Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 040657
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
256 AM EDT SAT JUL 04 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 04/1200 UTC THRU JUL 07/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...MID/LOWER MS VALLEY..TN VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...

H5 S/WV ENERGY WILL CONTINUE TO DROP INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S. H5 TROF..MAINTAINING TROFINESS THRU THE
MID/LOWER MS VALLEY..TN VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THIS
PERIOD..WHILE INITIAL S/WV ENERGY IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
H5 TROF LIFTS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THRU PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
AND NEW ENGLAND STATES ON SATURDAY.  THE S/WV NOW VICINITY OF KS
IS FORECAST SIMILARLY BY THE MODELS TO DROP SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
TN VALLEY AND GULF COAST STATES BY SUNDAY MORNING.  LARGE SCALE
LIFT WITH THIS SYSTEM..ALONG WITH A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AND MOIST
AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY..WILL
SUPPORT MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION FROM PORTIONS OF THE ARKLATEX
EASTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.  FOR
THE MOST PART..THE LATEST MODEL QPFS ARE IN REASONABLY DECENT
AGREEMENT ON THIS IDEA..SO WPC QPF GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF
THEM..BUT WITH A BIT MORE WEIGHT TO SOME OF THE HIGHER RES
GUIDANCE..AS PER THE ARW..NMMB AND NSSL WRF.  MOSTLY EXPECT
0.50-1.00+ INCH AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS..BUT WITH SOME
ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.  FARTHER NORTH AND
EAST..DECENT LOW LEVEL WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTION UP THRU
PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND STATES AHEAD OF
THE LIFTING OUT H5 S/WV SHOULD PRODUCE SOME LIGHT TO LOCALLY
MODERATE RAINS THRU THESE AREAS ON SATURDAY..WITH SOME OF THESE
RAINS CONTINUING ON SATURDAY NIGHT OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN
MD..SOUTHEASTERN VA AND NORTHEASTERN NC AHEAD OF THE WEAK COLD
FRONT MOVING THRU.


...CENTRAL PLAINS...

A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET UP THRU ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON SATURDAY NIGHT..ACCOMPANIED BY A DECENT INCREASE IN
MOISTURE/PWS..ALONG WITH WEAK H5 S/WV ENERGY DROPPING DOWN THE
EAST SIDE OF THE H5 RIDGE THRU THE REGION..SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
TRIGGER SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTION MOSTLY THRU PARTS OF NE AND
KS.  STUCK REAL CLOSE TO THE HIGHER RES QPFS HERE..IN PARTICULAR
THE ARW..NMMB AND NSSL WRF.  CONVECTION SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE..AND
THUS KEPT AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 0.50-1.00 INCH
RANGE..BUT AGAIN WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION.


...WESTERN STATES...

H5 S/WV ENERGY RIDING UP THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES RIDGE THRU PARTS OF CA AND NV.. AND ALSO
TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE THRU THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
AND ROCKIES..WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HEATING AND
SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE WHICH HAS WORKED ITS WAY INTO THE PARTS OF
THE REGION TO SUPPORT INCREASED CONVECTION THRU MUCH OF THE
WESTERN STATES.  WPC QPF GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF REASONABLY
AGREEABLE MODEL QPFS AND CONTINUITY..WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
AMOUNTS EXPECTED.

DAYS 2/3...

INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD...PARTICULARLY FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST SOUTHWARD...WITH PERTURBATIONS CONTINUING TO ROTATE ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER HIGH...ALONG WITH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM
UPSLOPE DUE TO DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
ACROSS THE PLAINS...SUPPORTING SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY LIKELY
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION.  RELIED UPON A 3-WAY BLEND OF THE 00Z
NAM/GFS AND 12Z ECMWF TO DERIVE THE AMOUNTS WITH SOME ADDITIONAL
ADJUSTMENTS ACCOUNTED FOR DUE TO THE TERRAIN.  THE HIGHEST BASIN
AVERAGE TOTALS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES DUE TO STRONGER AND DEEPER UPSLOPE FLOW DUE TO
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE PLAINS.

NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER GREAT LAKES...

THE SOLUTION SPREAD CONTINUES TO NARROW BUT REMAINS SUFFICIENTLY
LARGE TO RELY UPON AN
INTERMEDIATE TIMING INVOLVING THE 18Z GEFS MEAN AND 12Z ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN FOR THE COLD FRONTAL TIMING AND THUS THE ONSET OF
RAINFALL AND TOTAL AMOUNTS.  THE 00Z GFS MAY BE TOO FAST WITH THE
SURFACE LOW AND FRONT...WHILE THE 12Z ECMWF MAY BE TOO TOO
SLOW...AND NAM TOO SLOW ALOFT BY DAY 3.  AREAS FROM EASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA INTO SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
RECEIVING AMOUNTS THAT COULD EXCEED FFG GUIDANCE...GENERALLY ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW.  OVERALL...FORECAST CONTINUITY IS
REASONABLY GOOD...WITH BASIN AVERAGE TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES
NEAR THE PATH OF THE LOW STILL EXPECTED...WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ALSO CONTINUED NEAR THE PATH OF THE LOW.
CONSIDERED EXTENDING THE RISK AREA NORTHWARD TO THE CANADIAN
BORDER.  HOWEVER...WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW...CELL MOTIONS
SHOULD BE FASTER...THUS MINIMIZING THE RISK.

SOUTHERN PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

THE COLD FRONT THAT SLOWS DOWN AND SETTLES INTO AN INCREASINGLY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH PW VALUES NEAR OR IN EXCESS OF
2 INCHES ALONG WITH DECREASING FLOW ALOFT PRESENT FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...PERHAPS INTO THE MIDDLE
MS VALLEY AS WELL.  DESPITE GOOD SYNOPTIC-SCALE AGREEMENT...MODEL
QPF FIELDS DISPLAY HIGH SPREAD..LIKELY DUE TO LIMITATIONS IN
SPATIAL RESOLUTION OF CONVECTION...AS WELL AS DIFFERING MODEL
PHYSICS.  THUS...MODEL QPFS WERE USED SPARINGLY TO
MODERATELY...BUT NOT WHOLEHEARTEDLY.  INSTEAD...RELIED UPON THE
TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND
MOISTURE PLUME...AS WELL AS FRONTAL LOCATION THAT IS ABOUT MIDWAY
BETWEEN THE 00Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF...AND FASTER THAN THE 00Z NAM.
AMOUNTS COULD BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST IF SOME OF THE GUIDANCE IS
CORRECT...PARTICULARLY THE 12Z ECMWF...AS IT ALLOWS PERTURBATIONS
ROTATING AROUND AND FORMING WITHING THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE
ROCKIES...TO EVENTUALLY EJECT OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND OVER THE
FRONTAL ZONE.  DUE TO THE LOW PREDICTABILITY OF SUCH AN EVENT AT
THIS TIME SCALE...WILL ALLOW 1 OR MORE ADDITIONAL MODEL RUNS TO
CONFIRM BEFORE INCREASING ANY TOTALS.  FOR NOW...A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXTENDING FROM EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHWEST
OKLAHOMA SEEMS PRUDENT...ALIGNING BEST WITH THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE...LEADING EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...AND WEAKER FLOW
ALOFT.

LOWER MS VALLEY/SOUTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC...

THE SLIGHTLY FASTER AND EASTERN TRAJECTORY OF THE MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE SOUTHEAST ACCORDING TO THE 00Z GFS
AND 12Z ECMWF...WHICH IN TURN INFLUENCES ANY LINGERING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXES...IS PREFERRED OVER THE
SLOWER AND MORE WESTERN 00Z NAM...WITH THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS
LIKELY DEVELOPING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROUGH CROSSING
THE APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC.  WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE
ABUNDANT AND THEREFORE INSTABILITY HIGH AT LEAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON OF BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3 BEFORE DECREASING AT
NIGHT...FORCING FOR INITIATION WILL BE QUITE WEAK GIVEN THE WEAK
MID LEVEL FLOW.  THUS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...BUT TOO UNCERTAIN TO DEPICT
WITH AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA AT THIS TIME.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

TERRY/JAMES

24HR QP VT 05/12Z
 0.01 567933 566918 562906 559900 557897 553894 548893 545893
      540895 537899 536901 535906 534911 533918 532924 532928
      530930 525930 522932 518934 515930 512925 509923 505924
      502925 498926 496928 489931 477943 471949 464955 448966
      437971 433971 430973 427973 406972 388963 373956 364945
      362944 361941 359936 356927 356913 359904 364893 367887
      367883 369876 370872 372857 377837 384822 389813 395806
      424788 431781 435773 439768 442764 449756 464716 460707
      456705 454707 445719 444724 440725 430727 420725 414726
      411723 411718 411710 412700 412696 413692 416688 419683
      420678 419666 412661 394661 353717 348725 344734 336754
      330763 327766 324771 320774 317778 314779 310781 249808
      247811 249815 255820 259823 263826 272830 284831 295832
      299834 302838 306845 305849 302853 297860 294863 293868
      290877 290888 293895 296904 296911 295916 294922 293927
      293934 295938 295968 301975 305973 308969 311965 315963
      319961 323963 348987 360998 364001 364998 366992 365989
      367990 370992 373996 375000 380009 384022 387025 391027
      396028 400026 408023 419021 437017 445013 449010 452007
      457003 463999 466997 470996 472995 474998 475002 477015
      477023 475028 474036 472041 470048 469055 467062 469067
      468082 467091 468097 468103 470110 473120 474126 471127
      469131 471134 476136 480140 482151 486160 488164 491165
      494164 498167 501168 505166 509159
 0.01 509159 512159 513162 518166 525175 526178 528177 531169
      533161 531156 528150 523146 520141 519135 516129 510130
      506130 505124 503116 506110 507101 507096 509092 510083
      513077 516071 519067 527057 530053 534049 541038 546026
      548019 550010 552003 555998 560984 562977 564969 566960
      567951 567933
 0.01 526708 526702 525699 524693 522689 519681 515677 511673
      508671 504672 500677 498683 495691 493698 489713 485730
      482743 480747 476749 474751 473754 471771 470774 470781
      470786 472789 480799 482807 486813 491815 495815 496813
      501809 505802 511789 513782 517775 519769 522760 523752
      522740 525725 526708
 0.01 417232 417227 418220 419211 420207 419195 413187 415183
      418179 417173 415170 414167 415165 416158 417153 414148
      416144 419137 419130 420123 417120 413116 410111 412101
      411097 411089 413078 417069 418064 417059 415052 411050
      407048 401047 396048 391049 381046 373042 366040 362041
      358042 349046 339048 330051 324052 319050 315049 310051
      305051 302052 291062 287065 284063 275058 266054 261051
      257050 251050 248052 246055 244059 243063 245067 247070
      250073 258078 266084 275090 279092 280096 287112 303121
      311124 319130 322130 324129 324126 321125 319123 320119
      326111 327108 331111 338126 342134 346137 351135 365124
      373129 383131 390135 393138 394141 391141 382158 381162
      378167 379173 378179 368178 363179 361181 361186 363189
      368195 375201 383207 390213 388210 390210 394213 397215
      398221 394230 395234 396237 398235 407236 417232
 0.01 335811 335808 334806 334804 334802 334800 332798 331800
      331802 331803 330805 330807 330809 330811 330813 330814
      329816 329818 330819 332818 334817 333815 333813 335811
 0.25 558963 559950 558944 556941 553939 553935 552927 545941
      542946 538952 536955 533955 531954 530949 525946 518946
      514950 511952 509952 505950 502950 497953 488963 484967
      481974 480977 480984 484989 490000 495006 499006 501005
      511000 518001 519012 520022 521031 524033 527031 531025
      538016 546002 551990 556974 558963
 0.25 516722 515716 513710 511707 506707 503711 502715 500726
      499739 498752 498758 499765 502767 506766 510758 512748
      515738 516724 516722
 0.25 497143 499137 498131 495123 493114 490106 486100 483098
      481102 480109 481114 482124 483133 487139 491145 495145
      497143
 0.25 433749 433745 432742 430739 426738 421738 417741 415745
      411753 408762 404771 403776 404782 407785 412785 418780
      424772 428764 431754 433749
 0.25 433004 434002 432999 430998 424998 412999 406997 403992
      392987 387985 382986 381990 382993 387997 391000 394002
      395004 396012 400014 413013 423010 429007 433004
 0.25 400197 396189 396179 398175 400169 395167 393170 391174
      391179 389184 386187 378188 373187 373191 379197 387202
      390204 394202 400197
 0.25 401748 399744 395743 392741 387740 382743 380746 378750
      374753 370750 370745 371736 371724 370719 366718 363721
      361725 358733 361756 359766 358777 358781 359787 362789
      365786 369782 373781 377779 381776 385774 387769 389767
      394764 397761 399757 400753 401748
 0.25 387093 387092 385091 384090 382091 380092 382093 383094
      385095 387094 387093
 0.25 381083 382076 380072 378068 375064 371062 366063 365068
      369070 371073 370077 368081 372082 374082 377085 381085
      381083
 0.25 370840 370828 367819 365817 361818 356823 352829 347835
      342839 336842 326842 318846 309855 307857 305861 303870
      301877 302884 303907 305914 304922 304927 305933 309939
      315942 319942 323943 327949 330956 334960 339961 341958
      342949 342937 344929 346923 355890 357880 359872 362865
      365858 368848 370840
 0.25 360089 355081 350075 345073 341074 334077 324080 316081
      310080 305078 298075 292074 286073 282074 278076 279081
      282085 288090 296094 300096 305096 314093 317092 320094
      328094 334099 341106 345105 347101 355096 360089
 0.25 349064 350062 348059 346060 344061 343061 341062 340063
      341063 342064 344065 346066 348065 349064
 0.25 302821 299817 296815 288812 280810 273805 268804 263805
      259807 258810 268812 272818 276820 281821 290822 300822
      302821
 0.50 555966 555960 553955 551953 548954 545957 541965 537973
      533981 529992 529000 530005 532010 535008 541000 545992
      550983 553974 555966
 0.50 519965 519958 517957 512960 507965 504968 501968 495972
      491980 492985 495987 500992 504991 507988 510983 515975
      518968 519965
 0.50 493137 494130 493125 490119 489115 487111 485106 482110
      483115 484121 486126 488130 489135 492138 493137
 0.50 418771 419769 418766 417764 416764 415764 414765 413765
      412767 411768 410769 410770 409772 409773 408775 408777
      409779 410779 411780 413779 415778 416776 417773 418773
      418771
 0.50 417006 416003 413002 410003 407003 404003 401005 400007
      401009 404010 408010 409010 413009 415008 417006
 0.50 393752 393750 392748 390747 388747 386748 385749 384749
      383751 382752 382754 382755 381757 382759 382760 384761
      386760 388760 389758 389757 391756 392755 392754 393752
 0.50 384198 386196 384195 383193 381193 379193 378194 379195
      381196 382197 384198 384198
 0.50 366840 367835 366831 363828 359829 352839 345851 339861
      336863 333863 327860 322860 318864 317872 314879 312885
      309892 308900 308906 308922 310930 312932 315933 321931
      325934 328943 330950 332956 336958 338956 339946 339935
      339919 342902 344896 348890 357863 364851 366845 366840
 0.50 343087 343085 341085 339086 338087 338089 339089 340090
      342089 343087
 1.00 338893 339891 340889 338887 336888 336889 335891 335892
      334893 335895 335896 336895 338893 338893
 1.00 327917 327913 327909 327904 326900 322901 320903 319905
      316907 315909 314913 315918 316918 319917 321918 324919
      327917

24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 535883 522873 519871 518869 518864 515851 514848 512848
      510846 507838 504839 502843 498850 476882 464900 461903
      453906 450907 443907 432908 427914 419933 415941 410947
      401959 393954 387949 386936 387929 391925 393922 389919
      381915 364905 359897 359892 360887 362882 365878 368876
      371871 375866 378857 380848 381845 381839 380826 382821
      384818 393812 396809 398805 403796 402788 401783 399781
      395778 390774 383766 380762 379760 380757 380745 378740
      374739 364738 355741 350742 348745 343750 337755 331760
      322764 306775 294780 283785 272789 264794 256809 256814
      258819 257829 256837 258845 264863 287898 289908 292917
      296927 303935 308939 312938 315941 323947 328953 338963
      346976 350980 354983 361984 361988 362996 364001 371006
      377007 381008 385007 389007 392009 379019 366030 350039
      336042 332044 328044 319040 315036 314031 312028 306027
      298023 294021 291022 287022 285025 284032 286037 289042
      292050 295053 297059 292079 284086 282096 282102 285105
      289110 294115 299122 305128 309131 315131 324130 328132
      332131 337129 343130 351139 359138 363137 366133 366125
      366122 368120 370118 369113 367102 365097 367095 365091
      365085 368083 371085 374091 377100 377107 378115 377119
      376122 376129 378133 379137 379142 387150 374177 370180
      366180 362182 361184 376196 383200 386201 389199 390195
      389190 387183 389178 394176 396175 398171 401165 403161
      405161 406165 405179 409188 407192 405196 403202 402209
      404216 408215 413217 413222 413234
 0.01 413234 422234 427228 429223 431214 432209 430204 428194
      425186 423181 424171 428161 427150 427137 427132 432128
      435125 440125 448131 453137 456142 460146 467152 481160
      487167 490169 492167 496164 502143 501111 500105 500098
      499088 498080 497073 496066 497056 498026 502995 504988
      504982 505975 506970 512959 517949 520940 523931 530904
      535883
 0.01 486691 480670 476664 470658 464655 461656 458659 445668
      441675 439680 439687 440697 441703 443708 442712 441716
      439716 435720 440723 444727 448729 455727 459720 472711
      478705 483698 486691
 0.01 414186 414184 414181 413179 414177 414174 413172 412172
      411170 410171 409173 409176 410178 410180 411182 412183
      412186 412187 414186
 0.25 510898 510890 509882 506873 504870 501868 498869 491877
      468907 462915 457920 452923 446925 440923 435925 429932
      426940 425947 424952 431960 434964 432969 429977 419998
      417003 416009 416021 416028 418033 421038 426041 431042
      432047 435049 440048 447039 452032 462016 468009 475000
      480991 484985 496967 501957 504949 506944 507936 508918
      508908 510898
 0.25 485103 485100 485098 485095 485093 484091 483090 481091
      479092 478094 477097 477099 478102 480104 482104 483105
      485103
 0.25 458103 456098 452094 445092 438091 433088 428086 426086
      426090 429095 434098 439101 444104 451106 457106 458103
 0.25 420057 420053 417051 411047 406049 403051 399051 391051
      383053 377053 375050 370048 366048 363049 361052 363055
      366068 369070 371073 374081 380084 389086 396083 400084
      404081 414073 417071 419068 419061 420057
 0.25 402982 403975 400971 394971 390972 387976 385979 382981
      378985 380992 383994 389994 392993 396990 399986 401983
      402982
 0.25 391789 388783 384780 379778 375775 371768 369758 365753
      360751 344767 334776 329781 326787 320798 317809 313814
      305818 299821 300830 301837 303845 305858 305863 304867
      301873 302878 303884 302891 300896 299900 300904 304908
      305913 308920 313924 326930 334939 341947 352955 356958
      363961 375965 381966 384966 385963 381958 375952 364945
      360942 356937 356930 357923 355917 350909 346905 342899
      339885 339876 339871 343865 347861 354857 360852 366842
      370831 375816 379811 383806 388798 390793 391789
 0.25 377189 376188 376187 375186 373185 371185 370185 369185
      369186 371187 373188 374189 376189 377189
 0.25 351121 350120 350119 349118 347116 346114 345114 345116
      345118 346121 347121 348123 350122 351121
 0.25 342098 342093 341087 342080 343074 340071 336073 333074
      329075 327077 329080 330083 333088 335093 336097 338100
      341099 342098
 0.25 324117 324113 322110 317103 316097 311091 307089 304091
      299097 299101 300105 304112 307117 314121 321119 324117
 0.25 299817 295812 289809 282808 274807 273810 269811 266813
      266816 270822 276825 282829 284830 287829 294824 299819
      299817
 0.50 503898 503893 501888 496886 490889 484894 465918 456928
      448931 438930 435933 433936 431944 430950 432954 435957
      437961 435971 433978 426997 424005 422014 422020 424025
      430030 439031 444029 449023 454016 472990 480978 489962
      493957 497951 500941 501929 503914 503898
 0.50 403069 402067 401066 400065 398067 398069 399071 399072
      400072 401071 403069
 0.50 386793 383786 380784 372783 368778 366770 365764 363760
      360759 356761 354764 350774 348781 346789 341799 338806
      337814 335820 332824 329825 324826 316828 311830 309834
      309839 311843 310850 311854 312856 315860 320864 325861
      332853 338851 347850 352846 355842 362831 374808 386793
 0.50 392986 392984 391982 389982 387983 387984 385985 385986
      385987 386988 387988 389988 391987 392986
 0.50 372958 372955 370953 364949 361947 355944 350941 346938
      343938 342941 345946 349949 354952 359955 364957 370959
      372958
 0.50 342919 335910 333905 333898 333890 329885 323877 318873
      314873 309875 307879 308884 309888 306894 305897 305900
      310903 315905 321909 324912 331913 334917 339920 342919
 0.50 336834 335833 333833 331833 330834 328835 326837 326838
      325840 324840 325842 325843 327844 328843 330843 332841
      333839 334839 335837 335835 336834
 0.50 316114 317112 315110 315109 313108 312109 311110 310111
      311113 313114 314114 316114
 0.50 291820 290819 288819 287820 286821 287821 287822 289823
      289822 290821 291820
 1.00 491937 490922 488917 484914 480915 476918 468925 462931
      457934 452937 448938 443938 440939 438945 440955 440964
      439971 432995 432002 434006 438011 441011 444010 458997
      464990 470981 476972 481962 486952 490939 491937
 1.00 374797 373795 372795 370795 368797 369800 370801 372800
      373799 374797 374797
 1.00 324889 322887 320885 318885 317885 318886 319887 320888
      322888 324889 324889
 1.50 481947 475947 474941 475936 471936 466940 458942 450944
      446944 443945 443951 443958 442970 441988 439991 440993
      443990 446989 452986 458981 467971 476959 481947
 2.00 461957 459951 454949 447947 445949 446957 445964 444973
      445977 448977 453974 456969 459964 461957

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 532816 532807 530798 528791 527783 519782 508783 499797
      495805 491810 488807 474805 459813 455816 450818 442822
      437825 435828 427836 411851 397863 392860 383857 379856
      375854 373850 377846 382839 383833 385827 398816 404811
      412807 423794 431784 436775 442767 445764 445755 444749
      441747 436745 433748 425752 421753 417752 405740 399735
      397733 392732 387731 384730 381729 376732 372731 368732
      362735 356737 352739 344741 335747 321758 315764 309769
      295779 292782 289786 282791 273795 267796 262798 252800
      247806 244811 246816 244821 243825 249827 253830 258830
      264831 265833 264835 268843 272851 278858 281866 284875
      287883 289887 293889 300893 308896 328902 332908 337915
      341919 346922 351925 353930 352938 350944 348949 338961
      326974 315987 305001 294013 286017 279024 276027 273032
      264037 254038 248038 244040 243044 245048 249054 253061
      260067 271077 277082 281084 287086 289090 288096 293103
      298110 302113 307116 312118 319121 323124 328126 336131
      339134 342135 352136 362138 367138 373140 376142 379143
      380146 382154 381165 379167 380170 381175 378179 373181
      364181 361183 362185 365189 368192 376198 387205 395211
      403216 406217 411214 417209 419204 421197 421192 419190
      412192 406196 404200 402204 399204 399197 400190 399184
      398180 399177 401177 404174 403169 403165 405161 411163
      413165 417163 419161 420157 421147 422139 420135 417135
      414141 407141 403139 400135 398126 406126 410117 414116
      417118 421121 423124 424129 427134 433142 435145 438144
      446143 456140 458140 458138 461133 463128 463124 458122
      455120
 0.01 455120 450117 452111 456104 457098 454093 448087 446086
      444082 450079 451078 450073 448070 447064 449055 450046
      445041 440036 435035 427034 421036 406039 394034 389031
      389026 390024 397009 401001 402992 405986 410983 415980
      419975 428964 435961 438960 442960 448974 453986 457993
      460998 468014 471019 476024 482035 487040 490046 493051
      494055 497062 499065 502067 507069 512055 513053 512047
      510040 508028 507024 506018 507006 507001 508996 509988
      508985 505983 500979 496974 493970 494966 494953 494948
      496944 499937 510909 516893 521879 524873 526864 526854
      528844 532816
 0.01 516156 516149 515145 512143 511139 510134 508131 505129
      501127 495125 490128 488133 489137 493143 499149 504154
      508159 512161 515158 516156
 0.01 378107 377103 375100 375092 374085 370080 360073 356068
      351065 345062 338061 333059 329058 327056 315050 309048
      303047 295044 291043 288048 293052 298056 300062 301069
      301073 303075 307076 310079 313083 317086 320088 324089
      327081 331077 335074 342073 346078 347085 345091 346099
      350104 355108 365113 370113 373111 378107
 0.25 525826 523816 520808 514797 502815 499818 494820 489822
      482824 476823 471821 460825 452827 446829 441832 436837
      430844 424853 413870 406880 399889 389897 383899 377897
      370889 366880 363874 359870 355870 352873 349878 350887
      350890 348893 346894 342893 338895 340901 344904 350906
      357914 361916 364920 366927 363933 357943 345960 337970
      330978 323985 317995 317000 319004 321009 320016 319024
      320030 323033 328036 335040 339043 342049 345053 349056
      354058 364063 372069 377073 384072 387072 390077 394078
      395075 399074 404070 408071 412068 414064 412061 404052
      396048 376037 372033 368031 357029 355025 356023 357018
      359016 367008 370005 377004 381003 385000 393977 398968
      405957 410952 414949 425944 429942 436941 442942 445944
      450954 452957 455957 458952 462942 466939 472937 483931
      491924 497916 503905 508895 513885 517872 520857 525826
 0.25 438103 439098 439093 436091 433091 431090 428087 424089
      423091 424096 424098 424103 426106 428106 432107 435107
      437105 438103
 0.25 413779 398773 391769 385763 382759 379757 370757 356764
      349772 350778 349782 345790 343795 346797 353797 356798
      362803 366813 370815 373812 382808 386806 388803 400790
      413779
 0.25 390201 391199 389198 388196 386194 385193 383192 381191
      380191 378192 379193 380195 381195 382197 382198 384199
      385200 386200 387201 389202 390201
 0.25 376189 375188 373187 371186 370185 369185 369187 370188
      371188 373189 374189 376189
 0.25 355118 354116 353115 351114 349112 348114 349116 350117
      351118 352119 354119 355118
 0.25 332783 331779 326778 321779 318782 313788 308796 305798
      299799 296801 296805 300808 304810 308810 311808 318803
      325797 329790 332783
 0.25 327109 326106 324107 322108 319108 317107 315105 312103
      310102 310104 312106 313108 315110 317112 320114 323113
      325111 327109
 0.25 332889 331887 331886 329886 327885 325885 323885 322887
      324889 325890 327891 329891 330891 331891 332889
 0.25 304827 304819 299815 295813 289811 284809 280809 277811
      275814 276817 281821 285823 292824 298826 303827 304827
 0.25 288066 289062 288060 285055 280051 274048 269048 264050
      262052 262055 264060 268064 273068 278071 283072 287068
      288066
 0.25 267808 267807 266806 265806 263807 262808 260808 259809
      258811 258812 260813 262812 264812 266811 267810 267809
      267808
 0.50 521823 520816 517811 513809 509812 498825 486838 479841
      473848 459880 457876 457871 450865 448863 447857 452850
      459841 461837 460832 456832 452833 445837 438841 433847
      423865 425867 424869 422875 417883 420891 419897 416900
      413898 411894 406894 402895 396900 390906 377921 367934
      358948 353955 347963 334977 324989 322992 321997 325006
      324019 328022 334021 344019 349017 352015 359010 365005
      371999 377995 382987 386979 394958 398950 403942 408935
      412931 415933 420935 431935 438935 442935 446938 449942
      453950 455950 456948 458944 459938 462935 469931 477928
      484923 491915 497908 505892 509882 512874 518853 520837
      521823
 0.50 468838 467837 466837 464839 464841 466841 468839 468838
 0.50 404063 403057 399055 388051 378046 369042 363041 356042
      353044 350048 352053 356056 368057 379062 383063 389066
      400065 404063
 0.50 397782 396780 395779 394780 394781 393782 394783 396783
      397782 397782
 0.50 387783 388780 387777 384775 378771 374767 371764 368763
      366765 367771 368774 372777 375777 377780 373786 370789
      372792 375795 377793 384789 387783
 0.50 363887 362885 361885 361887 361889 363887
 0.50 292816 292815 290814 290813 288813 286813 284813 282815
      283817 285818 286818 288818 290818 291818 292817 292816
 0.50 281063 282061 282059 281057 279056 278055 278054 276053
      274053 272053 271054 270056 270058 271060 272061 273063
      275064 277065 279065 280064 281063
 1.00 515848 514840 513836 511833 507831 501837 496843 490850
      485855 482864 479872 470888 468890 470893 475897 478902
      477909 478915 482916 492904 497896 501888 508872 512862
      514853 515848
 1.00 452935 452929 450925 445918 443913 443906 444901 446899
      446893 443892 441894 440899 438903 433910 431914 431921
      433924 436927 445930 450935 452935
 1.00 444884 444881 442880 439878 437877 436880 435884 435887
      433890 436890 437893 439891 442891 444887 444884
 1.00 389938 390929 389926 387926 383927 379930 366945 363949
      360954 354963 341978 335985 332990 331995 332012 338010
      340011 344013 349011 357007 364000 377985 382974 386963
      387956 388951 389938
 1.00 378053 377052 376051 374051 374050 372050 370049 369048
      367048 365048 363048 361048 360049 360051 361052 363052
      365052 367052 368052 370053 372053 374054 375054 377054
      378053
 1.50 509856 509851 508848 505846 500848 497853 492861 487871
      483882 482890 482894 484901 483907 488901 492897 495892
      499881 504870 508859 509856
 1.50 379956 380946 377944 375946 367956 359965 348974 344978
      341983 339991 339995 342994 347994 349996 353002 359999
      364994 367990 371983 373980 375979 375974 376972 377964
      379956
 2.00 503865 503857 501856 499857 495860 494863 491868 489872
      488876 488884 491884 494881 496878 499873 501869 503865
 2.00 370967 371964 370962 366965 364967 362972 360976 358980
      356985 355988 357990 360992 362989 365985 367981 368978
      368973 370969 370967

$$




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