Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 040957
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
456 AM EST THU FEB 04 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 04/1200 UTC THRU FEB 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

...FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA...

WEDNESDAY EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS HAD PRODUCED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN
PARTS OF FL/GA AMIDST HIGHLY ANOMALOUS...AND IN SOME CASES
RECORD...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.70 INCHES. IN THE VERY
SHORT TERM...SOME OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL HAVE MOVED
OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS...BUT WILL STILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO MOVE
ONSHORE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. LOW LEVEL INFLOW STRENGTHENS FURTHER OVER NORTH
FLORIDA DURING THE DAY UNDER THE APPROACH OF AN UPSTREM SHORTWAVE.
WITH MERIDIONAL WIND FIELDS ONLY SLOWLY SWINGING AROUND AND
VEERING...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND OUTFLOWS/EFFECTIVE FRONT MAY
BE SLOW TO ADVANCE EASTWARD...UNTIL THE SHORTWAVE ARRIVES TOWARD
00Z. AT THE SAME TIME...HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE
WILL FURTHER ENHANCE GRADIENTS ALONG A STRONG UPPER JET STREAK
SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN STATES...LEADING TO A BROAD INCREASE TO
BOTH CONVECTIVE AND STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION FROM GEORGIA UP TO
VIRGINIA. THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA ARE FAVORED FOR THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL GIVEN PROXIMITY TO SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY AND
THE NEARBY DEVELOPMENT OF A FRONTAL WAVE / SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
JUST OFFSHORE.

MOST DETERMINISTIC MODEL SOLUTIONS FEATURE TWO LOCAL MAXIMA OF
PRECIPITATION...ONE IN FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE OTHER IN
NORTH CAROLINA...AS DISCUSSED ABOVE. CERTAINLY THE NAM WAS A BIT
OF AN OUTLIER IN FOCUSING NEARLY ALL PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT...HENCE TOO FAR NORTH AND WEST. A FEW HI-RES
SOLUTIONS...INCLUDING THE WRF-ARW...HAVE DONE JUST THE
OPPOSITE...AND ARE EAST OF CONSENSUS. THE WRF-ARW IS TYPICALLY
VERY SKILLFUL...BUT GIVEN THAT THE FORCING MECHANISMS ARE LARGE
SCALE...WPC LEANED TOWARD THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS...SUPPORTED
ALSO BY THE 00Z CANADIAN GEM REGIONAL. THE MANUAL FORECAST IS
CLOSEST TO THE GEM AND THE ECMWF...BUT THE 00Z GFS CAME IN
STRONGLY SUPPORTING THIS SOLUTION AS WELL.


...MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND COASTAL AREAS...

SATELLITE LOOPS REVEALED A LARGE AMOUNT OF MERIDIONAL FLOW...AND
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS NOT FORECAST TO PUSH TOO FAR OFFSHORE
BEFORE UPSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS ARRIVE AND A COASTAL LOW BEGINS TO
FORM THURSDAY EVENING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. THE SLOPING FRONTAL
ZONE WILL SEE TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AS A 175 KNOT ANTICYCLONICALLY
CURVED JET STRENGTHENS IN PLACE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST STATES. THE RESULTING BACKING OF FLOW MAY BRING MORE
PRECIPITATION ONSHORE AS THE LOW / WAVE BEGINS TO MATURE THURSDAY
NIGHT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE THE
FOREAST HAS TRENDED WETTER FROM LONG ISLAND TO CAPE COD. THE I-95
CORRIDOR IS PARTICULARLY CHALLENGING...AS THE CONSENSUS TREND HAS
NOT BEEN WETTER...BUT RATHER SHARPER...WITH A STRONG GRADIENT
BETWEEN ZERO PRECIPITATION AND AMOUNTS RAMPING UP QUICKLY TOWARD A
HALF INCH. WPC STARTED WITH A 50/30/20 BLEND OF THE ECMWF / OUR
BIAS-CORRECTED ENSEMBLE / PREVIOUS WPC. WE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENT
TOWARD THE GEM REGIONAL. ALTHOUGH THE NAM AND GFS KEEP THE
GRADIENT A LITTLE FARTHER EAST...THE ECMWF CAME IN WETTER...AND
THE ODDS OF AT LEAST A TENTH INCH OF LIQUID ALONG I-95 FROM
PHILADELPHIA TO NEW YORK INCREASED WITH THIS CYCLE. GIVEN THE
MERIDIONAL FLOW AND STRENGTH OF UPSTREAM FEATURES...THIS SEEMS TO
MAKE SENSE...AND WILL HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.
SEE THE HEAVY SNOW DISCUSSION FOR DETAILS.


...NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN U.S...

WITH A MEAN LONGWAVE RIDGE/TROUGH STRUCTURE ESTABLISHED OVER THE
CONUS...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BE
STEERED TOWARD THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ALONG AN ARCTIC BOUNDARY
IN THE DAKOTAS AND SURFACE TROUGHING DEVELOPING SOUTHWARD DOWN
THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. ONSHORE FLOW INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT MOIST...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE DAY TODAY...BEFORE SHORTWAVE RIDGING SETS IN FOR THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. FARTHER INLAND...MOISTURE CONTENT WILL BE VERY
LIMITED IN THE WAKE OF THE RECENTLY ESTABLISHED LONGWAVE
TROUGH...SUCH THAT THE SHORTWAVE DIGGING TOWARD THE HIGH PLAINS
WILL PRIMARILY HIT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ROCKIES AND
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WITH A VERY MODEST AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION.
GEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES SHOW THE LIKELIHOOD OF 0.25
INCH AMOUNTS BEING LIMITED TO THE BITTERROOTS THE THE TETONS. THIS
IS BACKED UP BY THE GEFS REFORECAST ANALOG CASES. WPC WAS ABLE TO
MAINTAIN STRONG CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST ISSUED ON
WEDNESDAY...WHILE INCORPORATINS SOME DETAILS FROM THE 00Z NAM AND
GEM REGIONAL.


DAYS 2/3...

...NORTHEAST...

AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH THE EXITING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LATER THURSDAY...ALLOWING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO FORM
AND MOVE NORTHEAST OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON FRIDAY. THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF/GEM HAVE ALL CONSISTENTLY TRENDED WEST WITH THIS
STORM OVER THEIR LAST SEVERAL RUNS...COMING CLOSER IN LINE TO THE
MORE CONSISTENTLY WEST UKMET. THE NAM/GEM CONTINUE TO BE THE
FURTHEST EAST SOLUTIONS...BUT THE 21Z AND 03Z SREF MEAN IS
CONSIDERABLY WEST OF THE NAM...AND GIVEN THE STRONG TREND
SEEN...WOULD APPEAR THE NAM/GEM ARE LIKELY TOO FAR EAST. FAVORED A
SOLUTION CLOSEST TO A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF...0Z GFS...21Z SREF
AND OUR IN HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE. THIS BLEND RESULTED IN
AN INCREASE IN AMOUNTS FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND NORTH INTO
COASTAL MAINE...WHICH APPEARS TO BE THE CORRECT TREND. FOR NOW THE
03Z SREF MEAN AND 0Z UKMET ARE ON THE NORTHWEST EDGE OF THE
GUIDANCE AND THUS BRINGING HIGHER QPF FURTHER INLAND. GIVEN RECENT
TRENDS THESE SOLUTIONS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...AND WILL DEFINITELY
HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS...AS A FURTHER WEST SOLUTION IS
POSSIBLE. THE HIGH RES ARW/NMMB ARE FURTHER SOUTHEAST...ESPECIALLY
THE ARW. THIS DOES RESULT IN A SLIGHTLY LOWER CONFIDENCE
FORECAST...BUT GIVEN RECENT TRENDS THEY SEEM TO REPRESENT LESS
LIKELY SOLUTIONS. THE FACT THAT THEY HAVE A NAM CORE AND THE NAM
APPEARS TO BE PLAYING CATCH UP WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD BE PLAYING A
FACTOR IN THE FURTHER SOUTHEAST HIGH RES SOLUTIONS.


...SOUTHEAST...

A COMPLEX SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED
WITHIN IT CURRENTLY ENTERING THE NORTHWEST WILL DIVE INTO THE
PLAINS BY LATER FRIDAY. THERE IT WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A
WEAK LOBE OF ENERGY THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA...WHICH WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE
DEVELOPING WEST COAST RIDGE. NEEDLESS TO SAY A COMPLEX PATTERN AND
THUS NO SURPRISE GUIDANCE OFFERS DIFFERING SOLUTIONS TO THE
EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF THE MORE CONSOLIDATED WAVE AS IT APPROACHES
THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS WEEKEND. THE NAM/GFS ARE ON THE QUICKER
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SPREAD...WITH THE ECMWF/UKMET/GEM SLOWER. NOT
NECESSARILY A CLEAR TREND...BUT A LOOK AT THE PAST COUPLE DAYS OF
RUNS SUGGEST IF ANYTHING THERE MAY BE A TREND TOWARDS A SLIGHTLY
QUICKER SYSTEM. THE GFS/NAM ARE ALSO SLIGHTLY WEAKER WITH THE
ENERGY WITHIN THE WAVE AND MORE POSITIVELY TILTED...WHICH RESULTS
IN A SLOWER LOW DEVELOPMENT AND HENCE LESS QPF OVER FL ON DAY 3.
DECIDED THAT A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF AND 0Z GFS OFFERED THE BEST
MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR THE TIME BEING...WITH
BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE. HOPEFULLY TODAY`S SET OF MODEL RUNS CAN
CONVERGE ON A MORE SIMILAR SOLUTION GIVEN THAT MOST OR ALL OF THE
FEATURES ARE NOW OVER LAND.

...NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL SET UP FOR THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT AND MOISTURE AXIS
SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE ASHORE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...BUT GIVEN THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE...THE SYSTEM WILL BE PRETTY PROGRESSIVE
WHICH WILL END UP KEEPING QPF TOTALS FROM GETTING TOO HIGH. ALSO
THE PLUME OF MOISTURE RAPIDLY BEGINS TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES ASHORE WITH DROPPING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.
NONETHELESS...GIVEN THE STRONG SYNOPTIC FORCING AHEAD OF THE
WAVE...WOULD EXPECT A SHORT SHOT OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN. IN GENERAL A BLEND
OF THE 12Z ECMWF...0Z GFS AND OUR IN HOUSE BIAS CORRECTED ENSEMBLE
WAS USED FOR QPF. THIS SEEMED TO REPRESENT THE BEST CONSENSUS
SOLUTION AT THIS TIME.


...NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES...

SUBTLE SHORTWAVES WITHIN THE BROADER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION WILL LIKELY BRING AN AREA OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVING
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND EVENTUALLY
NORTHEAST FRIDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND. GENERALLY FOLLOWED CLOSE TO A
MODEL CONSENSUS SOLUTION WITH THIS PRECIPITATION...AS SOME
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE IN THE HANDLING OF THE SUBTLE SHORTWAVES.

THE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY WILL MOVE
EAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. MODELS BEGIN TO
DIVERGE ON THE TRACK AND SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM. LITTLE CONSISTENCY
WITHIN THE GUIDANCE RESULTS IN A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. IN
GENERAL AN EXAMINATION OF RECENT TRENDS SUGGEST A SOLUTION BETWEEN
THE ECMWF AND GFS PROBABLY REPRESENTS THE MOST PROBABLE SOLUTION
FOR THE TIME BEING. THUS THE WPC QPF TRIED TO FOLLOW A CONSENSUS
OF THESE SOLUTIONS.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

BURKE/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 422313 429315 434315 439314 445315 451314 457315 462315
      467316 474317 479317 485318 491318 496318 502317
      524259 522251 520242 518236 515231 511225 507219 499209
      496204 489202 482201 478202 457210 455214 451214 446214
      433214 429219 428223 430226 434228 436231 436235 435238
      434244 437248 449250 456250 462253 468256 468260 466262
      457270 452273 448276 443280 438282 430289 421298 417305
      415309 416311
 0.01 536209 537202 536197 536193 534188 528174 525168 521162
      512153 501147 495142 492135 488129 487126 484124 480120
      477121 461121 460126 458129 452129 448131 446128 449126
      452125 456121 458121 458118 471114 478104 482099 483094
      482092 478091 474093 469092 466094 464095 463098 461099
      455094 452092 450092 436093 432091 430089 425086 427101
      424103 422102 420105 416105 412102 412098 412093 414085
      415080 418079 422077 426077 435078 437077 441077 448081
      450084 452086 453079 450073 446070 431068 437064 435057
      430046 428039 430032 432028 432021 432016 431012 428994
      427990 426989 424987 420987 416991 413998 412019 402027
      383040 385042 388043 391043 393040 401039 408045 409048
      407053 400053 396056 392061 387064 383070 379070 377069
      371066 369066 369068 372073 374078 374082 374084 376087
      378092 377098 379099 382098 385096 389095 394096 396094
      396092 400090 404091 405094 403107 391112 384115 381114
      378116 379120 381124 388136 394142 392149 406152 404155
      402155 396159 396166 392170 393172 399171 411165 417163
      421158 426148 431140 435134 440130 442133 441137 438138
      435144 434153 434157 436160 440166 442174 443182 441183
      441186 443189 448193 452196 456191 458188 461187 465179
      464177 462173 459171 459168 461166 470174 478176 485178
      492183 496187 504197 509202 511207 521215 526220 530216
      536209
 0.01 513126 512120 509117 504110 501101 498090 500084 500075
      501062 497041 495034 494028 490019 489015 488008 486997
      482987 479984 475983 466983 458986 450990 446993 444996
      441000 441002 444005 449005 454003 459004 463006 466010
      465012 463013 458013 451017 447019 445024 449032 452034
      455035 458037 461038 460042 457044 455048 456052 459055
      463057 466058 474059 477059 478061 481066 484075 485078
      486085 487098 489109 491114 494117 500118 505125 508128
      511129 513126
 0.01 475646 474642 472639 467636 462633 457632 451632 448630
      442631 435634 430637 424639 418641 414645 404653 398662
      370701 362710 354718 348725 339733 330742 321750 304763
      269788 250804 233816 228827 227833 227840 225852 226859
      229864 232865 235864 240860 248852 251851 253853 256859
      257864 260870 264872 268874 280876 295875 303869 312860
      319850 326841 333833 347820 362803 371793 379783 386774
      394767 408753 415745 424735 432724 436718 438713 444722
      438733 431756 426755 424760 424765 428772 432778 436780
      440767 444755 449744 456721 460716 464713 471703 470698
      466697 461698 454700 449704 442711 439711 440708 443703
      450694 456685 469664 473655 475646
 0.01 493848 493843 492839 489834 486831 481827 477827 471827
      463821 458817 454813 450800 448795 445793 442793 441796
      440799 438801 431812 428823 426829 426836 430838 433836
      441836 446837 441848 439851 437853 434852 432852 429850
      423850 415858 413861 414864 416868 428883 436893 441904
      444910 441914 438918 438923 441931 442941 442950 443956
      447964 450964 452962 454957 457950 459944 460937 460931
      459927 460923 462918 469908 470913 470918 470922 472925
      483926 486929 487930 489927 488921 486914 482908 480902
      479899 480895 482890 487880 488874 488864 490861 492856
      493848
 0.01 457837 457835 457832 455831 455830 453828 451826 450828
      452830 452831 452833 452835 452838 453840 454842 456840
      457837
 0.01 448048 448044 447041 447039 445036 443033 442033 440036
      438038 438043 439043 441045 444048 446048 448048
 0.01 428187 429185 429184 427184 425186 424189 425189 426189
      428187 428187
 0.01 429168 429166 428165 427168 429168 429168
 0.01 431790 430782 427777 423779 418778 410779 408780 406782
      396789 392793 387795 379803 369811 365814 359816 351824
      348833 350831 354831 355835 357834 358830 362825 380814
      389806 397799 403795 409794 413794 415796 417804 418812
      421811 424806 424803 427803 430798 431790
 0.25 516283 520266 517254 513245 509237 503228 498219 494211
      484208 468212 452218 451220 453223 456225 461228 465226
      471221 478218 484219 488222 491225 493230 500248 496246
      492243 488241 485243 483247 483253 484259 483263 478274
      473282 467289 460292 454291 449291 443294 437299 431304
      432307 434306 438304 445302 453300 462300 472302 482305
      497305 504304 508301
 0.25 481244 480238 478232 474231 473232 471234 467233 464232
      462233 457234 451236 449237 451239 458241 464242 470241
      475242 479245 481244
 0.25 484136 484135 482133 481132 479131 478131 476131 474131
      473131 471133 471135 472138 473138 474139 475139 476139
      477139 479138 480138 481137 482137 484136 484136
 0.25 478164 478160 475156 472152 469148 468145 463143 459145
      457147 458153 461156 463159 466162 471165 474163 478165
      478164
 0.25 461181 462178 461176 459176 458177 457177 456179 455179
      454181 454184 455184 456184 457184 459183 459182 460181
      461181
 0.25 453659 452651 450647 445643 437644 430646 424648 418652
      408662 397675 389686 380698 372708 361720 352729 334749
      323760 313768 308773 304779 301783 295788 285798 278811
      270822 264833 262836 262841 264849 267855 269859 272861
      279861 285860 292857 298853 310844 319835 329824 337816
      358795 367785 375775 381769 386763 395753 403743 411731
      428706 434691 441679 448668 453659
 0.25 451222 450221 448221 447220 445221 444223 446224 448224
      449224 450223 451222
 0.25 452173 451172 451173 451174 452173
 0.25 444111 442108 440107 439107 438107 438110 440111 442111
      443111 444111
 0.25 251832 249831 245829 243827 239827 236831 234836 233842
      234848 236851 239850 243846 246841 249837 251832
 0.50 512287 512279 514269 516262 514256 512249 508245 506246
      505250 506258 503257 499253 495249 490247 488250 487254
      487262 487272 485282 483292 485298 491300 496300 502300
      506298 510294 512287
 0.50 484214 482212 481212 479212 478213 479214 480215 482216
      484214
 0.50 479238 478236 477234 476233 474234 473237 474237 475239
      477240 479238
 0.50 464221 464219 463217 461217 459217 457218 456219 456221
      457222 458224 460225 462225 463223 464222 464221
 0.50 443662 443655 440652 433652 426653 420656 411664 401674
      396680 392685 385696 378706 369716 349735 333754 324764
      315773 307783 299792 290802 283812 277823 272834 270843
      272849 276854 281855 286853 292851 303843 313834 322825
      340808 359790 375771 406729 415715 421704 433680 438670
      443662
 1.00 508288 509283 508278 507272 504265 501259 497255 492252
      491258 491267 492274 495280 498287 500289 503290 508288
 1.00 428671 424666 418666 409673 402680 395689 380709 372718
      364726 354734 347742 333759 318777 303793 296804 295811
      292814 287822 285828 282833 281840 283846 286847 290846
      295843 302837 311830 329814 337806 345798 359780 367772
      374763 387743 400725 413703 424682 427676 428671
 1.50 505284 506279 505275 504272 503269 502267 500264 497261
      496259 494259 494262 494267 495270 495273 497277 498279
      499282 502285 505284
 1.50 416684 415679 413677 408681 401689 395698 387707 353739
      344748 337756 324773 316783 311788 310793 305802 302806
      301813 298821 295826 290835 288841 293840 303833 320817
      324813 329810 336802 344793 347787 342788 332793 327796
      323796 320795 326791 334784 342777 355773 360769 365764
      371756 385738 392727 398718 410697 414690 416684
 2.00 403696 402694 401697 398701 391711 387715 380718 372724
      355740 346748 339757 325775 321780 319785 325784 330781
      339775 351769 356766 360762 367753 374744 381735 388725
      395715 400705 403696
 3.00 368741 366739 364740 356743 350748 345753 341759 337764
      336768 340768 347765 354761 358756 363751 366744 368741
 4.00 358748 358747 356747 354748 353748 352749 351751 350751
      349753 348754 347755 347756 347758 348760 350760 352759
      353757 355755 356752 357750 358748 358748

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 487614 483623 486624 487626 486631 483640 479649 471668
      461684 438714 412740 404745 396752 390758 383762 377767
      368773 357775 352775 348774 344774 340772 335770 332767
      327781 324791 319800 314805 308810 304812 299813 292814
      288812 282808 275804 271797 265796 260799 252804 250808
      252812 256820 258825 257830 254832 251831 245831 242829
      239829 235828 233826 232823 231818 231808 233796 235788
      240779 245772 251768 258764 263761 269760 275764 277765
      276772 275774 274778 275780 276784 276788 278787 291778
      298773 305767 313762 318761 320758 318755 314753 309754
      299751 297749 297745 298741 301737 310722 313721 317718
      318713 321708 336695 342690 345686 344680 345676 349673
      354672 358669 366664 373658 383652 393645
 0.01 460328 464327 467326 471324 475322 478320 481317 484315
      487312 491311 494309 497307 501305 504302 506300 508300
      524262 523259 523258 523256 522253 522252 522250 522248
      522245 522243 524241 524240 524238 525235 525233 527231
      527228 528226 528223 529221 531221 532223 534223
      541203 538192 537184 535174 533169 530166 525160 522159
      520156 505148 493139 488134 481130 477129 473130 465129
      461128 458129 454129 450131 449135 445133 444135 446138
      447143 444145 436146 434149 434155 435158 436163 438172
      437178 435182 433185 431189 431198 433203 434207 428213
      423218 419224 417227 413228 407232 402238 397243 395245
      392250 390260 383277 383281 386284 388283 393284 396287
      397292 394303
 0.01 509831 507821 502814 498809 493805 482796 474797 470793
      466791 464787 462784 458785 455784 453779 451779 449782
      448785 448790 445797 435811 430814 425822 425824 429824
      432823 435821 443820 451821 453825 453831 449840 444845
      442848 441853 438861 436864 436868 439889 439895 438899
      434909 431916 429919 428925 420935 416940 416950 418952
      416956 412961 410966 410970 407981 406989 410994 413992
      415989 419983 422978 426969 429962 433953 435950 437952
      442957 447964 450966 450972 452980 455988 455993 457996
      461003 466008 471007 475998 477989 479979 479969 479959
      476957 475954 477952 481947 485943 493942 497942 499939
      502931 504926 504921 504915 502911 502906 500901 498896
      498891 500888 500881 501873 500860 500856 502852 506844
      509831
 0.01 471703 471701 470700 469699 468698 467697 466697 465699
      464700 464703 465705 466706 467706 469705 471704 471703
 0.01 449748 448743 443744 439747 436748 435754 434761 434766
      437770 438770 441765 443760 444756 447752 449748
 0.01 450117 451109 449102 448098 446099 445104 442105 439105
      438107 438110 437117 434123 433128 437126 442123 446123
      448121 450117
 0.01 436785 436782 436780 436777 435775 433773 432771 431771
      430771 428771 428772 428774 428776 429779 429781 431781
      432783 433783 434783 436785 436785
 0.01 414064 414061 412060 407058 403056 398055 394058 391061
      391066 389068 390073 396067 402058 406062 407063 405065
      402065 401069 397073 399076 403074 408075 412072 412068
      410066 414064
 0.01 380972 380968 379965 379961 377958 375952 372947 368947
      366949 366954 364961 364967 365972 366976 367978 371981
      375981 377979 379974 380972
 0.01 361961 361949 354945 346941 341939 337938 330934 325934
      323937 319943 323952 328958 336963 346963 355963 361961
 0.25 464622 469632 470635 470640 467649 464655 456670 445683
      436695 428707 422714 416719 404729 399735 394739 386743
      379746 370750 363751 356750 350745 346737 343729 343724
      344720 347712 352706 357701 361694 366688 373683 378679
      382673 386666 392660 397656 405651 411646 421637
 0.25 532197 532192 531186 526179 519172 516170 511168 493163
      485157 483155 479156 470156 467159 467163 467166 473172
      477182 479186 482188 485187 487188 490188 489190 493193
      497191 504189 508190 511193 517200 523206 527207 530205
      532197
 0.25 519274 520267 520262 519252 517243 514234 511225 507219
      498205 493198 485195 473204 468207 461209 455211 449214
      441216 436219 433222 432228 432233 431236 416236 414240
      415244 414251 413256 412261 412266 415272 416276 419279
      428283 437285 445289 454292 461296 476299 483300 490299
      502294 508291 514285 517280 519274
 0.50 518270 519265 518259 517251 515242 512234 505220 501214
      495208 488203 482204 470210 445221 441220 442224 444226
      448228 449230 444235 434244 430245 427243 424242 422243
      422252 425259 429265 433267 436267 444267 450266 456263
      459262 463263 471266 475272 479278 483285 485287 490290
      496290 503290 509286 514279 518270
 0.50 526198 526193 525190 524187 522185 521183 518182 515182
      515186 517189 518191 520194 521197 524199 526198
 0.50 504176 503176 502173 500173 499174 498174 498176 500176
      502177 503176 504176
 0.50 464642 462639 459638 454636 446634 439638 426646 420650
      413655 402666 393677 373699 369705 366712 364715 361717
      356722 354725 353729 356736 362738 369736 384731 392727
      400724 411716 422704 430692 440680 449670 453664 457656
      464642
 0.50 456229 454227 453228 452228 453228 454229 456229
 1.00 513271 515262 515255 514248 512242 508232 503223 499217
      494215 486209 481208 477211 476214 477216 481220 487222
      489226 494238 492240 489239 482239 479233 477229 472229
      469235 469244 472247 477250 480254 485265 490276 493280
      496283 501286 505284 509277 513271
 1.00 464224 465221 466219 464218 463217 461218 459219 458219
      458222 458223 460224 462225 464224 464224
 1.00 430661 426661 424663 417669 410673 405680 399686 393691
      390698 384705 377708 372710 370713 370718 371721 376720
      381719 388715 392713 394710 395705 397703 399703 404702
      409700 416696 420690 423685 424681 426673 429666 430661
 1.50 510257 511252 511248 510241 507234 503230 500224 497219
      493220 493222 493230 496236 499240 502246 504252 505256
      508257 510257
 1.50 505281 505276 505271 503262 500255 495249 490243 487244
      485248 486257 488265 492272 496279 499282 502284 505281
 1.50 487215 486212 484211 482210 481210 480211 479213 480215
      481216 482217 483217 485217 485216 487216 487215
 1.50 479243 480241 480239 479236 478233 477233 476232 474232
      473233 472234 471236 472239 473241 473242 474244 476245
      478244 479243
 2.00 503281 503273 502267 500264 498259 496255 494250 491247
      488249 488255 489260 491266 493270 495274 498278 501280
      503281
 2.00 507243 507240 506240 506242 507244 507243
 2.00 497226 496223 494225 496227 497226
 2.00 479238 477235 476234 474234 474235 473237 474237 475240
      476241 478241 479239 479238

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 479617 484617 488621 496629 506650 511660 515671 517674
      518679 520681 525693 531720 532734 533746 534755 533760
      533765 531775 527786 524797 522805 519811 516816 513820
      508830 502837 494843 486847 487852 490856 501870 512885
      520897 523901 526904 530910 544928 547930 550935 557942
      561946 562951 563965 563974 564980 564000 564010 564020
      563037 562051 561056 560062 557073 553074 546069 539065
      537065 535067 531070 528074 526077 525082 528094 530100
      530104 532106 539116 542120 542124 537150 534161 530173
      528176 529179 532184 535190 539199 537204 534205 527206
      520205 512199 510196 507195 502194 500190 498183 496179
      492174 487180 480174 470173 466171 465178 464181 461184
      454185 450183 449176 448173 448170 449167 448165 445161
      441158 437156 435148 437141 443144 446144 448142 448136
      450128 445128 442128 442126 439120 435117 430118 427114
      424110 426106 429104 430101 429099 427094 430093 433092
      438093 445094 451094 454095 456100 456096 454092 452088
      449083 446080 443076 442074 442071 445065 442060 440054
      441048 439041 441035 443031 452027 458022 463020 465016
      456011 447015 444015 441017 436017 435024 430028 428025
      428020 429999 429983 429978 433975 436975 438973 444973
      447973 448971 451968 452964 455951 452938 450932 452928
      457919 453893 452881 455872 456868 456861 451865 443871
      439873 434874 430874 426872 424870 424862 424857 427852
      432849 435847 435841 432835 428836 423836 418835 411828
      407828 405831 400839 398841 396837 397831 396828 395821
      397817 398808 400800 406785 414778 417775 421771 423745
      430740 435736 436734 434732 431733 427734 427729 431725
      436725 437719 437712 443708 446705 447701 441701 433703
      429702 428698 429693 430689 434682 437671 438668 436665
      435659 433657 432654 431648 435642
 0.01 435642 437641 439641 440638 442637 443637 445634 446633
      448633 450632 451629 453629 454628 456627 458627 459624
 0.01 511297 521264 523261 524251 518244 510232 507227 503220
      499211 496213 492212 487205 485204 482203 473207 464211
      460212 455212 435211 433215 428218 427223 430227 431232
      429237 424240 417239 413240 404245 396250 395252 396255
      394261 391266 388273 387277 389279 392279 400277 412271
      420265 424263 427261 436255 440249 444245 450233 454231
      456230 460231 464234 464241 469246 470248 471254 471261
      468268 462276 461283 464289 472299 476304 481307 485311
      491313 499312 505308 510300
 0.01 517153 517144 516139 513129 511125 507125 503125 498126
      496128 492125 487119 483110 481108 479108 476109 472107
      470102 468100 467095 466087 464085 462084 461089 462095
      464101 468107 470120 472124 476125 487128 493132 506145
      512151 515154 517153
 0.01 498245 496234 493228 491225 483227 480231 478230 474220
      468225 471233 474239 476242 479238 482242 480244 480248
      482249 488244 492242 495246 498245
 0.01 476089 476086 475084 474084 473082 471083 471086 471088
      472090 474090 476089
 0.01 469070 470068 469067 468068 469070 469070
 0.01 455056 454055 453054 451054 449056 447056 446058 447060
      449063 450065 452063 452061 452059 452058 454058 455056
 0.01 412066 412064 412063 410063 409063 407065 405065 403065
      405067 405068 406070 408072 408073 408072 410071 410070
      410068 412066 412066
 0.01 362729 362726 359723 354721 350721 348718 346716 346712
      341704 335705 332706 330709 328710 326713 321717 317721
      312721 299723 295726 292729 283739 274745 267751 258758
      241773 235781 230790 226801 223813 222818 222824 226828
      227835 226842 227849 229855 234858 238860 240862 240866
      241870 248869 263868 271861 276852 278847 281844 292836
      295832 298830 300832 307831 310828 320823 328815 337808
      341805 343801 345795 345787 347771 349766 351760 354756
      356750 359741 362729
 0.01 352947 352939 350936 343930 338927 334924 326919 321917
      317917 312921 311926 312933 315937 323941 328945 332946
      341950 346952 350950 352947
 0.01 306920 303912 297907 291907 288904 285901 282899 276899
      273900 271905 272908 275917 280925 286929 297929 305924
      306920
 0.25 547971 546966 543965 538966 534968 531968 528960 523957
      517959 508970 505979 503982 504987 507994 507001 510011
      513017 516021 520021 524017 527008 529997 537990 545976
      547971
 0.25 477714 476712 476710 475707 474706 473706 471707 471708
      470710 469711 468713 468714 468717 468719 469721 469722
      471722 473721 473720 474719 475717 476717 477714
 0.25 470158 472156 471153 471152 470150 469149 468147 466145
      465144 463143 462144 461146 461148 461149 460150 459153
      460155 461156 462156 463157 465158 466158 468158 470158
      470158
 0.25 446109 445108 444107 442106 440106 439107 439108 440110
      442111 443111 445111 445109 446109
 0.25 349753 350750 350746 347742 341737 335734 328731 320730
      314735 304744 291757 286762 281766 267776 256785 244795
      238808 235817 235820 237823 239823 248823 254826 257828
      262827 266821 277813 285808 292810 295812 298812 306812
      314812 322810 328805 332799 335789 336780 338772 341766
      346758 349753
 0.50 466154 466152 465151 464151 463154 465155 466154
 0.50 339755 338749 337747 334745 328742 321743 317744 310750
      295762 284775 281780 277784 272789 271794 273800 274803
      280804 287803 292803 300806 305807 311805 318802 323798
      325794 329786 336767 339755
 1.00 323775 321771 317771 307774 299779 293784 287790 285794
      288796 299795 306797 313798 315795 318787 322778 323775

$$




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