Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Ohio RFC

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AGUS71 KTIR 031831
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
131 PM EST Wednesday, February 3, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Rainfall ahead of an advancing cold front will exit the basin to the east later
on Wednesday. The front will also push through tonight allowing temperatures to
return to normal or below normal levels for the first time since last week.

Some lake effect snow showers will affect the typical areas of the northeast,
but they are not expected to be excessive. The northern half of the basin may
be affected by occasional snow showers by weak disturbances that rotate through
the basin, but no significant accumulations are forecast. More significant
showers are expected early next week.

No significant rainfall is in the forecast through next week.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
While significant rises on rivers are expected across much of the basin, minor
flooding is only expected in southern Indiana and western Kentucky.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Rain fell over all of the Ohio Valley. Heaviest amounts were across middle
Tennessee, most of Kentucky, southern Indiana and southwestern Ohio. Basin
averages in this region ranged from 0.75 to nearly 2 inches.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Precipitation will be confined to the far northern and eastern portions of the
Ohio Valley. Heaviest basin average amounts will be in West Virginia and far
western Virginia where they will range from 0.50 to nearly 1.25 inch.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Wednesday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Ohio Brush Creek  West Union            15         15.2    Falling

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
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