Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 192029
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
429 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 20/0000 UTC THRU JUL 23/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...NORTHERN PLAINS / UPPER MIDWEST...

PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO THE EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION
AND AXES OF HEAVIER QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE NAM AND WRF-ARW/NMMB
ALL PRODUCE HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WI...WELL TO
THE NORTH OF THE GFS AND THE NSSL-WRF.  DIFFERENCES APPEAR TO BE
AT LEAST PARTIALLY ATTRIBUTED TO THE EVOLUTION OF ONGOING
CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN SD INTO SOUTHERN MN/NORTHERN IA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE GFS AND NSSL-WRF INTENSIFY ONGOING
CONVECTION AS IT DROPS FURTHER SOUTHEAST...WITH FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT UPSTREAM CONTRIBUTING TO AN AXIS OF HEAVY AMOUNTS
ACROSS SOUTHERN MN...NORTHEASTERN IA INTO NORTHWESTERN IL.  THIS
WOULD LIKELY INHIBIT MOISTURE ADVECTION AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
FURTHER TO THE NORTH.  THE NAM AND WRF-ARW/NMMB WEAKEN THE ONGOING
CONVECTION MORE QUICKLY AND ARE LESS BULLISH REDEVELOPING
CONVECTION UPSTREAM...WITH STRONGER LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND DEEPER
MOISTURE CONTRIBUTING TO HEAVY AMOUNTS FURTHER TO THE NORTH.
GIVEN THAT THE GFS AND THE NSSL-WRF APPEAR TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE
ON THE ONGOING CONVECTION...THE WPC QPF LEANS CLOSER TO THEIR
SOLUTIONS.  FURTHERMORE THE NAM LOOKS TO BE OVERDONE WITH ITS 70
KT 850 INFLOW WITH 2.25+ INCH PWS INTO CENTRAL WI OVERNIGHT
APPEARS OVERDONE.


...LOWER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

MID LEVEL ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH WED AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE BASE OF A BROADER SCALE
TROUGH...CROSSING THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION INTO WESTERN NY/PA
THU AFTERNOON EVENING.  THIS ENERGY INTERACTING WITH STRONG
MOISTURE ADVECTION ALONG AN AXIS OF DEEP WESTERLY INFLOW...ALONG
WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...MAY CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
HEAVY RAINS...WITH SOME OF THE LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWING LOCALLY
HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NY.

...SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND MID LEVEL ENERGY DRAWN NORTH ALONG THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTRIBUTE TO DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION ACROSS AZ NORTHWARD
INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND EAST INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH HIGH
PW ANOMALIES EXPECTED TO SUPPORT SOME LOCALLY HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS.

...DAYS 2 AND 3...


...ROCKIES/SOUTHWEST...

THE MONSOONAL FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
ROCKIES DURING DAYS 2 AND 3...PROVIDING SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR A
FLASH FLOOD THREAT ON BOTH DAYS. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL
AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
THE MONSOONAL FLOW CONTINUES TO FUNNEL DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST STATES (AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT NEAR 1.00
ACROSS THE ROCKIES...AND 1.50 INCHES OVER SOUTHWEST AZ). MARGINAL
TO MODERATE INSTABILITY... COMBINED WITH THE MOISTURE...WILL FUEL
SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION WHICH IS INITIALLY TIED TO THE
TERRAIN. THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW DECREASES MARKEDLY FROM DAY 1
INTO DAY 2...WHICH SHOULD FOSTER THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING AND
CELL MERGERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
AZ/SOUTHWEST NM. IN THESE AREAS...LOCAL 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF
WERE PLACED. MOST 12Z MODELS HAD LOCAL 2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS
ACROSS THIS AREA...SO A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM FOR DAY 2.

FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WASATCH RANGE IN UT...THE MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST AS AZ/NM...BUT MID LEVEL VORTICES
WITHIN THE RIDGE COULD PRODUCE POCKETS OF LIFT FOR ORGANIZATION.
AN AXIS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER THE
RANGE...AND LOCAL TRAINING COULD RESULT IN HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS
(WITH THE 12Z GFS MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS PROBABLY TOO HIGH AS
MOISTURE COULD END UP BEING THE LIMITING FACTOR HERE). WHILE THE
WPC QPF QPF AMOUNTS ARE MODEST...THERE ARE ENOUGH MODEL SIGNALS
FOR LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS TO MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT RISK HERE
FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSING THE NORTHERN ROCKIES LATE ON DAY 2 INTO
EARLY DAY 3 TEMPORARILY WEAKENS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE...BUT THE
RIDGE REASSERTS ITSELF AFTER THE SHORT WAVE PASSAGE. IN
GENERAL...CONDITIONS ON DAY 3 ARE EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO THOSE
OF DAY 2 WITH RESPECT TO MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. WEAK STEERING
WINDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES WILL ALSO PROMOTE SHORT TERM
TRAINING AND BACKBUILDING...AND A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM.
AGAIN...MOST 12Z MODELS HAD LOCAL 2.00+ INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS
THIS AREA...SO A SLIGHT RISK WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHWEST NM FOR DAY 3.

ACROSS THE CO ROCKIES...DEEP MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WILL FEED SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION...MAINLY TIED
TO THE TERRAIN. AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
HERE...BUT THERE IS STRONG SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z GUIDANCE SUITE FOR
LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS. BECAUSE OF THIS...A SLIGHT RISK AREA
WAS MAINTAINED FOR DAY 3.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...

CLUSTERS OF STORMS (OR MCS) ARE EXPECTED TO RIDE ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS ACROSS
THE UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES DURING DAYS 2 AND 3.
EACH CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR MCS MAY PRODUCE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...THOUGH THERE IS SOME SPREAD ON THE PLACEMENT OF THE
MAXIMUM QPF ASSOCIATED WITH EACH...ESPECIALLY ON DAY 3. IN AN
ATTEMPT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS...WITH MORE OF A
LEAN TOWARD THE 12Z GFS ON DAY 3 ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN A FAST MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AT THE START OF DAY 2 RIDES OVER A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM ND ACROSS NORTHERN IA INTO SOUTHERN MN INTO
SOUTHERN WI. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 2.00+ INCH PRECIPTABLE WATER ALONG AND
OVER THE FRONT...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED STRONG INSTABILITY.
THE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET
SHOULD FEED AN MCS THAT DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN SD AND TRACKS ACROSS
SOUTHERN MN AND SOUTHWEST WI BEFORE 21/12Z.

AN AXIS OF 1.75 TO 2.25 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THIS TRACK.
THE QPF MAXIMUM WAS PLACED JUST SOUTH OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE EXPECTED RESIDENCE OF THE BEST INSTABILITY. THREE
HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY HIGHER THAN THE WPC
QPF...BUT HEAVY RAINFALL FROM DAY 1 COULD SATURATE THE SOIL
LOCALLY... SO A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST SD INTO SOUTHERN NM FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
THE MCS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER 21/12Z AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
WEAKENS AND INSTABILITY IS CONSUMED. THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD
CONCERNING WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO LIE DURING
DAY 3...AS THE OUTFLOW FROM THE EARLIER MCS COULD PUSH IT FURTHER
SOUTH ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IA/NORTHERN IL (AS DEPICTED BY
THE 12Z GFS). WHILE THIS POSITION MAY BE TOO FAR SOUTH...A
POSITION FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS WAS USED WHEN THE
WPC QPF WAS CONSTRUCTED FOR DAY 3.

ANOTHER MCS IS EXPECTED TO FORM AHEAD OF A MUCH STRONGER SHORT
WAVE TRACKING FROM WEST CENTRAL CANADA TO NORTHERN MN DURING DAY
3. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE...A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 2.00+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR AND STRONG
INSTABILITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MN/NORTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN WI INTO THE LP OF MI. AN AXIS OF 2.00 TO 2.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE MCS...WHICH WAS
SOUTH OF BOTH OF THE 12Z ECMWF/NAM. PROPAGATION VECTORS SUGGEST
THAT TRAINING COULD RESULT IN LOCAL TRAINING...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. THE DAY 3 SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ADJUSTED SOUTHWARD TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE FURTHER SOUTH TRACK OF THE MCS...FOLLOWING THE
BEST INSTABILITY.


...OH VALLEY/NORTHEAST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY RIDING ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
THE OH VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST PROVIDES LIFT FOR SOME CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION...AND THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY EARLY DURING DAY 2. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF
WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
AN ONGOING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX (OR SMALL MCS) IS EXPECTED TO CROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN OH VALLEY AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY
STATES DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2. THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND
INSTABILITY SUPPORTS AXES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE DUE TO SHORT TERM TRAINING. WHILE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 1.00 TO 1.50 INCHES...MAINLY OVER WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NY STATE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS WEEK. WITH WET
ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...A MARGINAL RISK WAS MAINTAINED FOR MUCH OF
THIS AREA FOR DAY 2.

DAY 3...
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BECOMES FOCUSED ON A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES OVER THE OH VALLEY DURING DAY
3. THE BEST MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75
AND 2.00 INCHES) AND INSTABILITY ARE FOCUSED OVER IN/OH...WHERE AN
AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED. THERE ARE SOME 12Z
MODEL SUITE MEMBERS WITH LOCAL 1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS...AND THESE
AMOUNTS ARE CLOSE TO THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL OH. WITH THIS IN MIND...A MARGINAL RISK
REMAINS IN PLACE HERE FOR DAY 3.


...SOUTHEAST/GULF COAST...

DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG INSTABILITY...FOCUSED PRIMARILY ON
MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES...WILL FEED SCATTERED TO BROKEN CONVECTION
THAT PRODUCES LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ON DAYS 2 AND 3. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A MULTI MODEL BLEND.

DEEP MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 2.00 AND
2.50 INCHES) AND MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL FEED MAINLY
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM FL ACROSS THE GULF
COAST TO LA/TX EACH DAY. SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING IS FAIRLY
WEAK...WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED ON MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES...SUCH AS SEA/BAY BREEZES...AS WELL AS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM OTHER CONVECTION. FOR THE MOST PART...LOCAL 0.50
TO 1.00 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A MUCH BROADER AREA OF
0.25 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE GULF COAST AND FL...WHICH COULD RESULT
IN LOCAL RUNOFF ISSUES.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


PEREIRA/HAYES


24HR QP VT 21/00Z
 0.01 533190 535176 536161 536155 535149 533144 531143 528140
      525139 520138 517139 511139 508140 503142 498147 492153
      490157 489165 488177 488188 490198 489204 486207 481212
      476212 473213 469212 465214 456214 451217 452223 456224
      460227 459232 456234 448234 441237 435242 434245 439247
      445252 454255 464257 474260 480261 488260 496262 499261
      503258 508253 512244 513240 516235 520229 525220 530205
      532194 533190
 0.01 513996 513991 510993 507995 502995 500998 497998 495000
      491006 478019 470025 461030 453034 442032 439029 438023
      436017 437012 441000 445992 448988 451987 457987 460986
      466979 467974 468965 468950 470941 473937 475929 474919
      473914 469889 465864 463854 464841 464836 464828 463821
      461814 459807 459799 460794 458788 456774 455769 453762
      452759 452755 454752 458745 459740 461735 466728 479710
      489691 494682 495677 494669 492663 489658 485656 481657
      477662 469668 460671 458672 458674 459683 461688 461693
      458702 448717 446722 443726 436728 432732 431736 436735
      443734 443737 442743 437745 432746 428744 425740 424733
      426728 425722 422718 418719 416729 414739 412744 413752
      414766 414775 409802 406810 405815 401819 395824 388829
      382835 376840 373842 375848 378850 383852 388850 392848
      397847 401850 405859 407863 403866 401871 400877 400886
      403897 405908 414931 416940 417955 417980 417998 416005
      413010 408021 405030 404037 403041 402045 400044 399041
      397040 394039 391041 389044 388049 384053 377053 379056
      380057 378060 369063 367061 368059 370055 372053 367052
      357051 354058 357061 358064 360069 364072 370078 374089
      375092 373093 369090 363083 355078 348064 341056 334053
      327051 322048 315043 312040 308038 302037 297037 294042
      296047 300051 304053 309059 309065 305065 300063 301060
      301057 300056 296052 289049 285047 280047 275054 272054
      269053 266051 261051 256052 252050 248052 244056 242060
      246062 252069 258075 265079 270084 272088 273094 280102
      285110 290116 297121 305126 321129 328123 335124 344132
      347135 353136 359137 362140 362144 360147 356149 356153
      360156 369153 382153 387152 390150 395150 399149 403147
      405144 406137 405133
 0.01 405133 402129 405124 409122 415121 418119 424118 427122
      430121 434119 439118 448116 455096 454090 451087 444086
      441081 443077 446076 448078 450073 453069 456066 461063
      467064 470061 473056 475051 482042 493023 506009 511003
      513996
 0.01 499939 500929 500919 499909 498898 495883 491871 487864
      485866 482882 481889 478897 478905 478914 485924 492934
      494940 496943 498942 499939
 0.01 404792 389785 386783 384785 382792 384795 387796 387800
      383802 378805 374811 369817 365818 363820 351826 346831
      344834 344838 343846 339852 330861 333866 334869 337869
      343869 348865 354862 357863 360862 363855 365847 359835
      360832 365829 369829 372825 376818 378815 383814 387815
      388820 389823 391816 394807 397802 404792
 0.01 353775 353766 349769 347772 346773 344772 342770 340768
      341765 346761 348757 348752 346750 343749 338753 334747
      332746 329746 315753 302759 292765 280772 274774 265777
      251782 244785 239789 237795 236801 237810 239820 243826
      250828 256829 262830 260835 262840 270841 271844 272850
      273869 274888 275904 281919 284925 288931 293935 291941
      288955 284971 284979 290974 296963 301952 303945 305941
      305936 305924 306914 306907 308901 311886 314869 317852
      323840 327836 333833 337832 338830 338820 348794 351783
      353775
 0.01 336165 332163 329161 324159 321156 315156 312154 308153
      310156 314159 318161 321164 326165 330166 334165 336165
 0.01 316809 315807 313807 311807 309807 307806 305806 304806
      302807 301808 302809 304810 306810 308811 310811 311811
      313811 315810 316809
 0.01 257006 258000 256996 253993 250990 247988 242986 238987
      236991 236997 238000 242003 245006 249007 253009 256007
      257006
 0.25 466917 465906 464899 462890 461877 458869 457865 456860
      456852 456842 455832 454824 450803 448795 445788 439773
      436765 433759 429753 426751 423754 422763 422773 422782
      420790 416803 415812 414815 416816 423802 426803 427807
      429814 432832 433843 432847 429851 426853 423853 419847
      412838 410835 406834 405836 407845 411852 425874 429868
      432869 433871 437878 438883 437887 434892 427892 420889
      415886 413886 410888 409895 410903 413913 418928 423942
      426950 428958 428966 428979 427990 427000 430000 432997
      435992 438984 439977 444973 451974 456975 459972 460962
      461948 464931 466917
 0.25 441105 439100 438096 435093 431091 429091 428094 428101
      425104 425108 429108 433107 437105 440105 441105
 0.25 420067 420065 419063 418062 418061 416062 415062 414062
      412062 411063 410066 410068 412070 413070 415069 417068
      419067 420067
 0.25 411108 411099 410095 408093 400102 397102 394105 393108
      391109 384108 381107 378109 374114 371120 371125 372128
      374134 379139 382141 386142 391138 390134 389132 381129
      384124 389120 395118 400115 403113 407113 411108
 0.25 354120 352116 349112 343107 345103 345097 342089 337082
      332080 330083 333091 333097 334103 337106 341107 345116
      352121 354120
 0.25 328111 329105 327102 322093 318086 311081 294073 286070
      281063 277062 272061 264058 261059 260062 264070 270076
      275083 277092 283098 293112 300117 305118 310118 315119
      320118 326113 328111
 0.25 305831 300824 294818 290817 289812 287807 286802 293797
      296794 297790 295786 290785 281785 272788 264792 257796
      250802 249806 251811 257816 264821 272824 286832 283827
      288825 294825 301829 303832 305831
 0.25 303842 303840 303838 301840 300840 299842 299844 299846
      301845 302844 303844 303842
 0.25 298929 298926 297925 297924 296922 295921 295920 294918
      293918 292916 292915 290915 289916 288918 288920 289922
      290924 290925 290927 292929 294930 296930 297929 298929
 0.50 462915 462906 459896 456887 454876 453868 452862 450857
      448855 444855 441856 439858 439864 440868 442877 443890
      444901 445907 443913 441914 438912 431900 424897 417895
      413895 412902 414910 416918 419926 426941 428949 431959
      431965 431972 430983 445966 451970 454966 454961 454951
      452942 451936 450933 451933 453937 455940 458938 460930
      462915
 0.50 451843 452838 451832 449821 446805 442798 439791 434775
      432767 429762 427759 426764 426772 428788 430795 432804
      433813 436821 438830 440837 445842 447844 451844 451843
 0.50 408105 409103 409101 409098 408097 407098 407100 407103
      407105 407106 408105
 0.50 396112 394112 392113 391113 389114 387115 385115 387116
      388116 390116 391116 392116 394115 395115 396113 396112
 0.50 382115 381115 380114 380115 381115 382115
 0.50 318114 320110 319106 317101 314096 309097 305093 308089
      306084 301080 290079 282073 279073 280076 283082 282093
      289102 296111 300114 305114 309113 313115 318114
 0.50 280807 279801 279796 275795 271796 264797 259799 254802
      252806 256811 260814 264817 268817 268814 269812 273811
      280809 280807
 1.00 454903 454901 454898 455896 454894 453891 452889 451888
      449889 449891 448894 448896 448899 450901 451903 451904
      453904 454903
 1.00 449959 449949 448942 446935 443928 437918 430909 429902
      422900 417900 415905 416912 419919 421924 425928 428933
      430940 434954 437960 442957 446959 449959
 1.00 312109 311108 311107 310106 309104 308104 307104 307106
      308107 310108 311109 312109
 1.00 303108 304104 302101 299099 298097 296094 295093 291094
      290096 292098 293100 294102 295105 297107 300109 303108
 1.00 270804 269802 268801 266801 265801 263801 261802 259802
      258803 258805 260805 261806 263806 265806 267805 269805
      270804 270804
 1.50 442940 442933 440928 435921 430914 427910 427906 428904
      426903 420903 417906 417910 421919 428925 431935 434945
      435949 438952 440949 442940
 2.00 437937 438933 436929 435926 434923 432921 430919 429919
      429922 431926 433928 433933 435935 435940 436940 437937
 2.00 426916 426914 425912 424910 422910 421912 422914 422915
      423916 424917 426916 426916

24HR QP VT 22/00Z
 0.01 527031 528024 527018 523006 522001 521994 520986 516985
      512985 510985 509982 507972 504963 501954 496944 491936
      487934 484937 482942 481949 480952 478954 473950 467942
      461918 453898 449891 446877 430850 434840 437835 438829
      439799 444774 446761 447756 449752 452743 454732 459730
      462733 467733 472731 481719 488701 491689 493683 493676
      494671 491664 485656 478652 474651 469652 458657 451664
      450668 448669 447666 445658 443656 439653 435654 427659
      420665 416671 410676 405683 401687 399693 399700 401707
      403710 403714 402720 401725 402731 400755 398760 395761
      394764 392769 392771 389774 380771 375776 373779 372785
      370797 355825 345839 343843 343850 344856 347857 359841
      364831 370829 373826 373823 375822 378822 379825 380832
      381837 383848 384856 383861 382866 381871 380875 381879
      384888 390894 397900 400903 402907 406917 410929 414940
      417952 419964 420973 420980 417989 413991 410996 401012
      397020 393027 391031 390035 389040 386045 383047 377047
      367049 359052 355055 353059 350061 348058 345054 342050
      337047 329042 321037 312036 308034 302034 296033 292034
      286034 282036 277041 276049 274052 273058 272070 274082
      278094 282101 289108 305120 322126 341133 349137 355138
      359137 377139 384138 385142 389145 393147 396147 398145
      400141 401138 399138 397134 398130 402126 407124 411120
      416121 419118 422115 426113 435110 439108 441105 443101
      443094 442089 442084 446082 449085 452088 455083 455078
      452074 450070 452064 454061 458059 464055 473052 476050
      481050 488058 495061 498057 500056 501058 503063 507066
      511052 515052 519050 522046 524041 527031
 0.01 445700 444698 442696 443693 443691 443689 442686 440685
      440687 439690 438692 438695 439697 440698 441699 442700
      443701 444702 445700
 0.01 335804 334796 329797 322805 316808 310811 302812 297809
      297802 299795 300785 289778 278772 267769 261769 256771
      248781 242793 240797 241801 243803 247813 253826 260836
      264842 267847 272857 275861 277869 281885 283887 283892
      285899 290909 293915 295923 295932 295936 294939 293943
      292946 289952 284962 282969 281976 285979 290977 298967
      303957 305952 309947 313940 317935 320930 324925 327921
      328919 328916 330909 330899 333882 334876 334866 333858
      331853 326839 323833 322823 322819 324816 326812 335804
 0.25 522036 522030 521025 519021 517018 513018 511015 508009
      505006 503003 501005 498003 492997 488987 478975 474971
      468968 462964 460963 458964 455966 452966 453959 453951
      452947 450924 450916 450905 447896 445892 443889 439887
      435887 427889 423889 420888 415881 413873 411865 410853
      410847 409840 408836 408829 411821 416814 418805 418800
      416797 414795 410796 405799 398801 401809 398811 396814
      395819 392821 389824 388827 390835 393843 395851 398862
      398868 400875 402878 405880 416906 422925 425933 427945
      427957 428967 429976 430986 428997 427006 431014 434018
      436019 442015 444010 444004 443995 443990 446989 452992
      455988 459987 466992 472997 476004 480011 483017 489022
      501023 504032 507040 511039 515040 520039 522036
 0.25 482672 481665 477664 472666 470671 469675 467680 468684
      472688 474687 477684 479679 481675 482672
 0.25 440728 433726 429726 427731 426739 426750 429762 431771
      434773 437770 438765 438760 436751 438743 438738 438732
      440728
 0.25 432684 431682 429679 426681 425684 424686 423690 423694
      425698 427699 428697 429695 431691 431687 432684
 0.25 409066 405063 408061 409053 409049 406047 401049 397052
      394055 391059 382065 378066 375071 375078 379082 384083
      387087 391084 395080 397077 401074 404069 408066 409066
 0.25 391116 390115 389114 387115 385115 383115 381115 380117
      379117 379119 379121 379122 381123 382123 384122 385122
      386121 387120 388119 389118 390117 391116
 0.25 366124 367121 364119 358119 354115 349112 346107 344103
      344099 345090 345082 343078 339075 331073 326071 322072
      320074 317074 313070 312067 308067 304070 293068 287068
      284070 281075 282082 285093 287097 291102 295105 300107
      305109 311108 317110 322112 327115 332112 336110 340112
      343116 348120 366124
 0.25 365092 364088 361087 359085 355085 354082 352080 349081
      350085 351088 353090 355092 358093 362093 365092
 0.25 336060 336058 334057 332057 330056 329056 327056 326057
      326059 326060 328061 330061 332061 334061 335061 336060
 0.25 315886 315883 315881 315879 315877 314875 312873 310875
      310877 310880 310882 310884 311886 312888 313889 314888
      314886 315886
 0.25 292795 291790 285789 274787 270785 267787 266790 263793
      259796 256800 256805 256810 258813 262815 268816 278817
      283819 285816 287812 288806 289801 292797 292795
 0.25 294834 293830 292828 289826 287826 284825 281825 280826
      278829 278832 280834 282835 285835 288836 291836 294834
 0.50 488010 489004 488998 487995 484992 479992 474992 475987
      477983 477979 476976 470979 470983 472989 475995 480002
      483008 485011 488010
 0.50 447954 448949 448944 447933 447922 447911 445903 442897
      437894 434895 432897 428903 426912 427921 429930 431938
      431949 432968 434976 435980 438981 441975 443969 445960
      447954
 0.50 354117 352117 351116 350117 351117 352118 354117
 0.50 342098 342093 341088 338084 336081 332079 328081 330082
      332086 335089 335093 336097 340099 342098
 0.50 326098 325096 324094 323093 322092 320091 318092 318093
      317095 318096 320097 322098 323098 325099 326098
 0.50 315090 316088 313086 310085 306083 301082 297082 293085
      291087 290094 292097 296099 301099 304097 307094 310092
      315091 315090
 0.50 285796 284794 282793 280792 278792 277792 276793 275793
      273794 273795 273797 274798 275799 277799 279800 281800
      283799 284798 284797 285796
 0.50 280809 278808 276808 276809 276810 278809 280809
 0.50 266812 264811 264810 264811 264813 266813 266812
 1.00 444949 444943 442937 442931 443923 441910 440904 438899
      434904 433917 434928 435942 435952 437962 438964 441959
      444949
 1.50 442949 442947 440945 439947 438948 438949 437952 437954
      437957 438958 440957 441954 442952 442951 442949
 1.50 440923 440921 440918 439916 438914 438911 436912 436914
      435916 435918 435921 436923 438926 439926 440925 440923

24HR QP VT 23/00Z
 0.01 518278 519265 519259 517254 512236 508228 503222 499221
      496218 493220 492225 492230 493235 493241 491238 484234
      482237 483242 478249 476253 476258 480265 485274 487282
      493287 496287 500289 503292 507293 512290 516284
 0.01 536981 536973 536967 533956 530933 530924 528917 526904
      523894 518885 515883 513878 511872 510864 504859 500860
      497862 490868 487872 482873 478871 474867 472864 469858
      463837 460829 455822 445807 439798 433792 429785 425776
      418753 414742 414730 411724 408719 403725 396742 394746
      391746 387746 384748 381750 378754 374763 372767 371774
      371779 370785 365794 360804 355812 352821 349831 348835
      348841 348844 350844 354846 357850 360850 361847 358843
      364838 367835 369838 370843 372844 377846 376852 376856
      377861 379868 382873 384877 388880 400889 405896 407907
      412918 412930 412938 409946 405956 401964 401970 400974
      400979 401983 404986 404991 396008 390017 386020 381021
      364031 361041 357049 349053 344054 337052 331048 326047
      324047 319048 319055 319065 319070 317069 313062 311051
      314042 313037 309033 303033 297035 291034 287035 285037
      286040 285044 287047 288051 285055 281056 276054 269049
      266050 263054 262058 262064 264074 264080 266085 269091
      273098 279103 290115 296120 302121 308121 316123 326127
      336126 339124 343127 345131 350133 362137 367137 370136
      377137 383129 388123 399115 399110 395111 391112 385113
      384108 381105 378108 377111 374110 374102 378099 381096
      383094 385095 389094 391096 392100 396106 400107 402104
      401099 399095 398090 400084 406075 412070 416062 414055
      408049 412036 416034 421034 426035 429033 431032 432029
      434024 434008 434001 431996 428994 426999 423002 423995
      426984 426973 426970 427966 429964 433974 444986 449993
      452001 455005 458008 463008 465006 469004 474006 481013
      487019 491026 504037 510038 514036 520031 526021 531010
      531001 533994 536981
 0.01 470681 469674 467669 464666 460669 458673 453675 450674
      446675 442684 439690 438694 436703 433713 435717 438719
      440726 439731 437735 436741 439745 441748 445747 448744
      450733 453743 456744 458742 461739 464731 466719 468708
      470697 470681
 0.01 347884 347875 344873 342875 339877 339862 335855 329852
      325850 321851 313853 308857 303857 301855 295836 291839
      289847 288851 286855 282860 275874 276896 274904 272913
      271933 272941 275950 281954 285954 287955 288958 288962
      290966 292968 296969 302965 307960 311943 313933 313922
      322911 330909 337905 347884
 0.01 317774 316767 314763 309762 303763 297764 293767 281769
      273775 264781 260783 257787 254791 253796 255799 257805
      257812 261817 267822 276827 298828 302829 307827 309822
      308818 301811 297808 295806 295803 303798 309789 315783
      317774
 0.25 512274 513266 513261 512255 511251 508247 504248 504252
      502257 502264 501267 502272 504276 506279 510279 512274
      512274
 0.25 528984 529976 529970 527960 522953 518945 515933 513920
      508900 504892 502889 498890 493896 490900 486900 482902
      480906 480911 476914 470917 468913 468905 469900 469894
      466888 462878 461864 458854 454844 450835 445829 439825
      436818 431809 428801 424789 421781 417772 413765 408757
      404764 398781 395789 393798 396810 399818 401828 403839
      404852 404866 409888 412898 416905 420913 422920 425931
      428940 433947 438949 442947 447939 448928 451920 453917
      454920 459928 462931 466930 472927 474928 479930 480935
      481939 479946 476949 473957 470964 469969 469974 472985
      473989 477992 484999 486000 489999 494992 495987 499988
      498995 500005 505013 508016 512018 517020 523019 526010
      526004 525996 528984
 0.25 498266 497263 496260 496259 494258 494259 494260 495262
      495263 496265 497266 498266
 0.25 396062 396056 393051 391047 388046 385047 382050 378051
      375047 372046 367048 365052 360055 361057 365057 369059
      373064 375075 377080 379082 383081 386078 388073 395066
      396062
 0.25 387118 387117 385117 383116 381116 380117 379117 379119
      379120 381121 383121 385120 386119 387118
 0.25 380814 379809 375808 371807 367809 364813 363816 359821
      359825 361824 364820 367818 370817 375819 377819 380817
      380814 380814
 0.25 367122 366121 365120 363120 362121 363122 364123 366123
      367122
 0.25 354122 356118 354115 349112 344110 343105 344100 343093
      342087 342078 339074 334075 329078 325081 319082 315081
      309079 305075 298069 284067 278067 275071 274075 277081
      288095 298101 306107 314114 320115 324112 328110 332107
      336107 339108 342111 349118 352121 354122
 0.25 316890 316888 315886 314885 312884 311886 310888 309890
      310892 311893 313893 314892 315892 316890
 0.25 308911 308909 308908 308907 306905 304905 302906 301907
      300907 299910 297912 298914 299914 301916 303916 304916
      305916 306915 308914 308912 308911
 0.25 288789 285786 281788 276790 274793 269795 265796 268798
      269800 272801 277799 279796 282794 286791 288789
 0.25 291931 291924 291918 291912 291906 289901 286899 282902
      281906 281912 282918 283923 285926 286929 287933 290932
      291931
 0.25 278819 277817 276815 275815 273814 272814 271814 269813
      268814 268815 267816 268818 270819 271820 272821 274822
      276822 277821 278819
 0.50 523981 524973 523965 519955 515946 510935 508931 507926
      506917 505908 504903 501899 499898 495901 488908 486914
      486922 489935 492946 496955 495962 496970 501975 505980
      506985 506001 508007 511011 514013 520015 522012 523008
      522999 521995 521989 523981
 0.50 450850 450848 449846 449845 448843 447842 447843 447846
      448848 449850 449851 450850
 0.50 447872 439839 434825 428812 424806 423797 420789 417782
      413778 407778 404784 401790 403797 406804 409811 412819
      413828 414834 413844 411852 410861 411872 415891 420903
      422911 425919 432930 436936 438938 441937 442935 443930
      443919 443897 446884 447872
 0.50 382074 381073 381072 380071 379071 379074 379075 381075
      382074
 0.50 354117 352116 351117 352119 354118 354117
 0.50 342098 342096 342095 342094 341091 340090 339091 337092
      336093 335095 335097 336099 338100 340100 341099 342098
 0.50 322095 321093 320091 319091 319090 317090 315090 315091
      313092 313094 314096 316097 318097 319097 320097 322095
 0.50 305083 305082 303080 303078 301079 300078 298078 296078
      294078 292078 291079 291081 292083 294083 295084 297084
      299085 301085 303085 305083 305083
 1.00 512955 512954 511952 510950 510949 509949 507947 507946
      505945 505944 504943 503944 504945 504947 505949 506950
      506952 507954 507955 509956 510957 511957 512956 512955
 1.00 496919 496916 496914 495913 494913 493914 493916 493919
      494920 495919 496919
 1.00 436918 437910 436903 435896 434890 429878 426867 424860
      422854 419855 418857 418865 418873 420881 424893 425898
      425907 426913 429919 432922 436923 436918
 1.50 433904 433899 432895 431892 430890 429887 427884 425886
      425890 426893 427897 427900 429904 431906 433904
 2.00 431900 431897 429895 429894 429895 429897 429899 430900
      431901 431900

$$





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