Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 260904
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
504 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 26/1200 UTC THRU APR 29/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...CNTL ROCKIES EWD THRU THE CNTL AND SRN PLAINS/LOWER AND MID MS
VALLEYS...
STG VORT ROTATING TO THE SOUTH SIDE OF UPR LOW OVER CO IS FCST TO
SWING OUT ACRS THE SRN/CNTL PLAINS ON TUES WITH MODELS SUPPORTING
A REFORMATION OF THE UPR LOW WITH THIS VORT VCNTY OF KS/SRN NEB BY
WED MRNG.  THE STG HEIGHT FALLS WORKING EWD ACRS THE SRN PLAINS
WILL INTERACT WITH DEEPENING MSTR RETURN FROM THE WRN GULF AND STG
DAYTIME INSTABILITY RESULTING IN A RAPID BREAKOUT OF CONVECTION TO
THE EAST OF DVLPG SFC LOW AND ASSOCD COLD FRONT.  THESE STORMS
SHOULD INTENSIFY EWD THRU THE SRN/CNTL PLAINS INTO AXIS OF
INCREASING PWS OVER ERN TX NWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY LATE TUES
AND TUES NIGHT LIKELY RESULTING IN A WELL DEFINED SQLN/MCS.
MODELS SUGGEST LOW LEVEL MSTR AXIS/JET COULD BE NEARLY STATIONARY
ACRS ERN TX INTO ERN OK/WRN AR BEFORE MAIN VORT LOBE PIVOTS NEWD
TUES EVENING ALLOWING INCREASING WLY FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE VORT
LOBE AXIS TO BEGIN TO ACCELERATE ACTIVITY TO THE EAST.  THIS COULD
RESULT IN A PERIOD OF INTENSE RAINS ALONG WITH TRAINING CELLS
PARTICULARLY THRU NE TX/SE OK AND WRN AR GIVEN EXPECTED STG
INSTABILITIES AND PD OF IMPRESSIVE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT....WITH A
SWATH OF 1 TO 2 INCH PLUS RAINS LIKELY WITH ISOLD AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF 4 INCHES.    A SECONDARY MAX WITH IS EXPECTED FARTHER
NORTH ACRS ERN KS INTO MO NEAR INTERSECTION OF E/W WARM FRONT AND
APCHG COLD FRONT AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW.  MODELS SHOW
IMPRESSIVE COUPLED JET STRUCTURE DVLPG HERE TUE EVE THAT COULD
RESULT IN A PERIOD OF INTENSIVE CONVECTIVE RAINFALL.  THE TWO
CORES OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY BEST CAPTURED BY CAM
GUIDANCE.  WHILE THE WRF ARW HAS SHOWN GOOD SKILL IN SITUATIONS
LIKE THIS...ITS RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY IS NOT IDEAL..AND THUS HAVE
TENDED TO LEAN TOWARD A BLEND OF THE ARW..NMM..HI RES NAM..AND
EVEN THE CANADIAN GEM GIVE THE MODEST QPF SPREAD IN BOTH LOCATION
AND AMOUNTS HERE.  FARTHER N...HAVE TRIMMED THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS
SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS..IE THE GFS..HAVE INDICATED JUST
NORTHWEST OF THESE AREAS BUT SHOWED ANOTHER MAX NEAR DVLPG COMMA
HEAD CIRC THRU CNTL NEB/SRN SD WHERE STG ISENTROPIC LIFT/TROWAL IS
EXPECTED NORTH OF THE REFORMING MID/UPR CIRC. RAINS WILL CHANGE TO
SNOW IN THE WEST END OF THE CIRC BACK THRU THE CNTL
ROCKIES...ESPECIALLY WY/NRN CO.  SEE QPFHSD FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

...TN AND LOWER OH VALLEY..
THERE IS A DECENT SIGNAL IN THE MODELS IN DVLPG ORGANIZED
CONVECTION ACRS PARTS OF THE MID MS VALLEY THIS MRNG WITH MODELS
SHOWING A WEAK VORT..PSBLY CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED MOVING THROUGH
THRU THE FLAT RIDGE AND TRANSLATING EWD ALONG E/W FRONTAL BNDRY
SLIDING VERY SLOWLY SWD THRU THE LOWER OH TN VALLEYS TODAY.
CONFIDENCE IN ANY PARTICULAR MODEL IS LOW HERE WITH TIMING OF
STORMS THAT MAY DVLP ALONG THE BNDRY TODAY BUT THERE IS MODEST
INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO DVLPG ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT ALONG
WITH 1.25 TO 1.5 INCH PWS AND MODEST RT ENTRANCE REGION JET
SUPPORT...TO LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHWER/TSTM ACTIVITY HERE.
INCREASED AMOUNTS FROM PREVIOUS FORECASTS HERE GIVEN WETTER TRENDS
IN MODEL WITH AN OVERALL BLEND OF HI RES GUIDANCE AND IN HOUSE
BIAS CORRECTED MEAN GIVEN RATHER LARGE MODEL SPREAD.  WITH MEAN
FLOW PARALLELING SFC BNDRY..COULD SEE SOME TRAINING CELLS WHERE
SOME OF THE MORE ORGANIZED STORMS DVLP AND AS A RESULT SOME PSBL
ISOLD RUNOFF ISSUES MAY OCCUR ACRS THIS REGION.

...NE U.S..
MODELS SHOW DECENT AGREEMENT WITH RATHER FLAT SFC WAVE TRACKING
EWD ACRS PA INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND ON TUES IN RESPONSE TO RAPIDLY
SHEARING S/WV MOVING EWD UNDER DEEP VORTEX OVER ERN CANADA.  GENL
.25 TO .50 INCH RAINS WERE INDICATED BY GENL MODEL
CONSENSUS...WHICH WAS ACCEPTED.

WEST COAST...
00Z EC AND UKMET REMAIN SLIGHTLY FASTER WITH UPR TROF APCHG THE
WEST COAST..BUT OVERALL QPF IMPACTS ARE MINOR WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF THE DRIER NAM WHICH WAS NOT FOLLOWED.  SOME .10 TO PERHAPS .25
INCH RAINS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PAC NW/NW CA COASTS BY WED MRNG.

DAYS 2/3...

...UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE PLAINS WED SHEARING TOWARDS THE EAST
COAST THU/FRI...

DAY 2

SYNOPTICALLY MODELS APPEAR IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
OVERALL SETUP OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ON WEDNESDAY WHERE IT SHOULD SLOW ITS FORWARD PROGRESSION...BEFORE
EVENTUALLY SHEARING OFF TO THE EAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER
QPF DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO BE NOTED. BY 12Z WEDNESDAY (THE START
OF DAY 2) WOULD EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION
TO BE STREAMING NORTH JUST AHEAD OF THE LOW INTO NE/SD ALONG AN
INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH FROM THE LOW. PRECIPITABLE WATER
ANOMALIES GENERALLY 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL WILL
PROMOTE A REGION OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. HOWEVER A
LACK OF INSTABILITY FROM NW IA INTO FAR NORTHEAST NE AND SD SHOULD
HELP KEEP RAINFALL RATES IN CHECK. WITH THAT SAID EXPECT THE SWATH
OF PRECIPITATION TO EVENTUALLY PIVOT TO THE WEST AS THE LOW SLOWLY
PROGRESSES EAST. THUS LOCATIONS NEAR THE PIVOT POINT WILL SEE A
LONGER DURATION HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT. EXPECT A GENERAL DOWNWARD
TREND IN PRECIPITATION INTENSITY BY 18Z WEDNESDAY THOUGH AS THE
SYSTEM BEGINS TO LOSE INTENSITY RESULTING IN A DECREASE IN
SYNOPTIC FORCING AND MOISTURE FLUX INTO THE REGION. IN THE WARM
SECTOR FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL NE
AND SOUTHERN IA WILL PROBABLY HAVE MORE OF A CONVECTIVE NATURE TO
THE PRECIPITATION WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY FORECAST. THUS RATES
COULD BE HIGHER HERE...BUT CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE THAT THIS
CONVECTIVE AREA SHOULD BE A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST AS THE COLD FRONT MAKES FORWARD PROGRESS. THUS IN
GENERAL WHERE THE LONGER DURATION IS EXPECTED RATES SHOULD BE
LOWER...AND WHERE RATES ARE HIGHER DURATION SHOULD BE SHORTER. SO
FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF ON ANY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AREA...ALTHOUGH DAY 2 AMOUNTS OF 1-2" ON TOP OF WHAT FALLS ON DAY
1 COULD EVENTUALLY CAUSE SOME RUNOFF ISSUES IN SPOTS. PREFERRED
QPF CLOSER TO THE 0Z ECMWF...WITH ITS EVOLUTION BEING THE CLOSEST
MATCH TO THE HIGH RES (ARW/NMMB/GEM REG) CONSENSUS. THE 0Z GFS QPF
DISTRIBUTIONS SEEMS OFF...WITH THE GENERAL TREND AMONG MOST
GUIDANCE FOR A SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH PIVOT POINT.

THE SECOND AREA OF CONCERN ON DAY 2 IS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
IL/IN/KY. IT IS HERE WHERE A WEST TO EAST STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL
BE SETUP. AND AS THE WHOLE SYSTEM MOVES EAST WOULD EXPECT ROUNDS
OF CONVECTION TO FORM AND MOVE DOWNWIND NEAR THE BOUNDARY. SHOULD
BE A MESSY SETUP...WITH MULTIPLE AREAS OF CONVECTION FORMING ALONG
OLD OUTFLOWS AND EVENTUALLY ALONG THE EASTWARD PROGRESSING COLD
FRONT. DO HAVE SOME CONCERN ABOUT TRAINING CONVECTION RESULTING IN
A FLASH FLOOD THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE. HOWEVER INSTABILITY MAY BE A LIMITING
FACTOR...AND STORMS SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE...WITH ANY FLOOD THREAT
RELYING ON MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION MOVING OVER THE SAME
AREAS THROUGH THE DAY. AND WHILE THIS IS POSSIBLE...ENOUGH
UNCERTAINTY ON THE EXACT CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION AND THE IMPACT OF
CLOUD COVER ON INSTABILITY...THAT OPTED TO HOLD OFF ON ANY SLIGHT
RISK...WITH THE THREAT SEEMING ONLY MARGINAL AT THIS TIME. ALSO
NOT SEEING A REAL STRONG SIGNAL IN MODEL QPF FIELDS FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY STAYING IN THE 1-2" RANGE. A
MULTI MODEL CONSENSUS WAA USED FOR QPF ACROSS THIS AREA.

THE NEXT AREA OF CONCERN IS FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM
TN TOWARDS LA. ON WED MORNING EXPECT A LINE OF CONVECTION TO BE
PROGRESSING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA...AS SUGGESTED BY VARIOUS
HIGH RES SOLUTIONS. SYSTEM SHOULD BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST GIVEN THE FORECAST WIND FIELD...AND THUS FAVORED A
SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE QUICKER ECMWF/GEM REGIONAL/ARW. THIS KEPT
GOOD CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS WPC FORECASTS AS WELL. BECOMES MORE
MESSY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...AS THIS FIRST LINE OF
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE RE
INTENSIFICATION EITHER ALONG THE OUTFLOW OR CLOSER TO THE ACTUAL
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...BUT THIS NEW DEVELOPMENT IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
THE EVOLUTION OF THE FIRST COMPLEX. THUS THIS REMAINS A LOW
CONFIDENCE FORECAST. WPC PLACED THE HIGHEST QPF ROUGHLY ALONG THE
AXIS OF BEST MOISTURE...USING SOMETHING CLOSE TO A 0Z ECMWF/UKMET
CONSENSUS. CONFIDENCE ON THE DETAILS REMAINS LOW...BUT IN GENERAL
GOING WITH 1-2" ACROSS MUCH OF MS INTO LA...WITH CONVECTION
WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO AL LATER AT NIGHT. CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE
THAT THIS CONVECTION SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY
ORGANIZED FLASH FLOOD RISK.

DAY 3

BY DAY 3 THE SYSTEM IS IN A MUCH WEAKER STATE AS IT MOVES INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC...GENERALLY RESULTING IN LESS QPF. ALTHOUGH THERE IS
A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR AN AREA OF CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHEAST VA
AND EASTERN NC RESULTING IN LOCALLY AMOUNTS UP TO 2". A NON NAM
CONSENSUS SEEMED TO WORK BEST FOR QPF ACROSS THIS REGION.


...UPPER LOW ENTERING THE SOUTHWEST U.S BY THURSDAY...

ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL DIVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST...FORCING
ANOTHER CLOSED LOW BY THURSDAY..PROGRESSING TOWARDS THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION BY FRIDAY. IN GENERAL THERE WAS GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM. THE 0Z UKMET
SEEMED A BIT QUICKER THAN THE BEST CONSENSUS...HOWEVER ITS QPF
DISTRIBUTION SEEMED ALRIGHT IF JUST SHIFTED SLIGHTLY SLOWER. THUS
FROM A  QPF PERSPECTIVE A COMBINATION OF THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/GEM
WAS USED...WITH THE NAM AN OUTLIER AND DEEMED UNLIKELY.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 497327 493327 487326 478324 473324 466321 461319 457315
      444300 440296 436296 431294 428296 425295 406291 396287
      387279 381277 377273 375269 376263 373258 371255 371252
      375249 379247 386242 393236 396231 399225 398218 394214
      388207 380202 376198 374193 373188 376189 382192 386195
      393201 402209 414212 423190 432188 437191 440195 447204
      452210 467227 476234 481236 484239 490242 495246 500247
      505247 517251 520253 522252 527249
 0.01 438631 442635 444639 443641 445648 446654 448695 449704
      450707 451713 452728 452738 452751 452767 450775 448783
      446790 442792 439794 436795 429800 425805 421811 407829
      404843 402848 402853 404862 409875 411882 412889 414899
      419905 422909 426916 430919 434925 440934 449947 452952
      455959 459973 466982 472986 475992 483004 496025 500030
      502036 502042 500047 498049 495049 491053 491063 494077
      495082 498085 501087 505088 506091 512092 519093 523091
      532085 537080 539078 543077 548075 552072 557073 559076
      561083 562090 557119 535115 524113 519112 515114 508113
      507115 503114 490116 477119 472116 471118 472121 473121
      483128 487133 494135 512143 515145 516148 517152 506160
      496164 488167 481160 477154 475147 472141 469138 462136
      455138 453135 450134 448128 444123 430121 418124 413126
      410129 401138 390138 385136 381134 378133 377128 376120
      382111 380105 376099 365093 361091 357087 354073 361053
      363050 366049 371048 379046 385042 389039 394038 399035
      401034 403030 385016 380007 378995 364991 360994 353996
      346996 342994 338994 334994 331997 327992 314994 307000
      304003 302008 300015 297016 295013 294005 292003 289002
      278997 275984 275978 277972 279966 283960 286953 292945
      301936 311931 333919 340912 345908 349904 354896 356891
      354883 353875 352872 351868 349862 351857 354843 355841
      352839 350838 348838 350835 351831 354826 356810 355795
      357785 359771 360762 362755 363748 364743 362740 358737
      355732 357724 361715
 0.01 361715 365710 370704 373697 377690 379684 384677 388671
      393666 399660 404655 408649 413643 419638 422637
 0.01 505694 504683 504677 503671 502666 500664 495659 491656
      488657 486661 485668 487676 490681 492685 491692 490698
      484704 481706 480708 479716 480724 484733 488735 492734
      494731 497726 501718 504704 504697 505694
 0.01 446155 446152 445150 442147 440144 439141 437139 436138
      434140 433143 432145 433147 433152 434155 436155 439158
      442157 444157 446155
 0.01 332820 332813 328813 319819 315821 312822 309824 307822
      301821 294820 284816 275813 267809 259805 255803 251808
      249812 251814 259819 265824 274828 290835 297838 301840
      308840 317838 326831 329826 332820
 0.01 324894 322890 318889 309890 306892 302896 295901 291908
      290912 292914 299919 302920 306918 313914 319907 322898
      324894
 0.25 519273 514273 509271 499265 489259 484258 477258 467257
      455255 445253 433249 426242 421238 415236 413238 412242
      412248 413252 415254 420257 421267 426269 430271 431273
      434278 437279 449280 455283 459287 461293 463299 468302
      473305 480307 486308 489304 494303 505307
 0.25 459023 457012 456996 454983 451975 445966 437956 423942
      410929 399915 397908 396900 397885 399855 398841 395826
      394812 391802 388799 383796 379791 375787 372791 370796
      369806 367818 366833 367847 367857 367873 365889 363901
      361906 359912 353918 349922 345925 336927 328930 310940
      302946 296954 292964 295974 295987 299993 302992 306989
      320987 330985 341983 347982 351982 353978 359970 369970
      373969 377968 377971 372982 373984 376983 380982 386985
      388990 398009 403016 407023 412035 411041 408047 405051
      402053 400056 399060 398066 395069 391071 388078 389082
      391082 396076 399078 402077 404074 409075 411080 411085
      407088 404092 403097 404102 404110 404114 406116 412117
      416115 423107 430104 436098 437090 440084 445083 449080
      453068 455061 456052 457037 459030 459023
 0.25 434664 432654 431649 428646 424646 418650 410659 404670
      395678 386688 379698 377703 375707 375712 382722 385729
      387737 389747 389751 391755 400746 410744 409752 413758
      418760 423758 431755 436752 441747 441741 437722 436712
      436703 435684 434676 434664
 0.25 430257 429256 427256 426257 425257 423257 422258 423259
      425260 426259 427259 428259 430257
 0.25 384761 385758 384756 385754 384752 383750 382752 382753
      382754 382757 382758 383759 384761 384761
 0.25 385083 386081 384079 383076 381074 380073 379074 378074
      377076 376078 376079 375080 375082 375083 377084 379083
      381083 382083 384084 385083
 0.50 510291 509288 507284 501279 496273 489269 483268 479272
      480277 483280 489284 495288 500295 502296 505295 510291
 0.50 450049 451042 450038 448032 448025 449015 450011 450004
      449991 447980 442973 435966 424954 415944 408937 401931
      395926 393922 392917 391905 391898 392892 395875 396862
      396847 395834 394829 392824 388818 382811 379808 376807
      374808 373811 370822 371834 371849 370860 371872 373883
      372894 371901 367911 361920 355925 347928 331933 319939
      311946 309950 309956 308960 305964 303968 305971 311973
      311980 314983 318985 322985 329983 337980 344976 351969
      353966 357963 365961 369959 374960 381963 385968 391975
      397981 400991 402002 411017 421027 428034 427039 425042
      422045 418046 415048 413054 413061 414065 425067 428069
      428074 425082 425086 427091 430094 432093 433088 435081
      438071 444060 447055 450049
 0.50 432728 431723 430723 428724 427727 426731 426736 427741
      428745 429748 432747 432744 433740 433735 432730 432728
 0.50 426683 426676 424670 423665 421663 418664 415668 413673
      413678 414684 415689 417693 419698 422694 423689 426686
      426683
 0.50 416109 416108 414107 414106 413103 412101 412099 411097
      411096 410095 408095 408096 407098 407100 407103 407104
      407105 408107 409109 409110 410111 412111 414111 414109
      416109 416109
 0.50 392692 390692 388693 387695 385696 385699 384701 384702
      384704 386704 387703 388702 389700 389699 390697 390696
      392695 392694 392692
 1.00 441997 442991 440985 435980 428974 425972 421973 417985
      416987 412990 409993 408996 410001 414008 420013 430015
      434013 437009 439006 441000 441997
 1.00 427053 427052 426051 425051 424053 425056 427055 427053
 1.00 404959 403950 400943 396937 391931 388925 386919 383916
      380915 378922 379929 374933 366936 359934 352934 347937
      339936 332938 322945 318950 319956 323957 321967 320971
      321975 324978 328978 340974 342971 334973 332970 335967
      342963 348960 355957 357956 358952 363946 368945 374949
      377954 379958 382960 388963 393966 398968 404959
 1.00 383841 382836 382832 382829 379825 378824 376826 375830
      375835 376839 375841 376844 377846 381846 382843 383841
 1.50 434999 435995 434992 433989 431991 429992 426993 422994
      420994 418996 418001 420003 422004 424006 427007 429005
      431004 433002 434999
 1.50 398949 395943 393938 388934 386933 384935 382940 381945
      384947 386949 382954 382956 386958 391959 394959 393954
      390949 395951 398949
 1.50 354945 354941 348940 339943 338942 335941 332942 330945
      332948 333953 330957 325964 323967 323972 330967 337963
      345958 351954 354945
 2.00 393943 391941 390940 389940 389942 390943 391943 393943
 2.00 350947 348945 346945 343947 341948 339950 337952 335954
      335958 337959 339958 342956 345954 346952 348949 350947
 2.00 333960 332959 330960 328962 327965 328965 329965 330963
      331962 332961 333960

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 511295 494283 491281 487278 483275 482273 466267 461265
      457266 447264 437260 429260 414260 396260 394261 392258
      389257 383255 379252 372246 361243 357242 354239 351231
      354225 361220 362217 360215 358212 352205 349198 346195
      342192 338185 336180 331178 323174 315172 315166 314161
      315157 318159 323161 328162 337166 342167 345170 346174
      346180 347182 350182 352180 358174 356165 351157 353155
      356157 359160 363160 365153 364147 362143 361142 359143
      354137 345138 343140 343134 344122 349114 355108 361105
      368101 371099 374098 374095 372083 370073 370068 368066
      366061 362060 359056 361053 363049 367047 373041 380042
      390046 398050 406053 411054 413058 414061 417062 420058
      425051 420043 408031 402026 397021 387003 383995 380991
      379985 380973 380966 380962 379958 375954 370949 366945
      365943 361943 357945 352946 345948 341949 336950 325950
      317955 305963 292973 275979 266979 262978 259974 261967
      265960 278925 287889 296872 297867 296861 294850 295846
      298844 305840 308839 312840 321842 324842 327838 333832
      338825 344821 350815 351811 350805 349802 347801 343803
      336808 331811 328813 326816 323819 319820 315819 313816
      337790 341787 344784 346780 348776 351768 353764 350761
      344758 340756 339751 338744 339740 342731 358702 363694
      365690 367685 375669 377665 379665 383675 390692 389714
      388723 389736 390743 392748 397756 406773 410781 415790
      419797 420802 421808 425820 430823 434825
 0.01 434825 440842 445860 449882 451891 453903 455913 458922
      462941 471979 480017 495048 515106 513110 512116 509125
      508130 506134 505138 503140 500137 495136 486134 477132
      473128 470124 465122 457121 450119 446116 442116 439116
      438119 439123 441127 443130 445133 449135 455132 466144
      475146 478147 481149 511162 515163 517168 518176 515182
      508185 504189 502189 500192 499198 489211 484215 478218
      471219 466222 458223 455226 454232 453235 455238 459240
      466244 469245 473249 481252 498258 507261 512256 517251
      520249 522242 526232 528229 533230
 0.01 497654 496649 495646 490645 482639 480637 477638 470639
      468638 466639 462640 460643 454645 450647 449649 446653
      449657 467667 473667 477666 483662 485659 488660 486668
      484672 479676 476682 478691 476694 472700 471706 472716
      473720 474722 477724 480726 482724 485720 491716 492710
      491701 489698 489693 491687 490679 492669 497654
 0.01 489193 487190 486184 482176 479172 474171 470171 467174
      461180 456189 455194 452198 453203 453207 455208 460210
      464208 473206 480205 486197 489193
 0.01 430075 431071 429068 426066 424067 421067 419069 413073
      410077 409084 412089 414090 414094 418099 422098 422095
      425089 427082 430075
 0.01 307822 306816 302812 297811 289810 284810 278809 267806
      263806 261805 254805 252809 256814 260817 264819 268823
      274825 285827 293827 298830 301832 305827 307822
 0.25 485060 483054 480049 478038 472015 466992 464980 461967
      455943 448920 445907 442896 438886 432878 427869 423859
      418848 416837 411827 407818 398798 396792 393787 390785
      384784 380783 376781 370774 367773 365778 365784 363789
      363802 362814 361820 361828 358831 354834 341845 326857
      309867 303876 301880 298883 291901 294923 291926 290931
      287942 283953 283958 286960 290960 294958 303954 311948
      316943 326939 330938 335934 342927 349922 354922 361922
      370923 379925 386931 390934 393938 396949 399964 401969
      403973 405977 406983 407989 408995 413004 419013 423022
      426027 430030 436037 441045 451062 463075 467079 471081
      474083 477082 480079 482066 485060
 0.25 454176 455169 453161 451155 448150 445145 442143 439142
      435147 436152 440156 444160 447165 448172 449176 452177
      454176
 0.25 411110 411104 409100 407098 404101 397106 395108 391110
      383113 380117 381123 382127 386127 389125 392124 394126
      393129 393133 396133 399129 398123 400120 403118 407117
      410112 411110
 0.25 383200 382198 380197 379197 379196 378198 378201 379201
      380201 382200 383200
 0.25 375186 376184 375183 375182 374180 372179 371178 369178
      367178 365180 365181 364182 365182 365184 366185 368186
      369187 371188 372188 373188 375187 375186
 0.25 379755 379746 376738 373733 371727 369724 365724 358727
      355730 353737 353742 355744 362743 368744 372749 375753
      377755 379755
 0.50 472041 472034 471028 468018 463999 459975 456965 453954
      450943 447932 445920 442911 436904 433895 432890 430886
      425878 420869 415861 411854 409850 409845 407837 403829
      394810 387794 382794 379798 376799 373800 373803 377805
      380809 382814 381818 378823 375826 370833 366842 362844
      359843 364847 363852 360855 355857 351858 346858 346860
      342860 337862 331862 322865 319867 317871 316876 313879
      304882 300884 299889 297898 297908 300918 300925 298929
      294937 292939 290945 293948 299948 307945 314939 326930
      326919 329917 334915 353912 372909 381908 385909 389913
      391916 393921 393924 394929 398937 401947 404957 407965
      411974 414984 416997 417002 420006 430020 437025 443030
      448037 455044 466050 470049 471046 472041
 0.50 409105 408103 408101 407103 406105 407106 409105
 1.00 455991 456986 456982 454976 450966 441945 438939 435935
      429928 425924 421922 414923 410922 404921 401924 404928
      405933 406941 408947 415954 417955 419954 423952 425950
      427952 430957 433961 434968 435975 435983 435991 434997
      434004 436009 440013 446014 450012 454008 454997 455991
 1.00 424001 423996 423989 421985 421978 420973 418968 417966
      415968 416973 417980 418985 419991 421994 420997 422001
      424001
 1.00 412898 411890 410884 405874 401864 398859 394856 384857
      380860 382868 384880 391888 394892 397897 399901 403905
      407906 411903 412898
 1.00 357879 355872 352868 348868 346870 343875 341880 336884
      331880 328879 326881 316886 312890 311899 313903 319900
      333898 344897 347894 351890 357879
 1.00 316930 317928 316926 315926 314926 313926 312927 310928
      309928 308929 307930 306931 305933 304935 305937 307936
      308935 309935 310933 312933 312932 314931 316930 316930
 1.00 309888 307887 305887 304888 303888 304889 305889 307889
      309888
 1.50 449983 449978 448976 447973 443972 442975 440978 440981
      439985 440988 441991 443994 445993 446988 447986 449983
 1.50 351879 351877 350876 348876 348877 348879 349880 350880
      351879
 1.50 328889 327888 326887 325887 323887 322887 322888 320890
      318892 319894 320895 322894 323894 324893 325892 326891
      327890 328889

24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 537194 539180 538175 536171 531165 525160 522157 521151
      519138 515116 513103 511092 502074 496063 494058 492051
      488038 485025 465001 462991 460988 462985 463980 465975
      466969 467964 467957 465945 464938 463933 461920 458909
      457901 458896 458888 456881 453875 451867 449862 450857
      444836 439818 432796 428785 425775 422762 421754 419747
      415739 411727 410718 409707 409693 410682 410669 410658
      409651 407648 399650 396652 392654 384659 374664 367668
      364676 358686 356693 353699 349707 344717 325748 321755
      317763 312777 309786 307791 308798 309801 308806 307810
      302812 293817 290818 290822 291826 293828 296830 298835
      299842 299846 298849 297854 295857 291864 288870 285874
      280881 276887 271894 266908 263919 263921 267924 275928
      278929 283929 288927 292929 296931 298932 298934 288935
      286946 280989 283996 288003 292008 296013 298019 301021
      303024 308028 326033 331035 335038 340043 347049 350053
      351058 351066 349072 343083 336084 332087 328096 323102
      318108 316112 318115 319121 325122 329121 332122 333125
      335130 337133 338139 338148 339154 336159 335161 332161
      327161 316161 314163 315165 319168 330171 337177 340181
      342183 345183 349181 354182 360188 365195 371199 378203
      387206 392207 392202 394191 393186 394183 396180 410174
      429170 429165 433160 436165 437162 440161 451159 455157
      459163 478188 479193 482193 481206 488205 494205 498206
      502205 503209 501213 497224 494252 492252 490249 486245
      482241 476239 474240 474244 477250 482260 485266 492274
 0.01 492274 500278 503278 506276 510270 514264 516259 517254
      519251 520248 521245 524238 527228 530218 533208 535204
      535198 537194
 0.01 483140 482138 480138 479140 480142 482143 483140
 0.01 458118 458113 456108 453102 451099 448099 448102 447107
      445111 441115 436119 434124 435131 439136 441139 446140
      450140 452136 454131 454127 458118
 0.01 442227 437225 433227 429232 426237 422242 419247 424250
      430249 433244 433237 436231 440229 442227
 0.01 434188 434184 432183 430183 428185 426187 424191 424193
      424196 425201 426203 428199 429197 431195 432190 434188
 0.01 440057 441042 439026 434011 430999 428987 427979 426973
      422957 419950 417943 416938 415932 412926 410920 408914
      405908 399895 395886 392880 388879 377873 371871 368869
      364872 347880 342884 338885 336887 331890 327895 318913
      316920 312926 305933 302933 300935 306936 311934 318933
      324931 330931 343934 353938 358940 361945 364951 365958
      366964 369967 373967 381970 395972 411972 414977 415984
      419994 422006 432033 440057
 0.01 425103 426098 425096 425091 426086 425082 425079 423077
      421076 420081 420086 420090 421093 422095 423100 425103
      425103
 0.25 504176 505171 504168 501167 499168 497170 495172 493175
      492178 493183 495184 496184 499183 501181 503178 504176
 0.25 435864 435861 434859 433857 432856 431855 431854 429853
      427853 426855 426857 426860 426862 427864 428867 430869
      431869 432869 433868 434866 435865 435864
 0.25 421804 421792 419778 417771 415765 411756 408749 404739
      401725 399712 397700 395687 393682 391676 387675 382675
      375678 372681 369686 362704 358712 354719 344735 336748
      331757 327766 326773 326779 329781 337776 343772 344783
      343794 347796 353797 360801 369802 372802 376803 381813
      384816 387820 390828 396834 400835 404832 410825 413821
      416816 420809 421804
 0.25 415062 416053 415049 416045 416040 415038 411036 398032
      388023 384020 379017 374006 372003 369001 364998 358994
      353989 348982 341971 339969 337964 336957 335948 332941
      327945 325949 323956 322963 324971 328976 332982 332991
      331997 328001 323004 321007 321010 324016 327021 334024
      341027 350031 356034 358036 360039 361047 364054 368058
      366063 366077 366089 370096 372099 372103 372108 370110
      367114 362115 354124 353132 354136 358136 370135 377136
      381139 388140 392140 395142 402144 406141 406137 405133
      402126 400120 399114 402110 407107 409103 409098 407091
      407081 409073 415062
 0.25 355837 355833 352828 348825 343823 339823 335822 336815
      339810 340806 340802 335802 331803 327805 324808 321819
      319830 316841 315851 315857 313862 304880 308882 312882
      314885 316883 318879 328863 333856 337852 342849 348846
      353842 355837 355837
 0.25 304882 301880 298881 294883 291887 289891 287895 286900
      289903 293901 296897 298893 300889 302886 304882
 0.50 416790 416783 413777 408768 402759 400759 399763 399770
      399777 398784 391790 388794 387802 389807 393810 405809
      409807 413803 415798 416790 416790
 0.50 410049 408043 401041 394039 389035 382035 375037 371041
      368042 366043 367045 370049 375054 380058 380065 374066
      371075 375080 378081 381081 385074 390076 394076 397077
      400076 402072 401069 402062 407056 410049
 0.50 395740 394735 392734 391731 390725 389714 389702 388695
      386690 382689 375693 369699 365706 360713 353728 347743
      346746 347752 351752 354750 361746 367746 372745 378740
      387736 395740
 0.50 391116 390115 389114 387114 385115 384118 384120 383122
      383124 384126 386125 387123 388120 389118 390117 391116
 0.50 376130 378128 377127 375127 376130 376130
 0.50 376765 375760 373757 369757 364759 358763 353768 351775
      350778 350784 356787 364787 371786 373782 374778 376769
      376765
 0.50 366039 366036 366034 364034 362035 362036 362038 364040
      366041 366039
 0.50 347013 348010 348006 346003 344000 340997 337998 333000
      330003 328008 329014 331016 336019 341018 345016 347013
 0.50 334965 334960 334957 334954 333949 332945 330945 329947
      327949 327952 325956 324958 324962 325964 326968 328970
      332970 333967 334965
 0.50 321864 321862 322859 320857 319860 318862 318864 319866
      321864 321864
 1.00 395048 394048 392047 390048 392049 394048 395048
 1.00 390050 390047 388046 387046 386047 385049 386050 388050
      390050
 1.00 363771 363769 362767 360767 358769 358770 358772 360773
      362772 363771
 1.00 332956 332955 332954 330952 328953 328954 327956 327957
      326958 326960 327961 328962 330962 331960 332958 332956
      332956

$$





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