 374967 379968 382967 385963
      388954 395940 396933 399931 403929
 0.01 334051 333047 327044 326042 322041 317037 313035 306034
      302036 304040 309045 313048 318052 323053 330053 334051
 0.01 334939 332934 328932 328928 326924 322922 319923 308924
      304926 301924 297922 295924 299931 305937 312941 323942
      332941 334939
 0.01 305085 305079 304077 300072 291064 286066 284068 280069
      276068 273066 268062 263058 257056 249056 249064 252069
      257073 266082 270087 276090 281093 289094 293094 296092
      300089 305085
 0.01 286976 285972 281970 273974 267975 261975 250973 239971
      234972 233977 236980 241982 248989 260989 270990 276989
      281987 284984 286979 286976
 0.25 436632 441642 446653 446666 446676 444681 441686 437693
      430699 425705 422709 418713 413720 409740 405742 399744
      393745 390742 382727 378725 371725 363729 351742 346749
      341756 325763 321760 319755 317742 319734 324726 328718
      333711 343698 367672 373665 379659 385654 395649 402645
      405642
 0.25 535190 535185 534184 529179 526174 522170 516167 512166
      509167 509172 511179 515185 518190 522194 527198 531197
      532195 535190
 0.25 516272 518267 517262 516256 512250 509246 501236 503249
      504258 501258 498255 495250 491246 490243 486243 485245
      486248 492261 494267 495275 499279 503280 507277 512276
      516272
 0.25 491216 491214 489210 488210 486209 484209 481209 478210
      476212 477215 480216 483217 485216 487215 489216 491216
 0.25 491170 491169 489167 488166 486165 485166 484167 484168
      484170 485171 487172 488172 489172 491171 491170
 0.25 488136 487136 486135 484134 482133 481133 479133 477133
      477134 477136 477137 479138 480139 482140 484140 485140
      487139 487138 488136
 0.25 471155 472153 471150 469150 467150 466150 464151 463154
      463155 464156 465157 466158 468158 469157 470156 471155
 0.25 452159 452152 450148 447144 444141 439139 434139 431142
      431149 432154 434157 437162 440163 443164 449164 451161
      452159
 0.25 456113 457107 457101 452096 445096 438098 432103 428110
      422114 426117 428121 430120 435121 437122 446124 451122
      454118 455115 456113
 0.25 423210 425203 423200 419204 408215 406220 404226 400232
      394238 388242 377252 371258 370261 369265 371267 374266
      377264 381259 392246 395242 397240 405239 412236 417232
      419228 421222 423210 423210
 0.50 517267 516264 516262 515261 514260 513259 511258 510259
      510262 510264 510265 512268 513269 514270 515269 517267
      517267
 0.50 443671 442664 441656 436645 432640 428639 424641 416639
      410645 403650 394654 385659 378666 366678 354692 350698
      345706 339713 334720 327736 327740 328746 330747 334747
      337744 350733 361720 366714 374709 382704 388702 391703
      394705 395710 395715 393720 393727 397731 401734 404731
      411715 417707 421699 425691 428689 432690 437686 440681
      443671
 0.50 452115 452111 451107 450105 448103 444103 442103 439105
      437107 438112 440114 443115 445116 448117 450116 452115
 0.50 443157 444154 444152 443151 441150 440150 438151 436152
      436153 436155 437158 439159 441159 442157 443157
 0.50 424648 424646 423643 423646 424648 424648
 0.50 415229 416227 417225 417223 417220 417219 415218 413219
      411221 410223 410225 409227 408230 408232 409233 411233
      413232 414231 415229 415229
 1.00 417676 416668 414663 412661 406661 397662 389666 382672
      377678 370685 364692 359699 356706 350714 349718 354718
      367707 375701 381696 389691 393689 397689 401691 404694
      407696 411695 411689 410685 411680 415678 417676

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 467621 471628 472638 471643 469644 466647 463649 459655
      457661 455668 452676 449682 445686 440692 436698 432703
      426706 419709 412711 409712 407710 405708 404705 400703
      396705 392709 389715 385720 380725 375729 370732 364732
      351729 349727 348722 350716 353709 357704 372683 376678
      379672 388661 396651 406641
 0.01 543788 542775 538768 533761 527758 524756 519757 513758
      512752 511746 508744 500742 494742 486746 474756 469758
      466761 459768 454769 447765 443766 440768 437776 442779
      444781 442783 437783 434785 431790 426797 422805 417811
      412817 408824 407834 406839 403843 382870 381877 379888
      379894 378898 378907 380914 380916 383916 391920 394929
      400934 402936 407936 413932 419927 423921 435909 441904
      446896 454881 456879 460877 468880 469886 470894 465903
      462925 458946 457955 459965 463967 466965 469960 471954
      474934 492907 495901 497895 500891 501886 505882 507878
      511877 514874 517874 519872 522872 524869 530864 534856
      540835 541822 542817 542809 541803 542796 542791 543788
 0.01 467282 468276 468269 467258 465243 463231 462226 458224
      450224 445226 441227 438224 437220 439214 444205 447194
      446186 445181 439187 437187 433191 427196 425200 425204
      424213 417214 407213 404212 401208 397204 392201 388198
      384198 380205 381209 383214 394220 391224 388226 380230
      377232 371231 367235 364240 358246 353254 353258 355263
      363271 369273 373272 384275 389276 394276 416277 421280
      425283 430285 434285 439283 444283 455287 459287 462286
      467282
 0.01 460158 460151 458145 449138 445133 444128 445123 448121
      451123 454123 456121 460119 462113 464094 465072 464069
      464064 464057 464049 464039 463031 460030 459033 458039
      456044 455039 452027 449022 447021 444018 440007 432996
      427998 423001 421007 421016 424030 425038 425043 424046
      421052 418059 417065 418073 425082 427087 425091 422093
      417094 413099 412096 409096 406099 406102 408103 411104
      412108 413115 412122 412131 411136 409138 402147 399150
      400157 399163 397166 396171 394176 393184 395190 398194
      405189 414177 420177 422181 423184 426185 431184 439177
      441175 445175 449177 454174 457170 456167 457163 460158
 0.01 446805 446802 444800 443801 442803 441804 440806 438808
      438809 437811 435813 437816 439815 440815 442813 442812
      444812 445810 445807 446805
 0.01 437760 437756 435755 430754 423755 416757 413758 411760
      410763 412770 416774 423773 424767 427765 431764 434763
      436761 437760
 0.01 397080 397078 395078 394075 392075 390075 388075 386077
      385079 384079 384081 384083 386084 388084 389084 391084
      393085 393084 395083 395082 397081 397080
 0.01 394810 394807 392805 390805 389806 389808 387810 387811
      387813 389813 391813 393812 394810 394810
 0.01 336010 335006 329006 324009 320013 316016 312022 312026
      314028 317029 321029 323027 327025 330021 334015 336010
 0.01 299040 299027 296020 289014 282011 277011 272013 267019
      267021 270024 277028 284033 287043 289047 293048 297042
      299040
 0.01 253004 254002 254000 254998 254996 253994 251993 249993
      249994 248995 247996 246997 245998 245000 245002 245004
      246006 247008 249008 251007 251006 253004 253004
 0.01 245929 245927 245925 244925 243923 242923 241923 239923
      238924 237925 236926 236928 236930 236932 236934 237934
      238936 239936 241936 243936 243935 244933 244931 244930
      245929
 0.25 453626 456631 456639 452649 447658 441668 434676 430679
      424681 418681 415679 413676 413672 414665 413658 414653
      422646 426642 429638 431633
 0.25 501806 500799 497796 494795 495792 495789 494784 493782
      493779 493773 490772 488774 484778 477785 470793 467797
      466799 466804 468809 472813 480809 487803 493811 498811
      501806
 0.25 444267 443265 443264 442262 440261 439260 437260 435260
      433260 432261 433263 434265 436266 438267 439267 441268
      443267 444267
 0.25 433256 433248 433244 431241 425237 420231 415228 411226
      407227 396231 387238 382242 378248 374253 374258 375261
      381265 388266 394265 400264 406262 412262 419262 426261
      433256
 0.25 447160 447157 446156 444155 443154 442154 441153 440152
      439151 438148 437148 436150 436151 436153 436154 436155
      437157 437158 439160 440160 442160 444161 445161 447160
 0.25 451107 452101 450099 441097 434100 430104 426110 422117
      421122 421128 423131 426128 431123 436119 441114 448111
      451107
 0.25 443045 444043 444041 443038 441037 440037 439038 439040
      439043 441044 442045 443046 443045
 0.25 420152 421147 421145 420140 419140 417142 416144 414147
      412150 412155 412158 416159 418158 420154 420152
 0.25 414872 412868 409868 405870 403873 401878 399883 399887
      399892 402894 404893 408890 410887 412882 414877 414872
 0.50 451637 450632 448630 444631 441634 436639 431646 427652
      423658 422662 423666 426669 429670 433668 436666 441660
      445654 448645 451638 451637
 0.50 416251 416246 415242 413235 409233 404233 398236 393240
      387245 383251 381253 382258 385260 390260 396257 402254
      408253 415251 416251

$$





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