Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Ohio RFC

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AGUS71 KTIR 151802
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
202 PM EDT Saturday, June 15, 2013

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Moisture will increase across the basin from the northwest. Rains will
continue to move into the northwest basin Saturday, but will increase in
coverage across the entire northern Ohio Valley Saturday night and into
Sunday morning. On Sunday and into Monday the storms will proceed through
the remainder of the Ohio Valley.

The middle and second half of next week appear to have a drier outlook, though
not without some small chances for showers and storms.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Minor flooding continues or is forecast in parts of the northwest half of the
Ohio Valley. Additionally, moderate flooding is occurring or anticipated
on portions of the Tippecanoe River in northwest Indiana. Elsewhere, flood
potential remains low.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
None.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Day 1 (8am EDT Saturday - 8am EDT Sunday):
Rain is forecast for the northern half of the Ohio Valley. Amounts increase
to the northwest with basin averages 0.50 to 0.80 in far northwest Ohio,
northern Indiana and east central Illinois.

Day 2 (8am EDT Sunday - 8am EDT Monday):
Rain is forecast over the entire Ohio Valley, but amounts in the north will
be relatively light. In portions of Kentucky, middle Tennessee and West
Virginia basin averages will range from 0.25 to nearly 0.50 inch.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Saturday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Tippecanoe River Ora                   12         13.3    Rising
Tippecanoe River Winamac               10         10.2    Rising
Wabash River     West Lafayette        11         17.2    Falling
Wabash River     Covington             16         19.0    Rising
Wabash River     Montezuma             14         15.2    Rising

Detailed precipitation graphics and other maps are available on the HAS Support
Page at this web address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/HAS

QPF from OHRFC, HPC, et al., can be seen at weather.gov/ohrfc/Forecast.php
* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
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