682
FNUS53 KDTX 071956
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
356 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.DISCUSSION...An approaching warm front will cause humidity values to
increase and will support numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms this evening. Warmer and drier air will then advance
into the area for Wednesday. Strong west winds of 20 to 30 mph are
expected to develop by late morning with minimum RH values Wednesday
afternoon in the 30 percent range. A low pressure system will bring
the next chance for rain to the area Thursday. Northeast winds on
Thursday will contribute to much cooler temperatures.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-081415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
356 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2 pm until 5 pm, then chance of
                    thunderstorms and slight chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3860-4360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (762).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm, then rain
                    showers likely until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......510-710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (40).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6270-6770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1589).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Min temperature.....46-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......590-790 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-081415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
356 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3690-4190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (718).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Rain showers likely
                    until 2 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 pm until 5 am. Chance of precipitation
                    70 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6590-7090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1832).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-081415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
356 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 pm until 5 pm. Rain
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3020-3520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (621).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm, then chance
                    of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7210-7710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2094).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North around 10 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. North winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs in
the lower 70s.

$$

CB