Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Ohio RFC

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AGUS71 KTIR 191657
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1257 PM EDT Friday, August 19, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
While scattered showers and some storms are possible over much of the Ohio
Valley today, there will be two more favored areas. First will be northern
Indiana where a disturbance will move into the region this afternoon. Second
will be across the southern Ohio Valley where a band of deeper moisture
remains.

A cold front will approach from the west Saturday. It is expected to
pass through the basin Saturday night and Sunday. Widespread precipitation will
develop ahead of and along the front. Behind the front next week conditions
will be noticeably cooler and drier.

By next Thursday a return of moisture to the western Ohio Valley will initiate
rain there. Another cold front is expected to move through the region by the
end of next week, but is not expected to produce excessive rainfall.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Flooding is occurring in numerous locations in the Little Wabash Watershed of
southeastern Illinois and in the lower White River Watershed. Some of this
flooding will be slow to recede and will linger into next week. No additional
river flooding is expected at this time.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Rain fell mostly in the northwest Ohio Valley in northern Indiana and east
central Illinois as well as across Kentucky and Tennessee. Basin averages were
generally light, but some local basins averaged near 2.00 inches.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Rain is forecast across the entire region. Basin average amounts will be
highest across the northern Ohio Valley where they will range from 0.40 to
0.80 inch as well as in the southwestern Ohio Valley where they will range from
0.50 to 1.25 inches.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Friday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
White River      Petersburg            16         17.8    Falling
Little Wabash    Clay City             18         21.3    Falling
Little Wabash    Carmi                 27         27.1    Rising

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
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