Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FXUS04 KWBC 061855
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
154 PM EST FRI MAR 06 2015


PRELIM DAY 1 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 07/0000 UTC THRU MAR 08/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1...

IT WILL BE ANOTHER DRY PERIOD FOR MUCH OF THE NATION AGAIN THIS
PERIOD..WITH RIDGING ALOFT STILL HOLDING FIRM OVER THE WESTERN
STATES AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING IN PLACE THRU MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES.  EXCEPTIONS
TO THIS DRY PATTERN WILL BE THRU THE GREAT LAKES AND PARTS OF FL.


...GREAT LAKES...

NORTHERN STREAM H5 S/WV ENERGY DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
GREAT LAKES WILL LEAD TO INCREASING SNOWS THRU THIS AREA..BUT WITH
SYSTEMS BEING QUITE PROGRESSIVE AND MOISTURE REMAINING QUITE
MEAGER WITH NO GULF INFLOW..WATER EQUIVALENTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT
SIDE.  MODEL QPFS ARE GENERALLY IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON THIS
SCENARIO..SO STAYED CLOSE TO THEIR SOLUTIONS WITH WATER
EQUIVALENTS BELOW 0.25 INCH.


...FL...

THE PLUME OF HIGHER PWS PERSISTING BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
AND DROPPING SOUTHWARD WITH TIME THRU THE FL PENINSULA..ALONG WITH
SOME IMPROVEMENT OF THE LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW INTO THE SOUTHERN
FL PENINSULA..ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY..WILL SUPPORT A BIT MORE
ORGANIZED RAIN/SHOWERS OVER PARTICULARLY SOUTHEASTERN FL.  THE NAM
QPF MAY BE A LITTLE HEAVY..BUT THE REMAINDER OF THE GUIDANCE LOOKS
A BIT TOO LIGHT..SO WENT BETWEEN THESE "EXTREME" SOLUTIONS FOR THE
WPC QPF.  ALTHOUGH SOME 0.50+ WATER EQUIVALENTS ARE
LIKELY..ISOLATED HEAVIER TOTALS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

TERRY

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 08/00Z
 0.01 538205 537190 533180 528172 526161 523147 522141 519136
      513129 510128 506129 503133 500133 495125 492122 490117
      485108 482095 479085 473063 464044 462038 460034 454029
      455040 459051 463075 475119 477120 478124 479130 483131
      486136 488147 495153 501163 502169 501177 503188 509196
      516203 522212 526220 531222 533219 535208 538205
 0.01 545028 545015 545011 543008 541002 539997 535994 533989
      525983 505977 500976 499967 499962 497954 496935 494928
      497922 502921 504918 507913 510906 513895 514887 514882
      511867 507859 501844 496833 493830 488831 481839 478839
      478835 479832 485821 492802 495794 496787 498773 499747
      499731 498723 496718 494712 491710 483708 476709 472713
      470716 468714 470709 474698 474692 472687 468690 465695
      460704 455713 447711 442715 446717 450720 449726 446726
      445729 439731 433732 433735 419771 415778 414780 414785
      412798 412807 414814 416818 420822 426829 429833 431838
      433842 433845 434849 433853 428854 426857 428864 434864
      442872 445875 449875 454879 454884 453888 453895 454901
      455909 457915 462922 466932 469941 469944 471949 474961
      477974 479979 482982 484984 486985 490989 490003 495015
      500023 502032 504039 510049 514057 517063 521067 526069
      531069 537062 535049 531037 537035 541033 545028
 0.01 469716 467715 465716 464717 466720 467719 469716
 0.01 464722 462721 461722 460724 459725 459726 459729 460731
      461728 462728 463725 464722
 0.01 352088 350082 345079 342074 338076 334080 333086 333088
      336091 338093 338097 339102 341102 343099 347094 350090
      352088
 0.01 300806 297799 292795 287791 282787 280782 279778 275777
      272779 266783 263788 251797 248803 248808 246811 243817
      244823 246825 258819 263815 270812 277808 284809 297809
      300806
 0.01 283055 284043 281037 277036 273038 269042 266045 263049
      260053 257057 253065 252072 253077 255082 261083 266083
      270079 274076 276071 281061 283055
 0.25 274797 273794 271792 267792 264794 262795 261797 259800
      258803 257805 258809 260810 264809 265808 267806 270804
      272801 273799 274797
 0.50 270800 270797 270796 268796 268795 266796 265796 264797
      263798 263800 262801 261802 261803 261805 261807 262808
      263807 264806 265806 266804 267804 268802 270800 270800

$$




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