Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 142229
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
628 PM EDT SAT OCT 14 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID OCT 15/0000 UTC THRU OCT 18/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

20Z UPDATE: ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO QPF BASED ON RECENT RADAR
TRENDS AND THE LATEST HIGH RES GUIDANCE. SEE THE DISCUSSION BELOW
FOR MORE DETAILS. -CHENARD

...CENTRAL PLAINS / MIDWEST / LOWER GREAT LAKES...

ALTHOUGH THE AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH IN THE WESTERN/CENTRAL
U.S. IS NOT PARTICULARLY COLD...IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION STYLE WE
DO GET A TASTE OF COOL-SEASON FORECASTING. LOW PRESSURE WAS
FORMING MIDDAY SATURDAY OVER CENTRAL KANSAS...AND PROGRESSIVE
CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR AS THE CYCLONE SLOWLY DEEPENS AND MATURES
ALONG ITS QUICK TRACK UP THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THE CONNECTION
TO TRUE SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS CUT OFF BY RIDGING OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES...BUT THE RECYCLED CONTINENTAL AIRMASS OVER THE
MIDDLE OF THE NATION WAS STILL PLENTY MOIST...WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER GENERALLY 1.20 TO 1.60 INCHES ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE AND PRE
FRONTAL TROUGH. AT MIDDAY CONVECTION WAS ONGOING...MOST OF IT
ROOTED ABOVE THE SURFACE...FROM KANSAS TO MICHIGAN. GOING FORWARD
IN TIME VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW AND PROGRESSION OF THE DEVELOPING
SURFACE LOW WILL PLACE THE EMPHASIS FOR PERSISTENT AND REPEATED
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG
THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT FROM FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS TOWARD THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES. ACTIVITY WILL DWINDLE FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE
DEVELOPING FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THIS REGION DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. CERTAINLY THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR REPEATED CONVECTION
AND HEAVY EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL ALONG THE WARM FRONT...AND
MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL PROVIDE GREATER DETAIL AS THE EVENT
UNFOLDS. FOR QPF...HOWEVER...THE CAPE AVAILABILITY IS SOMEWHAT
LIMITED WITH EASTWARD EXTENT...AND THERE ARE QUESTIONS ABOUT
PRECISE QPF PLACEMENT. SYNOPTIC DEEP LAYER ASCENT WILL ATTEMPT TO
REORGANIZE FARTHER NORTH TOWARD MILWAUKEE AND GREEN BAY AS THE
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO FLOW INCREASES OVER THE WARM SECTOR...BUT
ONGOING CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS AT THE LATITUDE OF CHICAGO MAY PREVENT
THE SURFACE WARM FRONT OR EFFECTIVE FRONT FROM LIFTING QUITE SO
READILY. WPC QPF INDICATES BOTH SWATHS RECEIVING FOCUSED
RAINFALL...AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE TO THE SYNOPTIC
FORCING FARTHER NORTH...BUT FOR THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS WE STAYED
SOUTH ALONG THE EFFECTIVE FRONT AND MODEL SOLUTIONS SUCH AS THE
12Z WRF-ARW. WITH ANOTHER 1-2 INCH AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL FORECAST
OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...AREAS THAT
HAD ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN...THIS MAY TIP THE SCALES TOWARD
INCREASING ISSUES WITH RAPID SURFACE RUNOFF / FLOODING. WPC QPF
WAS DERIVED BY BLENDING WPC CONTINUITY TOWARD THE LATEST BIAS
CORRECTED ENSEMBLE TOOLS AND USING THE NAM CONUS NEST AND WRF-ARW
FOR SOME OF THE DETAILS.


...NORTHERN PLAINS / NORTHERN GREAT LAKES...

MODELS WERE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AS TO THE QPF STRUCTURE
WITHIN THE DEFORMATION ZONE / COMMA-HEAD FORMING OVER EASTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA AND TRACKING TOWARD THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN. TIMING IS
SOMEWHAT MORE AN ISSUE...WITH THE NAM BEING SLOW AND THE WRF-ARW
AND GFS PERHAPS A LITTLE FAST. THE WPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICS
PREFERENCE WAS FOR A NON-NAM BLEND. IN TERMS OF MAGNITUDE WE
LEANED A BIT TOWARD THE HEAVY SIDE AT LEAST IN A NARROW SWATH
WHERE THE GFS INDICATED ITS STRONGEST LIFT. THE GRADUAL DEEPENING
OF THE CYCLONE THROUGH 12-18Z SUNDAY SHOULD FAVOR WELL ORGANIZED
PRECIPITATION. OUR QPF APPROACH HERE WAS SIMILAR TO THE REST OF
THE CENTRAL U.S...BLENDING WPC CONTINUITY TOWARD THE LATEST BIAS
CORRECTED ENSEMBLE TOOLS AND USING THE NAM CONUS NEST AND WRF-ARW
FOR SOME OF THE DETAILS. THE RESULTING FORECAST IS SPATIALLY
IDENTICAL TO CONTINUITY...AND COMES UP WITH SLIGHTLY HEAVIER
AMOUNTS.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

HEIGHT FALLS AND CONFLUENCE OF 850-700 MB FLOW FAVOR EASTERN
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI FOR MORE ORGANIZED RAINFALL THIS
EVENING...WHILE A MORE NARROW AXIS OF MODERATE RAINS FORCED BY THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD OCCUR DOWN INTO OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS. THE
FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED...ALTHOUGH WE DO NOTE THE
GROWING MODEL AGREEMENT FOR 1 TO 2 INCH AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OVER
SE KS / SW MO.


...CENTRAL GULF COAST...

HI-RES RUNS IN THE 00Z AND 12Z CYCLES TODAY HAVE SPORADICALLY
PRODUCED SOME HEAVY LOCAL RAINFALL TO OCCUR SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA TOWARD SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A WESTWARD MOVING
PLUME OF RICH MOISTURE WILL ENCOUNTER A SLIGHT INCREASE TO UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE CENTRAL U.S. TROUGH...SUCH THAT THE
IDEA OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY HAVE SOME MERIT. WE INCREASED AREAL
AVERAGE QPF AMOUNTS HERE...SIMILAR ALSO TO THE LATEST GFS AND
ECMWF.



DAYS 2/3...

WPC QPF WAS AGAIN BASED ON BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.


...GREAT LAKES/MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...

DUAL SHORTWAVES COMPOSING A TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY
EVENING WILL CONTINUE TO SWING EAST THAT NIGHT BEFORE JOINING AS A
SINGLE TROUGH ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN SEABOARD MONDAY. SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL BRING 1.5 INCH PWATS TO NY STATE/NEW
ENGLAND AND NORTH...2.5 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR
MID-OCTOBER. THE SURFACE LOW LOOKS TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN NY
AND NEW ENGLAND BORDERS...SENDING MUCH OF THE FORCING INTO CANADA.
THUS RAINFALL IN THE FAR NORTHEASTERN CONUS LOOKS TO AVERAGE A
QUARTER INCH OR LESS WITH THE MAINE COAST POTENTIALLY MISSING OUT
ON MEASURABLE RAINFALL.

FARTHER SOUTH IN THE MID-ATLANTIC...PVA FROM THE SECONDARY SHORT
WAVE WILL PROVIDE LIFT IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH PWATS 1.25 TO 1.5
INCHES...1.5 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL
PRODUCE BRIEFLY HEAVY RAIN IN THE PROGRESSIVE ACTIVITY WITH AREAL
AVERAGES UP TO 0.5 INCHES MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT.

COOL...NOT COLD CONTINENTAL AIR SPILLS IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH
LAKE EFFECT RAIN IN NW FLOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES.


...GULF COAST/FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST...

THE NORTHERN CONUS TROUGH AMPLIFIES MONDAY AND SENDS A SURFACE
BOUNDARY SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS THROUGH TUESDAY/DAY
3. 1.5 INCH PWATS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON SOUTH FROM THE
CAROLINAS WHICH IS ABOUT 1.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL.
RAINFALL OF 0.25 TO 0.5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ON AVERAGE FROM THE
CAROLINAS SOUTH TO NORTH FLORIDA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ALONG THE
REST OF THE GULF COAST FOR DAY 2 (UNTIL 00Z TUE).

THE FRONT MERELY DRIFTS SOUTH FOR DAY 3 (MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY)
ALLOWING MOIST EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
INCREASING PWATS TO NEAR 2 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF THE
INCREASING MOISTURE AND FORCING FROM THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT LOOKS TO POTENTIALLY PRODUCE EXCESSIVE
RAIN BEYOND THE DAY 3 OUTLOOK (12Z MON-12Z TUE).


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS IS DISRUPTED BY A SHORTWAVE COMING
ASHORE NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND MONDAY NIGHT. THIS DIRECTS AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO WASHINGTON
STATE. A NOTABLE PLUME OF MOISTURE WITH 1.25 INCH PWATS (2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) REACHES THE WASHINGTON COAST
LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES THEN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK ALONG THE WA/OR COASTS. A FEW INCHES OF LIQUID PRECIPITATION
CAN BE EXPECTED FOR PREFERRED UPSLOPE SITES IN THE OLYMPICS AND
CASCADES TUESDAY/DAY 3. THE HEAVY PRECIP JUST BEGINS TO REACH THE
EXTREME NWRN WA COAST MONDAY NIGHT...SO NO EXCESSIVE RAIN OUTLOOK
IS NEEDED FOR DAY 3 (12Z MON-12Z TUE) FOR NOW.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/JACKSON

24HR QP VT 16/00Z
 0.01 443630 444636 444640 445645 446651 444660 442669 439677
      435684 423696 417701 414703 410705 397717 395717 396713
      398705 400696 402687 407670 410661 413654 418646 423640
      427635
 0.01 537210 539205 539201 538194 534184 527175 521166 510164
      505165 503166 503171 504178 506183 513192 517203 521213
      526216 531217 537210
 0.01 519265 519260 519256 518249 512234 510226 506221 499218
      493217 494220 496224 496227 493228 489234 488238 486241
      482246 480257 485261 488264 487269 487275 488278 492283
      500286 506285 510281 514275 519265
 0.01 527700 526691 525686 520672 516660 513654 511652 499640
      496638 493637 487640 483643 475647 472651 467653 461655
      459660 458665 457671 456682 452693 447710 446716 444721
      438730 433739 427747 416762 411769 406776 395789 383803
      371815 358829 354832 349833 343840 335846 327850 318855
      310861 298871 295873 290874 288877 286882 283891 281896
      278900 273917 269926 263932 256938 253942 251947 247956
      244965 246969 250971 254974 258974 267972 270970 271965
      280951 288935 290931 293928 299923 313910 316906 321905
      327904 332903 346891 352886 360878 371866 393838 396837
      394842 391850 379866 373873 368882 358899 349914 344921
      337927 326937 320943 317945 315950 305965 293982 289981
      284981 276986 270993 266996 261996 251997 248999 247002
      250006 254009 261013 267017 278019 282017 285020 290027
      296029 298026 297021 298015 300011 304000 307000 307003
      305007 304023 299031 297035 297040 301056 294061 289064
      285060 281053 276051 270052 266054 263057 257064 254066
      254070 258077 273087 280092 286094 292095 303080 307077
      308072 310062 313053 315048 318044 323035 326032 330030
      336026 341021 355009 367995 380980 386973 393966 398960
      404954 419944 423943 426945 427950 427957 429963 431967
      436973 442980 445981 450979 460976 464974 466969 476952
 0.01 476952 479944 482932 485921 486916 486909 491901 495891
      498881 501873 507851 508846 508838 507823 507808 510799
      513794 514789 517780 522757 526735 527708 527700
 0.01 522044 522036 520031 517027 516020 512010 509998 507993
      504989 502985 502980 504974 504966 501954 499949 496945
      493942 489941 489948 490954 489959 488967 487973 488979
      489985 487989 487996 488001 491013 492019 494025 498026
      500031 503035 508037 513044 515046 519047 522044
 0.01 384713 383710 380711 375713 364719 354726 346734 342739
      339744 337749 337753 339756 342756 349754 358748 367740
      375731 381721 384713
 0.01 303812 302805 298803 296803 291805 288805 286803 284799
      278792 272792 268790 266786 261785 257785 253786 245791
      238797 236802 236807 235813 236819 238832 254826 260831
      266837 274841 280834 289830 296824 301818 303812
 0.25 533209 534201 533195 531191 528188 526182 523181 523185
      522188 521192 522200 523204 526208 529210 532209 533209
 0.25 512707 512697 509686 507679 504672 498663 493661 488660
      478661 473664 469669 464679 460691 454720 452727 450732
      444744 438752 436759 435767 436775 435784 432796 425824
      423831 421836 416847 411857 405868 402872 397875 392878
      386880 379890 374903 368914 362923 357930 350940 343948
      337960 334965 330969 328970 327974 328982 325986 321990
      318003 311027 311035 314034 319029 323025 326020 329014
      327010 327002 328994 331991 335988 337993 336999 334005
      336008 341004 348998 357991 366983 374974 388957 400941
      412919 415914 420910 426908 429916 432915 436913 439913
      441915 443923 445929 446937 445942 443948 442955 442962
      445965 448966 454964 459961 463955 466950 468943 470928
      475914 479887 483872 487859 492844 495830 502801 504789
      507776 510759 512743 512724 512707
 0.25 435649 435643 432642 426647 421654 418659 415666 412673
      412679 416677 419680 422681 427676 431668 433660 434652
      435649
 0.25 428786 427782 424783 422785 419787 418790 416793 415795
      416798 420797 421796 423794 425791 427788 428786
 0.25 367730 366727 364727 360729 356732 354735 351739 348742
      345745 350745 353742 357740 360738 363735 366732 367730
 0.25 367853 366850 363848 359849 356852 352857 348863 344869
      340875 341880 343879 348873 352868 357863 364859 367853
 0.25 318873 318868 317866 312864 307867 305872 298882 292891
      286902 285908 287914 292916 296914 305907 311896 313892
      315886 318873
 0.25 301070 301067 300066 299066 297066 295066 294067 293067
      292069 291070 290071 289072 288075 289075 291075 292075
      294074 296073 298072 300071 301070
 0.25 287079 287078 285076 283077 282078 281080 283081 285081
      285080 287079 287079
 0.25 284008 284005 285003 285001 284001 282001 281001 280003
      279005 279007 280009 280010 282010 284008 284008
 0.25 277935 272936 265939 261944 257949 253956 252961 254964
      256966 261967 265966 267964 270957 272949 276941 277935
 0.25 267823 266820 266817 264813 263811 262809 259807 256807
      254808 252810 253812 255814 257817 258819 260821 262823
      264825 266825 267823
 0.25 244811 244809 244807 243805 241807 241809 240811 240813
      240815 240817 242816 243815 243813 244811 244811
 0.50 505707 505698 504689 502682 499677 495669 490667 486667
      478668 475672 473678 465695 460718 457728 453738 449744
      445753 442766 440777 438789 435801 430821 428831 424839
      414858 405877 402886 395892 382902 371918 350950 339965
      335972 337977 341980 343980 344982 348982 350985 351988
      354987 366976 379962 391950 401933 410916 415907 420899
      427893 429890 431892 433898 439897 442894 444893 446895
      447909 452918 454927 455936 457940 462935 467925 470913
      471906 472899 475875 482855 486843 489833 492821 494808
      500788 502778 504766 506751 506738 504729 503721 504712
      505707
 0.50 429656 429654 428653 427653 425655 424657 425660 426661
      428660 429659 429657 429656
 0.50 324012 325010 324007 322007 320009 320011 320012 319014
      319016 319018 320020 321019 322018 323016 323014 324012
 0.50 312877 313871 310869 306876 302883 299887 297891 293898
      290902 288906 290910 293911 295910 302905 307899 311892
      312879 312877
 0.50 267956 267954 267952 267949 267947 267945 266945 265947
      264947 263948 262949 261951 260952 259954 258956 258958
      259960 261961 263961 265960 266958 266957 267956
 1.00 495704 494694 492686 490680 488679 485681 481685 479690
      476696 472700 469704 467711 463723 457748 454761 449773
      447778 446784 445791 447797 456802 460798 463793 470768
      474756 476750 479745 483733 488723 493713 495704
 1.00 478842 478836 477831 474827 469831 466838 460851 455864
      454869 454873 455881 456892 459898 460904 461908 463909
      465906 466901 467893 469873 472858 478843 478842
 1.00 436840 436834 433831 430837 423848 416861 411873 408881
      407889 406898 406903 407905 412903 416898 423888 427881
      428874 432857 435842 436840
 1.00 395929 391926 385927 382931 379936 375941 372946 370950
      373951 375952 378952 382947 386943 389938 392933 395929
 1.00 388911 387909 385909 384910 383911 382912 381913 380914
      379916 378917 378918 377920 376922 377923 377922 378920
      379920 380918 381918 382917 384916 384915 385914 386913
      387912 388911
 1.00 363943 363942 361941 360943 359944 358945 357946 357947
      355949 355952 356952 357951 358949 359948 360947 361946
      361945 363943 363943
 1.00 297903 295903 294903 295904 297903 297903
 1.50 488701 487696 485695 480698 472708 469714 467720 464735
      461748 461756 461765 464762 466757 469750 472743 472735
      474730 481720 486708 488701
 1.50 467853 467851 466850 466851 465854 467855 467853
 1.50 466861 466858 466856 465854 464856 463858 463859 463861
      463864 464865 465863 466861
 1.50 429852 428847 425850 424854 420857 416865 413875 411887
      410897 412899 415897 420891 423886 424881 426871 428859
      429852
 2.00 473720 471718 471721 471722 473720 473720
 2.00 426860 424859 421864 418870 416876 414882 415889 417892
      418891 421884 421880 424874 425867 426860

24HR QP VT 17/00Z
 0.01 545187 535185 528179 520172 515174 513176 512186 513192
      506198 504202 507206 513205 520215 523216 525220 529232
      531235 530244 522241 518237 511224 508221 505219 501214
      496213 491217 490223 488226 487236 482239 479246 478261
      477271 475278 470297 466305 464312 465320 467327 469332
 0.01 538724 495757 493765 490771 485781 479792 475795 471794
      468793 463792 461790 459787 458777 457766 458762 456759
      451755 448754 445755 440759 434769 430771 428769 424768
      415773 406780 405787 408787 412788 412791 408794 413798
      415798 416793 418787 420785 423784 426787 427791 426794
      424801 424806 427808 429811 433811 438811 442813 447816
      449819 452823 453829 455825 456826 463840 464844 466844
      468848 470845 475847 478854 475855 472856 470860 472867
      473872 471875 464871 462866 462861 463859 461856 458857
      454859 452862 449862 436868 424865 416858 416856 420853
      424857 429857 434861 442860 446858 449850 453853 456845
      452838 448834 445828 440826 434823 430819 423812 415807
      405801 402800 399801 396806 387819 378830 363848 340889
      341890 339894 335900 327912 324913 321914 320911 321904
      318903 315905 312909 307913 303916 301918 299922 297925
      294931 290941 289945 289948 291948 295942 299937 305933
      312923 314921 316922 315929 312933 310937 307938 303941
      299945 293954 288962 280966 275964 271965 271970 272975
      273979 272988 272992 274995 272002 272009 268014 264017
      257017 252015 250011 249003 245001 238000 235997 234993
      234988 233986 231986 231950 234946 237941 242935 248930
      251923 253918 253911 253905 254901 254889 256883 257875
      256868 253865 255864 257860 258856 260853 260848 256838
      254828 254824 257821 260819 263819 263823 261825 267830
      271832 275832 284833 288833 288830 283828 276824 271818
      266814 254813 250811 251807 259797 258789 262788 264790
      264796 266799 268799 274799 276796 276791 274785 270782
      264782 260781 254777 252773 253771 257767 261765 264763
      268764 282770 289769 292767 296763 297764
 0.01 297764 308756 316748 322743 328740 332737 335732 338726
      343721 346716 347712 351697 353690 356685 364675 369671
      370669 373669 377666 380665 387662 394654 406645 419640
      435635 448632 450632 450636 455632 460629 462633 467640
      471635 472632 471627 473624 477624 481623 487620 497614
 0.01 494904 494901 493901 492901 492904 493904 494904
 0.01 468651 467650 465650 463650 461651 461654 462655 463656
      464657 466656 466654 467653 468651
 0.01 461668 457665 455657 451659 448660 446663 433680 429686
      426691 421699 408717 401728 396737 396741 398740 401736
      407728 413717 421711 427707 431709 432714 429719 427720
      429722 432722 434720 438717 440711 446700 452691 455686
      457681 461670 461668
 0.01 417657 416654 415656 413658 411663 409665 401681 398688
      394696 385709 381716 378720 378723 380734 381739 383737
      392724 403711 406703 410695 411693 409690 407688 409681
      414665 417657
 0.01 383793 383791 383788 383786 383784 381783 380784 380785
      379787 378788 377789 377791 376792 375794 374796 376799
      377798 379797 381796 381795 382794 383793
 0.01 325868 326862 323862 323867 321870 316875 312879 307884
      304890 302896 304898 306897 313894 316890 320883 324876
      324871 325868
 0.01 324844 323837 320832 315836 314840 308848 304852 300855
      294862 292866 291869 294870 294876 297878 301867 301863
      302863 308862 315854 320847 324844
 0.01 322915 321913 319913 319915 321917 322915
 0.01 298756 296756 295756 293756 291757 291759 293759 295758
      297760 298758 298756
 0.01 300838 295834 290834 289837 285842 280848 278855 278865
      279870 281868 286862 288856 291849 296844 300838
 0.01 247792 246790 245790 244789 243788 241788 241789 241791
      242791 243791 245793 247792 247792
 0.25 502317 497323 494325 489325 486323 483317 482310 482301
      485291 485284 485266 484250 486245 488243 492241 492234
      494225 498223 503225 508230 511234 518245 523250 527253
 0.25 542195 537193 533190 530188 525187 522188 520192 519196
      520203 522208 524211 528215 530220 532224 534228
 0.25 502624 496624 490628 484639 475652 472660 469666 468686
      467694 464700 460702 457705 454711 451719 447724 446733
      445738 441739 436744 433749 436752 440750 445745 452734
      455730 458728 460726 462727 469721 474719 477721 478733
      480741 484747 491732 496719 500710 505705 510703 513710
      515712 519712 523708 529697
 0.25 393741 393738 393736 392735 391736 391737 389739 389740
      388742 388743 387744 386747 386748 386749 386751 387752
      388751 388750 390748 390747 391746 391745 392743 393741
      393741
 0.25 382809 380808 377810 373813 368818 365822 362827 360832
      359837 361839 364834 367829 370824 373819 377814 380811
      382809
 0.25 371722 370720 367720 364724 360722 355724 351727 344734
      339743 336749 335754 335759 338759 340757 346750 353743
      360736 365732 368728 371722
 0.25 374781 375777 373776 370779 367779 364776 358782 353790
      349798 344805 345809 347809 350809 353805 355801 353797
      355794 361787 365787 367789 371786 373783 374781
 0.25 336797 335793 333793 329796 325799 322804 317808 314813
      317818 321823 325822 329818 332813 334806 336800 336797
 0.25 307844 307842 305843 304844 303845 302846 302848 303849
      304848 305847 306846 307845 307844
 0.25 294826 292824 291824 290824 290826 291827 292828 293829
      294828 294826 294826
 0.25 282894 280887 276884 272884 268888 267895 266903 265909
      264915 266916 267913 269906 272906 275902 280898 282894
 0.25 272869 272868 271867 270865 270864 268866 266867 266868
      265870 265872 265874 265876 266878 267880 268880 269880
      270878 271876 272874 272871 272869
 0.25 232975 239979 248980 252978 255975 262968 267960 269956
      268952 265946 265941 263935 257934 254935 252936 250940
      242946 238949 235951 231959
 0.25 266001 265998 263996 261994 259993 257992 253991 250992
      249994 249996 253998 255998 258000 262000 264001 266001
 0.25 257807 256806 254807 254808 256808 257807
 0.50 525255 520251 517246 509237 505231 500228 498229 496232
      495236 495240 495244 492245 488246 487250 487253 487262
      489275 491292 490300 492307 495307 499304 503300 508299
      510299
 0.50 542199 539197 535197 532196 529194 526196 525198 524203
      525206 528209 529211 530213 531217 533220 534222 535224
 0.50 517660 517663 516666 515670 514673 512675 510679 510682
      510684 512688 515688 517687 519686 521683 523680
 0.50 502634 501631 497631 493635 491641 490646 488652 485657
      483661 480665 476670 475676 472687 471694 469700 466704
      463708 457717 451725 450729 453729 457725 464719 473712
      478711 481713 483716 486715 489711 493702 498691 501679
      502671 501664 498651 502634
 0.50 352735 350734 349735 348736 349737 351737 352735
 0.50 261962 261956 260954 255948 250948 243950 237954 235957
      234961 232965 232969 237974 240976 244976 252974 256970
      260964 261962
 1.00 525258 519253 514247 509241 503236 500239 500244 499250
      497251 490252 489260 491270 493278 496286 499289 503290
      508288 513288
 1.00 252968 252964 253960 251958 248956 246956 244956 241957
      239958 238961 237963 236967 239969 241970 244971 248970
      250970 252968
 1.50 524261 518256 514250 508244 504244 503249 500256 495255
      491255 491260 491263 493272 496279 502284 509284 516285
 2.00 522262 518259 514253 509249 506250 505252 503260 496257
      493258 492261 493267 495274 499279 503281 509281 515283
      516283
 3.00 521269 520267 518267 517265 515264 514262 514261 513260
      511259 510260 509262 509264 509267 509270 509272 509273
      510275 510276 512277 513278 515278 517278 518278
 3.00 504276 504273 503271 502270 502267 501267 500265 499263
      497262 496261 495262 494264 495266 495267 496270 497272
      499274 500275 502276 504276
 4.00 498268 497265 498268 498268

24HR QP VT 18/00Z
 0.01 510297 509291 506287 504286 503289 499293 492301 492310
      489317 486323 483326 478327 472324 465322 460324 457323
      455320 449318 443314 441310 440304 441300 444289 446287
      445283 443277 442271 440264 441258 443254 444251 443249
      440244 442240 447236 447231 445229 445226 447224 450219
      457212 476202 493194 495190 494187 492187 488186 486187
      480186 474186 467192 463189 463182 465181 467178 467173
      467170 467159 470153 477146 475139 476135 480131 483129
      485130 496136 503144 505146 508147 512146 516139 517137
      521138 525142 526144 529143 535133 537126 540122 545108
      550096 556088 559084 562081
 0.01 563864 560874 557882 551887 550896 550906 550936 549944
      547941 544930 540923 532922 529920 526915 521905 513892
      509887 506885 503875 501870 497868 494866 489866 487861
      488856 489850 490845 491838 489834 485824 484818 483812
      482805 483799 486789 480782 473779 471778 470775 468769
      466758 465751 465746 467733 466725 467719 471712 475704
      480697 484693 488690 491687 495686 504682 509681 513682
      517682 520685 526692 531702
 0.01 452718 450716 448714 446714 444713 442713 444713 446715
      448717 450719 452718 452718
 0.01 452806 452804 451801 452804 452806 452806
 0.01 377694 376685 373682 373676 371677 362686 356692 339711
      335714 332720 325727 319737 315739 314735 319725 324717
      336697 344688 348683 351678 352673 349673 340680 333686
      329691 326694 311713 297731 291739 287748 285757 284764
      281769 276778 272782 267786 262790 257791 253777 249775
      247778 245778 245780 248784 249790 249795 245805 242811
      240813 237815 233812 230807 229804 225804 222808 219820
      219833 223841 226851 230855 235853 235856 233859 230862
      227868 228875 228891 229899 230906 231914 232919 233932
      232946 230952 230958 231966 236969 245969 251967 254966
      256964 258960 261946 269927 272915 274903 277890 278883
      281879 284874 287868 291858 295845 296841 299836 299829
      303826 306829 310828 318819 320812 324808 329798 333787
      336780 338776 344769 350760 351748 363728 373704 374697
      377694
 0.01 299080 298078 296077 294079 294081 294082 296082 297082
      299080 299080
 0.25 547779 547774 547771 545767 542762 539759 535760 533763
      530761 527756 527750 530745 530739 528732 523724 520719
      519717 516717 508723 501731 499735 499742 499749 498756
      497763 497768 499773 500778 501783 503788 510796 515803
      525799 528795 532795 540796 547779
 0.25 539202 540197 540191 538183 534167 531161 527160 524160
      518159 512160 500163 497170 498174 500176 507189 512193
      516199 522213 525218 528218 531216 538203 539202
 0.25 524249 525242 524235 516225 501208 497205 492204 487203
      482204 477205 473208 464214 457221 457234 454239 454243
      455250 458257 460262 460270 460276 462278 463282 483287
      490281 499275 506271 513271 517267 524249
 0.25 491170 492168 492165 491165 490164 488164 486167 486168
      486169 487171 488172 489172 490172 491170
 0.25 322767 322761 321757 315754 311753 308755 303761 283783
      273792 268798 259801 254800 252802 250805 250810 261819
      258820 255818 254821 253826 255830 258833 261840 265847
      267854 271859 277866 281865 283863 287856 288852 288847
      287841 286837 284833 282831 280828 279824 281820 282815
      280812 282810 287814 290816 293817 302818 308812 314800
      317791 319782 322767
 0.25 294822 292820 290821 289822 289824 290826 291827 291826
      292825 294824 294822 294822
 0.25 269888 268878 265873 259872 253868 246867 242866 240870
      240876 239888 242909 244920 245927 244933 243938 241942
      237950 235954 235960 237963 243964 248958 250954 252947
      258929 264909 267900 269890 269888
 0.50 534203 535196 534190 532178 530173 527169 521165 517163
      514166 508172 510183 515190 521198 526206 529209 532206
      534203
 0.50 521248 520242 518239 515236 513231 508224 502215 497209
      493207 490206 482207 478208 474211 468214 462221 463230
      459240 459245 463248 467250 471254 475260 480262 484263
      489269 494271 498270 504267 512264 517258 520252 521248
 0.50 485230 484227 482226 480226 479226 477224 476223 474223
      472223 470225 470226 471228 471229 473230 475230 476230
      476229 478229 480229 481231 483231 485230
 0.50 317776 317768 315766 312764 307767 302771 297774 294779
      288789 279794 276797 277800 281803 286806 289810 293814
      299815 304813 307808 312798 314792 316785 317776
 0.50 284854 282852 280851 278851 276851 274853 274854 275855
      276857 277857 278858 280858 282857 283856 284855 284854
 0.50 263888 264884 261883 259889 258895 255900 253905 252913
      254917 257911 257905 258899 260893 263888
 0.50 245956 245954 245952 245950 245948 244947 243947 243948
      241950 239952 238954 237955 238957 239959 239960 241960
      243959 244958 245956 245956
 1.00 530191 529188 527185 526182 524180 523178 520178 519180
      521183 522186 523188 525190 527193 529194 530191
 1.00 511257 513250 511245 511238 509233 504226 497217 494213
      491211 486210 481210 475214 475218 477220 481221 484221
      488224 490228 493233 498242 501247 501251 485239 478233
      474234 472236 472240 477248 482251 485254 491262 495265
      499265 501261 504260 509259 511257
 1.00 312781 313776 310773 304775 299781 297788 293793 288797
      288801 291804 295810 297811 302810 305804 309799 312792
      312782 312781
 1.50 497263 497258 495253 493248 491245 487243 482240 479238
      477243 479247 484250 487252 490256 492260 495263 497263
 1.50 501235 502233 502231 501230 500228 500227 499225 498224
      498223 496222 495221 493221 492222 492225 493227 493230
      495233 496235 498235 499236 501235 501235
 1.50 490219 490218 490216 489215 488216 488218 490219 490219
 1.50 310790 307786 305784 304788 300791 297792 294796 293801
      295805 300805 302802 305799 307795 310791 310790
 1.50 309780 308778 307780 305782 307784 308782 308781 309780
 2.00 497260 496257 494254 492251 491247 489246 486244 483245
      485248 487250 489252 490255 492258 494260 497260
 2.00 497231 497229 497228 495227 495228 495230 496231 497231
      497231
 2.00 302798 301796 299797 297797 296798 295798 296801 298802
      299801 301800 301799 302798

$$




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