000
SXUS43 KTOP 192347
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
647 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD. THE
MAIN UNCERTAINTY LIES IN THE TIMING OF SCATTERED TS DEVELOPMENT.
CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT TS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 12Z
AT TAF SITES...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SMALL POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT
PRIOR TO 12Z. IT CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT BEST TS CHANCES ARE
BETWEEN 13 AND 18Z...BUT SCATTERED STORMS COULD PERSIST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE GUSTY AFTER 15Z WITH A FEW
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          851 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  170/13 MPH
                                     8 PM  160/12 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 605 PM):        200FT  176/16 MPH
                                      400FT  169/19 MPH
                                      600FT  167/19 MPH
                                      800FT  165/19 MPH
                                     1000FT  170/19 MPH
                                     1500FT  163/20 MPH
                                     2000FT  158/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 158/16 MPH
                                       98FT  158/20 MPH
                                      260FT  158/22 MPH
                                      541FT  159/23 MPH
                                      959FT  159/23 MPH
                                     1501FT  160/23 MPH
                                     2158FT  160/24 MPH
                                     2887FT  161/24 MPH
                                     3694FT  162/24 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 156/17 MPH
                                      101FT  157/22 MPH
                                      263FT  157/24 MPH
                                      544FT  157/26 MPH
                                      961FT  158/26 MPH
                                     1504FT  158/27 MPH
                                     2160FT  159/27 MPH
                                     2892FT  159/27 MPH
                                     3703FT  160/27 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 158/16 MPH
                                       98FT  159/21 MPH
                                      257FT  159/23 MPH
                                      540FT  159/25 MPH
                                      957FT  158/26 MPH
                                     1504FT  158/27 MPH
                                     2160FT  159/27 MPH
                                     2892FT  159/27 MPH
                                     3703FT  160/27 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  3138 FT
                                     8 PM  2962 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        557 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  160/10 MPH
                    8 AM  160/13 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$