Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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681
FXUS04 KWBC 280926
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
525 AM EDT TUE MAR 28 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAR 28/1200 UTC THRU MAR 31/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...ROCKIES AND S-CENTRAL PLAINS...

IT REMAINS THE CASE THAT STRONG JET ENERGY DIVING INTO THE
BACKSIDE OF THE FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH NOW MOVING THROUGH THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO AMPLIFY CONSIDERABLY
AS IT REACHES THE ROCKIES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE 4 CORNERS AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHERE THE MORE VIGOROUS SOUTHERN STREAM COMPONENT
WILL LEAD TO A DEEPENING CLOSED LOW THAT SUBSEQUENTLY TRACKS
STEADILY INTO THE S-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS LATER DAY1. THE ENSUING
LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELONGATED STRIPE OF MOD-HVY
PCPN ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT AND EVOLVING/EXPANDING
CCB/DEFORMATION AND DEEPENING TROWAL. MAINTAINED CLOSE WPC
CONTINUITY OVER THE ROCKIES...BUT TRENDED SLIGHTLY UPWARDS WITH
AMOUNTS OVER FAVORED S-CENTRAL ROCKIES TERRAIN GIVEN FAVORABLE
SET-UP/CLOSED LOW. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM THE WPC WINTER WEATHER
DESK FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON WINTER WEATHER THREATS.

LEAD POTENT LLJ MOISTURE INFLOW UP THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS WITH
SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT SUGGESTS CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR AN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL THREAT. CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND OVERALL TRANSLATION
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AND POTENTIALLY PROGRESSIVE WITH MESO COLD POOL
DEVELOPMENTS...BUT DEEPEST AND MOST ANOMALOUS MOISTURE (PWS UP TO
1.5") AND HEIGHT FALLS/INSTABILITY SEEMS TO COMBINE/FOCUS MOST
OVER S-CENTRAL OK AND NRN TX...ESPECIALLY WITH CELL MERGERS. WPC
PROGS HAVE TRENDED HEAVIEST QPF UPWARDS TO 3-5" LOCALLY
THERE...WITH MUCH MORE MODEST AMOUNTS WRAPPED UP ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SCENARIO IS WELL SUPPORTED NOW BY CLUSTERED
00 UTC ARW/NNMB/WRFNSSL/NAM CONEST AND SSEO MEAN GUIDANCE. THIS
THREAT AREA IS ALSO IN LINE WITH A SPC ISSUED ENHANCED SEVERE
WEATHER RISK AREA.

...PAC NW...

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES THAT ANOTHER AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED/LEAD SURFACE SYSTEM WILL INCREASINGLY WORK
HEIGHT FALLS AND LEADING ENHANCED MOISTURE INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY INTO WED MORNING. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD PCPN/ELEVATION SNOWS...WITH 1" PWS WITH STRONG LEAD
SWRLY LLJ FLOW SUPPORTING SOME 2" LIQUID AMOUNTS OVER THE OLYMPICS
AND 1"+ AMOUNTS INLAND INTO THE WA CASCADES. MAINTAINED CLOSE WPC
CONTINUITY HERE. PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM THE WPC WINTER WEATHER
DESK FOR MORE DETAILS ON WINTER WEATHER THREATS.

...MID-ATLC/CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST...

GUIDANCE ALSO REASONABLY AGREES THAT EXITING MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH ENERGY AND WAVY SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM REFLECTION WILL
SUPPORT A LINGERING MODEST PROGRESSIVE PCPN POTENTIAL SWATH ACROSS
THE REGION. EXPECT THE MORE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WITH SPOTTY .5+"
POTENITAL TO SWEEP THROUGH S-CENTRAL MID-ATLC/CAROLINAS TODAY
(LATEST RADAR STILL IS ACTIVE)...WITH WAVE OVERRUNNING
MOISTURE/RAINFALL UPWARDS OF .5" ALSO MEANWHILE FOCUSING OVER THE
NRN MID-ATLC AND ESPECIALLY WITH GREATER LONGEVITY OVER SRN NEW
ENGLAND THROUGH TUE NIGHT BEFORE FINALLY EXITING OFFSHORE WITH THE
MAIN LOW. ALSO MAINTAINED REASONABLY CLOSE WPC CONTINUITY WITH
THIS SCENARIO.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY AND POINTS
EAST...

AT 12Z WEDNESDAY A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE EJECTING
EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH THE SYSTEM MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD WITH TIME ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND INTO OH/TN VALLEY
BY FRIDAY. EXPECT TO SEE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM
GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE
WILL BECOME MAXIMIZED BETWEEN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE
SUBTROPICAL JET AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE NORTHERN
STREAM JET...WITH FORCING ALSO ENHANCED AHEAD OF VORT MAXES
ROTATING AROUND THE CLOSED LOW. AS THE SYSTEM MATURES ALSO EXPECT
A WELL DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE TO FORM ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW. COMBINE THIS
FORCING WITH ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...AND POCKETS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY.

A COUPLE AREAS OF INTEREST DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD (12Z WED-12Z
THU) WITH REGARDS TO AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT. ONE AREA WILL
BE IN THE WARM SECTOR ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. CONVECTION
SHOULD EXPAND IN COVERAGE ALONG THIS FRONT AS THE FORCING
MENTIONED ABOVE OVERSPREADS THE BOUNDARY. THUS A LINE OF
CONVECTION APPEARS PROBABLE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON STRETCHING FROM
CENTRAL MO SOUTH INTO EAST TX. WOULD GENERALLY EXPECT THIS
CONVECTIVE LINE TO BE PROGRESSIVE GIVEN THE STEADY EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF BOTH THE CLOSED LOW AND THE LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY.
MEAN WINDS DO HOWEVER DISPLAY A LARGE COMPONENT PARALLEL TO THE
BOUNDARY...WITH INDIVIDUAL STORM MOTIONS FROM SOUTH SOUTHWEST TO
NORTH NORTHEAST LIKELY. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME REPEAT
CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH STILL WOULD EXPECT ANY TRAINING TO GENERALLY
BE SHORT LIVED. WITH THAT SAID GIVEN PWAT VALUES AROUND 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ROBUST
CONVECTION...WOULD EXPECT SOME HIGH RAINFALL RATES. THUS WOULD NOT
TAKE MUCH TRAINING TO RESULT IN LOCALIZED 1-3" AMOUNTS. FOR THIS
REASON OPTED TO INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM
CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL AR...WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS AS LOW
AS 1-1.5" IN AN HOUR. FURTHER SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN AR TOWARDS THE
GULF COAST FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS CONSIDERABLY HIGHER. AND JUST
NOT SURE CONVECTION WILL BE ABLE TO HANG UP LONG ENOUGH GIVEN THE
PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM TO EXCEED THE FFG. THUS WILL JUST
KEEP A MARGINAL RISK FOR THOSE AREAS...ALTHOUGH WILL HAVE TO
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR...AS THE SOUTHERN TAIL OF THESE
CONVECTIVE LINES DO HAVE A TENDENCY TO ORIENT THEMSELVES MORE WEST
TO EAST...RESULTING IN A BIT MORE TRAINING.

THE NEXT AREA OF CONCERN IS FROM NORTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHEAST
NE...SOUTHERN IA AND NORTHWEST MO. ANTICIPATE THAT WE WILL SEE AN
UPTICK IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THIS REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING...WHICH SHOULD RIDE UP AND OVER THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAT SHOULD BE POSITIONED SOMEWHERE ACROSS KS/MO. BOTH THE ECMWF
AND GFS SUGGEST THAT THE ORIENTATION OF THE CLOSED LOW WILL ALLOW
FOR LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO REMAIN POINTED INTO THIS FRONT
FOR A GOOD 6-12 HOURS WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE IT EVENTUALLY KICKS EAST. THUS WOULD APPEAR TO BE A GOOD
SETUP FOR ELEVATED BACKBUILDING CONVECTION INTO THIS WARM FRONT
FOR A LONG ENOUGH PERIOD TO POTENTIALLY LEAD TO SOME FLASH FLOOD
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN PWAT VALUES FORECAST AS HIGH AS 3
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE A
GENERAL LACK OF INSTABILITY..AS CURRENTLY ONLY ANTICIPATING JUST A
BIT OF ELEVATED CAPE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE INTENSITY
ENOUGH TO PREVENT RAINFALL TOTALS FROM GETTING TOO EXTREME.
HOWEVER WOULD STILL EXPECT TO SEE AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 1-3"..WHICH
GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LOW FFG ACROSS THE AREA...COULD LEAD TO SOME
FLASH FLOOD ISSUES. THUS ALSO OPTED TO INCLUDE NORTHEAST
KS...NORTHWEST MO...SOUTHEAST NE AND SOUTHERN IA IN OUR SLIGHT
RISK.

LASTLY WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE DEFORMATION BAND FROM THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES INTO CENTRAL KS. SHOULD BE A LONG DURATION STEADY
RAINFALL...WITH SOME SIGNS THAT A TOUCH OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY
COULD ALLOW FOR EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. THESE EMBEDDED
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WOULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES. GIVEN THE HIGHER FFG ACROSS THESE AREAS AND THE LIMITED
INSTABILITY...NOT ANTICIPATING TOO BIG OF A FLASH FLOOD
THREAT...BUT ENOUGH OF A LOW END RISK TO WARRANT A MARGINAL RISK.

OVERALL A MULTI MODEL BLEND WORKED WELL AS A STARTING POINT FOR
QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM ON DAY 2. THIS GAVE A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND
SOLUTION...WITH SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES NOTED IN THE EXACT LOCATION
OF THE DEFORMATION BAND AND ALSO WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF CONVECTION
LONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MS VALLEY. GENERALLY LIKED A
SOLUTION IN BETWEEN THE FURTHER NORTH NAM/GFS AND SOUTH
ECMWF/UKMET WITH THE DEFORMATION AXIS. ALSO THOUGHT THE ECMWF WAS
PROBABLY TOO LIGHT WITH QPF AMOUNTS WITH THE MS VALLEY CONVECTIVE
LINE...WITH THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF/GEM ALL HEAVIER...ALONG WITH MOST OF
THE AVAILABLE HIGH RES GUIDANCE. ON THE OTHER HAND THE 0Z GFS IS
PROBABLY A BIT TOO HEAVY.

ON DAY 3 (12Z THU-12Z FRI) THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST FROM THE MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH/TN VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST.
CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS MUCH LESS CERTAIN BY THIS TIME. WILL
LIKELY BE A MESSY SETUP WITH A PRETTY LARGE AREAL COVERAGE OF AT
LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION. GIVEN THE ANOMALOUS PWAT VALUES AND
AREAS OF LOW FFG...THINK AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD RISK EXISTS OVER
A FAIRLY LARGE PORTION OF THE OH/TN VALLEY. ALTHOUGH AT THIS TIME
NOT CONFIDENT IN THE DETAILS...AND WHETHER OR NOT A LOCALLY
ENHANCED RISK EXISTS ANYWHERE. WILL HAVE TO WAIT UNTIL WE GET
CLOSER TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY PRESENT
AND OVERALL CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. THUS FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH A
LARGE MARGINAL RISK AREA.

UNCERTAINTY ALSO EXISTS ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEAST LA
INTO THE FL PANHANDLE. THE GFS IS MUCH WETTER ACROSS THIS
REGION...BEING STRONGER WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROUNDING THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH...AND THUS STRONGER WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW AND CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE GULF COAST. MEANWHILE THE ECMWF/UKMET ARE A BIT WEAKER
WITH THE WAVE AND LOW LEVEL FLOW...AND TEND TO FOCUS HIGHER
AMOUNTS OFFSHORE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. NOT REAL CONFIDENT AT THIS
TIME...ALTHOUGH DO THINK AT LEAST SOME HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT
EXISTS. THE GFS IS VERY LIKELY OVERDONE WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF
AMOUNTS...BUT THE ECMWF COULD VERY WELL BE UNDERDONE. WILL THUS GO
WITH A MARGINAL RISK ACROSS THIS AREA...AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR
TRENDS.

WITH REGARDS TO THE GENERAL QPF ON DAY 3...AGAIN STARTED WITH A
MULTI MODEL BLEND WITH SOME MANUAL ADJUSTMENTS. DID REMOVE THE NAM
FROM THIS BLEND AS IT APPEARED TO BE TOO SLOW WITH THE EASTWARD
EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM.

...WEST...

SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING ASHORE WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. EVEN THOUGH ANOMALOUS MOISTURE WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...IT SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUICK MOVING AS IT
DIGS SOUTHWARD THUS LIMITING ANY EXTREME OR EXCESSIVE QPF AMOUNTS.
BY 12Z THURSDAY A STRONG COMPACT SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE OR AND NORTHERN CA COAST. THIS WAVE WILL DIG
SOUTHEASTWARD...FORMING INTO ANOTHER CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT
BASIN BY THURSDAY NIGHT. MODEL DIFFERENCES WERE GENERAL NOT THAT
LARGE WITH THIS SYSTEM...THUS WPC QPF FOLLOWED A MIDDLE GROUND
MULTI MODEL BLEND.

SCHICHTEL/CHENARD

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 537213 538202 537196 532184 525171 517161 500145 491135
      486131 481127 477128 473126 471126 471130 471136 470140
      472142 475140 477142 479145 477147 473148 467147 463149
      461156 458161 454164 451172 449175 448180 448187 449190
      453191 456189 461187 468187 472188 475190 474195 472198
      464205 455210 451212 446213 433217 432219 435221 439224
      446227 449230 447233 438238 432239 427242 427246 430247
      437248 444250 450253 463257 469261 474267 481277 490284
      500291 506289 511287 518276 520265 520257 518242 518236
      517232 515224 514220 515217 517215 520217 525220 530220
      533220 535218 537213
 0.01 534992 534980 534975 532973 523965 520965 519967 516971
      507980 493005 491010 489013 483017 476020 474022 471022
      463023 456024 451020 447017 443012 440008 438999 438989
      437979 436972 432955 428933 423931 421931 419933 417941
      416945 413945 409944 405944 402943 400938 392928 384920
      377917 374915 369915 362918 359919 356919 350920 347921
      346923 339934 334940 329944 320950 314953 308952 300951
      298944 296941 293941 288947 284953 281960 277972 276987
      277995 281001 285006 288005 288014 289017 291018 296021
      303021 312020 318017 323018 325020 330026 341031 344037
      345040 344043 340048 340052 338054 331055 326057 332068
      334074 333079 331081 328082 326085 323088 321087 317086
      315090 323090 328089 332090 334092 334100 337106 339109
      341107 341102 344099 344094 347092 353095 358098 362099
      364098 365093 367092 370091 374091 377108 382106 385100
      399100 405100 404105 404108 402109 391115 385117 382121
      380124 382124 386125 395119 402117 406116 410116 418114
      417110 417105 419102 420096 422094 434099 436101 437106
      439108 443109 450110 452103 455097 459092 463089 467084
      471063 474057 478052 490048 496045 502050 504057 506067
      509083 513084 516083 517080 518077 519071 519060 518051
      515043 512039 510037 511034 516028 519021 522016 525014
      526011 529005 532997 534992
 0.01 494686 493680 491677 486673 484669 485665 486661 486655
      486650 483645 481641 478638 475636 471637 467641 463645
      458645 451646 446651 441657 420663 412666 404669 397674
      393680 389687 387694 386702 387716 381734 380737 377740
      369742 360744 353744 348745 344748 339754 336761 334769
      335775 332779 329786 326792 324800 325844 323865 322873
      323884 325894 326899 329898 332891 335884 341869 343862
      345853 348844 354837 358835 363834 371833 382824 388820
      391817 395818 402820 406820 409815 419804 424786 429771
      440757 442754 447752 450753 454752 474731 486717 491711
      493707 493702 494686
 0.01 275793 275790 271790 267791 264791 260791 256792 254793
      252796 252800 254803 257803 261802 265801 266799 269798
      271796 273795 275793
 0.25 532208 531202 527199 524190 512173 508166 503164 498163
      480160 477162 476165 478170 481173 494188 497198 491202
      482205 474207 460214 456216 452220 460227 459233 457236
      454239 452241 453245 463251 471254 479259 485266 490276
      497283 503284 506284 510281 512276 513272 515263 515248
      512238 509229 504219 500209 499203 498201 499198 506196
      509196 515196 524202 527209 530210 532208
 0.25 475674 473671 469669 464671 463676 462681 464685 467687
      470691 473693 474690 476684 476677 475674
 0.25 457079 456075 454071 451066 450059 453054 455049 456044
      455038 454034 447024 436017 432014 428008 424001 422992
      418978 416975 412975 405974 400972 396968 393960 390951
      388944 384939 379934 374932 367930 362932 341948 331956
      321961 297974 293979 293985 295994 297998 298003 296006
      296010 299012 305013 311009 317007 323007 330008 334012
      338016 343022 348026 350029 350033 351051 354055 352062
      351069 353073 357075 363072 366070 369071 372078 375083
      388083 394082 399088 404086 407079 408076 411074 416072
      420072 423074 424082 426085 429084 432082 434083 436082
      436077 441072 449080 451081 454081 457079
 0.25 423710 422697 421689 419683 413679 409681 407684 402692
      400702 400715 398726 395733 393739 390741 383746 381748
      381750 383752 389758 396756 400760 402764 405767 408766
      411763 413758 417748 420740 422735 422730 422719 423710
 0.25 414781 414776 412772 410772 409773 406775 405778 404782
      404785 405787 408789 409789 412786 413784 414781
 0.25 397779 397775 395773 393771 391770 387770 385770 382770
      380771 380775 381777 383781 385783 387784 389785 392786
      394784 396782 397779
 0.25 395793 393792 389794 388795 386797 384800 383802 383805
      385807 387806 390803 392801 393798 394796 395793
 0.25 375763 373751 369751 360752 353755 349757 347761 344768
      343777 344781 349782 354780 359775 364771 371767 375763
 0.50 513266 514259 514253 512244 508235 504227 500220 498216
      494212 483209 475210 468214 466216 466221 468225 466232
      461236 459240 460244 467249 475253 481258 486266 491272
      496278 501281 504281 507279 509272 513266
 0.50 485233 486230 486228 485227 484225 483224 482224 481223
      479223 477222 476222 476223 474224 475227 477228 478228
      480230 481231 481232 483234 485233 485233
 0.50 450049 451044 450041 447036 441029 438026 431024 425022
      422018 419006 415996 408994 404991 398982 393974 388965
      386956 383953 379949 373947 368947 363945 358943 352944
      343950 335956 319966 309973 301979 299985 301990 302003
      304004 307005 313003 322001 329000 333001 337003 338005
      340009 343013 348016 354024 355029 355036 355042 358045
      360047 361050 363056 367059 372059 375058 381060 383064
      387067 389071 396073 398075 402075 403070 405067 410066
      417066 430064 438059 446056 450049
 0.50 418707 418701 416696 415692 411691 409693 407698 405705
      404715 404725 403734 405736 408734 413730 416722 417712
      418707
 0.50 382074 381073 381072 381069 380067 378065 377064 375063
      373062 372064 372066 372068 373071 373073 373075 374077
      374078 376079 377079 379079 380078 381076 381075 382074
 0.50 358761 358759 357759 355759 353759 353760 352760 350761
      350762 349765 350767 351768 353767 354766 356764 356763
      357761 358761
 1.00 511260 510249 507241 503234 499227 496221 493219 490222
      490232 492236 494239 498245 503252 507258 509261 511260
 1.00 502275 504271 504267 502262 497252 495246 492240 489236
      486236 482238 479233 477230 474231 470233 468238 468242
      469245 473248 477251 482254 486258 491267 495271 499275
      502275
 1.00 488221 489219 488217 488216 487214 485214 484213 482213
      480213 479213 477214 476214 477216 478217 480218 481218
      481219 483220 485220 486221 488221 488221
 1.00 409017 399011 395007 391004 390000 390996 391990 391985
      390980 388977 386974 383973 380974 380979 381983 384988
      382989 373988 363990 360988 359984 362978 367972 370968
      370964 365956 360951 355950 350951 336960 330964 330969
      332971 331976 328979 321982 313985 308992 308996 310999
      317996 325994 333996 342999 349002 352007 355009 363010
      367013 364016 361018 363020 379019 387021 395020 400019
      404019 409017
 1.00 398046 392043 385039 380033 373031 365032 365037 367040
      369043 370048 374053 381057 385057 388054 390053 392050
      398046
 1.00 390004 390002 389000 387999 386999 385000 383000 382001
      383002 385004 387005 388005 390004
 1.00 323973 323969 319970 317971 315973 313975 310977 308979
      307981 310982 312980 314979 317977 319976 321975 323973
 1.50 499269 499263 498259 494251 491244 490241 485239 483242
      482242 478233 474233 472236 471241 472245 481249 486254
      490260 495267 497269 499269
 1.50 503241 502240 501238 501237 500235 500234 499232 498231
      497229 497228 496226 494225 493228 493230 493231 494233
      494235 495236 496237 497239 498240 499240 500241 502242
      503241
 1.50 384051 383049 383048 382047 381045 380044 380043 378043
      377044 376046 376048 377051 379053 381053 381054 382054
      383053 384051
 1.50 378006 376004 374004 372004 371005 372006 374007 376007
      378006
 1.50 362005 363003 362002 360002 359003 358003 356003 355004
      354005 356007 358007 360006 362005 362005
 1.50 363969 363962 360958 357955 350956 346958 343960 339965
      337969 337973 336976 332980 327988 330992 335994 339996
      346996 350995 355993 355981 361973 363969
 1.50 318992 318990 317990 315990 313991 311991 311992 310994
      311995 313995 315994 317993 318992
 2.00 496260 495257 493254 492251 491250 491248 491247 490245
      490244 488243 487242 486243 485245 485248 486249 487251
      488253 489255 490256 491258 493259 494261 496260
 2.00 479241 479238 477236 476235 475235 474236 473237 473239
      473240 474242 475243 476243 477243 478242 479241
 2.00 359969 357961 355959 351960 347967 343971 337977 333982
      330986 332990 335992 342993 348990 349986 349980 355977
      357975 359970 359969
 3.00 354974 353969 351968 348969 346971 343974 339978 337980
      334984 335989 341990 344987 344983 344979 348977 352976
      354974

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 537215 539204 539198 538194 535185 531178 528171 523164
      518158 512153 503145 491134 486129 480126 475125 472122
      470118 467116 464116 462118 457123 455127 452128 448127
      450123 452119 452112 452102 452097 450095 444096 438099
      434104 431106 431111 437116 437121 436127 431132 421143
      418150 414156 409161 406168 404181 406191 404201 402203
      398202 390201 389205 391209 395214 398217 399221 397225
      394227 389231 387234 388238 387244 388247 390253 394259
      396264 396269 398276 399279 403281 412284 417285 419285
      425280 436277 443273 448269 455266 458265 463267 469271
      474278 481289 485297 490302 494304 497303 504301 509297
      512290 519273 521270 522263 523255 523248 522244 518235
      516226 518222 521222 525226 529227 531226 535220 537215
 0.01 523952 523948 520945 517934 513927 510925 505926 500931
      495937 493940 491945 490949 490957 491961 487962 481967
      485980 480985 479989 480994 482997 486998 495998 498996
      502996 505994 508991 510987 511982 517975 522957 523952
 0.01 477679 475674 472670 468670 464670 461673 460676 458682
      457687 459692 462690 465686 468683 473682 477679
 0.01 464703 458698 455701 452706 446712 440714 439719 440723
      441735 440740 443745 451743 453740 453733 456722 458713
      463705 464703
 0.01 455655 455650 453647 450645 447645 444643 439643 432644
      416649 407652 400656 387663 381668 375673 370679 366684
      358696 350709 345723 344731 349736 356734 361729 365724
      369717 379706 384701 392697 400696 405701 410708 412709
      415707 420700 426696 437687 443681 448675 452666 454661
      455655
 0.01 453903 443863 440852 436844 418850 409851 404845 398850
      394858 359872 345879 329886 315894 299903 293906 289914
      274921 265925 264937 264960 264970 266980 266992 266994
      269991 282982 303979 310978 321978 324976 327977 328979
      330988 332989 333993 331997 326004 323012 320017 319022
      318044 322052 325056 326059 334065 340069 349068 355063
      361059 370058 378057 382065 386063 386060 384054 384047
      385043 387041 388043 388050 389054 395057 401053 401040
      405031 407026 411022 417015 427002 436990 442983 443978
      444972 450928 453903
 0.01 371804 371799 368798 363802 360805 356810 354816 351822
      352826 354827 358826 360824 363820 367815 369809 371804
 0.01 347873 346866 344860 340851 334843 328835 320827 317828
      316834 318839 321845 326853 331861 337869 341873 345875
      347873
 0.25 535212 534206 533202 529194 526184 524180 520176 516174
      513171 508164 500159 496150 487136 483134 477132 473133
      470135 467138 464139 459140 456144 454148 450150 446151
      442149 439148 436149 434153 434157 433162 430164 426167
      426173 426179 424183 424189 427192 429195 431200 440207
      443209 442211 437209 434210 431209 430203 427200 422199
      417199 414201 414205 417208 419212 419215 417218 415220
      416225 411228 405233 402236 401239 403244 406247 410256
      413264 416268 420269 423268 427266 433261 439256 445250
      452248 461247 466248 472250 479254 486260 490267 494274
      497284 500287 503288 509284 515275 518270 519265 518255
      516245 513236 509227 505218 501208 498204 492202 487200
      482201 476205 471208 469210 464210 447210 457194 467182
      472178 479181 481186 485187 488186 493188 518205 522210
      526215 529216 531216 535212
 0.25 486228 485227 484226 482226 480226 480227 481229 481231
      481232 483234 484232 485230 486228
 0.25 438921 438911 438902 436895 432888 423879 418876 412874
      400877 388883 360889 337898 325904 313910 308912 303916
      299920 294923 287925 284927 284932 286939 285947 285953
      286960 283966 282969 283974 288975 296974 302972 308971
      321968 328965 334964 346969 352972 355978 356985 356989
      355992 352998 346002 343007 340015 338023 340030 344035
      350035 356038 360044 366043 372047 375046 376043 378037
      381031 384025 393016 397011 401004 407993 414983 421973
      428963 432955 434947 438921
 0.25 417664 414660 410661 407663 402666 399668 395670 391674
      390679 395679 400677 403675 408673 412670 415667 417664
 0.50 515269 517264 516258 514250 511241 508234 502219 498212
      491208 484205 477207 472211 465213 459213 455213 452215
      444214 437215 430216 424219 421224 422229 422232 414230
      409235 407238 407240 412247 416252 419255 422257 430255
      435251 446245 453244 459242 465241 472245 480247 485253
      494266 498273 500277 503279 506279 510277 515269
 0.50 493238 491232 488226 486224 482223 476222 471223 467226
      465229 466232 467235 469235 473229 475228 478230 481235
      482239 485238 487237 490239 493238
 0.50 495171 494168 491165 486159 481154 475154 469149 465147
      461146 456152 453154 450154 443155 441159 442165 444172
      444177 442181 441184 440189 439195 443197 450196 455191
      460186 464180 468173 470170 474169 487173 492173 495171
 0.50 478139 477137 475137 474136 472138 473140 475140 477140
      478139
 0.50 461233 461230 461229 459228 458227 456227 454227 453228
      452228 451229 450230 448231 448232 450232 452233 453233
      454233 455232 457233 459233 460233 461233
 0.50 430938 430920 430909 427905 415899 410896 407891 401890
      394891 389893 381894 375893 366893 355897 345900 339902
      333905 324914 313918 308920 303923 294929 291931 290936
      292945 294957 287965 285967 286971 294972 300970 306966
      319964 324963 328960 333958 339959 341961 346962 352958
      359951 364949 371949 370953 367958 366966 367975 367983
      365990 354011 352018 353024 362033 367035 370035 372034
      376029 379024 386013 394003 407982 414973 421962 426951
      429944 430938
 1.00 500237 500232 500230 499225 498222 497219 495218 492217
      490219 491222 492225 494229 495232 496234 498237 500237
 1.00 490219 489214 487212 484210 481209 479210 476211 474214
      472216 475218 478219 481220 484220 486219 490219
 1.00 479238 479237 478236 478234 476233 474234 474237 475239
      477240 479239 479238
 1.00 462223 462220 457217 450219 442216 436218 429220 427222
      426226 428230 433231 440230 447228 451223 454223 458224
      462223
 1.00 454238 453237 451237 450236 448236 447238 447239 449240
      450239 451239 453238 454238
 1.00 461180 462178 461176 459176 458177 457177 456178 454179
      454180 453181 453183 453185 455185 457185 457184 459183
      459182 460181 461180
 1.00 443240 442238 441237 439237 437238 437239 435239 434239
      435241 436241 438242 440242 441242 442241 443240
 1.00 428242 426240 424240 423239 423238 421237 420236 418235
      416235 415236 415239 415240 416241 417242 418243 420244
      421245 421246 423247 424246 425246 427244 428242
 1.00 421947 422941 422935 419925 417922 412921 405919 399915
      391911 382912 371913 362913 359911 354911 345914 341921
      336926 334928 330928 321925 316926 314928 308933 306940
      301945 299950 300954 302957 307956 313953 321949 328947
      336945 339947 341947 357942 374939 379940 382943 382947
      381952 381959 383969 384979 385982 388983 391981 404973
      408966 414959 418953 421947
 1.00 384999 383992 380991 378993 374997 371003 368008 365014
      363019 361023 363025 365025 367023 372020 376017 379010
      381006 384999
 1.00 356905 353904 349904 348903 346904 342905 339906 337908
      337910 339912 342912 346911 349910 351908 353907 356905
 1.00 298966 299964 299962 297961 296961 295962 294963 293964
      293966 293968 294969 296969 296968 297966 298966
 1.50 447226 448224 447221 447220 445219 443219 442218 440219
      438221 438223 439225 441226 442226 444226 446227 447226
 1.50 432227 433224 432223 430223 429224 430225 431226 432227
      432227
 1.50 400956 401952 400947 399945 397943 395943 393945 391947
      390949 389952 389954 391956 395958 398958 400956
 1.50 397938 397936 396933 395933 395934 394936 393938 395939
      396939 397938
 1.50 373932 374927 371925 364925 357927 354927 352924 349922
      344922 339927 337932 340935 341941 346943 352941 359938
      366936 370935 373932 373932
 1.50 331941 331937 328935 326934 325931 320928 317928 316929
      313935 310940 307945 304949 305952 308952 312948 317946
      323944 328943 331941
 2.00 368929 364928 361929 359930 355931 352932 350933 348935
      348937 352937 354936 357934 359933 362932 364932 368929
 2.00 348930 349928 348925 346923 344924 343925 342925 341928
      343930 344931 346931 348930 348930
 2.00 327939 326938 325938 323938 321937 319938 317939 319939
      321940 323940 325940 327939 327939

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 528172 529153 528147 522145 517142 511140 501136 494134
      488130 486127 486122 487112 488106 489103 492098 498085
      500080 502074 502056 501047 499041 497033 497031 498029
      505016 510004 514997 513993 504987 500985 498993 493004
      487005 480006 474014 470019 465023 462025 459022 457017
      454015 452016 454023 452033 450037 441034 439050 437056
      436060 433059 425062 420066 412065 404064 399065 391065
      388066 387070 386077 384083 382085 382090 383093 381096
      378096 376098 373101 368104 364107 360111 355112 350112
      349115 350121 353127 354131 354136 356141 359145 370147
      374152 375155 374160 374163 375166 377171 378174 377179
      376184 369182 363181 356184 355186 356188 367196 372198
      375203 378208 382212 388215 394219 397223 396230 394235
      398238 409245 421248 429248 435248 443250 449249 456251
      460250 465247 471246 469235 469232 472231 477235 484231
      494225 504221 507212 508202 508195 510193 505192 500191
      496191 494192 488201 485205 483207 480207 475209 471211
      465214 459215 452214 449213 449209 453204 454199 455196
      456191 458188 461183 466179 470177 475176 481176 489172
      498180 502175 504172 503169 499164 497160 499157 506158
      511160 516164 521167 528172
 0.01 498944 498929 497916 495911 492913 488922 484931 481941
      478952 476964 474967 477968 481967 484964 491958 496950
      498944
 0.01 475825 474807 472803 472795 471786 469781 464772 454750
      448739 445734 442730 439726 435722 429716 410716 400714
      396717 393717 393721 386744 384749 380752 371756 355767
      347772 341776 336778 317789 313792 312797 310808 308813
      303812 294811 287812 284815 291822 295826 293830 286835
      278842 270847 253856 249859 251865 251873 253878 254884
      256889 255903 248917 251919 250921 248925 244935 244943
      246949 249961 254969 261976 265976 270974 276970 284963
      290957 299950 306942 313936 317934 323933 332937 338944
      343954 346963 350966 354968 367970 373971 377974 380979
      384981 395981 402977 410971 417965 424958 428954 431949
      442930 452911 456901 460891 461883 465878 468873 467865
      467858 465851 466843 468838 475825
 0.01 392091 393089 391088 389087 388088 387089 386090 385091
      384092 385094 387094 389094 390093 391092 392091
 0.01 381081 381078 380076 380074 378071 376071 374071 374073
      374075 375078 375080 377082 377083 379083 381081 381081
 0.25 510152 509150 509149 508148 506146 505146 503147 503148
      504150 504151 506151 507152 509152 510152
 0.25 487075 488070 488064 487056 484054 481054 479056 475055
      471055 470059 467068 463073 459073 456071 451066 447065
      443072 445076 449082 451085 451091 450100 450103 447105
      436095 438098 436100 434104 432105 425104 419105 414105
      413110 410110 409108 407105 405106 400110 394113 391118
      385120 380123 377130 376134 378137 381143 383149 388155
      390162 389171 391178 393181 395183 403183 406189 406198
      406204 404207 401208 399206 395201 388198 384196 380197
      380200 382204 395211 400215 402217 406217 410213 412211
      415212 418214 421213 425208 430203 434197 438191 440183
      440175 442167 447165 454169 460165 464161 467158 468153
      470145 473137 476132 475121 478111 483095 485082 487075
 0.25 454223 452220 448220 443219 438219 435220 432223 428224
      427226 429228 431229 437229 440228 444227 448226 451225
      454223
 0.25 450802 448790 446778 443769 439760 432756 428752 424751
      414751 409753 405756 402765 401775 401781 399785 396793
      394799 391803 386811 376826 366838 363841 359842 356839
      357834 361825 367816 371808 374801 373797 370795 364795
      361796 350808 343814 335820 328817 325819 327821 330824
      326827 320831 314838 309842 300847 290851 283855 278861
      274869 272878 271886 266894 264898 266902 269907 270913
      275933 279935 285935 294933 308926 315922 324916 328914
      333913 342911 348910 352912 354916 355922 355931 355936
      357939 362947 365956 368958 370955 373952 380947 385940
      388933 394927 398926 401927 411931 414931 419928 424922
      429914 434907 438899 441892 444881 445870 447863 448858
      451833 451824 450816 450802
 0.25 426227 427225 426223 425221 424220 422219 420220 420221
      419223 418225 418228 419229 420230 422230 424229 426227
 0.50 475106 474094 474089 473085 471083 464089 461089 459086
      454078 448072 446072 449078 454084 461090 462094 463102
      463106 465112 469114 472112 475106
 0.50 439161 439157 438155 433152 428150 428144 430139 433136
      436131 437124 435120 431123 427123 423119 420115 415116
      407121 401127 398124 393125 388126 387130 389135 391142
      393145 399147 403143 406137 408133 410131 415134 418137
      420143 420147 419151 414160 413166 414172 415175 418176
      424177 428175 431171 433166 438163 439161
 0.50 440813 441801 440796 437794 432790 429786 424778 421776
      417778 414779 412783 411786 409789 404794 401799 398805
      394811 391817 387825 385832 382840 376843 372848 368852
      362855 347861 339863 336858 334850 332848 329847 314846
      307848 299851 292855 289860 282871 276883 274890 271895
      273898 276900 281904 284906 284909 284915 288921 292924
      297926 301924 308921 313917 316911 319905 324900 330898
      338899 371901 375900 378902 378909 375917 371922 369925
      368931 370936 373938 380935 384930 387923 391918 395914
      399908 402906 406907 412907 415909 419908 423902 428888
      433873 437857 440838 440832 440824 440813
 0.50 365813 364809 362807 358812 352816 347821 343827 340834
      340839 343841 347841 350839 355833 358825 361820 365813
 1.00 401890 402880 400878 397877 393881 391888 391897 387901
      383905 384912 387913 392909 396906 399899 401892 401890
 1.00 377877 376873 372876 370880 367883 361884 358883 357881
      358876 357870 353866 348869 342877 340883 340887 342890
      345893 350892 354890 360889 366888 370885 377878 377877
 1.00 360819 359817 357819 357820 359819 360819
 1.00 357821 356820 354820 353822 352822 351824 351825 350826
      349828 348829 348831 347831 347833 346836 348837 350836
      350835 351834 352833 353832 354830 355828 355826 356823
      357821
 1.00 325872 326867 325862 323859 320857 314854 311852 307852
      302855 297861 290874 291880 294889 297894 295901 293910
      295918 298920 302920 308915 310912 311908 312899 313894
      315892 320885 325872
 1.50 353828 354826 353826 352826 351828 351831 353829 353828
 1.50 349881 350879 348879 347881 345882 344884 345886 345887
      346886 347885 349884 349883 349881
 1.50 318870 318866 316865 312860 308857 303861 301865 297872
      295876 297882 301886 303888 302893 297903 296909 296914
      297916 301917 302915 306911 307907 306903 308897 310891
      313886 317873 318870
 2.00 312871 310870 306869 304869 303870 301872 299874 299877
      301878 304880 305882 307885 310884 311882 310879 310875
      310873 312871
 2.00 303912 304909 302907 301906 300907 299910 299911 299912
      299913 301912 302912 303912

$$





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