Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 150900
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 AM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 15/1200 UTC THRU AUG 18/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...USED A COMPOSITE BLEND OF REASONABLY CLUSTERED NBM/NMMB/NAM
CONEST AND WPC CONTINUITY/BIASED CORRECTED QPF AS A STARTING POINT
IN THIS COMPLEX PATTERN AND THEN APPLIED MANUAL MODIFICATIONS AS
PER STLT/RADAR/HRRR TRENDS...


....MID-MS/TN VALLEYS TO S-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC...

A WAVY MOISTURE-LADEN FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE
CAROLINAS BACK INTO OK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINS/RUNOFF ISSUES AS A SERIES OF MID LEVEL SHORTWAVES INTERACT
WITH THE CORRESPONDING AXIS OF DEEP MOISTURE. PWS OF 1.75 TO 2.25
INCHES INTERACTING WITH A STRING OF SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DEEP MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES...WHILE DEEP
WESTERLY FLOW PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY MAY ENCOURAGE CELL
TRAINING. PERHAPS THE BEST POTENTIAL IN THIS ACTIVE WAVY FLOW MAY
BE OVER THE AR AND THE TN VALLEY AS INFLOW REBOUNDS AHEAD OF
APPROACHING SRN PLAINS MCVS AND WELL DOWNSTREAM OVER THE S-CENTRAL
MID-ATLC IN A REGION OF FAVORABLE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION UPPER JET
SUPPOPRT.

...PLAINS...

CONVECTION SHOULD INCREASINGLY FLOURISH AS HEIGHT FALLS/EMBEDDED
VORT ENERGY WITH APPROACH OF WRN US MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/JET
ENERGIES INTO THE PLAINS. SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AND NORTHWARD
TRANSPORT OF MOISTURE UP THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND INTO/OVER A
WAVY N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE
INSTABILITY AND LOWER ATMOSPHERIC CONVERGENCE/LLJ INFLOW. WITH PWS
INCREASING TO AOA 2 INCHES UP THROUGH THE PLAINS...SUSPECT HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINS WILL OFFER POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL RUNOFF ISSUES AND
QPF PROGS FOCUS QUITE A BIT OF ORGANIZED AFTERNOON/OVER NIGHT
ACTIVITY OVER THE N-CENTRAL PLAINS THAT SHOULD GRADUALLY WORK
LATER PERIOD INTO THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY.

...CENTRAL AND ERN GULF COAST...

DEEP MOISTURE AND WEAK FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
SLOW MOVING AFTERNOON CONVECTION ALONG THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF
COAST. WHILE WEAK RIDGING ALOFT MAY HAMPER DEVELOPMENT...STORMS
THAT DO FORM WILL LIKELY BE SLOW MOVING GIVEN WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND
GIVEN THE AMPLE MOISTURE...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE EFFICIENT
RAINFALL PRODUCERS.


DAY 2 (12Z WED-12Z THU)....


...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MIDDLE/UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...

A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH A TRIALING COLD
FRONT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW. EXPECT WE WILL SEE SCATTERED TO
WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM THROUGH WEDNESDAY OVER MUCH
OF THE AREA. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ORGANIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD APPEARS TO BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF IA/MN/WI
NEAR THE TRACK OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW. THIS DEVELOPING LOW
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT JUST
AHEAD AND ALONG ITS TRACK. THIS AREA IS ALSO IN THE REGION OF
BETTER MID/UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...WITH THE PRESENCE OF BOTH A MID
LEVEL WAVE AND BROADLY DIFFLUENT FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS.
MEANWHILE PWAT VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR OR ABOVE
THE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE. THUS MANY FACTORS CONTINUE TO
BE IN PLACE FOR THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

THINK THE GFS/ECMWF MAY BE TOO FAR NORTHWEST WITH THEIR AXIS OF
MAXIMUM QPF...AS THEY PUT AN EMPHASIS MORE ON THE DEFORMATION BAND
RAINFALL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW. WHILE THIS AREA OF RAIN WILL
LIKELY EXIST...A LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL
RATES...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT ON THE LOWER
SIDE. HOWEVER A LONGER DURATION 1-3" IS STILL PROBABLE
HERE...WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING CONCERNS.

OVERALL THINK THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD RISK WILL END UP ALONG AND
JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW TRACK...WHERE SOUTHERLY MOISTURE TRANSPORT
WILL BE MAXIMIZED...AND SOME INSTABILITY SHOULD BE REALIZED.
THOUGHT THE 0Z 3KM NAM NEST DEPICTED A REASONABLE EVOLUTION OF
THINGS INTO WEDNESDAY...PUTTING THE MAIN EMPHASIS FOR HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINS ACROSS NORTHEAST IA INTO SOUTHEAST MN AND WESTERN
WI. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE OVERALL PROGRESSIVE
NATURE OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER DO THINK WE WILL SEE A SWATH OF
INCREASED CELL MERGERS/TRAINING FOR A PERIOD ALONG/JUST SOUTH OF
THE LOW TRACK...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT POCKETS OF UPWARDS OF 3-5" OF
RAINFALL. THE SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS THUS
MAINTAINED...ALTHOUGH WAS SHIFTED A BIT TO THE SOUTH MORE INTO THE
WARM SECTOR ALONG/JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM SWATHS OF
CONVECTION ARE LIKELY. STRONG 850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND PWAT
VALES RUNNING 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE SUPPORT REGIONS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL. UNFORTUNATELY IT IS LIKELY TO BE A RATHER CHAOTIC
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION...WITH NO CLEAR AREA OF FOCUS. FOR THAT
REASON WILL JUST CARRY A BROAD MARGINAL RISK THAT ENCOMPASSES THE
GENERAL REGION OF EXPECTED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...STRETCHING FROM
TX/OK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY AND INTO SOUTHERN
IL/IN/OH. DO THINK WE MAY EVENTUALLY BE ABLE TO EMBED A SLIGHT
RISK SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW ON
EXACTLY WHERE AT THIS POINT. THUS FOR NOW AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD
RISK SHOULD BE EXPECTED ANYWHERE WITHIN THE MARGINAL RISK.


...LA/MS...

LINGERING 2"+ PWAT VALUES SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DIURNALLY
DRIVEN CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE CONSENSUS
AMONGST THE HIGH RES GUIDANCE FOCUSES THE ACTIVITY ACROSS LA INTO
SOUTHERN MS...WITH HOURLY RAINFALL TOTALS UPWARDS OF 1-3". GIVEN
THAT MUCH OF THIS AREA HAS SEEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
RECENTLY...THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD RISK. THUS A MARGINAL RISK WAS EXTENDED TO
ENCOMPASS THIS REGION.


DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI)


...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY/NORTHEAST...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES ON THURSDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY STRATIFORM RAIN TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THE LOW WILL CONTINUE...ALTHOUGH RATES WILL GENERALLY BE LOW
ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. IN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM LIKELY TO HAVE GOOD COVERAGE OF CONVECTION.
WITH PWATS RUNNING 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY STORM. THE HIGHEST AREAL AVERAGED RAINFALL
WILL PROBABLY END UP ACROSS MI INTO PORTIONS OF OH...CLOSER TO THE
BETTER MID/UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND STRONGER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT. EVEN HERE WOULD ANTICIPATE CONVECTION TO BE PROGRESSIVE
ENOUGH TO LIMIT THE OVERALL FLASH FLOOD THREAT. THUS FOR NOW THINK
A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL SHOULD SUFFICE...WITH THE
RISK EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF MI INTO NORTHERN OH. SOME MINOR
MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE TO EXIST WITH THE TIMING OF THIS
SYSTEM...ALTHOUGH THE AGREEMENT IS MUCH BETTER THAN WHAT WAS SEEN
YESTERDAY...AND THUS THE WPC QPF ENDS UP PRETTY CLOSE TO A BLEND
OF THE ECMWF/GFS/NAM.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

A STATIONARY WEST TO EAST BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BE DRAPED IN THE
VICINITY OF NORTHERN TX AND OK THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. EXPECT TO
SEE AMPLE INSTABILITY ALONG/NEAR THIS FRONT...WITH ABOVE NORMAL
PWATS IN PLACE. THE NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN 850 MB MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY THURSDAY NIGHT. ALSO LOOKS LIKE AN UPPER
JET TO THE NORTH MAY GIVE SOME ADDED BOOST TO CONVECTION WITH THE
REGION IN THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION. THUS SEEMS LIKE A
SETUP FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION/POSSIBLE MCS TRACKING ACROSS THE TX
AND OK PANHANDLES. WPC FAVORED A SOLUTION CLOSER TO THE 0Z
GFS/NAM. IN RECENT SETUPS SUCH AS THIS THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
CONSISTENTLY UNDER DOING QPF AND HAS GENERALLY HAD A NORTH BIAS.
THINK THE SETUP IS FAVORABLE ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE INCLUSION OF A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR THE TX PANHANDLE AND
ADJACENT OK. WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA WILL ALSO
INCREASE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. OF COURSE TOUGH TO PIN DOWN THE
DETAILS THIS FAR OUT...SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR AND
ADJUST THE RISK AREA AS NEEDED ON FUTURE SHIFTS.



GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


SCHICHTEL/CHENARD


24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 524049 525041 526032 527013 527005 526997 526989 526979
      525960 524954 521951 515946 512943 509939 507934 504931
      501929 496926 486926 482925 479922 474915 469909 465909
      461910 456912 452911 444908 431909 420909 416905 415896
      415882 417868 419864 420861 423860 426859 429859 436855
      439852 439847 439842 437836 434829 430818 430815 433814
      437811 442810 445808 449805 452804 454803 455806 457810
      459815 464814 471807 475804 478798 485791 486786 489780
      493772 496763 502756 508753 507746 507739 506731 505726
      503719 502706 500691 497680 495676 494668 486640 483636
      480637 471644 468646 465646 458644 451645 447644 443642
      439642 435641 430643 421647 416649 413651 407656 396669
      389677 383685 380694 375703 372707 368711 363713 359718
      358722 356725 352728 348730 338731 332731 327733 323734
      319738 314747 310755 306763 301770 297772 292773 287774
      285776 279781 276784 275790 276793 279794 284796 265797
      255798 250797 245798 244803 246808 250816 254820 255824
      254828 256830 262835 269834 275833 277833 278836 280841
      281849 283858 285863 284868 281870 274871 270872 266876
      274896 267914 268920 269924 272933 278940 285947 292952
      301953 304953 307952 310949 316943 326932 330931 336930
      339932 340934 342940 344952 340964 339968 338970 335974
      331983 328992 322998 317005 314010 309013 306014 301014
      290014 281016 276020 274024 273028 270030 264030 253030
      258039 259049 262061 264070 269076 275082 284088 287093
      287098 297098 301101 304101 314101 319102 321100 323099
      324093 322089 320085 317083 314079 309072 305062 305058
      307053 311050 316052 329062 336063 341062 350060 354058
      358059 368059 373060 379062 382063 383060 386051 388055
      391058 397059 400064 400070 399076 396088 392096
 0.01 392096 391105 391112 396122 398124 401125 404123 412115
      418105 420100 422098 425100 429104 433107 442113 449122
      455115 458108 459099 457086 457052 460045 461043 463041
      467039 470039 472041 473046 473051 473054 476056 480057
      484060 503053 508051 513051 518049 524049
 0.01 494272 494270 494272 494272
 0.01 426791 425785 422782 419776 414758 409764 405771 404776
      403788 403791 400795 397801 394806 393810 393814 382839
      384866 388874 389883 388891 388896 389902 389905 391909
      397906 399905 401903 399901 398892 397888 396882 395872
      394864 396855 398839 403834 406828 412823 412812 414807
      418799 426791
 0.01 347838 347832 345827 343821 340812 339807 336804 332800
      331794 329792 327783 324780 320782 316788 313794 308799
      304801 304806 307809 310810 317811 321812 323815 325818
      325823 326834 330839 334846 337849 340847 345842 347838
 0.01 296968 296964 290962 287960 287955 285954 284960 281963
      279966 277970 279974 283975 288975 292972 294970 296968
 0.25 510978 490972 487966 482960 476957 471952 460940 457935
      453928 449922 446921 442923 438940 432945 428945 424944
      420944 417942 416938 412937 410944 407949 401952 397945
      394944 390946 388949 384951 380956 380967 380972 377980
      376986 374988 373985 370981 367980 359983 354987 350993
      342993 337997 333001 330010 329019 330027 333030 336032
      335035 336038 354029 355035 356038 358041 361038 362034
      365032 367030 368025 369019 373018 377017 381018 387031
      392036 396043 409051 411058 414064 418065 423067 424068
      426065 430056 433047 434041 436039 445039 464021 467020
      472021 479024 483024 487023 493020 498004 498992 504986
      508982 510978
 0.25 486684 485676 483670 482667 479663 473662 468668 463675
      459684 454690 450696 443713 445717 444722 444727 445732
      447737 450736 453729 456726 459727 462728 467729 470726
      473721 475712 476702 482698 485690 486684
 0.25 431655 427654 422654 413656 399669 393677 389686 386696
      384706 384714 386721 387727 386733 382737 381743 383748
      387750 395745 399742 401737 409719 412709 413701 414697
      421678 424667 429659 431655
 0.25 414090 414085 413082 411082 409083 406084 404086 405090
      405093 404095 404100 404103 405105 409105 411104 412101
      413096 413092 414090
 0.25 392792 390779 388774 386770 381768 379766 377761 373758
      364758 360757 357759 351766 346773 343777 342782 341786
      342792 354804 356809 356815 352817 351822 356822 359826
      364833 369831 373828 375826 375819 374812 375807 379800
      389797 392792
 0.25 394020 393016 392010 392006 391002 389999 383998 380000
      380006 381009 385012 387012 387015 387018 390019 393021
      394020
 0.25 381888 381886 381884 380882 380879 380877 380875 379874
      377874 376875 375876 375878 375880 375882 376882 376884
      376886 376889 376891 378892 379891 381889 381888
 0.25 379904 379902 378901 376902 375905 376906 378905 379904
 0.25 369905 367896 363891 361887 360882 358874 358868 357863
      355861 351861 346866 344873 342882 340884 339889 340910
      344928 346936 348939 352939 358936 362930 363914 367909
      369905
 0.25 346000 344999 343000 344001 346000 346000
 0.25 312028 312024 309022 305024 302023 299023 296025 292029
      288035 283041 286047 290049 294048 300046 304040 309034
      312028
 0.25 313928 313922 312916 310906 306897 302895 298894 295897
      293901 292906 293911 293916 292920 292924 293929 295933
      297937 300939 305939 310934 313928
 0.25 310869 310861 309856 305846 303838 303831 300827 296829
      290821 287821 286823 286827 289830 289835 290841 292845
      297855 299861 300867 301874 307874 310869
 0.25 291069 293065 292062 290060 286057 283058 279061 275062
      273065 273069 276072 280074 284074 289072 291069 291069
 0.25 270814 269812 267808 266806 263805 261804 258805 256806
      254808 254810 256812 258814 261815 264815 266814 268814
      270814
 0.50 477676 476674 476671 476669 474667 473668 472670 471671
      470673 470674 469676 469679 471680 471681 473681 474680
      475679 476678 477676
 0.50 481974 478970 473971 468970 465967 462959 459957 457958
      454959 439951 431953 427952 423949 419948 413949 410958
      409963 407966 402967 398964 396959 395953 395950 392951
      389953 385962 385967 384974 380984 380988 383991 389988
      391990 393995 397006 398013 404018 405023 405028 406036
      408040 411044 412048 417034 426034 429031 430026 427018
      429013 432009 436008 440005 444002 446002 458015 466010
      469007 471002 475996 478992 479987 479979 481974
 0.50 464981 465979 465976 464975 463976 462977 461979 460979
      460981 460983 462983 464982 464981
 0.50 456945 455942 454937 453935 452932 450929 448926 446928
      445933 447937 447940 448945 450946 453947 454947 456945
 0.50 419666 418661 416659 410662 401671 396677 394683 391691
      391699 391708 391717 391725 390729 391734 396732 400726
      403720 406715 409700 412692 414684 417671 419666
 0.50 427051 427049 427047 426046 425045 424046 424048 424051
      425052 427053 427051
 0.50 380784 379779 377777 374776 373772 374768 372765 369763
      365762 358763 354768 350774 348777 347783 349788 351789
      359790 363790 366791 375791 378789 380786 380784
 0.50 372001 371996 369992 366988 364987 360989 358994 357000
      357004 358007 362008 365007 367007 371003 372001
 0.50 361905 358901 355899 353894 354888 354883 353879 350876
      349880 347886 345888 343899 345910 346923 349932 354932
      357930 359926 359921 360907 361905
 0.50 340024 341021 341019 341017 340016 338015 336016 334017
      333019 332021 333023 334024 336025 337025 339024 340024
 0.50 302853 302852 301851 301848 300847 299849 299851 300852
      302853 302853
 0.50 264811 264809 263808 262807 260807 259807 258808 257809
      258810 259811 260812 262813 263813 264811 264811
 1.00 447983 445973 442966 438961 433961 421956 417959 416962
      414970 412980 410989 407991 404991 401991 400995 401000
      402005 402010 405012 412012 418013 425001 431997 436997
      446986 447983
 1.00 412673 411668 410669 403673 399679 397683 397689 398698
      398709 400712 402708 405701 408693 410685 411678 412673
 1.00 400977 399975 397972 394970 394968 394963 391961 389963
      388968 388972 386974 387979 389979 391978 394978 398979
      400977
 1.00 364996 364994 364993 362993 362994 364996 364996
 1.00 358910 358907 358905 357904 355905 353907 352908 352910
      351911 351912 351914 351915 352916 352919 353920 354921
      355922 356921 356919 356916 356914 356912 357911 358910
 1.50 440981 441976 440972 436970 432968 429966 426966 421968
      419973 415987 415991 415994 413996 410995 408997 406003
      407006 411004 415001 418001 422999 426995 429992 434990
      438988 440981 440981
 1.50 408679 408677 407676 405676 404677 403678 402679 401681
      400683 400686 400688 401690 402692 404692 404691 405689
      405688 406686 407685 407684 407681 408679 408679
 2.00 433985 432983 433980 433978 431975 429972 426972 424973
      422975 421980 421982 420987 419992 422993 424992 426989
      428987 431986 433985

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 509962 509948 508944 507939 507926 504917 504903 505891
      505877 504871 501866 499860 496855 490848 485841 481837
      476833 469828 462824 458825 455828 452833 447841 442845
      435842 430838 426831 424824 421821 417814 416811 416808
      418803 420797 420791 421785 420780 418773 413774 413780
      414787 407804 399807 391811 386817 384825 384830 381828
      377821 375818 371816 368814 366812 366809 367804 367798
      366789 369779 371775 371772 367759 361752 360745 361740
      360727 360713 359711 357714 354721 353729 350736 348734
      346730 342721 337714 336712 332710 322713 313719 308722
      306725 299732 291740 287745 284750 283754 281763 280771
      282792 282798 282800 280802 277801 275798 272800 267798
      260797 253795 250798 249804 247813 248820 247823 249824
      258830 264835 274850 282865 287872 289879 290884 290889
      287897 283904 282909 283912 286933 288939 290943 294945
      297948 298950 297954 295957 287957 282959 278961 277965
      279969 283971 286973 290972 297969 301968 305966 309962
      320953 326947 329945 334944 334948 333953 329962 318978
      315982 312985 306994 301003 298006 294007 285007 282010
      281014 282023 284031 286037 291043 293043 296040 304036
      306034 307029 309025 312022 318021 321025 324029 327029
      330025 332020 335015 339011 353002 366994 371993 374995
      379999 384004 386008 386014 388035 387038 386041 383041
      377041 374043 371046 370051 379056 384058 387060 394061
      398064 405069 409072 412072 415068 417063 420060 425060
      425052 428046 426036 424028 420020 419015 421010 424002
      429995 437988 441986 445986 468982 471980 475980 486980
      491980 494977 499972 509962
 0.01 457113 458107 457103 457098 454095 452093 449091 446089
      442088 436092 432091 430089 426089 428091 430099 437100
      441101 446104 450109 455115 457113
 0.01 407149 407143 406140 399133 396131 391130 388139 387145
      385150 382153 380158 379164 381169 387174 391174 395170
      399164 404156 407149
 0.01 409105 409103 410101 410098 410096 408093 406093 406095
      406098 406100 405102 405105 407105 409105 409105
 0.01 396208 395204 393201 391199 386196 381191 377186 370182
      364180 362182 363186 368192 373196 380201 387204 393208
      396208
 0.01 358810 356806 352804 349801 343802 338802 335806 336813
      339815 342818 347819 351817 354815 357811 358810
 0.25 496919 496897 494886 491879 487874 481868 475863 469859
      463862 458865 445871 436871 428870 423875 418877 410878
      407873 405870 405864 406856 408848 408844 407838 406834
      405828 403822 399821 396828 396836 392844 387848 380852
      374856 371858 369862 369873 372880 372886 369905 352932
      348944 341948 338950 337953 337958 334962 330968 327971
      327974 328977 333982 333987 328991 324997 318000 317002
      318005 322006 328011 331009 332005 335001 335996 347991
      358985 365980 370974 373974 376975 384978 413974 419970
      424969 428970 434970 440966 451960 457957 465955 472957
      479960 482959 484954 489947 491942 493935 495925 496919
 0.25 417045 417041 415035 415029 413024 411019 408019 406021
      402026 400030 398034 399041 403044 407044 411046 417046
      417045
 0.25 362769 362765 359764 354763 347765 344770 342775 339779
      337786 338789 340790 346789 351785 355781 357776 360771
      362769
 0.25 326891 323886 322883 320885 317890 314890 315888 313881
      311879 309878 307880 302893 297895 295897 294901 293908
      293913 293916 296923 296928 297932 310927 315924 318917
      320911 323904 325898 326891
 0.25 294818 293813 290810 287808 282806 278806 274807 275811
      277817 279821 282823 285825 291825 292822 294818
 0.25 264811 264809 263807 261806 260806 258806 256806 254808
      253810 255812 257813 258813 258814 260814 262814 263813
      264811 264811
 0.50 491922 492912 490902 491891 490886 488884 479877 475870
      469868 464870 461874 457879 452879 439883 432885 427889
      416892 409890 404888 400884 398873 398863 401853 401846
      399845 396846 388854 387857 387862 391866 391872 390876
      386879 381883 378887 375893 375902 373911 372914 368916
      365922 361925 356929 354935 354945 352952 349958 345964
      334966 330969 329973 331974 337975 341982 351983 357980
      362975 367964 371965 374966 379969 385970 392970 406966
      412965 417963 423960 428962 433963 438959 444956 450954
      469941 470946 472949 476953 479952 481949 484942 488932
      491922
 0.50 410040 412038 412036 412033 412031 411029 411028 409028
      408028 407029 406030 405031 404033 403035 404037 405038
      406040 408041 410040 410040
 0.50 401839 401836 401834 401832 400830 399829 399830 398832
      398834 398835 398837 399839 400840 401839
 0.50 372936 372934 371933 370932 370929 368928 368929 368932
      367934 368936 368937 369938 370939 370938 371937 372936
 0.50 350773 351771 350769 349768 347767 346770 346772 345774
      345776 346778 348777 349776 350774 350773
 0.50 321900 320898 318896 317898 317899 316900 317901 319902
      320901 321900
 0.50 311905 313902 312899 309894 307892 306897 306902 303899
      298898 297903 296908 298912 301916 302914 304912 306907
      308905 311905 311905
 1.00 481902 480897 477893 474889 470886 465888 463891 455898
      450903 441904 431906 421905 415910 413915 413924 411935
      415938 421939 424940 426945 433954 437952 440948 444947
      449948 452947 455943 461935 472919 477911 481902
 1.00 407942 405940 405938 403937 402938 401938 400939 399940
      398942 398943 398944 400945 401947 401949 402952 403949
      405947 407945 407943 407942
 1.00 400954 400951 398954 394954 388952 384949 379947 373947
      372951 373956 375961 380965 386967 391965 396961 399956
      400954
 1.00 391920 392911 390904 389895 385896 381900 379907 379916
      377922 377927 382930 386931 389925 391920
 1.00 358972 359965 358958 355958 352962 350965 347969 344971
      344976 347974 350974 353977 357974 358972
 1.50 472910 473905 473900 468895 465894 463896 458903 456908
      450911 436914 429915 425915 424918 429921 427931 435939
      433943 437943 440941 445939 451940 455936 459930 467919
      472910
 1.50 387909 387906 385905 384906 383909 385911 387909 387909
 2.00 467908 467904 465901 462902 459908 457914 450915 447919
      445923 450921 455920 457921 460920 464916 467910 467908

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 518821 515797 513791 510787 505779 501772 496766 485749
      473731 468724 461717 456712 453709 450708 440710 428714
      422718 417724 411730 405737 399744 395750 393756 389760
      384766 381769 378769 366770 361771 356770 349765 347765
      343769 335774 331777 326779 316783 301789 290791 282795
      270797 259798 249799 244799 242800 239809 238813 240818
      256829 267842 271848 274855 278864 282870 290887 292891
      296895 300896 303893 309892 317889 323885 330878 336876
      339874 341876 341880 340886 339897 336905 333910 333918
      329921 328926 326930 326936 326947 327951 327959 325967
      324975 323980 322986 320990 316998 320006 322012 324015
      327021 331024 337032 338036 342039 346041 348045 352051
      356053 360055 365054 368052 373047 375044 378044 379050
      381056 385063 388068 392071 394074 399074 405070 408066
      409062 409055 406053 401051 398048 396043 397038 399033
      403030 409026 414024 418024 436033 438042 441043 444042
      445037 444031 452028 459028 461029 460032 460036 464038
      471036 475035 479037 494043 501039 506034 510031 512027
      516017 518010 517004 516996 515990 509971 507967 503969
      500978 496987 494987 494979 494975 492974 487974 478976
      442980 437978 430976 426975 421976 417983 413986 408984
      401980 395977 379967 370951 366945 364940 365935 376917
      380909 381906 384904 386906 387909 390919 391919 394917
      402913 412917 420917 422919 427919 437921 447921 462928
      480922 489919 498915 503914 507911 507897 508890 508881
      508873 509868 514848 516834 518821
 0.01 454098 455093 454088 453081 452073 450066 447062 443065
      440069 439079 439086 440091 441093 444099 448103 451102
      452100 454098
 0.01 316922 315913 312911 308911 305909 301909 298910 297914
      299922 299933 297936 297941 297950 305949 309943 311935
      314927 316922
 0.01 312034 312024 307023 303025 299027 297026 296023 294020
      289018 285018 283020 282032 282038 284043 289048 300049
      306045 309041 310036 312034
 0.25 507852 505843 503833 500825 497817 493810 488803 483799
      480794 476788 473780 471771 469766 467764 457753 449739
      447737 444740 443742 439743 435739 434732 432727 429728
      425732 424737 422740 417747 409758 402771 389785 393787
      391791 389787 390792 387794 385797 381803 378804 376803
      366789 363787 360790 360793 357797 351798 349801 349806
      353813 358819 361820 362823 369825 370824 371827 371836
      370855 373873 370880 367887 369890 372889 376882 378875
      379872 384870 388871 392871 398873 403871 408872 415875
      420878 427880 435879 439878 444879 449882 455888 458895
      460905 464909 468909 472908 477904 483902 490897 495891
      499875 504864 506857 507852
 0.25 489997 487997 486997 487998 488998 489997
 0.25 431785 432778 431771 429767 426762 423763 422770 421773
      419778 419781 421782 424787 427788 429788 431785
 0.25 384031 385024 383019 379015 377010 371987 369982 365979
      361976 357972 353963 348961 345956 343951 341949 339951
      339955 341958 343961 342965 341973 342980 340986 336990
      332991 328995 326001 328006 332010 335014 337019 343026
      350033 354035 359036 365034 371035 379033 382033 384031
 0.25 341794 339791 337788 332786 327787 320791 312795 305799
      300801 294802 277809 271814 268820 272823 276824 285823
      286826 290827 294819 301821 305823 308827 312826 315824
      320817 324809 333805 339801 341794
 0.25 313860 314849 314844 312841 306836 301837 298839 296843
      298853 299863 300872 302880 305880 308878 311871 313862
      313860
 0.50 501857 501850 499842 498835 494832 487824 481816 477804
      474800 471797 466796 462798 459803 455807 450808 445807
      443805 443801 442795 443789 446783 454777 456772 455765
      451754 449752 447752 444757 441761 439767 437772 437779
      438791 435796 432799 428803 426804 423803 419804 416808
      410816 409822 412825 416829 417832 417837 414842 412846
      408849 402850 401853 405858 409856 413857 416861 420863
      426864 430860 434857 440856 448858 452861 454867 459875
      461881 462889 463899 465905 468905 472903 480897 488891
      491886 493881 501857
 0.50 431745 431742 431740 430738 429736 428736 426738 426739
      425741 425744 426746 427747 429747 430745 431745
 0.50 413802 414795 412791 408787 405787 401790 399793 397798
      396803 399807 400811 404815 408812 410809 413805 413802
 0.50 392853 393851 392849 391849 390849 389851 389854 389856
      390858 391856 392854 392853
 0.50 386840 385838 384838 383838 382839 380840 380841 379843
      381844 382843 384843 385843 386841 386840
 0.50 377030 378027 377024 374019 369010 367005 367998 366992
      362987 358986 355986 351986 347995 339002 339009 340015
      342020 346024 353030 364029 369030 371032 375032 377030
 0.50 350974 350973 349971 349969 348968 347969 346970 346971
      346974 346976 346977 348977 349976 350974 350974
 0.50 345984 345982 344982 344984 344985 345984
 1.00 492863 492851 489843 479834 474830 469823 464822 458827
      455833 455838 456845 463858 469874 467893 469896 473895
      478890 483886 488879 491873 492863
 1.00 370021 370019 369019 368018 368019 368021 368023 370022
      370021
 1.00 352020 351018 350017 349015 349014 347013 345014 345015
      345016 346017 347020 349020 350020 352020
 1.50 487864 486856 482852 478852 475857 473865 474875 474880
      472883 471885 471889 476885 481882 484877 487871 487864
 2.00 481872 482869 482867 481864 479863 478862 477862 476864
      475865 475867 475870 476871 477872 477875 478876 479875
      479874 481872 481872


$$





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