Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 122123
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
523 PM EDT SAT AUG 12 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 13/0000 UTC THRU AUG 16/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

...SOUTHWEST AND S-CENTRAL GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES TO THE SRN PLAINS
AND LOWER MS VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...

WHILE SCATTERED ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND UP
ACROSS THE S-CENTRAL GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING DUE TO LINGERING MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AND SHORTWAVE
ENERGY...A MAIN FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE OUT OVER
THE SRN PLAINS IN A MOISTURE RICH ENVIRONMENT.  PERIODS OF VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AREAS OF RUNOFF PROBLEMS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EASTWARD OVER PARTS OF OK AND NORTH TX WHERE THERE IS
FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND UPPER JET FLOW/DIFFLUENCE.   AS AMPLE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY SHIFTS EWD FROM NM. STILL LOOKING AT A WAVY LOW
LEVEL FRONTAL BNDRY BEING ABLE TO ACT AS A FOCU FOR CONVECTION
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY.  PW VALUES INCREASE TO 2+
INCHES IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTH TEXAS/SRN OK AND ALSO
REMAIN HIGH DOWNSTREAM OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF
COAST...SO CELLS SHOULD PROVE TO BE EFFICIENT RAIN MAKERS.

THE 12Z MODEL RUNS...BOTH GLOBAL AS WELL AS THE ARW...CONTINUED TO
SHOW A SOUTHWARD SHIFT IN THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST QPF AND THE WPC
MANUAL QPF GRAPHICS FOLLOWED SUIT.  THE GFS AND NAM POSITION WERE
IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE ARW AND THE HRRR CONCERNING
THE AXIS...WHILE THE ECMWF WAS A NORTHERN/FAIRLY DRY OUTLIER. THIS
FORECAST WAS WEIGHTED MOST TO THE ARW WITH SOME TEMPERING OF PCPN
AMOUNTS TOWARDS THE NAM/GFS VALUES.

...PAC NW...

GUIDANCE AGREES THAT DEVELOPMENT/APPROACH OF AN AMPLIFIED NERN PAC
MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND LEAD MOISTURE PLUME INTO COASTAL PAC NW
DAY1 WILL FAVOR MODEST PCPN IN A CHANGING FLOW PATTERN AS
ASSOCIATED HEIGHT FALLS WORK INTO THE STANDING SUMMER RIDGE.

...N-CENTRAL PLAINS...

IMPULSES DIGGING THROUGH A MEAN NRN STREAM UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
POSITION OVER THE N-CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER JET SUPPORT WILL
PRODUCE ASCENT. LOWER LEVEL SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL ADVECT
MOISTURE NORTH INTO THE REGION WITH PW VALUES INCREASING TO AOA
1.25 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST WHICH SHOULD FUEL
INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THE 12Z MODEL
RUNS WERE NOT AS AGRESSIVE OVER PARTS OF NEB/SD AS THE 00Z MODELS
WERE.  TENDED TOWARDS THE NAM AND ARW SOLN FOR PLACEMENT GUIDANCE.

...ERN US...

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES TO TRACK A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH SUNDAY.
THIS WILL ACCOMPANY A NEWD PUNCHING UPPER JET AND AN ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW/FRONT PROGRESSION. DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION ALONG WITH
POOLED MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN LEAD FRONTAL
SHOWERS/STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON WHICH PERSISTS INTO THE LATE
EVENING OR OVERNIGHT HOURS.  HEAVIER DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED
FURTHER SOUTHWARD ALONG/AHEAD OF THE TRAILING FRONT FROM NY/PA TO
THE EASTERN MID ATLANTIC AND THE CAROLINAS. DEEP LOWER LATITUDE
MOISTURE UPWARDS TO 2-2.5 INCHES WILL ADVECT NORTHEAST TO FUEL
ACTIVITY WITHIN A LOW-MID LEVEL CONFLUENT ZONE IN THE AXIS OF
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY FARTHER SOUTH WITH
PERSISTENT AND SLOW MOVING SOUTHEAST US VORT ENERGIES.


DAYS 2 & 3

...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND AXIS OF ANOMALOUS MOISTURE EXPECTED TO LINGER FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BUT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD AREAS OF CONVECTIVE RAINFALL
SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE ON MONDAY AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND A
REGION OF FAVORABLE UPPER JET DYNAMICS (WHICH SHOULD HELP ORGANIZE
ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY) PROGRESS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI EARLY MONDAY.
 CONFIDENCE IN THE QPF ACROSS THE REGION ALSO BEGINS TO DECREASE
BY MONDAY, WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE DETAILS OF THE FORECAST
CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY WHILE THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SURGES
NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY,
AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTING EASTWARD OUT OF THE ROCKIES.

THE WPC DAY 2 AND 3 QPF WAS LARGELY BASED OFF A COMBINATION OF A
MULTI-MODEL BLEND, CONTINUITY, AND AN IN-HOUSE ENSBC SINCE THERE
WAS LITTLE AGREEMENT BETWEEN DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND EACH PIECE
OF GUIDANCE LACKED CONSISTENCY (EVEN WITH 24-HOUR TOTALS).  THE
BROAD MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AREAS WERE MAINTAINED
FOR DAY 2 (VALID 12Z SUN - 12Z MON) AND 3 (VALID 12Z MON - 12Z
TUE), AND NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK
AREA SINCE IT MATCHED UP WELL WITH THE LATEST QPF FROM WPC AND
AVAILABLE HIGH RES GUIDANCE.


...SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES...

THE TAIL END OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD
ON SUNDAY WILL STALL AND LINGER OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.  HIGHLY ANOMALOUS MOISTURE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE STALLED BOUNDARY WILL FOSTER AREAS OF HEAVY
CONVECTIVE RAINFALL, WITH MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT IN
ADVERTISING THAT THE HIGHEST AREAL AVERAGED TOTALS SHOULD ALIGN
FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.  FARTHER NORTH,
THERE REMAINS A LARGE AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH A POSSIBLE AXIS
OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION STRETCHING FROM VIRGINIA TO THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA.  THE ECWMF WENT FROM BEING ONE OF THE MOST
AGGRESSIVE/WETTEST SOLUTIONS TO ONE OF THE DRIEST SOLUTIONS IN ITS
12Z RUN, WHILE THE 12Z GFS AND ESPECIALLY 12Z NAM BOTH INCREASED
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ALONG THE AXIS.  GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY, THE
WPC FORECAST WAS BASED OFF A BLEND BETWEEN THE GFS, ECMWF, AND
CONTINUITY, WHICH DID RESULT IN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION
OVER VIRGINIA AND THE DELMARVA.  THE DAY 3 MARGINAL RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC COAST (VALID
12Z MON - 12Z TUES) WAS EXPANDED NORTHWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR INCREASE
IN QPF, BUT THIS AREA MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED AS GUIDANCE COMES
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.  ALSO, THE DAY 2 MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS (VALID 12Z SUN - 12Z MON) WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK.



...NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK.  FIRST,
WITH A SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST EARLY MONDAY, AND SECOND, WITH THE LEADING
EDGE OF HEIGHT FALLS FROM AN UPSTREAM MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXPECTED TO
PROGRESS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY TO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON TUESDAY.  MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS HIGHLY
VARIABLE WITH THE CONVECTIVE DETAILS AND PRECIPITATION
LOCATION/AMOUNTS (ESPECIALLY WITH PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING AHEAD
OF THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH PROGRESSING OUT INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY), SO THE WPC QPF STAYED CLOSE TO A COMBINATION OF
CONTINUITY, ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE, AND AN IN-HOUSE ENSBC.  A
MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE
REGION ONCE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST INCREASES AS MODELS COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


BANN/GERHARDT


24HR QP VT 14/00Z
 0.01 461623 492644 494650 495653 497654 505653 508653 511656
      516666 520675 523687 527700 525713 524723 521734 511748
      497765 490773 483779 474784 467789 459791 450792 448787
      448782 451772 452769 450766 447763 444761 441762 436763
      438759 440753 438751 435751 428749 423756 419755 417751
      417744 416742 413742 407744 404749 400758 396764 391771
      387779 385784 380785 373786 373792 374796 375803 373808
      369816 360834 355841 349846 344849 345852 348853 352850
      356852 351860 346866 341868 336870 329874 325876 323880
      321882 318887 315895 314898 315902 317906 321908 332907
      344907 353912 359918 362923 363927 368937 373948 377956
      386963 404963 411960 417952 428940 433932 440925 443923
      447922 456924 464928 470935 476944 480956 481962 481968
      479982 482992 482003 481018 475017 471016 468014 462010
      459007 453006 448006 446007 445011 446017 449022 454029
      456035 450034 448032 444027 439024 433023 433027 435032
      438037 439048 439055 441061 448065 450068 451075 455083
      456087 461089 468083 473083 475087 480095 493109 500114
      500117 497119 490128 489134 493137 499138 501143 510142
      524139 532138 531144 532152 532159 532168 531180 533186
      536188 534202 527230 519250 519264 518272 516277 514285
      511290 504292 496291 487289 479288 471290 460287 456284
      454281 450272 451265 454260 457257 453255 444250 443246
      442244 437244 434241 433237 436232 440229 449225 452217
      460214 466208 472205 480203 484202 484200 481199 478192
      482190 483187 483183 480171 478166 473166 465183 459190
      454194 450197 446197 443193 444188
 0.01 444188 450174 452167 454162 453158 449154 445152 445149
      444143 446138 448132 449126 449116 441107 439114 434119
      426113 419100 411109 410111 412113 406113 399121 393124
      385124 381124 383119 391109 393094 392090 389089 388090
      383092 382087 377084 371071 368066 362064 356088 354089
      351092 350095 351097 356100 363103 368106 368116 370130
      368137 364139 357141 352138 347134 342129 340122 337118
      332116 328121 324125 317124 308123 302124 298122 295118
      291113 287109 279103 268094 259087 239074 230066 227061
      225054 226048 232044 237048 249054 253055 255055 262054
      267049 273046 286039 289037 291034 294028 303017 305011
      309005 312997 313986 316970 313956 313951 311947 308941
      306937 306934 304933 299933 297931 291918 283906 279892
      277871 276862 273855 265847 259843 253838 247835 243829
      238814 237806 241803 247798 253794 261792 265793 269792
      278792 284789 300785 308783 311782 312777 314769 317763
      325751 331741 335734 338727 353702 360689 370681 383670
      387665 389663 392661 397656 403651 404649 408649 413646
      421639 429634
 0.01 443735 441733 440733 438735 437736 437737 436739 437741
      439740 440738 442737 443735 443735
 0.01 405051 406049 406047 406044 406042 406040 405038 403037
      401036 400037 399038 399039 398041 398042 397043 396046
      396048 396050 397052 399052 400053 402053 404053 405051
 0.01 355158 355155 354153 356151 356149 354148 354149 352150
      350152 348154 348156 348157 350157 352155 353157 355158
      355158
 0.01 347035 346033 344031 343031 341032 342035 343037 344038
      346037 347035
 0.25 522205 522194 520185 518175 514171 506169 501170 497173
      496177 497181 499183 507186 510189 511194 512202 516210
      519210 521207 522205
 0.25 512263 514259 513256 511250 508240 504230 500222 496217
      491214 484212 478213 475216 477223 485222 489224 491229
      492237 489241 485241 482238 480232 477229 474232 470233
      469237 469244 467252 468258 468264 469267 472268 482271
      493276 501281 505279 509276 508272 508268 510266 512263
 0.25 513691 511686 508682 501678 497678 494677 493675 491670
      488667 483667 479666 475664 471665 466668 462668 459669
      458673 463683 465690 465696 463702 464709 467722 472732
      473738 474745 477751 481751 489747 496740 501734 507725
      511715 513708 513702 513691
 0.25 471969 471961 470952 467942 463937 457933 448933 441936
      437941 428952 424959 422963 421968 422973 425976 430980
      429991 429995 433996 440994 448993 453993 460991 463990
      465987 468979 471969
 0.25 427666 426660 423657 417658 413660 403664 397668 390676
      385683 376697 359727 349743 344751 339757 335766 332774
      331780 333784 330791 328796 329802 330806 334808 339806
      344807 348808 351805 357797 361790 364781 367773 370762
      375757 390746 397740 403734 411718 419702 424693 426683
      426672 427666
 0.25 424008 425000 423994 420990 415987 405985 400988 398992
      396999 397006 398009 397012 393014 389017 388021 389024
      393025 396023 402024 413026 419027 421025 423009 424008
 0.25 366816 365813 362814 359816 356819 354822 352823 351826
      350831 352833 356832 358831 360827 362823 364818 366816
 0.25 354124 354119 352117 349114 348110 345104 342096 339089
      336088 333090 334097 335106 339111 345116 350120 352126
      354124
 0.25 362983 364974 364967 364952 361938 359932 357928 351921
      347918 341917 317916 312913 310916 312924 314928 318937
      318945 317951 317958 319962 320975 319990 321996 324000
      330008 338012 342014 345013 349012 353010 357007 360001
      361996 362983
 0.25 317112 318095 318091 317088 312082 298077 290075 282073
      274070 267068 264068 262072 263076 265078 279086 288091
      291098 295105 301109 307112 313114 317112
 0.25 317862 316855 314853 311854 307857 306865 303874 302865
      300859 298857 295857 291861 290874 291881 294887 297891
      302894 307890 309886 311879 312871 317862
 0.25 313818 311813 306812 301812 298810 291805 289803 283804
      278804 275807 273811 275813 278815 283816 293815 300819
      301832 303833 306831 309821 313818
 0.25 301840 301839 301838 299836 297834 296834 295835 293837
      293839 294840 294841 294843 296845 298845 299844 301842
      301841 301840
 0.25 275828 275826 274825 273824 272823 271822 270822 268822
      268825 269826 271828 271829 273829 274829 275828
 0.50 502275 502270 500264 497261 495257 492255 488254 485258
      486264 490268 493270 496273 500275 502275
 0.50 506250 506248 507245 507244 506242 505241 504239 502241
      503244 503246 504249 504250 506251 506250
 0.50 464971 465963 464954 464950 463944 460940 455938 451937
      447938 442941 439945 433952 430957 428962 427966 429968
      431971 435975 438980 448983 453984 456981 460978 463974
      464971
 0.50 419671 418667 413666 406669 400672 393678 385690 379702
      363729 355741 347752 342759 339765 339767 342768 343771
      342779 339787 340792 341797 343799 346798 351793 359780
      365766 367758 371752 382744 394734 399730 403723 410709
      415696 419671
 0.50 417999 416996 413994 410994 406994 403996 402998 403002
      404005 406007 410006 411005 413003 416001 417999
 0.50 357994 357973 359961 358949 357939 353930 349924 345922
      342921 332920 327920 323921 320924 319927 321936 322941
      322947 321951 320953 321956 322960 322966 322977 323988
      326995 331996 335995 339995 341997 344002 347004 352003
      355000 357994
 0.50 312105 313098 311095 308092 306088 303085 300084 298088
      297094 298099 301102 304105 308107 312107 312105
 0.50 297811 295810 293809 292809 292812 293812 295813 297811
 1.00 456964 456959 457954 455952 454947 452946 449946 447947
      445949 443952 442957 443961 444964 447966 449967 450969
      453969 455966 456964
 1.00 408688 407683 405681 399684 394689 390695 385706 377719
      371729 370733 370738 370744 375740 380735 384731 390728
      395722 399717 402711 405705 407698 407690 408688
 1.00 361760 360754 355756 352762 351767 348772 344777 345783
      347785 349784 354779 355775 358769 361763 361760
 1.00 350985 351976 351967 351958 351949 350945 351940 350932
      347927 343925 337923 332924 328924 326926 325930 327937
      327945 326952 326960 326969 327975 330981 334984 339987
      344989 348988 350985
 1.50 399702 398699 395701 393703 392706 391709 389712 388714
      388716 390717 392716 394713 395710 397707 398705 399702
 1.50 359758 358756 355760 354764 352769 350773 346775 347780
      350782 353777 354773 356768 358764 359760 359758
 1.50 348971 348965 347958 347950 345945 346939 346934 343930
      339927 333926 330927 329930 330943 329956 330969 332975
      335979 339982 344982 347979 348971 348971
 2.00 344976 345969 345963 343952 341947 339944 338941 339940
      342936 341932 337929 332930 331934 333945 332950 331956
      333967 337975 339978 343978 344976
 3.00 340960 340958 339957 339956 339954 338952 338949 337949
      336947 335947 334949 334950 333952 333954 334956 334958
      335960 336962 337963 339963 339962 340960

24HR QP VT 15/00Z
 0.01 544174 546165 545159 545152 543149 540145 535144 529148
      523153 515155 510154 507151 502149 499151 498157 494160
      491162 487161 482160 482164 485172 487185 492191 500192
      506198 509201 514203 522202 528198 533192 543176 544174
 0.01 526079 527068 526061 526052 524048 518043 508037 501033
      495027 488020 485017 479015 476014 472013 464017 449023
      443018 440007 441996 445985 450974 453970 457967 460964
      463960 468950 471941 474930 474920 476913 475906 476895
      475887 473885 459875 447887 440893 432897 427900 424903
      417910 416914 414920 412926 407928 403929 399931 392925
      377912 375909 371907 370903 369895 371885 370877 369874
      370870 369866 366864 364860 370842 373829 375825 377820
      381817 384813 392806 405794 408792 414791 416786 417779
      411777 405777 402779 395784 389784 386780 387771 390763
      394754 397743 395727 393723 390720 388714 387706 384701
      381698 373696 362699 355705 351715 351724 351732 349735
      345742 339749 333756 330760 329765 326773 321780 312785
      304790 292792 286792 279793 265795 256798 249802 242809
      238813 237822 237826 241829 249831 259831 264831 269833
      273841 273847 272853 272861 271867 272872 274876 276882
      278884 282887 282893 282904 282911 281916 279922 280926
      281931 286934 294935 299936 302937 306939 309942 310948
      313951 315962 316967 319971 324975 328984 330990 328996
      320999 316001 313005 309014 302021 296026 294029 292035
      289038 286043 284053 279057 273061 268061 262060 254063
      250065 248069 247073 250077 257083 267088 274093 282099
      288106 295110 302114 307115 311113 320107 325101 326097
      331097 334099 336103 343107 348100 356096 360096 364092
      363089 359085 359080 362075 364072 367073 370077 370081
      369084 374086 377089 376098 378101 381099 386096 391096
      394094 398090 402079 405075 410073 414066 417063 420065
      425066 429068 433069 435073 436078 436081 434083 428087
      426090 425097 423101 423105
 0.01 423105 427113 425121 424125 423130 418133 414139 411147
      409156 409161 408173 409182 410197 419206 423202 426196
      427190 430189 434185 438178 441171 447156 450149 454145
      458145 460143 460138 463135 467131 468128 469123 470118
      473116 476115 480115 487116 490117 492115 505112 508107
      507101 504098 501097 497095 498094 503091 504088 508087
      516079 526079
 0.01 465055 463054 459053 456054 454054 451056 450058 451061
      452065 455065 458064 461062 462060 464057 465055
 0.01 423039 422037 421037 419039 417041 415043 417044 418045
      420043 422041 423039
 0.01 407044 406042 405040 403040 401040 399039 398039 396041
      397043 398044 399045 401046 403046 404046 406046 407044
 0.25 502062 501057 498054 495051 493046 492039 489036 481032
      477031 473031 469034 468038 471042 475042 480044 483047
      490053 492063 496065 500064 502062
 0.25 463102 464097 462093 460089 457087 454088 451090 446096
      442103 440109 443116 446123 449124 452122 457118 460109
      463102
 0.25 459925 457917 457910 459896 458891 457891 452895 449899
      446904 442910 437913 429920 425924 421929 414937 408939
      404943 401948 401956 403963 404971 404980 404989 403996
      405002 410004 416003 420999 423993 427980 429973 432967
      435962 438959 443954 448950 455944 457940 458933 459925
 0.25 448075 446073 446072 445071 443072 444075 446076 448075
      448075
 0.25 439144 440141 440139 439138 438139 437140 437141 437142
      438144 439144 439144
 0.25 383733 383729 380727 376724 377718 376713 374712 371714
      369720 367724 364728 358736 352745 347754 343764 337776
      331785 326794 323799 319804 309808 302806 296807 295809
      297813 301816 299819 288826 287828 287832 287840 287847
      289854 291859 293868 294880 296886 296890 296901 297908
      299914 302918 305920 309918 312914 316918 325940 323944
      322947 322951 330959 332962 335968 337971 341975 346978
      348983 347989 347999 351009 353015 352024 348024 346021
      342018 339018 337020 341028 342032 345035 350036 356035
      361036 370045 373045 373041 371035 371029 375025 384027
      386023 385016 379008 376004 374999 371991 369987 367980
      366976 366971 367956 367949 370944 370939 368934 363924
      358915 357910 357903 356894 354889 352883 352876 352869
      349865 346865 343867 339873 335880 329887 324898 321901
      317906 314904 315900 317895 323884 321879 319872 319868
      321860 324850 327846 331842 334839 340837 352838 355833
      357827 360823 364818 370810 372804 373796 378789 382776
      383765 383756 380750 379747 381741 383733
 0.25 322057 321052 318048 313042 311038 310033 306030 302032
      300050 299057 297062 295065 291067 283071 280074 276074
      273077 276080 282086 287093 292099 298100 302099 309096
      313094 315092 316090 312081 310078 309072 311066 313063
      322057
 0.25 271806 271804 270803 268802 267803 265803 263804 262805
      263807 265807 267807 269807 271806 271806
 0.50 456108 456106 454105 453106 452107 451110 451112 452114
      454113 454112 455110 456110 456108
 0.50 450923 450922 450920 448919 447920 447921 445923 443925
      443926 442928 442930 443932 445932 447930 448928 448927
      449925 450923 450923
 0.50 428957 429949 428942 424942 421944 419948 418954 419960
      420966 417975 415980 414987 410996 413997 415996 417994
      419985 421975 425966 428957
 0.50 380768 379762 376766 374769 372774 370779 370784 370790
      371792 374787 376785 378780 379775 380770 380768
 0.50 372738 371734 369732 366732 365734 363735 361738 360741
      360745 362747 365747 367746 369743 371741 372738
 0.50 371010 369005 366998 364993 360988 357987 351991 351998
      353002 355009 358016 361020 365019 367017 369016 370012
      371010
 0.50 362767 362762 361758 355758 349767 346771 344776 340787
      337791 332794 327803 321814 316824 319830 316834 312837
      309837 304840 304848 307853 311854 325840 329835 333833
      337829 342827 349824 352821 354816 353809 353804 354797
      359788 361782 362776 362767
 0.50 363956 363943 361934 350923 349919 349913 352905 353901
      353895 349888 350875 349872 347871 345874 341882 337889
      331906 329915 329920 330925 334932 336936 336941 337947
      340949 344951 348951 352954 353957 356960 359962 363956
 0.50 298838 297836 295836 294836 293838 293839 294841 296841
      297840 298838
 1.00 345921 345917 345912 344908 342908 341910 339912 338915
      337919 337921 337923 338928 339930 341930 343926 344923
      345921

24HR QP VT 16/00Z
 0.01 521999 521993 518988 512980 507973 502967 496959 492947
      491945 491939 491930 487918 482912 477903 473895 470886
      469880 465880 463878 460882 454891 451894 448898 443906
      441911 438916 433923 430924 431919 433913 436907 440904
      441899 441891 441882 437878 433878 428878 425880 416882
      413905 408912 406915 404916 403913 394901 379891 376887
      376881 375874 374869 373862 370858 368845 368839 370834
      372827 375823 391792 391787 388785 383786 380788 377784
      379780 384772 390764 393754 398746 400737 402725 403718
      403710 402705 399702 395699 390699 381701 375707 371710
      369713 367721 364726 363731 358737 352739 349738 343746
      336753 333761 330770 324775 319778 318783 315789 309790
      298792 296797 292800 284798 276795 267795 257797 250800
      245806 243811 244816 248819 253819 261824 269827 277830
      279834 279839 278845 279852 282862 282871 281875 282882
      283890 279909 275927 277936 279943 282946 289950 294950
      297952 302954 308954 314949 325937 329933 336932 338946
      338954 340959 338972 335980 328984 324990 323995 321998
      316005 312013 304019 302024 297026 292026 288029 287035
      284038 278042 276047 276052 277057 279060 278064 278071
      279076 286083 290085 296086 305089 311094 314101 317100
      318096 314088 312086 312082 315077 319069 321065 324063
      330062 337063 341061 343058 345055 343050 339043 339035
      342029 345026 347025 350026 357034 360037 366037 369034
      373033 376032 378035 379038 378041 374041 371041 368044
      365052 368057 373059 375063 375068 374073 370076 367080
      368084 369086 373094 376096 380096 383093 387091 388081
      391080 393082 396081 404074 411068 414064 414060 418056
      423056 424060 424064 423071 422077 421084 425092 424098
      422101 420104 418109 419113 420121 421132 424134 429135
 0.01 429135 445134 453132 459128 468115 472106 473093 478087
      482077 483057 491054 494052 498053 503053 506055 513053
      515051 515044 515038 513035 515023 519017 520005 521999
 0.01 483667 482659 480657 478657 472665 467676 465689 460698
      455702 453705 454714 457717 463716 466712 470702 473696
      476692 480683 482676 482670 483667
 0.01 444739 443735 438735 438731 437724 433725 431728 429732
      425731 422729 416731 413739 411750 407758 405762 404767
      409773 411772 413774 414777 417777 419777 418780 413781
      410784 408788 407792 409796 424789 429781 432773 435762
      437758 438754 439749 441745 444739
 0.01 412096 413092 411089 410089 408091 406093 404097 403100
      403104 402109 401111 403113 407113 409110 410108 411103
      411098 412096
 0.01 364070 364069 362067 361065 361063 359062 357064 357065
      358067 360069 362070 364070 364070
 0.25 497036 499027 498020 495013 494006 492000 490996 484988
      480984 479979 473967 470955 466944 463940 459939 454942
      451946 445954 437959 430958 428957 427954 427950 425947
      420947 413954 406959 402963 400968 400972 401975 405977
      406979 407987 410989 415996 418002 418008 424008 428010
      432019 435024 436030 436039 438044 443055 437062 435068
      437074 439080 439086 436090 435099 437103 443105 452108
      454108 455104 454098 450086 451075 449063 447058 449056
      453054 461047 469042 475042 479044 482045 485045 490042
      495039 497036
 0.25 388959 387938 387932 386926 380920 376916 373911 370901
      367894 360881 350868 350863 351859 354854 357847 359839
      362829 364823 366814 367804 369795 369786 371778 373775
      373770 372763 370759 368757 364755 358751 354751 350753
      346759 343766 337778 329790 324797 319802 313807 308810
      303815 302818 302823 300827 300832 299834 297833 294832
      293836 292846 289848 288851 289861 290868 295874 298881
      300884 300887 295893 291900 286914 286918 288921 294923
      303922 308919 315904 318902 321902 325908 329915 333918
      338924 341930 345950 348957 350964 351974 352982 355990
      358996 364002 368003 370001 369993 368988 369982 373977
      378973 382970 385966 388959
 0.25 329018 327018 325019 324020 323021 321022 319024 318026
      319027 321027 322027 323026 324025 325024 326023 327021
      329019 329018
 0.25 315050 316041 316037 315035 313032 310032 307036 304041
      301046 300051 301055 300063 301065 304066 309064 311058
      311053 313052 315050
 0.50 479032 479031 478029 478028 476027 476026 474025 473025
      471026 471029 472031 474032 476033 477034 479033 479032
 0.50 469991 469984 467978 462967 461961 458955 454957 451961
      448965 443967 431966 427965 422967 414973 412977 413982
      421982 428991 435997 442005 445009 445013 444016 442017
      441020 441029 441038 443042 447045 453044 461040 461027
      463021 464013 465007 465003 469991
 0.50 363774 363768 361763 358761 354764 350769 346776 344783
      340788 337795 338799 341799 348796 353791 356786 359779
      363774
 0.50 370943 369934 366929 364926 365923 368918 367909 365903
      361897 356893 349891 342892 337897 337904 341917 346930
      350946 352950 355951 361953 365953 368950 370944 370943
 0.50 358823 359819 356818 354820 352822 351824 349829 349832
      348835 347838 346840 348841 350839 351836 353833 354830
      356828 357826 358823
 0.50 329870 329861 325857 324848 322842 319836 319828 325817
      325814 324811 319813 315818 313824 312831 314838 315841
      315845 313850 309855 307861 312873 316876 323875 327873
      329870
 1.00 459988 458981 457972 452975 447977 440978 437983 440988
      444993 447998 450000 453999 457993 459988

$$





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