Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
730
FNUS54 KMAF 181902
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
202 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
With upper level ridging, southerly surface flow and a sharpening
dryline, sunny skies and min RH well below critical 15% level, in
addition to poor overnight recovery and critically dry fuels
southwest of the Pecos River, all result in fire risk this weekend
into next week. While light winds should limit fire weather
concerns, an early season heatwave, min RH in single digits, and
ERCs at or above 90th percentile from Southeast New Mexico into
the Big Bend will increase fire risk. Except for Sunday over
Southeast New Mexico, RFTIs remain below 5, with highest fire
weather concerns in westernmost regions where driest fuels exist.
Even with a trough and cold front next week, ridging builds back
and little to no rain is expected, so fire weather concerns
continue into end of next week.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-190915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
102 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-5) 92 (+3) 56 92
RH % (24h trend) 26 (-5) 6 (-3) 22 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 W 12 W 19 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 SW 20 W 13 W 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 28 42 25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11440 11920
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 29 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 331760 333760
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 6 7 4
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-190915-
Chaves Plains-
102 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-3) 98 (+3) 57 98
RH % (24h trend) 32 (-19) 6 (-2) 25 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 10 SW 9 SW 19 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9 SW 19 W 11 SW 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 22 35 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14550 12950
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 27 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 392850 284900
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 6 7 2
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Extreme Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-190915-
Eddy Plains-
102 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-3) 100 (+3) 59 101
RH % (24h trend) 28 (-10) 7 (-2) 26 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 S 10 SW 17 W 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 20 W 9 SW 11
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 23 31 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12750 12270
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 331500 294480
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 6 7 4
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Extreme Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-190915-
Lea-
102 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-1) 99 (+4) 58 98
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-27) 6 (-2) 41 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 10 S 12 SW 18 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9 SW 20 SW 10 SW 11
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 24 34 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14070 11430
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 27 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 379890 240030
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 6 6 2
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-190915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
202 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024 /102 PM MDT Sat May 18 2024/
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-3) 91 (+5) 59 92
RH % (24h trend) 20 (-4) 7 (-2) 17 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 SW 14 W 18 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11 W 19 W 14 W 15
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 18 20 31 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9230 9580
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 27 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 249210 220340
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 5 5 4
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-190915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
202 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-3) 102 (+7) 60 103
RH % (24h trend) 35 (+3) 6 (-1) 42 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 S 10 SW 12 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7 SW 15 SW 9 W 8
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 14 19 25 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12670 11180
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 22 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 278740 201240
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 3 3 1
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-190915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
202 PM CDT Sat May 18 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 104 (+5) 64 102
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+1) 7 (-2) 75 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 S 14 S 18 SW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12 S 18 S 15 SW 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 19 26 32 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14240 10610
Transport Wnd (kts) S 24 SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 341760 190980
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 4 4 1
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$