Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 201100
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
700 AM EDT TUE JUN 20 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUN 20/1200 UTC THRU JUN 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

06Z UPDATE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO PRELIM GUIDANCE.

...CNTL/ERN GULF COAST...
HEAVY TO LIKELY EXCESSIVE RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH AND
WEST OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE #3 AS SYSTEM MOVES GRADUALLY
NWWD FROM THE CNTL GULF THROUGH WED MORNING.  SYSTEM IS QUITE
ASYMMETRICAL GIVEN THE SLY SHEAR TO THE EAST OF AN UPPER LOW TO
ITS WEST..WITH INCREASING CONVECTION MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER.  MODELS GENL AGREE ON BRINGING DEEP
SURGE OF TROPICAL MSTR NWD INTO THE CNTL GULF COAST AREA
ESPECIALLY FROM SE LA EWD INTO SRN MS/SRN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE
REGION THIS PD WITH PWS INCREASING TO OVER 2.5".  THE DEEPER MEAN
LAYERED ESELY FLOW`S NWD PROGRESSION WILL LIMITED BY WEAK E/W
RIDGING AT 5H EXTENDING ACRS THE LOWER MS VALLEY.  THIS WILL
LIKELY HELP MAINTAIN THE MORE ACTIVE TROPICAL RAIN BANDS ACRS SE
LA INTO SRN MS/SW AL GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE POTENTIAL
TROPICAL CYCLONE.  THIS WILL GIVE THE POTENTIAL THERE FOR
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE DAY 1 PD OF 4 TO 6+". MANUAL
QPF WAS BASED ON BEST MODEL FIT TO LATEST NHC TRACK GUIDANCE WHICH
MAINTAIN PERSISTENT DEEP LAYERED TROPICAL INFLOW INTO THE CNTL
GULF COAST.


...SE U.S NEWD INTO ERN NC...
DEEP LAYERED TROPICAL MSTR CIRCULATING NWD/NEWD BETWEEN POTENTIAL
TROPICAL CYCLONE #3 OVER THE CNTL GULF OF MEX AND UPPER RIDGE OVER
THE WRN ATLC INTERACTING WITH STALLING AND WEAKENING FRONT FROM
THE CAROLINAS SWWD INTO MS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SOME INTENSE AND
VERY SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAINS THIS PD ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BNDRY.
  MODEL SOUNDING SHOW IMPRESSIVE DEEP LAYERED MSTR PERSISTING AND
WHILE CLOUD COVER MAY LIMIT HEATING SOME...MODELS FCST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE SOME TALL SKINNY CAPES DURING THE AFTN/EVENING ACRS THE
AREA.  THIS ALONG WITH DIFFLUENT RT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET
AND GENERAL DEEP LAYERED UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW...POTNL WILL EXIST
FOR SLOW MOVING/TRAINING CONVECTION.    FOLLOWED A CONSENSUS OF HI
RES GUIDANCE AND GENLY STAYED TOWARD THE HIER END OF MODEL QPF
GUIDANCE AREAL AVG WISE GIVEN THE TROPICAL AIRMASS.

ELSEWHERE...
ADDITIONAL VORT ENERGY ROTATING THROUGH BROAD UPPER TROF OVER THE
GT LAKES REGION WILL LEAK TO DIURNALLY ENHANCED SHOWER ACTIVITY
FROM THE MIDWEST THROUGH THE CNTL/ERN GT LAKES AND INTO NEW
ENGLAND.    SOME LOCAL .50 INCH OR GREATER RAIN TOTALS WILL BE
PSBL IN SOME OF THE STGR RAIN SHOWERS/TSTMS ESPECIALLY OVER THE
ERN GT LAKES REGION/NEW ENGLAND..THOUGH IN GENERAL MOST AREAL AVG
AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT GIVEN THE DRIER AIRMASS.



DAYS 2 AND 3...

...GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST...

DAY 2 (12Z WED-12Z THU)...

A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE GULF
COAST. APPEARS LIKE WE WILL HAVE TWO AREAS OF FOCUS FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL...ONE CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL/SUBTROPICAL
SYSTEM AND ANOTHER ASSOCIATED WITH A MOISTURE PLUME DISPLACED WELL
TO THE EAST. GROWING CONSENSUS AMONGST THE GUIDANCE THAT THE
FURTHER EAST AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SETUP ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MS/AL INTO THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE. WPC QPF ACROSS THIS
REGION WAS A BLEND OF THE 0Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET/3KM NAM NEST WITH ALL
THESE SOLUTIONS REASONABLY CLOSE TO EACH OTHER. THIS GIVES AN
ADDITIONAL 2-6" OF RAINFALL DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z WED-12Z
TH) OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS/AL...BRINGING TWO DAY TOTALS INTO
THE 6-12" RANGE. CONSIDERED UPGRADING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS/AL
TO A HIGH RISK FOR THE DAY 2 EXCESSIVE GIVEN THESE IMPRESSIVE TWO
DAY TOTALS. HOWEVER BY THE DAY 2 PERIOD THE TROPICAL SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BE PRETTY FAR SOUTHWEST OF THIS AREA...AND THUS WILL
BE RELYING ON FEEDER BANDS WELL TO THE EAST OF THE LOW. WHILE
THERE WILL CERTAINLY BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN THESE BANDS GIVEN
PWAT VALUES REMAINING NEAR 2.5"...A BIT MORE UNCERTAINTY EXIST
WITH REGARDS TO EXACTLY WHERE THE BANDS SETUP AND HOW WIDESPREAD
THE COVERAGE ENDS UP. THUS FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH A MODERATE RISK
OF SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THIS AREA AND CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE POTENTIAL NEED FOR AN UPGRADE. RECENT TRENDS ARE FOR
SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL TOTALS TO SPREAD FURTHER INLAND THAN
PREVIOUSLY FORECAST DURING THIS DAY 2 PERIOD. THUS THE SLIGHT AND
MARGINAL RISK AREAS WERE ALSO EXPANDED NORTH.

THE TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST
TO SOUTH OF THE TX/LA COASTS DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. EXPECT TO
HAVE AN AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW.
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY MOVES INLAND DURING
THE DAY 2 PERIOD. HAVE SEEN MODELS TREND A BIT QUICKER IN BRINGING
THE RAINFALL ONSHORE. A MODEL CONSENSUS BRINGS SOME 3"+ AMOUNTS
TOWARDS THE TX/LA COAST. WILL THUS EXTEND A SLIGHT RISK INTO
PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST TX AND AND INTO SOUTHERN LA TO ACCOUNT
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINS MOVING ASHORE PRIOR TO 12Z
THURSDAY.

DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI)...

BY THE DAY 3 PERIOD CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE HAS THE CENTER OF THE
SYSTEM OVER EASTERN TX OR WESTERN LA. SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
REGARDS TO THE STRENGTH/ORGANIZATION OF ANY SURFACE LOW AT THIS
POINT. HOWEVER REGARDLESS OF THIS...THE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW
SHOULD PERSIST...WHICH SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE CONVECTION WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS GIVEN PWAT VALUES POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 2.5".
WPC QPF FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE 0Z GFS/ECMWF/NAM/UKMET ACROSS THIS
REGION...WITH GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT SEEN AMONGST THESE
SOLUTIONS. CURRENTLY HAVE A SWATH OF 3-5" ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST
TX INTO FAR NORTHWEST LA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
GIVEN THE FAVORABLE HEAVY RAINFALL SETUP...CONSIDERED GOING WITH A
MODERATE RISK FOR THIS REGION GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING. HOWEVER GIVEN WE ARE STILL 3 DAYS OUT A DECENT
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS. STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO THE TRACK
OF THE DEEP LAYER LOW AND THE ORGANIZATION OF THE FEATURE. THUS
FOR NOW CHOSE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE HEAVY RAINFALL MESSAGING
AND STICK WITH A SLIGHT RISK. HOWEVER IF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS
CONSISTENCY TODAY WILL PROBABLY EVENTUALLY HAVE TO UPGRADE AT
LEAST A PORTION OF THE AREA TO A MODERATE RISK.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST
EXPECT ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND. LIKELY
TO HAVE SOME SOUTH TO NORTH FEEDER BANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE
INLAND...AND OPTED TO GO WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR PORTIONS OF MS/AL
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS THREAT. OTHERWISE SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
EXACTLY HOW QUICKLY THE MOISTURE MOVES NORTH AND WHETHER ANY
SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS ABLE TO BREAK OFF AND EJECT NORTHEASTWARD.
THUS QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD IN QPF BY THE DAY 3 PERIOD. OVERALL LOW
CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE SOLUTION. THUS OPTED TO GO WITH A BROAD
MARGINAL RISK FOR NOW. HOPEFULLY GUIDANCE WILL CONVERGE ON A
SOLUTION OVER THE COMING MODEL CYCLES.



...UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY WILL BE
THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTION WED AFTERNOON/NIGHT. ALSO LIKELY TO HAVE
AN AREA OF INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO A WARM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING EAST FROM THE COLD FRONT. THUS COULD
END UP WITH A SWATH OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM SOUTHEAST
MN/NORTHWEST IA INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WI. SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
THIS AXIS...WITH WPC PREFERRING A MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION. DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD THREAT AT THIS
TIME...HOWEVER PWAT VALUES 1-2 SD ABOVE AVERAGE AND SOME POTENTIAL
FOR SHORT TERM TRAINING ALONG THE/NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT DOES
SUPPORT THE CONTINUATION OF A MARGINAL RISK ON DAY 2 (12Z WED-12Z
THU)

THE WEST TO EAST COLD FRONT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FOR A
PERIOD ON THURSDAY STRETCHING FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE
GREAT LAKES. SHOULD SEE CONVECTION INTENSIFY ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WE GET DESTABILIZATION COMBINED WITH
INCREASED SYNOPTIC SUPPORT IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN
UPPER JET AND INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE
BOUNDARY. EVENTUALLY THERE IS A PRETTY STRONG SOUTHEAST PUSH TO
THE FRONT...BUT THERE APPEARS TO BE A DECENT PERIOD WHERE TRAINING
CONVECTION COULD OCCUR WITH STORM MOTIONS EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY
PARALLEL TO THE SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY. THUS LOOKS LIKE WE SHOULD
SEE SOME 1-2" AMOUNTS...WITH LOCALIZED 2-4" TOTALS. GIVEN THE
TRAINING POTENTIAL ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND PWAT VALUES INCREASING
ABOVE 1.75"...THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT SEEMS A BIT HIGHER THAN ON
DAY 2...THUS A SLIGHT RISK SEEMS WARRANTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES ON DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI). SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE AXIS OF CONVECTION. WPC QPF IS PRETTY CLOSE
TO THE 12Z ECMWF AND 0Z UKMET/NAM WHICH WERE CLUSTERED VERY WELL.
HOWEVER THE 0Z ECMWF DID TREND NORTH WITH THE BOUNDARY AND
CONVECTIVE AXIS. THUS WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR...AND MAY
HAVE TO SHIFT THE SLIGHT RISK ON FUTURE SHIFTS.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

SULLIVAN/CHENARD

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 482616 489622 492627 495634 503657 507667 511678 517700
      522710 523722 524731 523736 525754 527790 520808 516818
      512831 509844 508851 507854 504860 501863 497866 494866
      482855 478853 472853 467855 466860 466868 464872 464876
      465894 469916 469920 466924 464930 462932 452932 442929
      438927 435922 431914 428909 425906 416908 411909 408911
      403917 395918 396922 400926 403930 407933 410935 413941
      414944 414949 407945 401939 396933 392924 389918 388915
      387913 389911 390899 393888 398844 404820 406815 407810
      410797 412774 417757 419752 421748 424743 426738 432716
      422714 417715 413718 404720 400722 396724 393727 390732
      385739 374756 370764 367773 365782 363794 361804 360810
      358817 352836 345854 340873 328913 321929 315938 310944
      297958 291964 290971 288976 288981 286987 284991 284995
      266991 259986 255982 257978 257974 257971 255971 249969
      244968 242965 238963 236958 233954 233948 235944 239942
      243941 244935 246930 247923 245912 242904 234888 230881
      228877 226871 225859 225854 228851 230846 233844 240842
      244839 245835 245829 242820 240816 241813 245806 248802
      251800 260794 266792 270791 276790 277793 276795 278796
      282797 287797 290798 295798 298794 301783 299779 301777
      307770 318755 321749 327742 333733 336725 347707 348703
      351699 358692 366686 370684 372684 378683 380681 384680
      388682 399669 406661 410659 415655 423649 426647 431644
      445633 457625
 0.01 556111 556103 555092 554083 552075 545049 538035 530027
      527023 524018 518007 515001 510996 502988 492982 488981
      482981 475981 470983 463984 458985 451984 443985 441985
      440989 438995 437002 440009 442015 443024 439037 441043
      445043 455040 459040 458044 455050 453057 450064 447064
      444063 440057 434047 432047 431050 428056 427061 426063
      427069 427073 429074 436076 441079 445083 450087 450092
      448098 444101 439098 431092 426089 424089 429094 430101
      434113 437119 441121 446124 449127 452122 455114 456107
      456097 453083 454079 456082 457091 458099 461106 463112
      464114 467115 469111 470102 471092 470084 472076 478073
      485073 489076 495071 500054 502052 506053 511058 514064
      515071 517085 519091 520095 519099 515103 511107 510117
      511126 515140 518144 520147 520154 514166 511165 512160
      511153 511146 509138 509133 508130 508123 506107 505099
      502094 500092 496091 493091 491093 489101 492109 498121
      500124 499129 496135 488139 485141 485143 487147 494157
      496160 496165 497175 500188 504187 507180 508175 509180
      512184 519186 524185 530178 532170 535162 543152 549140
      552127 552120 554116 556111
 0.01 500232 501225 501221 499216 499211 497207 492205 488204
      485204 477206 471210 465214 458216 455218 458221 460225
      463226 471227 474230 475231 475235 472238 468237 460235
      459240 463243 471246 485256 491253 495246 500232
 0.01 491053 490051 488051 487050 485050 483050 481052 483054
      485055 486055 488055 490055 491053
 0.01 422159 423150 423141 422138 423133 423126 419126 418128
      415134 411138 407142 405149 406154 409157 413158 415160
      418163 422159
 0.01 401228 401227 400226 398226 396225 394225 394226 392227
      392228 394229 395230 397230 398229 399228 401228 401228
 0.01 407110 407107 407105 408103 408100 408098 406100 406102
      404104 404107 405109 407110 407110
 0.01 403000 403995 402991 401989 398987 394985 394981 389977
      382976 377977 371981 367985 364993 363001 363005 361007
      367012 359023 355029 351033 346043 342048 336051 329053
      326057 328062 324065 322068 323070 328068 333064 341063
      346061 348058 350055 355052 361050 368049 373046 377031
      380023 384019 389015 395012 400006 403000
 0.01 347116 348112 347110 345104 339093 339084 340080 338078
      332077 327078 325079 323083 321087 313088 308087 303091
      302096 304102 308105 315106 319106 321104 332106 336110
      338115 347116
 0.01 291812 285808 282806 278805 277803 275795 273797 270798
      268800 265801 257802 258804 260806 265807 271809 277811
      282812 288814 291812
 0.25 510773 509766 507763 504764 501767 500772 497769 492763
      488744 489740 488732 485722 482713 478708 479698 477694
      479688 481678 482670 480666 478663 473663 469666 463672
      459679 455685 453690 454695 458695 461694 464692 467694
      467699 464704 457709 451713 449717 450724 449727 451729
      454732 459738 466737 469737 471740 474751 475760 472781
      472795 473800 476802 480804 482804 487798 491790 496784
      510773
 0.25 444800 443794 440789 438783 438775 441764 442756 441747
      435747 431751 431764 431781 430795 430801 433807 438815
      441819 443816 443812 445806 444800
 0.25 428786 429783 427783 427784 426785 425786 424788 424789
      423791 423794 423796 423799 424798 425796 426793 426791
      427788 428787 428786
 0.25 391711 391704 387702 382702 382698 381693 378691 374692
      372694 366701 361708 354722 345738 340754 337760 333768
      328777 325785 322794 320804 318811 316815 314818 309820
      304822 294823 289823 285823 278819 271816 263813 259813
      260817 266823 273828 272831 268833 268839 267843 259846
      251850 245855 242861 240870 243879 247886 252892 253895
      254901 255914 255919 253925 252930 252935 254944 257954
      262960 266962 272961 277957 289944 297931 305918 312901
      316892 318887 319890 319902 322905 325904 328896 331887
      337869 347833 352813 356797 368761 371753 375744 378737
      382729 387720 391711
 0.50 381716 378714 376709 374707 372707 367709 362715 358721
      351736 347745 346754 343763 339771 332784 325801 325806
      326810 327815 325818 319823 311828 304829 296832 287832
      282826 276821 270818 267820 271824 276828 280831 280833
      277840 276845 273847 263849 257852 251857 247859 246865
      245870 246874 250881 256885 261891 262894 263901 259919
      257930 257935 259941 261950 263952 268953 273953 277951
      281945 287939 291933 302920 308905 313890 316879 317868
      319859 321855 324855 326865 326873 324885 325890 328889
      334873 344837 348818 352801 358782 363767 369751 372742
      376734 378729 379724 381716
 1.00 372733 371730 371725 369720 367722 362736 364742 362744
      359746 360739 359738 357741 356746 359747 357751 354758
      352764 347779 344785 339790 335795 336800 338801 335815
      331830 329838 329843 331848 333856 335857 336853 341838
      344824 347807 350792 353784 355778 361764 365751 372733
 1.00 311888 312879 312871 309856 307849 304844 300841 296841
      292843 288846 286852 280853 273854 265855 260857 255859
      251863 250867 252870 255874 263882 267885 270890 270898
      268904 266911 265917 264922 265929 266937 270941 273941
      277939 281936 290929 297921 303911 308900 311888
 1.50 360761 359757 357760 356763 355766 354768 353771 351774
      350778 350780 352780 354778 355775 356772 357770 358766
      359763 360761
 1.50 346805 345802 343801 341805 339810 338815 337819 336824
      335829 334835 336835 337833 339830 341825 342821 343816
      344812 346806 346805
 1.50 309888 309880 309872 306861 304852 302847 299844 296844
      294845 293853 289856 277858 265860 259862 255866 257870
      260873 268879 274888 275895 274900 270911 267923 269929
      272933 275935 281933 295920 299915 302910 306901 309888
 2.00 307890 308883 307877 305867 300861 296859 291859 282861
      271862 265863 262865 262869 265872 272878 276885 277890
      276896 274904 272914 270919 271925 276931 280931 283929
      295917 301910 304902 307890
 3.00 305882 303875 300870 295866 288865 281864 275866 271867
      271871 274875 278881 280888 280895 278902 275917 275921
      278923 286922 291917 295913 299908 302901 304896 305886
      305882
 4.00 302897 303889 303882 301877 297873 294870 288869 277871
      276875 278877 280881 282887 282894 280904 279911 277916
      279919 282919 286918 293911 299903 302897
 5.00 302888 300880 294874 288875 283875 279877 283884 285889
      284896 282905 282910 284913 287914 290911 295905 299902
      300898 302888
 6.00 300891 301888 300886 300884 298882 298881 296882 296885
      297887 297889 297891 297893 297895 297896 296897 296899
      297900 297899 298897 299895 300893 300891
 6.00 290885 289883 289881 288883 288885 289886 290885

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 554081 556072 556064 556055 555050 556031 556022 555015
      553002 551992 548984 545975 529937 529933 531932 536934
      540934 544933 547925 546919 542906 537896 532888 521871
      517863 512856 503844 486838 477835 470833 463829 454824
      448818 438812 434811 429811 423816 421818 420816 420812
      421807 425794 424784 423778 424771 425761 425750 425744
      425741 428739 434744 437748 440753 442756 444757 447756
      466757 471747 476737 485720 489714 490708 491703 491696
      490672 491650 491647 489646 484648 476654 461659 452666
      449669 447673 445678 443685 440691 440699 441707 438710
      436712 433710 430709 429706 427706 422705 417707 414712
      414716 412719 405717 402719 400722 396729 395734 398738
      401742 400746 398758 396770 397785 393792 395826 396840
      401846 403847 405843 406840 409838 414835 415838 414841
      414846 411854 408873 406900 403922 398935 396939 394946
      393950 395952 397952 401950 407950 410951 409954 407957
      401965 388978 382982 375986 362994 355999 346004 340010
      336014 335019 332023 333026 333029 330033 326035 325043
      324048 323055 323060 325064 325067 324069 321072 315079
      308086 305089 305094 310095 312096 311099 308105 312110
      315112 319110 327104 336099 340096 342089 345081 347077
      345074 343069 343062 343058 345054 347050 351049 356050
      360052 365052 370052 372048 371043 371039 373036 378035
      383042 386045 386051 387061 388066 390072 393075 398075
      408070 410070 411067 412061 409053 402049 397048 394048
      392045 392039 391036 391032 402017 408009 412007 418006
      421004 425006 428014 432023 434025 435029 438040 441043
      446043 450041 453037 455032 456024 458020 458011 457005
      457995 459981 462981 465984 471991 477999
 0.01 477999 482007 485012 490015 498021 504027 509037 515048
      520057 523060 527063 531066 534072 539081 546088 551089
      553083 554081
 0.01 530178 528172 526166 520154 519145 516142 514139 513134
      511128 508113 507106 506096 503084 501076 498069 492067
      489070 487080 486088 486104 488121 489129 489138 488144
      489147 492153 496156 501159 500162 496163 493163 491165
      492171 495174 500179 502184 504187 507189 512189 521182
      524182 526180 530178
 0.01 413155 414144 414140 411138 404139 402148 402154 400157
      396165 391171 392177 396177 398175 404172 408166 410163
      412157 413155
 0.01 421820 421818 419816 418818 418820 420822 421820
 0.01 413103 413099 412096 412092 410091 408091 406093 406098
      404100 404104 404107 405109 409110 411108 411106 413103
 0.01 392702 385679 382676 380677 373681 368683 365686 358691
      344706 333720 325734 315750 311756 307761 303763 276782
      268786 262792 255797 251808 251818 252825 251830 250835
      248838 243843 232856 231860 231865 231872 232876 233878
      242893 245901 246911 246923 246931 245945 244958 246961
      245963 246969 249969 252967 255969 257972 261973 273973
      281970 291967 296967 303967 308967 312966 316964 320962
      330951 341936 347929 352921 357914 361904 364896 364890
      365887 368863 367848 366844 363838 357832 354829 354825
      354819 352815 355808 361788 365780 369776 374779 377778
      380775 382773 384770 383767 373759 380740 383731 386720
      392702
 0.01 387198 387196 386195 385193 384191 383190 382190 381190
      380191 378191 377191 377194 379196 380197 380198 382199
      384199 386199 387198
 0.25 546033 544017 541009 539008 537010 532013 527013 524008
      521999 526994 531993 534992 534988 531981 527976 522977
      520974 520970 524965 525956 524949 523945 521942 515940
      512940 509942 508949 508955 507954 503953 500954 494967
      495972 499979 505988 508996 511002 515007 519012 524016
      529018 534032 539047 542051 544046 546033
 0.25 509934 510928 508924 505921 506918 509916 509911 509905
      507902 500899 496900 495904 493908 490911 492916 498921
      497925 499929 504933 509934
 0.25 465910 465894 466885 464876 456852 449848 444847 440851
      434858 429869 425879 424886 424895 426908 427926 427934
      426940 425948 426956 433962 436966 440971 443974 445975
      447974 449969 451962 454950 457937 459929 460924 464913
      465910
 0.25 394995 393991 389990 386993 383995 380999 378001 375006
      375009 376011 379010 384008 387006 390003 392000 394995
 0.25 378712 378701 376689 373687 370688 364692 360698 356705
      350719 343732 341739 339748 340755 343757 346756 353753
      361750 365749 367746 371740 375734 378726 379718 378712
 0.25 345871 345865 344859 342850 340846 338843 330838 323835
      317832 301829 274845 265848 258851 255854 253859 252863
      253869 252874 253881 255888 261907 261917 259927 258938
      259943 260947 262951 263955 266958 269960 273961 278960
      288960 306962 314958 319952 322948 323943 322935 322929
      323925 326921 330917 335912 338904 343884 345871
 0.25 294820 290817 285814 279814 273812 267810 264811 264814
      268817 273820 278822 283824 289824 292821 294820
 0.50 457903 456884 454874 450868 446865 442863 438865 434869
      432876 430886 431897 432907 433917 435924 434933 433943
      434948 437952 442952 447948 450942 451932 452923 454915
      456909 457903
 0.50 371700 370695 368694 366696 365699 363701 362704 361708
      360711 360713 361718 362718 364716 366714 368712 369709
      370706 371702 371700
 0.50 336882 337877 337871 335864 333856 329848 321845 316845
      307847 301843 297843 292845 288848 281850 276852 271852
      265856 262862 260870 260875 261880 264886 268891 277903
      277911 275918 272925 270935 269944 269948 271951 287955
      292958 298958 307959 312956 317949 319943 320938 319934
      317926 315917 315913 317911 321909 326909 329906 331901
      333895 336882
 1.00 447901 447899 447896 446894 446893 444892 443891 441892
      440894 439897 439899 440902 441904 441906 441909 443907
      443906 445905 445904 446902 447901
 1.00 329883 330878 329873 326869 323863 317860 305854 300853
      293854 279858 273860 270863 270866 270873 273878 277884
      282888 287893 289897 293905 292909 290911 282920 279925
      277930 278935 280943 283947 288952 292953 300952 307952
      312948 315941 315936 314932 311927 309920 308912 310905
      316905 320903 323901 326894 329883
 1.50 323883 322877 319871 316867 311864 302859 298858 295858
      289861 284863 279867 280875 283881 289889 297897 302900
      308901 314902 318901 320898 323885 323883
 1.50 311945 312939 310933 306924 305920 303916 300914 295913
      289918 283925 281928 282931 284941 285945 288949 293948
      299948 303950 308949 311945
 2.00 319892 319886 318880 314871 308865 301863 296864 292866
      288873 287878 289885 293891 300896 309899 316900 319892
 2.00 309945 308937 308935 306931 303924 300918 297917 292918
      288923 283929 285937 286942 288945 297945 303948 307948
      309945
 3.00 316888 314882 311877 308873 303870 296872 292875 290877
      290881 293886 296889 302892 307894 313895 316890 316888
 3.00 303941 303937 301933 299928 297924 294922 290924 288928
      287930 287933 288939 292941 296941 301942 303941
 4.00 313890 314887 313884 310880 309877 305874 299874 296876
      293881 295885 298887 302890 305892 311891 313890
 4.00 298937 297936 297935 297933 296931 296929 295927 295926
      294926 292926 292927 290929 290931 290932 290933 291935
      292937 294937 296937 297937 298937
 5.00 311888 311886 311884 311883 310882 309880 309879 307878
      305877 303876 301877 300878 299878 298880 298882 299884
      300885 301886 302887 303888 304889 305890 307890 309890
      311889 311888
 6.00 309886 309885 309884 307882 307881 305881 303880 301882
      302883 302884 303886 304886 305887 307888 309886 309886

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 556092 557083 556076 554064 551050 550042 550034 551019
      551011 553005 555991 556985 556977 552950 555918 554903
      552891 548879 544871 536848 532840 526831 523819 519807
      513786 509777 506764 488761 480759 474759 473756 480736
      481730 482724 478714 468695 465695 459696 452700 447701
      443701 435698 428695 425698 422703 420704 418702 416698
      412699 409701 408707 409715 411720 411727 414741 412753
      412761 411767 410772 408777 405787 403792 401796 397795
      394792 389785 377773 365762 361760 357757 353757 348760
      339757 330762 311769 314778 309786 302793 295798 287803
      277805 274807 268807 263809 261813 260817 261822 264826
      267829 272834 282835 289840 292844 292847 290849 283854
      279856 276859 256888 251897 247905 246913 248921 257939
      268957 272962 278966 295975 299977 302976 313976 324974
      331970 338965 343959 348951 354944 361939 373939 377941
      380945 384954 384959 382963 383968 383975 383990 380999
      373007 365012 357014 352015 353019 354023 354030 353033
      350037 343042 340043 345044 357045 361044 364041 367035
      373035 377034 381035 389041 390045 389049 387054 388058
      391061 396069 398071 401072 402070 405066 408064 414064
      416064 417061 420049 427048 433047 435043 436038 437031
      434021 432016 431013 434014 444015 446017 448010 448004
      450999 455976 457966 459959 459952 457946 457938 457923
      457907 457899 458892 459887 463886 467884 472883 482881
      486880 488880 489884 494908 497934 500948 500957 502965
      505990 509014
 0.01 509014 509022 509026 507023 501012 494000 486992 480989
      477990 479005 485037 489051 491060 491067 492072 491078
      491087 490098 488106 487111 485113 482115 482118 480125
      480133 481135 484137 486144 487152 489155 492155 496151
      499146 506135 510122 511116 512113 513103 514097 515093
      516084 517079 519080 522087 524093 524104 522126 525142
      525146 524149 520153 512142 508141 506143 506146 508154
      511160 514166 513177 512187 516192 522202 525204 527207
      530209 533210 536207 534200 531184 531179 534177 538173
      546165 550148 550141 549133 548114 549107 552102 556092
 0.01 386201 386196 385194 383192 380190 378189 375187 373185
      370185 369186 371189 372191 375193 377196 379198 380199
      384201 386201
 0.01 403039 401037 400035 398037 399039 401042 403039
 0.01 316118 317110 315106 313100 313092 313086 311080 309075
      305076 300077 296074 291064 288060 282059 284064 287068
      287074 281073 271068 266064 262062 258061 251062 247064
      249069 253072 258075 263078 267080 272082 275086 278091
      282093 287092 290094 289097 286101 291103 298110 307117
      316118
 0.25 522858 522850 521842 518831 517826 513823 505821 502821
      499824 495832 491842 490848 492856 496863 502868 507869
      512869 517867 520864 522858
 0.25 460829 460821 459816 459803 459795 458787 456781 456774
      455760 454752 453747 449735 448731 443733 439731 438735
      435744 427762 425774 421784 419795 419803 418809 416814
      413818 412823 413830 415843 415851 413856 410865 407875
      405888 403901 401914 402924 403931 405936 410945 414954
      416959 419962 425956 429953 432949 441899 443888 445875
      447864 452855 458842 460835 460829
 0.25 414991 412987 408985 405989 401994 397000 394004 393011
      396014 402012 406010 409003 411996 414991
 0.25 387827 386818 384813 382808 378805 369806 365801 364796
      364791 362789 356789 350791 348795 347801 346805 344807
      338815 332823 330829 327831 320840 312847 303852 297859
      285877 281886 279892 281896 280909 280917 278923 277929
      277934 281946 285955 290964 294968 298971 304972 311971
      323969 330965 338957 343949 353930 366912 373905 378895
      383885 384877 384869 386840 387827
 0.50 453825 454819 451815 450811 451807 451800 450793 448782
      447776 446769 446761 444755 442752 438752 435755 433758
      432762 434765 437772 431788 426796 425799 424805 425816
      422827 422838 421848 418857 414865 409883 408893 407905
      407912 408918 408924 410928 414935 418942 421945 425945
      429938 431929 433919 436897 440875 442866 444856 450838
      453825
 0.50 374846 374837 372831 365823 359812 353804 349815 344825
      332844 326853 318860 304863 300865 295870 292874 290879
      288884 289892 295901 301903 304906 309904 315901 319899
      325900 332901 335904 328913 324915 317917 311916 308912
      303909 298911 295915 294922 290934 289948 290956 292962
      295966 299970 305971 310969 321967 330962 334957 337952
      342941 346929 348924 352920 359912 362906 366903 369899
      372893 374887 374880 373873 374866 374846
 1.00 442796 442788 439792 434804 429816 428831 428837 427845
      424858 420863 418870 416877 414882 413889 412898 413907
      414914 418928 421935 424935 430904 431897 430888 430881
      432876 435871 436864 438855 438847 440832 442825 442817
      442796
 1.00 358850 359842 358834 358827 356820 353820 351822 349826
      346831 344836 340847 337858 333867 334874 336878 342879
      345879 348877 352868 353862 356857 358850
 1.00 359892 358891 356892 356894 356895 358894 359892
 1.00 336939 337935 336932 332929 327927 323926 318926 314929
      305935 300943 297947 296953 295959 297964 300967 306967
      311965 316963 321963 326960 329958 332954 335941 336939
 1.00 322883 316881 313877 309873 308870 305870 300874 297878
      295885 297891 302894 307892 313890 318888 321885 322883
 1.50 438827 438825 438823 438820 438818 438815 438813 437811
      437808 436808 435810 434811 433813 433814 433816 434818
      435818 435821 435823 435825 435828 436828 438828 438827
 1.50 437837 437835 436834 435834 435835 434838 433840 433842
      432845 432847 432850 434851 435849 435847 435846 436844
      436842 436840 437839 437837
 1.50 433854 432850 431853 429857 425861 423867 419877 416889
      415895 415900 415908 416917 419922 421923 423921 425915
      425907 424891 425882 426876 429866 433854
 1.50 355835 355828 349831 347835 346842 345849 343856 342862
      344864 347857 350853 352847 354841 355835
 1.50 332943 333937 330932 326930 323930 316933 309939 303945
      299953 297960 300964 305966 312961 319961 323959 327957
      329954 331949 332943
 1.50 311886 311882 310879 308876 307873 305872 303875 301878
      300880 299882 298884 298887 300890 302891 304890 307890
      310888 311886
 2.00 424914 424912 424910 422911 421912 421914 420917 421919
      422919 424916 424914
 2.00 423876 423874 423876 423878 423876
 2.00 418912 418910 417908 417910 417912 417913 418912
 2.00 330943 330938 329934 326933 321933 314936 309941 305947
      301953 300957 300962 305964 310959 317958 320958 323957
      328952 330943 330943
 2.00 308886 308884 308882 308880 307878 307877 305877 305878
      303879 302880 301882 300884 300886 302888 304888 305888
      307887 308886
 3.00 327945 326939 325935 321935 316937 312942 309947 307953
      305957 310954 316953 320954 325950 327945
 4.00 323945 323943 323941 323940 321939 319939 317939 316940
      315941 314942 313943 313945 313947 314949 315949 316950
      317950 319950 320949 321949 322947 323946 323945
 5.00 320945 319944 318943 317943 317945 317946 319946 320945

$$




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