Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 122132
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
432 PM EST SUN FEB 12 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID FEB 13/0000 UTC THRU FEB 16/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

...NORTHEAST U.S...

AT 500 MB THE MODELS INDICATE AN INCREDIBLE 300 METER 12-HOUR
HEIGHT FALL OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT. ALL THE
MORE REASON TO FAVOR THE MORE INTENSE SURFACE REFLECTION IN THE
ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN MODELS AS THE COASTAL CYCLONE GETS SPUN UP
THIS EVENING OFF OF CAPE COD. PER THE WPC MODEL DIAGNOSTIC
DISCUSSION WE CONTINUE TO PLACE THE LEAST WEIGHTING ON THE GFS
SOLUTION. EVEN WHEN SYSTEMS ARE WELL HANDLED THERE IS OFTEN A FAIR
AMOUNT OF RUN TO RUN VARIABILITY IN QPF FROM A PARTICULAR MODEL.
IN THIS CASE THE ECMWF HAS BEEN REMARKABLY STEADY AND THE WPC
SOLUTION IS WEIGHTED A LITTLE MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF RATHER THAN A
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. AT THE SAME TIME...HOWEVER...THERE ARE SOME
CONSISTENT MESOSCALE SIGNALS SHOWING UP ACROSS MULTIPLE
MODELS...INCLUDING THE ECMWF...THAT SUGGEST WE MAY NEED TO MAKE
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS THIS AFTERNOON...TO BETTER EMPHASIZE
UPSLOPE ENHNACEMENT INLAND OVER WESTERN MAINE STRADDLING HIGHWAY
2...AND ALSO TO BETTER EMPHASIZE THE PRIMARY FRONTOGENETICAL BAND
HUGGING THE COAST OF MAINE OVERNIGHT. WE MAY USE THE NAM TO MAKE
SOME OF THESE ADJUSTMENTS. ALTHOUGH NAM QPF IS OFTEN TOO HEAVY TOO
FAR TO THE NORTH OF DEVELOPING CYCLONES...IT TENDS TO PERFORM
BETTER FOR VERY ROBUST CYCLOGENESIS...WHICH THIS WILL BE.

GENERALLY SPEAKING...WE EXPECT AT LEAST ONE INCH LIQUID
EQUIVALENTS FROM THE NORTHERN SIDE OF BOSTON UP THROUGH EASTERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE AND COVERING MOST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
MAINE...WHILE AMOUNTS OVER 1.5 INCHES WILL BE MORE COMMON WITH
EASTWARD EXTENT...PERHAPS EXCEEDING 2 INCHES OVER DOWN EAST MAINE.

PLEASE SEE THE WPC HEAVY SNOWFALL DISCUSSION AND LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR INFORMATION ON ASSOCIATED HEAVY
SNOW...WINDS...AND OTHER HAZARDS.


...SOUTHWEST U.S....

THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF AND GEFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS REMAIN SIMILAR IN
SLOWLY PIVOTING AND THEN EASTWARD ADVANCING THE CLOSED UPPER LOW
NOW FORMING OVER BAJA. ENHANCED DEEP-LAYER FORCING PER THE
DIFLUENT MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE NORTH AND EAST PERIPHERY
OF THE DEEPENING LOW SHOULD SUPPORT CONVECTIVELY AND
OROGRAPHICALLY-AIDED SHOWERS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS STATES...WITH
EMPHASIS ON SOUTHERN AZ/NM WHERE TERRAIN WILL INTERCEPT THE
STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW. FORCING WILL INCREASE OUT INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS MONDAY...WITH A MODIFIED GULF AIR MASS RETURNING
NORTHWARD...AND UPGLIDE NORTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTRIBUTING
TO ASCENT. WITH RESPECT TO QPF...AGAIN SIMILAR TO OTHER STORMS IN
THE CURRENT FLOW REGIME...THE ECMWF HAS BEEN VERY STEADY FROM RUN
TO RUN...AND IS FAVORED FOR HEAVIER WEIGHTS IN THE WPC FORECAST.
WE STARTED WITH A 50/30/20 BLEND OF THE ECMWF / NAM CONUS NEST /
IN-HOUSE ENSEMBLE. THIS RESULTED IN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE...BUT WE
DID BACK UP THE QPF ACROSS WEST TEXAS A BIT...BETTER SYNCING WITH
MID LEVEL FORCING PER THE ECMWF. WE ALSO EXPANDED QPF NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE TX/OK PANHNADLES...BUT DECREASED SOMEWHAT IN PARTS OF
NORTHWEST NM AND NORTHEAST AZ...SHELTERED FROM THE DEEP LAYER
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS OCCURRING FARTHER SOUTH.

PLEASE SEE THE WPC HEAVY SNOWFALL DISCUSSION AND LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR INFORMATION ON ASSOCIATED HEAVY
SNOW...WINDS...AND OTHER HAZARDS.


DAYS 2 AND 3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY CHOPPING DOWN THE MID LEVEL RIDGE ON DAY 3
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TAP DEEPENING MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER... PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE 12Z GFS MAY BE A BIT FAST
BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE...BUT OVERALL THE MODEL TIMING OF THE
INFLUX OF DEEPER MOISTURE WITH THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS FAIRLY
GOOD...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM A STRONG CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA DURING DAY 2 BEGINS BREAKING DOWN THE MID LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ON DAY 3...THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY
BEGINS TAPPING A DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME (WITH ITS ORIGINS
NORTH OF HAWAII)...WHICH BEGINS AFFECTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY
15/12Z. THE INITIAL SLUG OF DEEP MOISTURE IS USHERED TO THE WA/OR
COAST ON A 55 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHWEST INFLOW...AS 1.25 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) IMPACTS THE NORTHERN OR COASTAL RANGE
AND THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN WA. AN AXIS OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED HERE...WITH THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THE OLYMPICS
(WHERE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS NEARLY PERPENDICULAR TO THE TERRAIN).
LESSER AMOUNTS (GENERALLY BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES) WERE
PLACED IN THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE WA CASCADES.

AS THE MOISTURE PLUME DROPS SOUTH DURING DAY 3...THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW POINTS THE 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ON THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST OR AND NORTHWEST CA. THERE WAS A FAIRLY
STRONG MODEL SIGNAL FOR 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES OF QPF HERE...AS THE
LOW LEVEL FLOW IS MORE PERPENDICULAR TO THE TERRAIN THAT FURTHER
NORTH.


...SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ON AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL INFLOW AHEAD
OF A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST STATES
WILL FEED CONVECTION THAT COULD PRODUCE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF TX AND FAR SOUTH CENTRAL OK ON DAY 2.
THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE
CLOSED LOW...AS THE 12Z ECMWF SPED UP ITS SOLUTION. BECAUSE OF THE
BETTER TIMING...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z
ECMWF/GFS.

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS FROM SOUTHWEST
NM EARLY ON DAY 2 TO POSITION OVER NORTH TX/OK...WHILE OPENING
INTO A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH. AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL
SYSTEM...A 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.50
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ACROSS CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST
TX...MAINLY IN THE 14/18Z TO 15/00Z TIME FRAME. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOWED MARGINAL TO LOCALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE MOISTURE
PLUME...AND THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS
EXPECTED TO FEED CONVECTION THAT CROSSES CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TX
BEFORE 15/00Z. WHILE THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
PRIMARILY OUTFLOW DOMINATED...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED TIME FRAME FOR CORFIDI VECTORS TO BECOME BETTER
ALIGNED WITH THE 850-300 MB FLOW...WHICH COULD PROMOTE TRAINING.

A SWATH OF 3.00 TO 3.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED FROM KJCT
THROUGH KMWL...WITH 2.00 INCH QPF AMOUNTS EXTENDED INTO FAR SOUTH
CENTRAL OK (AS WELL AS THE DALLAS METROPLEX). THREE HOUR FLASH
FLOOD VALUES FROM KJCT THROUGH KMWL GENERALLY RUN BETWEEN 2.00 AND
3.00 INCHES...SO A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS MAINTAINED HERE FOR DAY 2.
A MARGINAL RISK WAS EXTENDED INTO NORTHEAST TX FOR POTENTIAL
RUNOFF ISSUES...AS THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE
GENERALLY ABOVE 3.00 INCHES HERE.


...GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST....

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND SOUTHEAST
ON DAY 3 BECOMES ABSORBED INTO A COLD FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN MID
ATLANTIC. AHEAD OF THE LOW AND ITS COLD FRONT...A PLUME OF GULF
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL FEED LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL. TIMING OF THE SURFACE LOW AND ITS MID LEVEL
SUPPORT HAS IMPROVED AMONG THE 12Z MODEL SOLUTIONS...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRACKS FROM SOUTHWEST LA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES DURING DAY 3...BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED BY A STRONGER
COLD FRONT CROSSING THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW (AND ALONG ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT)...A 35 TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25
INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR ACROSS PORTIONS OF MS INTO AL AND GA.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY CLOSER TO THE GULF
COAST...AND THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW TOPPED CONVECTION
ACROSS LA/MS INTO SOUTHERN MS AND SOUTHERN GA. AX AXIS OF 0.75 TO
1.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE ABOVEMENTIONED AXIS...WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST LA (WHERE SHORT TERM TRAINING
IS POSSIBLE). THE PROGRESSIVE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM...AS WELL AS
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ABOVE 2.50 NICHES...SHOULD
PRECLUDE A THREAT FOR ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING ON DAY 3.


...NORTHEAST...

A STRONG SURFACE LOW DEPARTS DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY
2...AFFECTING MAINLY EASTERN ME. A CLOSED LEVEL TRACKS FROM
ONTARIO INTO NORTHERN NY STATES...AS LOW PRESSURE FORMS NEAR THE
ME COAST DURING DAY 3. THERE IS SOME SPREAD ON THE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW THAT DEVELOPS NEAR THE ME COAST ON
DAY 3...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON THE PAST TWO ECMWF
MODEL SOLUTIONS.

THE STRONG SURFACE LOW (AND ITS ATTENDANT MID LEVEL CENTER) WILL
EXIT SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SCOTIA EARLY ON DAY 2. THE BEST MID LEVEL
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THESE SYSTEM WILL OCCUR ON THE WEST
SIDE...WHICH MEANS PORTIONS OF DOWNEAST ME COULD RECEIVE 0.10 TO
0.25 INCHES OF QPF AS THE SYSTEM LIFTS OUT.

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES EARLY ON DAY 2
WILL TRACK TOWARD NORTHERN NY STATE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD,
AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM (AND ITS CLIPPER LIKE SURFACE
LOW)...LOW LEVEL INFLOW AHEAD OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT BECOMES
FOCUSED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NY STATE. A LARGE AREA OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED HERE...AS THE SURFACE LOW WEAKENS.

A SECONDARY LOW FORMS ON A LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ME (AND NEARBY GULF OF ME) BETWEEN
15/18Z AND 16/00Z. AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...A LOW LEVEL
SOUTHEAST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER ALONG THE
ME COAST...WHERE THE INFLOW BECOMES UPSLOPE. THE MOISTURE BECOMES
FOCUSED ON AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE MID COAST OF ME
INTO THE WESTERN ME MOUNTAINS. ALONG THIS AXIS...THERE WAS GOOD
AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE 12Z ECMWF/GFS FOR AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50
INCHES OF QPF (WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...BUT THESE TWO MODELS
ARE NOT AGREEMENT AS THE PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHER QPF) ALONG THE
TROUGH.  HOWEVER...THE PLACEMENT OF THE TROUGH MAY IN FLUX...AND
THE FOCUS FOR THE HIGHER QPF COULD SHIFT WITH SUBSEQUENT MODEL
RUNS...MAKING THIS A QPF WITH LESS THAN AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BURKE/HAYES

24HR QP VT 14/00Z
 0.01 471620 478637 482651 485664 484688 482711 498740 496753
      494762 492773 489783 485791 482799 477808 476813 473818
      469841 467853 467859 465863 463864 460862 458859 457853
      454852 451854 448856 444855 443851 448844 450840 450836
      448831 446828 442825 439824 432822 426818 424813 422811
      419812 412817 409815 407809 401802 391804 385809 382811
      378812 376811 377806 382798 387791 395785 404781 406778
      405774 406770 408770 411774 414776 416772 417768 415762
      412758 412753 412748 408738 407731 405727 404720 402716
      396711 392712 390716 386723 387735 387742 385747 384752
      380755 374761 362774 357774 353771 352767 350761 346759
      338755 337751 337743 337734 339724 342715 345708 348701
      354693 360688 381659 392651 403642
 0.01 537204 535196 534191 532187 528180 525173 522174 521178
      522187 525195 523199 520199 518202 521205 522209 524212
      528213 529210 536207 537204
 0.01 523264 521253 516246 512243 508243 505247 504252 502263
      497261 496260 491268 487280 485294 487304 490307 495310
      499311 503310 505308
 0.01 520962 521955 520949 519943 517938 512930 505925 496926
      494929 493937 498944 502953 504958 506962 509966 512969
      517968 519965 520962
 0.01 405961 405954 404947 400936 396929 392926 389927 387929
      386931 385936 384938 384943 384953 384966 384983 384988
      382992 379988 379972 377965 377957 376954 375950 373945
      366945 363949 356962 348971 340978 330984 322988 315990
      311986 312984 315982 318977 318967 316960 319902 325880
      330867 336854 336849 332850 331851 327855 324859 311881
      309886 307888 304888 300892 300898 302915 302924 302928
      300931 296935 294942 293948 296953 295958 292959 288959
      280959 276964 274968 272973 270978 271984 274990 273993
      270994 266996 263002 263007 263011 257014 260017 265020
      269024 272030 277032 280034 281036 280041 281046 277058
      279063 282068 287073 290079 290085 289091 288100 286105
      287112 286118 285126 284130 281131 278129 277134 281137
      283143 288148 293152 304157 311158 311154 311147 315146
      319145 323145 331147 335145 336140 339141 342141 346143
      352144 357143 365133 369128 374125 377119 379113 381106
      384099 389095 393091 397078 396072 396066 393061 388059
      384058 382054 380047 384033 388032 391032 392023 394016
      397009 401999 402989 403982 404969 404963 405961
 0.01 292820 290812 285808 281802 275798 271799 268802 270808
      273816 275824 277827 280828 285824 287825 290822 292820
 0.25 462623 467632 471646 473654 474663 474677 472703 470715
      470725 470731 466741 460751 454754 449755 444758 441762
      436768 432773 433778 433781 430787 428791 422801 418802
      417796 418789 420784 426774 427772 426769 424765 423758
      423753 425746 425739 422735 420730 416717 411708 405698
      400686 397681 393680 386685 379694 374704 372708 368709
      366705 366700 369695 373691 376680 381672 388665 397658
      415646 421641 424638 426635
 0.25 516270 513267 511270 509276 505276 500276 497278 497285
      500290 502294 505295 509294 511289 513285 514277 516271
      516270
 0.25 378078 378071 375066 371061 366058 367052 364046 361040
      357040 354040 353038 354032 357026 362023 364019 364014
      364004 362998 360994 354991 347993 335997 331999 326003
      322008 316011 291004 286001 281001 271009 270014 273019
      283025 291026 296023 300025 301032 306041 302046 298050
      294053 294056 295058 300063 302069 303075 302079 298084
      298093 300099 297104 293117 292124 293130 296137 301135
      307134 312131 314124 313122 310121 307118 308112 315111
      320108 326106 333107 342114 351119 359121 361120 363118
      366110 368102 371096 372089 373084 375082 378078
 0.50 457625 462634 464639 466647 466674 467682 467688 465701
      462711 457721 450728 440728 430730 424722 419713 415703
      410692 407679 405673 402670 398665 401662 404658 410655
      419650 422648 426644 431636 432633
 0.50 428786 427784 426784 424787 423789 423790 422792 422794
      423796 425794 426791 427788 428788 428786
 0.50 366070 366069 364069 363070 362070 361072 360073 359074
      358075 357076 356078 356080 357081 359082 359083 361083
      362083 363081 363079 363078 362076 363074 365072 365071
      366070
 0.50 357116 358113 357112 356111 355109 353107 352107 350107
      348108 349110 351111 353111 354113 355114 356115 356116
      357116
 0.50 355053 353050 348050 344052 341055 333051 332049 335046
      337040 340038 342041 346040 348036 346033 340038 341032
      344030 350024 351021 351018 349013 347005 345003 343002
      337004 330008 324014 319019 315022 313026 313029 314030
      318032 323033 326037 325039 321040 316041 313043 311047
      312051 316053 321054 320062 316071 318076 317079 312084
      305088 304091 306095 310102 315104 318101 317092 322091
      326092 332097 340100 343091 347082 349077 346074 345070
      348066 348057 355053
 0.50 345109 345107 345105 343104 342105 342107 342108 344109
      345109
 0.50 302118 303116 302114 302113 300112 299114 298115 298116
      297118 296120 297122 298122 299121 301120 302118
 0.50 309015 309012 307011 300009 294008 287006 284006 281007
      278011 277015 279018 283021 287022 290022 296019 300017
      305018 309015
 1.00 460651 460645 458639 455636 452635 448636 444635 439637
      437639 432647 427654 422659 419662 419669 422678 422682
      420687 421698 424708 428714 437714 443716 449711 453708
      455705 459697 460688 459674 459663 460652 460651
 1.00 334086 334085 332084 330086 332087 333087 334086
 1.00 294012 293012 291012 289012 288014 289015 290016 291016
      292014 293014 294012
 1.50 454671 453662 450657 447651 445647 443646 440646 435651
      433656 432664 430677 426691 426698 429703 434706 438704
      442706 445707 448705 451701 454693 453686 454678 454671
 2.00 449670 446666 444664 441664 437668 434674 433682 432688
      432696 434700 437697 440694 444688 445683 448675 449670

24HR QP VT 15/00Z
 0.01 441630 454626 469621 475619 481619 489629 492635 494637
      495642 493650 492659 493669 494673 493677 492685 488691
      485695 483697 480699 475704 471704 467704 465703 462703
      459706 451716 450704 449695 446696 444698 437700 434701
      432704 424706 420702 417698 413694 403685 400679 399672
      398655 403647 407643 412640
 0.01 440320 448322 457325 466329 473331 480332 486329 492324
      498318 506306 508301 510295 514285 517278 518272 519266
      518255 517250 514247 509248 504254 489252 481252 475249
      467246 463247 458246 445246 440246 436246 429242 425241
      423243 422249 419251 403251 389248 386248 383251 382256
      379261 371272 372277 371282 377288 386297 392301 400305
 0.01 540898 540875 537853 536849 535845 532836 530825 529819
      530814 528805 528796 524789 520784 515777 510773 504769
      498768 494762 490757 486753 481751 474748 471748 468747
      455744 451745 449745 449742 449739 447737 441738 438738
      435741 429745 421742 418742 415745 417750 421755 423763
      430774 436772 439772 442776 441781 437794 435802 433809
      437829 438834 438841 435847 455903 455909 453913 453916
      457918 469917 471914 474915 476917 476922 474927 474932
      476934 479934 483931 487934 489937 493938 495939 499939
      502939 503942 502944 497949 497955 499960 501962 504962
      511962 517960 527952 530946 533937 536928 538920 540898
 0.01 445732 444729 442728 439728 436729 432730 429731 427731
      429731 431733 434732 436732 437729 439731 441731 445732
      445732
 0.01 437756 436753 435751 433749 433747 432746 432747 432749
      431752 432754 433756 435758 437756
 0.01 396977 396968 396959 395952 395943 393941 393936 389936
      389945 391947 391952 391961 391968 392972 392977 393981
      394982 396977
 0.01 395927 394922 394917 394913 394911 393906 392901 392899
      389899 388902 388906 389911 389915 389920 389924 391927
      391929 393929 395927
 0.01 387070 385060 383049 381045 380040 378035 379030 379017
      380010 378004 378976 376964 376958 377952 377939 377927
      373916 366908 366901 364896 357888 356881 354876 351867
      350864 348868 346880 345883 345890 344894 342895 338897
      333901 329902 322904 317905 311906 306905 302897 300891
      298888 296884 292881 290879 285879 283882 281885 278885
      278891 280897 282902 286906 288910 288917 283925 279928
      275929 273927 272923 269919 264918 261921 257924 242937
      243942 247945 250948 250951 247954 245958 244962 244970
      244976 247979 260982 264989 269992 271997 270017 272022
      274025 277030 280032 286040 290049 294052 298053 305055
      308058 311062 313067 314077 314082 315085 314095 313097
      311098 307099 307103 310107 317108 321107 324107 326105
      328104 332105 338111 342113 344117 347127 349130 355131
      358131 361127 361124 363122 368124 355110 350102 348098
      349092 352093 354096 354099 355102 359105 360100 362104
      364106 367107 371103 378099 379096 379091 380088 387070
 0.01 293824 294820 292817 292814 290812 283803 280799 278794
      278788 277780 264765 259754 256750 257748 255746 254740
      251736 249734 247735 245738 245742 247749 249754 249761
      248766 248773 250778 252785 254791 259801 266808 273816
      276820 278828 281838 282842 284844 289843 292839 292834
      292827 293824
 0.25 506290 508281 507275 505269 500264 489260 483262 478263
      475265 471268 467270 462271 452273 441275 431274 426276
      421279 411294 421300 428303 434303 457308 468313 475316
      481317 490315 494312 498308 503299 506290
 0.25 514874 514861 511852 508845 503839 497836 494837 491840
      489848 489854 490860 494867 499872 504877 511879 514874
 0.25 474639 473633 470630 463631 455634 448638 443643 440650
      441654 445656 450657 458657 466656 470654 472651 474642
      474639
 0.25 369992 370985 370979 368971 368959 367947 367941 366935
      362927 359924 357920 354916 350915 343920 335923 330923
      326926 317925 311929 302931 298933 295937 292940 288939
      285937 282939 278946 276950 272952 269956 268962 269968
      271971 276977 279982 281987 279995 281005 283014 284019
      287022 294029 311033 319033 322033 326035 335048 341049
      345047 353042 361028 364016 366005 369992
 0.25 342098 342096 342094 341091 340090 339089 337090 336091
      336093 336095 338097 338098 340099 342098 342098
 0.50 500298 502291 501285 503278 502272 498268 495267 492266
      487267 483276 480280 477281 468283 466287 466293 473300
      482306 486307 491308 497303 500298
 0.50 468636 466636 464637 463638 461638 461639 460641 459642
      459644 460645 462645 464644 466644 467642 468641 467639
      468637 468636
 0.50 364981 365971 364961 361945 359937 355930 348928 341930
      335929 328930 319932 316932 313935 301940 296945 294947
      290948 284947 279950 275956 274961 276964 279970 283976
      285982 284993 284998 286001 287007 287011 288014 292018
      298021 304025 318023 324025 332027 339025 348025 354022
      358016 359007 359001 360996 362989 364981
 1.00 357978 358968 356960 348948 344948 339953 334957 331958
      330956 330948 331944 330941 321940 316939 312940 307943
      303948 298953 297956 299959 302962 305961 310961 309963
      304963 296962 293957 287954 282955 281958 282966 285971
      290975 294976 296979 296984 293986 291989 291992 294998
      301010 306015 314013 321012 327008 332008 338011 343006
      347000 353989 357978
 1.50 347965 345958 339959 334963 330967 321976 310981 304984
      301987 300989 302996 301001 302006 306009 313007 322000
      327997 331991 335986 339980 343976 346969 347965
 1.50 324960 324956 323952 324947 323945 320943 318943 316944
      314946 312947 311952 313954 316956 317957 319960 321962
      324960
 2.00 330984 330980 328977 323980 319982 315982 310986 305992
      304000 304004 307005 313002 319998 324994 329988 330984
 3.00 321988 321985 317986 315987 313989 312991 310994 309996
      309999 312998 314996 315994 317991 319990 321988

24HR QP VT 16/00Z
 0.01 533195 524184 523179 521178 517171 514168 511167 503165
      490162 477166 474167 470167 463168 450170 446174 440178
      435180 430185 426191 421196 416200 412200 412202 417207
      416210 413211 406208 402206 399204 394200 394204 395207
      397213 396218 393219 388219 385220 380224 376228 369229
      362231 360232 362236 362239 359241 354243 344251 342253
      341257 345264 354274 359279 365283 377291 391299 406306
      434315 440316 448318 462320 469322 475322 482322 488320
      493316 497312 502307 506301 514288 517281 518275 520271
      522263 523252 523242 523237 521232 515219 512213 512207
      515203 522206 525206 527205 531200 533195
 0.01 353670 344685 343690 338693 331698 323703 316709 302721
      296726 288728 282729 278732 272737 268738 265742 261749
      257752 258758 259770 252771 250774 250778 252779 259784
      258789 259794 273801 278803 282803 286805 281807 269818
      263822 259824 254825 247822 239819 235816 231816 226815
      222815 218818 218822 220833 229850 248879 256883 259884
      262887 254899 244915 240922 239926 238932 239942 241952
      243956 246958 250960 256960 261960 265958 269957 272954
      279950 289946 297948 305952 311958 315964 319972 322981
      326990 327992 326995 322998 322003 324005 329012 336017
      340019 346020 349020 351015 353011 353005 355994 359982
      359977 361972 361958 363954 363948 364936 366885 367875
      367861 368850 367835 367827 368814 371793 374775 375769
      377765 377761 375756 374752 375746 378738 381734 384729
      391723 396717 401716 404715 406717 411718 413720 415723
      414725 410729 409740 409742 406745 406750 409752 408756
      404765 398771 396773 395777 394782 390787 386793 383797
      383800 386804 389804 392805 396808 396815 397821 399825
      401827 405828 409830 410837 412842 413847 418857 419863
      422866 424869 427869 432869 436871 442870 447868 452868
      456870 458875 459879 458883 458890 459895 458908 458913
      462917 468917 470912 473912 480914 485912 490904 494894
      496882 497869 501857 503849 503834 502826 500823 500818
      497808 493794 493790 495786 495781 495773 494766 492761
      487742 486729 485722 483720 483716 481708 479704 475695
      465680 459671 453665 448660 442656 432657 423656 408647
      404645 401645 396647 394649 383657 376659 370658
 0.01 354120 354115 351112 347105 345098 345085 345081 342078
      339079 334079 330081 329085 329090 327095 319092 315092
      312088 301077 295062 290057 288056 285059 282057 280060
      278063 275066 270054 262058 260061 258065 258068 261072
      261076 264078 274080 274085 273088 272093 274098 277104
      280107 284108 290105 294098 304110 310113 317110 331112
      337116 340118 343117 345119 350119 354120
 0.25 516273 518264 519255 519249 517242 515230 510220 505211
      501207 497204 488200 484197 481193 479191 476191 473194
      469198 465201 461201 458204 450208 446209 442212 436220
      434226 429226 426228 419226 408223 398226 394227 390231
      388235 385237 381241 378244 375248 373254 366262 364266
      363271 364275 368279 376286 384291 390293 395294 405295
      416295 433293 439293 445295 455301 459303 463303 472302
      482303 487304 491302 498298 501295 504295 507290 511282
      516273
 0.25 487231 487228 487227 486225 485225 484224 483223 481221
      479221 479223 481225 482226 482227 484228 485230 486231
      487231
 0.25 474778 472769 470759 465745 463741 460740 454737 449735
      442737 435736 432737 430740 427747 427755 427764 428772
      436783 440788 445790 453791 457790 471786 474778
 0.25 457702 456696 455693 451686 445681 441679 435684 435695
      433703 432707 433711 436713 439714 446710 450710 454709
      457702
 0.25 381688 381681 378677 374676 369678 362685 355692 349698
      344705 338714 332721 327727 321737 313754 309761 304768
      301772 302778 305787 305793 305799 303810 299818 296823
      292824 285822 276826 267831 264835 264839 267841 272841
      283839 289839 291842 291850 290854 288862 282870 273888
      269896 264905 259912 259916 260922 260928 264931 273929
      283924 287921 289918 295912 298908 301908 305910 308914
      310918 310923 307927 308930 308941 311944 318944 324944
      328946 332956 334961 338964 341962 343957 344942 343936
      344930 347920 349907 351895 350884 350878 353874 357866
      359861 360854 360843 359839 357838 356842 353866 350865
      350861 343855 340851 339846 343836 344827 347816 354796
      356785 356772 358762 361751 365742 367732 367726 369722
      373711 381688
 0.50 516264 517250 514239 511227 506219 504214 500211 489206
      485205 480205 471208 463210 455214 448219 442225 435231
      426232 421232 415229 408228 404229 399229 395231 393235
      387245 381251 375259 372262 370268 370272 372277 380284
      390288 393289 399289 416286 425284 433283 451280 454277
      458276 462276 468277 473279 476283 482291 486293 491294
      499292 501290 502288 506286 509280 516264
 0.50 489234 489231 489229 489228 488226 487225 486223 485222
      484222 483221 481220 480219 478220 478222 478223 479225
      479226 480227 482229 483232 484234 486235 488235 489234
 0.50 446697 446695 445694 443693 442694 440696 440697 439699
      439702 439704 440705 441704 443703 444701 445700 446699
      446697
 0.50 372693 371689 368690 362694 358698 354703 349713 346718
      342724 334732 330736 326742 321751 317763 317779 318786
      321793 323796 323800 320806 314817 308839 306845 306853
      307857 309859 313863 313869 315876 320889 321895 320901
      316915 313929 312937 314941 316941 321938 325933 328930
      332925 338914 340908 341900 341892 339886 336880 334872
      334863 332856 331850 332843 334828 336815 338808 340803
      342796 343788 347776 349770 350762 353750 358739 360732
      360724 366714 370703 372693
 1.00 514250 513246 511239 509234 506229 501219 498216 492212
      489210 484211 482213 483217 488221 491224 492229 493233
      492238 487240 483240 481234 475226 473221 477217 477215
      475214 470213 465214 461218 461221 464226 446233 432244
      425237 413234 407234 403235 401242 397245 391253 388258
      386265 384270 386276 389278 394279 413276 422274 432272
      440266 447263 456259 466259 470258 475260 480263 483267
      494286 496287 498287 502283 505279 507272 509266 512261
      514250
 1.00 471226 471223 470223 469224 468225 468226 470227 471226
 1.00 336754 336752 335749 334749 334750 332751 332752 332754
      333755 335754 336754
 1.00 332906 333903 331900 326902 324907 322911 321914 319917
      317922 316925 317928 322926 324922 327919 330915 331911
      332906
 1.50 510257 511253 511249 509243 505234 501228 498224 496226
      495229 495236 495243 492243 486244 484248 483254 486260
      492269 496273 499274 503271 504263 505257 510257 510257
 1.50 480244 480239 479234 477231 473230 471233 468235 462236
      455237 449239 448244 451247 456249 461248 465250 472250
      477248 480244
 1.50 422260 422257 420256 416256 411256 407256 403257 400260
      399267 402268 407268 411269 416268 418265 421262 422260
 1.50 420240 419239 417239 416239 417240 419241 420240
 2.00 508248 507245 507244 506242 505242 504239 502237 501237
      500238 500240 500241 502243 502244 503244 505246 506247
      506248 508248 508248
 2.00 500266 502262 501259 499255 497253 496251 494248 491247
      489247 487250 487254 487257 489259 491261 493264 495266
      498267 500266
 2.00 479241 479237 478233 476232 474232 472234 470238 468240
      466241 464241 464244 467245 469245 473245 474244 476243
      479241

$$





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