000
FXUS04 KWBC 200842
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
441 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 20/1200 UTC THRU MAY 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER MS VLY...

EXTREMELY COMPLEX FCST... FEATURING THE INTENSIFYING AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE DAKOTAS... TWO SMALL SCALE MID-LEVEL LOWS/MCVS
IN CEN NE AND CEN IA... COUNTLESS SMALL SCALE SHORT WAVE
DYNAMICS...AN ANOMALOUS POWERFUL COLD FRONT AND DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL SETUP HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE NRN TIER OF THE
COUNTRY SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS. THE MOST ORGANIZED
RAINFALL AT THE MOMENT AND LIKELY TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
HRS IS TRUE SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING ACROSS A GOOD PART OF ND BACK
INTO ERN MT/WY... AS DEEP MOISTURE OVERRUNS INTO THE COLD SECTOR
TO COMBINE FOR A HEALTHY DEFORMATION ZONE OF MDT TO HVY RAINFALL
AND OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT IN MT/WY. THE GUIDANCE HAS A SOLID
HANDLING OF THIS STEADY RAINFALL WITH 1 TO 2 INCH AMOUNTS AND
LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS. THE RAIN RATES SHOULD DECREASE OVER
TIME AS THE UNSTABLE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PLAINS INTO
THE UPR MS VLY EVENTUALLY TAKES OVER THIS AFTN/EVENING AND THRIVES
OVERNIGHT. THE GUIDANCE REALLY VARIES... ESPECIALLY ON THE
HANDLING OF THESE TWO MID-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS AND THE LOCATION OF
THE HEAVIER QPF AMOUNTS. WPC FOLLOWED A COMPROMISE OF THE DATA...
BASICALLY A CONGLOMERATE OF THE GFS/ECMWF AND INTERNAL PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED GUIDANCE FOR A HEAVY RAINFALL AXIS FROM ERN IA/MN INTO
NRN WI... ANOTHER FROM ERN SD/ERN ND AND NWRN MN AND FINALLY A MAX
FROM CENTRAL/ERN OK NEWRD TO CENTRAL MO. IN ALL OF THESE
LOCALES... 1 TO 2 INCH AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
NUMBERS... AS THIS REMAINS A SLOW LARGE SCALE SYSTEM OVERALL WITH
VERY FAVORABLE FACETS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.

...SOUTHEAST...

ANOTHER COMPLEX AREA... AS A TRAPPED MID-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE SRN
APPALACHIANS FUELED A HEAVY
RAINFALL COMPLEX OVERNIGHT ACROSS NRN/NERN GA WITHIN INCREASING
WARM ADVECTION REGIME. AS THIS ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED... MORE
UPSTREAM DEVELOPMENT OVER ERN TN/NWRN GA NEAR THE EDGE OF A MOIST
DECAYING DEWPOINT BOUNDARY HAS DEVELOPED AND BEGAN TRAINING AND
PROPAGATE SOUTH AND EAST TO PARTIALLY CLIP THE AREAS IMPACTED
OVERNIGHT IN GA. THE GUIDANCE INCLUDING THE HI-RES OUTPUT HAS
HANDLED THIS ACTIVITY OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HRS MARGINALLY AT BEST
AND THE FOCUS LATER TODAY INTO TMRW APPEARS BE SETTING UP OVER
SC/CENTRAL NC... AS SMALL POCKET OF COOLER AIR ALOFT WITH DAYTIME
HEATING INTERACTS WITH POOLING PW MAX FOR SLOW MOVING CONVECTIVE
RAINFALL. WPC FOLLOWED A COMPROMISE OF THE GFS/ECMWF AND INTERNAL
PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED GUIDANCE.

...NEW ENGLAND...

A SHORT WAVE OVER ERN CANADA WILL SLIDE DOWNSTREAM TOWARD NOVA
SCOTIA/CANADIAN MARITIMES AND PRODUCE SOME WARM
ADVECTION/OVERRUNNING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED HEAVIER RAINFALL ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTN THROUGH TMRW. THE GUIDANCE AGREES THE MAX
ISENTROPIC LIFT NEAR A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT FROM
INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MAINE. THIS IS WHERE WPC PLACED A MAX
OF A .50 TO 1 INCH RAINFALL FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS.

DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A STRONG CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WOBBLING ONSHORE ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF ON BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. OUTSIDE
OF THE 00Z NAM (WHICH WAS TOO STRONG AND NORTHWEST WITH THE CLOSED
LOW)...THERE WAS GOOD MODEL CLUSTERING WITH THIS FEATURE. THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

ON DAY 2...THE CLOSED LOW DRIFTS INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...MAINLY DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE DAY. SYNOPTIC
SCALE LIFT IS ENHANCED BY SEVERAL 90 TO 110 KT JET STREAKS
ROTATING AROUND THE CLOSED LOW. THE BEST MID LEVEL LIFT AND
MOISTURE OCCURS DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE PERIOD...AS MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN. THERE IS MOISTURE WITH THE FEATURE...AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAK NEAR 0.75 INCHES EARLY...THEN DROP
OFF. AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ON THE
COASTAL RANGE OF OR...WITH LOCAL 0.50 INCH AMOUNT OVER THE
CASCADES OF WA.

DURING DAY 3...THE LOW TRUNDLES TO THE EAST...SO CONDITIONS DO NOT
CHANGE APPRECIABLY...EXCEPT THAT THE SURFACE FRONT BECOMES ALIGNED
BETTER WITH THE TERRAIN IN NORTHERN ID AND WESTERN MT. LIFT IS
ENHANCED HERE...AND A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO LOCALLY 1.00 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED OVER THE BITTERROOTS OF NORTHERN ID INTO WESTERN MT.
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN AGAIN...AND THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD
BE MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE ACROSS WA AND OR. A GENERAL 0.25 TO 0.50
INCH AREA OF QPF WAS PAINTED OVER OR AND WA.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/MIDWEST...

SHORT WAVES RUNNING INTO AN AREA OF RICH MOISTURE AND STRONG
INSTABILITY WILL RAISE THE SPECTER OF HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MAINLY DURING DAY 2. BECAUSE OF THIS...A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST AR. FOR THE MOST PART...MODELS WERE
CLOSE ON THIS SCENARIO...AND A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS WAS USED
AS A TEMPLATE FOR QPF.

ON DAY 2...THE FIRST SHORT WAVE CROSSES OK INTO AR...MAINLY DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 1.75 INCHES...TRANSPORTED NORTH ON A 30
TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY
AHEAD OF A FRONT AND DRYLINE...AND THIS SHOULD INITIATE CONVECTION
IN THE AFTERNOON FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTHERN IL.

THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT A SMALL MCS COULD FORM ON THE NOSE OF
THE LOW LEVEL JET DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WITH THE BEST
MOISTURE FLUX ACROSS NORTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST AR. IN THIS
AREA...AN AREA OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. SOME 00Z GEFS
MEMBERS...AS WELL AS SOME 00Z MODEL SUITE MEMBERS...SHOW THE
POTENTIAL FOR 4 INCHES OF RAIN HERE. AS A RESULT...A SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PLACED IN THIS AREA. A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO
1.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED FURTHER UP THE FRONT INTO SOUTHERN
IL...AND THESE NUMBERS ARE BELOW THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS.


...OHIO VALLEY SOUTH THROUGH THE GULF COAST...

MOISTURE RICH AIR TRANSPORTED NORTH AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL
BRING THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTH
INTO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF...MAINLY DURING DAY 3. THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT WAS HANDLED FAIRLY WELL BY ALL 00Z MODEL SUITE
MEMBERS...AND THE QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF AND
00Z GFS.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.50 AND 1.75 INCHES ARE
TRANSPORTED NORTH ON A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET FROM THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE MOISTURE
SHOULD BE FOCUSED ON THE FRONT...WITH SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT PROVIDED
BY THE LONG WAVE TROUGH THAT EVOLVES FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS
CLOSED LOW. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH A UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND SHEAR PATTERN. THE
ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE ALONG...WITH HEAVY RAIN BEING LIMITED BY
SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT. A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO NEARLY 1.00
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG OF THE FRONT...SPREADING FROM
NORTHERN OH BACK INTO EAST CENTRAL LA.


...GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

MOISTURE ALONG A WARM FRONT WILL BE THE PRIMARY PRODUCER OF QPF
FOR DAY 2 ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST. MOISTURE
ALONG A COLD FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF IN THE SAME AREA
DURING DAY 3. OUTSIDE OF THE 00Z NAM...WHICH APPEARED TO BE TOO
FAST WITH BOTH FRONTS...THERE WAS A GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS WITH
RESPECT TO TIMING. WITH THIS IN MIND...A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF
AND 00Z GFS WAS USED AS A BASIS FOR THE QPF FORECAST.

ON DAY 2...THE QPF FOCUS IS THE WARM FRONT. WHILE THERE ARE SOME
MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND POSITIONING OF THE
FRONT...THERE IS BETTER CONSENSUS THAN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.50 INCHES (WHICH IS
CLOSE TO TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DATE) WILL
BE FUNNELED ALONG THE FRONT INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND... INSTABILITY SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIMITED BY
CLOUDINESS...BUT ELEVATED CONVECTION COULD HELP BOOST QPF AMOUNTS
TO 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS NY INTO VT AND NH.

FURTHER SOUTH...IN THE WARM SECTOR...STRONG INSTABILITY IS
FORECAST TO BE PRESENT ACROSS PA AND NJ. HOWEVER...WITH A LACK OF
CONVERGENCE ALONG A BOUNDARY...THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE...AND QPF AMOUNT OF 0.15 TO 0.25 INCHES
WERE FORECAST.

ON DAY 3...THE FOCUS FOR QPF WILL BE ALONG A COLD FRONT STRETCHED
FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BACK INTO THE GREAT LAKES. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES NEAR 1.50 INCHES WILL BE PRESENT ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO NY. STRONGER CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS (POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCS) SHOULD RESULT IN
LOCALLY HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS WI AND MI...WHERE AMOUNTS COULD
REACH CLOSE TO 1.50 INCHES. SOME 00Z GEFS MEMBERS SHOW 2 INCHES
AMOUNTS HERE...WITH ISOLATED 3 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. FOR
NOW...THERE WILL BE NO SLIGHT RISK AREA ASSIGNED...BUT LOCALLY
HEAVIER QPF IS POSSIBLE.

FURTHER EAST...WHERE THE INSTABILITY IS NOT AS GREAT...A GENERAL
0.25 TO 0.50 INCH QPF AREA WAS PLACED OVER NY...VT AND MUCH OF NH.
AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES WAS DRAPED OVER NORTHERN NH AND
NORTHERN ME...CLOSER TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.


...FL...

A CLOSED LOW OPENING TO A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE THE
TYPICAL SEA BREEZE CONVECTIVE SCHEME ACROSS FL FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND
3. THERE WAS GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE MID
LEVEL TROUGH...AND THE QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z
ECMWF/GFS/NAM BLEND.

THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WILL ENHANCE THE TYPICAL SEA BREEZE BASED
CONVECTIVE REGIME. COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL AID IN
LIFT...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR. PRECIPITABLE VALUES PEAK
NEAR 1.75 INCHES...SUGGESTING THE CONVECTION COULD LAST AS LONG AS
03Z. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS AN EAST COAST DOMINATED SEA
BREEZE...AND AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED NEAR
THE FAVORED LOCATION.

MORE OR LESS THE SAME CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON DAY 3...WITH
ANOTHER EAST COAST DOMINATED REGIME EXPECTED. A STRIPE OF 0.25
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ON THE EAST COAST OF THE PENINSULA.


HURLEY/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 498647 497641 495636 490628 485623 480620 476617 470614
      461611 457610 454612 444622 440627 437634 435637 432638
      426641 423644 423647 420652 421658 423661 422664 416669
      403680 384696 382700 384706 386710 390711 397707 401705
      404706 409703 416700 419704 420708 421712 420716 419729
      418735 418740 418746 421754 421768 420778 420781 421785
      423789 424793 423800 421805 417811 415816 412830 409839
      406844 401846 395855 390858 387862 382865 379871 376876
      369880 365883 360887 356898 353907 349916 340933 328948
      325952 324957 324964 327967 330968 325970 318972 314975
      308982 306988 301991 296995 293996 288001 287007 285009
      286012 290013 300009 308006 320003 329999 335994 340994
      344995 350000 354997 357994 364986 379974 384971 387967
      393956 400947 410938 418931 424942 425951 422956 419961
      415963 413968 412974 407983 406988 409992 413997 413999
      415990 418983 421979 427979 429980 430982 429989 427991
      424993 422008 421015 421025 420041 417049 415051 411051
      404050 401045 399043 398038 396034 386015 384012 377011
      374010 371013 368018 364017 362015 357015 356021 357023
      359023 362023 365026 365032 364035 361035 357033 354037
      355041 357047 357054 361055 364058 367065 372068 377081
      380086 385089 389092 393090 398089 401092 402098 401107
      400112 402115 406118 410119 414118 416114 418112 424112
      430112 432114 434117 436118 439117 444113 447116 449119
      452122 450126 448128 444128 441130 439132 438136 438144
      441148 444151 447154 450155 450151 448145 448139 451135
      458136 466138 470137 474137 486140 489144 495147 499151
      505154 510156 514159 519160 520157 511136 509133 508128
      506123 504110 501104 496103 494106 491108 485106 481104
      480102 476098 470093 465091 461085 463080 475075 479074
      481072 486068 491064 494061 497059 499053 506041 508036
      510027 512013 515997 516987 517981 517971 517960 517946
      517936 516926 513902 511885 508867 503844 499833 497827
      493816 490810 485792 483777 479762 475745 472737 472730
      470723 467718 462715 461712 463709 465705 469701 474698
      478702 482704 483698 484681 483675 484670 488671 490672
      493670 497657 498647
 0.01 518268 519261 519255 517248 513242 516238 513231 509226
      506224 504227 502219 500214 494211 489213 482212 476211
      473213 470213 460216 454218 450221 438226 431233 427239
      424246 422252 421258 425266 428269 435279 448287 456290
      459291 461290 467288 471285 481278 486276 491273 499276
      505277 510275 514271 518268
 0.01 442715 439708 435706 431704 427702 425702 424705 427712
      430719 432726 433731 432734 435736 438731 441726 441720
      442715
 0.01 410757 407746 405743 402741 397742 391746 384749 379747
      372738 366733 361730 356728 351730 342741 339746 337751
      334757 332764 329769 323772 319776 312780 306784 300785
      294785 288783 280779 264767 257766 250770 247773 245778
      243783 242789 241800 242812 249817 267826 273829 278830
      287831 292834 296838 298840 299844 300848 302850 307853
      314853 318856 318853 318848 320845 324842 327839 330838
      336836 344832 348833 350836 353840 356836 359830 365832
      371833 377833 383831 387827 394823 400820 401818 400813
      398803 398797 399793 402791 402781 401775 404770 407767
      409762 410757
 0.01 319913 318909 315907 310905 306900 307893 305890 301894
      295899 294902 294906 295915 298924 301930 307930 312926
      315924 317920 319914 319913
 0.25 472672 470666 467661 461657 456655 449654 443656 439662
      432671 428677 428681 431684 438685 445684 452677 455676
      459677 465677 471675 472672
 0.25 511256 509251 509250 507247 506249 506253 506254 508257
      511256
 0.25 509952 507930 505911 503893 501878 497859 492844 484820
      472792 469787 466784 460778 456773 453768 449766 443770
      439779 438783 440791 440797 439804 437810 435815 427832
      409869 407874 402877 394880 377889 369895 364904 355917
      350927 345936 338951 336956 337960 339964 338969 331975
      329978 328981 330985 336985 342985 346986 351987 356986
      362980 375966 380960 385953 393945 400937 410922 416915
      422906 426903 432900 437900 440902 444907 447914 449919
      450927 449939 447950 446956 444961 441965 440973 440999
      437011 432024 432032 435043 440054 447062 450065 455065
      462063 468062 475060 479058 482055 490048 493045 496040
      500029 504014 506003 508989 509979 509967 509952
 0.25 472250 471247 468247 467248 467251 470252 472250
 0.25 379774 379770 377767 375764 368764 358767 350772 343779
      335782 327784 319788 313791 308792 302793 294793 287790
      262781 257782 253784 248789 246792 247797 252802 256804
      257806 259812 265815 270817 283823 287823 290822 290819
      286814 285811 287809 290808 293809 308811 312812 316812
      321814 336815 342814 347812 355807 360805 364801 367796
      368791 370787 374783 379774
 0.50 505980 505971 505961 504944 502930 500916 496884 495876
      492869 489861 479839 474830 469824 453819 449820 448823
      442829 429845 424852 421859 416868 411875 406881 401886
      396889 390891 383896 378899 374900 368904 358918 354925
      351932 347941 344949 342967 340976 342979 346982 354983
      359979 367972 372965 380953 384947 391940 397934 401928
      412914 417907 421899 424890 428882 435877 441877 446878
      448882 454892 456898 456904 456914 454920 454926 454941
      454949 452960 448971 447982 446988 447994 449003 452014
      452021 451024 439036 439040 440044 443048 450052 459054
      468053 474053 479051 484045 489038 493029 498016 502005
      503998 505988 505980
 0.50 365778 362776 357776 350782 340788 331790 321794 316797
      314799 316801 324801 331805 339805 348801 357794 362787
      365782 365778
 0.50 295800 290795 285793 278791 273790 267789 261791 258796
      263800 268801 274803 280805 286805 294803 295800
 1.00 500945 498931 496922 492914 490912 489907 491897 490885
      488873 485867 477850 473842 470839 467840 461846 459850
      459854 464860 467865 470869 471873 472881 472892 474903
      476906 480909 485912 486912 487917 484922 481926 479931
      476937 468948 467952 469955 471957 474958 477960 478963
      479969 479981 482994 481005 483011 485012 489010 492006
      494000 497994 500986 501977 499956 500945
 1.00 412898 412892 411890 407891 397898 393901 390905 389912
      386917 383918 378917 376916 376912 375908 372907 368911
      365915 359924 354933 350943 348955 347961 347968 347973
      349976 353977 356976 361973 364969 367965 371956 377946
      383937 390930 398921 405914 408910 410905 412898
 1.00 278797 277796 276795 274795 271796 271797 272797 274797
      277798 278798 278797
 1.50 485885 485881 484877 483872 482871 479869 478870 477874
      477875 477880 477884 477889 478893 479896 481897 483895
      485890 485888 485885
 1.50 494982 495978 494973 493972 490973 489974 489979 489983
      491985 494984 494982
 1.50 406904 404901 401902 398904 397906 396908 395911 396914
      397914 398914 400912 402909 403908 405905 406904
 1.50 379933 378930 376930 370930 368928 368925 368921 366919
      364923 365926 362926 359931 355940 351950 350961 351968
      355970 359969 361966 363963 368955 373946 377937 379933
 2.00 366951 367947 366944 366940 364937 363936 360938 358941
      357942 355944 355946 353948 352950 352954 352957 352961
      355963 358963 360960 361959 363957 364955 365953 366951

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 527242 527233 526223 524217 521211 515205 512199 508194
      497172 493167 492161 492152 489148 472136 468137 467145
      459143 455145 448146 445148 442145 439140 436140 435147
      435153 441165 442170 443178 440183 437185 426185 425191
      430195 432200 431208 429212 425214 420215 416218 410229
      407233 402235 400240 401245 402248 408250 420257 425266
      426271 427276 429280 433286 437289 444292 450294 453292
      460287 464283 466278 468274 470272 472270 475270 481271
      485270 487274 492276 498280 502280 511273 515269 519269
      524249 527242
 0.01 475699 471689 467681 462678 457677 451680 449677 448672
      447664 445655 443648 440640 437633 432625 425619 417629
      413638 410644 409650 407660 408671 408685 408697 406706
      403719 400725 397731 394738 390743 385746 378749 373749
      370751 367750 360753 357740 360730 361725 359722 353723
      346731 337747 334759 329768 327772 322776 317779 312778
      306777 301774 292770 284766 279764 274764 265763 259765
      256764 250767 248771 244778 235782 230785 228789 226791
      228796 230799 232803 232814 232817 234821 241826 245827
      252825 257825 262828 270835 274838 276839 279838 286834
      289833 292833 310838 320834 330835 332834 335835 334839
      336842 339848 342851 340855 335862 332865 328870 320876
      321883 323886 323891 321896 317901 313903 310904 304905
      297905 294906 292910 293918 295925 299927 298932 294941
      295954 296961 294964 293968 290973 286976 281978 275983
      273986 273991 274995 279997 281999 281005 278016 278020
      281022 316998 324992 330989 335988 340988 341994 341999
      341007 351027 357033 362036 365039 365046 363050 364054
      367055 373056 376058 382061 386065 393074 395077 398077
      402076 406077 410076 415072 425065 427062 426058 417052
      404052 402052 399050 397046 395042 392040 388040 383039
      381036 381031 379020 376018 372017 365017 360016 362009
      362003 362996 364991 366979 370965 376955 390936 393933
      396928 406921 412919 414916 420915 424916 427917 432918
      436922 440927 441936 441940 440945 437951 436958 431967
      428969 424973 417979 417985 417990 415995 416999 418003
      419006 422012 425017 432025 435032 437041 438048 441052
      448060 458057 464058 468060 478063 481064 485068 488065
      491063 494058 496050 500039 502032 503025 504017 505007
      504996 504990 505985 513913 513878 513862 511852 508843
      499818 497811 497806 497796 497790 495782 495774 494769
      492764 490759 486751 483743 477726 475699
 0.01 528174 528168 527164 525160 524154 521147 512147 505141
      502138 498139 491139 491144 494146 498154 501157 505158
      509160 511162 516168 522173 526175 528174
 0.25 520244 520238 520232 517221 514213 509206 504197 498191
      489179 483169 476164 472163 466167 459172 453176 450178
      448183 443190 441194 442199 446207 444212 440214 436217
      428221 423226 423230 416236 413238 414244 422249 429253
      436257 442257 445256 451253 463247 467244 469240 470236
      470232 470227 472223 479226 487232 491234 493238 497246
      501251 504256 508259 512257 514255 519248 520244
 0.25 508895 507882 505870 498853 492838 490830 487820 485802
      479789 475781 471776 468771 465763 464755 464745 465730
      465714 462706 459704 457703 451705 446705 441705 436703
      433702 428703 424704 421708 413736 411741 409748 410761
      411768 411773 409779 406784 404789 402796 400807 399816
      396822 390833 386837 383843 376852 364866 359870 353873
      344881 328898 316914 311923 308932 305943 303956 303971
      299982 299990 302993 308993 312992 315990 329975 336970
      341968 345969 348970 352970 357965 364955 370947 377939
      386920 392910 395908 399908 402909 412901 426897 437897
      441897 446899 452906 457921 460929 460940 460944 458953
      452967 450974 448981 447986 446997 447005 451010 455014
      460017 464017 468016 472012 475008 478994 481985 486981
      491975 493970 492964 488961 485954 485948 487931 488914
      486895 488890 492896 497907 498909 503908 507900 508895
 0.25 488866 487864 485862 484862 480861 478863 477866 479867
      480869 482871 484872 486874 487871 488867 488866
 0.25 479208 479203 478199 475194 473189 470186 465184 461187
      458193 456198 454202 450207 449208 449213 451213 455214
      461214 467214 470213 474211 479208
 0.25 357830 355829 352830 350833 349837 352839 355838 356834
      356833 357830
 0.25 312803 307797 300795 294792 289789 282783 277781 269780
      261782 254785 246788 242794 241798 243802 249807 256810
      260815 266819 277824 283823 287820 292816 299812 305809
      310806 312803
 0.50 513247 515242 516238 515230 513223 511218 506209 501200
      498195 493191 485186 480186 481193 483205 482209 481213
      481217 484221 488224 492228 494232 499242 504247 510248
      513247
 0.50 486839 484830 482821 478810 468788 457778 455772 454766
      455756 454742 452734 450726 446722 442721 435720 432719
      428722 425726 424729 422740 420749 420756 422764 425771
      426777 424785 417793 414800 414811 414815 412819 405825
      398835 399840 403842 412842 414843 415846 415850 413858
      409863 404864 396863 394860 393854 393849 392846 386848
      384850 378856 373865 370870 365876 356881 350883 342888
      336895 326907 316920 313927 311934 309943 308952 307964
      307972 304979 303986 305988 309988 316983 322976 328971
      334966 341961 349959 354959 357956 362948 366941 372933
      376926 380918 385910 389905 392902 397900 414890 423890
      425887 425881 424878 425874 428871 437868 444861 450853
      456855 464858 468860 472856 478850 485844 486839
 0.50 474894 476889 476884 474881 471877 468877 467879 467883
      468887 468891 470895 471896 474894 474894
 0.50 452841 451837 448837 444840 441838 439832 440828 440823
      438818 433815 429816 425819 425822 426828 430835 434841
      438848 443849 447848 451846 452841
 0.50 451242 451239 450236 449233 449227 451226 453223 452220
      449218 440217 435221 430228 429233 428235 422238 419240
      420242 424245 432247 441248 447245 451242
 0.50 297802 295797 292796 285792 277789 269788 260790 255792
      251795 249799 250803 257803 265804 272806 280810 285807
      295805 297802
 1.00 504225 507221 505217 503212 500207 498202 496198 490198
      488201 486210 487216 490220 495225 498230 501228 504225
 1.00 442746 442742 439740 437743 436745 436750 437751 437754
      438754 441755 442750 442746
 1.00 384891 381887 377885 372886 366889 362891 356893 350894
      335909 328917 321925 316933 314937 313944 313957 312967
      316970 319970 327965 336957 343952 352946 358938 359933
      358929 358924 360918 363915 375910 380903 384894 384891
 1.50 357914 357908 357904 354902 351903 343910 335919 330928
      324938 322943 318946 316953 316960 328958 336952 344944
      351941 354936 354921 357914
 2.00 348930 348926 346924 343923 338925 335927 333930 331935
      329940 327945 327948 328952 331953 333951 336949 338946
      341942 345937 347933 348930

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 225744 220750 220756 223765 228770 238778 243784 245787
      243790 237802 235817 234821 235822 239824 241828 250825
      255823 260823 271829 275831 277834 283835 286834 289836
      293837 295839 297841 300843 300846 299852 300856 303864
      302873 304895 302898 298900 296902 295907 290923 291929
      290932 289939 288949 286955 286965 287976 289986 293990
      298989 301986 304979 310967 312961 314958 321952 324949
      325945 328936 336933 340930 344928 355919 361913 365908
      366906 368907 369913 372924 375928 377935 377938 381940
      384940 383934 381921 379907 378901 379897 382897 385900
      390899 398900 401903 404907 406919 408930 409937 411939
      413946 414954 418960 424966 429969 432970 434974 432980
      429992 432993 436997 444999 451006 453006 454002 459984
      464975 467970 469969 483967 488949 492938 490923 486890
      488884 487876 485867 487860 484846 482832 480824 481819
      482809 481800 482795 482789 483785 485775 488766 496747
      498741 497736 498731 497725 494716 493708 493701 492694
      493679 493675 491667 486644 483636 478625 472612 466606
      464603 460604 457604 453606 438608 431610 428618 418631
      422648 420654 417660 413671 411675 409680 407690 407708
      406713 407717 406721 404726 393740 384747 380753 377770
      372774 369778 364781 361779 358778 354774 350771 350765
      356759 360755 359750 363733 361728 358727 354727 351727
      347728 339732 331734 321740 302750 295755 287758 278759
      274759 270758 263754 257748 252744 247742 241739 234738
 0.01 522260 521253 520248 519243 518235 518224 519215 517210
      516201 515196 513189 513185 515183 520183 523180 528174
      532164 529154 522133 516123 515118 514110 509099 508094
      505090 501079 497072 491063 488059 485058 482055 479055
      473064 473068 475073 475077 473079 471075 463056 460052
      457051 456052 456059 456067 458071 458079 457087 455090
      454084 453079 450075 447072 443071 439068 436068 435070
      435076 435081 434084 433088 430087 427085 424085 422090
      421105 424111 427114 430116 433120 443131 437138 435141
      434148 435153 436157 440165 441169 440173 436173 431166
      424161 417161 415167 416173 418175 420177 420181 420186
      422191 425196 427199 424202 414214 411218 410224 408229
      405231 404234 402239 403244 403247 402250 391259 387261
      386268 384275 386280 396292 415300 424303 432299 439299
      451303 457299 461299 464297 470292 475292 478290 482289
      485287 493282 508275 516268 519263 522260
 0.01 419064 420061 419057 416053 412049 410051 407049 404048
      401045 395045 386047 381048 378050 378054 381059 383061
      381064 378068 381072 384072 387069 389069 398066 401069
      407069 409065 415066 419064
 0.01 301024 301020 298015 292011 281011 276010 273007 259000
      255998 253995 248989 243983 238983 235986 233988 231993
      234998 238004 245010 257018 265022 273026 279029 284029
      287031 293031 295029 299027 301024
 0.25 485675 483670 479664 472654 468649 463645 456639 449638
      445640 440643 435645 433649 435656 436672 439685 439691
      438696 434701 432707 430719 425726 421729 419735 422739
      423743 417767 414773 409778 402785 399788 393791 390792
      384795 375803 371805 366806 360809 357812 350822 345830
      343832 337835 332839 329843 324845 319848 315852 313857
      314864 316867 319867 322865 325861 327859 333856 345852
      350850 354852 354854 352857 349861 345871 343875 338879
      332889 328892 322892 318891 313894 302908 299912 297919
      298928 300939 303945 307946 311943 315938 321929 325921
      328912 333903 334898 336896 339894 346893 353890 361887
      373882 380879 386875 392867 395863 397861 400862 405870
      408877 409883 411894 415903 419908 436915 441918 446918
      449913 450908 453895 453889 454880 456866 459850 464827
      466812 468800 472787 475775 477764 480748 482733 484720
      487714 488709 486703 487698 487685 485675
 0.25 508226 507210 506194 507183 508173 513157 510142 503132
      498129 492128 485128 481128 478126 469121 467115 467110
      467106 460103 456101 452097 442092 438092 434095 432097
      433105 434108 437110 441113 450119 455122 455125 453129
      453134 455140 456156 459161 463165 474169 477174 478183
      476191 472195 466196 463200 457209 452213 448214 443215
      439218 430221 425223 421227 419232 417236 416241 419247
      422251 434256 443263 453269 458271 460268 459263 459257
      459253 461250 465247 469245 487237 493235 500233 505229
      508226
 0.25 450205 453201 453197 453193 452191 450192 449193 447195
      447199 448203 450205 450205
 0.25 346750 345746 341746 335749 322755 309762 294768 267777
      261780 258785 256791 255793 256797 260800 265801 271803
      272807 270812 273819 277822 283823 288823 293821 292816
      288811 284808 285804 287799 292798 298799 305798 312794
      316790 328781 334770 338765 341760 346750
 0.50 484697 482686 478677 473671 468668 464667 457665 455666
      452669 452676 452693 453697 452700 450706 446721 446731
      447734 445737 438742 436748 436756 440765 440772 441783
      440791 438798 433811 428816 425820 422829 420828 421820
      422813 422806 421797 417792 411791 405796 401801 397805
      394810 395811 402807 408808 410823 417834 417848 414855
      414860 415865 419884 420893 422898 424902 426905 429906
      437906 440905 445900 447895 447886 447877 448869 452854
      457840 460825 462808 464791 465785 467780 473765 476749
      479734 481724 481719 480713 481703 484699 484697
 0.50 501219 502190 504176 502159 506156 508149 506143 503140
      499137 494136 490135 486134 485154 476151 470145 466141
      464146 465151 467154 474159 477164 479168 482179 483191
      480203 479208 480213 482217 485221 490224 495225 499222
      501219
 0.50 469218 467214 464214 461216 460220 460221 463223 465221
      466221 469218
 0.50 458241 459237 458235 453235 449234 446232 444230 441229
      438231 437234 434234 431237 425238 425242 427243 432246
      438247 441247 447247 450246 454244 458241
 0.50 450109 450105 449105 447106 446109 447109 449111 450109
 0.50 396845 394841 391838 388841 385841 383843 378847 370852
      365854 359857 357860 355865 356870 359873 365869 372862
      374859 380858 391851 393850 396845
 0.50 389812 386811 384811 383811 380811 379813 381816 382816
      385816 388816 389812
 0.50 328767 326766 323766 321767 319768 318768 316769 315770
      313772 312775 313778 315778 318778 321777 323776 326773
      326771 327769 328767
 0.50 310779 308777 304775 299774 296775 291777 288779 288783
      289786 292788 295790 300791 304790 308787 310783 310779
 0.50 320916 319909 317906 315905 312907 309909 307913 305916
      305923 306929 308932 313931 316927 317923 319919 320916
 1.00 471717 469713 467711 465702 462691 460691 459695 458702
      458712 459718 459721 460734 459741 459751 451766 450773
      449779 452785 455786 458782 460775 460765 464757 467748
      469741 472732 471721 471717
 1.00 495167 496163 493160 492162 492166 493169 495167
 1.00 449812 448809 447807 444807 443811 442814 442816 444819
      447821 448817 449816 449812
 1.00 448835 449830 447827 446823 444822 443827 439826 436826
      433827 431831 429835 427840 425845 425853 426857 428860
      432861 437858 440855 444849 446844 448839 448835

$$