Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Ohio RFC

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AGUS71 KTIR 171655
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
1255 PM EDT Monday, June 17, 2013

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
The Ohio Valley remains under a warm, moist airmass today, so showers and
storms could be scattered across anywhere, though they are less likely in the
north. Meanwhile, along the southern edge of the basin, storms will continue
to be more numerous today. Tonight into Tuesday a disturbance will move along
the southern Ohio Valley, enhancing storm activity across the south. On
Tuesday night and into Monday a cold front will push south through the basin,
bringing somewhat drier air to the region. The high pressure behind the front
will suppress rain activity, resulting in drier conditions for the end of the
week and into the weekend.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Minor flooding continues along portions of the Tippecanoe and Wabash Rivers
in western Indiana.  The potential for any new flooding remains low.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Rain was scattered across most of the Ohio Valley. With only a couple of local
exceptions, rains north of the Ohio River were light. Some scattered areas
across Kentucky and Tennessee saw basin averages as high as 1.00 to 1.75
inches.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Day 1 (8am EDT Monday - 8am EDT Tuesday):
Much of the basin will see some rain, with the exception of the northern
Wabash and Maumee Watersheds. Basin averages will increase to the southwest
with amounts up to 0.50 inch in middle Tennessee.

Day 2 (8am EDT Tuesday - 8am EDT Wednesday):
Similar to day 1, all but the far northwest Ohio Valley will see some rainfall.
Amounts increase to the southeast with basin averages ranging from 0.50 to
around 1.00 inch in portions of middle Tennessee, southeastern Kentucky and
far western Virginia.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Monday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Tippecanoe River Ora                   12         12.6    Steady
Tippecanoe River Winamac               10         10.6    Falling
Wabash River     West Lafayette        11         13.4    Falling
Wabash River     Covington             16         20.4    Falling
Wabash River     Montezuma             14         17.3    Steady
Wabash River     Hutsonville           16         16.9    Steady
Wabash River     Riverton              15         16.1    Steady

Detailed precipitation graphics and other maps are available on the HAS Support
Page at this web address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/HAS

QPF from OHRFC, HPC, et al., can be seen at weather.gov/ohrfc/Forecast.php
* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
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