000
FXUS04 KWBC 171025
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
624 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 17/1200 UTC THRU MAY 20/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...BROAD WEST COAST UPPER TROUGH ADVANCING INTO GREAT BASIN...

THE BROAD...DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW AND ASSCD STEEPENING LOW-MID LVL
LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE LIGHT TO MODERATE AREAL-AVG
PCPN DURING DAY 1...WITH OROGRAPHIC AND DIURNAL ENHANCEMENT
EXPECTED. HIGHEST AREAL-AVG TOTALS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE NRN
ROCKIES INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...BTWN A QUARTER AND HALF
INCH...SUPPORTED WITHIN THE REGION OF MOST FVRBL UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE WHILE ALONG THE AXIS OF HIGHEST PW`S (AROUND
.75"...WHICH IS ABOUT 2 STD DEVS ABOVE NORMAL).

...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

A CONTG NWD MSTR FLUX INTO A QUASI-STATIONARY LLVL BAROCLINIC ZONE
(WITH THE FGEN SUPPORTED BY CONTINUED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
FORCING VIA THE UPPER JET AXIS IN SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA) WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/TSTMS THROUGH DAY
ONE...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT GIVEN AN INCREASING LLJ (CENTERED AROUND
925-850 MB) AND ASSCD MSTR FLUX CONVERGENCE/ELEVATED CONVECTION.
MODELS...INCLUDING HIGH-RES GUIDANCE...ALL HINT AT A DEVELOPING
MCS OVERNIGHT WITHIN THE NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VLY REGION...THOUGH
ONCE AGAIN DIFFER CONSIDERABLY IN BOTH LOCATION AS WELL AS THE
AMOUNTS. WPC CONTINUED WITH AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH WITH THE
AREAL-AVG QPF...THOUGH AGAIN INCLUDING BOTH THE HIGH-RES WINDOWS
AS WELL AS THE SPC/NSSL WRF RUNS.

...INVOF THE LWR MS VLY...

THE SRN STREAM SHRTWV THAT IS SLOWLY ADVANCING ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS/LWR MS VLY WILL CONTINUE TO FIRE SHWRS THRU THE PD WITH A
VRY FVBL FLOW OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE AREA CONTG TO
SUPPORT ACTIVITY.  MODEL QPFS SUPPORT CONTG HVY RNFL TOTALS WITH
THIS SYSTEM THOUGH THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES CONCERNING
PLACEMENT.  YESTERDAY`S ACTIVITY IN GENERAL FELL TO THE SOUTH OF
MOST OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE WITH SOME OF THE HI RES MODELS DOING A
BETTER JOB WITH PLACEMENT (PARTICULARLY THE NSSL AND SPC WRF
RUNS).  THEREFORE ONCE AGAIN REMAINED ON THE SRN EDGE OF THE
LATEST ENSEMBLE MEAN WITH THE MAXIMUM RAINFALL PLACEMENT...GIVEN
THE DEGREE OF CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION AND ANTICIPATED SOUTHWARD
PROPAGATION.

...OH VLY SEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL APLCNS AND INTO THE MID ATLC
REGION...

LLVL CONVERGENCE IN  VICINITY OF A WEAK FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT AREAS OF SHWRS WITH BULK OF  ACTIVITY FALLING DURING HOURS
OF PEAK DIURNAL HEATING.  MODEL QPFS ARE GNLY SUPPORTIVE OF THIS
SCENARIO BUT THERE IS LOT OF DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHERE THE HEAVIEST
RNFL WILL BE CONCENTRATED.  AGAIN...OPTED FOR AN ENSEMBLE MEAN
APPROACH HERE WITH BOTH THE LATEST GLOBAL AS WELL AS HIGH-RES RUNS.


DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/ROCKIES...

SHORT WAVES HELPING TO CARVE OUT A LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL TAKE ADVANTAGE OF MOISTURE IN PLACE TO
PRODUCE QPF ON BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED
WELL IN THIS PATTERN...AND THE QPF WAS BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z
ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

FOR DAY 2...A SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE DAY. ..BEFORE MOVING INTO THE GREAT BASIN.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAK NEAR 0.75 INCHES ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS
PROVIDED BY DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF A 110 KT JET STREAK CROSSING
NORTHERN CA. THE MID LEVEL FLOW SUPPORTS HIGHER QPF IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF PLACED ACROSS THE
OLYMPICS IN WA AND THE OR COASTAL RANGE. IN ADDITION...THE HIGHER
MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE COLUMN WILL ALLOW LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR AN
INCH IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST MT.

DURING DAY 3...A SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO THE BOTTOM OF THE LONG
WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST WILL PROVIDE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ROCKIES. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REACH NEAR
AN INCH IN PARTS OF MT AND WY...WHICH IS TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DATE. A STRIPE OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE IN MT...WITH A LARGER
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS MT INTO WY...CO AND UT.
SEVERAL MEMBERS OF THE 00Z GEFS SHOW 2 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS MT
AND WY IN THIS FLOW...AND WHILE THESE NUMBERS LOOK HIGH NOW...IT
COULD BE INDICATIVE OF HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS IN THE FUTURE.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST...

SHORT WAVES RIDING UP THE FRONT OF A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH
TO THE WEST WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST DURING BOTH DAYS
2 AND 3. IN FACT...SLIGHT RISK AREAS WERE PLACED IN THE NORTHERN
PLAINS FOR BOTH DAYS. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED WELL WITH THE
PATTERN...AND THE QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.
IT WAS NOTED THAT THE 00Z GFS APPEARED TO HAVE SOME FEEDBACK
PROBLEMS ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND MN...ESPECIALLY DURING DAY 2.

DURING DAY 2...A DEEPENING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AS HIGH AS 1.25 INCHES TO THE DAKOTAS ON
A 45 TO 55 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THIS WILL ALLOW LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FLUXES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS...AS THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM TRIES TO CUT OFF TO THE WEST. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW INSTABILITY RIDING NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND THE
INSTABILITY BECOMES ELEVATED ACROSS SD INTO MN DURING THIS TIME.

THE CONVECTION (BOTH UPRIGHT AND ELEVATED) RAISE THE SPECTER FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS. A LARGE AREA OF 1.00
TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS PAINTED ACROSS SD...SOUTHEAST
ND...NORTHWEST IA INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL MN. THESE AMOUNTS ARE
CLOSE TO OR JUST ABOVE THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT A NUMBER OF 00Z GEFS MEMBERS (AS
WELL AS 12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS) INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR 2+
INCHES OF RAIN HERE. BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WAS DRAWN ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN ND INTO NORTHWEST MN.

FOR DAY 3...A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES AS HIGH AS 1.50 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF ND AND MN.
AS THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM CLOSES...SOME OF THIS MOISTURE IS WRAPPED
AROUND THE LOW AND MID LEVEL CENTERED ACROSS NORTHERN ND AND
NORTHERN MN. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
CONVECTION HERE WAS WELL. A LARGE AREA OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED MORE OR LESS WHERE IT WAS ON DAY 2...WITH A
DISPLACEMENT OT THE EAST. THE PLACEMENT REQUIRED A SMALL AREA OF A
SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHERN MN.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

THE COMBINATION OF HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER AND INSTABILITY AHEAD
OF SHORT WAVES CROSSING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED CONVECTION DURING BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE LARGE SCALE FEATURES IN
THIS PATTERN...AND THE QPF WAS BASED ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET
BLEND.

ON DAY 2...SHORT WAVES IN THE FLOW AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH
ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL PROVIDE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN NEAR 1.25 INCHES. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE...WITH
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR. THE RELATIVELY LOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTION TO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A
GENERAL 0.25 INCH AREA OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TX
INTO CENTRAL OK...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS.

NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES FOR DAY 3...AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...WITH STRONG INFLOW AND
GOOD VEERING WITH HEIGHT...AS WELL AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
HOVERING NEAR 1.25 INCHES. AGAIN...THE DRYLINE SHOULD BE THE FOCUS
FOR MUCH OF THE CONVECTION...THOUGH SOME 00Z MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATED THE POTENTIAL FOR SOMETHING MORE ROBUST ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST  KS AND SOUTHWEST MO. IN THESE
AREAS...A SMALL AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED TO
INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION.


...LOWER MISSISSIPPI TO THE MID ATLANTIC...

A WEAK SHORT WAVE MEANDERING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL HELP
FOCUS INCREASING MOISTURE TO RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3 ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE
CLUSTERED WELL WITH THE TRACK OF THE MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE...SO THE
QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

THE POSITION OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY INTO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC WILL DICTATE
WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR ON DAY 2...AS CONVECTION SHOULD
BE TIED TO THE FRONT. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES INCREASE TO NEAR 1.25 INCHES ON A SOUTHERLY LOW TO MID
LEVEL FLOW. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MARGINAL TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY... WITH TALL THIN CAPE PROFILES...FAVORING EFFICIENT
RAINFALL PRODUCING CONVECTION. AN AREA OF 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED NEAR THE FRONT...JUST EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

THESE VALUES ARE BELOW THE THREE HOURLY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
NUMBERS...SO NO SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREAS WERE
ASSIGNED. HOWEVER...BOTH THE 00Z GEFS AND 12Z ECMWF ENSEMBLE
OUTPUT HAD MEMBERS THAT PRODUCED NEARLY 2 INCHES OF RAIN FOR DAY 2
IN THIS AREA. IF THAT PANS OUT...LOCAL FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.


ON DAY 3...THE WEAK FRONT REMAINS THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION AS THE
WEAK SHORT WAVE TRUNDLES TO THE EAST. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
REMAIN HIGH...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS ONCE AGAIN SHOW MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WITH WEAK SHEAR AND TALL THIN CAPE PROFILES. THE
STRIPE OF 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED JUST TO THE EAST
OF THE DAY 2 LOCATION...SO FOR NOW NO EXCESSIVE AREAS WERE
ASSIGNED.


...NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

INCREASING MOIST AIR OVERRUNNING A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY
DRAPED ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL RESULT IN RAIN...MAINLY
DURING DAY 3. FOR THE MOST PART...THE 00Z MODEL SUITE WAS
CLUSTERED WELL WITH THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE FRONT...AND THE
QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND.

A FRONT STALLS ACROSS QUEBEC INTO NORTHERN ME LATE IN DAY 2...AND
REMAINS MORE OR LESS IN PLACE DURING DAY 3. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
AHEAD OF A WEAK SHORT WAVE IN AN OTHERWISE ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW
WILL BRING HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER (WITH VALUES NEAR 1.25
INCHES...WHICH IS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL) AIR OVER THE FRONT DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 3. THE
OVERRUNNING THAT RESULTS SHOULD PRODUCE AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50
INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE ROOFTOP OF ME.


HURLEY/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 514191 513200 530232 523279 491349 475352 459332 436317
      429297 429277 432274 433270 446251 452244 456234 456221
      461212 478202 480196 481189 482182 480177 476176 474178
      471178 462182 457185 453189 450205 447208 442207 431204
      427203 425199 422192 423190 419185 414181 411182 409184
      403186 403182 406175 405168 402164 399164 397166 393169
      387168 385165 379163 374162 370159 368155 369150 373145
      374142 373138 371134 367132 367126 370125 374122 378120
      391111 399108 403106 406099 409095 414095 420092 423088
      427086 430082 433078 435072 439065 442061 441056 440041
      435030 431026 425026 420027 417029 414026 414022 416021
      419017 415012 413009 412000 416991 425977 428973 430966
      431961 431953 425943 421942 418936 416927 414920 410919
      399921 395921 389920 371912 365912 358914 345919 342921
      340927 339936 338942 333934 331929 328926 326922 325918
      325915 322913 316914 312908 309897 311891 320874 322872
      322869 322863 323856 325852 331844 336838 350827 353818
      354808 353802 354795 353790 353785 352781 350774 347767
      346761 342755 340750 339745 342737 345735 350736 357739
      361742 366746 372753 376756 379761 386773 391781 395786
      395790 395796 397803 399809 399813 398816 398819 401826
      404832 407836 412847 416861 421866 424867 429865 435863
      439866 443862 449859 453858 458861 463862 467865 472875
      475882 477885 479889 484899 489915 493923 500930 502935
      503943 505948 506957 508976 508985 509994 510008 511017
      513020 516019 520015 526011 530008 533004 537000 540994
      549986 552986 556990 559994 560000 561009 561019 560027
      558032 553043 545051 541058 536060 526063 523063 519058
      517054 514054 511049 508051 506063 499064 494068 491077
      497107 498115 499118 501124 504130 508133 511138 514145
      518148 520153 520158 517162 515168 518181 517190 514191
 0.01 461588 471569 490591 502619 505660 501666 497672 490681
      483682 476679 471677 468673 466672 457664 459654 463648
      471642 472637 469636 468635 464634 462630 459626 457625
      457620 460602 460596 461591 461588
 0.01 251026 258999 252994 232995 224005 226029 242032 251026
 0.01 513223 511218 508221 509226 510229 513227 513223 513223
 0.01 432148 433144 430140 429143 428147 430150 432148
 0.01 272800 272795 270791 263790 260788 256788 253787 248788
      244790 240793 238799 239816 239824 241834 242842 244851
      249857 257856 260857 262853 262845 262837 260827 259823
      259819 261816 266815 269812 271809 273806 272800 272800
 0.25 522263 518255 509250 506252 504253 503255 499255 502267
      510273 520273 522263
 0.25 482980 482966 481955 479940 477926 473902 470892 466883
      463879 459880 457886 454897 451900 449896 441881 438879
      434882 430888 427897 427904 428910 429917 433926 435928
      440927 446923 448927 449933 446941 445950 446960 447974
      444983 439989 438991 438997 440005 442011 446014 452017
      455022 456028 455031 452041 451048 451055 451061 450065
      445071 444077 445083 444086 441092 436100 430106 417113
      415115 413118 414123 416126 423129 426128 426124 428118
      430115 434113 439114 443117 443119 445130 449134 453132
      457132 459134 459137 457143 453147 452159 458160 461159
      463161 469166 474165 477161 479155 480142 482136 482133
      480131 473127 470123 472117 475107 476081 477072 479061
      482051 483047 484039 475025 475019 475014 477003 480991
      482980
 0.25 399859 394849 392841 390837 387834 383834 378835 373835
      369835 363836 353839 346842 339848 332855 330860 329865
      327873 327884 328897 330904 332908 335910 341910 346908
      349905 352901 356897 364891 379878 386872 397868 399862
      399859
 0.25 259802 260799 257798 255797 254797 252798 249799 249800
      248803 251803 253802 255804 257805 259803 259802
 0.50 474960 475949 474938 470917 467908 465902 463901 461903
      458908 455915 454922 454939 452944 453950 455960 458966
      462971 466976 467982 465987 463994 464000 466002 469004
      471998 474990 474986 473982 473971 474962 474960
 0.50 469051 467048 467047 465043 464038 461035 458037 458039
      458043 458047 459048 462051 464055 465056 467055 468055
      469051
 0.50 444908 443904 443900 442899 441901 441905 443908 444908
      444908
 0.50 380855 379850 378848 375845 371844 365844 357847 351846
      345850 338855 335860 332867 331874 330883 330889 332899
      337905 343904 348901 353896 358890 361883 363876 373867
      378860 380855
 1.00 358874 358868 355864 351862 348858 345859 340863 336870
      334876 333885 334892 336898 340899 345898 350894 354886
      356881 358874
 1.50 351872 348873 345874 342873 340874 337877 336881 336883
      336884 336888 337891 338892 339894 341894 344895 346892
      348887 350883 350882 351880 350876 351873 351872
 2.00 342886 344882 342879 341879 340879 339882 338883 339887
      340888 342886 342886

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 486674 482668 478669 475667 471671 469670 465665 462660
      460660 458660 457663 453667 449671 448677 447687 449692
      447695 442703 440711 435719 433725 435729 438728 444728
      447725 449721 456716 460713 462709 464705 467702 472700
      474700 482684 486674
 0.01 541192 543183 543174 542169 539164 535155 530145 526136
      524132 520130 516126 515121 513116 514110 516103 523092
      526087 527081 526064 526054 524050 519042 514034 512028
      512021 506968 504962 504958 505955 506952 506946 505932
      506927 507923 512915 516907 514898 512894 509886 507882
      507867 508862 509853 510841 511826 506816 504810 500807
      494805 490804 485805 480807 478811 473818 468832 466838
      466845 463845 460843 456840 454836 446831 440830 437834
      433837 432846 435861 447871 450875 453880 455882 457889
      457899 455907 450924 447928 444932 434938 424941 417946
      414949 409950 400953 377958 360955 345955 318966 308978
      303985 302996 303002 306005 311007 318002 330998 332997
      337996 342996 345997 349998 352999 361998 364996 368995
      374997 379000 388000 397004 400008 403013 409021 411024
      414025 412029 405030 403030 400033 397035 397041 398046
      401047 403049 401051 396052 391052 386051 383049 379050
      378050 381054 383056 382061 379063 375063 369060 363062
      359065 360072 358076 357084 358089 361090 368088 386096
      389094 392093 395096 401096 401102 399103 392109 384111
      377115 373129 376134 382130 388131 392130 398130 400131
      400133 397136 391140 387138 382137 381139 381145 383149
      387150 393152 394154 405156 408155 412155 411162 413172
      414180 417186 420193 425194 428197 426207 428212 428215
      426217 425219 425225 423230 419238 419245 423249 426252
      431254 439254 448257 459259 464261 469264 478269 480271
      486274 495277 501278 509280 513275 515272 514265 515257
      514253 512247 512239 506227 503218 501212 501208 502204
      505203 508204 512209 514214 517216 524218 529221 534221
      536217 536209 534200 541192
 0.01 477198 478194 478190 476186 476185 474180 471175 469172
      466174 466175 464178 463182 462186 464190 464191 466195
      467196 469200 469201 471203 474202 474201 477198
 0.01 376700 373694 371692 368686 364685 362684 361689 360695
      362701 361707 353710 349713 347718 349728 343745 342752
      341759 342766 342771 341775 337779 332787 332793 331798
      329801 326803 323807 318809 305809 298807 290803 274799
      266797 263797 259798 254802 251808 252813 255815 261821
      276829 292830 298830 303834 306838 309845 312857 311863
      310867 308876 300891 299896 300900 305903 316893 317891
      320890 324892 329893 335892 337889 339888 341889 344894
      345901 346903 350904 353911 356917 360920 363920 365916
      374920 378921 383918 387910 385904 380898 378895 376890
      374878 378874 380870 384865 390864 394866 397868 400871
      401874 404876 410879 414878 416874 417865 416851 417846
      415843 410833 406827 405821 408812 407798 407795 406789
      401783 397771 395767 395763 395759 391745 389737 385731
      382724 379720 378715 376706 376700
 0.01 417053 415049 412046 409049 410053 412055 415056 417053
 0.25 525202 516175 515172 516168 518166 520164 522160 520153
      512138 510130 507124 503119 498115 494112 490113 487109
      485100 485096 487087 489074 491058 492049 494042 496027
      499018 499009 499994 500986 498920 499911 500904 498892
      497886 493877 492871 493865 494858 496849 496842 494831
      491826 486824 482827 480832 479845 479854 477862 474865
      471866 467869 466871 467887 465906 463912 460919 455930
      449939 443946 435953 423961 413969 406972 399973 394975
      392978 392982 393986 395988 400992 403994 407998 412004
      419011 426012 433012 458020 458027 457034 457044 455050
      452063 449066 443066 439067 437069 439076 444081 447084
      445089 439089 435092 433097 433101 429105 423107 420112
      417113 414112 412105 410095 406101 404106 402108 397111
      393115 388117 384119 384123 387123 393121 400123 405125
      409126 415123 419127 433117 436117 439119 440120 441125
      438141 441149 446154 451158 455160 458156 459153 462149
      465144 470143 475143 481145 488153 486178 489184 493190
      497192 500191 505190 511194 516199 523203 525202
 0.25 496259 496254 492248 491243 487240 484240 481238 479234
      477231 474230 471232 470236 472242 476247 478248 483248
      486250 490257 493258 496259
 0.25 489215 485213 479211 476211 470214 467216 463216 457218
      455218 454222 459226 465228 468225 472222 475220 481219
      483218 485215 487216 489215
 0.25 397801 396794 393791 390788 388784 384772 379758 374752
      369749 354746 352746 351751 349757 350767 348778 346793
      343800 337807 326818 323822 323827 326839 325848 326854
      327860 330862 336867 342871 347876 350879 353884 356892
      363896 367901 371899 370897 367885 364877 363870 364864
      366860 370853 387845 391837 393833 393827 392819 393814
      397801
 0.25 413068 410066 404065 401064 398065 394068 390072 387074
      383076 380079 384082 386085 392085 398086 402083 406080
      409076 412072 413068
 0.25 336977 333976 330976 328978 327978 326982 328983 331982
      334981 336977 336977
 0.25 288816 288813 285812 284811 282810 279810 276810 273810
      272810 270809 267810 267812 268814 269814 272816 275817
      277817 278817 281818 284818 287818 288816
 0.50 510151 509149 507146 506146 503145 501145 503147 505151
      506151 509152 510151
 0.50 495905 494897 492891 487885 483884 479887 476890 475897
      473908 471916 469922 466926 462933 457942 453948 439961
      434964 432966 430969 431972 429977 426981 427985 422001
      423002 426004 428003 433001 439001 450001 454000 458000
      461002 464005 467017 468024 468032 467040 463052 462059
      465066 470073 473074 475071 478059 482050 486039 488030
      492016 494005 494980 494963 494951 494936 493924 495905
 0.50 473107 473103 470094 468091 462091 458093 453097 444101
      441103 439108 443117 445132 448136 451139 454139 457136
      460136 463134 465132 466127 470117 473107
 0.50 455080 453078 452076 450074 448072 447071 444071 442072
      444075 446076 447077 450079 452080 453082 455080
 0.50 392803 391799 388797 385796 382784 377775 373770 369768
      363769 358771 354776 352780 347802 340809 331819 331827
      336835 335844 335852 338859 342861 346861 353860 359856
      364849 366843 369837 380833 384829 387824 389812 392803
 0.50 408118 407114 408110 406107 403110 401113 400114 397116
      396117 397117 400118 403118 405120 408118
 0.50 401076 401075 398074 397076 398078 401076 401076
 0.50 396079 395079 392079 390079 392080 395080 396079
 0.50 357870 356867 353868 353872 354873 357872 357870
 1.00 488948 488937 485927 481926 476930 471934 467940 464946
      465957 460968 456973 454976 454981 457985 463988 467992
      471999 474004 478007 482006 484003 485997 485989 487979
      487973 487961 488948
 1.00 369791 366789 361788 358793 356797 355802 354806 352810
      350815 350818 352819 355816 357814 359812 365810 369806
      370802 369795 369791
 1.00 353832 353828 351826 351829 350831 348834 348835 346838
      346840 345842 344844 342846 342847 343850 345848 348846
      350844 351844 352841 353839 353835 353833 353832
 1.50 483945 482940 480938 477942 474947 474955 471960 469965
      467970 466974 465978 467983 470985 473987 478985 482981
      483975 482967 480958 481949 483945


24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 531731 528717 524707 520694 518688 516684 513682 510677
      504672 498669 495666 491665 485664 480663 469665 458666
      445668 427679 421686 415693 412697 409697 404697 400696
      394698 385698 378701 373701 366705 362707 360706 354707
      349706 344709 343711 340715 341719 340733 343742 348746
      351751 351756 347756 344756 340758 332762 311777 306782
      303785 301788 298799 300807 303812 297812 292809 286807
      279805 272804 265803 258804 254806 255809 257816 262820
      268825 269827 274828 277829 282828 291831 302831 313835
      316840 318845 319847 319851 313863 311868 310874 309879
      314883 316883 322879 326875 333873 360880 365883 371884
      379881 378871 378865 379863 380857 382853 391850 397852
      400855 403855 406852 408848 410831 409825 410820 412814
      414799 415791 415786 419782 421780 419775 415761 413756
      415751 420747 422742 426739 434734 441730 446731 448734
      450738 453748 457760 460771 463785 464791 464797 464804
      463810 463813 462832 460851 459857 458860 456865 453870
      448870 443867 437863 431858 428856 422857 419863 420873
      419876 419882 421891 406899 398904 392909 385912 384908
      384906 383902 381903 376906 372910 369916 365929 364933
      363937 360937 351941 336948 313967 303974 292977 287980
      278982 274986 272989 273992 276998 278999 282999 289999
      294999 300997 312989 326982 335976 343974 352972 355972
      357975 358980 360983 364985 371983 376975 378972 383972
      389976 394981 398989 394992 389994 387998 386002 388010
      392015 395021 406028 410033 412041 411045 409048 406050
      402049 401046 398042 393041 389039 386043 384048 379049
      372050 372054 375055 378057 379062 370064 369069 373074
      374084 376089 377097 376106 377113 377116 375120 375125
      377128 390133 383139 384142 386145 390148 394149 397151
      398153 399160 401164 405164 408163 411165 412169 415177
      418179 423180 425179 427174 431168 429163 425160 425155
      426145 427141 432142 434144 434149 436158 437161 441163
      444166 445171 446174 445177 443180 443186 444188 448196
      453197 455197 456194 466183 467178 470177 477178 481180
      482187 486196 486204 482208 477208 465213 456214 450216
      436218 435225 438230 438232 437237 439244 442245 445243
      449241 452239 455241 460243 463242 469240 471230 474225
      476224 480224 483222 486221 490224 494233 496237 499238
      503234 502226 503215 501207 504202 506200 510199 514202
      519206 521206 524204 531204 532195 532189 531182 533176
      535174 539170 541168 542163 545158 546151 548148 548141
      550134 552129 552124 550121 548111 546106 543107 536111
      529114 526116 521116 513111 510101 505092 501086 500072
      504066 507063 508057 511049 512045 512038 512029 511025
      508019 508012 507996 507989 509985 513976 514972 514965
      514954 516947 518939 517928 515917 512907 509893 507886
      508882 510871 510865 511861 510850 511831 506805 502789
      501781 501775 520773 523774 526772 529765 532759 532751
      532745 531734 531731
 0.01 458232 456229 453229 450230 452234 455235 458232
 0.01 452234 450230 447229 444232 443232 444232 446235 449235
      452234
 0.25 485701 480683 476678 470676 453677 446683 442686 442689
      446693 452695 453698 455705 459722 459736 464756 473788
      476824 478845 479861 478868 476874 472879 468884 467890
      463896 458904 452906 446906 445913 442915 438916 433913
      430908 427904 423904 419905 414909 411913 409914 408918
      409928 410941 410947 410955 409961 409970 410987 410997
      411008 415015 420021 426029 429034 432040 432044 430049
      422054 418057 416061 414062 407061 399062 393065 389068
      383079 389087 402090 407088 409083 412079 417076 418075
      421076 422082 424089 427095 434107 435110 437108 441111
      447112 450114 456127 465135 473138 480138 483137 487135
      489132 490122 492102 491093 488086 484080 483076 483071
      485067 488065 492061 499053 501047 500040 496036 490032
      487027 482024 475020 471016 472008 476003 478998 480991
      483984 489983 494979 498973 503965 505957 507947 508941
      508934 508928 504906 500889 497880 496870 495859 492848
      490840 488829 487817 485806 484796 483778 483761 482743
      485733 485722 486715 486708 485701
 0.25 534151 535136 533131 530128 526127 522127 513128 507130
      504131 501136 498134 496137 496144 500151 502155 505158
      511162 515164 518162 523157 527157 531155 534151
 0.25 448084 447083 446080 444079 441078 439079 437080 438081
      441083 444084 446084 447085 448084
 0.25 391739 390734 387731 382727 378727 373728 370728 365730
      360735 358739 361741 364745 366752 365756 363760 350770
      344772 335773 330779 331787 330797 329802 327806 325812
      323815 324820 331826 337830 345830 347834 346839 342847
      335852 333854 332859 338860 347862 350863 354861 358855
      362850 367847 373845 378844 381839 384832 389826 393817
      395810 397805 397799 396791 396780 395769 395753 391739
 0.25 435116 435115 432115 431116 430120 432120 435116 435116
 0.25 420119 417113 413110 412106 409103 407106 405110 403112
      400112 397113 391115 388117 387119 388122 391124 397125
      399124 405125 411124 416122 420119
 0.25 388946 387939 385936 381925 378921 375921 374924 370932
      366940 362949 360955 360960 361966 362969 364971 366969
      369965 375960 382952 385951 388946
 0.25 297819 296819 293817 290817 288816 286816 283816 282815
      280815 278817 278818 279820 282822 285824 286824 289825
      291825 292825 293824 294823 297822 297819
 0.50 471716 469714 467718 467719 467724 470724 471721 471720
      471716
 0.50 478760 477758 476756 473753 472751 470751 468750 468752
      469756 470760 471764 472768 474771 475774 477770 478769
      478764 478761 478760
 0.50 505939 505931 503923 501912 497897 495889 494882 491870
      489866 487863 486865 481875 475883 473886 471891 469900
      467905 464910 459916 455919 450921 448924 447930 445934
      440938 436935 434931 432926 429924 425923 422926 420931
      421937 421944 421951 418969 417979 418990 420004 421009
      422013 427022 434028 443041 450046 453046 456045 458039
      461031 463026 463019 463013 465007 464992 474979 481972
      487971 492969 498965 502958 503953 504944 505939
 0.50 483094 482088 479082 472076 465069 459060 456059 450058
      445058 441060 436064 433068 433072 436074 441074 445076
      450080 453084 455087 462086 467089 470093 473097 476098
      479097 483094
 0.50 482055 484050 483046 482043 480042 479041 476042 474046
      473047 472051 471055 472059 473063 476063 478064 479064
      480064 482059 482057 482055
 0.50 388757 385755 380755 376760 372764 348776 342779 339783
      335792 336796 335800 333804 331808 333815 336818 339822
      350818 354823 355828 355834 354839 364837 368838 375837
      379832 379828 385816 385810 384807 381807 379806 378803
      377799 389779 388757
 0.50 411118 409117 406117 405117 406118 408118 411118
 0.50 401079 403076 404072 401069 398069 395071 394072 393076
      394079 395081 398082 401080 401079
 0.50 381940 380934 378930 376927 374931 372935 370939 368943
      366947 364951 364958 369959 371957 376952 378948 381944
      381940
 1.00 500931 498922 495914 490906 487905 482907 478915 475920
      472925 470930 470939 469948 471950 476950 478950 482954
      488955 497952 499945 500938 500932 500931
 1.00 467970 466965 463962 459959 456959 453966 449975 444975
      444969 443961 441955 437948 434944 430941 428950 427957
      427965 426974 426981 429989 428011 433012 433016 438018
      440021 447018 454010 455007 455001 449994 448991 449987
      450985 453985 455983 462978 467970
 1.00 444986 442983 442979 440975 437977 436980 435983 435984
      433988 433991 432992 433993 436994 439995 442994 444991
      444989 444986
 1.00 382776 381772 377771 366776 355779 350782 344791 343800
      344806 349807 359801 362802 369802 369796 371790 375784
      380780 382776
 1.50 494928 494927 492924 490923 487921 487920 484921 483922
      482924 479928 478932 479937 480938 483939 485939 486940
      490941 492938 492937 493933 494930 494928
 1.50 360788 358787 356790 355790 356790 359790 360788

$$