Hydrometeorological Discussion
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AGUS71 KTIR 281535
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1135 AM EDT Sunday, June 28, 2015

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Upper level low pressure from this past weekend`s powerful frontal system
continues to churn scattered light showers for the northeast Ohio River
forecast basin.  These will continue to swath through northeast Ohio, western
PA, and SW New York for the next 6 to 12 hours before the low finally moves off
to the east and out of the basin.

For the beginning of the work week, another piece of energy will dip into the
Midwest trough and on into the western basin.  This will bring widespread
showers to Indiana, eastern Illinois and western Ohio for during the day on
Monday. Added instability to the forecast basin will bring a chance of scattered
showers and occasional thunderstorms for much of the week.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Flooding is occurring in widespread areas of the northern  and northwestern
Ohio River forecast basin.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
The past 24 hours saw very heavy rainfall in the northern basin...particularly
along Lake Erie.  Due to the stalling upper low yesterday, rain fell continually
over the Maumee watershed...totaling 3 to 5 inches when all was said and done.
Amounts over an inch and cores over two inches were observed in widespread areas
of the northern and northeastern basin.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
A large basin average of half inch to three-quarters of an inch in Indiana and
eastern Illinois.  Lower totals forecast of a quarter of an inch or so for the
rest of the western basin.  Certainly some cores will be higher.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Sunday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Beaver River     Leavittsburg          10         13.8    Falling
Scioto River     La Rue                11         11.3    Steady
East Fork White  Edinburgh             11         11.4    Rising
East Fork White  Shelbyville           13         14.1    Falling
White River      Muncie                 9          9.1    Falling
White River      Anderson              10         13.6    Falling
White River      Noblesville           14         18.3    Falling
White River      Nora                  11         14.2    Steady
White River      Ravenswood             6          7.8    Rising
White River      Centerton             12         12.9    Rising
White River      Spencer               14         14.7    Rising
White River      Elliston              18         19.1    Rising
White River      Newberry              13         13.3    Rising
White River      Edwardsport           15         17.4    Steady
White River      Petersburg            16         20.2    Steady
Wabash River     Linn Grove            11         12.5    Rising
Wabash River     Bluffton              10         11.7    Rising
Wabash River     Warren                12         14.1    Falling
Wabash River     Wabash                14         15.3    Steady
Wabash River     North Mancheste        9         12.1    Falling
Wabash River     West Lafayette        11         22.6    Falling
Wabash River     Covington             16         21.8    Rising
Wabash River     Montezuma             14         25.8    Falling
Wabash River     Terre Haute           14         22.5    Steady
Wabash River     Riverton              15         23.1    Steady
Wabash River     Lawrenceville         30         34.7    Falling
Wabash River     Vincennes             16         22.6    Steady
Wabash River     Princeton             18         19.1    Falling
Wabash River     Mount Carmel          19         25.7    Steady
Wabash River     New Harmony           15         18.5    Steady
Little Wabash Ri Clay City             18         20.2    Steady
Little Wabash Ri Carmi                 27         34.5    Steady
Maumee River     Newville              12         13.8    Rising
Maumee River     Decatur               17         21.1    Falling
Maumee River     St Joseph R Nea       12         13.0    Steady
Maumee River     Fort Wayne            14         15.5    Falling
Maumee River     Fort Wayne            17         21.4    Steady
Maumee River     Stryker               11         16.3    Steady
Maumee River     Findlay               11         11.8    Falling
Maumee River     Ottawa                23         25.3    Rising
Maumee River     Fort Jennings         13         15.1    Falling
Maumee River     Defiance              10         16.0    Falling
Maumee River     Waterville            11         13.2    Rising
Great Lakes Drai Woodville              9         12.2    Falling
Great Lakes Drai Painesville            8          9.1    Steady

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$





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