Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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870
FXUS04 KWBC 172119
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
419 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 18/0000 UTC THRU FEB 21/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

WESTERN U.S.

THE STRONG UPPER TROF OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WHICH IS HELPING TO
DIRECT A STRONG ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT INTO CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN
COASTAL CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE TO THE
EAST SOUTHEAST--PASSING THROUGH CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
THE NORTHERN BAJA THIS PERIOD.  THIS SOUTHEASTWARD PUSH WILL ALSO
PUSH THE WELL DEFINED ATMOSPHERIC RIVER ANOMALOUS PW PLUME
SOUTHEASTWARD---FOCUSING ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA/SOUTHERN TO
CENTRAL SIERRA EARLY DAY 1---ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAJA---NORTHWEST
MEXICO AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY.
HEAVIEST RAINS EARLY DAY 1 WILL FOCUS INTO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA/NORTHERN BAJA INTO THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL
SIERRA---TRANSLATING DOWNSTREAM INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AND
NORTHWEST MEXICO DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.  THE STRONGEST
OROGRAPHIC COMPONENT TO THE ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FLUX WITH THIS
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL BE FOCUSED INTO THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE/SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL SIERRA WHERE ADDITIONAL
1-3" PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE.  INLAND INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND GREAT
BASIN---WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS
POSSIBLE---WITH GREATEST TOTALS LIKELY INTO THE MOGOLLON RIM
REGION OF CENTRAL AZ WHERE THE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL ENHANCE UVVS AND
AMOUNTS.   1-2"+ AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE MOGOLLON RIM AREA WITH
AREAL AVERAGE .50-1" AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
BASIN INTO THE SOUTHWEST.  GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIP
TOTALS EXPECTED FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE ASSOCIATED PRECIP WITH THE
INLAND MOVING CLOSED LOW.

CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF COAST..LOWER MS VALLEY---TN VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS

THE WELL DEFINED CLOSED LOW MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON IS BEING HANDLED SIMILARLY BY THE LATEST GUIDANCE
AS IT PUSHES INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY SATURDAY AND THE TN VALLEY
BY SATURDAY EVENING.  THE MODEL CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO SHOW THAT
THE DEVELOPING AREA OF CONVECTION OFF THE WESTERN GULF COAST
REMAINING PRIMARILY OFFSHORE DURING THE PERIOD AS THIS CONVECTION
PUSHES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL TO NORTHEASTERN GULF AND
TOWARD NW FL.  THE  NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS CONVECTION MAY SKIRT THE
IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS FROM CENTRAL TO EASTERN LA INTO NW
FL---WITH POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS
HERE.  TO THE NORTH OF THIS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY---TN
VALLEY---SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS---GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE---WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED ORGANIZED
CONVECTION OVER THE GULF LIKELY INTERRUPTING THE NORTHEASTWARD
PUSH OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION.

DAYS 2 AND 3...


...WESTERN UNITED STATES...

THE CLOSED LOW MOVING DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST DURING DAY 1
SHOULD OPEN UP INTO A LONG WAVE TROUGH BY DAY 2...TRACKING ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST US/NORTHERN MEXICO AND INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE REGION WANES A BIT ON DAY 2 COMPARED
TO DAY 1 BUT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE STILL FORECAST TO BE 1
TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. EXPECT QPF TO TRACK
EASTWARD FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LATE DAY 1 INTO THE
SOUTHWEST/FOUR CORNERS AND EVEN UP INTO THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE PUSHING THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST. THE MOST ORGANIZED OF THE PRECIP IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
MOGOLLON RIM DUE TO ENHANCED UPSLOPING ALONG THE TERRAIN. A SLIGHT
RISK WAS MAINTAINED FOR ON THE DAY 2 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL GRAPHIC
VALID 12Z SAT TO 12Z SUN IN THIS AREA. ANOTHER SLIGHT RISK WAS
MAINTAINED ON THE DAY 2 GRAPHIC ACROSS FAR EASTERN
CALIFORNIA/SOUTHERN NEVADA/WESTERN ARIZONA. THE BULK OF THIS
ACTIVITY THOUGH SHOULD BE THE LAST HALF OF THE DAY 1 QPF PERIOD
(12Z SAT TO 00Z SUN) SO REFER TO THE DAY 1 DISCUSSION ABOVE FOR
MORE DETAILS. THIS CYCLE OF THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON THE 00Z ECMWF
AND WPC CONTINUITY AS THE 12Z GFS REMAINS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE
CONSENSUS.

BY DAY 3...SHORTWAVE ENERGY INTO THE NORTHWEST COAST TAPS INTO
DEEPER MOISTURE FROM AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER FOCUSING THE HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
COASTAL RANGES OF OREGON AND WASHINGTON. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
ARE ANOMALOUS (2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) AND THERE
CONTINUES TO BE A MULTI-MODEL SIGNAL FOR 2 TO 4+ INCH QPF (AND
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS) ACROSS PARTICULARLY THE COASTAL CALIFORNIA
RANGES AND NORTHERN SIERRAS. DUE TO THE ANTECEDENT WET CONDITIONS
ALONG WITH AN IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE PLUME AND UPSLOPE
COMPONENT...MAINTAINED A MARGINAL RISK ON THE DAY 3 EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL GRAPHIC (WHICH IS ONLY VALID THROUGH 12Z MON). BUT IF THE
DEEP MOISTURE SIGNAL CONTINUES...AN UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK IS
POSSIBLE IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS. AS FOR THE MODELS...THE 12Z GFS
REMAINS SLIGHTLY FASTER AND DEEPER WITH THE SHORTWAVE AS IT ENTERS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE REMAINING GUIDANCE SUPPORTS A SLOWER
AND FLATTER SOLUTION SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A NON-GFS
COMPROMISE.

LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE WESTERN US...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CALIFORNIA ON DAY 3. REFER TO
THE WPC WINTER WEATHER DESK DISCUSSION AND GRAPHICS FOR MORE
INFORMATION.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

THE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST ON DAY 2 MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON DAY 3. A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD PULL DEEP
AND  ANOMALOUS (2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL) MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE TROUGH INTO EASTERN TEXAS AND THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING DAY 3. THE INGREDIENTS ARE COMING
INTO PLACE FOR A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY AND
LASTING THROUGH DAY 3/MONDAY. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR HEAVY CONVECTIVE
RAINS LOOKS TO START BY 00Z MON PUSHING EASTWARD WITH TIME FROM
EASTERN TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA BY THE END OF THE DAY. THE WPC QPF
SHOWS 24-HOUR AREAL AVERAGED TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS
EASTERN TEXAS AND THE ARKLATEX REGION...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS LIKELY DURING THE DAY 3 PERIOD. A MARGINAL RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS FOR THE DAY
3 PERIOD (12Z SUN TO 12Z MON). DUE TO MODEL SPREAD WITH WHERE THE
HEAVIEST QPF ACTUALLY SETS UP AND HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE ACROSS
THE AREA...OPTED TO NOT UPGRADE PARTS OF THE AREA TO A SLIGHT
RISK. BUT WOULD EXPECT A UPGRADE SHOULD A BETTER CONSENSUS BE
REACHED.

THE 12Z GFS REMAINS ON THE FASTER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE
WITH THE 12Z ECMWF THE SLOWEST...WITH THE 12Z UKMET AND NAM IN THE
MIDDLE OF THE RANGE. THE 12Z ECMWF DID COME IN SLIGHTLY FASTER
THAN ITS PREVIOUS RUN SO IT SEEMS THE CONSENSUS WOULD FAVOR A
SLIGHTLY FASTER SOLUTION. THIS RESULTS IN DIFFERENCES WITH WHERE
THE HEAVIEST QPF/CONVECTIVE AXIS ACTUALLY SETS UP. THE RESULTING
WPC QPF SHOWS AN AXIS CLOSE TO THAT OF THE MIDDLE GROUND
UKMET...WHICH IS JUST SLIGHTLY FASTER/FARTHER EAST THAN
CONTINUITY.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

ORAVEC/SANTORELLI

24HR QP VT 19/00Z
 0.01 523181 523175 523172 521165 511155 509153 508148 503144
      492136 487132 481129 478127 476131 478136 482140 485145
      487148 486151 484156 481157 475155 469150 463149 456149
      453144 447128 447120 450113 452112 453108 453100 449096
      443096 434095 426086 424091 427096 428098 427101 425102
      421105 418108 414107 411100 410084 411076 415074 413069
      414064 406056 394058 391057 389058 384062 383065 379066
      372063 368062 367066 367070 366079 365088 364092 365095
      367095 371091 373090 377090 376096 381101 380106 377108
      374112 369116 362118 358117 356115 352110 344098 341094
      337091 335095 335100 334134 331141 327145 325148 322148
      313146 306147 301150 297156 297162 297165 314180 318183
      319190 321196 324202 328214 335218 340219 351225 358229
      362234 373242 384250 395251 406251 454243 460242 466242
      472245 476249 482252 488256 495265 498273 501278 504280
      506279 508274 506270 503264 500256 499252 500246 502243
      505241 504228 502220 499214 495211 488209 481209 474208
      463210 459210 457206 456203 456197 459189 463185 464182
      465176 466170 469167 478165 491168 494169 497172 502176
      505179 513182 515185 519183 523181
 0.01 492656 491651 489647 487644 484646 481654 479662 475669
      473672 473677 474684 476687 480687 484685 488679 491672
      492667 492661 492656
 0.01 505895 504875 501862 493853 491854 489856 489859 489868
      489874 488876 481887 480892 480897 479902 479908 480914
      480919 482922 486926 489928 488934 485949 483964 482972
      482982 483989 485992 491992 494986 495978 495970 495949
      498937 500930 500923 499920 500915 502911 505895
 0.01 486233 486225 484221 480220 475218 471218 466218 464218
      464221 465224 468230 469235 473231 475230 480230 483234
      486233
 0.01 463171 463169 464166 462163 461163 461161 460158 458160
      457162 456164 456167 457168 457170 458171 459173 460173
      461173 463171
 0.01 365894 365887 363880 359874 355870 350866 348860 347856
      346855 342858 340860 337858 331856 322851 311847 301844
      296846 292850 286862 282871 276881 270891 270900 270908
      266919 266926 265933 260944 254955 247963 246968 248972
      253974 261975 267977 273980 279981 284980 294975 303974
      306967 305962 302959 301954 308946 318939 326939 328943
      327945 324952 321957 317967 317973 319975 323976 331976
      334975 336973 340969 343963 347954 348947 348943 347940
      345933 348925 361910 364901 365894
 0.25 417237 417230 419224 417213 414210 411209 406203 399197
      394191 388185 386181 389177 390172 390167 390154 387147
      383147 380148 373151 365154 361153 359153 357156 354163
      351164 347163 343160 341156 338154 335155 333159 329158
      312152 306153 303155 303161 308166 310171 314174 320177
      324182 328191 330200 333208 335211 338213 346216 354221
      366230 374236 382241 384243 389244 397244 403244 410243
      417237
 0.25 407105 408103 408100 407100 407103 407105 407106 407105
 0.25 320883 321879 319875 315871 311868 304868 299870 293874
      285881 282885 280891 277904 274918 270929 270941 267954
      266960 268966 272970 276972 283972 287970 292966 294962
      299949 301944 301937 299931 300925 304914 307909 311904
      314892 320883
 0.50 417222 416218 414214 411214 407211 403205 396200 389194
      382188 377181 375173 376167 374163 366165 359167 353171
      350170 347166 340160 333162 326160 317156 309154 306157
      309162 312167 318173 325179 329187 330195 339210 354218
      369229 383238 388240 393241 397240 399239 400236 399232
      396229 389224 387222 388219 390219 394221 398224 404231
      406231 410230 414226 417222
 0.50 375209 374207 372205 371204 370204 370205 371206 372207
      373209 375209
 0.50 311884 311880 310879 305878 296879 288885 283891 279912
      275923 274935 275942 275949 272960 274965 277970 280970
      285968 288966 291962 294954 296949 297941 294937 293933
      297922 301914 308897 308892 309888 311884
 1.00 413221 412218 407215 401208 388198 381192 374184 369178
      365175 362174 355178 351179 348177 346169 343165 338164
      333164 328164 319160 314159 312160 312163 318168 325174
      329177 331181 335198 339206 343210 347212 355216 362221
      370226 380231 385230 383227 377223 370216 365208 360201
      353196 352193 354189 358189 359191 363193 369197 375202
      383208 392213 405224 410224 413221
 1.00 302897 301886 298884 293885 287891 285900 284910 281919
      279925 280931 281935 285933 290927 294920 297912 300901
      302897
 1.00 288954 289949 288947 286945 283943 281945 280949 280954
      279956 279960 280962 281964 285964 286962 287960 288956
      288954
 1.50 401216 399211 395208 388201 381195 373186 370183 365180
      361179 357180 353184 357187 365191 373199 381204 391209
      399216 401216
 1.50 366219 363212 359206 354201 351195 351185 347178 345171
      341166 333166 325164 318161 317164 319166 331175 336191
      341206 346210 353213 360217 363220 366219
 1.50 298901 298891 294887 291889 289893 289898 288907 285914
      282921 282926 285929 288926 290922 293916 295908 298901
 2.00 382202 380198 378194 376191 373188 370185 365182 361180
      358183 358185 360187 364189 369192 371195 375198 378200
      382202 382202
 2.00 363218 362213 359208 353201 350196 349190 348184 346180
      344169 341167 338167 334168 333176 336187 338192 339197
      341203 343206 353212 363218 363218
 2.00 296901 296899 296897 296895 296893 295892 293891 291893
      291895 291897 291899 291902 291903 292904 293904 294903
      295903 296901
 2.00 291916 291914 290912 290910 288911 287912 286914 286915
      285916 285918 284920 284923 284925 285926 286925 288922
      289920 290918 291916
 3.00 374193 373191 372190 371189 369188 369187 368186 366186
      364186 366187 367188 369188 369190 371191 372191 374193
      374193
 3.00 359212 358212 357209 357210 358212 359212
 3.00 351208 349200 348192 346184 344175 342168 340169 338174
      335175 336179 338186 341194 343202 345205 348207 351208
 4.00 346200 347194 346189 345185 344180 343175 342173 339177
      339183 341186 342190 343195 345200 346200
 5.00 345191 344189 344187 343189 345191 345192 345191
 5.00 343182 343180 343179 342177 342175 341175 341177 341178
      342179 341182 342184 343182

24HR QP VT 20/00Z
 0.01 543185 545166 543154 544142 548134 549121 548109 545100
      541093 537090 532089 527089 523090 515093 512095 509098
      505101 503106 501113 502119 505122 506126 505130 497136
      493134 489131 481126 473121 471118 470113 470107 468103
      460100 456099 454096 452093 448091 443091 438090 434092
      431090 427085 425079 424074 426070 430059 432054 430051
      425051 421053 413054 391055 383053 375048 362041 356036
      354032 355029 356022 359018 365012 369008 370001 371995
      370989 364980 361976 357973 350968 343962 324955 321954
      316953 305953 298951 290953 283956 277961 274964 271968
      267976 262982 255988 253990 253994 253996 262001 275002
      279003 286004 288005 288009 287012 290016 295017 298019
      304020 312022 317022 322024 328027 332033 334043 332049
      328054 321054 315052 318048 319041 313036 302035 297035
      293037 285040 273041 268039 264039 260041 257045 257048
      256049 251049 246049 241050 234053 229058 228062 228067
      231075 228079 226085 226092 227097 238112 253122 270133
      273137 277140 282147 285150 288154 294159 308168 314170
      322173 334176 341184 345182 346175 348172 350170 354167
      397171 401171 404170 407173 405177 408180 411184 411189
      411195 408197 405198 401198 393194 387188 384186 380185
      368181 355179 351181 348186 347189 348194 352193 356190
      364194 378210 375211 372210 366208 363206 357205 358209
      359213 351215 337218 332223 330226 328232 329245 331250
      333255 337263 339266 343269 352277 355280 361282 373286
      378288 380292 392297 397299 401301 421309 438315 443317
      447320 454323 473326 476326 478326 479323 482311 481308
      482304 486302 492293 499295 501293 509286 513281 517276
      519271
 0.01 519271 521264 521256 521251 523248 525244 523235 522232
      522226 523222 525217 530218 535216 537207 540200 541192
      542187 543185
 0.01 540880 539866 538863 538857 536850 535842 530821 529814
      528810 526799 523777 521767 520757 515704 513694 511683
      509673 507666 505652 501642 498634 494629 490623 484620
      480618 473621 469623 466626 464635 465639 464645 463653
      458654 457658 456662 457670 458680 451694 443708 437714
      439720 438727 436732 440733 440737 438741 434744 432747
      437756 444755 447750 448743 451736 452732 455729 459726
      464726 469729 467737 460751 459757 462764 463773 467782
      472803 479816 482822 485827 493840 498846 502855 509868
      513880 519898 521902 524902 526905 529902 532902 534900
      537894 539887 540880
 0.01 453081 453078 451075 448073 447070 445070 441069 440069
      440072 441074 444075 446077 448080 451083 453081
 0.01 397765 396756 393753 387753 384754 382757 381761 379764
      374762 372761 368761 359763 352764 349767 346772 346777
      348780 358783 362789 364796 366800 365803 362809 356819
      351831 351835 353837 356838 357843 358850 361856 366860
      371862 375862 377860 381857 386845 389831 391815 394801
      395782 397765
 0.01 367685 364678 358676 354676 349680 325699 306714 293722
      283731 274740 262744 257749 255752 255756 254760 251761
      244766 239769 236772 236774 237781 239785 244812 247813
      249812 254808 259811 260819 259827 256834 253840 250849
      251855 255860 267860 280855 287850 290845 299835 303834
      305836 307841 308853 309859 311862 315864 320860 329851
      334839 335831 337824 340816 339806 335800 331796 330792
      331788 334783 342772 346765 350760 356755 359749 359743
      359734 362716 365701 367694 366687 367685
 0.01 299057 296055 292054 289054 285054 281054 277055 279058
      281060 283061 286063 288062 290060 294058 296058 299057
 0.25 501275 501267 500262 503253 504245 503239 502233 499227
      496223 494223 490223 488219 485213 482209 474207 441213
      435213 432212 427208 424210 422216 419216 415212 411210
      406209 402207 397205 392205 391210 394214 401220 403223
      401226 397227 391226 385225 382229 383235 385239 388246
      393254 403260 419269 426277 435283 445287 450288 452286
      456285 460280 460277 457272 458268 461269 465270 471268
      477270 483273 490279 494281 496280 501275
 0.25 501168 502163 501161 496159 492156 489158 486160 482158
      477152 467135 462138 458141 454143 449141 446136 444131
      446126 449122 453117 454111 453107 450104 445102 439101
      434102 424105 422107 422111 420113 417113 411111 409106
      407098 405100 401100 398098 396094 386077 384072 381068
      377065 371062 367061 364063 360064 358068 359071 363074
      356077 352078 348081 344081 338078 332078 327079 323083
      320086 314088 309085 301082 286075 269063 262058 257056
      252055 241056 237057 234060 233066 234069 236073 236078
      233081 234088 238091 243093 254096 258098 262102 269109
      275114 281118 289121 293120 298118 299114 301113 306111
      315112 318114 321118 327126 330134 335139 344142 349143
      354142 360142 365145 368148 373149 378149 382147 385143
      391142 398140 405139 415139 421141 427141 429142 430148
      439170 441175 442180 442186 447188 453185 456183 459179
      458173 459169 464166 469165 478164 482166 488167 501168
 0.25 359262 362254 362246 360240 358235 353230 348231 345238
      344246 345254 347259 350264 356266 359262
 0.25 355717 355712 352709 349710 345712 339717 332720 319720
      313720 308721 301725 296729 292734 288739 280744 275748
      271752 269756 268760 270764 270768 269772 270777 272785
      269792 271795 275797 278798 279802 281809 280818 282822
      285824 289823 291820 293814 297808 303802 308797 312794
      319791 325785 341762 345754 347749 353733 355726 355717
 0.25 349993 349989 348986 344982 338980 332978 327977 323980
      323986 326990 331995 337997 344997 349993
 0.25 310975 312971 311966 310964 307963 303963 300964 298966
      297968 296973 296977 299979 301979 304980 306979 309977
      310975
 0.50 479238 479237 478236 477235 476234 474234 473236 474238
      475239 477239 479239 479238
 0.50 472244 466237 462233 457231 450232 445233 443231 448224
      446220 441222 435225 430226 426229 419231 415231 413229
      414223 416217 412216 408218 407224 409234 409248 415255
      421256 425256 433254 442251 449249 460249 467248 472244
 0.50 454164 454158 451156 446153 443151 442147 439141 437141
      437146 438151 441155 442159 445163 448168 451169 454166
      454164
 0.50 446111 446109 445108 444107 442107 440107 439107 438107
      437108 435109 435112 436113 438113 440113 442114 443114
      444113 445112 446111
 0.50 384118 384115 384113 383113 382111 380112 379112 378113
      377114 376116 376117 375118 375121 375123 375124 375125
      375127 376129 378128 378127 379126 379124 380121 381121
      382120 383119 384118
 0.50 380099 381095 380090 381083 381081 381074 378068 374064
      368063 371070 371077 372084 375091 376097 377099 380099
 0.50 351724 349723 347725 344728 339731 335730 326726 320726
      315727 306733 298741 292744 291748 290755 288761 283769
      281776 281780 283789 286794 289799 294802 298800 303797
      306792 310788 314786 320784 325780 331772 337763 343755
      345749 347743 347736 348732 351724
 0.50 354126 355119 353115 346106 344096 342091 338087 335084
      332083 330084 325096 325100 326107 326111 330116 335123
      338128 342132 347133 351130 354126
 0.50 297092 296086 291081 280074 269067 259060 253059 246059
      239060 236061 235065 238070 240073 240078 237084 241086
      246086 251087 257092 264093 271093 278094 287095 294095
      297092
 0.50 286112 284109 280106 277103 274102 268099 265098 264101
      268104 271107 275110 278113 281114 285113 286112
 1.00 458239 460237 458237 457236 455236 453237 451237 449238
      449239 449240 451240 452240 454241 455241 456241 458240
      458239
 1.00 346116 346112 345109 343107 341104 339102 338100 336102
      334105 332107 330109 333112 335112 338114 340117 341118
      343118 346116
 1.00 336760 335760 333760 333761 334761 335760 336760
 1.00 322739 322734 319733 316735 314737 313739 311742 311745
      312747 315747 318746 320743 321741 322739
 1.00 313770 311768 307770 302772 299775 297777 295782 296786
      299787 300784 301781 304777 308774 311771 313771 313770
 1.00 297794 298792 297790 295791 295792 295793 297794 297794
 1.00 279086 279081 276077 269073 263068 257063 248063 244064
      241068 243071 246074 253079 259085 268088 277087 279086
 1.50 273081 272080 270079 269079 268078 267078 265077 263076
      262076 261076 259075 259076 258078 259080 261081 262082
      263082 264082 266083 268083 270083 272082 273081
 1.50 258069 258068 256067 255066 253067 251068 249068 247068
      245069 244070 245071 247071 249071 251071 252071 254070
      256071 258070 258069

24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 536209 536196 534185 528167 516153 498142 491135 484129
      477124 473122 474118 475114 476111 480109 488104 505099
      509097 511094 516087 518084 518081 519074 519072 521071
      526071 531069 534056 534050 534046 536043 536037 534030
      533025 536022 538022 539019 542005 545993 547981 549975
      548969 544959 541947 538938 534927 533923 530918 525912
      519908 512902 504896 490886 483879 480877 476877 457873
      447870 441870 438868 433868 429866 423871 409882 404887
      398891 389896 386898 380899 359904 353903 349901 340897
      331895 325891 319889 313889 301890 291891 287893 282893
      276894 274896 268902 255910 249915 245923 240933 238939
      239945 239956 241962 244962 246976 251984 257991 258996
      255000 256011 259019 267024 274028 283029 288029 292027
      305014 318003 322999 326997 335992 342988 345986 350986
      368992 385000 390000 395002 397002 401000 405993 406990
      408991 411993 413996 416998 416002 410009 404017 404021
      401023 396023 387038 380046 372043 368040 364042 360049
      354057 352059 349061 346061 335060 332062 331066 333069
      336067 341067 344066 350067 355069 358071 356073 356077
      353079 350081 352084 355089 358089 362092 368093 378091
      394098 399091 402091 404092 404100 401104 397105 397108
      395110 392112 387113 383113 377119 376124 373127 370136
      370140 368142 367147 370152 370155 368156 366157 363157
      364159 369165 369168 368173 364175 356179 351180 347178
      344170 343167 340167 335167 338169 339173 338179 335182
      333185 333191 333197 333202 332208 331212 330221 330225
      333230 332235 330241 329243 330245 332249 336258 339261
      343262 349264 354264 359266 363269 369274 378278 387276
      397274 402277 405280 412287 432290
 0.01 432290 439290 447286 453281 460278 467276 476276 479276
      483278 487281 490285 493287 498290 503291 506290 510286
      515280 520269 522256 519247 516237 513226 512220 514216
      517212 522213 525217 530218 533219 534216 536209
 0.01 478694 477687 475682 473680 469678 461683 455690 451698
      445705 442707 440709 440711 439716 440721 440725 437729
      436732 440733 440738 438740 435741 433744 432749 433756
      435760 438760 439755 442752 446749 449746 450741 451729
      456722 468709 478694
 0.01 474059 471056 468055 466053 463053 461052 458050 456052
      456056 458057 461059 464060 468060 471061 474059
 0.01 448090 445085 441081 433080 430077 427072 423069 421074
      419088 413097 412100 412104 414106 423102 426101 427097
      424092 425088 429091 433094 436090 441092 445091 448090
 0.01 403139 403134 402131 400129 397127 393124 389126 386127
      382129 379129 378132 381137 384139 389141 395142 398141
      403139
 0.01 385170 385168 386166 385164 385163 384161 382161 380161
      378162 378164 378167 377169 377171 378173 379174 380175
      382175 383175 384172 385170
 0.01 366124 361118 356117 353115 346109 343107 341103 342100
      342096 338093 336095 336099 332105 333110 335113 338115
      341117 341120 341124 344127 346125 352124 355124 358123
      361123 366124
 0.01 265800 265796 265792 264788 262786 259786 257787 255789
      255793 256797 257800 259803 261804 264802 265800
 0.01 254802 254799 254797 254795 254793 253792 253791 251791
      249791 247791 246792 246794 247796 247798 248799 249800
      250802 250803 252803 254802 254802
 0.25 515267 514256 511247 504226 503220 501216 497207 495202
      494196 493190 496186 498182 500175 499170 497166 491159
      485157 479155 475158 471158 467150 464149 462156 462160
      464161 466161 470163 472166 478172 481183 481190 477194
      470200 467203 463203 459204 455206 453208 449205 445197
      445193 448191 452189 455186 459183 458179 456174 454172
      455168 456163 457157 453152 450150 446148 442146 439141
      437142 436145 435152 434155 440163 444171 448178 441182
      438186 437189 439195 442198 441205 438208 435209 431207
      421190 419190 416186 413182 412180 412177 405177 401181
      399185 391186 382185 373181 362180 358181 354184 352190
      347191 344193 342197 341208 341219 343227 345232 345238
      345244 348248 357250 361253 364256 369263 375266 378265
      385260 388258 391257 397258 402260 407263 411266 417275
      420277 425278 432275 440271 451262 460259 469258 473259
      477261 485266 501280 515267
 0.25 511022 512015 511010 508008 503006 500005 498003 498999
      500995 503996 505996 507993 506988 506979 505966 502957
      498949 493941 482928 470918 463913 457909 450906 441906
      434909 428916 426919 424917 421916 415915 412918 410924
      409928 409931 416935 419938 423939 428940 430942 434952
      436962 439965 442967 449971 455976 461981 466989 470998
      472001 476004 482019 485022 488024 495023 500026 505028
      509025 511022
 0.25 392077 393075 393073 392072 390070 389071 387072 387073
      386074 387075 388076 389077 390079 392079 392077
 0.25 383965 384960 383955 379947 380941 379936 375928 372921
      367916 359914 350914 341914 333913 315910 307910 298912
      291914 283918 278922 272927 268933 264939 260945 259954
      257962 258966 260970 264975 268983 271988 278993 285994
      294992 306985 320979 328977 335975 344974 354974 363975
      373974 379971 383965
 0.50 500267 501258 499252 495246 491240 485236 482234 482229
      481223 488223 491226 492232 496237 500238 501232 499224
      498221 495219 492218 490215 486210 485204 484202 480201
      474203 469207 463208 459210 454214 447216 443218 438221
      435225 429228 424225 421223 419219 419212 419207 417204
      409197 394192 366181 361182 357185 359190 363196 365198
      364202 357203 349203 346207 345215 346220 349226 351235
      353240 361244 365248 369253 372259 377262 380261 382259
      386252 392249 397249 413253 418265 424268 430267 440262
      450254 458249 465249 472249 478249 481250 485252 488258
      492264 497268 500267
 0.50 485959 485951 484943 482938 477934 469930 466930 462932
      454930 451933 452935 450937 449942 450947 455955 462962
      471967 476969 479969 483966 485959
 0.50 365938 364933 362925 358921 353918 339918 326916 314915
      306915 301916 295918 290922 281929 276937 272950 270955
      269964 270970 274975 276980 280984 286985 293985 298984
      303981 308978 314976 325973 337970 350968 355965 359962
      360955 363950 365938
 1.00 448241 447238 444237 438238 435239 431238 423234 418232
      415229 415225 416220 416215 410211 402201 396197 389194
      377187 370184 367183 363184 361186 362189 366195 373206
      371209 368209 359208 355210 353215 354219 355225 358231
      364234 370239 377250 378254 380253 383246 386242 393241
      401242 407241 413243 419246 424251 426253 431255 436253
      441250 448241
 1.00 350934 350930 348925 345923 339923 328923 323923 318922
      310922 301924 294929 288935 288941 287947 283956 282966
      286973 293979 297979 301977 315969 323965 334966 339966
      343964 345960 343956 342952 345949 349941 350934
 1.50 413226 414220 414216 411216 407213 404208 397201 388197
      381191 371186 368185 364186 365189 368194 373201 378210
      377213 375213 370213 358211 356214 357219 358223 361227
      366229 370231 378239 380240 382239 386237 395235 398232
      400227 398224 401223 401228 407231 411229 413226
 1.50 344939 344933 342929 337928 332929 324932 316933 313932
      315930 315927 312925 306926 304927 302931 305933 310934
      299942 294948 291956 291961 293965 298970 302971 305969
      312965 325958 337949 341944 344939
 2.00 411226 412222 412219 410218 406216 403212 397204 388199
      380193 372188 366187 370194 375201 381209 384213 382216
      378218 374218 371216 366217 363214 360213 359217 361219
      366223 375228 377231 381234 385234 390232 391227 389223
      390219 396217 403219 406224 407226 410226 411226
 2.00 340936 336935 330935 321939 314941 305945 298949 296954
      297959 303965 307964 311962 317958 325954 332949 337942
      340936
 3.00 401214 399209 396205 392203 389201 384198 381196 376194
      375195 377198 380202 383206 386208 389211 394214 399215
      401214
 3.00 328945 323943 317944 314946 310947 307951 306956 308959
      312957 316955 319952 323950 326947 328945
 4.00 397210 395207 394206 392206 391206 392208 392209 393210
      395211 396212 397210
 4.00 386203 385202 384200 383200 383202 383203 385204 386203

$$





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