Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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020
FXUS04 KWBC 290848
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
447 AM EDT SAT APR 29 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 29/1200 UTC THRU MAY 02/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...HIGH RISK OF FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING PARTS OF
OKLAHOMA...ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...

A MAJOR CENTRAL U.S. STORM WILL PRODUCE WHAT COULD BE A PROLIFIC
AND LIFE-THREATENING RAIN EVENT TODAY. WPC QPF TOOK THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST AND TRENDED TOWARD THE 00Z NAM CONUS NEST AND WRF-ARW.
THE ARW MAY BE A BIT DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE BEST SYNOPTIC
FORCING...SO WE ADJUSTED IT BACK WEST TO FIT THE BETTER CONSENSUS.
OVERALL THE GLOBAL MODELS...ETC...SHOW VARIABILITY IN PLACEMENT OF
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL...BUT THEY ALL HAVE A SIGNAL FOR AREAL
AVERAGE 7 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT. THE
ENSEMBLE SITUATIONAL AWARENESS INFORMATION BASED ON THE NAEFS HAS
AN AWFUL LOT OF 99TH PERCENTILE AND MAX VALUES FOR INTEGRATED
VAPOR TRANSPORT WITHIN THE CONVEYOR BELT. AMPLIFICATION OF THE
LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM WILL ALSO RETARD EASTWARD
PROGRESSION...RESULTING IN VERY INTENSE AND PERSISTENT RAINFALL
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH WE SUSPECT WILL BE CENTERED
AROUND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BASED ON OBSERVATIONAL AND MODEL TRENDS.

THIS WILL REQUIRE AN EXPANSION OF THE HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL. REFER TO THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR MORE DETAILS.


...ROCKIES / HIGH PLAINS...

A VERY DEEP...3.5 STANDARD DEVIATION...MID LEVEL CYCLONE WILL WRAP
UP AND SLOWLY PIVOT ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS INTO WESTERN KANSAS. IT
WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR ANY DRY SLOT TO WRAP THAT FAR
NORTH...MEANING LIFT WILL BE SUSTAINED OVER A LONG PERIOD OF TIME.
WE THEREFORE INCREASED RAIN/SNOW TOTALS...WITH ABOUT A HALF INCH
ADDITIONAL LIQUID FROM SOUTHEAST COLORADO INTO ADJACENT OK/KS AND
UP INTO SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. QPF WAS DERIVED FROM WPC
CONTINUITY BLENDED TOWARDS THE WRF-ARW AND NAM CONUS NEST...AND IS
ALSO FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS.


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES...

THE WELL-ADVERTISED SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT WILL BE ON
GOING BY THE TIME THE DAY 2 FORECAST BEGINS ON SUNDAY MORNING.
WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL HAVE ALREADY FALLEN DURING THE DAY 1 TIME
FRAME...STRONG SOUTHERLY INFLOW OF 50 TO 60 KT WILL BE DRAWING
MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND INTERACTING WITH A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH A DEEP CYCLONE. THE MODELS HAVE TENDED TOWARDS A WETTER
SOLN...BOTH WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT
AS WELL AS ALONG THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT EAST OF THE PARENT
CYCLONE.  AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS EXPECTED.

A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 50 TO 60 KNOTS ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER ON SUNDAY MORNING WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD...PLACING THE
BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM THE GULF COAST NORTH ACROSS PARTS OF
THE TN VALLEY TO ILLINOIS.  THIS REGION WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER WILL ADVECT ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PWS NORTHWARD TOWARDS ARKANSAS,
MISSOURI, AND ILLINOIS.  BROAD RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION DYNAMICS WILL
SUPPORT DEEP LAYER ASCENT OVER THIS SAME REGION, ALONG WITH THE
MID LEVEL TROUGH BECOMING NEGATIVELY TILTED.  THESE FAVORABLE
PARAMETERS, COMBINED WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS, WILL SUPPORT VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.  ANOTHER
AGGRAVATING FACTOR WILL BE THE WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS.

RAINFALL RATES SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF LATE DAY 2 AND DURING DAY 3
AS THE SURFACE FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND THE
AMPLIFYING TROUGH DISRUPTS THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO.  THERE SHOULD STILL BE PRECIPITATION ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT BUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER RATES.

IN TERMS OF THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...FRIDAYS DAY 3 FORECAST MOVED
INTO TODAYS DAY 2 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WITHOUT TOO MANY CHANGES TO
THE OVERALL SHAPE.  GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ANTICIPATED
ACROSS PARTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN ON DAY 1 PLUS
ADDITIONAL QPF IN THE SAME AREA DURING THE FIRST 12 HOURS OR SO OF
DAY 2...FELT THERE WAS ENOUGH JUSTIFICATION TO INTRODUCE A NARROW
MODERATE RISK FROM WESTERN TN INTO NORTHERN MS. IN GENERAL...THE
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL ON DAY 2 ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ON
A PAR WITH THE AMOUNTS FROM DAY 1.  THE CONCERN INVOLVES THE
CUMULATIVE EFFECT.  NO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREA WAS DEPICTED ON DAY
3 AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE WATER LOGGED
PORTION OF THE COUNTRY.

...FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST...

THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH SUPPORTS/DRIVES THE HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENT OVER THE PLAINS WILL FINALLY MOVE FAR ENOUGH AWAY
FROM THE FRONT RANGE THAT MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING
EARLY ON DAY 2.  THAT WILL LEAVE A CLASSIC...DEEP LAYERED CYCLONE
WITH A BROAD PRECIPITATION SHIELD WITH A DEFORMATION ZONE/TROWAL
EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST.  THE
MODELS HAVE GENERALLY CONVERGED ON A THE PLACEMENT AND QPF ON DAY
2.  WPC TENDED TO USE A CONSENSUS VALUE OF THOSE TWO MODELS...WITH
SOME CONTRIBUTION FROM THE 29/00Z NAM.  BY DAY 3...THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL CYCLONE WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY TOWARDS THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES WITH A BROAD AREA OF GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE PCPN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW.

...NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE UNITED STATES...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING EASTWARD AROUND AN EASTERN NORTH
PACIFIC UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.  A PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF TO WESTERN WASHINGTON AND OREGON
AS WELL AS PARTS OF IDAHO...MONTANA AND WYOMING.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/BANN

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 534203 535196 534192 534185 532181 528176 524170 517158
      507148 496138 485129 480127 474126 471128 469130 469134
      467135 463136 461139 457147 458155 457162 453168 449173
      452178 452182 450185 445191 443198 448199 454196 456194
      460193 468195 473194 477187 479183 481182 485184 486188
      487191 487197 482202 471206 465207 458207 452211 450212
      446213 433217 431219 430222 427231 423236 418240 418244
      420248 422251 426253 434254 437253 441255 453262 447278
      446284 444289 442299 442303 442308 443312 446315 452318
      457315 461311 466306 470300 473298 477297 483297 485297
      488294 508283 513277 517270 520261 521248 521239 519235
      519229 527220 529216 530208 534203
 0.01 533939 533931 531926 528924 524927 519935 515944 512955
      510966 507975 504988 500997 496007 495010 495016 496019
      494023 493028 493031 496034 498034 497040 494053 491063
      487072 484076 481078 477081 476085 474091 471091 465098
      465104 467108 471108 474105 477104 480100 483097 485095
      488096 495102 497102 500098 502093 506091 508088 510083
      512076 512070 514040 514032 516027 520028 523031 526030
      528024 529013 529004 528998 526993 524990 523986 524982
      526977 529968 530964 530958 530952 533939
 0.01 480670 479662 477656 475651 473646 469643 465641 457639
      442653 438660 436666 438672 432679 430684 426686 418691
      411697 406703 404707 402707 401704 387697 384697 380701
      378702 378705 379712 381720 382724 384730 385737 385750
      384761 382772 379780 378785 379787 376791 372794 357806
      351811 347817 338830 336835 335841 334843 338848 341850
      347849 352842 367829 378818 383810 386809 386812 384816
      381822 379826 379832 377854 375860 372864 366870 352882
      336893 329898 322901 303909 274925 268929 265938 263943
      263946 265958 268966 273975 275979 279982 280988 281993
      283997 286000 295004 298007 301011 304018 306023 309026
      307036 299051 297055 295056 294053 294049 292045 288046
      287051 285055 284062 283065 280064 277061 268057 264059
      265064 267069 270072 262075 261078 264082 271087 274092
      277095 282096 286095 290096 295096 300095 304093 307088
      308085 309080 310074 312070 313058 312055 311052 313050
      315047 320044 323055 329063 333071 334073 334077 332079
      336081 337088 338093 341096 347097 350096 353093 355087
      362090 366088 368084 370082 373082 378083 381081 383076
      387075 394069 398067 401067 406065 411063 413059 411055
      407045 406039 407033 408025 410019 416012 426999 434981
      443963 447955 451945 454923 451898 450891 451885 453870
      455859 457849 461823 463811 464798 461773 457762 455755
      450757 448760 445769 443771 440771 435770 429762 420741
      418736 421734 427732 431733 436732 439728 444720 449712
      452703 458685 460675 460669 461662 465663 467665 472675
      474680 477677 480670
 0.01 284804 281800 278799 270797 259797 253800 251802 248805
      246809 245813 245819 247824 249820 251811 254808 258806
      267804 274806 278807 282806 284804
 0.25 512268 513261 514254 514249 512244 509236 507228 504220
      499212 493208 485206 459216 452219 450221 448226 451228
      455227 461226 469226 476223 481224 487229 489233 485234
      478230 471230 465234 459235 451235 448236 445238 444240
      446243 450244 460246 466252 467255 467261 465272 465279
      466283 470285 474286 487284 494282 497281 501281 504280
      504274 502265 502261 503256 507260 512268
 0.25 522194 518189 516183 513178 509173 504169 498169 496172
      497174 501180 504185 508190 512194 516195 522194
 0.25 519968 519965 518964 518965 517968 518970 519968
 0.25 451843 451834 449829 446824 442820 435818 429817 426812
      421790 418787 414789 411793 409792 405796 404803 405809
      407813 404821 398830 394833 393834 392832 392821 389819
      387824 385834 384840 383843 384847 385852 382857 372873
      367881 361886 352892 346896 330907 321912 313916 304918
      299920 295924 285937 285941 287945 294952 294961 294965
      292972 291977 291984 293987 296989 305994 310995 313993
      315993 313998 313002 315008 316011 319013 321012 326003
      340990 346987 351986 355985 359987 361992 360998 358003
      353011 349022 345031 339037 337042 336049 336053 337058
      340062 344065 349067 355067 362064 368056 373055 378055
      381056 384053 392050 394045 395039 400028 405019 410012
      415001 424983 428975 430970 430964 431956 433952 437947
      437940 434930 434922 435916 439891 442880 445870 447864
      449855 451843
 0.25 290085 290083 290081 288081 286083 284085 286087 288088
      289087 290086 290085
 0.25 286089 286087 284085 283086 284087 285089 286089 286089
 0.50 510257 508245 505233 503226 501222 497217 494215 483209
      478210 474214 474217 480219 486221 489224 493235 496241
      500245 503249 505253 508258 510257
 0.50 502275 499263 497254 493245 490240 485238 481241 479238
      476236 474237 472241 473247 475252 477261 481270 481277
      484279 491276 498276 502275
 0.50 448843 447838 445834 442831 437831 430835 424840 417837
      411835 401836 396840 379869 370881 366886 360892 353896
      346900 334909 320917 314920 307922 299925 297928 294932
      294939 296943 299946 304951 305954 304957 301965 300969
      300975 303979 306980 311986 317983 322982 326984 331989
      338987 344984 351982 358978 362975 366976 368979 369985
      369991 367997 364005 361011 358018 355027 353033 351035
      346042 342049 340052 340055 344061 350065 354064 357060
      360054 364052 367048 372049 377049 379048 382045 386037
      391032 396026 404014 409006 412997 419980 420975 420969
      419958 419947 421940 424929 427920 433903 437883 442866
      448843
 1.00 501238 501235 501233 500231 499230 499228 497226 496226
      495228 495231 496233 496235 498236 499237 499238 501238
      501238
 1.00 495265 495264 495262 494259 493256 493255 492253 492252
      491250 490250 489249 488249 487250 486251 487253 487254
      488257 489260 490263 492265 493266 495265 495265
 1.00 439854 440847 439843 434844 432847 428851 423856 417859
      413856 408851 401851 393853 389859 381871 366892 360896
      355900 343906 333915 323921 317924 310926 304929 301930
      299935 300939 303941 310941 314942 317945 314952 311958
      307964 308968 314971 322972 331971 341978 348980 354978
      363968 369966 376968 379983 378994 375001 368013 365020
      365025 366030 369035 373037 393018 397013 401007 406993
      408986 408977 405959 404950 407942 410937 415933 419926
      422919 427904 435876 438864 439854
 1.50 436856 435852 431857 425867 418876 415877 413873 410869
      408861 406855 402855 398860 396862 394860 391860 386869
      383875 379879 375882 371887 364896 356901 345907 337915
      323928 317932 309932 305933 304937 306937 318936 324937
      326943 314965 317966 321967 326967 337966 341969 344976
      348979 353976 361967 368961 377954 382954 388956 393943
      394941 390938 391933 391926 393920 394917 398917 401920
      407921 409927 412927 414925 417920 420914 422900 424893
      427887 432876 435866 436856
 1.50 398991 398985 394984 390990 385999 380006 375012 372015
      370019 370024 373028 376028 379025 384017 390011 395004
      396000 397993 398991
 1.50 397965 397963 396962 395961 394961 393962 391963 389965
      388968 387969 387970 387972 389974 391974 392972 393972
      394970 394969 396968 396967 397965
 2.00 408878 408872 407867 405859 400863 396868 388879 385882
      382882 378883 375884 366896 361900 357903 349907 344911
      335919 330926 329929 330934 332937 331942 328947 324954
      322957 323961 325963 330963 334963 343964 345971 347973
      350975 355971 360965 364960 373951 378945 382938 384933
      386924 388915 391908 399898 404885 408878
 3.00 387897 385893 379892 376889 372891 367899 364903 359905
      350910 342917 336924 334928 333930 335931 339931 340934
      338939 333947 330951 331956 336956 341959 354966 360958
      366952 372942 375929 380920 384909 386902 387897
 4.00 380904 379901 376898 372896 367903 362907 355909 350914
      344919 343922 346925 346928 345932 341939 340948 342951
      345952 346957 349959 353959 355957 361953 365947 369940
      371932 374924 377917 380904
 5.00 375914 376909 376904 374902 371901 367906 363909 356910
      352914 348918 347921 350922 349928 346932 343939 343943
      345946 348947 348952 348954 352956 357953 361949 364943
      368932 373918 375914
 6.00 373909 373906 370906 367909 363913 357912 353916 354921
      352926 349930 346934 345940 346944 351943 354943 352947
      351951 353952 357950 362941 366929 368924 370920 373909
 7.00 371911 369911 368913 367914 366916 367918 368919 368918
      369916 370914 371912 371911
 7.00 364927 363923 359922 355925 353927 350931 348934 346939
      348943 352941 356938 359936 362933 364928 364927
 8.00 362929 362927 361925 359926 357927 355930 353932 352934
      350938 354939 355937 357936 359934 362932 362929
 9.00 359932 359931 358932 359932 359932

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 537188 538179 539171 534160 522143 524138 527135 530128
      531120 531106 529102 528100 525099 515098 513100 512095
      511088 510084 506081 507075 510068 513066 516064 519065
      526072 531076 535078 543076 544071 543065 541060 539053
      539044 538038 536032 533026 531023 527020 524018 523015
      521010 520003 521997 524981 526968 530956 534944 538933
      539926 539918 538910 536909 533909 528915 523928 520939
      517952 516958 514965 511978 508991 506007 506023 502028
      499028 497030 489033 484034 478034 470036 461042 458044
      456046 455044 447036 442035 440037 439055 433064 432070
      433077 435083 436088 432090 429087 427085 424086 425091
      430099 423105 422112 420114 417113 415116 419117 425117
      430116 434115 439116 446125 450127 453128 452131 449134
      448138 446142 443143 441141 443140 440136 437139 436146
      436153 437159 439164 445171 444189 445194 447197 452198
      455195 469177 472174 477175 487181 494187 501195 505199
      509202 513206 516210 519215 523216 527215 530213 533207
      534202 534197 534190 537188
 0.01 516256 517249 516243 512233 507225 501217 496209 493206
      488205 481206 472209 465212 461213 456213 449215 439215
      431218 427220 426225 430227 435228 438229 441231 439236
      430237 426239 426243 429245 433244 441244 450243 455243
      459244 469245 474246 478248 485254 490257 493260 497268
      500273 504270 504264 502259 497250 492242 489239 484236
      480234 478230 470232 466230 467225 470223 474222 484223
      490225 492229 496238 501248 504253 509258 513261 516256
 0.01 482713 478700 475693 473684 471676 468671 465666 460663
      451659 439662 436666 433672 426686 427690 429698 432717
      433727 434736 433752 432757 429759 427756 425750 421746
      415744 410744 401753 397765 396771 394774 391776 387787
      384792 382794 379793 373794 369798 363802 358805 341820
      334827 324833 314840 304845 292849 283857 275863 266872
      260879 258885 257892 252902 251908 251917 252938 251942
      253945 255951 259954 266956 280956 292954 304950 310948
      317948 323947 330946 337947 341950 351954 354955 355958
      359965 360967 360971 359977 353989 347998 344003 342010
      341018 341022 343024 346029 349031 356033 364035 371035
      377034 386030 392029 398027 419018 424016 428013 437003
      444997 448993 452988 459980 467971 470966 473960 475954
      479948 483937 484921 486912 485902 484893 483882 479848
      479810 480794 482779 482770 482761 482752 482743 482713
 0.01 476094 476091 474087 473086 470083 466085 465087 464090
      463092 464094 465096 467094 469093 471093 474096 476094
 0.01 430190 431184 430180 428176 429171 431164 429160 427157
      422152 420149 417151 415153 414158 415161 417165 419173
      418182 419188 420192 426194 430190
 0.01 419074 419069 417064 413059 407055 400055 396057 393059
      389065 389073 393078 402079 408077 415075 419074
 0.01 408114 409112 409110 409108 409105 408103 408100 408098
      408096 406095 406098 406100 405102 405105 405107 405109
      404112 404114 405114 406116 406117 406116 408115 408114
 0.01 389817 388814 386815 380816 377812 375810 376808 376801
      371804 367809 364814 364817 368818 372819 379820 386819
      389817
 0.01 288808 285805 281804 278802 274800 270799 264799 260801
      263803 268803 272804 276805 281807 285808 288808
 0.25 521186 521181 518176 515172 512170 508167 503167 502172
      505175 508178 511182 514185 519188 521186
 0.25 509246 509240 506234 504231 501227 499224 496220 493220
      494225 495229 498234 500237 502242 505246 507247 509246
 0.25 509151 500140 491131 478126 472128 469135 470143 463143
      461144 459149 459154 460158 465163 473163 479162 479159
      477156 473150 474144 477143 484144 489149 494150 500148
      504151 507153 509151
 0.25 484217 484212 482211 479210 477211 474212 472213 470214
      468216 468218 471219 473218 476218 478218 482218 484217
 0.25 474768 471730 469710 467699 464693 459687 455687 450689
      447694 445700 443705 441713 440726 440744 439760 437775
      435779 431782 428786 423787 418787 418791 420797 419804
      418810 416814 409825 406829 401834 396836 390838 378840
      366841 354843 341845 295863 287867 280872 272880 269883
      267888 264899 263903 262908 264915 265940 266944 271945
      276945 281944 292942 303939 313935 320933 325932 339931
      355931 361931 364929 373923 382918 387917 392920 395924
      396929 396936 393942 387952 384958 382965 378977 373984
      367992 365998 364002 364007 366013 369016 374020 381022
      393020 405014 413010 423003 438994 445988 453978 461969
      464964 467957 470948 474935 475928 475920 475907 475900
      473892 470877 467860 466853 467844 471814 473803 474788
      474776 474768
 0.25 458111 458107 456105 455101 453097 451096 448097 448099
      450104 449107 447108 444105 441104 439105 439108 442111
      447112 450115 454115 457112 458111
 0.25 450078 450075 448074 446073 446072 445072 443071 442072
      443072 445073 446075 448076 449078 450078
 0.50 468752 466738 463720 461711 458706 455706 452708 449712
      446722 444732 444746 443761 443775 441782 439787 433797
      430801 427807 423818 421823 417828 412834 405840 401843
      398844 386845 358847 348848 339850 327854 317858 298866
      288871 283875 280878 271892 270897 268903 268908 270914
      272918 271922 271930 270933 272937 276939 281939 295937
      304934 314930 334926 344924 351924 357923 362923 367920
      378914 388911 399915 404922 405926 407933 407937 405940
      403944 396953 392964 391970 390975 388978 376995 374998
      373004 375009 378013 383015 389014 395013 401012 409007
      419001 436991 448979 461963 464957 466952 470938 471927
      471919 471911 468897 465883 462870 461862 461853 465823
      468800 469786 468769 468752
 1.00 459746 458735 456731 453732 452735 451742 451753 450772
      449788 446795 442802 435816 428829 421839 412850 400860
      394864 388867 373868 365868 359865 357863 357861 353860
      351857 347856 342857 335859 330859 324860 297872 292875
      288879 285885 285890 287893 291909 291920 292926 294928
      299930 306928 321924 327922 335919 343918 352917 358917
      364915 372912 376908 382904 390903 399903 407905 432900
      435894 439886 444881 447878 448874 449867 450859 455842
      456834 458823 459812 459802 459785 458777 458766 459754
      459746
 1.00 464940 465930 465919 463911 460907 455906 454909 454914
      453918 451919 445921 434925 430928 427933 424939 421944
      413952 410957 407964 406975 400987 398991 392995 389997
      388002 391004 396002 401998 406996 412996 422991 433986
      441978 448969 452965 455959 457952 460947 463943 464940
 1.00 365856 365855 363855 362854 360854 358854 356854 355856
      353857 355858 356858 358858 360858 362858 364857 365856
      365856
 1.50 451821 452812 451807 449805 444809 442815 438825 433835
      426845 419855 411863 403867 394873 386873 379873 373874
      369878 367883 361883 359878 355874 352873 348873 341875
      332878 320880 316875 318873 316871 308872 300876 298880
      293885 301909 298918 301924 305922 314922 326919 337915
      346912 358909 364911 370909 377902 387897 397894 404892
      409891 420892 425890 429888 435878 440866 444852 447843
      450831 451821
 1.50 439959 438953 435956 433959 431964 428967 425971 423975
      424978 426979 431978 434976 435971 433969 435965 438961
      439959
 2.00 438854 438845 438841 436840 435842 429850 424858 417867
      407871 402876 408877 411880 418887 423886 427883 430879
      433873 436863 438854
 2.00 388881 387877 382875 378874 375875 372880 376883 381883
      379884 374886 370888 369890 370892 369895 365898 365903
      366908 370907 374899 380893 383890 386886 386884 388881
 2.00 354903 353898 352895 348890 346888 342887 334887 320890
      316890 317888 314883 306883 300886 298889 301893 307894
      308897 312898 310904 310912 312918 320918 326915 339911
      345909 351906 354903
 3.00 343904 342903 340902 339902 339899 338899 337899 335899
      333899 331900 329900 328900 326902 325902 326904 328905
      330905 331905 333905 335905 337905 339904 340904 342904
      343904

24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 534220 536211 536202 533190 529180 524173 516164 512159
      510153 512145 513135 510128 507125 503121 498117 496112
      495108 495104 498099 502098 508100 511103 526125 530130
      532132 535131 539130 541124 541115 540106 538093 536081
      537074 540072 546057 548048 548044 547040 543028 540023
      537021 528025 522025 517024 500018 488016 477011 465006
      455001 445997 439997 437000 433004 430005 427007 427015
      429029 431035 433038 440051 444056 451056 455055 459055
      462057 466058 471061 474071 478079 482079 486080 486084
      485093 482096 477096 474096 467093 461090 458085 455080
      450076 443070 439069 435070 432073 431079 429082 427082
      423086 423091 424096 428098 430101 426103 423103 419107
      416108 412107 408098 406102 406108 404112 406117 416118
      420119 423122 424124 427124 432119 434122 433127 435132
      438136 439140 437145 435150 435154 442155 436163 434168
      435173 437177 439180 443185 446190 448195 449198 452198
      455199 457197 461191 466177 472164 478165 480167 480170
      483180 484187 485192 488196 495198 499197 503194 506193
      508196 511197 513200 521211 523216 526220 531221 534220
 0.01 519266 518256 515245 512239 509229 506221 503216 501213
      496207 493204 489202 483204 476207 470212 467214 466217
      474220 484223 490228 495236 504251 510268 513271 514272
      519266
 0.01 506276 506270 504263 498254 493244 490241 485240 482238
      481234 480232 476230 472233 472237 475243 483250 487253
      489259 494269 500278 503278 506276
 0.01 516717 515709 512701 507688 503675 498664 495659 491655
      487650 483646 478641 471640 468636 461638 456637 449639
      445639 445642 443642 435639 430638 424640 421641 418644
      415648 412654 411657 411661 410670 411675 411680 409682
      403687 371715 353733 347738 344742 336749 319765 316768
      313772 308781 302791 296802 288814 282823 279827 277830
      279832 282837 281841 279842 276845 271848 265855 260866
      259875 259880 260883 263888 266893 278895 367863 373861
      380859 385859 388857 391856 396854 398854 399857 398862
      399865 400869 400879 402885 406892 406903 406913 404921
      401926 401931 400933 400942 400950 402957 404962 415978
      424987 429986 436986 444986 450984 461979 470971 474968
      477964 483956 488947 494934 497928 500922 504917 508912
      513897 517863 518850 520834 521826 521818 522815 522810
      522800 520776 518750 516733 515722 516717
 0.01 487118 486116 484115 483113 481115 482117 482118 484120
      485120 487118
 0.01 420079 421072 418067 416061 419060 420057 418055 416056
      414054 413052 412057 411061 408059 407056 402055 398055
      395059 392064 387067 385070 387075 390079 393083 399083
      402081 405076 411076 415078 420079
 0.01 400744 400742 399739 398738 397740 396741 395741 394743
      393744 391744 390746 390747 388747 387749 389751 390750
      392749 394748 395747 397746 399746 400744
 0.01 403063 403060 402058 400059 399060 398062 396064 398066
      400066 401065 402064 403063
 0.01 388751 387750 385750 384752 385753 387753 388751
 0.01 279821 276817 272814 268810 264807 259804 254803 251808
      253815 256820 260823 265825 271827 277826 279821
 0.25 511255 510246 507240 505234 502228 499224 495220 493222
      494226 497231 500238 503243 506249 509254 511255
 0.25 523052 522047 520042 512038 504034 496031 491031 486032
      483034 485040 491046 496053 503058 512060 517059 520057
      523052
 0.25 510828 510807 509788 507771 505755 503737 499717 494699
      488686 481675 474669 467663 463661 459661 451670 446675
      444682 442716 439730 439733 437736 434740 428747 420753
      408762 399771 395775 392780 391787 385790 379790 374787
      379778 378774 375772 369771 363773 343785 333793 327798
      324803 323810 322812 320812 313818 307824 305829 302834
      289851 282861 277867 274873 274877 276879 282881 286881
      291878 306867 326849 331846 335845 342846 348845 354843
      359840 363837 366831 372826 381820 394812 398808 404805
      410805 417805 422806 426809 430814 434817 437820 440826
      443830 444835 446842 446848 445857 445864 442878 437890
      433896 430902 428909 430916 430924 431933 434944 438955
      442960 448966 454968 460967 470961 476952 488931 492920
      495909 503882 507863 509844 510828
 0.25 469026 469023 468022 466021 464020 463020 461020 462023
      463023 464025 466025 467026 468026 469026 469026
 0.25 383731 382727 379729 376733 373736 371738 368743 367748
      372748 375745 378741 380739 383734 383731
 0.25 342761 340759 337762 333767 328772 324777 320782 317785
      315789 317793 320791 326789 331784 334778 338771 341764
      342761
 0.50 506831 506820 505810 503794 501784 502775 500765 499760
      498755 496734 493717 490708 487701 483694 479691 474687
      469685 467687 463687 460691 455695 453702 453712 452721
      450729 450733 448736 441742 436747 433754 429760 425765
      419776 412780 407786 405792 418793 423790 430789 435790
      439793 442800 445808 449815 453820 456826 458833 461845
      467860 467868 465878 459906 458915 457926 456935 456941
      459945 466954 473945 477940 481934 486919 491906 495893
      500857 503845 506831
 0.50 362825 360821 356820 350820 347822 343825 340828 338832
      339837 343839 348838 352836 355834 358831 361827 362825
 0.50 312841 312837 309837 303841 299847 295853 291859 287864
      286867 285870 285873 292871 298868 304863 308858 310850
      312841 312841
 1.00 490858 491851 490843 487833 485828 483827 481829 482844
      483851 482858 480869 481884 481891 482895 483894 485892
      487886 489876 490869 490861 490858
 1.00 480741 481736 480731 476723 472719 469721 470726 467733
      464740 460744 455750 451755 444758 441760 440762 439766
      441769 445773 449780 453784 460785 465779 470779 473778
      474775 478769 480761 479751 480741

$$





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